JP2003108754A - Demand and supply planning system - Google Patents

Abstract

PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To provide a demand and supply planning system capable of managing transportation of tobacco products manufactured at a tobacco manufacturing plant to a plurality of distribution bases and stably storing the required amount of the tobacco products to be stably supplied to a plurality of stores at the respective distribution bases. SOLUTION: Stock amount about the tobacco products at the distribution bases (intermediate bases) are monitored respectively (stock transition monitoring means) and a demand planning 13 of the tobacco products is drawn up by every prescribed period according to demand forecasting 12 to the tobacco products (demand planning draw up means). Then, transportation quantity of the tobacco products from the tobacco manufacturing plant to the distribution bases required for storing a prescribed amount of tobacco items of the respective brands at the respective distribution bases is determined (demand amount transportation planning means) according to stock transition of the tobacco products at the distribution bases and the drawn up product demand planning.

Description

Detailed Description of the Invention

[0001]

BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION 1. Field of the Invention The present invention collects tobacco products of a predetermined brand in a plurality of distribution bases and individually supplies the tobacco products from a plurality of distribution bases to a plurality of stores. The present invention relates to a demand planning system suitable for securing a necessary minimum amount of products that enables stable delivery of products to each distribution base.

[0002]

[Related Background Art] Tobacco (cigarette) is manufactured in each of a plurality of tobacco manufacturing plants according to its brand. Tobacco products of each of these brands are once consolidated into multiple distribution bases installed in major parts of the country over a specified brand, and then individually transported from each distribution base to multiple retailers. It is made available for sale.

By the way, cigarettes have a best-before date as described on the packaging. Therefore, when supplying tobacco products from a distribution base to a retailer, the tobacco product of the brand ordered (ordered) by the retailer should be considered, taking into account the shelf life of the product and taking into account the expiration date of the product. It is necessary to supply stably without running out of stock. For this purpose, at multiple distribution bases,
It is necessary to always store a certain amount (minimum) of tobacco products, with a margin for their expiration date.

[0004]

To realize a stable supply of such tobacco products to a plurality of retailers, for example, a tobacco manufacturing factory for each brand according to the demand of the tobacco products at each retailer. Tobacco (cigarette) production in (1) is managed (controlled), and further, the transportation of multiple brands of tobacco products manufactured at each tobacco manufacturing plant to the distribution base is controlled, and each brand is distributed to each distribution base. The tobacco products may be stored in predetermined amounts.

However, even if the amount of tobacco produced in the tobacco manufacturing factory is adjusted according to the demand for the tobacco products in a plurality of stores, it takes time (days) from the production of the tobacco products to the supply to the stores. However, there is a problem that the demand at each store cannot be promptly dealt with.
In particular, as described above, since tobacco products have a shelf life, it is problematic to manufacture a large amount of tobacco products of each brand according to the demand forecast.

The present invention has been made in view of the above circumstances, and an object thereof is to manufacture a plurality of tobacco products of various brands manufactured at each tobacco manufacturing factory from manufacturing tobacco products at each tobacco manufacturing factory. Consistently manages transportation up to the distribution bases of each brand and stores a certain amount of each brand of tobacco products required for stable supply of tobacco products according to the demand at multiple retail stores. The purpose is to provide a supply and demand planning system that can.

[0007]

In order to achieve the above-mentioned object, a supply and demand planning system according to the present invention transfers a predetermined brand of tobacco products produced at a plurality of tobacco manufacturing plants to a plurality of distribution bases. Tobacco products of each brand are aggregated in each of the distribution bases, and when each of the above-mentioned tobacco products is individually supplied from each of these distribution bases to a plurality of retailers, each of the brands of each of the distribution bases Inventories of tobacco products are respectively monitored (inventory transition monitoring means), and a product demand plan for each brand is drafted every predetermined period according to the demand forecast for the tobacco products of each brand (demand plan drafting means). ,
According to the inventory transition of the tobacco products of each brand at each distribution base monitored by the inventory transition monitoring unit and the product demand plan of each brand planned by the demand plan planning unit, each distribution base In addition, the transportation amount of each product from each tobacco manufacturing factory to each distribution base required to store a predetermined amount of each brand of tobacco product is determined (demand transportation planning means).

[0008] Preferably, the demand forecast for the tobacco products of the respective brands is performed by predicting the product demand amount of each tobacco product at the store from the past sales record of the tobacco products of the respective brands, for example, the sales record for two years. Done. In addition, the product demand plan for each brand is prepared by correcting the above-mentioned predicted demand amount according to a marketing policy such as a campaign and determining the production amount of the tobacco product to be manufactured for each brand.

Further, the demand quantity transportation planning means has a product quantity of each brand expected to be paid out to a plurality of dealers from each of the distribution bases, and an inventory quantity of tobacco products of each brand at each of the distribution bases. According to the above, it is proposed by determining the transportation amount to be supplied to each distribution base for each tobacco product of each brand.

[0010]

BEST MODE FOR CARRYING OUT THE INVENTION A supply and demand planning system for a tobacco product according to an embodiment of the present invention will be described below with reference to the drawings. FIG. 1 shows a schematic distribution form of a tobacco product. As shown in this distribution pattern, tobacco products produced at a plurality of tobacco manufacturing factories 1a, 1b, to 1n according to a plurality of brands are once distributed in a plurality of places all over the country. The tobacco products of each brand are collectively stored in the distribution bases 2a, 2b, to 2m. The tobacco products stored in the respective distribution bases 2a, 2b, ~ 2m are stored in the respective distribution bases 2a, 2b, ~ 2m.
Multiple sales outlets 3a, 3b, ... in the sales area under the jurisdiction of
According to the demand from 3k, it is shipped (delivered) to each of the sales outlets 3a, 3b, to 3k and provided for sale.
The tobacco products are transported from the distribution bases 2a, 2b, ~ 2m to the intermediate bases 4a, 4b, ~ 4i, and then the intermediate stores 4a, 4b, ~ 4i are sold to the retailers 3a, 3b, ~ 3k. May be shipped to each.

Incidentally, each of the distribution bases 2a, 2b, to 2m
(Intermediate bases 4a, 4b, to 4i) are a plurality of stores 3a,
In response to orders (orders) from 3b to 3k, it plays a role of storing a predetermined amount of each brand of tobacco product as an inventory so that the designated brand of tobacco product can be shipped without interruption. In addition, each of these distribution bases 2a, 2
The storage of the tobacco products in b.about.2 m is carried out in consideration of the freshness of the tobacco products, for example, in the case of major brands, a maximum of about 2 weeks is spent. While managing the inventory of tobacco products of each brand, basically, according to the principle of first-in / first-out, tobacco products with high freshness are always sold to a plurality of stores 3a, 3
b (b) to 3k are shipped (delivered).

In order to realize smooth distribution of such tobacco products, it is necessary to determine the stock quantity of tobacco products of each brand at a plurality of distribution bases 2a, 2b, ~ 2m (intermediate bases 4a, 4b, ~ 4i). It is important to secure each of them stably. To this end, each tobacco manufacturing factory 1a, 1b, ~ 1
It is also necessary to appropriately control the production amount of each brand of tobacco product produced in each n according to the product demand amount.

Therefore, in the demand and supply planning system according to the present invention, as shown in the schematic system configuration in FIG. 2, the demand amount of tobacco products of various brands, for example, based on the sales record 11 over the past two years. (Demand forecast function 12), and a demand plan 13 for a tobacco product for each brand is drafted according to this demand forecast (demand plan drafting function).
At this time, considering the sales measure 14 relating to the sales of tobacco products in each business area and the special sales demand 15 such as the campaign for the tobacco products at the mass retailers, the demand amount predicted as described above is adjusted according to the current situation. Make an overall demand plan while making corrections (reworking) for each business area.

When the demand plan 13 for tobacco products of various brands is made in this way, each distribution base 2
a, 2b, ~ 2m to the intermediate bases 4a, 4b, ~ 4 under it
A secondary transportation plan 17 is created to deliver each tobacco product to i. Further, according to the demand plan 13 and the secondary transportation plan 17, a plurality of tobacco manufacturing factories 1a, 1
A primary transportation plan 16 for transporting tobacco products from b, ~ 1n to a plurality of distribution bases 2a, 2b, ~ 2m is established. In addition, the demand forecasting function 12 is performed by forecasting the demanded amount every week for about one and a half years in the future,
In addition, the demand plan 13 is drafted while forecasting the future 16 weeks, correcting the demand forecast amount as needed, and updating each time.

Then, referring to these primary transportation plan 16 and secondary transportation plan 17, each of the distribution bases 2a,
Based on the inventory record of tobacco products of each brand in 2b to 2m and the inventory transition obtained from this inventory record,
Further, the base demand amount 18 for each of the distribution bases 2a, 2b, to 2m is obtained according to the above-mentioned overall demand plan 13. In addition, each of the above distribution bases 2a, 2b, ~ 2m
The inventory record of the tobacco products of each brand in is obtained from the record database (DB) 19 described later.

That is, in this demand quantity transportation planning means, inventory results representing the respective inventory quantities of the tobacco products of a plurality of types of brands that are monitored daily at the distribution bases 2a, 2b, to 2m, and their inventory. From the tobacco manufacturing factories 1a, 1b, to 1n, which are necessary to store a predetermined amount of each brand of tobacco product in each of the distribution bases 2a, 2b, to 2m, according to the inventory transition showing the change in quantity. The amount of replenishment (transportation amount) of each brand of tobacco product is calculated as the base demand amount 18.

Base demand amount 18 thus obtained
Are given to the tobacco manufacturing factories 1a, 1b, to 1n, respectively, and a manufacturing plan 21 of a tobacco product in each tobacco manufacturing factories 1a, 1b, to 1n is drafted. Then, in each of the tobacco manufacturing factories 1a, 1b, to 1n, manufacturing of tobacco products of various brands is executed based on the above-mentioned manufacturing plan, and the manufacturing management 22 while monitoring the manufacturing results and the inventory results.
To execute. Further, the primary transportation plan 16 and the secondary transportation plan 17 are distributed to a distribution company (not shown) by using the distribution instruction information 23.
The distribution company transports tobacco products from each tobacco manufacturing factory 1a, 1b, ~ 1n to the distribution bases 2a, 2b, ~ 2m, and further the intermediate bases 4a, 4b, ~ 4i.

At this time, various achievements regarding transportation, inventory and sales, especially achievements from distribution bases to dealers, are carried out and managed by the sales distribution system, and achievements at factories are carried out and managed by the manufacturing information system. It is taken over and taken over by the supply and demand planning system. Then, these achievements are registered in the achievement database 19. The performance data collected in the performance database 19 is appropriately monitored (monitor means 24) and used for planning the above-mentioned business measures.

In this way, the demand plan 13 for each brand of tobacco product is drafted for each predetermined lead time (one week) by such a procedure, and based on this demand plan 13, each distribution base 2a, 2b, ~ 2m. (Intermediate bases 4a, 4b, ~ 4
A demand product transportation plan 18 for tobacco products for each of the distribution bases 2a, 2b, ~ 2m (intermediate bases 4a, 4b, ~ 4i) is created according to the inventory record of the tobacco products in i), and the transportation management is executed. According to the demand planning system, the distribution bases 2a, 2b, ~ 2m (intermediate bases 4a, 4b, ~ 4
i) It is possible to optimize the stock amount of each brand of tobacco product stored in each of the i) products.
b, ~ 3k can be supplied without causing out-of-stock condition.

That is, the demand forecast 12 is made on the basis of the sales results of the tobacco products, and based on the demand forecast 12, the overall tobacco product is modified by modifying the business measures in each business region and the special sales demand. The demand plan 13 is prepared. In particular, a plurality of distribution bases 2a, 2b, ~ 2m (intermediate base 4
a, 4b, ~ 4i) to a plurality of sales outlets 3a, 3b, ~ 3k on a periodic basis (1 week) to supply a tobacco product as a unit of demand plan 13, and then each distribution base 2
The base demand amount 18 is created in accordance with the inventory record of tobacco products at a, 2b, to 2m (intermediate bases 4a, 4b, to 4i). Then, according to the base demand amount 18, the manufacturing plans of the plurality of tobacco manufacturing factories 1a, 1b, to 1n are managed, and further, the primary transportation from the tobacco manufacturing factory to the distribution base and the secondary transportation from the distribution base to the intermediate base. Since it is created and managed based on the demand plan 13, each distribution base 2
It is possible to easily stabilize the stock amounts of the tobacco products of the respective brands stored in a, 2b, to 2m (intermediate bases 4a, 4b, to 4i), respectively.

As a result, each distribution base 2a, 2b, ~ 2m
At (intermediate bases 4a, 4b, ~ 4i), it is possible to always stably handle orders (orders) for tobacco products from a plurality of stores 3a, 3b, ~ 3k. It becomes possible to provide the product. Further, at each distribution base 2a, 2b, ~ 2m, new tobacco products are supplied from the tobacco manufacturing factories 1a, 1b, ~ 1n according to the stock performance thereof, so that the stock amount is stored in the above-mentioned retail stores 3a, 3b. , To 3k, it is possible to keep the minimum amount necessary to enable a stable supply of tobacco products. Therefore, with simple management, it is possible to bring about an effect such as inconvenience such as involuntarily storing a shelf-life tobacco product for a long time.

Further, in accordance with the base demand amount 18, a plurality of distribution bases 2a, 2b, ~ 2m (intermediate bases 4a, 4b, ~ 4i) are distributed to a plurality of distribution bases 2a,
Tobacco products can be flexibly transported between 2b and 2m, and the tobacco products can be supplied to a plurality of stores 3a, 3b, and 3k while adjusting the stock amount at each distribution base 2a, 2b, and 2m. Therefore, also in this respect, there is an advantage that it is possible to effectively eliminate a problem such as involuntarily storing a shelf-life tobacco product for a long time.

The present invention is not limited to the above embodiment. For example, when drafting the demand plan 13 for tobacco products, seasonal conditions may be taken into consideration. In addition, the created base demand amount 18 is verified according to the inventory performances at the distribution bases 2a, 2b, and 2m, and appropriately according to various special circumstances such as a special sale campaign set for each business area. Correction (correction)
It is also possible to do so. In addition, the present invention can be variously modified and implemented without departing from the scope of the invention.

[0024]

As described above, according to the demand / supply planning system for a tobacco product according to the present invention, the tobacco products manufactured at the tobacco manufacturing factory are stored, and a plurality of retailers can meet the demand. It is possible to secure the inventory of tobacco products at the distribution bases provided by It is possible to realize stable distribution of a certain tobacco product. Moreover, since the distribution of tobacco products is managed according to the amount of stock of tobacco products at each distribution base (distribution base), efficient distribution of tobacco products can be performed under simple management without causing the problem of expiration of shelf life. It is possible to achieve a great effect in practical use such as realization of.

[Brief description of drawings]

FIG. 1 is a diagram showing a schematic distribution form of a tobacco product to which the present invention is applied.

FIG. 2 is a diagram showing a schematic configuration of a supply and demand planning system for tobacco products according to an embodiment of the present invention.

[Explanation of symbols]

1a, 1b, ~ 1n tobacco manufacturing plant 2a, 2b, ~ 2m Distribution base (distribution base) 3a, 3b, ~ 3k Dealers 12 Demand forecast (demand forecast function) 13 Demand planning (demand planning function) 18 Demand transportation plan (demand transportation planning means) 19 achievement database 20 Logistics management

Claims (3)

[Claims] 1. Tobacco products of a predetermined brand manufactured at a plurality of tobacco manufacturing factories are transported to a plurality of distribution bases, and the tobacco products of a predetermined brand are aggregated in each of the distribution bases. When individually supplying each of the above-mentioned tobacco products from the base to a plurality of stores, an inventory transition monitoring means for respectively monitoring the inventory amount of the tobacco products of each of the brands at each of the distribution bases, and each of the brands. Means for formulating a product demand plan for each brand at predetermined intervals according to the demand forecast for tobacco products of each brand at each store predicted from past sales results for tobacco products; and the inventory transition monitoring According to the inventory transition of the tobacco products of each brand at each distribution base monitored by means and the product demand plan of each brand. And a demand transportation planning means for determining a transportation amount of each product from each factory to each distribution base, which is necessary to store a predetermined amount of tobacco products of a predetermined brand in each distribution base. A demand and supply planning system characterized by the following. 2. The product demand plan for each brand is to correct the predicted demand amount according to a business measure to obtain a manufacturing amount of a tobacco product to be manufactured for each brand.
Supply and demand planning system described in. 3. The demand amount transportation planning means, the product amount of each brand expected to be paid out from each of the distribution bases to a plurality of dealers, and the inventory amount of the tobacco product of each brand in each of the distribution bases. 2. The supply and demand planning system according to claim 1, wherein the transportation amount to be supplied to each distribution base is determined for each tobacco product of each brand in accordance with the above.