CN118171899B - Power demand response business analysis method based on private transformer terminal user - Google Patents
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Abstract
The invention relates to the field of electric power, in particular to a power demand response business analysis method based on a special transformer terminal user, which comprises the following steps: s1, acquiring historical power data; s2, analyzing historical electricity utilization characteristics; s3, predicting electricity demand; s4, detecting actual power consumption data; s5, response accuracy evaluation is carried out, power utilization characteristic data of the private transformer terminal user are obtained according to power utilization characteristic data analysis of the private transformer terminal user, power utilization demand data of the private transformer terminal user in a specified period are obtained according to power utilization characteristic data analysis of the private transformer terminal user, power utilization demand of the private transformer terminal user in the specified period is further obtained, actual power utilization of the private transformer terminal user in the specified period is obtained through detecting the power utilization of the private transformer terminal user in each set period, further, response accuracy evaluation coefficients of power demand are obtained through comparison and analysis, feedback is carried out, fine management can be achieved, power utilization efficiency and response capacity are improved, and better power management and service support are provided for the user.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to the field of power, in particular to a power demand response business analysis method based on a special transformer terminal user.
Background
The electric power in the modern society is an indispensable energy source in various industries, the electric power is used throughout the production and life of people, and the electric power is used as a clean and efficient energy source form and plays an important role in promoting economic development, improving life quality and the like, so that the reasonable utilization and management of the electric power are particularly important.
The power consumption is not only simple consumption electric energy, but also a reasonable configuration and utilization process of resources, the reasonable power consumption can achieve the purposes of saving the power consumption, reducing the cost, improving the production efficiency and the like, and meanwhile, the excessive use of the power can bring about the problems of energy waste, environmental pollution and the like, so that the power consumption analysis is carried out, the power consumption condition and rule are known, corresponding management measures and policies are formulated, and the key for ensuring the effective utilization of the power resources is realized.
According to the technical scheme disclosed by China patent publication (patent number 201811245435.7), the prediction area is selected, the reference power of all household appliances in the target area and the service time of the household appliances used by sampling users are determined, so that the first electricity demand of the prediction area is determined, meanwhile, the electricity power and the resident number of the household appliances used by target residents in the prediction area are determined, the second electricity demand of the prediction area is calculated, and then whether the error between the first electricity demand and the second electricity demand meets the preset requirement is judged, so that the accuracy and the reliability of a prediction model can be evaluated, the prediction method can be timely adjusted and improved, the matching between the electricity supply and the demand is ensured, and the following defects are still caused: 1. the power usage of the household appliances may vary with time and season, and the static power reference value is difficult to fully reflect the actual power consumption condition, and the season change may cause the change of domestic power consumption habit, for example, the use of refrigeration equipment such as an air conditioner and an electric fan may be increased in summer, and the use of heating equipment may be increased in winter, which may cause seasonal fluctuation of the power consumption load.
2. During certain periods of time, such as the early and late peak hours, the resident power usage increases dramatically, which may be beyond what the static power reference value can cover, and if the peak hours power usage is not accurately predicted, the power supply may be insufficient, which may affect the user experience.
Disclosure of Invention
In order to overcome the defects in the background technology, the embodiment of the invention provides a power demand response business analysis method based on a private transformer terminal user, which can effectively solve the problems related to the background technology.
The aim of the invention can be achieved by the following technical scheme: a power demand response business analysis method based on a private transformer terminal user comprises the following steps: s1, acquiring historical power data: and acquiring electricity consumption data of the special transformer terminal user, wherein the electricity consumption data comprise each daily electricity consumption of each historical period and each electricity consumption of each historical period.
S2, historical electricity utilization characteristic analysis: and analyzing the power utilization characteristic data of the special transformer terminal user according to the power utilization data of the special transformer terminal user, wherein the power utilization characteristic data comprise power utilization indexes of power utilization peaks in seasons, power utilization indexes of power utilization peaks in time periods, power utilization indexes of power utilization valleys in time periods and power utilization indexes of holidays in all sections.
S3, electricity demand prediction: and analyzing the power utilization characteristic data of the special transformer terminal user to obtain power utilization data of the special transformer terminal user, and further obtaining power utilization required by the special transformer terminal user in a specified period, wherein the power utilization data comprise power utilization indexes of the power utilization peak period in the specified period, power utilization indexes of the power utilization valley period in the specified period, power utilization indexes of seasons in the specified period and power utilization indexes of holidays in the specified period.
S4, detecting actual power consumption data: and detecting the power consumption of each set period of the specified period of the special transformer terminal user to obtain the actual power consumption of the specified period of the special transformer terminal user.
S5, response accuracy evaluation: and comparing the predicted required electricity consumption of the specific transformer terminal user in the specified period with the actual electricity consumption of the specific transformer terminal user in the specified period, analyzing to obtain an electric power demand response precision evaluation coefficient, and feeding back the electric power demand response precision evaluation coefficient.
Preferably, the specific analysis method for acquiring the historical power data comprises the following steps: reading the power consumption of each history period, each day and each period of the special-change terminal user from the management databaseWhereinRepresent the firstThe number of the individual history periods,，Represent the firstThe number of the day is given to the person,，Represent the firstThe number of the time period(s),The daily electricity consumption of each history period of the special transformer terminal user is obtained by accumulating the daily electricity consumption of each history period of the special transformer terminal user, and is recorded asSubstituting it into formulaObtaining the electricity consumption of each history period of the special transformer terminal user。
Preferably, the specific method for dividing the electricity consumption index of the special transformer terminal user in the electricity consumption peak season is as follows: the first step, the electricity consumption of each history period of the special transformer terminal user is read, and divided according to seasons, the electricity consumption of each history period in each season is accumulated, the electricity consumption of each season of the special transformer terminal user is obtained, and the electricity consumption is recorded asWhereinRepresent the firstThe number of the seasons of the time,The average seasonal electricity consumption of the special transformer terminal user is obtained by averaging the seasonal electricity consumption of the special transformer terminal user, and is recorded asSubstituting it into formulaObtaining the electricity index of each season of the special-change terminal user。
Secondly, constructing a two-dimensional coordinate system by taking each season as an abscissa and each season electricity index as an ordinate, further marking a plurality of points in the constructed two-dimensional coordinate system according to the electricity indexes corresponding to each season to form a season-electricity index curve, respectively reading the seasons corresponding to the maximum value and the minimum value of the electricity indexes from the season-electricity index curve, recording the seasons as electricity peak seasons and electricity valley seasons of the special-change terminal users, and recording the electricity peak seasons of the special-change terminal users as electricity indexes of the special-change terminal usersThe electricity consumption index in the electricity consumption low-valley season is recorded as。
Preferably, the specific analysis method for the electricity consumption index of the special transformer terminal user in the electricity consumption peak period and the electricity consumption valley period comprises the following steps: reading power consumption of special transformer terminal user in each history periodAccording to the method for constructing the season-electricity index curve, each historical period is taken as an abscissa, each historical period electricity index is taken as an ordinate, a period-electricity index curve is formed, the period corresponding to the maximum value and the minimum value of the electricity index is read from the period-electricity index curve, the period is recorded as the electricity consumption peak period and the electricity consumption valley period of a special change terminal user, and the electricity consumption index of the electricity consumption peak period and the electricity consumption valley period of the special change terminal user are respectively recorded as、。
Preferably, the specific analysis method of the holiday electricity index of the special transformer terminal user is as follows: reading each daily electricity consumption of each history period of special-purpose terminal userThe holidays in each history period are extracted from the management database, the daily electricity consumption of each history period of the private transformer terminal user is compared with the holidays, and the daily electricity consumption of each holiday in each history period of the private transformer terminal user is screened out and recorded asWhereinRepresent the firstThe number of the holidays of each festival,The average power consumption of the holidays in the history period of the special transformer terminal user is obtained by averaging the power consumption of the holidays in each history period of the special transformer terminal user and recorded asSubstituting it into formulaObtaining the holiday electricity consumption index of each section of the special transformer terminal user，Representing the number of history periods.
Preferably, the specific process of the power consumption data of the demand of the specific transformer terminal user in the specified period is as follows: first, the electricity consumption index of electricity consumption peak time is read respectivelyElectricity consumption index in electricity consumption valley periodElectricity consumption index for holidays of each sectionDividing the specified period into a plurality of time periods according to the set time length, recording the time periods as set time periods, screening out the set time periods belonging to the electricity utilization peak time periods in the specified period, and accumulating the corresponding electricity utilization indexes to obtain the electricity utilization index of the electricity utilization peak time periods of the specified periodMeanwhile, the electricity utilization index of the electricity utilization valley period of the specified period is obtained by analysis according to the method of analyzing the electricity utilization index of the peak period of the specified period, and is recorded as。
A second step of judging whether the specified period is in a peak electricity consumption season, if the specified period is in the peak electricity consumption season, reading the peak electricity consumption index of the period, recording the peak electricity consumption index as the season electricity consumption index of the specified period, if the specified period is not in the peak electricity consumption season, further judging whether the specified period is in a valley electricity consumption season, if the specified period is in the valley electricity consumption season, reading the valley electricity consumption index of the period, recording the season electricity consumption index of the specified period as the season electricity consumption index of the specified period, if the specified period is not in the valley electricity consumption season, recording the season electricity consumption index of the specified period as1, and counting the season electricity consumption index of the specified period as the season electricity consumption index of the specified period。
Reading holidays in each period from the management database, matching the specified period with the holidays in each period, screening to obtain holidays in each specified period, screening power utilization indexes corresponding to holidays in each specified period from power utilization indexes of holidays in each period of a special transformer terminal user, accumulating the power utilization indexes to obtain power utilization indexes of holidays in each specified period, and marking the power utilization indexes as。
Preferably, the specific analysis method for the required electricity consumption of the specified period of the private transformer terminal user comprises the following steps: respectively reading the electricity indexes of the peak periods of the electricity consumption of the designated periodElectricity index for specified period electricity consumption valley periodSeason electricity index of specified periodElectricity consumption index for holidays in specified periodSubstituting it into formulaObtaining the required electricity consumption of the specified period of the special transformer terminal userWhereinRespectively representing the set power consumption index in the peak period, the power consumption index in the valley period, the power consumption index in the season of the peak period and the weight factors of the power consumption index in the holiday,Indicating a proportionality constant between the set electricity consumption index and the electricity consumption amount.
Preferably, the specific analysis method for detecting the actual electricity consumption data comprises the following steps: detecting the electricity consumption of the user of the special transformer terminal in each set period of the specified period through the ammeter, and recording the electricity consumption of the user of the special transformer terminal in each set period of the specified periodWhereinRepresent the firstThe number of the set period of time,By the formulaObtaining the actual power consumption of the special transformer terminal user in the appointed period。
Preferably, the specific analysis method of the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient is as follows: respectively reading actual power consumption of specific variable terminal user in specified periodDemand electricity consumption of special transformer terminal user specified periodBringing it into the formulaObtaining an evaluation coefficient of power demand response accuracy。
Preferably, the specific method for feeding back the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient comprises the following steps: the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient is read, the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient is compared with a preset response accuracy evaluation coefficient threshold, if the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient is larger than or equal to the preset response accuracy evaluation coefficient threshold, the power demand response accuracy is qualified, and if the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient is smaller than the preset response accuracy evaluation coefficient threshold, the power demand response accuracy is unqualified, and the feedback is performed.
Compared with the prior art, the embodiment of the invention has at least the following advantages or beneficial effects: 1. according to the power consumption characteristic data of the private transformer terminal user, the power consumption characteristic data of the private transformer terminal user is obtained through analysis of the power consumption data of the private transformer terminal user, the power consumption habit, the power consumption mode and the power consumption demand characteristics of the user can be known in depth, and then the power consumption behavior rule of the user is revealed.
2. According to the power utilization characteristic data analysis method, the power utilization data of the specific transformer terminal user in the specified period are obtained through the power utilization characteristic data analysis of the specific transformer terminal user, and then the power utilization quantity of the specific transformer terminal user in the specified period is obtained, so that power resources can be allocated in a targeted manner, the power supply and demand relation is balanced, and the running stability and reliability of a power system are ensured.
3. The invention obtains the actual power consumption of the specified period of the special transformer terminal user by detecting the power consumption of the specified period of the special transformer terminal user, can know the power consumption condition of the user in real time, monitors the actual power consumption of the user in the specified period, and provides accurate data basis for the power department.
4. According to the invention, the predicted power demand data of the specified period of the special transformer terminal user and the power consumption of each period of the specified period of the special transformer terminal user are compared, the power demand response precision evaluation coefficient is obtained through analysis, and the power demand response precision evaluation coefficient is fed back, so that the power consumption time is reasonably adjusted, the power consumption structure is optimized, the energy cost is saved, and the aims of energy conservation and emission reduction are fulfilled.
Drawings
The invention will be further described with reference to the accompanying drawings, in which embodiments do not constitute any limitation of the invention, and other drawings can be obtained by one of ordinary skill in the art without inventive effort from the following drawings.
FIG. 1 is a schematic flow chart of the method of the present invention.
Detailed Description
The following description of the embodiments of the present invention will be made clearly and completely with reference to the accompanying drawings, in which it is apparent that the embodiments described are only some embodiments of the present invention, but not all embodiments. All other embodiments, which can be made by those skilled in the art based on the embodiments of the invention without making any inventive effort, are intended to be within the scope of the invention.
Referring to fig. 1, the invention provides a power demand response service analysis method based on a private transformer terminal user, which comprises the following steps: s1, acquiring historical power data: and acquiring electricity consumption data of the special transformer terminal user, wherein the electricity consumption data comprise each daily electricity consumption of each historical period and each electricity consumption of each historical period.
The specific analysis method for acquiring the historical power data comprises the following steps: reading the power consumption of each history period, each day and each period of the special-change terminal user from the management databaseWhereinRepresent the firstThe number of the individual history periods,，Represent the firstThe number of the day is given to the person,，Represent the firstThe number of the time period(s),The daily electricity consumption of each history period of the special transformer terminal user is obtained by accumulating the daily electricity consumption of each history period of the special transformer terminal user, and is recorded asSubstituting it into formulaObtaining the electricity consumption of each history period of the special transformer terminal user; By accumulating and calculating the historical electricity consumption, the future electricity consumption demand can be predicted more accurately, and the power dispatching and response measures can be made in advance.
S2, historical electricity utilization characteristic analysis: and analyzing the power utilization characteristic data of the special transformer terminal user according to the power utilization data of the special transformer terminal user, wherein the power utilization characteristic data comprise power utilization indexes of power utilization peaks in seasons, power utilization indexes of power utilization peaks in time periods, power utilization indexes of power utilization valleys in time periods and power utilization indexes of holidays in all sections.
The specific analysis method of the power consumption index of the special transformer terminal user in the power consumption peak period and the power consumption index of the special transformer terminal user in the valley period comprises the following steps: the first step, the electricity consumption of each history period of the special transformer terminal user is read, and divided according to seasons, the electricity consumption of each history period in each season is accumulated, the electricity consumption of each season of the special transformer terminal user is obtained, and the electricity consumption is recorded asWhereinRepresent the firstThe number of the seasons of the time,The average seasonal electricity consumption of the special transformer terminal user is obtained by averaging the seasonal electricity consumption of the special transformer terminal user, and is recorded asSubstituting it into formulaObtaining the electricity index of each season of the special-change terminal user; Seasonal analysis is carried out on the electricity consumption data of the user, so that electricity consumption habits and demand changes of the user in different seasons can be known, and reference basis is provided for power dispatching and resource planning.
Secondly, constructing a two-dimensional coordinate system by taking each season as an abscissa and each season electricity index as an ordinate, further marking a plurality of points in the constructed two-dimensional coordinate system according to the electricity indexes corresponding to each season to form a season-electricity index curve, respectively reading the seasons corresponding to the maximum value and the minimum value of the electricity indexes from the season-electricity index curve, recording the seasons as electricity peak seasons and electricity valley seasons of the special-change terminal users, and recording the electricity peak seasons of the special-change terminal users as electricity indexes of the special-change terminal usersThe electricity consumption index in the electricity consumption low-valley season is recorded as; By drawing the season-electricity index curve, the peak and valley seasons of electricity consumption of the user can be clearly seen, the power scheduling scheme is optimized, the power resources are reasonably distributed, and the running efficiency of the power grid is improved.
S3, electricity demand prediction: and analyzing the power utilization characteristic data of the special transformer terminal user to obtain power utilization data of the special transformer terminal user, and further obtaining power utilization required by the special transformer terminal user in a specified period, wherein the power utilization data comprise power utilization indexes of the power utilization peak period in the specified period, power utilization indexes of the power utilization valley period in the specified period, power utilization indexes of seasons in the specified period and power utilization indexes of holidays in the specified period.
The specific analysis method of the power consumption index of the special transformer terminal user in the power consumption peak period and the power consumption index of the special transformer terminal user in the valley period comprises the following steps: reading power consumption of special transformer terminal user in each history periodAccording to the method for constructing the season-electricity index curve, each historical period is taken as an abscissa, each historical period electricity index is taken as an ordinate, a period-electricity index curve is formed, the period corresponding to the maximum value and the minimum value of the electricity index is read from the period-electricity index curve, the period is recorded as the electricity consumption peak period and the electricity consumption valley period of a special change terminal user, and the electricity consumption index of the electricity consumption peak period and the electricity consumption valley period of the special change terminal user are respectively recorded as、; By identifying the electricity consumption peak period and the electricity consumption valley period, the electricity consumption situation of the special transformer terminal user can be more comprehensively known, the energy utilization is optimized, the energy utilization efficiency is improved, and an effective electricity consumption management reference is provided for an electric power management department and a user.
The specific analysis method of the holiday electricity index of the special transformer terminal user comprises the following steps: reading each daily electricity consumption of each history period of special-purpose terminal userThe holidays in each history period are extracted from the management database, the daily electricity consumption of each history period of the private transformer terminal user is compared with the holidays, and the daily electricity consumption of each holiday in each history period of the private transformer terminal user is screened out and recorded asWhereinRepresent the firstThe number of the holidays of each festival,The average power consumption of the holidays in the history period of the special transformer terminal user is obtained by averaging the power consumption of the holidays in each history period of the special transformer terminal user and recorded asSubstituting it into formulaObtaining the holiday electricity consumption index of each section of the special transformer terminal user，Representing a number of historical time periods; according to the holiday electricity consumption index, the electricity consumption efficiency of a special transformer terminal user during the holiday can be evaluated, the characteristics and the trend of the holiday electricity consumption can be found, and data support is provided for improving the electricity consumption efficiency, saving energy and reducing emission.
The specific process of the power consumption data required by the special transformer terminal user in the specified period is as follows: first, the electricity consumption index of electricity consumption peak time is read respectivelyElectricity consumption index in electricity consumption valley periodElectricity consumption index for holidays of each sectionDividing the specified period into a plurality of time periods according to the set time length, recording the time periods as set time periods, screening out the set time periods belonging to the electricity utilization peak time periods in the specified period, and accumulating the corresponding electricity utilization indexes to obtain the electricity utilization index of the electricity utilization peak time periods of the specified periodMeanwhile, the electricity utilization index of the electricity utilization valley period of the specified period is obtained by analysis according to the method of analyzing the electricity utilization index of the peak period of the specified period, and is recorded as; By analyzing the electricity indexes of the electricity consumption peak period and the electricity consumption valley period in the specified period, the electricity consumption behavior and the demand condition of the user can be better known, important data support is provided for the power management department, and electricity consumption planning and management optimization are promoted.
A second step of judging whether the specified period is in a peak electricity consumption season, if the specified period is in the peak electricity consumption season, reading the peak electricity consumption index of the period, recording the peak electricity consumption index as the season electricity consumption index of the specified period, if the specified period is not in the peak electricity consumption season, further judging whether the specified period is in a valley electricity consumption season, if the specified period is in the valley electricity consumption season, reading the valley electricity consumption index of the period, recording the season electricity consumption index of the specified period as the season electricity consumption index of the specified period, if the specified period is not in the valley electricity consumption season, recording the season electricity consumption index of the specified period as1, and counting the season electricity consumption index of the specified period as the season electricity consumption index of the specified period; By judging whether the specified period is in the electricity consumption peak season or the electricity consumption valley season, the electricity consumption situation and the electricity consumption index change trend in different seasons can be known more accurately, and a reference basis is provided for seasonal electricity consumption planning and energy management.
Reading holidays in each period from the management database, matching the specified period with the holidays in each period, screening to obtain holidays in each specified period, screening power utilization indexes corresponding to holidays in each specified period from power utilization indexes of holidays in each period of a special transformer terminal user, accumulating the power utilization indexes to obtain power utilization indexes of holidays in each specified period, and marking the power utilization indexes as; And counting the electricity indexes of all holidays in a specified period, facilitating the power departments to evaluate electricity requirements of the holidays, and making corresponding electricity management measures, such as adjusting an electricity supply plan according to the electricity indexes of the holidays, preventing electricity consumption peaks and the like.
The specific analysis method for the required electricity consumption of the specified period of the special transformer terminal user comprises the following steps: respectively reading the electricity indexes of the peak periods of the electricity consumption of the designated periodElectricity index for specified period electricity consumption valley periodSeason electricity index of specified periodElectricity consumption index for holidays in specified periodSubstituting it into formulaObtaining the required electricity consumption of the specified period of the special transformer terminal userWhereinRespectively representing the set power consumption index in the peak period, the power consumption index in the valley period, the power consumption index in the season of the peak period and the weight factors of the power consumption index in the holiday,A proportionality constant between the set electricity consumption index and the set electricity consumption amount is represented; by calculating the required electricity consumption of a specified period, the electricity department can more accurately predict the electricity consumption of a user, make a corresponding electricity consumption scheduling plan, adjust an electricity consumption supply strategy and ensure the operation stability of an electric power system.
It should be noted that, in one embodiment,It may be set to 0.3,It may be set to 0.2,It may be set to 0.3,The power consumption peak time period and the whole power consumption demand in the power consumption peak season are larger, and the influence on the load of the power grid is larger, so that more importance and regulation are needed, and the power consumption index in the power consumption peak time period and the power consumption index in the power consumption peak season are higher in weight.
S4, detecting actual power consumption data: and detecting the power consumption of each set period of the specified period of the special transformer terminal user to obtain the actual power consumption of the specified period of the special transformer terminal user.
The specific analysis method for detecting the actual electricity consumption data comprises the following steps: detecting the electricity consumption of the user of the special transformer terminal in each set period of the specified period through the ammeter, and recording the electricity consumption of the user of the special transformer terminal in each set period of the specified periodWhereinRepresent the firstThe number of the set period of time,By the formulaObtaining the actual power consumption of the special transformer terminal user in the appointed period; The electricity consumption of the special transformer terminal user is detected by the electricity meter, so that the electricity consumption condition of the user in each set period in a specified period can be monitored in real time, and the electricity consumption requirement and behavior of the user can be mastered in time.
S5, response accuracy evaluation: and comparing the predicted required electricity consumption of the specific transformer terminal user in the specified period with the actual electricity consumption of the specific transformer terminal user in the specified period, analyzing to obtain an electric power demand response precision evaluation coefficient, and feeding back the electric power demand response precision evaluation coefficient.
The specific analysis method of the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient comprises the following steps: respectively reading actual power consumption of specific variable terminal user in specified periodDemand electricity consumption of special transformer terminal user specified periodBringing it into the formulaObtaining an evaluation coefficient of power demand response accuracy; By calculating the precision evaluation coefficient of the power demand response, the power department can be helped to know the power consumption behavior and the demand condition of the user deeply, and an important basis is provided for formulating an effective power consumption management strategy and regulation measures, so that the efficient operation of the power consumption system and the reasonable utilization of resources are realized.
The specific method for feeding back the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient comprises the following steps: reading an electric power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient, comparing the electric power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient with a preset response accuracy evaluation coefficient threshold, if the electric power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient is larger than or equal to the preset response accuracy evaluation coefficient threshold, indicating that the electric power demand response accuracy is qualified, and if the electric power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient is smaller than the preset response accuracy evaluation coefficient threshold, indicating that the electric power demand response accuracy is unqualified, and feeding back the electric power demand response accuracy; by comparing the precision evaluation coefficient of the power demand response with a preset response precision evaluation coefficient threshold, whether the power consumption behavior of a user meets the expected requirement or not can be effectively evaluated, and unqualified power consumption behaviors can be fed back and adjusted in time, so that the power consumption efficiency is improved, energy conservation and emission reduction are promoted, and the safe and stable operation of a power system is ensured.
According to the invention, the power utilization characteristic data of the private transformer terminal user is obtained according to the power utilization data analysis of the private transformer terminal user, the power utilization demand data of the private transformer terminal user in the specified period is obtained according to the power utilization characteristic data analysis of the private transformer terminal user, the power utilization demand of the private transformer terminal user in the specified period is further obtained, the actual power utilization of the private transformer terminal user in the specified period is obtained by detecting the power utilization of the private transformer terminal user in each set period, the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient is further obtained by comparing and analyzing, and feedback is carried out, so that the fine management can be realized, the power utilization efficiency and response capability are improved, and better power management and service support are provided for the user.
While embodiments of the present invention have been shown and described above, it should be understood that the above embodiments are illustrative and not to be construed as limiting the invention, and that variations, modifications, alternatives, and variations may be made to the above embodiments by one of ordinary skill in the art within the scope of the invention, which is also intended to be covered by the present invention.
Claims (5)
1. The power demand response business analysis method based on the private transformer terminal user is characterized by comprising the following steps:
S1, acquiring historical power data: reading the electricity consumption of each history period and each day of each time period of the private transformer terminal user, and analyzing to obtain electricity consumption data of the private transformer terminal user, wherein the electricity consumption data comprises the electricity consumption of each history period and each daily electricity consumption of each history period of the private transformer terminal user;
S2, historical electricity utilization characteristic analysis: analyzing the power utilization characteristic data of the special transformer terminal user according to the power utilization data of the special transformer terminal user, wherein the power utilization characteristic data comprise power utilization peak seasons, power utilization valley seasons power utilization indexes, power utilization peak periods, valley period power utilization indexes and holiday power utilization indexes of each section;
S3, electricity demand prediction: analyzing the power utilization characteristic data of the special transformer terminal user to obtain power utilization data of the special transformer terminal user, and further obtaining power utilization required by the special transformer terminal user in a specified period, wherein the power utilization data comprise power utilization indexes of the power utilization peak period in the specified period, power utilization indexes of the power utilization valley period in the specified period, power utilization indexes of seasons in the specified period and power utilization indexes of holidays in the specified period;
S4, detecting actual power consumption data: detecting the electricity consumption of each set period of the specified period of the special transformer terminal user to obtain the actual electricity consumption of the specified period of the special transformer terminal user;
S5, response accuracy evaluation: comparing the predicted required electricity consumption of the specific transformer terminal user in the specified period with the actual electricity consumption of the specific transformer terminal user in the specified period, analyzing to obtain an electric power requirement response precision evaluation coefficient, and feeding back the electric power requirement response precision evaluation coefficient;
The specific method for dividing the power consumption index of the power consumption peak season of the special transformer terminal user comprises the following steps:
The first step, the electricity consumption of each history period of the special transformer terminal user is read, and divided according to seasons, the electricity consumption of each history period in each season is accumulated, the electricity consumption of each season of the special transformer terminal user is obtained, and the electricity consumption is recorded as WhereinRepresent the firstThe number of the seasons of the time,The average seasonal electricity consumption of the special transformer terminal user is obtained by averaging the seasonal electricity consumption of the special transformer terminal user, and is recorded asSubstituting it into formulaObtaining the electricity index of each season of the special-change terminal user；
Secondly, constructing a two-dimensional coordinate system by taking each season as an abscissa and each season electricity index as an ordinate, further marking a plurality of points in the constructed two-dimensional coordinate system according to the electricity indexes corresponding to each season to form a season-electricity index curve, respectively reading the seasons corresponding to the maximum value and the minimum value of the electricity indexes from the season-electricity index curve, recording the seasons as electricity peak seasons and electricity valley seasons of the special-change terminal users, and recording the electricity peak seasons of the special-change terminal users as electricity indexes of the special-change terminal usersThe electricity consumption index in the electricity consumption low-valley season is recorded as；
The specific analysis method of the power consumption index of the special transformer terminal user in the power consumption peak period and the power consumption index of the special transformer terminal user in the valley period comprises the following steps:
Reading power consumption of special transformer terminal user in each history period According to the method for constructing the season-electricity index curve, each historical period is taken as an abscissa, each historical period electricity index is taken as an ordinate, a period-electricity index curve is formed, the period corresponding to the maximum value and the minimum value of the electricity index is read from the period-electricity index curve, the period is recorded as the electricity consumption peak period and the electricity consumption valley period of a special change terminal user, and the electricity consumption index of the electricity consumption peak period and the electricity consumption valley period of the special change terminal user are respectively recorded as、；
The specific analysis method of the holiday electricity index of the special transformer terminal user comprises the following steps:
reading each daily electricity consumption of each history period of special-purpose terminal user The holidays in each history period are extracted from the management database, the daily electricity consumption of each history period of the private transformer terminal user is compared with the holidays, and the daily electricity consumption of each holiday in each history period of the private transformer terminal user is screened out and recorded asWhereinRepresent the firstThe number of the holidays of each festival,The average power consumption of the holidays in the history period of the special transformer terminal user is obtained by averaging the power consumption of the holidays in each history period of the special transformer terminal user and recorded asSubstituting it into formulaObtaining the holiday electricity consumption index of each section of the special transformer terminal user，Representing the number of historical time periods
The specific process of the power consumption data required by the special transformer terminal user in the specified period is as follows:
First, the electricity consumption index of electricity consumption peak time is read respectively Electricity consumption index in electricity consumption valley periodElectricity consumption index for holidays of each sectionDividing the specified period into a plurality of time periods according to the set time length, recording the time periods as set time periods, screening out the set time periods belonging to the electricity utilization peak time periods in the specified period, and accumulating the corresponding electricity utilization indexes to obtain the electricity utilization index of the electricity utilization peak time periods of the specified periodMeanwhile, the electricity utilization index of the electricity utilization valley period of the specified period is obtained by analysis according to the method of analyzing the electricity utilization index of the peak period of the specified period, and is recorded as；
A second step of judging whether the specified period is in a peak electricity consumption season, if the specified period is in the peak electricity consumption season, reading the peak electricity consumption index of the period, recording the peak electricity consumption index as the season electricity consumption index of the specified period, if the specified period is not in the peak electricity consumption season, further judging whether the specified period is in a valley electricity consumption season, if the specified period is in the valley electricity consumption season, reading the valley electricity consumption index of the period, recording the season electricity consumption index of the specified period as the season electricity consumption index of the specified period, if the specified period is not in the valley electricity consumption season, recording the season electricity consumption index of the specified period as1, and counting the season electricity consumption index of the specified period as the season electricity consumption index of the specified period；
Reading holidays in each period from the management database, matching the specified period with the holidays in each period, screening to obtain holidays in each specified period, screening power utilization indexes corresponding to holidays in each specified period from power utilization indexes of holidays in each period of a special transformer terminal user, accumulating the power utilization indexes to obtain power utilization indexes of holidays in each specified period, and marking the power utilization indexes as；
The specific analysis method for the required electricity consumption of the specified period of the special transformer terminal user comprises the following steps:
Respectively reading the electricity indexes of the peak periods of the electricity consumption of the designated period Electricity index for specified period electricity consumption valley periodSeason electricity index of specified periodElectricity consumption index for holidays in specified periodSubstituting it into formulaObtaining the required electricity consumption of the specified period of the special transformer terminal userWhereinRespectively representing the set power consumption index of the peak period of the power consumption of the specified period, the power consumption index of the valley period of the power consumption of the specified period, the power consumption index of the season of the specified period and the weighting factors of the power consumption index of the holiday of the specified period,Indicating a proportionality constant between the set electricity consumption index and the electricity consumption amount.
2. The method for analyzing the power demand response business based on the special transformer terminal user according to claim 1, wherein the method comprises the following steps: the specific analysis method for acquiring the historical power data comprises the following steps:
Reading the power consumption of each history period, each day and each period of the special-change terminal user from the management database WhereinRepresent the firstThe number of the individual history periods,，Represent the firstThe number of the day is given to the person,，Represent the firstThe number of the time period(s),The daily electricity consumption of each history period of the special transformer terminal user is obtained by accumulating the daily electricity consumption of each history period of the special transformer terminal user, and is recorded asSubstituting it into formulaObtaining the electricity consumption of each history period of the special transformer terminal user。
3. The method for analyzing the power demand response business based on the special transformer terminal user according to claim 1, wherein the method comprises the following steps: the specific analysis method for detecting the actual electricity consumption data comprises the following steps:
detecting the electricity consumption of the user of the special transformer terminal in each set period of the specified period through the ammeter, and recording the electricity consumption of the user of the special transformer terminal in each set period of the specified period WhereinRepresent the firstThe number of the set period of time,By the formulaObtaining the actual power consumption of the special transformer terminal user in the appointed period。
4. The method for analyzing the power demand response business based on the special transformer terminal user according to claim 1, wherein the method comprises the following steps: the specific analysis method of the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient comprises the following steps:
respectively reading actual power consumption of specific variable terminal user in specified period Demand electricity consumption of special transformer terminal user specified periodBringing it into the formulaObtaining an evaluation coefficient of power demand response accuracy。
5. The method for analyzing the power demand response business based on the special transformer terminal user according to claim 1, wherein the method comprises the following steps: the specific method for feeding back the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient comprises the following steps:
the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient is read, the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient is compared with a preset response accuracy evaluation coefficient threshold, if the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient is larger than or equal to the preset response accuracy evaluation coefficient threshold, the power demand response accuracy is qualified, and if the power demand response accuracy evaluation coefficient is smaller than the preset response accuracy evaluation coefficient threshold, the power demand response accuracy is unqualified, and the feedback is performed.
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