CN117079421A - Flood early warning method and system based on social strength emergency support - Google Patents
Flood early warning method and system based on social strength emergency support Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The application belongs to the technical field of disaster early warning, and particularly relates to a flood early warning method and a flood early warning system based on social strength emergency support, wherein the method comprises the steps of calculating a disaster prediction position and disaster prediction time based on regional outside meteorological information, water area information and regional inside disaster history records; determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time; and outputting flood warning information based on the recruitment result, the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time. Based on the weather information outside the area, the water area information and the disaster history record inside the area, calculating the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time, and improving the accuracy of predicting the flood disaster; according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time, a disaster relief plan is determined to recruit social strength emergency support, disaster relief can be assisted by means of civil strength, and disaster relief efficiency is improved; based on the recruitment result, the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time, flood warning information is output, and the warning efficiency can be improved.
Description
Technical Field
The application belongs to the technical field of disaster early warning, and particularly relates to a flood early warning method and system based on social strength emergency support.
Background
Factors influencing the safe operation of the power system are numerous, wherein, the irresistible strong natural disasters such as typhoons, earthquakes and floods have the characteristics of low occurrence probability but large influence, can cause serious influence on the power system, lead to large-area power failure and equipment damage, seriously influence the production and life of people, and also can cause huge economic loss and great social problems.
Heavy rainfall natural disasters are direct factors causing torrential floods and medium and small river floods, and flood damages to electric facilities are extremely large. Because the electric power facilities are built along ditches, mountain areas and rivers according to the living habits of common people, the strong rainfall and the flood can cause the disconnection or the tilting of the transmission line; flood can collapse the enclosing wall of the transformer substation, so that water enters the equipment area, and the equipment area is soaked and damaged; the mud-rock flow caused by flood can cause the blockage of the water diversion channel, and the power generation is interrupted. Damage to various electric facilities caused by flood can eventually lead to power failure of users, and further large-area power failure is developed, so that early warning of disasters is very important in advance.
Disclosure of Invention
In order to solve or improve the problems, the application provides a flood warning method and a flood warning system based on social strength emergency support, and the specific technical scheme is as follows:
the application provides a flood early warning method based on social strength emergency support, which comprises the following steps: calculating a disaster prediction position and disaster prediction time based on the weather information outside the area, the water area information and the disaster history record inside the area; determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time; and outputting flood warning information based on the recruitment result, the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time.
Preferably, the disaster relief plan comprises the movement of materials and/or disaster relief personnel, and the social strength emergency support comprises the transport capacity provided by personnel and organizations of non-disaster relief responsibility departments; correspondingly, the determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time comprises the following steps: determining a transportation starting place and a destination based on the disaster prediction position, the material and the starting position of the disaster relief personnel; and the social force emergency support provides transport capacity to transport the materials and the disaster relief personnel to a disaster preparation place matched with the disaster prediction position in the time corresponding to the disaster prediction time.
Preferably, the determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support includes: determining a predicted traffic state according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time; issuing recruitment information, the recruitment information comprising: the starting position, the disaster recovery site, the predicted traffic state, the transportation required time and the predicted transportation quantity; correspondingly, the recruitment results include: the social strength emergency support moves the supplies, the traffic volume of the disaster relief personnel, and the completion time according to the recruitment information.
Preferably, the social strength emergency support is personnel and/or organizations engaged in logistics work; correspondingly, the recruitment results include: the social force emergency support provides additional capacity on the basis of the present job according to the own work plan to move the materials, the traffic volume of the disaster relief personnel and the completion time according to the recruitment information.
Preferably, the predicted traffic state includes a viable route and a non-viable route; correspondingly, the recruitment results include: the social strength emergency support confirms that the infeasible route is a feasible route according to the route driving experience of the social strength emergency support and provides corresponding capacity support.
The application provides a flood warning system based on social strength emergency support, which comprises the following components: the first module is used for calculating disaster prediction positions and disaster prediction time based on the weather information outside the area, the water area information and the disaster history record inside the area; a second module for determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support based on the disaster prediction location and the disaster prediction time; and a third module for outputting flood warning information based on the recruitment result, the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time.
Preferably, the disaster relief plan comprises the movement of materials and/or disaster relief personnel, and the social strength emergency support comprises the transport capacity provided by personnel and organizations of non-disaster relief responsibility departments; correspondingly, the determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time comprises the following steps: determining a transportation starting place and a destination based on the disaster prediction position, the material and the starting position of the disaster relief personnel; and the social force emergency support provides transport capacity to transport the materials and the disaster relief personnel to a disaster preparation place matched with the disaster prediction position in the time corresponding to the disaster prediction time.
Preferably, the determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support includes: determining a predicted traffic state according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time; issuing recruitment information, the recruitment information comprising: the starting position, the disaster recovery site, the predicted traffic state, the transportation required time and the predicted transportation quantity; correspondingly, the recruitment results include: the social strength emergency support moves the supplies, the traffic volume of the disaster relief personnel, and the completion time according to the recruitment information.
Preferably, the social strength emergency support is personnel and/or organizations engaged in logistics work; correspondingly, the recruitment results include: the social force emergency support provides additional capacity on the basis of the present job according to the own work plan to move the materials, the traffic volume of the disaster relief personnel and the completion time according to the recruitment information.
Preferably, the predicted traffic state includes a viable route and a non-viable route; correspondingly, the recruitment results include: the social strength emergency support confirms that the infeasible route is a feasible route according to the route driving experience of the social strength emergency support and provides corresponding capacity support.
The beneficial effects of the application are as follows: based on the weather information outside the area, the water area information and the disaster history record inside the area, calculating the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time, and improving the accuracy of predicting the flood disaster; according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time, a disaster relief plan is determined to recruit social strength emergency support, disaster relief can be assisted by means of civil strength, and disaster relief efficiency is improved; based on the recruitment result, the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time, flood warning information is output, and the warning efficiency can be improved.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a flow chart of a flooding early warning method based on social strength emergency support according to the present application;
fig. 2 is a schematic diagram of a flooding warning system based on social strength emergency support according to the present application.
Detailed Description
The following description of the embodiments of the present application will be made clearly and fully with reference to the accompanying drawings, in which it is evident that the embodiments described are some, but not all embodiments of the application. All other embodiments, which can be made by those skilled in the art based on the embodiments of the application without making any inventive effort, are intended to be within the scope of the application.
It should be understood that the terms "comprises" and "comprising," when used in this specification and the appended claims, specify the presence of stated features, integers, steps, operations, elements, and/or components, but do not preclude the presence or addition of one or more other features, integers, steps, operations, elements, components, and/or groups thereof.
It is also to be understood that the terminology used in the description of the application is for the purpose of describing particular embodiments only and is not intended to be limiting of the application. As used in this specification and the appended claims, the singular forms "a," "an," and "the" are intended to include the plural forms as well, unless the context clearly indicates otherwise.
It should be further understood that the term "and/or" as used in the present specification and the appended claims refers to any and all possible combinations of one or more of the associated listed items, and includes such combinations.
In order to solve the technical problems mentioned in the background, the application provides a flood warning method based on social strength emergency support as shown in fig. 1, comprising the following steps: s1, calculating disaster prediction positions and disaster prediction time based on weather information outside an area, water area information and disaster history records in the area; s2, determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time; and S3, outputting flood warning information based on the recruitment result, the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time.
Weather is not generated in isolation, particularly weather such as rainfall/cooling and the like can be generated from the beginning to the end along with cold air, so that weather change trend of the area can be effectively predicted in advance through sharing weather information outside the area. One important reason for flood disaster is that the amount of water flowing into the area in the up-flow water area is larger than the limit, and the area cannot timely process the water amount to cause overflow, so that the accuracy of flood disaster prediction can be improved through sharing of water area information outside the area. The area is a current area or a designated target area, and the periphery of the area is adjacent to the area or an area corresponding to an important river in the area and flowing upwards. The disaster near time period is a predicted period of time for which the flood disaster occurs, and comprises a plurality of times before occurrence, a plurality of time durations after occurrence and a plurality of times after the disaster. One of the reasons for flooding is that the soil and waterways of the current area cannot hold enough water, so that in practice, some areas often have disasters due to the soil and topography. Those areas can be analyzed based on the disaster history record in the area to be more likely to flood.
Disaster relief plans are a collection of various materials and actions taken by disaster relief. The implementation of these disaster relief plans requires the reliance on transportation, which requires time and route confirmation. Social strength emergency support refers to subjects and behaviors outside of authorities/other subjects who are under legal obligations. The aim of recruitment is mainly to achieve the transfer of materials and personnel through social strength emergency support, as well as other actions that aid in disaster prevention and relief (e.g. reinforcing buildings, helping to evacuate personnel, etc.). The results of the recruitment included: how many individuals or organizations can provide capacity, the total amount of capacity and the time required to perform a task, the amount of manpower, the number of vehicles, etc.
For example, if 100 tons of grains and 20 workers need to be transported, the total amount of transport capacity is 100 tons of grains and 20 workers. As a result of recruitment, 400 persons and 15 enterprises or groups can provide transport capacity, wherein 400 persons plus 200 persons provided by 15 enterprises or groups, namely the number of people, can provide a carrier of 389 tricycles, 10 trucks and 5 cars. The task execution time is expected to be 15 hours (too long time can lead to fatigue of personnel and easy accident occurrence, so that the task execution time is limited).
The materials can comprise life jackets, life boats, raincoats, grains, medicines and other articles which can be used for flood disasters; actions may include material distribution, handling activities, medical actions, and the like.
The flood warning information at least comprises: disaster prediction position and disaster prediction time; additional information may be output based on the recruitment results, such as if the social strength emergency support provides sufficient capacity to sustain official transportation needs, and if there are more unofficial personnel supplies provided, the intensity of the pre-warning may be reduced, otherwise the intensity of the pre-warning may be increased to alert local personnel to evacuation or to stop the class and shutdown. The rainfall is more, the water quantity is more, and the scale of disasters is also large. If the disaster scale is large, more materials and people are needed, if the people and the materials are enough to cope with the current disaster, the early warning intensity can be reduced if the people and the materials are not considered to be too stressed, otherwise, if the people and the materials are not enough to cope with the current disaster, the disaster is considered to possibly cause the loss of equipment and the people, and the early warning intensity needs to be improved. If the early warning intensity is low, people do not need to be evacuated, otherwise, the lessons and the industries may need to be stopped.
For example, rain with a rainfall of 26 mm or more per hour, or a continuous rainfall of 22 hours or more than 50 mm, and a rainfall of 44 hours or more than 70 mm, a strong early warning is sent to prompt the evacuation or the stopping and the stopping of local personnel, otherwise, a common early warning is sent to prompt the evacuation or the stopping and the stopping of local personnel.
The flood warning aims to reduce disasters to personnel and power equipment caused by disasters. In theory, people evacuation and material preparation are arranged as long as signs of disaster occur, so that the disaster can be reduced to the limit, but in practice, the instant of people and the transportation of materials can all cause certain consumption, so that in practice, only warning is carried out under the condition of low risk, and the movement of people and materials is not carried out; or, the disaster preparation is completed in the shortest time before the disaster occurs, so that the consumption can be reduced. Based on the disaster approaching period and the expected execution period, flood warning information is output, and consumption of warning can be reduced.
The disaster relief plan comprises the movement of materials and/or disaster relief personnel, and the social strength emergency support comprises the transport capacity provided by personnel and organizations of non-disaster relief responsibility departments; correspondingly, the determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time comprises the following steps: determining a transportation starting place and a destination based on the disaster prediction position, the material and the starting position of the disaster relief personnel; and the social force emergency support provides transport capacity to transport the materials and the disaster relief personnel to a disaster preparation place matched with the disaster prediction position in the time corresponding to the disaster prediction time.
Disaster is a natural phenomenon which is difficult to control and avoid, and the range and extent of damage caused by the disaster can be large, so that the prevention and treatment of the disaster are not completed by pure individuals. The national/government authorities set up official disaster relief liability departments such as disaster reduction committee, fire department, flood control command center, etc. In addition, the disaster receiver does not have any choice in the occurrence of the disaster, so people and organizations not in the disaster relief responsibility department also want to exert an effort to prevent or alleviate the disaster due to the emotion between naive rural neighbors.
However, since considerable knowledge and experience are required for disaster prevention and relief, the space for advocating folk intervention is limited in order to reduce the probability of occurrence of accidents, avoid injuring folk feelings, and the major direction of recruiting social force emergency support is the carrying capacity provided by personnel and organizations of the disaster relief responsibility department, considering the professionality of disaster relief knowledge. Because the personnel and organizations of the non-disaster relief responsibility departments have a large number of vehicles and drivers with transportation experience, the probability of accident occurrence in the process of supporting disaster relief can be reduced, and meanwhile, the disaster relief effect is better as the disaster relief materials are more.
Of course, the social force emergency support can also comprise professional disaster relief manpower and material or other support, for example, personnel can monitor the water level of the river in real time, monitor whether the river bank is landslide or damaged, and the like, and even if the information is reported, the disaster relief command center can more easily understand the current disaster condition.
The determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support includes: determining a predicted traffic state according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time; issuing recruitment information, the recruitment information comprising: the starting position, the disaster recovery site, the predicted traffic state, the transportation required time and the predicted transportation quantity; correspondingly, the recruitment results include: the social strength emergency support moves the supplies, the traffic volume of the disaster relief personnel, and the completion time according to the recruitment information.
Whether disaster response preparation and personnel evacuation before disaster occurs, disaster relief and personnel rescue during disaster occurrence, reconstruction after disaster occurrence, personnel return and other actions are realized by means of transport vehicles, the operation of the transport vehicles depends on traffic information in an area, and the acquisition can be realized or the analysis can be performed according to historical data obtained through monitoring through road monitoring. The time required for executing the disaster relief plan can be reasonably estimated according to the traffic information in the area.
The social strength emergency support is personnel and/or organizations engaged in logistics work; correspondingly, the recruitment results include: the social force emergency support provides additional capacity on the basis of the present job according to the own work plan to move the materials, the traffic volume of the disaster relief personnel and the completion time according to the recruitment information.
Social strength emergency support is certainly best if it is able to provide a wide variety of transport capacity and resources. However, the total amount of the emergency support of the social strength is actually very large and far exceeds the actual demand, and a great amount of consumption or loss is generated under the condition of full force input, and if the loss exceeds a certain limit, the problem that the civil requirement is compensated may occur. In addition, since statistics of data is not easy to be performed during disasters, the amount of compensation is not easy to be determined, which causes various disputes and is not beneficial to the stability of society. By providing additional transport capacity on the basis of the job by the social force emergency support according to the self work plan, the possibility of subsequent disputes can be reduced, and the enthusiasm of the social force emergency support is not damaged.
The predicted traffic state includes a viable route and a non-viable route; correspondingly, the recruitment results include: the social strength emergency support confirms that the infeasible route is a feasible route according to the route driving experience of the social strength emergency support and provides corresponding capacity support.
When flood disasters occur, the flood disasters are generally accompanied by heavy wind and heavy rain, and in this case, part of roads cannot be used, for example, flooding, landslide and road interruption caused by accidents may be caused. For example, whether the road is waterlogged or not can be checked through the history record, so that the road is difficult to pass. The unfeasible route is a route which is considered unfeasible by authorities, such as water accumulation exceeding a certain depth or no power on resulting in poor road conditions, etc.
Because of cost and management reasons, the storage of materials and the workplace of personnel are not necessarily consistent with the area where the flood occurs, and sometimes are arranged at a place far away from the place where the flood occurs. Only when a disaster occurs, the disaster is transmitted from the storage area to the disaster area. The principle of path planning may take into account whether the route is weather-affected, can allow a particular device to pass, and may be selected from existing roads due to congestion-induced delays, etc.
For example, city a is a storage place, city b, which is 100 km away from city a, is a flood occurrence area, 2 highways and a plurality of common highways are arranged between the city a and the city b, and at the moment, if the rain is too large, the highways are not selected, because the speed is high, the roads are slippery, accidents are easy to occur, and rescue is inconvenient; the common highway is selected to be slow, but the safety is high. If no or little rain, the expressway is preferred because materials can be transported quickly and disaster prevention preparation is made.
When the social force emergency support is a person in the logistics industry, because the requirement of the business is familiar with a certain route, various difficulties can be overcome, in this case, the infeasible route can be changed into a feasible route, for example, a certain road section is frequently accumulated water, the A company purchases special vehicles specially to overcome the accumulated water, or the technology of the driver is higher and the driver is familiar with the road condition and can normally pass. The areas with more disaster situations are generally built in a targeted manner so as to reduce the probability and the frequency of later disaster situations, so that the probability of new places is not small. In consideration of new changes of the disaster situation, the original storage place of the material staff is far away from the disaster place or cannot be used with the route of the original disaster relief plan, and the difficulties can be overcome through social strength emergency support.
Waterlogging (Waterlogging) refers to the phenomenon of water accumulation disasters in cities caused by strong precipitation or continuous precipitation exceeding urban drainage capacity.
In this case, since the disaster range is mainly in urban areas, after the non-passable roads are determined by the road monitoring, the detouring route can be planned based on the digital map so as to avoid the urban roads in these waterlogging ranges. At this time, the special vehicle purchased by the company A can overcome the accumulated water, or the driver is more technical and familiar with road conditions and can normally pass.
The application provides a flood warning system based on social strength emergency support as shown in fig. 2, which comprises: the first module 1 is used for calculating a disaster prediction position and disaster prediction time based on the weather information outside the area, the water area information and the disaster history record inside the area; a second module 2 for determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support based on the disaster prediction location and the disaster prediction time; and a third module 3 for outputting flood warning information based on the recruitment result, the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time.
Weather is not generated in isolation, particularly weather such as rainfall/cooling and the like can be generated from the beginning to the end along with cold air, so that weather change trend of the area can be effectively predicted in advance through sharing weather information outside the area. One important reason for flood disaster is that the amount of water flowing into the area in the up-flow water area is larger than the limit, and the area cannot timely process the water amount to cause overflow, so that the accuracy of flood disaster prediction can be improved through sharing of water area information outside the area. The area is a current area or a designated target area, and the periphery of the area is adjacent to the area or an area corresponding to an important river in the area and flowing upwards. The disaster near time period is a predicted period of time for which the flood disaster occurs, and comprises a plurality of times before occurrence, a plurality of time durations after occurrence and a plurality of times after the disaster. One of the reasons for flooding is that the soil and waterways of the current area cannot hold enough water, so that in practice, some areas often have disasters due to the soil and topography. Those areas can be analyzed based on the disaster history record in the area to be more likely to flood.
Disaster relief plans are a collection of various materials and actions taken by disaster relief. The implementation of these disaster relief plans requires the reliance on transportation, which requires time and route confirmation. Social strength emergency support refers to subjects and behaviors outside of authorities/other subjects who are under legal obligations. The aim of recruitment is mainly to achieve the transfer of materials and personnel through social strength emergency support, as well as other actions that aid in disaster prevention and relief (e.g. reinforcing buildings, helping to evacuate personnel, etc.). The results of the recruitment included: how many individuals or organizations can provide capacity, the total amount of capacity and the time required to perform a task, the amount of manpower, the number of vehicles, etc.
For example, if 100 tons of grains and 20 workers need to be transported, the total amount of transport capacity is 100 tons of grains and 20 workers. As a result of recruitment, 400 persons and 15 enterprises or groups can provide transport capacity, wherein 400 persons plus 200 persons provided by 15 enterprises or groups, namely the number of people, can provide a carrier of 389 tricycles, 10 trucks and 5 cars. The task execution time is expected to be 15 hours (too long time can lead to fatigue of personnel and easy accident occurrence, so that the task execution time is limited).
The flood warning information at least comprises: disaster prediction position and disaster prediction time; additional information may be output based on the recruitment results, such as if the social strength emergency support provides sufficient capacity to sustain official transportation needs, and if there are more unofficial personnel supplies provided, the intensity of the pre-warning may be reduced, otherwise the intensity of the pre-warning may be increased to alert local personnel to evacuation or to stop the class and shutdown. The rainfall is more, the water quantity is more, and the scale of disasters is also large. If the disaster scale is large, more materials and people are needed, if the people and the materials are enough to cope with the current disaster, the early warning intensity can be reduced if the people and the materials are not considered to be too stressed, otherwise, if the people and the materials are not enough to cope with the current disaster, the disaster is considered to possibly cause the loss of equipment and the people, and the early warning intensity needs to be improved. If the early warning intensity is low, people do not need to be evacuated, otherwise, the lessons and the industries may need to be stopped.
The flood warning aims to reduce disasters to personnel and power equipment caused by disasters. In theory, people evacuation and material preparation are arranged as long as signs of disaster occur, so that the disaster can be reduced to the limit, but in practice, the instant of people and the transportation of materials can all cause certain consumption, so that in practice, only warning is carried out under the condition of low risk, and the movement of people and materials is not carried out; or, the disaster preparation is completed in the shortest time before the disaster occurs, so that the consumption can be reduced. Based on the disaster approaching period and the expected execution period, flood warning information is output, and consumption of warning can be reduced.
For example, rain with a rainfall of 26 mm or more per hour, or a continuous rainfall of 22 hours or more than 50 mm, and a rainfall of 44 hours or more than 70 mm, a strong early warning is sent to prompt the evacuation or the stopping and the stopping of local personnel, otherwise, a common early warning is sent to prompt the evacuation or the stopping and the stopping of local personnel.
The disaster relief plan comprises the movement of materials and/or disaster relief personnel, and the social strength emergency support comprises the transport capacity provided by personnel and organizations of non-disaster relief responsibility departments; correspondingly, the determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time comprises the following steps: determining a transportation starting place and a destination based on the disaster prediction position, the material and the starting position of the disaster relief personnel; and the social force emergency support provides transport capacity to transport the materials and the disaster relief personnel to a disaster preparation place matched with the disaster prediction position in the time corresponding to the disaster prediction time.
Disaster is a natural phenomenon which is difficult to control and avoid, and the range and extent of damage caused by the disaster can be large, so that the prevention and treatment of the disaster are not completed by pure individuals. The national/government authorities set up official disaster relief liability departments such as disaster reduction committee, fire department, flood control command center, etc. In addition, the disaster receiver does not have any choice in the occurrence of the disaster, so people and organizations not in the disaster relief responsibility department also want to exert an effort to prevent or alleviate the disaster due to the emotion between naive rural neighbors.
However, since considerable knowledge and experience are required for disaster prevention and relief, the space for advocating folk intervention is limited in order to reduce the probability of occurrence of accidents, avoid injuring folk feelings, and the major direction of recruiting social force emergency support is the carrying capacity provided by personnel and organizations of the disaster relief responsibility department, considering the professionality of disaster relief knowledge. Because the personnel and organizations of the non-disaster relief responsibility departments have a large number of vehicles and drivers with transportation experience, the probability of accident occurrence in the process of supporting disaster relief can be reduced, and meanwhile, the disaster relief effect is better as the disaster relief materials are more.
Of course, the social force emergency support can also comprise professional disaster relief manpower and material or other support, for example, personnel can monitor the water level of the river in real time, monitor whether the river bank is landslide or damaged, and the like, and even if the information is reported, the disaster relief command center can more easily understand the current disaster condition.
The determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support includes: determining a predicted traffic state according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time; issuing recruitment information, the recruitment information comprising: the starting position, the disaster recovery site, the predicted traffic state, the transportation required time and the predicted transportation quantity; correspondingly, the recruitment results include: the social strength emergency support moves the supplies, the traffic volume of the disaster relief personnel, and the completion time according to the recruitment information.
Whether disaster response preparation and personnel evacuation before disaster occurs, disaster relief and personnel rescue during disaster occurrence, reconstruction after disaster occurrence, personnel return and other actions are realized by means of transport vehicles, the operation of the transport vehicles depends on traffic information in an area, and the acquisition can be realized or the analysis can be performed according to historical data obtained through monitoring through road monitoring. The time required for executing the disaster relief plan can be reasonably estimated according to the traffic information in the area.
The social strength emergency support is personnel and/or organizations engaged in logistics work; correspondingly, the recruitment results include: the social force emergency support provides additional capacity on the basis of the present job according to the own work plan to move the materials, the traffic volume of the disaster relief personnel and the completion time according to the recruitment information.
The predicted traffic state includes a viable route and a non-viable route; correspondingly, the recruitment results include: the social strength emergency support confirms that the infeasible route is a feasible route according to the route driving experience of the social strength emergency support and provides corresponding capacity support.
Social strength emergency support is certainly best if it is able to provide a wide variety of transport capacity and resources. However, the total amount of the emergency support of the social strength is actually very large and far exceeds the actual demand, and a great amount of consumption or loss is generated under the condition of full force input, and if the loss exceeds a certain limit, the problem that the civil requirement is compensated may occur. In addition, since statistics of data is not easy to be performed during disasters, the amount of compensation is not easy to be determined, which causes various disputes and is not beneficial to the stability of society. By providing additional transport capacity on the basis of the job by the social force emergency support according to the self work plan, the possibility of subsequent disputes can be reduced, and the enthusiasm of the social force emergency support is not damaged.
When the social force emergency support is a person in the logistics industry, because the requirement of the business is familiar with a certain route, various difficulties can be overcome, in this case, the infeasible route can be changed into a feasible route, for example, a certain road section is frequently accumulated water, the A company purchases special vehicles specially to overcome the accumulated water, or the technology of the driver is higher and the driver is familiar with the road condition and can normally pass. The areas with more disaster situations are generally built in a targeted manner so as to reduce the probability and the frequency of later disaster situations, so that the probability of new places is not small. In consideration of new changes of the disaster situation, the original storage place of the material staff is far away from the disaster place or cannot be used with the route of the original disaster relief plan, and the difficulties can be overcome through social strength emergency support.
The application provides a storage medium, which is used for storing an algorithm, and calculating a disaster prediction position and disaster prediction time based on weather information outside an area, water area information and disaster history records in the area; determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time; and outputting flood warning information based on the recruitment result, the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time.
Weather is not generated in isolation, particularly weather such as rainfall/cooling and the like can be generated from the beginning to the end along with cold air, so that weather change trend of the area can be effectively predicted in advance through sharing weather information outside the area. One important reason for flood disaster is that the amount of water flowing into the area in the up-flow water area is larger than the limit, and the area cannot timely process the water amount to cause overflow, so that the accuracy of flood disaster prediction can be improved through sharing of water area information outside the area. The area is a current area or a designated target area, and the periphery of the area is adjacent to the area or an area corresponding to an important river in the area and flowing upwards. The disaster near time period is a predicted period of time for which the flood disaster occurs, and comprises a plurality of times before occurrence, a plurality of time durations after occurrence and a plurality of times after the disaster. One of the reasons for flooding is that the soil and waterways of the current area cannot hold enough water, so that in practice, some areas often have disasters due to the soil and topography. Those areas can be analyzed based on the disaster history record in the area to be more likely to flood.
The flood warning information at least comprises: disaster prediction position and disaster prediction time; additional information may be output based on the recruitment results, such as if the social strength emergency support provides sufficient capacity to sustain official transportation needs, and if there are more unofficial personnel supplies provided, the intensity of the pre-warning may be reduced, otherwise the intensity of the pre-warning may be increased to alert local personnel to evacuation or to stop the class and shutdown. The rainfall is more, the water quantity is more, and the scale of disasters is also large. If the disaster scale is large, more materials and people are needed, if the people and the materials are enough to cope with the current disaster, the early warning intensity can be reduced if the people and the materials are not considered to be too stressed, otherwise, if the people and the materials are not enough to cope with the current disaster, the disaster is considered to possibly cause the loss of equipment and the people, and the early warning intensity needs to be improved. If the early warning intensity is low, people do not need to be evacuated, otherwise, the lessons and the industries may need to be stopped.
Disaster relief plans are a collection of various materials and actions taken by disaster relief. The implementation of these disaster relief plans requires the reliance on transportation, which requires time and route confirmation. Social strength emergency support refers to subjects and behaviors outside of authorities/other subjects who are under legal obligations. The aim of recruitment is mainly to achieve the transfer of materials and personnel through social strength emergency support, as well as other actions that aid in disaster prevention and relief (e.g. reinforcing buildings, helping to evacuate personnel, etc.). The results of the recruitment included: how many individuals or organizations can provide capacity, the total amount of capacity and the time required to perform a task, the amount of manpower, the number of vehicles, etc.
The flood warning aims to reduce disasters to personnel and power equipment caused by disasters. In theory, people evacuation and material preparation are arranged as long as signs of disaster occur, so that the disaster can be reduced to the limit, but in practice, the instant of people and the transportation of materials can all cause certain consumption, so that in practice, only warning is carried out under the condition of low risk, and the movement of people and materials is not carried out; or, the disaster preparation is completed in the shortest time before the disaster occurs, so that the consumption can be reduced. Based on the disaster approaching period and the expected execution period, flood warning information is output, and consumption of warning can be reduced.
Those of ordinary skill in the art will appreciate that the elements of the examples described in connection with the embodiments disclosed herein can be implemented as electronic hardware, computer software, or combinations of both, and that the elements of the examples have been described generally in terms of functionality in the foregoing description to clearly illustrate this interchangeability of hardware and software. Whether such functionality is implemented as hardware or software depends upon the particular application and design constraints imposed on the solution. Skilled artisans may implement the described functionality in varying ways for each particular application, but such implementation decisions should not be interpreted as causing a departure from the scope of the present application.
In the embodiments provided in the present application, it should be understood that the division of the units is merely a logic function division, and there may be other division manners in actual implementation, for example, multiple units may be combined into one unit, one unit may be split into multiple units, or some features may be omitted.
Finally, it should be noted that: the above embodiments are only for illustrating the technical solution of the present application, and not for limiting the same; although the application has been described in detail with reference to the foregoing embodiments, it will be understood by those of ordinary skill in the art that: the technical scheme described in the foregoing embodiments can be modified or some or all of the technical features thereof can be replaced by equivalents; such modifications and substitutions do not depart from the spirit of the application, and are intended to be included within the scope of the appended claims and description.
Claims (10)
1. A flooding early warning method based on social strength emergency support is characterized by comprising the following steps:
calculating a disaster prediction position and disaster prediction time based on the weather information outside the area, the water area information and the disaster history record inside the area;
determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time;
and outputting flood warning information based on the recruitment result, the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time.
2. The flood warning method based on social strength emergency support according to claim 1, wherein the disaster relief plan comprises movement of materials and/or disaster relief personnel, and the social strength emergency support comprises transport capacity provided by personnel and organizations of non-disaster relief responsibility departments;
correspondingly, the determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time comprises the following steps:
determining a transportation starting place and a destination based on the disaster prediction position, the material and the starting position of the disaster relief personnel;
and the social force emergency support provides transport capacity to transport the materials and the disaster relief personnel to a disaster preparation place matched with the disaster prediction position in the time corresponding to the disaster prediction time.
3. The method of claim 2, wherein determining a relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support comprises:
determining a predicted traffic state according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time;
issuing recruitment information, the recruitment information comprising: the starting position, the disaster recovery site, the predicted traffic state, the transportation required time and the predicted transportation quantity;
correspondingly, the recruitment results include:
the social strength emergency support moves the supplies, the traffic volume of the disaster relief personnel, and the completion time according to the recruitment information.
4. The flooding pre-warning method based on social strength emergency support according to claim 3, wherein the social strength emergency support is a person and/or organization engaged in logistics work;
correspondingly, the recruitment results include:
the social force emergency support provides additional capacity on the basis of the present job according to the own work plan to move the materials, the traffic volume of the disaster relief personnel and the completion time according to the recruitment information.
5. The method of claim 4, wherein the predicted traffic state includes viable routes and non-viable routes;
correspondingly, the recruitment results include:
the social strength emergency support confirms that the infeasible route is a feasible route according to the route driving experience of the social strength emergency support and provides corresponding capacity support.
6. A flooding warning system based on social strength emergency support, comprising:
the first module is used for calculating disaster prediction positions and disaster prediction time based on the weather information outside the area, the water area information and the disaster history record inside the area;
a second module for determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support based on the disaster prediction location and the disaster prediction time;
and a third module for outputting flood warning information based on the recruitment result, the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time.
7. The flood warning system based on social strength emergency support according to claim 6, wherein the disaster relief plan comprises movements of supplies and/or disaster relief personnel, and the social strength emergency support comprises transport capacity provided by personnel and organizations of non-disaster relief responsibility departments;
correspondingly, the determining a disaster relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time comprises the following steps:
determining a transportation starting place and a destination based on the disaster prediction position, the material and the starting position of the disaster relief personnel;
and the social force emergency support provides transport capacity to transport the materials and the disaster relief personnel to a disaster preparation place matched with the disaster prediction position in the time corresponding to the disaster prediction time.
8. The system of claim 7, wherein the determining a relief plan to recruit social strength emergency support comprises:
determining a predicted traffic state according to the disaster prediction position and the disaster prediction time;
issuing recruitment information, the recruitment information comprising: the starting position, the disaster recovery site, the predicted traffic state, the transportation required time and the predicted transportation quantity;
correspondingly, the recruitment results include:
the social strength emergency support moves the supplies, the traffic volume of the disaster relief personnel, and the completion time according to the recruitment information.
9. The flood warning system based on social strength emergency support of claim 8, wherein the social strength emergency support is personnel and/or organizations engaged in logistical work;
correspondingly, the recruitment results include:
the social force emergency support provides additional capacity on the basis of the present job according to the own work plan to move the materials, the traffic volume of the disaster relief personnel and the completion time according to the recruitment information.
10. The social strength emergency support based flood warning system of claim 9, wherein the predicted traffic status comprises viable routes and non-viable routes;
correspondingly, the recruitment results include:
the social strength emergency support confirms that the infeasible route is a feasible route according to the route driving experience of the social strength emergency support and provides corresponding capacity support.
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| CN202310935696.6A CN117079421A (en) | 2023-07-27 | 2023-07-27 | Flood early warning method and system based on social strength emergency support |
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| CN202310935696.6A CN117079421A (en) | 2023-07-27 | 2023-07-27 | Flood early warning method and system based on social strength emergency support |
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