FR3054703B1 - Procede de prediction de demande de consommation, utilisant un modele de prediction perfectionne - Google Patents

Procede de prediction de demande de consommation, utilisant un modele de prediction perfectionne Download PDF

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Publication number
FR3054703B1
FR3054703B1 FR1657149A FR1657149A FR3054703B1 FR 3054703 B1 FR3054703 B1 FR 3054703B1 FR 1657149 A FR1657149 A FR 1657149A FR 1657149 A FR1657149 A FR 1657149A FR 3054703 B1 FR3054703 B1 FR 3054703B1
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parameters
prediction model
consumption demand
improved prediction
model
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FR3054703A1 (fr
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Philippe Charpentier
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Electricite de France SA
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Electricite de France SA
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Priority to FR1657149A priority Critical patent/FR3054703B1/fr
Priority to PCT/EP2017/068646 priority patent/WO2018019769A1/fr
Priority to EP17740416.7A priority patent/EP3491591A1/fr
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    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/06—Energy or water supply
    • Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y04—INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
    • Y04S—SYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
    • Y04S10/00—Systems supporting electrical power generation, transmission or distribution
    • Y04S10/50—Systems or methods supporting the power network operation or management, involving a certain degree of interaction with the load-side end user applications

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  • Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
  • Economics (AREA)
  • Strategic Management (AREA)
  • Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
  • Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
  • General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Marketing (AREA)
  • Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
  • General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Operations Research (AREA)
  • Development Economics (AREA)
  • Quality & Reliability (AREA)
  • Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
  • Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Educational Administration (AREA)
  • Public Health (AREA)
  • Water Supply & Treatment (AREA)
  • General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Primary Health Care (AREA)
  • Management, Administration, Business Operations System, And Electronic Commerce (AREA)
  • Supply And Distribution Of Alternating Current (AREA)

Abstract

Procédé de prédiction de demande de consommation, utilisant un modèle de prédiction perfectionné L’invention concerne la gestion d’un réseau de distribution d’énergie électrique, par estimation de demande en énergie par des consommateurs, comportant les étapes : a1) prévoir une pluralité de fonctions de lien, propres chacune à un type de modèle et à au moins un paramètre d’entrée (S2), b1) recevoir en entrée du dispositif informatique plusieurs valeurs de paramètres respectifs d’entrée (S1), b2) déterminer, selon un critère choisi, un classement par ordre de pertinence des paramètres dont les valeurs sont reçues à l’opération b1) (S6), et a2) construire un modèle basé sur au moins une fonction de lien faisant intervenir au moins l’un des paramètres les plus pertinents selon le classement de l’opération b2), pour la mise en œuvre ultérieure de l’étape c) (S8 ; S9). (FIG.4)
FR1657149A 2016-07-26 2016-07-26 Procede de prediction de demande de consommation, utilisant un modele de prediction perfectionne Active FR3054703B1 (fr)

Priority Applications (3)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
FR1657149A FR3054703B1 (fr) 2016-07-26 2016-07-26 Procede de prediction de demande de consommation, utilisant un modele de prediction perfectionne
PCT/EP2017/068646 WO2018019769A1 (fr) 2016-07-26 2017-07-24 Procede de prediction de demande de consommation, utilisant un modele de prediction perfectionne
EP17740416.7A EP3491591A1 (fr) 2016-07-26 2017-07-24 Procédé de prédiction de demande de consommation, utilisant un modèle de prédiction perfectionné

Applications Claiming Priority (2)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
FR1657149A FR3054703B1 (fr) 2016-07-26 2016-07-26 Procede de prediction de demande de consommation, utilisant un modele de prediction perfectionne
FR1657149 2016-07-26

Publications (2)

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FR3054703A1 FR3054703A1 (fr) 2018-02-02
FR3054703B1 true FR3054703B1 (fr) 2023-04-28

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FR1657149A Active FR3054703B1 (fr) 2016-07-26 2016-07-26 Procede de prediction de demande de consommation, utilisant un modele de prediction perfectionne

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EP (1) EP3491591A1 (fr)
FR (1) FR3054703B1 (fr)
WO (1) WO2018019769A1 (fr)

Families Citing this family (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN110895721B (zh) * 2018-09-12 2021-11-16 珠海格力电器股份有限公司 电器功能的预测方法及装置
CN112001563B (zh) * 2020-09-04 2023-10-31 深圳天源迪科信息技术股份有限公司 一种话单量的管理方法、装置、电子设备及存储介质

Family Cites Families (1)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
FR3014613B1 (fr) * 2013-12-11 2016-01-15 Electricite De France Prediction d'une consommation de fluide effacee

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Publication number Publication date
FR3054703A1 (fr) 2018-02-02
EP3491591A1 (fr) 2019-06-05
WO2018019769A1 (fr) 2018-02-01

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