CN117522108A - Nuclear power plant configuration risk management methods, systems and computer storage media - Google Patents
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Abstract
Description
技术领域Technical field
本发明涉及核安全领域,尤其涉及一种核电厂配置风险管理方法、系统及计算机存储介质。The invention relates to the field of nuclear safety, and in particular to a nuclear power plant configuration risk management method, system and computer storage medium.
背景技术Background technique
核电厂在设计运行过程中贯彻纵深防御理念,设置了大量专设安全设施及其支持系统,用于预防和缓解设计基准事故,并采用技术规格书对这些系统的配置进行管理,但技术规格书通常是针对单一设备/系统失效时的风险控制指引。但鉴于核电厂配置情况的多样性、复杂性和时效性,技术规格书并不能有效的控制多重失效的风险。Nuclear power plants implement the concept of defense in depth during the design and operation process, and set up a large number of dedicated safety facilities and their supporting systems to prevent and mitigate design basis accidents, and use technical specifications to manage the configuration of these systems. However, the technical specifications Usually it is a risk control guideline for the failure of a single equipment/system. However, given the diversity, complexity and timeliness of nuclear power plant configurations, technical specifications cannot effectively control the risk of multiple failures.
发明内容Contents of the invention
本发明要解决的技术问题在于,针对现有技术存在的不能有效控制多重失效的风险的缺陷,提供一种核电厂配置风险管理方法、系统及计算机存储介质。The technical problem to be solved by the present invention is to provide a nuclear power plant configuration risk management method, system and computer storage medium in view of the shortcomings of the existing technology that cannot effectively control the risk of multiple failures.
本发明解决其技术问题所采用的技术方案是:构造一种核电厂配置风险管理方法,包括:The technical solution adopted by the present invention to solve the technical problem is to construct a nuclear power plant configuration risk management method, including:
步骤S10,在特定事件发生时,实时获取核电厂当前的运行状态,并根据所述运行状态判断当前是否满足预设的进入条件,其中,所述特定事件包括核电厂发生配置变更、核电厂开展计划性维修;Step S10: When a specific event occurs, obtain the current operating status of the nuclear power plant in real time, and determine whether the preset entry conditions are currently met based on the operating status, where the specific event includes configuration changes in the nuclear power plant, nuclear power plant operations planned maintenance;
步骤S20,在满足所述进入条件时,根据核电厂的风险模型进行配置风险评价,以获取当前的评价结果,所述评价结果包括风险水平值;Step S20: When the entry conditions are met, perform a configuration risk evaluation according to the risk model of the nuclear power plant to obtain the current evaluation results, where the evaluation results include a risk level value;
步骤S30,根据所述特定事件、以及预设的多个风险区和每个风险区对应的风险水平范围值,确定所述当前的风险水平值所对应的当前的风险区;Step S30, determine the current risk area corresponding to the current risk level value based on the specific event, a plurality of preset risk areas and the risk level range value corresponding to each risk area;
步骤S40,根据预设的不同特定事件下每个风险区所对应的风险管理措施,获取当前的风险区所对应的当前的风险管理措施;Step S40: Obtain the current risk management measures corresponding to the current risk area according to the preset risk management measures corresponding to each risk area under different specific events;
步骤S50,输出当前的风险区及当前的风险管理措施。Step S50: Output the current risk area and current risk management measures.
优选地,根据所述运行状态判断是否满足预设的进入条件,包括:Preferably, judging whether preset entry conditions are met according to the operating status includes:
步骤S11,根据所述运行状态,确定当前的受影响设备,所述受影响设备包括停役设备或试验维修活动所涉及的设备;Step S11: Determine the current affected equipment according to the operating status. The affected equipment includes out-of-service equipment or equipment involved in test maintenance activities;
步骤S12,根据预先存储的第一清单、第二清单、第三清单及所述受影响设备,判断是否满足预设的进入条件,其中,所述第一清单为与核电厂配置风险管理大纲相关的系统/设备/构筑物清单,所述第二清单为与核电厂维修规则实施大纲相关的系统/设备/构筑物清单,所述第三清单为与至少一个技术规格书相关的设备清单。Step S12: Determine whether the preset entry conditions are met based on the pre-stored first list, second list, third list and the affected equipment. The first list is related to the nuclear power plant configuration risk management program. A list of systems/equipment/structures, the second list is a list of systems/equipment/structures related to the implementation program of maintenance rules for nuclear power plants, and the third list is a list of equipment related to at least one technical specification.
优选地,所述步骤S12包括:Preferably, the step S12 includes:
判断所述停役设备是否为同时存在于所述第一清单及所述第三清单中的设备,若同时存在,则判断所述技术规格书中针对所述停役设备的管理措施是否不为立即停堆后撤,若不为,则确定满足预设的进入条件;和/或,Determine whether the out-of-service equipment is equipment that exists in both the first list and the third list. If it exists at the same time, determine whether the management measures for the out-of-service equipment in the technical specification are not Shut down and retreat immediately, if not, make sure the preset entry conditions are met; and/or,
判断所述试验维修活动所涉及的设备是否存在于所述第一清单中,若存在,则确定满足预设的进入条件;和/或,Determine whether the equipment involved in the test maintenance activity exists in the first list, and if so, determine that the preset entry conditions are met; and/or,
判断所述试验维修活动所涉及的设备是否存在于所述第二清单,若是,则确定满足预设的进入条件;Determine whether the equipment involved in the test maintenance activity exists in the second list, and if so, determine that the preset entry conditions are met;
判断所述停役设备是否属于所述第三清单中与特定的技术规格书相关的特定设备,若是,则确定满足预设的进入条件。It is determined whether the out-of-service equipment belongs to the specific equipment related to the specific technical specifications in the third list, and if so, it is determined that the preset entry conditions are met.
优选地,所述风险水平值包括瞬时风险水平值及累积风险水平值;Preferably, the risk level value includes an instantaneous risk level value and a cumulative risk level value;
所述步骤S30包括:The step S30 includes:
在所述特定事件为核电厂发生配置变更时,根据预设的多个风险区和每个风险区对应的瞬时风险水平范围值,确定所述当前的瞬时风险水平值所对应的风险区;When the specific event is a configuration change of the nuclear power plant, determine the risk area corresponding to the current instantaneous risk level value based on the multiple preset risk areas and the instantaneous risk level range value corresponding to each risk area;
在所述特定事件为核电厂开展计划性维修时,根据预设的多个风险区和每个风险区对应的累积风险水平范围值,确定所述当前的累积风险水平值所对应的风险区。When the specific event is to carry out planned maintenance for the nuclear power plant, the risk area corresponding to the current cumulative risk level value is determined based on the preset multiple risk areas and the cumulative risk level range value corresponding to each risk area.
优选地,所述预设的多个风险区包括风险不可接受区、风险管理区、正常控制区;Preferably, the plurality of preset risk areas include an unacceptable risk area, a risk management area, and a normal control area;
在所述步骤S50中,所述输出所确定的所述风险区的步骤,包括:In step S50, the step of outputting the determined risk area includes:
根据所述多个风险区分别所对应的颜色,确定当前的风险区所对应的颜色,并采用所确定的颜色显示当前的所述风险区。According to the colors corresponding to the plurality of risk areas, the color corresponding to the current risk area is determined, and the current risk area is displayed using the determined color.
优选地,所述评价结果还包括允许配置时间;Preferably, the evaluation results also include the allowed configuration time;
所述步骤S40包括:The step S40 includes:
在所述特定事件为核电厂发生配置变更时,若当前的风险区为风险不可接受区,则所对应的风险管理措施为机组立即后撤至安全状态;若当前的风险区为风险管理区,则所对应的风险管理措施为进入运行决策流程及在所述允许配置时间内跟踪停役设备的故障处理;若当前的风险区为正常控制区,则所对应的风险管理措施为正常执行日常工作;When the specific event is a configuration change in a nuclear power plant, if the current risk area is an unacceptable risk area, the corresponding risk management measure is to immediately evacuate the unit to a safe state; if the current risk area is a risk management area, The corresponding risk management measures are to enter the operation decision-making process and track the troubleshooting of out-of-service equipment within the allowed configuration time; if the current risk area is a normal control area, the corresponding risk management measures are to perform daily work normally. ;
在所述特定事件为核电厂开展计划性维修时,若当前的风险区为风险不可接受区,则所对应的风险管理措施为立即调整维修计划;若当前的风险区为风险管理区,则所对应的风险管理措施为进入大修决策流程及在所述允许配置时间内跟踪后续的计划调整;若当前的风险区为正常控制区,则所对应的风险管理措施为按照计划开展维修。When the specific event described is a planned maintenance for a nuclear power plant, if the current risk area is an unacceptable risk area, the corresponding risk management measure is to immediately adjust the maintenance plan; if the current risk area is a risk management area, then the corresponding risk management measure is The corresponding risk management measure is to enter the overhaul decision-making process and track subsequent plan adjustments within the allowed configuration time; if the current risk area is a normal control area, the corresponding risk management measure is to carry out maintenance according to the plan.
优选地,在所述步骤S50之后,还包括:Preferably, after step S50, it also includes:
步骤S60,根据核电厂当前的运行状态,判断当前是否满足预设的退出条件,若是,则结束。Step S60: Based on the current operating status of the nuclear power plant, determine whether the preset exit conditions are currently met. If so, end.
优选地,在所述步骤S60中,判断当前是否满足预设的退出条件,包括下列中的至少一个:Preferably, in step S60, it is determined whether preset exit conditions are currently met, including at least one of the following:
针对所述停役设备的维修活动已完成,且在特定时间内未发生新的特定事件;Maintenance activities for the out-of-service equipment have been completed and no new specific events have occurred within a specific period of time;
针对所述试验维修活动所涉及的设备的预防性、纠正性维修活动已完成,且在特定时间内未发生新的特定事件;The preventive and corrective maintenance activities for the equipment involved in the test maintenance activities have been completed, and no new specific events occurred within a specific period of time;
所述第一清单中的系统/设备/构筑物均处于可用状态。The systems/equipment/structures in the first list are all in a usable state.
核电厂进入应急事故管理规程。Nuclear power plant enters emergency accident management procedures.
本发明还构造一种核电厂配置风险管理系统,包括处理器及存储有计算机程序的存储器,所述处理器在执行所述计算机程序时实现以上所述的核电厂配置风险管理方法的步骤。The present invention also constructs a nuclear power plant configuration risk management system, which includes a processor and a memory storing a computer program. When the processor executes the computer program, it implements the above steps of the nuclear power plant configuration risk management method.
本发明还构造一种计算机存储介质,存储有计算机程序,所述计算机程序在被处理器执行时实现以上所述的核电厂配置风险管理方法的步骤。The present invention also constructs a computer storage medium, which stores a computer program. When executed by a processor, the computer program implements the steps of the nuclear power plant configuration risk management method described above.
在本发明所提供的技术方案中,在特定事件发生时,首先根据核电厂的运行状态判断是否需要进入核电厂配置风险管理流程,如果需要,可基于风险模型定量化评估配置风险水平,再基于风险水平值确定所对应的风险区及风险管理措施,以指引用户对核电厂配置进行风险控制。该技术方案相比现有的采用技术规格书的方式,更适应于核电厂的设备/系统多重失效的情况,因此,完善和改进了核电厂的配置风险管理流程。In the technical solution provided by the present invention, when a specific event occurs, it is first judged based on the operating status of the nuclear power plant whether it is necessary to enter the nuclear power plant configuration risk management process. If necessary, the configuration risk level can be quantitatively assessed based on the risk model, and then based on The risk level value determines the corresponding risk area and risk management measures to guide users in risk control of nuclear power plant configuration. Compared with the existing method of using technical specifications, this technical solution is more suitable for multiple failures of equipment/systems in nuclear power plants. Therefore, it improves and improves the configuration risk management process of nuclear power plants.
附图说明Description of drawings
为了更清楚地说明本发明实施例,下面将对实施例描述中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图仅仅是本发明的一些实施例,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其他的附图。附图中:In order to explain the embodiments of the present invention more clearly, the drawings needed to be used in the description of the embodiments will be briefly introduced below. Obviously, the drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the present invention. For ordinary people in the art, For technical personnel, other drawings can also be obtained based on these drawings without exerting creative work. In the attached picture:
图1是本发明核电厂配置风险管理方法实施例一的流程图。Figure 1 is a flow chart of Embodiment 1 of the nuclear power plant configuration risk management method of the present invention.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
下面将结合本发明实施例中的附图,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the accompanying drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only some of the embodiments of the present invention, rather than all the embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by those of ordinary skill in the art without creative efforts fall within the scope of protection of the present invention.
图1是本发明核电厂配置风险管理方法实施例一的流程图,该实施例的核电厂配置风险管理方法包括以下步骤:Figure 1 is a flow chart of Embodiment 1 of the nuclear power plant configuration risk management method of the present invention. The nuclear power plant configuration risk management method in this embodiment includes the following steps:
步骤S10,在特定事件发生时,实时获取核电厂当前的运行状态,并根据所述运行状态判断当前是否满足预设的进入条件,其中,所述特定事件包括核电厂发生配置变更、核电厂开展计划性维修;Step S10: When a specific event occurs, obtain the current operating status of the nuclear power plant in real time, and determine whether the preset entry conditions are currently met based on the operating status, where the specific event includes configuration changes in the nuclear power plant, nuclear power plant operations planned maintenance;
在该步骤中,需说明的是,在核电厂配置发生变更或者开展计划性维修时,需要进行核电厂配置风险管理,但是,鉴于核电厂的系统、设备数量庞大,为有效进行风险评价与管理,需要确定配置风险管理的范围,具体地,可根据核电厂的实际运行状态,判断是否需要进入配置风险管理的流程,而且需说明的是,实际运行状态可包括单一设备/系统不可用的情况,也可包括多个设备/系统不可用的情况。In this step, it should be noted that when the nuclear power plant configuration is changed or planned maintenance is carried out, nuclear power plant configuration risk management needs to be carried out. However, in view of the large number of systems and equipment in the nuclear power plant, in order to effectively conduct risk assessment and management , the scope of configuration risk management needs to be determined. Specifically, it can be judged whether it is necessary to enter the configuration risk management process based on the actual operating status of the nuclear power plant. It should be noted that the actual operating status can include the situation where a single device/system is unavailable. , may also include situations where multiple devices/systems are unavailable.
步骤S20,在满足所述进入条件时,根据核电厂的风险模型进行配置风险评价,以获取当前的评价结果,所述评价结果包括风险水平值;Step S20: When the entry conditions are met, perform a configuration risk evaluation according to the risk model of the nuclear power plant to obtain the current evaluation results, where the evaluation results include a risk level value;
在该步骤中,可利用核电厂的实时风险模型(PSA)进行配置风险评价,例如,在一个实施例中,先建模PSA模型,在特定事件发生后,通过布尔运算重新解析故障树和事件树并得到新的最小割集集合,并依据新的最小割集集合得到新的CDF/LERF结果(风险水平值)及相关风险信息。在另一个实施例中,也可先建立最小割集库,在特定事件发生后,对最小割集重新定量化计算,以获取核电厂风险水平并提供相应的风险信息。In this step, the real-time risk model (PSA) of the nuclear power plant can be used to perform configuration risk assessment. For example, in one embodiment, the PSA model is first modeled, and after a specific event occurs, the fault tree and events are re-analyzed through Boolean operations. The tree union is used to obtain a new minimum cut set set, and a new CDF/LERF result (risk level value) and related risk information are obtained based on the new minimum cut set set. In another embodiment, a minimum cut set library can also be established first, and after a specific event occurs, the minimum cut set can be quantitatively calculated again to obtain the risk level of the nuclear power plant and provide corresponding risk information.
另外,还需说明的是,核电厂的一种运行状态对应一个风险水平值,例如,开始时,只有一个设备不可用,对应一风险水平值,过了一段时间后,又出现一个设备同时不可用,则此时对应一另外的风险水平值,再过了一段时间后,最初不可用的设备恢复可用了,则此时又对应一不同的风险水平值。In addition, it should be noted that one operating state of a nuclear power plant corresponds to a risk level value. For example, at the beginning, only one equipment is unavailable, corresponding to a risk level value. After a period of time, another equipment becomes unavailable at the same time. If it is used, then it corresponds to another risk level value. After a period of time, the initially unavailable equipment becomes available again, and then it corresponds to a different risk level value.
步骤S30,根据所述特定事件、以及预设的多个风险区和每个风险区对应的风险水平范围值,确定所述当前的风险水平值所对应的当前的风险区;Step S30, determine the current risk area corresponding to the current risk level value based on the specific event, a plurality of preset risk areas and the risk level range value corresponding to each risk area;
在该步骤中,预设的多个风险区可为三个,例如分别为:风险不可接受区、风险管理区、正常控制区,当然,预设的多个风险区还可为四个,例如可将风险管理区再按风险水平的高低细分成两个区。而且,每个风险区均对应有风险水平范围值。这样,可根据风险评价结果与各个风险区所对应的风险水平范围值判别当前的风险区。In this step, the number of preset multiple risk zones may be three, for example: risk unacceptable zone, risk management zone, normal control zone. Of course, the number of preset multiple risk zones may also be four, for example The risk management area can be further subdivided into two areas according to the level of risk. Moreover, each risk area corresponds to a risk level range value. In this way, the current risk area can be determined based on the risk evaluation results and the risk level range values corresponding to each risk area.
步骤S40,根据预设的不同特定事件下每个风险区所对应的风险管理措施,获取当前的风险区所对应的当前的风险管理措施;Step S40: Obtain the current risk management measures corresponding to the current risk area according to the preset risk management measures corresponding to each risk area under different specific events;
步骤S50,输出当前的风险区及当前的风险管理措施。Step S50: Output the current risk area and current risk management measures.
在该实施例的技术方案中,在特定事件发生时,首先根据核电厂的运行状态判断是否需要进入核电厂配置风险管理流程,如果需要,可基于风险模型定量化评估配置风险水平,再基于风险水平值确定所对应的风险区及风险管理措施,以指引用户对核电厂配置进行风险控制。该技术方案相比现有的采用技术规格书的方式,更适应于核电厂的设备/系统多重失效的情况,因此,完善和改进了核电厂的配置风险管理流程。In the technical solution of this embodiment, when a specific event occurs, it is first determined whether it is necessary to enter the nuclear power plant configuration risk management process based on the operating status of the nuclear power plant. If necessary, the configuration risk level can be quantitatively assessed based on the risk model, and then based on the risk The level value determines the corresponding risk area and risk management measures to guide users in risk control of nuclear power plant configuration. Compared with the existing method of using technical specifications, this technical solution is more suitable for multiple failures of equipment/systems in nuclear power plants. Therefore, it improves and improves the configuration risk management process of nuclear power plants.
进一步地,在一个可选实施例中,步骤S10中,根据所述运行状态判断是否满足预设的进入条件,包括:Further, in an optional embodiment, in step S10, determining whether preset entry conditions are met according to the operating status includes:
步骤S11,根据所述运行状态,确定当前的受影响设备,所述受影响设备包括停役设备或试验维修活动所涉及的设备;Step S11: Determine the current affected equipment according to the operating status. The affected equipment includes out-of-service equipment or equipment involved in test maintenance activities;
步骤S12,根据预先存储的第一清单、第二清单、第三清单及所述受影响设备,判断是否满足预设的进入条件,其中,所述第一清单为与核电厂配置风险管理大纲相关的系统/设备/构筑物清单,所述第二清单为与核电厂维修规则实施大纲相关的系统/设备/构筑物清单,所述第三清单为与至少一个技术规格书相关的设备清单。Step S12: Determine whether the preset entry conditions are met based on the pre-stored first list, second list, third list and the affected equipment. The first list is related to the nuclear power plant configuration risk management program. A list of systems/equipment/structures, the second list is a list of systems/equipment/structures related to the implementation program of maintenance rules for nuclear power plants, and the third list is a list of equipment related to at least one technical specification.
在该实施例中,可预先在系统中导入CRMP(配置风险管理大纲)的SSC(System、component、structure,系统/设备/构筑物)清单及MR(核电厂维修规则实施大纲)的SSC清单,即,第一清单及第二清单,当然,也需要提前在系统中导入各种类型的技术规格书中所涉及的相关设备的清单,即第三清单。在判断当前是否满足预设的进入条件时,通过设置相应的触发器,例如,触发器Tripper-CRMP、触发器Tripper-MR,根据这些清单,对当前停役设备与试验维修活动所涉及的设备进行筛选,以判断是否触发配置风险管理流程。In this embodiment, the SSC (System, component, structure, system/equipment/structure) list of CRMP (Configuration Risk Management Program) and the SSC list of MR (Nuclear Power Plant Maintenance Regulation Implementation Program) can be imported into the system in advance, that is, , the first list and the second list. Of course, it is also necessary to import the list of related equipment involved in various types of technical specifications into the system in advance, that is, the third list. When judging whether the preset entry conditions are currently met, corresponding triggers are set, such as trigger Tripper-CRMP and trigger Tripper-MR. Based on these lists, the currently out-of-service equipment and equipment involved in test maintenance activities are Filter to determine whether the configuration risk management process is triggered.
在一个具体实施例中,进入条件有以下四个:In a specific embodiment, the entry conditions include the following four:
1.发生技术规格书中设备随机不可用,且受影响的设备属于PSA模型范围,除需技术规格书中要求立即停堆后撤外,其余情况均应进入配置风险管理流程;1. If the equipment in the technical specifications is randomly unavailable, and the affected equipment falls within the scope of the PSA model, except for the immediate shutdown and evacuation required in the technical specifications, the configuration risk management process should be entered in all other situations;
2.对纳入配置风险管理范围SSC的计划性维修活动开展风险评价;2. Carry out risk assessment for planned maintenance activities included in the configuration risk management scope of SSC;
3.核电厂维修规则实施大纲中要求开展风险评价与风险管理的情况;3. The requirements for risk assessment and risk management in the implementation outline of nuclear power plant maintenance rules;
4.进入风险管理技术规格书使用风险指引完成时间(RICT)的情况,需说明的是,该类技术规格书为一特定类型的技术规格书,其中对设备失效后要求其恢复可用的时间长度不是固定的,是通过计算得到的。4. When entering into risk management technical specifications using Risk Guideline Completion Time (RICT), it should be noted that this type of technical specification is a specific type of technical specification, which specifies the length of time required to restore the equipment after it fails. It is not fixed, it is calculated.
基于上述进入条件,步骤S12具体包括:Based on the above entry conditions, step S12 specifically includes:
判断所述停役设备是否为同时存在于所述第一清单及所述第三清单中的设备,若同时存在,则判断所述技术规格书中针对所述停役设备的管理措施是否不为立即停堆后撤,若不为,则确定满足预设的进入条件;和/或,Determine whether the out-of-service equipment is equipment that exists in both the first list and the third list. If it exists at the same time, determine whether the management measures for the out-of-service equipment in the technical specification are not Shut down and retreat immediately, if not, make sure the preset entry conditions are met; and/or,
判断所述试验维修活动所涉及的设备是否存在于所述第一清单中,若存在,则确定满足预设的进入条件;和/或,Determine whether the equipment involved in the test maintenance activity exists in the first list, and if so, determine that the preset entry conditions are met; and/or,
判断所述试验维修活动所涉及的设备是否存在于所述第二清单,若是,则确定满足预设的进入条件;Determine whether the equipment involved in the test maintenance activity exists in the second list, and if so, determine that the preset entry conditions are met;
判断所述停役设备是否属于所述第三清单中与特定的技术规格书相关的特定设备,若是,则确定满足预设的进入条件。It is determined whether the out-of-service equipment belongs to the specific equipment related to the specific technical specifications in the third list, and if so, it is determined that the preset entry conditions are met.
进一步地,在一个可选实施例中,风险水平值包括瞬时风险水平值及累积风险水平值。而且,步骤S30包括:Further, in an optional embodiment, the risk level value includes an instantaneous risk level value and a cumulative risk level value. Furthermore, step S30 includes:
在所述特定事件为核电厂发生配置变更时,根据预设的多个风险区和每个风险区对应的瞬时风险水平范围值,确定所述当前的瞬时风险水平值所对应的风险区;When the specific event is a configuration change of the nuclear power plant, determine the risk area corresponding to the current instantaneous risk level value based on the multiple preset risk areas and the instantaneous risk level range value corresponding to each risk area;
在所述特定事件为核电厂开展计划性维修时,根据预设的多个风险区和每个风险区对应的累积风险水平范围值,确定所述当前的累积风险水平值所对应的风险区。When the specific event is to carry out planned maintenance for the nuclear power plant, the risk area corresponding to the current cumulative risk level value is determined based on the preset multiple risk areas and the cumulative risk level range value corresponding to each risk area.
在该实施例中,可基于核电厂实时风险模型与风险监测工具,根据核电厂的当前配置或预期配置,输入受影响的系统、设备以及停役的原因,开展风险评价工作,获得核电厂当前或预期配置的风险水平,包括瞬时风险(含CDF与LERF)与累积风险(ICDP与ILERP)等,并提供风险评价报告。然后,再将风险评价结果与预先定义的风险阈值进行比较,而且,针对不同的特定事件,进行比较时所使用的风险水平阈值也是不同的,具体地,首先确定进入配置风险管理流程的事件为运行配置风险管理或维修配置风险管理,而且,运行配置风险管理的风险阈值主要是瞬时风险(CDF/LERF);维修配置风险管理的风险阈值则主要以累积风险(ICDP/ILERP)为主。In this embodiment, based on the real-time risk model and risk monitoring tools of the nuclear power plant, according to the current configuration or expected configuration of the nuclear power plant, the affected systems, equipment and reasons for decommissioning can be input, risk assessment work can be carried out, and the current configuration of the nuclear power plant can be obtained. Or the expected risk level of allocation, including instantaneous risk (including CDF and LERF) and cumulative risk (ICDP and ILERP), etc., and provide a risk evaluation report. Then, the risk assessment results are compared with the predefined risk thresholds. Moreover, for different specific events, the risk level thresholds used in the comparison are also different. Specifically, the events that enter the configuration risk management process are first determined to be Operation configuration risk management or maintenance configuration risk management, and the risk threshold of operation configuration risk management is mainly transient risk (CDF/LERF); the risk threshold of maintenance configuration risk management is mainly cumulative risk (ICDP/ILERP).
进一步地,在一个具体实施例中,还可进一步计算瞬时风险CDF/LERF增量以及累积风险ICDP与ILERP,其中,特定状态下的堆芯损伤频率增量△CDF等于特定状态下的CDF(堆芯损伤频率)与基准CDF的差值,早期大量放射性释放频率增量△LERF的计算方式与之类似,具体计算公式如下:Furthermore, in a specific embodiment, the instantaneous risk CDF/LERF increment and the cumulative risk ICDP and ILERP can be further calculated, where the core damage frequency increment ΔCDF under a specific state is equal to the CDF (reactor core damage frequency increment ΔCDF) under a specific state. The difference between the core damage frequency (core damage frequency) and the baseline CDF, the early massive radioactive release frequency increment ΔLERF is calculated in a similar way. The specific calculation formula is as follows:
ΔCDFconfiguration=CDFpoint-in-time–CDFbaseline ΔCDF configuration =CDF point-in-time –CDF baseline
ΔLERFconfiguration=LERFpoint-in-time-LERFbaseline ΔLERF configuration =LERF point-in-time -LERF baseline
其中,CDFpoint-in-time是指当前时刻的瞬时风险水平值,通常由风险监测工具或PSA软件计算获得,CDFbaseline是指所有设备均处于可用时的基准风险水平值,即零维修风险水平值。类似的,LERFpoint-in-time和LERFbaseline分别是当前刻的早期大量放射性释放频率和零维修早期大量放射性释放频率。Among them, CDF point-in-time refers to the instantaneous risk level value at the current moment, which is usually calculated by risk monitoring tools or PSA software. CDF baseline refers to the baseline risk level value when all equipment is available, that is, the zero maintenance risk level. value. Similarly, LERF point-in-time and LERF baseline are the current early massive radioactive release frequency and the zero-maintenance early massive radioactive release frequency respectively.
而特定状态下堆芯损伤概率增量,累积风险ICDP等于堆芯损伤频率增量乘以状态的相关持续时间,累积风险LERP等于早期大量放射性释放频率增量乘以状态的相关持续时间,具体计算公式如下:As for the increment of core damage probability under a specific state, the cumulative risk ICDP is equal to the core damage frequency increment multiplied by the relevant duration of the state, and the cumulative risk LERP is equal to the early large-scale radioactive release frequency increment multiplied by the relevant duration of the state. The specific calculation is The formula is as follows:
ICDPconfig=ΔCDFconfig×Tconfig ICDP config =ΔCDF config ×T config
ILERPconfig=ΔLERFconfig×Tconfig。ILERP config =ΔLERF config ×T config .
进一步地,在一个可选实施例中,预设的多个风险区包括风险不可接受区、风险管理区、正常控制区;Further, in an optional embodiment, the preset multiple risk areas include unacceptable risk areas, risk management areas, and normal control areas;
在所述步骤S50中,所述输出所确定的所述风险区的步骤,包括:In step S50, the step of outputting the determined risk area includes:
根据所述多个风险区分别所对应的颜色,确定当前的风险区所对应的颜色,并采用所确定的颜色显示当前的所述风险区。According to the colors corresponding to the plurality of risk areas, the color corresponding to the current risk area is determined, and the current risk area is displayed using the determined color.
在一个具体实施例中,可用不同颜色显示不同的风险区,例如,红色区域代表风险不可接受区;橙色或黄色区域代表风险管理区;绿色区域代表正常控制区域。In a specific embodiment, different risk areas can be displayed in different colors. For example, a red area represents an unacceptable risk area; an orange or yellow area represents a risk management area; and a green area represents a normal control area.
进一步地,在一个可选实施例中,评价结果还包括允许配置时间(ACT),其中,ACT是由累积风险和瞬时风险综合计算得到的。而且,步骤S40包括:Further, in an optional embodiment, the evaluation result also includes the allowable configuration time (ACT), where the ACT is calculated comprehensively from the cumulative risk and the instantaneous risk. Furthermore, step S40 includes:
在所述特定事件为核电厂发生配置变更时,若当前的风险区为风险不可接受区,则所对应的风险管理措施为机组立即后撤至安全状态;若当前的风险区为风险管理区,则所对应的风险管理措施为进入运行决策流程及在所述允许配置时间内跟踪停役设备的故障处理;若当前的风险区为正常控制区,则所对应的风险管理措施为正常执行日常工作;When the specific event is a configuration change in a nuclear power plant, if the current risk area is an unacceptable risk area, the corresponding risk management measure is to immediately evacuate the unit to a safe state; if the current risk area is a risk management area, The corresponding risk management measures are to enter the operation decision-making process and track the troubleshooting of out-of-service equipment within the allowed configuration time; if the current risk area is a normal control area, the corresponding risk management measures are to perform daily work normally. ;
在所述特定事件为核电厂开展计划性维修时,若当前的风险区为风险不可接受区,则所对应的风险管理措施为立即调整维修计划;若当前的风险区为风险管理区,则所对应的风险管理措施为进入大修决策流程及在所述允许配置时间内跟踪后续的计划调整;若当前的风险区为正常控制区,则所对应的风险管理措施为按照计划开展维修。When the specific event described is a planned maintenance for a nuclear power plant, if the current risk area is an unacceptable risk area, the corresponding risk management measure is to immediately adjust the maintenance plan; if the current risk area is a risk management area, then the corresponding risk management measure is The corresponding risk management measure is to enter the overhaul decision-making process and track subsequent plan adjustments within the allowed configuration time; if the current risk area is a normal control area, the corresponding risk management measure is to carry out maintenance according to the plan.
在该实施例中,对于核电厂发生的配置变更事件,即,在进行运行配置风险管理时,若进入风险不可接受区,则需立即采取措施,如反应堆处于功率运行模式则须立即停堆后撤;若进入风险管理区,需要采取相应的一些风险管理措施和风险补偿措施,并根据累积风险阈值(ICDP/ILERP)控制允许配置时间(ACT);若进入正常控制区域,则可在该区正常执行日常工作。对于核电厂发生的开展计划性维修事件,即,在进行维修配置风险管理时,若进入风险不可接受区,不允许主动进入,即,不再安排进入红区的预防性维修工作,需调整维修计划;若进入风险管理区,需控制ACT和采取相应的风险管理与风险补偿措施,并对风险管理措施进行评价;若进入正常控制区,则可按照计划开展维修。In this embodiment, for the configuration change event that occurs in the nuclear power plant, that is, during the operation configuration risk management, if the risk enters the unacceptable zone, immediate measures need to be taken. If the reactor is in power operation mode, it must be shut down immediately. Withdraw; if you enter the risk management area, you need to take some corresponding risk management measures and risk compensation measures, and control the allowed configuration time (ACT) according to the cumulative risk threshold (ICDP/ILERP); if you enter the normal control area, you can Perform daily tasks normally. For planned maintenance events that occur in nuclear power plants, that is, when conducting maintenance configuration risk management, if the risk is unacceptable, active entry is not allowed, that is, preventive maintenance work in the red zone will no longer be arranged, and maintenance needs to be adjusted. plan; if it enters the risk management area, it is necessary to control ACT and take corresponding risk management and risk compensation measures, and evaluate the risk management measures; if it enters the normal control area, maintenance can be carried out according to the plan.
在一个具体实施例中,关于运行配置风险管理流程,还需说明的是,在电厂处于正常运行时,发生运行异常,即非计划的导致一个或多个安全重要设备(配置风险管理范围内SSC)不可用,除执行技术规格书所规定的监督措施外,还会描述核电厂运行人员执行运行配置风险管理的流程,包括采用风险监测器工具定量评价配置风险,并根据风险所处的区域采取相应的风险管理措施,具体地,风险区按风险水平从高到低可分为红区、橙区、黄区、绿区。若运行配置风险处于绿区,正常执行日常工作即可,通常不得进入红区,进入红区后需立即采取风险管理措施。进入橙区则进入紧急消缺处理流程,并启动运行决策流程,需说明的是,紧急消缺处理流程及运行决策流程均为核电厂已有的流程。进入黄区则计算并控制ACT,即,尽快完成作业时间,缩短系统/设备的不可用时间,按照风险管理矩阵要求制定相应的风险管理措施,并开展评价。In a specific embodiment, regarding the operation configuration risk management process, it should also be noted that when the power plant is in normal operation, an operation abnormality occurs, that is, an unplanned failure of one or more safety-critical equipment (SSC within the scope of configuration risk management) occurs. ) is not available. In addition to implementing the supervisory measures stipulated in the technical specifications, it also describes the process for nuclear power plant operators to implement operational configuration risk management, including using risk monitor tools to quantitatively evaluate configuration risks and take action based on the areas where the risks are located. Corresponding risk management measures, specifically, risk areas can be divided into red areas, orange areas, yellow areas and green areas according to the risk level from high to low. If the operational configuration risk is in the green zone, just perform daily work normally. Generally, you are not allowed to enter the red zone. Risk management measures need to be taken immediately after entering the red zone. Entering the orange zone will enter the emergency elimination process and start the operation decision-making process. It should be noted that the emergency elimination process and operation decision-making process are both existing processes of the nuclear power plant. When entering the yellow zone, calculate and control ACT, that is, complete the operation time as soon as possible, shorten the unavailable time of the system/equipment, formulate corresponding risk management measures according to the requirements of the risk management matrix, and carry out evaluation.
在一个具体实施例中,关于维修配置风险管理流程,还需说明的是,针对电厂维修计划,包括日常工作计划、周滚动计划和大修生产计划开展配置风险评价,尤其是维修规则大纲中要求的风险评价与管理内容,然后采用风险监测器工具定量评价配置风险,并根据风险所处的区域采取相应的风险管理措施,具体地,风险区按风险水平从高到低可分为红区、橙区、黄区、绿区。若处于风险绿区,则正常执行维修活动;若处于风险管理区,则维修行动需尽快完成,允许配置时间由累积风险限值计算结果来确定,计算并控制ACT,即,通过各种资源使得不能消耗完ACT,必要时采取补偿措施,对风险管理措施进行评价;若处于风险红区,则需立即采取行动降低风险。通常,核电厂在制定和实施维修活动时,不得主动进入风险红区。In a specific embodiment, regarding the maintenance configuration risk management process, it should be noted that configuration risk assessment is carried out for power plant maintenance plans, including daily work plans, weekly rolling plans and overhaul production plans, especially those required in the maintenance rules outline. Risk assessment and management content, and then use the risk monitor tool to quantitatively evaluate the configuration risk, and take corresponding risk management measures according to the area where the risk is located. Specifically, the risk area can be divided into red area, orange area according to the risk level from high to low. Zone, yellow zone, green zone. If it is in the risk green zone, maintenance activities are performed normally; if it is in the risk management zone, the maintenance actions need to be completed as soon as possible. The allowed configuration time is determined by the cumulative risk limit calculation results. ACT is calculated and controlled, that is, through various resources, the ACT cannot be consumed completely, and compensation measures should be taken when necessary, and risk management measures should be evaluated; if it is in the risk red zone, immediate action must be taken to reduce risks. Normally, nuclear power plants are not allowed to proactively enter the risk red zone when formulating and implementing maintenance activities.
进一步地,在一个可选实施例中,在步骤S50之后,还包括:Further, in an optional embodiment, after step S50, it also includes:
步骤S60,根据核电厂当前的运行状态,判断当前是否满足预设的退出条件,若是,则结束。Step S60: Based on the current operating status of the nuclear power plant, determine whether the preset exit conditions are currently met. If so, end.
进一步地,在步骤S60中,判断当前是否满足预设的退出条件,包括下列中的至少一个:Further, in step S60, it is determined whether the preset exit conditions are currently met, including at least one of the following:
针对所述停役设备的维修活动已完成,且在特定时间内未发生新的特定事件;Maintenance activities for the out-of-service equipment have been completed and no new specific events have occurred within a specific period of time;
针对所述试验维修活动所涉及的设备的预防性、纠正性维修活动已完成,且在特定时间内未发生新的特定事件;The preventive and corrective maintenance activities for the equipment involved in the test maintenance activities have been completed, and no new specific events occurred within a specific period of time;
所述第一清单中的系统/设备/构筑物均处于可用状态。The systems/equipment/structures in the first list are all in a usable state.
核电厂进入应急事故管理规程。Nuclear power plant enters emergency accident management procedures.
在该实施例中,在完成运行配置风险管理或维修配置风险管理后,若判断满足以上条件,则可以退出配置风险管理流程。In this embodiment, after completing the operation configuration risk management or maintenance configuration risk management, if it is determined that the above conditions are met, the configuration risk management process can be exited.
本发明还构造一种核电厂配置风险管理系统,该核电厂配置风险管理系统包括处理器及存储有计算机程序的存储器,该处理器在执行所述计算机程序时实现以上所述的核电厂配置风险管理方法的步骤。The present invention also constructs a nuclear power plant configuration risk management system. The nuclear power plant configuration risk management system includes a processor and a memory storing a computer program. The processor realizes the above-mentioned nuclear power plant configuration risk when executing the computer program. Management method steps.
本发明还构造一种计算机存储介质,该计算机存储介质存储有计算机程序,该计算机程序在被处理器执行时实现以上所述的核电厂配置风险管理方法的步骤。The present invention also constructs a computer storage medium, which stores a computer program. When executed by a processor, the computer program implements the above-mentioned steps of the nuclear power plant configuration risk management method.
以上所述仅为本发明的优选实施例而已,并不用于限制本发明,对于本领域的技术人员来说,本发明可以有各种更改和变化。凡在本发明的精神和原则之内,所作的任何纂改、等同替换、改进等,均应包含在本发明的权利要求范围之内。The above descriptions are only preferred embodiments of the present invention and are not intended to limit the present invention. For those skilled in the art, the present invention may have various modifications and changes. Any modifications, equivalent substitutions, improvements, etc. made within the spirit and principles of the present invention shall be included in the scope of the claims of the present invention.
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