CN117875743A - Method and system for reporting and replying disc before date based on new energy spot market - Google Patents
Method and system for reporting and replying disc before date based on new energy spot market Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a method and a system for reporting a compound disc before a new energy spot market day, wherein the method comprises the following steps: under the same application strategy, acquiring planned settlement electric charge and actual calculation electric charge based on the prediction data and the actual data respectively; quantitatively analyzing the deviation of each factor based on the planned settled electric charge and the actually calculated electric charge to obtain the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price deviation of the electric charge; obtaining benefit comparison under different application strategies based on actual data; and taking the output deviation influence, the electric charge price deviation influence and the gain contrast as complex disc analysis results. The technical scheme of the invention provides a method and a system for reporting and replying a disc before a new energy spot market day, which can evaluate a reporting strategy and a forecast data process for replying a disc according to the clearing result of a power plant, and meet the requirements of optimizing the forecast result and evaluating the reporting strategy in a transaction scene.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of spot transaction of a new energy power generation side in an electric power market, in particular to a method and a system for reporting a repeated disc before a day based on the new energy spot market.
Background
The method of reporting the power generation capacity of the new energy spot market in the day-ahead market gradually becomes an important power generation mode along with new energy, and the power generation capacity reporting strategy of the new energy spot market in the day-ahead market of electric power is also becoming more and more important. The basic condition of the power spot market is the basis for formulating a reporting strategy, the power spot market is a place for carrying out power transaction based on market supply and price, and a power supply enterprise needs to report own power generation capacity on the market. Therefore, it is very important to know information such as supply and demand relations, power generation costs, and market prices of the market. Through analysis and comparison of various market data, a more scientific and reasonable reporting strategy can be formulated.
Therefore, the influence of the predicted data on the benefits is required to be measured by a multi-disc mode aiming at the benefit difference of the transverse comparison different reporting strategies and the longitudinal comparison unified reporting strategy under the same clearing result, so that the transaction result is measured.
Disclosure of Invention
The technical scheme of the invention provides a method and a system for reporting a composite disc before a new energy spot market day, which aim to solve the problem of evaluating a reporting strategy and a forecast data process composite disc according to the clearing result of a power plant.
In order to solve the problems, the invention provides a method for reporting a compound disc before a new energy spot market day, which comprises the following steps:
under the same application strategy, acquiring planned settlement electric charge and actual calculation electric charge based on the prediction data and the actual data respectively;
quantitatively analyzing the deviation of each factor based on the planned settled electric charge and the actually calculated electric charge to obtain the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price deviation of the electric charge;
obtaining benefit comparison under different application strategies based on actual data;
and taking the output deviation influence, the electric charge price deviation influence and the gain contrast as complex disc analysis results.
Preferably, the formula of the planned settlement electricity fee is:
wherein:
preferably, the formula for actually calculating the electricity charge is:
wherein:
preferably, the force bias effect includes:
output deviation = actual output-day-ahead (output) prediction
Electric charge deviation = actual calculated electric charge-planned settlement electric charge
Preferably, the calculating the electric charge based on the plan and the actually calculating the electric charge quantitatively analyzes the deviation of each factor to obtain the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge, including calculating the deviation of the electric charge caused by the predicted deviation of the price of the electric charge before the day:
and calculating the electric charge A, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electricity fee deviation = electricity fee a-plan settlement of electricity fee.
Preferably, the calculating the electric charge based on the plan and the actually calculating the electric charge quantitatively analyzes the deviation of each factor, and obtains the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge, including calculating the deviation of the electric charge caused by the predicted deviation of the real-time price:
and calculating the electric charge B, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electricity fee deviation = electricity fee B-electricity fee a.
Preferably, the calculating the electric charge based on the plan and the actually calculating the electric charge quantitatively analyzes the deviation of each factor, and obtains the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge, including calculating the deviation of the electric charge due to the predicted deviation of the output before the day:
and calculating the electric charge C, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electric charge deviation = electric charge C-electric charge B;
calculating the electricity fee deviation caused by the real-time output prediction deviation:
electricity fee deviation = actual settlement electricity fee-electricity fee C.
Based on one aspect of the invention, the invention provides a system for reporting a composite disc before a new energy spot market day, which comprises the following steps:
the first execution unit is used for acquiring a plan settlement electric charge and an actual calculation electric charge based on the prediction data and the actual data respectively under the same application strategy; quantitatively analyzing the deviation of each factor based on the planned settled electric charge and the actually calculated electric charge to obtain the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price deviation of the electric charge;
the second execution unit is used for acquiring benefit comparison under different application strategies based on actual data;
and the result unit is used for comparing the output deviation influence, the electric charge price deviation influence and the income as a multi-disc analysis result.
Preferably, the formula of the planned settlement electricity fee is:
wherein:
preferably, the formula for actually calculating the electricity charge is:
wherein:
preferably, the force bias effect includes:
output deviation = actual output-day-ahead (output) prediction
Electric charge deviation = actual calculated electric charge-planned settlement electric charge
Preferably, the calculating the electric charge based on the plan and the actually calculating the electric charge quantitatively analyzes the deviation of each factor to obtain the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge, including calculating the deviation of the electric charge caused by the predicted deviation of the price of the electric charge before the day:
and calculating the electric charge A, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electricity fee deviation = electricity fee a-plan settlement of electricity fee.
Preferably, the calculating the electric charge based on the plan and the actually calculating the electric charge quantitatively analyzes the deviation of each factor, and obtains the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge, including calculating the deviation of the electric charge caused by the predicted deviation of the real-time price:
and calculating the electric charge B, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electricity fee deviation = electricity fee B-electricity fee a.
Preferably, the calculating the electric charge based on the plan and the actually calculating the electric charge quantitatively analyzes the deviation of each factor, and obtains the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge, including calculating the deviation of the electric charge due to the predicted deviation of the output before the day:
and calculating the electric charge C, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electric charge deviation = electric charge C-electric charge B;
calculating the electricity fee deviation caused by the real-time output prediction deviation:
electricity fee deviation = actual settlement electricity fee-electricity fee C.
According to one aspect of the present invention, there is provided a computer readable storage medium, wherein the computer readable storage medium stores a computer program for executing a method for reporting a composite disc based on a new energy spot market.
According to an aspect of the present invention, there is provided an electronic apparatus, comprising: a processor and a memory; wherein,
a memory for storing processor-executable instructions;
and the processor is used for reading the executable instructions from the memory and executing the instructions to realize a method for reporting the composite disc based on the new energy spot market before date.
The technical scheme of the invention provides a method and a system for reporting a compound disc before a new energy spot market, wherein the method comprises the following steps: under the same application strategy, acquiring planned settlement electric charge and actual calculation electric charge based on the prediction data and the actual data respectively; quantitative analysis is carried out on the deviation of each factor based on planned settlement of the electric charge and actual calculation of the electric charge, and the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge are obtained; obtaining benefit comparison under different application strategies based on actual data; and comparing the output deviation influence, the electric charge price deviation influence and the income as a complex disc analysis result. The technical scheme of the invention provides a method and a system for reporting and replying a disc before a new energy spot market day, which can evaluate a reporting strategy and a forecast data process for replying a disc according to the clearing result of a power plant, and meet the requirements of optimizing the forecast result and evaluating the reporting strategy in a transaction scene.
Drawings
Exemplary embodiments of the present invention may be more completely understood in consideration of the following drawings:
FIG. 1 is a flow chart of a method for reporting a composite disc based on a new energy spot market pre-day in accordance with a preferred embodiment of the present invention;
FIG. 2 is a schematic illustration of the same strategy bias analysis according to the preferred embodiment of the present invention;
FIG. 3 is a diagram showing the gain versus the different strategies according to the preferred embodiment of the present invention; and
fig. 4 is a system configuration diagram of a new energy spot market day-ahead reporting complex disc according to a preferred embodiment of the present invention.
Detailed Description
The exemplary embodiments of the present invention will now be described with reference to the accompanying drawings, however, the present invention may be embodied in many different forms and is not limited to the examples described herein, which are provided to fully and completely disclose the present invention and fully convey the scope of the invention to those skilled in the art. The terminology used in the exemplary embodiments illustrated in the accompanying drawings is not intended to be limiting of the invention. In the drawings, like elements/components are referred to by like reference numerals.
Unless otherwise indicated, terms (including technical and scientific terms) used herein have the same meaning as commonly understood by one of ordinary skill in the art. In addition, it will be understood that terms defined in commonly used dictionaries should be interpreted as having a meaning that is consistent with their meaning in the context of the relevant art and will not be interpreted in an idealized or overly formal sense.
Fig. 1 is a flowchart of a method for reporting a composite disc based on a new energy spot market day-ahead according to a preferred embodiment of the present invention.
In the electric power market, a new energy power generation side carries out a daily price reporting strategy in spot transaction, the strategy is formulated to depend on output prediction and price prediction of the new energy power generation side, and the final strategy result directly influences the final income of a station, so that the strategy can be effectively evaluated. The invention evaluates the positive and negative influences of the reporting strategy and the forecast data on the final benefits through the data multiplexing.
The invention provides a method and a system for reporting and re-coiling a new energy spot market before the day, which can evaluate reporting strategies and forecast data processes according to the clearing result of a power plant. The requirements of optimizing the prediction result and evaluating the reporting strategy in the transaction scene are met.
The invention provides a method for reporting a compound disc before a day based on new energy spot market, which comprises the following steps:
step 101: under the same application strategy, acquiring planned settlement electric charge and actual calculation electric charge based on the prediction data and the actual data respectively;
step 102: quantitative analysis is carried out on the deviation of each factor based on planned settlement of the electric charge and actual calculation of the electric charge, and the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge are obtained;
in the complex disc analysis scheme of the invention, the complex disc analysis is wholly divided into 2 aspects of complex disc analysis:
and (3) analyzing the same strategy deviation: that is, under the condition of using the same strategy, the deviation of the estimated income through the predicted data and the actual income after the income is cleared in the declaration is analyzed, and the deviation caused by each factor is quantitatively analyzed through attribution analysis. As shown in fig. 2.
Step 103: obtaining benefit comparison under different application strategies based on actual data;
the invention performs the benefit comparison of different strategies: i.e. the actual clearing data after clearing, and the electric charge gain difference after different strategies are adopted is compared, as shown in fig. 3.
Step 104: and comparing the output deviation influence, the electric charge price deviation influence and the income as a complex disc analysis result.
Preferably, the formula for planning settlement of the electric charge is:
wherein:
the invention aims at a single time point, and a plan settlement electric charge calculation formula is as follows:
wherein:
here->According to quotation strategy->And P i Day-ahead price prediction Obtained.
Here->According to quotation strategy->And P i Day-ahead price prediction Obtained.
Here, theAccording to quotation strategy->And P i Real-time price prediction It is noted that this term may not be considered in optimizing, but should be considered in calculating the settlement.
Preferably, the formula for actually calculating the electricity charge is:
wherein:
for a single time point, the actual settlement electric charge calculation formula is as follows:
wherein:
here->According to quotation strategy->And->Obtaining
Here->According to quotation strategy,And p is as follows i Current price Obtained.
Here->According to quotation strategy->And p is as follows i Real-time price Obtained.
Preferably, the force bias effect comprises:
output deviation = actual output-day-ahead (output) prediction
Electric charge deviation = actual calculated electric charge-planned settlement electric charge
The invention performs profile index calculation:
output deviation = actual output-day-ahead (output) prediction
Electric charge deviation = actual electric charge-planned electric charge
Preferably, the deviation of each factor is quantitatively analyzed based on the planned settled electric charge and the actually calculated electric charge, and the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price deviation of the electric charge are obtained, including calculating the deviation of the electric charge caused by the predicted deviation of the price before the day:
and calculating the electric charge A, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electricity fee deviation = electricity fee a-plan settlement of electricity fee.
According to the invention, the power fee deviation attribution analysis is carried out, and the power fee deviation caused by the 'day-ahead price prediction deviation' is calculated:
in the original planned electric charge settlement formula, P is as follows i Day-ahead price prediction Replaced by P i Day-ahead price The electricity fee (noted as electricity fee a) was calculated.
Namely:
here->According to quotation strategy->And->Obtained.
Here->According to quotation strategy->And P i Day-ahead price Obtained.
Here, theAccording to quotation strategy->And P i Real-time price prediction Obtained.
Electricity fee deviation = electricity fee a-planned settlement of electricity fee
Preferably, the deviation of each factor is quantitatively analyzed based on the planned settled electric charge and the actually calculated electric charge, and the influence of the output deviation and the influence of the electric charge price deviation are obtained, including calculating the electric charge deviation caused by the real-time price prediction deviation:
and calculating the electric charge B, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electricity fee deviation = electricity fee B-electricity fee a.
Calculating the electricity fee deviation caused by the 'real-time price prediction deviation':
in the settlement formula of the electric charge A, P is as follows i Real-time price prediction Replaced by P i Real-time price The electric charge (noted as electric charge B) was calculated.
Namely:
here->According to quotation strategy->And P i Day-ahead price Obtained.
Here->According to quotation strategy->And P i Day-ahead price Obtained.
Here, theAccording to quotation strategy->And P i Real-time price Obtained.
Electric charge deviation = electric charge B-electric charge a
Preferably, the deviation of each factor is quantitatively analyzed based on the planned settled electric charge and the actually calculated electric charge, and the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge are obtained, including calculating the deviation of the electric charge caused by the predicted deviation of the output before the day:
and calculating the electric charge C, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electric charge deviation = electric charge C-electric charge B;
calculating the electricity fee deviation caused by the real-time output prediction deviation:
electricity fee deviation = actual settlement electricity fee-electricity fee C.
Calculating the electricity fee deviation caused by the 'day-ahead output prediction deviation':
in the settlement formula of the electric charge B, part of the formulaReplaced by->Calculating electric charge (recorded as electric charge C)
Namely:
here->According to quotation strategy->And P i Day-ahead price Obtaining
Here->According to quotation strategy,And P i Current price Obtained.
Here->According to quotation strategy->And P i Real-time price Obtained.
Electric charge deviation = electric charge C-electric charge B
Calculating the electricity fee deviation caused by the 'real-time output prediction deviation':
electric charge deviation = actual settlement electric charge-electric charge C
The invention provides a method and a system for reporting and re-coiling a new energy spot market before the day, which can evaluate reporting strategies and forecast data processes according to the clearing result of a power plant. The requirements of optimizing the prediction result and evaluating the reporting strategy in the transaction scene are met.
Fig. 4 is a system configuration diagram of a new energy spot market day-ahead reporting complex disc according to a preferred embodiment of the present invention.
As shown in fig. 4, the present invention provides a system for reporting a composite disc before a new energy spot market day, the method comprising:
a first execution unit 401, configured to obtain a planned settlement electric charge and an actual calculated electric charge based on the prediction data and the actual data, respectively, under the same application policy; quantitative analysis is carried out on the deviation of each factor based on planned settlement of the electric charge and actual calculation of the electric charge, and the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge are obtained;
a second execution unit 402, configured to obtain a benefit comparison under different application policies based on actual data;
and a result unit 403, configured to compare the output deviation influence, the electric charge price deviation influence and the income as a complex disc analysis result.
Preferably, the formula of the planned settlement electricity fee is:
wherein:
preferably, the formula for actually calculating the electricity charge is:
wherein:
preferably, the force bias effect includes:
output deviation = actual output-day-ahead (output) prediction
Electric charge deviation = actual calculated electric charge-planned settlement electric charge
Preferably, the calculating the electric charge based on the plan and the actually calculating the electric charge quantitatively analyzes the deviation of each factor to obtain the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge, including calculating the deviation of the electric charge caused by the predicted deviation of the price of the electric charge before the day:
and calculating the electric charge A, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electricity fee deviation = electricity fee a-plan settlement of electricity fee.
Preferably, the calculating the electric charge based on the plan and the actually calculating the electric charge quantitatively analyzes the deviation of each factor, and obtains the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge, including calculating the deviation of the electric charge caused by the predicted deviation of the real-time price:
and calculating the electric charge B, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electricity fee deviation = electricity fee B-electricity fee a.
Preferably, the calculating the electric charge based on the plan and the actually calculating the electric charge quantitatively analyzes the deviation of each factor, and obtains the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge, including calculating the deviation of the electric charge due to the predicted deviation of the output before the day:
and calculating the electric charge C, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electric charge deviation = electric charge C-electric charge B;
calculating the electricity fee deviation caused by the real-time output prediction deviation:
electricity fee deviation = actual settlement electricity fee-electricity fee C.
According to one aspect of the present invention, there is provided a computer readable storage medium, wherein the computer readable storage medium stores a computer program for executing a method for reporting a composite disc based on a new energy spot market.
According to an aspect of the present invention, there is provided an electronic apparatus, comprising: a processor and a memory; wherein,
a memory for storing processor-executable instructions;
and the processor is used for reading the executable instructions from the memory and executing the instructions to realize a method for reporting the composite disc based on the new energy spot market before date.
It will be appreciated by those skilled in the art that embodiments of the present invention may be provided as a method, system, or computer program product. Accordingly, the present invention may take the form of an entirely hardware embodiment, an entirely software embodiment or an embodiment combining software and hardware aspects. Furthermore, the present invention may take the form of a computer program product embodied on one or more computer-usable storage media (including, but not limited to, disk storage, CD-ROM, optical storage, and the like) having computer-usable program code embodied therein. The scheme in the embodiment of the invention can be realized by adopting various computer languages, such as object-oriented programming language Java, an transliteration script language JavaScript and the like.
The present invention is described with reference to flowchart illustrations and/or block diagrams of methods, apparatus (systems) and computer program products according to embodiments of the invention. It will be understood that each flow and/or block of the flowchart illustrations and/or block diagrams, and combinations of flows and/or blocks in the flowchart illustrations and/or block diagrams, can be implemented by computer program instructions. These computer program instructions may be provided to a processor of a general purpose computer, special purpose computer, embedded processor, or other programmable data processing apparatus to produce a machine, such that the instructions, which execute via the processor of the computer or other programmable data processing apparatus, create means for implementing the functions specified in the flowchart flow or flows and/or block diagram block or blocks.
These computer program instructions may also be stored in a computer-readable memory that can direct a computer or other programmable data processing apparatus to function in a particular manner, such that the instructions stored in the computer-readable memory produce an article of manufacture including instruction means which implement the function specified in the flowchart flow or flows and/or block diagram block or blocks.
These computer program instructions may also be loaded onto a computer or other programmable data processing apparatus to cause a series of operational steps to be performed on the computer or other programmable apparatus to produce a computer implemented process such that the instructions which execute on the computer or other programmable apparatus provide steps for implementing the functions specified in the flowchart flow or flows and/or block diagram block or blocks.
While preferred embodiments of the present invention have been described, additional variations and modifications in those embodiments may occur to those skilled in the art once they learn of the basic inventive concepts. It is therefore intended that the following claims be interpreted as including the preferred embodiments and all such alterations and modifications as fall within the scope of the invention.
It will be apparent to those skilled in the art that various modifications and variations can be made to the present invention without departing from the spirit or scope of the invention. Thus, it is intended that the present invention also include such modifications and alterations insofar as they come within the scope of the appended claims or the equivalents thereof.
The invention has been described with reference to a few embodiments. However, as is well known to those skilled in the art, other embodiments than the above disclosed invention are equally possible within the scope of the invention, as defined by the appended patent claims.
Generally, all terms used in the claims are to be interpreted according to their ordinary meaning in the technical field, unless explicitly defined otherwise therein. All references to "a/an/the [ means, component, etc. ]" are to be interpreted openly as referring to at least one instance of said means, component, etc., unless explicitly stated otherwise. The steps of any method disclosed herein do not have to be performed in the exact order disclosed, unless explicitly stated.
Claims (10)
1. A method of reporting a composite disc before a new energy spot market day, the method comprising:
under the same application strategy, acquiring planned settlement electric charge and actual calculation electric charge based on the prediction data and the actual data respectively;
quantitatively analyzing the deviation of each factor based on the planned settled electric charge and the actually calculated electric charge to obtain the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price deviation of the electric charge;
obtaining benefit comparison under different application strategies based on actual data;
and taking the output deviation influence, the electric charge price deviation influence and the gain contrast as complex disc analysis results.
2. The method of claim 1, wherein the formula for planning settlement of the electricity fee is:
wherein:
3. the method of claim 1, wherein the formula for actually calculating the electricity charge is:
wherein:
4. the method of claim 1, the force bias effect comprising:
output deviation = actual output-day-ahead (output) prediction
Electric charge deviation = actual calculated electric charge-planned settlement electric charge
5. The method according to claim 1, wherein the quantitatively analyzing the deviation of each factor based on the planned settled electric charge and the actually calculated electric charge obtains an output deviation influence and an electric charge price deviation influence, including calculating an electric charge deviation caused by a day-ahead price prediction deviation:
and calculating the electric charge A, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electricity fee deviation = electricity fee a-plan settlement of electricity fee.
6. The method according to claim 5, wherein the quantitatively analyzing the deviation of each factor based on the planned settled electric charge and the actually calculated electric charge obtains an output deviation influence and an electric charge price deviation influence, including calculating an electric charge deviation due to a real-time price prediction deviation:
and calculating the electric charge B, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electricity fee deviation = electricity fee B-electricity fee a.
7. The method of claim 6, wherein the quantitatively analyzing the deviation of the factors based on the planned settled electric charge and the actual calculated electric charge to obtain the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price of the electric charge comprises calculating the deviation of the electric charge due to the predicted deviation of the output before the day:
and calculating the electric charge C, wherein the formula is as follows:
wherein:
electric charge deviation = electric charge C-electric charge B;
calculating the electricity fee deviation caused by the real-time output prediction deviation:
electricity fee deviation = actual settlement electricity fee-electricity fee C.
8. A system for reporting a composite disc based on a new energy spot market, the method comprising:
the first execution unit is used for acquiring a plan settlement electric charge and an actual calculation electric charge based on the prediction data and the actual data respectively under the same application strategy; quantitatively analyzing the deviation of each factor based on the planned settled electric charge and the actually calculated electric charge to obtain the influence of the deviation of the output and the influence of the price deviation of the electric charge;
the second execution unit is used for acquiring benefit comparison under different application strategies based on actual data;
and the result unit is used for comparing the output deviation influence, the electric charge price deviation influence and the income as a multi-disc analysis result.
9. A computer readable storage medium, characterized in that the computer readable storage medium stores a computer program for executing the method of any one of claims 1-7.
10. An electronic device, the electronic device comprising: a processor and a memory; wherein,
the memory is used for storing the processor executable instructions;
the processor is configured to read the executable instructions from the memory and execute the instructions to implement the method of any one of claims 1-7.
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