CN116597693A - A monitoring system and method for inland waterway transportation - Google Patents

A monitoring system and method for inland waterway transportation Download PDF

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CN116597693A
CN116597693A CN202310603239.7A CN202310603239A CN116597693A CN 116597693 A CN116597693 A CN 116597693A CN 202310603239 A CN202310603239 A CN 202310603239A CN 116597693 A CN116597693 A CN 116597693A
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李芳�
林胜亮
章翔
张敏
水宜水
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Abstract

The present disclosure relates to a inland navigation monitoring system and method, the system comprising: the acquisition module is used for acquiring multisource information of navigation of the target ship; the data processing module is in communication connection with the acquisition module and is used for receiving the multi-source information and obtaining a prediction result of the future navigation condition of the target ship according to the multi-source information; the pre-warning module is in communication connection with the data processing module and is used for judging whether the target ship needs to perform pre-warning or warning according to the obtained prediction result; the data transmission module is respectively in communication connection with the data processing module and the pre-alarm module and is used for constructing a wireless self-organizing communication network by taking each ship and/or shore as an interaction node. The method is applied to the system. The method has the advantages of high coverage and reliability, can accurately monitor, early warn and alarm the inland shipping ships, is favorable for reducing the accident occurrence probability of the inland shipping ships, reduces personnel and property loss, has low application cost, and is suitable for inland shipping scenes.

Description

一种内河航运监控系统及方法A monitoring system and method for inland waterway transportation

技术领域technical field

本公开涉及航运监控技术领域,具体涉及一种内河航运监控系统及方法。The present disclosure relates to the technical field of shipping monitoring, in particular to an inland shipping monitoring system and method.

背景技术Background technique

内河航运产业在我国国民经济发展中占据重要位置,目前内河航运船舶基本配备AIS(Automatic Identification System,船舶自动识别系统),同时辅助配备船舶定位设备、船用雷达、船载传感仪器等,但目前各个系统或设备之间单独应用,没有在内河航运保障体系中良好融合,且目前的航运监控系统多应用于海上运输船舶,其存在以下缺陷:The inland shipping industry occupies an important position in the development of my country's national economy. At present, inland shipping ships are basically equipped with AIS (Automatic Identification System, automatic identification system for ships), and at the same time are auxiliary equipped with ship positioning equipment, marine radar, ship-borne sensing instruments, etc., but currently Each system or equipment is applied separately, and it is not well integrated in the inland waterway shipping security system, and the current shipping monitoring system is mostly used on sea transport ships, which has the following defects:

其一,当前的航运监控系统多采用传统无线网络进行通信,忽略了内河航道的自然条件及建设成本限制,在偏远内河航道和大部分缺乏基站建设的航行区域难以有效覆盖,影响航运监控系统的覆盖度和可靠性;First, the current shipping monitoring system mostly uses traditional wireless networks for communication, ignoring the natural conditions and construction cost constraints of inland waterways. It is difficult to effectively cover remote inland waterways and most navigation areas lacking base station construction, which affects the effectiveness of shipping monitoring systems. coverage and reliability;

其二,当前没有专用于内河航运场景中,针对内河航运特殊航况和船舶常见事故的可靠预警报警系统,导致无法及时地对内河航运船舶进行预警和报警,造成人员和财产损失。Second, there is currently no reliable early warning and alarm system dedicated to inland waterway shipping scenarios for special navigation conditions of inland waterway shipping and common ship accidents, resulting in the inability to provide early warning and alarm to inland waterway shipping ships in a timely manner, resulting in loss of personnel and property.

综上所述,现有的海上航运监控系统未能良好地应用于内河航运系统中,存在覆盖度和可靠性低、不能有效预警和报警的缺陷。To sum up, the existing maritime shipping monitoring system has not been well applied to the inland shipping system, and has the defects of low coverage and reliability, and ineffective early warning and alarm.

发明内容Contents of the invention

为了解决上述现有技术存在的问题,本公开目的在于提供一种内河航运监控系统及方法。本公开具有覆盖度和可靠性高、能准确地对内河航运船舶进行监控、预警和报警,有利于减少内河航运船舶的事故发生概率,减少人员和财产损失,且应用成本低,适用于内河航运场景中。In order to solve the above-mentioned problems in the prior art, the purpose of the present disclosure is to provide a monitoring system and method for inland waterway transportation. The disclosure has high coverage and reliability, can accurately monitor, warn and alarm inland waterway ships, is conducive to reducing the accident probability of inland waterway ships, reduces personnel and property losses, and has low application cost, and is suitable for inland waterway shipping scene.

本公开所述的一种内河航运监控系统,包括:An inland waterway monitoring system described in the present disclosure includes:

采集模块,其用于采集目标船舶航行的多源信息,所述多源信息包括环境信息、船舶定位信息以及船舶状态信息;A collection module, which is used to collect multi-source information of the navigation of the target ship, and the multi-source information includes environmental information, ship positioning information and ship status information;

数据处理模块,其与所述采集模块通信连接,用于接收所述多源信息,并根据所述多源信息,获得目标船舶未来航行状况的预测结果;A data processing module, which is connected in communication with the acquisition module, and is used to receive the multi-source information, and obtain a prediction result of the future navigation status of the target ship according to the multi-source information;

预报警模块,其与所述数据处理模块通信连接,用于根据所得预测结果判断目标船舶是否需要进行预警或报警;A pre-alarm module, which is connected in communication with the data processing module, is used to judge whether the target ship needs to perform an early warning or an alarm according to the obtained prediction result;

数据传输模块,其分别与所述数据处理模块、所述预报警模块通信连接,用于以每个船舶和/或岸基为交互节点构建无线自组织通信网络;所述预报警模块在判断目标船舶需要进行预警或报警时,将预警信息或报警信息通过所述无线自组织通信网络传输至其他船舶和/或岸基。Data transmission module, it is connected with described data processing module, described pre-alarm module communication respectively, is used for building wireless ad hoc communication network with each ship and/or shore base as interactive node; Described pre-alarm module judges target When the ship needs to perform early warning or alarm, the early warning information or alarm information is transmitted to other ships and/or shore bases through the wireless self-organizing communication network.

优选地,所述采集模块包括:Preferably, the collection module includes:

船载传感器单元,其包括船舶姿态传感器、风速传感器、船舶吃水传感器、定位模组中的至少一种或多种;Shipborne sensor unit, which includes at least one or more of a ship attitude sensor, a wind speed sensor, a ship draft sensor, and a positioning module;

AIS服务单元,其用于获取目标船舶的船名、符号、船位、船速和船向信息;AIS service unit, which is used to obtain the ship name, symbol, ship position, ship speed and ship direction information of the target ship;

船用雷达单元,其用于辅助获取目标船舶的定位信息。The marine radar unit is used to assist in obtaining the positioning information of the target ship.

优选地,所述数据处理模块根据所述多源信息,获得目标船舶未来航行状况的预测结果具体为:Preferably, the data processing module obtains the prediction result of the future navigation status of the target ship according to the multi-source information, specifically:

事故分类:获取目标船舶航行航道事故原因不同的多起航运事故报告分析,按事故类型对所述多起航运事故报告分析进行分类作为训练集;Accident classification: Obtain the analysis of multiple shipping accident reports with different causes of accidents in the navigation channel of the target ship, and classify the analysis of the multiple shipping accident reports according to the type of accident as a training set;

模型训练:将所得训练集作为ISM-BN模型的输入数据,构建用于预测船舶发生各类型事故概率的预测模型;Model training: use the obtained training set as the input data of the ISM-BN model to construct a prediction model for predicting the probability of various types of accidents on ships;

结果预测:实时获取目标船舶的多源信息,将目标船舶的多源信息输入到所得预测模型中,获得目标船舶发生各类型事故的概率,即为目标船舶未来航行状况的预测结果。Result prediction: obtain the multi-source information of the target ship in real time, input the multi-source information of the target ship into the obtained prediction model, and obtain the probability of various types of accidents on the target ship, which is the prediction result of the future navigation status of the target ship.

优选地,所述事故分类中,事故类型分为碰撞、自沉、搁浅、触碰或其他。Preferably, in the accident classification, accident types are classified into collision, self-submersion, grounding, contact or others.

优选地,所述模型训练具体为:Preferably, the model training is specifically:

按事故原因进行船舶航行参数设置,所述船舶航行参数包括船舶航行状况、船况、船龄、船舶尺寸、船型、载货状况、天气条件、水文条件、航道条件和水域条件;Ship navigation parameters are set according to the cause of the accident, and the ship navigation parameters include ship navigation status, ship condition, ship age, ship size, ship type, cargo status, weather conditions, hydrological conditions, channel conditions and water conditions;

根据各船舶航行参数之间是否存在相互影响,构建用于表征各船舶航行参数间相互关系的邻接矩阵,根据所得邻接矩阵计算获得可达矩阵,根据所得可达矩阵确定不同船舶航行参数间的分级可得关于该航道船舶的航行事故影响因素ISM;According to whether there is mutual influence between the navigation parameters of each ship, an adjacency matrix used to characterize the relationship between the navigation parameters of each ship is constructed, and the accessibility matrix is obtained according to the obtained adjacency matrix, and the classification of different ship navigation parameters is determined according to the obtained accessibility matrix Influencing factors ISM of navigation accidents of ships in the channel can be obtained;

构建关于各航行事故影响因素ISM的模糊逻辑关系;Construct the fuzzy logic relationship about the ISM of each navigation accident influencing factor;

将所得训练集作为输入数据,构建用于表征事故类型与各航行事故影响因素ISM映射关系的拓扑网络,该拓扑网络即为所述预测模型。The obtained training set is used as input data to construct a topological network for characterizing the mapping relationship between the type of accident and the ISM of each navigation accident influencing factor, and the topological network is the prediction model.

优选地,所述结果预测具体为:Preferably, the result prediction is specifically:

将目标船舶的多源信息中的对应参数输入到所述预测模型中,获得目标船舶发生各类型事故概率。The corresponding parameters in the multi-source information of the target ship are input into the prediction model to obtain the probability of various types of accidents occurring on the target ship.

优选地,所述预报警模块根据所得预测结果判断目标船舶是否需要进行预警或报警具体为:Preferably, the pre-alarm module judges whether the target ship needs to carry out early warning or alarm according to the obtained prediction result, specifically:

当满足任一类型事故的发生概率大于75%,或者事故加权总概率大于80%时,判断目标船舶需要进行预警;When the occurrence probability of any type of accident is greater than 75%, or the accident weighted total probability When it is greater than 80%, it is judged that the target ship needs to carry out early warning;

当满足任一类型事故的发生概率大于95%,或者事故加权总概率大于90%时,判断目标船舶需要进行报警。When the occurrence probability of any type of accident is greater than 95%, or the accident weighted total probability When it is greater than 90%, it is judged that the target ship needs to give an alarm.

优选地,所述事故加权总概率按如下公式计算:Preferably, the accident weighted total probability Calculate according to the following formula:

其中,a=47%表示目标船舶发生碰撞事故概率的权重,pa表示目标船舶发生碰撞事故的概率;Among them, a=47% represents the weight of the probability of the collision accident of the target ship, and p a represents the probability of the collision accident of the target ship;

b=18%表示目标船舶发生自沉事故概率的权重,pb表示目标船舶发生自沉事故的概率;b=18% represents the weight of the probability of self-sinking of the target ship, and p b represents the probability of self-sinking of the target ship;

c=13%表示目标船舶发生搁浅事故概率的权重,pc表示目标船舶发生搁浅事故的概率;c=13% represents the weight of the probability of the grounding accident of the target ship, and p c represents the probability of the grounding accident of the target ship;

d=12%表示目标船舶发生触碰事故概率的权重,pd表示目标船舶发生触碰事故的概率;d=12% represents the weight of the probability of a collision accident occurring on the target ship, and p d represents the probability of a collision accident occurring on the target ship;

e=10%表示目标船舶发生其他事故概率的权重,pe表示目标船舶发生其他事故的概率。e=10% represents the weight of the probability of other accidents occurring to the target ship, and p e represents the probability of other accidents occurring on the target ship.

优选地,所述无线自组织通信网络为MANET网络。Preferably, the wireless ad hoc communication network is a MANET network.

本公开的一种内河航运监控方法,其特征在于,应用如上所述的内河航运监控系统,包括以下步骤:An inland shipping monitoring method of the present disclosure is characterized in that applying the above-mentioned inland shipping monitoring system includes the following steps:

以每个船舶和/或岸基为交互节点构建无线自组织通信网络;Construct a wireless self-organizing communication network with each ship and/or shore base as an interactive node;

采集目标船舶航行的多源信息,所述多源信息包括环境信息、船舶定位信息以及船舶状态信息;Collecting multi-source information on the navigation of the target ship, the multi-source information includes environmental information, ship positioning information and ship status information;

根据所述多源信息,获得目标船舶未来航行状况的预测结果;According to the multi-source information, the prediction result of the future navigation status of the target ship is obtained;

根据所得预测结果判断目标船舶是否需要进行预警或报警;According to the obtained prediction results, it is judged whether the target ship needs to carry out early warning or alarm;

在判断目标船舶需要进行预警或报警时,将预警信息或报警信息通过所述无线自组织通信网络传输至其他船舶和/或岸基。When it is judged that the target ship needs to perform early warning or alarm, the early warning information or alarm information is transmitted to other ships and/or shore bases through the wireless self-organizing communication network.

本公开所述的一种内河航运监控系统及方法,其优点在于:The advantages of the inland waterway monitoring system and method described in the present disclosure are:

1、本公开针对内河航运船舶吨位小、运输速度慢、运营成本低,且数量较多的特点,运用无线自组织通信网络技术,将每艘航行船舶作为交互节点,建立多节点的互连网络,可为内河船舶提供大量的信息传输业务,能够及时地将船舶的预警信息和报警信息传输给附近的航行船舶和岸基,实现预警信息和报警信息的快速高效传输,可快速建立、不依赖于固定主干网,尤其适用于偏远内河自然航道和大部分缺乏基站建设的航行区域,将可有效提高内河航运系统的覆盖度和可靠性,并且具有应用难度小、应用成本低、适用性广泛的优点;1. This disclosure aims at the characteristics of small tonnage, slow transportation speed, low operating cost, and large number of inland waterway shipping ships. Using wireless self-organizing communication network technology, each sailing ship is used as an interactive node to establish a multi-node interconnection network. , can provide a large number of information transmission services for inland ships, and can timely transmit early warning information and alarm information of ships to nearby navigation ships and shore bases, realizing fast and efficient transmission of early warning information and alarm information, which can be quickly established and does not rely on It is suitable for fixed backbone networks, especially for remote inland natural waterways and most navigation areas lacking base station construction. It will effectively improve the coverage and reliability of the inland waterway system, and has the advantages of low application difficulty, low application cost and wide applicability. advantage;

2、本公开构建用于预测船舶发生各类型事故概率的预测模型,通过采集模块实时获取目标船舶的多源信息,并基于多源信息可获得目标船舶发生各类型事故的预测概率,基于所得预测概率对目标船舶进行及时、准确地预警和报警,有利于减少内河航运船舶的事故发生概率,减少人员和财产损失。2. This disclosure builds a prediction model for predicting the probability of various types of accidents on ships. The multi-source information of the target ship is obtained in real time through the acquisition module, and based on the multi-source information, the predicted probability of various types of accidents on the target ship can be obtained. Based on the obtained prediction Timely and accurate early warning and alarm for target ships is beneficial to reduce the accident probability of inland waterway ships and reduce the loss of personnel and property.

附图说明Description of drawings

图1是本实施例所述一种内河航运监控系统的结构框图;Fig. 1 is a structural block diagram of a kind of inland navigation monitoring system described in the present embodiment;

图2是本实施例所述内河船舶航行事故影响因素ISM的层级关系图;Fig. 2 is a hierarchical relationship diagram of the ISM of the influencing factors of the inland ship navigation accident described in the present embodiment;

图3是本实施例所述用于表征事故类型与各航行事故影响因素ISM映射关系的拓扑网络示意图。Fig. 3 is a schematic diagram of a topological network used to characterize the mapping relationship between accident types and navigation accident influencing factors ISM according to this embodiment.

具体实施方式Detailed ways

如图1所示,本公开所述的一种内河航运监控系统,包括:As shown in FIG. 1 , a monitoring system for inland waterway transportation described in the present disclosure includes:

采集模块,其用于采集目标船舶航行的多源信息,多源信息包括环境信息、船舶定位信息以及船舶状态信息,具体的,采集模块包括:The collection module is used to collect multi-source information of the target ship's navigation. The multi-source information includes environmental information, ship positioning information and ship status information. Specifically, the collection module includes:

船载传感器单元,其包括船舶姿态传感器、风速传感器、船舶吃水传感器和定位模组,船舶姿态传感器用于感应船舶姿态,风速传感器用于感应航行环境的风速,船舶吃水传感器用于感应船舶吃水深度,定位模组用于获取船舶定位信息,船载传感器单元主要用于获取AIS系统无法获取的船舶航行信息和航道自然环境信息,提升后续构造预测模型的预测精度。The shipborne sensor unit includes a ship attitude sensor, a wind speed sensor, a ship draft sensor and a positioning module. The ship attitude sensor is used to sense the ship attitude, the wind speed sensor is used to sense the wind speed of the navigation environment, and the ship draft sensor is used to sense the ship's draft , the positioning module is used to obtain ship positioning information, and the ship-mounted sensor unit is mainly used to obtain ship navigation information and channel natural environment information that cannot be obtained by the AIS system, so as to improve the prediction accuracy of the subsequent structure prediction model.

AIS服务单元,具体为现有的AIS系统,主要包括雷达、VHF通信机、GPS/北斗定位系统,主要用于采集目标船舶的船名、符号、船位、船速和船向信息;The AIS service unit, specifically the existing AIS system, mainly includes radar, VHF communicator, GPS/Beidou positioning system, and is mainly used to collect the ship name, symbol, ship position, ship speed and ship direction information of the target ship;

内河船用雷达单元,主要应用于配备了内河船用雷达的内河航运船只,主要起辅助定位获取精确船舶具体方位的作用。The inland river marine radar unit is mainly used in inland waterway shipping vessels equipped with inland river marine radar, and mainly plays the role of assisting positioning to obtain accurate ship specific azimuths.

数据处理模块,其与采集模块通信连接,用于接收采集模块采集的多源信息,并将多源信息集合,并运用相关算法构建船舶航行状况的数学模型,并运用船舶遇险经验系数、结合目标航道的事故数据来判断当前航行状况,然后进一步预测各类型事故发生概率,获得目标船舶未来航行状况的预测结果。The data processing module is connected with the acquisition module by communication, and is used to receive the multi-source information collected by the acquisition module, gather the multi-source information, and use relevant algorithms to construct a mathematical model of the ship's navigation status, and use the ship's distress experience coefficient, combined with the target The accident data of the waterway is used to judge the current navigation status, and then further predict the probability of various types of accidents to obtain the prediction results of the target ship's future navigation status.

内河船舶事故预测模型主要运用ISM-BN数学模型为基础构建,具体如下:The accident prediction model for inland ships is mainly constructed on the basis of the ISM-BN mathematical model, as follows:

事故分类:从中国海事局官网收集目标船舶航行航道,如珠江航道发生的事故原因不同的多起航运事故报告分析,按事故类型对多起航运事故报告分析进行分类作为训练集,示例性的分类如下:Accident Classification: Collect target ship navigation channels from the official website of the China Maritime Safety Administration, such as the Pearl River Channel, for the analysis of multiple shipping accident reports with different causes, and classify the analysis of multiple shipping accident reports by accident type as a training set, exemplary classification as follows:

将事故类型分为a碰撞、b自沉、c搁浅、d触碰或e其他,其中,其他事故包括爆炸、倾覆等较少见的航运事故。The types of accidents are divided into a collision, b self-sinking, c grounding, d touch or e other, among which other accidents include explosion, capsizing and other rare shipping accidents.

模型训练:将所得训练集作为ISM-BN模型的输入数据,构建用于预测船舶发生各类型事故概率的预测模型;具体为:Model training: use the obtained training set as the input data of the ISM-BN model to construct a prediction model for predicting the probability of various types of accidents on ships; specifically:

按事故原因进行船舶航行参数设置,所述船舶航行参数包括船舶航行状况x1、船况x2、船龄x3、船舶尺寸x4、船型x5、载货状况x6、天气条件x7、水文条件x8、航道条件x9和水域条件x10;Ship navigation parameters are set according to the cause of the accident, and the ship navigation parameters include ship navigation status x1, ship condition x2, ship age x3, ship size x4, ship type x5, cargo status x6, weather conditions x7, hydrological conditions x8, channel conditions x9 and water conditions x10;

其中不同参数获取方式为,船况x2、船龄x3、船舶尺寸x4、船型x5为静态数据,在航行过程中不变,可通过航运公司或AIS获取;Among them, different parameter acquisition methods are: ship condition x2, ship age x3, ship size x4, ship type x5 are static data, which will not change during the voyage, and can be obtained through shipping companies or AIS;

载货状况x6为变动值,在运输前船员设置输入,并可随航运过程进行调整,天气条件x7、水文条件x8、航道条件x9和水域条件x10通过船载传感器和AIS系统获取并输入。Cargo status x6 is a variable value, which is set and input by the crew before transportation, and can be adjusted during the shipping process. Weather conditions x7, hydrological conditions x8, channel conditions x9 and water conditions x10 are acquired and input through on-board sensors and AIS systems.

船舶航行状况x1为船舶航行时的多项动态数据,包括船舶姿态、吃水深度、主机转速等,可根据对应传感器或读取船舶控制系统获得。Ship navigation status x1 is a number of dynamic data when the ship is sailing, including ship attitude, draft, main engine speed, etc., which can be obtained by corresponding sensors or by reading the ship control system.

根据各船舶航行参数之间是否存在相互影响,构建用于表征各船舶航行参数间相互关系的邻接矩阵,不同参数间有影响则设为1,无影响则设为0,然后根据邻接矩阵经过布尔代数规则运算得到可达矩阵如下表1:According to whether there is mutual influence between the navigation parameters of each ship, an adjacency matrix used to characterize the relationship between the navigation parameters of each ship is constructed. If there is an influence between different parameters, it is set to 1, and if there is no influence, it is set to 0. Then, according to the adjacency matrix, the Boolean The algebraic rule operation obtains the reachable matrix as shown in Table 1:

表1.可达矩阵Table 1. Reachability matrix

根据可达矩阵确定不同船舶航行参数间的分级可得关于该航道船舶的航行事故影响因素ISM的层级关系如图2;According to the accessibility matrix to determine the grading between the navigation parameters of different ships, the hierarchical relationship of ISM on the factors affecting navigation accidents of ships in this channel can be obtained as shown in Figure 2;

基于上述可达矩阵,构建关于各航行事故影响因素ISM的模糊逻辑关系如下表2:Based on the above-mentioned reachable matrix, the fuzzy logic relationship of the ISM of each navigation accident influencing factor is constructed as shown in Table 2:

表2.参数模糊逻辑关系Table 2. Parameter fuzzy logic relationship

在上述获得航道船舶的航行事故影响因素ISM的层级关系后,通过输入所得训练集,构建用于表征事故类型与各航行事故影响因素ISM映射关系的拓扑网络,该拓扑网络如图3所示,包括11个节点,该拓扑网络即为所述预测模型。After obtaining the hierarchical relationship of the ISM of the navigation accident influencing factors of the channel ship, the topological network used to characterize the mapping relationship between the accident type and each navigation accident influencing factor ISM is constructed by inputting the obtained training set. The topological network is shown in Figure 3. Including 11 nodes, this topological network is the prediction model.

结果预测:实时获取目标船舶的多源信息,将目标船舶的多源信息输入到所得预测模型中,获得目标船舶发生各类型事故的概率,即为目标船舶未来航行状况的预测结果。Result prediction: obtain the multi-source information of the target ship in real time, input the multi-source information of the target ship into the obtained prediction model, and obtain the probability of various types of accidents on the target ship, which is the prediction result of the future navigation status of the target ship.

结果预测具体为:The result predictions are specifically:

将目标船舶的多源信息中的对应参数输入到所述预测模型中,获得目标船舶发生各类型事故概率。The corresponding parameters in the multi-source information of the target ship are input into the prediction model to obtain the probability of various types of accidents occurring on the target ship.

具体的,将多源信息中的对应参数输入到所得预测模型中,通过计数学习法,令每个节点计算后验概率。Specifically, the corresponding parameters in the multi-source information are input into the obtained prediction model, and each node is made to calculate the posterior probability by counting learning method.

预报警模块,其与所述数据处理模块通信连接,用于根据所得预测结果判断目标船舶是否需要进行预警或报警;具体为:A pre-alarm module, which is connected in communication with the data processing module, is used to judge whether the target ship needs to carry out an early warning or an alarm according to the obtained prediction result; specifically:

当满足任一类型事故的发生概率大于75%,或者事故加权总概率大于80%时,判断目标船舶需要进行预警;When the occurrence probability of any type of accident is greater than 75%, or the accident weighted total probability When it is greater than 80%, it is judged that the target ship needs to carry out early warning;

当满足任一类型事故的发生概率大于95%,或者事故加权总概率大于90%时,判断目标船舶需要进行报警;When the occurrence probability of any type of accident is greater than 95%, or the accident weighted total probability When it is greater than 90%, it is judged that the target ship needs to issue an alarm;

更具体的,为了提高在内河航道这一特定场景中的预测精度,根据内河航道的常见事故类型对各事故类型进行加权运算,具体如下:More specifically, in order to improve the prediction accuracy in the specific scene of inland waterways, weighting calculations are performed on each accident type according to the common accident types of inland waterways, as follows:

其中,a=47%表示目标船舶发生碰撞事故概率的权重,pa表示目标船舶发生碰撞事故的概率;Among them, a=47% represents the weight of the probability of the collision accident of the target ship, and p a represents the probability of the collision accident of the target ship;

b=18%表示目标船舶发生自沉事故概率的权重,pb表示目标船舶发生自沉事故的概率;b=18% represents the weight of the probability of self-sinking of the target ship, and p b represents the probability of self-sinking of the target ship;

c=13%表示目标船舶发生搁浅事故概率的权重,pc表示目标船舶发生搁浅事故的概率;c=13% represents the weight of the probability of the grounding accident of the target ship, and p c represents the probability of the grounding accident of the target ship;

d=12%表示目标船舶发生触碰事故概率的权重,pd表示目标船舶发生触碰事故的概率;d=12% represents the weight of the probability of a collision accident occurring on the target ship, and p d represents the probability of a collision accident occurring on the target ship;

e=10%表示目标船舶发生其他事故概率的权重,pe表示目标船舶发生其他事故的概率。e=10% represents the weight of the probability of other accidents occurring to the target ship, and p e represents the probability of other accidents occurring on the target ship.

上述预测模型在后续应用过程中保持结构不变,通过修改输入不同船舶的信息来对不同目标船舶进行未来航行状况预测。The structure of the above prediction model remains unchanged in the subsequent application process, and the future navigation status of different target ships is predicted by modifying the input information of different ships.

数据传输模块,其分别与数据处理模块、预报警模块通信连接,用于以每个船舶和/或岸基为交互节点构建无线自组织通信网络;具体的,该无线自组织通信网络为MANET网络,以航运系统内每艘船舶或岸基为一个交互节点,实现船舶预警和报警信息的传输。The data transmission module is connected with the data processing module and the pre-alarm module respectively, and is used to construct a wireless self-organizing communication network with each ship and/or shore base as an interactive node; specifically, the wireless self-organizing communication network is a MANET network , using each ship or shore base in the shipping system as an interactive node to realize the transmission of ship early warning and alarm information.

预报警模块,其与所述数据处理模块通信连接,用于根据所得预测结果判断目标船舶是否需要进行预警或报警;A pre-alarm module, which is connected in communication with the data processing module, is used to judge whether the target ship needs to perform an early warning or an alarm according to the obtained prediction result;

预报警模块,为全程均可发生系统,一般而言作决策于数据传输模块前并贯穿后续全部救援环节,但如遇特殊情况,可跳过全部环节,直接于数据传输模块前发挥主观作用,可灵活使用,其内部存储有固化的国际求救信号信息和传输系统启动信息,一经非程序启动,将以船舶最坏的遇险数据传输至其余船舶或岸基等求救组织。The pre-alarm module is a system that can occur throughout the whole process. Generally speaking, decisions are made before the data transmission module and run through all subsequent rescue links. However, in case of special circumstances, all links can be skipped and the subjective role can be played directly in front of the data transmission module. It can be used flexibly, and it stores solidified international distress signal information and transmission system activation information inside. Once non-programmed activation, it will transmit the worst distress data of the ship to other ships or shore-based rescue organizations.

本实施例所述内河航运监控系统的工作过程为:The working process of the inland waterway monitoring system described in this embodiment is:

内河船舶正常航运任务,采集模块实时获取船舶航行信息,并分时间间隔的传输至数据处理模块后,数据处理模块及时分析船舶信息参数,得到分析结果后传输至预报警模块做出判断,若结果达到发出预警信息或报警信息的条件,则数据传输模块通过无线自组织网络发送预警信息或报警信息至岸基救援系统和附近装载此系统的船舶,求救流程结束。For normal shipping tasks of inland ships, the acquisition module acquires ship navigation information in real time and transmits it to the data processing module at time intervals. When the conditions for sending early warning information or alarm information are met, the data transmission module sends early warning information or alarm information to the shore-based rescue system and nearby ships equipped with the system through the wireless self-organizing network, and the rescue process ends.

若分析结果未达到发出预警信息或报警信息的条件,则将分析结果存储于船上服务器或其他移动存储器内,并将信息用于预测未来不同时间段船舶参数变化可能。If the analysis result does not meet the conditions for issuing early warning information or alarm information, the analysis result is stored in the on-board server or other mobile memory, and the information is used to predict the possibility of changes in ship parameters in different time periods in the future.

在其他优选的实施例中,数据处理模块还可结合收集的多源信息,将海上二维平面航行状况通过集成形成类三维结构进行展示,使分析模型更加直观准确。In other preferred embodiments, the data processing module can also combine the collected multi-source information to display the two-dimensional plane navigation status at sea by integrating into a three-dimensional structure to make the analysis model more intuitive and accurate.

本公开针对内河航运船舶吨位小、运输速度慢、运营成本低,且数量较多的特点,运用无线自组织通信网络技术,将每艘航行船舶作为交互节点,建立多节点的互连网络,可为内河船舶提供大量的信息传输业务,能够及时地将船舶的预警信息和报警信息传输给附近的航行船舶和岸基,实现预警信息和报警信息的快速高效传输,可快速建立、不依赖于固定主干网,尤其适用于偏远内河自然航道和大部分缺乏基站建设的航行区域,将可有效提高内河航运系统的覆盖度和可靠性,并且具有应用难度小、应用成本低、适用性广泛的优点;Aiming at the characteristics of small tonnage, slow transportation speed, low operating cost and large number of inland waterway shipping ships, this disclosure uses wireless self-organizing communication network technology to use each sailing ship as an interactive node to establish a multi-node interconnection network, which can Provide a large number of information transmission services for inland ships, and can timely transmit early warning information and alarm information of ships to nearby navigation ships and shore bases, realize fast and efficient transmission of early warning information and alarm information, can be quickly established, and do not rely on fixed The backbone network, especially suitable for remote inland natural waterways and most navigation areas lacking base station construction, will effectively improve the coverage and reliability of the inland waterway system, and has the advantages of low application difficulty, low application cost, and wide applicability;

本公开构建用于预测船舶发生各类型事故概率的预测模型,通过采集模块实时获取目标船舶的多源信息,并基于多源信息可获得目标船舶发生各类型事故的预测概率,基于所得预测概率对目标船舶进行及时、准确地预警和报警,有利于减少内河航运船舶的事故发生概率,减少人员和财产损失。This disclosure builds a prediction model for predicting the probability of various types of accidents on ships. The multi-source information of the target ship is obtained in real time through the acquisition module, and based on the multi-source information, the predicted probability of various types of accidents on the target ship can be obtained. The timely and accurate early warning and alarm of the target ship is conducive to reducing the accident probability of inland waterway ships and reducing the loss of personnel and property.

本实施例还提供了一种内河航运监控方法,应用如上所述的河航运监控系统,包括以下步骤:This embodiment also provides a method for monitoring inland waterway transportation, using the above-mentioned river navigation monitoring system, including the following steps:

以每个船舶和/或岸基为交互节点构建无线自组织通信网络;Construct a wireless self-organizing communication network with each ship and/or shore base as an interactive node;

采集目标船舶航行的多源信息,所述多源信息包括环境信息、船舶定位信息以及船舶状态信息;Collecting multi-source information on the navigation of the target ship, the multi-source information includes environmental information, ship positioning information and ship status information;

根据所述多源信息,获得目标船舶未来航行状况的预测结果;According to the multi-source information, the prediction result of the future navigation status of the target ship is obtained;

根据所得预测结果判断目标船舶是否需要进行预警或报警;According to the obtained prediction results, it is judged whether the target ship needs to carry out early warning or alarm;

在判断目标船舶需要进行预警或报警时,将预警信息或报警信息通过所述无线自组织通信网络传输至其他船舶和/或岸基。When it is judged that the target ship needs to perform early warning or alarm, the early warning information or alarm information is transmitted to other ships and/or shore bases through the wireless self-organizing communication network.

本实施例的方法与上述的监控系统属于相同的发明构思,可参照上文描述进行理解,在此不再赘述。The method of this embodiment belongs to the same inventive concept as the above-mentioned monitoring system, which can be understood with reference to the above description, and will not be repeated here.

在本公开的描述中,需要理解的是,方位词如“前、后、上、下、左、右”、“横向、竖向、水平”和“顶、底”等所指示的方位或位置关系通常是基于附图所示的方位或位置关系,仅是为了便于描述本公开和简化描述,在未作相反说明的情况下,这些方位词并不指示和暗示所指的装置或元件必须具有特定的方位或者以特定的方位构造和操作,因此不能理解为对本公开保护范围的限制。In the description of the present disclosure, it should be understood that orientation words such as "front, back, up, down, left, right", "horizontal, vertical, horizontal" and "top, bottom" etc. indicate the orientation or position The relationship is generally based on the orientation or positional relationship shown in the drawings, and is only for the convenience of describing the present disclosure and simplifying the description. In the absence of a contrary statement, these orientation words do not indicate and imply that the referred device or element must have A particular orientation, or construction and operation in a particular orientation, should therefore not be construed as limiting the scope of the present disclosure.

对于本领域的技术人员来说,可根据以上描述的技术方案以及构思,做出其它各种相应的改变以及形变,而所有的这些改变以及形变都应该属于本公开权利要求的保护范围之内。For those skilled in the art, various other corresponding changes and deformations can be made according to the above-described technical solutions and ideas, and all these changes and deformations should fall within the protection scope of the claims of the present disclosure.

Claims (10)

1.一种内河航运监控系统,其特征在于,包括:1. A monitoring system for inland waterway transportation, characterized in that it comprises: 采集模块,其用于采集目标船舶航行的多源信息,所述多源信息包括环境信息、船舶定位信息以及船舶状态信息;A collection module, which is used to collect multi-source information of the navigation of the target ship, and the multi-source information includes environmental information, ship positioning information and ship status information; 数据处理模块,其与所述采集模块通信连接,用于接收所述多源信息,并根据所述多源信息,获得目标船舶未来航行状况的预测结果;A data processing module, which is connected in communication with the acquisition module, and is used to receive the multi-source information, and obtain a prediction result of the future navigation status of the target ship according to the multi-source information; 预报警模块,其与所述数据处理模块通信连接,用于根据所得预测结果判断目标船舶是否需要进行预警或报警;A pre-alarm module, which is connected in communication with the data processing module, is used to judge whether the target ship needs to perform an early warning or an alarm according to the obtained prediction result; 数据传输模块,其分别与所述数据处理模块、所述预报警模块通信连接,用于以每个船舶和/或岸基为交互节点构建无线自组织通信网络;所述预报警模块在判断目标船舶需要进行预警或报警时,将预警信息或报警信息通过所述无线自组织通信网络传输至其他船舶和/或岸基。Data transmission module, it is connected with described data processing module, described pre-alarm module communication respectively, is used for building wireless ad hoc communication network with each ship and/or shore base as interactive node; Described pre-alarm module judges target When the ship needs to perform early warning or alarm, the early warning information or alarm information is transmitted to other ships and/or shore bases through the wireless self-organizing communication network. 2.根据权利要求1所述内河航运监控系统,其特征在于,所述采集模块包括:2. according to the described inland waterway transportation monitoring system of claim 1, it is characterized in that, described acquisition module comprises: 船载传感器单元,其包括船舶姿态传感器、风速传感器、船舶吃水传感器、定位模组中的至少一种或多种;Shipborne sensor unit, which includes at least one or more of a ship attitude sensor, a wind speed sensor, a ship draft sensor, and a positioning module; AIS服务单元,其用于获取目标船舶的船名、符号、船位、船速和船向信息;AIS service unit, which is used to obtain the ship name, symbol, ship position, ship speed and ship direction information of the target ship; 船用雷达单元,其用于辅助获取目标船舶的定位信息。The marine radar unit is used to assist in obtaining the positioning information of the target ship. 3.根据权利要求1所述内河航运监控系统,其特征在于,所述数据处理模块根据所述多源信息,获得目标船舶未来航行状况的预测结果具体为:3. according to the described inland shipping monitoring system of claim 1, it is characterized in that, according to described multi-source information, described data processing module obtains the prediction result of target ship's future voyage condition specifically as follows: 事故分类:获取目标船舶航行航道事故原因不同的多起航运事故报告分析,按事故类型对所述多起航运事故报告分析进行分类作为训练集;Accident classification: Obtain the analysis of multiple shipping accident reports with different causes of accidents in the navigation channel of the target ship, and classify the analysis of the multiple shipping accident reports according to the type of accident as a training set; 模型训练:将所得训练集作为ISM-BN模型的输入数据,构建用于预测船舶发生各类型事故概率的预测模型;Model training: use the obtained training set as the input data of the ISM-BN model to construct a prediction model for predicting the probability of various types of accidents on ships; 结果预测:实时获取目标船舶的多源信息,将目标船舶的多源信息输入到所得预测模型中,获得目标船舶发生各类型事故的概率,即为目标船舶未来航行状况的预测结果。Result prediction: obtain the multi-source information of the target ship in real time, input the multi-source information of the target ship into the obtained prediction model, and obtain the probability of various types of accidents on the target ship, which is the prediction result of the future navigation status of the target ship. 4.根据权利要求3所述内河航运监控系统,其特征在于,所述事故分类中,事故类型分为碰撞、自沉、搁浅、触碰或其他。4. The inland shipping monitoring system according to claim 3, wherein in the accident classification, accident types are classified into collision, self-sinking, grounding, contact or others. 5.根据权利要求4所述内河航运监控系统,其特征在于,所述模型训练具体为:5. according to the described inland shipping monitoring system of claim 4, it is characterized in that, described model training is specifically: 按事故原因进行船舶航行参数设置,所述船舶航行参数包括船舶航行状况、船况、船龄、船舶尺寸、船型、载货状况、天气条件、水文条件、航道条件和水域条件;Ship navigation parameters are set according to the cause of the accident, and the ship navigation parameters include ship navigation status, ship condition, ship age, ship size, ship type, cargo status, weather conditions, hydrological conditions, channel conditions and water conditions; 根据各船舶航行参数之间是否存在相互影响,构建用于表征各船舶航行参数间相互关系的邻接矩阵,根据所得邻接矩阵计算获得可达矩阵,根据所得可达矩阵确定不同船舶航行参数间的分级可得关于该航道船舶的航行事故影响因素ISM;According to whether there is mutual influence between the navigation parameters of each ship, an adjacency matrix used to characterize the relationship between the navigation parameters of each ship is constructed, and the accessibility matrix is obtained according to the obtained adjacency matrix, and the classification of different ship navigation parameters is determined according to the obtained accessibility matrix Influencing factors ISM of navigation accidents of ships in the channel can be obtained; 构建关于各航行事故影响因素ISM的模糊逻辑关系;Construct the fuzzy logic relationship about the ISM of each navigation accident influencing factor; 将所得训练集作为输入数据,构建用于表征事故类型与各航行事故影响因素ISM映射关系的拓扑网络,该拓扑网络即为所述预测模型。The obtained training set is used as input data to construct a topological network for characterizing the mapping relationship between the type of accident and the ISM of each navigation accident influencing factor, and the topological network is the prediction model. 6.根据权利要求5所述内河航运监控系统,其特征在于,所述结果预测具体为:6. according to the described inland shipping monitoring system of claim 5, it is characterized in that, described result prediction is specifically: 将目标船舶的多源信息中的对应参数输入到所述预测模型中,获得目标船舶发生各类型事故概率。The corresponding parameters in the multi-source information of the target ship are input into the prediction model to obtain the probability of various types of accidents occurring on the target ship. 7.根据权利要求6所述内河航运监控系统,其特征在于,所述预报警模块根据所得预测结果判断目标船舶是否需要进行预警或报警具体为:7. According to the inland shipping monitoring system described in claim 6, it is characterized in that, the said pre-alarm module judges whether the target ship needs to carry out early warning or alarm according to the obtained prediction result, specifically: 当满足任一类型事故的发生概率大于75%,或者事故加权总概率大于80%时,判断目标船舶需要进行预警;When the occurrence probability of any type of accident is greater than 75%, or the accident weighted total probability When it is greater than 80%, it is judged that the target ship needs to carry out early warning; 当满足任一类型事故的发生概率大于95%,或者事故加权总概率大于90%时,判断目标船舶需要进行报警。When the occurrence probability of any type of accident is greater than 95%, or the accident weighted total probability When it is greater than 90%, it is judged that the target ship needs to give an alarm. 8.根据权利要求7所述内河航运监控系统,其特征在于,所述事故加权总概率按如下公式计算:8. The inland shipping monitoring system according to claim 7, wherein the weighted total probability of the accident Calculate according to the following formula: 其中,a=47%表示目标船舶发生碰撞事故概率的权重,pa表示目标船舶发生碰撞事故的概率;Among them, a=47% represents the weight of the probability of the collision accident of the target ship, and p a represents the probability of the collision accident of the target ship; b=18%表示目标船舶发生自沉事故概率的权重,pb表示目标船舶发生自沉事故的概率;b=18% represents the weight of the probability of self-sinking of the target ship, and p b represents the probability of self-sinking of the target ship; c=13%表示目标船舶发生搁浅事故概率的权重,pc表示目标船舶发生搁浅事故的概率;c=13% represents the weight of the probability of the grounding accident of the target ship, and p c represents the probability of the grounding accident of the target ship; d=12%表示目标船舶发生触碰事故概率的权重,pd表示目标船舶发生触碰事故的概率;d=12% represents the weight of the probability of a collision accident occurring on the target ship, and p d represents the probability of a collision accident occurring on the target ship; e=10%表示目标船舶发生其他事故概率的权重,pe表示目标船舶发生其他事故的概率。e=10% represents the weight of the probability of other accidents occurring to the target ship, and p e represents the probability of other accidents occurring on the target ship. 9.根据权利要求1所述内河航运监控系统,其特征在于,所述无线自组织通信网络为MANET网络。9. The inland waterway transportation monitoring system according to claim 1, characterized in that, the wireless ad hoc communication network is a MANET network. 10.一种内河航运监控方法,其特征在于,应用如权利要求1-9任一项所述的内河航运监控系统,包括以下步骤:10. A method for monitoring inland waterway transportation, characterized in that, applying the inland waterway transportation monitoring system according to any one of claims 1-9, comprising the following steps: 以每个船舶和/或岸基为交互节点构建无线自组织通信网络;Construct a wireless self-organizing communication network with each ship and/or shore base as an interactive node; 采集目标船舶航行的多源信息,所述多源信息包括环境信息、船舶定位信息以及船舶状态信息;Collecting multi-source information on the navigation of the target ship, the multi-source information includes environmental information, ship positioning information and ship status information; 根据所述多源信息,获得目标船舶未来航行状况的预测结果;According to the multi-source information, the prediction result of the future navigation status of the target ship is obtained; 根据所得预测结果判断目标船舶是否需要进行预警或报警;According to the obtained prediction results, it is judged whether the target ship needs to carry out early warning or alarm; 在判断目标船舶需要进行预警或报警时,将预警信息或报警信息通过所述无线自组织通信网络传输至其他船舶和/或岸基。When it is judged that the target ship needs to perform early warning or alarm, the early warning information or alarm information is transmitted to other ships and/or shore bases through the wireless self-organizing communication network.
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