EA201301139A1 - Система прогнозирования добычи нефти - Google Patents

Система прогнозирования добычи нефти

Info

Publication number
EA201301139A1
EA201301139A1 EA201301139A EA201301139A EA201301139A1 EA 201301139 A1 EA201301139 A1 EA 201301139A1 EA 201301139 A EA201301139 A EA 201301139A EA 201301139 A EA201301139 A EA 201301139A EA 201301139 A1 EA201301139 A1 EA 201301139A1
Authority
EA
Eurasian Patent Office
Prior art keywords
oil production
forecasting system
covariance
mean
improved
Prior art date
Application number
EA201301139A
Other languages
English (en)
Inventor
Дэвид Джон Росси
Рэнди Дж. Вааль
Стив Риган
Original Assignee
Лоджинд Б.В.
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by Лоджинд Б.В. filed Critical Лоджинд Б.В.
Publication of EA201301139A1 publication Critical patent/EA201301139A1/ru

Links

Classifications

    • E—FIXED CONSTRUCTIONS
    • E21—EARTH OR ROCK DRILLING; MINING
    • E21B—EARTH OR ROCK DRILLING; OBTAINING OIL, GAS, WATER, SOLUBLE OR MELTABLE MATERIALS OR A SLURRY OF MINERALS FROM WELLS
    • E21B49/00—Testing the nature of borehole walls; Formation testing; Methods or apparatus for obtaining samples of soil or well fluids, specially adapted to earth drilling or wells
    • E21B49/003—Testing the nature of borehole walls; Formation testing; Methods or apparatus for obtaining samples of soil or well fluids, specially adapted to earth drilling or wells by analysing drilling variables or conditions
    • E—FIXED CONSTRUCTIONS
    • E21—EARTH OR ROCK DRILLING; MINING
    • E21B—EARTH OR ROCK DRILLING; OBTAINING OIL, GAS, WATER, SOLUBLE OR MELTABLE MATERIALS OR A SLURRY OF MINERALS FROM WELLS
    • E21B43/00—Methods or apparatus for obtaining oil, gas, water, soluble or meltable materials or a slurry of minerals from wells
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/02—Agriculture; Fishing; Forestry; Mining

Landscapes

  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Life Sciences & Earth Sciences (AREA)
  • Mining & Mineral Resources (AREA)
  • Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Geology (AREA)
  • Strategic Management (AREA)
  • Economics (AREA)
  • Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
  • Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
  • Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
  • Marketing (AREA)
  • General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Geochemistry & Mineralogy (AREA)
  • General Life Sciences & Earth Sciences (AREA)
  • Environmental & Geological Engineering (AREA)
  • Fluid Mechanics (AREA)
  • Animal Husbandry (AREA)
  • Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
  • Agronomy & Crop Science (AREA)
  • Primary Health Care (AREA)
  • Marine Sciences & Fisheries (AREA)
  • Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Development Economics (AREA)
  • General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
  • Operations Research (AREA)
  • Quality & Reliability (AREA)
  • Chemical & Material Sciences (AREA)
  • Analytical Chemistry (AREA)
  • Management, Administration, Business Operations System, And Electronic Commerce (AREA)
  • Information Retrieval, Db Structures And Fs Structures Therefor (AREA)

Abstract

В изобретении раскрыта система, способ и машиночитаемый носитель, способный увеличить эффективность и точность прогнозов добычи нефти. Измеренные данные о добыче нефти могут использоваться для создания оценки среднего значения, ковариации и шума. Уточненные оценки среднего значения и ковариации могут быть сделаны с помощью алгоритма обновления вероятности Байеса. Уточненные оценки могут использоваться для прогнозирования добычи нефти с уточненной экспоненциальной кривой убывания, связанной с измеренными данными о добыче и одним или несколькими обозначениями неопределенности.
EA201301139A 2012-11-09 2013-11-07 Система прогнозирования добычи нефти EA201301139A1 (ru)

Applications Claiming Priority (2)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
US201261724468P 2012-11-09 2012-11-09
US13/748,938 US20140136111A1 (en) 2012-11-09 2013-01-24 Oilfield production forecasting system

Publications (1)

Publication Number Publication Date
EA201301139A1 true EA201301139A1 (ru) 2014-07-30

Family

ID=50682516

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
EA201301139A EA201301139A1 (ru) 2012-11-09 2013-11-07 Система прогнозирования добычи нефти

Country Status (3)

Country Link
US (1) US20140136111A1 (ru)
EA (1) EA201301139A1 (ru)
NO (1) NO20131474A1 (ru)

Families Citing this family (8)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
US20140236666A1 (en) * 2013-02-19 2014-08-21 International Business Machines Corporation Estimating, learning, and enhancing project risk
US10565540B2 (en) * 2014-08-27 2020-02-18 Sourcewater, Inc. Oilfield water and well management using modeled predictions of oilfield water production or hydrocarbon production
US10678967B2 (en) * 2016-10-21 2020-06-09 International Business Machines Corporation Adaptive resource reservoir development
US10012056B1 (en) * 2017-04-28 2018-07-03 Shale Specialists, LLC Method for forecasting well production and determining ultimate recoveries using bubble point decline curve analysis
CN109409559B (zh) * 2017-08-17 2022-03-01 中国石油天然气股份有限公司 油田产量递减率的确定方法及装置
US11494679B2 (en) 2018-04-27 2022-11-08 RS Energy Group Topco, Inc. CA System and method for oil and gas predictive analytics
US10634815B1 (en) * 2019-08-16 2020-04-28 Shale Specialist, LLC Iterative determination of decline curve transition in unconventional reservoir modelling
CN112267860A (zh) * 2020-11-09 2021-01-26 中国石油天然气股份有限公司 一种低渗透油藏周期注水效果评价方法

Family Cites Families (11)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
US5679893A (en) * 1996-02-12 1997-10-21 Chevron, U.S.A., Inc. Determining the oil decline for an oil-producing reservoir
US5764058A (en) * 1996-09-26 1998-06-09 Western Atlas International, Inc. Signal processing method for determining the number of exponential decay parameters in multiexponentially decaying signals and its application to nuclear magnetic resonance well logging
US6107796A (en) * 1998-08-17 2000-08-22 Numar Corporation Method and apparatus for differentiating oil based mud filtrate from connate oil
US6826486B1 (en) * 2000-02-11 2004-11-30 Schlumberger Technology Corporation Methods and apparatus for predicting pore and fracture pressures of a subsurface formation
US8190458B2 (en) * 2007-01-17 2012-05-29 Schlumberger Technology Corporation Method of performing integrated oilfield operations
US7956761B2 (en) * 2007-05-29 2011-06-07 The Aerospace Corporation Infrared gas detection and spectral analysis method
US8073800B2 (en) * 2007-07-31 2011-12-06 Schlumberger Technology Corporation Valuing future information under uncertainty
FR2920235B1 (fr) * 2007-08-22 2009-12-25 Commissariat Energie Atomique Procede d'estimation de concentrations de molecules dans un releve d'echantillon et appareillage
CA2767689C (en) * 2009-08-07 2018-01-02 Exxonmobil Upstream Research Company Drilling advisory systems and methods based on at least two controllable drilling parameters
WO2012135946A1 (en) * 2011-04-07 2012-10-11 Farhat Golnaz Computing device and method for detecting cell death in a biological sample
US9429660B2 (en) * 2012-01-03 2016-08-30 Mayflower Communications Company, Inc. Single antenna GPS measurement of roll rate and roll angle of spinning platform

Also Published As

Publication number Publication date
US20140136111A1 (en) 2014-05-15
NO20131474A1 (no) 2014-05-12

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