CN116205522B - A multi-dimensional CNN coupled landslide susceptibility evaluation method and system - Google Patents
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Abstract
本发明公开一种多维CNN耦合的滑坡易发性评价方法及系统,涉及滑坡易发性评价技术领域,训练好的多维CNN耦合模型包括依次连接的二维卷积神经网络、二维非对称聚合模块、一维卷积神经网络、一维非对称聚合模块和全连接层模块,以利用非对称聚合对一维卷积神经网络和二维卷积神经网络进行耦合,维持网络深度而限制模型参数并减少计算量,后续则以多个滑坡影响因子在目标区域的因子分布图为输入,利用训练好的多维CNN耦合模型对目标区域进行滑坡易发性评价,从而可在提高预测精度的同时保证模型效率。
The invention discloses a multi-dimensional CNN coupled landslide susceptibility evaluation method and system, which relates to the technical field of landslide susceptibility evaluation. The trained multi-dimensional CNN coupling model includes sequentially connected two-dimensional convolutional neural networks, two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module, one-dimensional convolutional neural network, one-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module and fully connected layer module to use asymmetric aggregation to couple the one-dimensional convolutional neural network and the two-dimensional convolutional neural network, maintain the network depth and limit the model parameters And reduce the amount of calculation. Subsequently, the factor distribution map of multiple landslide influencing factors in the target area is used as input, and the trained multi-dimensional CNN coupling model is used to evaluate the landslide susceptibility of the target area, which can improve the prediction accuracy while ensuring Model efficiency.
Description
技术领域Technical Field
本发明涉及滑坡易发性评价技术领域,特别是涉及一种多维CNN耦合的滑坡易发性评价方法及系统。The present invention relates to the technical field of landslide susceptibility assessment, and in particular to a multi-dimensional CNN coupled landslide susceptibility assessment method and system.
背景技术Background Art
滑坡是常见的自然灾害之一,滑坡发生时不仅破坏自然环境,而且对村庄、城镇房屋及基础设施等造成毁坏,严重时造成大量人员伤亡。滑坡易发性评价通过模型及数据的选择,可以发掘滑坡与孕灾环境间的复杂关系,通过综合评判给予相似环境下未知滑坡的发生概率,是滑坡区域定位和土地资源可持续管理的有效可视化技术,可为决策管理者提供有力的技术支持。定量滑坡易发性评价的建模过程涉及到滑坡和非滑坡记录的获取、滑坡相关环境因素的提取以及模型选择等几个重要问题,从方法角度出发,应用可靠有效的模型来判断滑坡易发性水平仍是一个挑战。Landslide is one of the common natural disasters. When a landslide occurs, it not only destroys the natural environment, but also causes damage to villages, urban houses and infrastructure, and in severe cases, causes a large number of casualties. Landslide susceptibility assessment can explore the complex relationship between landslides and disaster-prone environments through the selection of models and data. It gives the probability of occurrence of unknown landslides in similar environments through comprehensive evaluation. It is an effective visualization technology for landslide regional positioning and sustainable management of land resources, and can provide strong technical support for decision-makers. The modeling process of quantitative landslide susceptibility assessment involves several important issues such as the acquisition of landslide and non-landslide records, the extraction of landslide-related environmental factors, and the selection of models. From a methodological perspective, it is still a challenge to use reliable and effective models to judge the level of landslide susceptibility.
目前,基于统计分析的滑坡易发性评价方法已成为主流,现有统计方法可分为经典统计方法和基于机器学习(machine learning,ML)方法,考虑到滑坡发生机理的复杂性,经典统计方法如频率比法、综合指数法等以线性形式概括滑坡与其诱发因子间的关系往往不够准确,传统ML模型如逻辑回归(LR)、支持向量机(SVM)、随机森林(RF)等已被广泛应用于滑坡易发性评价中,相比经典统计方法显现出更高的精度结果。随着技术发展,深度学习(deep learning,DL)模型在图像分类、语音识别等方面取得了优于传统ML模型的效果,DL作为ML中神经网络的再续发展,其多隐层的结构使其可以充分挖掘数据集的高级特征,并添加非线性表示拟合抽象特征。作为最成熟、最流行的DL框架之一,卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network,CNN)也已广泛应用于地学领域,如利用遥感影像进行滑坡检测、从地震图中识别地震波形特征等,而在滑坡易发性评价方面,CNN仍处于发展阶段。CNN是一类具有深度结构的前馈神经网络,依据接受特征图维度或卷积核定义方式不同,可分为一维卷积神经网络(one-dimensional convolutionalneural network,1D-CNN),二维卷积神经网络(two-dimensional convolutional neural network,2D-CNN)与三维卷积神经网络(three-dimensional convolutional neural network,3D-CNN)。在基于CNN的首次滑坡易发性评价中,Wang等对三种架构分别尝试,结果表明,三种架构的总体精度和马修斯相关系数等指标与传统ML方法相比均明显提高,表现出CNN在滑坡易发性评价中的适用性。At present, the landslide susceptibility assessment method based on statistical analysis has become the mainstream. The existing statistical methods can be divided into classical statistical methods and machine learning (ML) methods. Considering the complexity of the landslide mechanism, classical statistical methods such as frequency ratio method and comprehensive index method are often not accurate enough to summarize the relationship between landslide and its inducing factors in a linear form. Traditional ML models such as logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF) have been widely used in landslide susceptibility assessment, showing higher accuracy results than classical statistical methods. With the development of technology, deep learning (DL) models have achieved better results than traditional ML models in image classification and speech recognition. As a continuation of neural networks in ML, DL has a multi-hidden layer structure that allows it to fully mine the advanced features of the data set and add nonlinear representation to fit abstract features. As one of the most mature and popular DL frameworks, convolutional neural network (CNN) has also been widely used in the field of geoscience, such as landslide detection using remote sensing images and identification of seismic waveform features from seismic images. However, in terms of landslide susceptibility assessment, CNN is still in the development stage. CNN is a type of feedforward neural network with deep structure. According to the different dimensions of the accepted feature map or the definition of the convolution kernel, it can be divided into one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN), two-dimensional convolutional neural network (2D-CNN) and three-dimensional convolutional neural network (3D-CNN). In the first landslide susceptibility assessment based on CNN, Wang et al. tried three architectures respectively. The results showed that the overall accuracy and Matthews correlation coefficient of the three architectures were significantly improved compared with the traditional ML method, showing the applicability of CNN in landslide susceptibility assessment.
提高模型精度是CNN在滑坡易发性评价发展中的重要方向,加深网络层次是DL模型提高精度最简易的操作,更多层次能够从低级特征中迭代提取到更高级的表示,但对于CNN,更深的网络更易产生梯度消失或爆炸,导致模型难以收敛,层数增加也伴随参数量的加大,导致模型训练困难或结果过拟合等问题,因此,将其他模型与CNN结合以提高模型精度的方式被更多考虑,这类模型组合的方式通常可获得更全面的特征学习,但模型规模增大往往导致模型参数量和计算量大幅增加,模型训练拟合难度大,预测推理速度慢,致使其在滑坡应急灾害处理中整体效率降低。综合来看,目前CNN在滑坡易发性评价应用中仍处于探索阶段,结果呈现与精度提升仍具发展空间。1D-CNN和2D-CNN因其强大特征提取能力在滑坡易发性评价中应用广泛,然而当前对于其精度提升的做法中,依靠层次加深或模型组合不可避免的造成模型参数量与计算量大幅增加,导致模型训练困难和结果过拟合,进而导致模型效率低下。Improving model accuracy is an important direction for CNN in the development of landslide susceptibility assessment. Deepening the network layer is the simplest operation to improve the accuracy of DL models. More layers can iteratively extract higher-level representations from low-level features. However, for CNN, deeper networks are more likely to produce gradient vanishing or explosion, making it difficult for the model to converge. The increase in the number of layers is also accompanied by an increase in the number of parameters, which leads to problems such as difficulty in model training or overfitting of results. Therefore, combining other models with CNN to improve model accuracy is considered more. This type of model combination method can usually obtain more comprehensive feature learning, but the increase in model size often leads to a significant increase in the number of model parameters and calculations, making model training and fitting difficult, and slow prediction and reasoning speed, resulting in a decrease in its overall efficiency in landslide emergency disaster management. Overall, CNN is still in the exploratory stage in the application of landslide susceptibility assessment, and there is still room for development in result presentation and accuracy improvement. 1D-CNN and 2D-CNN are widely used in landslide susceptibility assessment due to their powerful feature extraction capabilities. However, the current approach to improving their accuracy relies on layer deepening or model combination, which inevitably leads to a significant increase in the number of model parameters and the amount of calculation, resulting in difficulty in model training and overfitting of results, which in turn leads to low model efficiency.
因此,滑坡易发性评价如何在精度提升的同时保障模型效率是实际应用中亟待解决的问题。Therefore, how to improve the accuracy of landslide susceptibility assessment while ensuring model efficiency is an urgent problem to be solved in practical applications.
发明内容Summary of the invention
本发明的目的是提供一种多维CNN耦合的滑坡易发性评价方法及系统,可在提高预测精度的同时保证模型效率。The purpose of the present invention is to provide a multi-dimensional CNN coupled landslide susceptibility evaluation method and system, which can improve the prediction accuracy while ensuring the model efficiency.
为实现上述目的,本发明提供了如下方案:To achieve the above object, the present invention provides the following solutions:
一种多维CNN耦合的滑坡易发性评价方法,所述滑坡易发性评价方法包括:A multi-dimensional CNN coupled landslide susceptibility evaluation method, the landslide susceptibility evaluation method comprising:
获取多个滑坡影响因子中每一所述滑坡影响因子在目标区域的因子分布图;所述滑坡影响因子包括地形地貌类因子、地质条件类因子和环境条件类因子;Obtaining a factor distribution map of each of the multiple landslide influencing factors in the target area; the landslide influencing factors include topographic factors, geological conditions factors and environmental conditions factors;
以所有所述因子分布图为输入,利用训练好的多维CNN耦合模型确定所述目标区域每一位置点的滑坡概率,以对所述目标区域进行滑坡易发性评价;所述训练好的多维CNN耦合模型包括依次连接的二维卷积神经网络、二维非对称聚合模块、一维卷积神经网络、一维非对称聚合模块和全连接层模块;所述二维非对称聚合模块包括并联连接的二维最大池化层和二维平均池化层以及分别与所述二维最大池化层的输出和所述二维平均池化层的输出相连接的concatenate层;所述一维非对称聚合模块包括并联连接的一维最大池化层和一维平均池化层以及分别与所述一维最大池化层的输出和所述一维平均池化层的输出相连接的concatenate层。Taking all the factor distribution maps as input, a trained multidimensional CNN coupling model is used to determine the landslide probability of each location point in the target area, so as to evaluate the landslide susceptibility of the target area; the trained multidimensional CNN coupling model includes a two-dimensional convolutional neural network, a two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module, a one-dimensional convolutional neural network, a one-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module and a fully connected layer module connected in sequence; the two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module includes a two-dimensional maximum pooling layer and a two-dimensional average pooling layer connected in parallel, and a concatenate layer connected to the output of the two-dimensional maximum pooling layer and the output of the two-dimensional average pooling layer respectively; the one-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module includes a one-dimensional maximum pooling layer and a one-dimensional average pooling layer connected in parallel, and a concatenate layer connected to the output of the one-dimensional maximum pooling layer and the output of the one-dimensional average pooling layer respectively.
一种多维CNN耦合的滑坡易发性评价系统,所述滑坡易发性评价系统包括:A multi-dimensional CNN coupled landslide susceptibility evaluation system, the landslide susceptibility evaluation system comprising:
数据获取模块,用于获取多个滑坡影响因子中每一所述滑坡影响因子在目标区域的因子分布图;所述滑坡影响因子包括地形地貌类因子、地质条件类因子和环境条件类因子;A data acquisition module, used to obtain a factor distribution map of each of a plurality of landslide influencing factors in a target area; the landslide influencing factors include topographic factors, geological factors, and environmental factors;
评价模块,用于以所有所述因子分布图为输入,利用训练好的多维CNN耦合模型确定所述目标区域每一位置点的滑坡概率,以对所述目标区域进行滑坡易发性评价;所述训练好的多维CNN耦合模型包括依次连接的二维卷积神经网络、二维非对称聚合模块、一维卷积神经网络、一维非对称聚合模块和全连接层模块;所述二维非对称聚合模块包括并联连接的二维最大池化层和二维平均池化层以及分别与所述二维最大池化层的输出和所述二维平均池化层的输出相连接的concatenate层;所述一维非对称聚合模块包括并联连接的一维最大池化层和一维平均池化层以及分别与所述一维最大池化层的输出和所述一维平均池化层的输出相连接的concatenate层。An evaluation module is used to use all the factor distribution maps as inputs and use a trained multidimensional CNN coupling model to determine the landslide probability of each location point in the target area to evaluate the landslide susceptibility of the target area; the trained multidimensional CNN coupling model includes a two-dimensional convolutional neural network, a two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module, a one-dimensional convolutional neural network, a one-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module and a fully connected layer module connected in sequence; the two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module includes a two-dimensional maximum pooling layer and a two-dimensional average pooling layer connected in parallel, and a concatenate layer connected to the output of the two-dimensional maximum pooling layer and the output of the two-dimensional average pooling layer respectively; the one-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module includes a one-dimensional maximum pooling layer and a one-dimensional average pooling layer connected in parallel, and a concatenate layer connected to the output of the one-dimensional maximum pooling layer and the output of the one-dimensional average pooling layer respectively.
根据本发明提供的具体实施例,本发明公开了以下技术效果:According to the specific embodiments provided by the present invention, the present invention discloses the following technical effects:
本发明用于提供一种多维CNN耦合的滑坡易发性评价方法及系统,训练好的多维CNN耦合模型包括依次连接的二维卷积神经网络、二维非对称聚合模块、一维卷积神经网络、一维非对称聚合模块和全连接层模块,以利用非对称聚合对一维卷积神经网络和二维卷积神经网络进行耦合,维持网络深度而限制模型参数并减少计算量,后续则以多个滑坡影响因子在目标区域的因子分布图为输入,利用训练好的多维CNN耦合模型对目标区域进行滑坡易发性评价,从而可在提高预测精度的同时保证模型效率。The present invention is used to provide a multi-dimensional CNN coupled landslide susceptibility evaluation method and system. The trained multi-dimensional CNN coupling model comprises a two-dimensional convolutional neural network, a two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module, a one-dimensional convolutional neural network, a one-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module and a full connection layer module which are connected in sequence, so as to couple the one-dimensional convolutional neural network and the two-dimensional convolutional neural network by utilizing asymmetric aggregation, maintain the network depth while limiting the model parameters and reducing the amount of calculation, and subsequently, taking the factor distribution map of multiple landslide influencing factors in the target area as input, the trained multi-dimensional CNN coupling model is utilized to evaluate the landslide susceptibility of the target area, so as to improve the prediction accuracy while ensuring the model efficiency.
附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
为了更清楚地说明本发明实施例或现有技术中的技术方案,下面将对实施例中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图仅仅是本发明的一些实施例,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其他的附图。In order to more clearly illustrate the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the drawings required for use in the embodiments will be briefly introduced below. Obviously, the drawings described below are only some embodiments of the present invention. For ordinary technicians in this field, other drawings can be obtained based on these drawings without paying creative work.
图1为本发明实施例1所提供的滑坡易发性评价方法的方法流程图;FIG1 is a flow chart of a method for evaluating landslide susceptibility provided by Example 1 of the present invention;
图2为本发明实施例1所提供的构建数据集的整体流程图;FIG2 is an overall flow chart of constructing a data set provided by Embodiment 1 of the present invention;
图3为本发明实施例1所提供的多维CNN耦合模型的网络结构示意图;FIG3 is a schematic diagram of the network structure of a multi-dimensional CNN coupling model provided in Example 1 of the present invention;
图4为本发明实施例1所提供的色东普沟流域范围示意图;FIG4 is a schematic diagram of the Sedongpugou watershed provided in Example 1 of the present invention;
图5为本发明实施例1所提供的色东普沟历史滑坡分布示意图;FIG5 is a schematic diagram of the distribution of historical landslides in Sedongpu Valley provided in Example 1 of the present invention;
图6为本发明实施例1所提供的色东普沟滑坡影响因子的因子分布样本图;FIG6 is a sample diagram of factor distribution of the influencing factors of the Sedongpugou landslide provided in Example 1 of the present invention;
图7为本发明实施例1所提供的利用不同模型得到的色东普沟滑坡易发性图;FIG7 is a landslide susceptibility map of Sedongpugou obtained by using different models provided in Example 1 of the present invention;
图8为本发明实施例1所提供的不同模型训练结果对比示意图;FIG8 is a schematic diagram showing a comparison of training results of different models provided in Example 1 of the present invention;
图9为本发明实施例1所提供的不同模型测试集混淆矩阵结果示意图;FIG9 is a schematic diagram of confusion matrix results of different model test sets provided in Example 1 of the present invention;
图10为本发明实施例1所提供的多重共线性分析结果示意图;FIG10 is a schematic diagram of the multicollinearity analysis results provided in Example 1 of the present invention;
图11为本发明实施例1所提供的各滑坡影响因子属性区间频率比示意图;FIG11 is a schematic diagram of the frequency ratio of the attribute intervals of various landslide influencing factors provided in Example 1 of the present invention;
图12为本发明实施例2所提供的滑坡易发性评价系统的系统框图。FIG. 12 is a system block diagram of a landslide susceptibility assessment system provided in Example 2 of the present invention.
具体实施方式DETAILED DESCRIPTION
下面将结合本发明实施例中的附图,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。The following will be combined with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention to clearly and completely describe the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only part of the embodiments of the present invention, not all of the embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by ordinary technicians in this field without creative work are within the scope of protection of the present invention.
本发明的目的是提供一种多维CNN耦合的滑坡易发性评价方法及系统,可在提高预测精度的同时保证模型效率。The purpose of the present invention is to provide a multi-dimensional CNN coupled landslide susceptibility evaluation method and system, which can improve the prediction accuracy while ensuring the model efficiency.
为使本发明的上述目的、特征和优点能够更加明显易懂,下面结合附图和具体实施方式对本发明作进一步详细的说明。In order to make the above-mentioned objects, features and advantages of the present invention more obvious and easy to understand, the present invention is further described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments.
实施例1:Embodiment 1:
本实施例用于提供一种多维CNN耦合的滑坡易发性评价方法,如图1所示,所述滑坡易发性评价方法包括:This embodiment is used to provide a multi-dimensional CNN coupled landslide susceptibility assessment method, as shown in FIG1 , the landslide susceptibility assessment method includes:
S1:获取多个滑坡影响因子中每一所述滑坡影响因子在目标区域的因子分布图;所述滑坡影响因子包括地形地貌类因子、地质条件类因子和环境条件类因子;S1: Obtain a factor distribution map of each of a plurality of landslide influencing factors in a target area; the landslide influencing factors include topographic factors, geological factors, and environmental factors;
本实施例中,地形地貌类因子可以包括高程、坡度、坡向、平面曲率、剖面曲率和地形湿度指数,地质条件类因子可以包括岩性、距断层距离和距震中距离,环境条件类因子可以包括归一化植被指数和距沟道距离,本实施例以断层、震中和沟道的初始矢量数据为输入,采用ArcGIS软件中的欧氏距离计算方法即可获得距断层距离、距震中距离和距沟道距离。对于每一滑坡影响因子,目标区域的每一位置点处的该滑坡影响因子的取值,即构成该滑坡影响因子在目标区域的因子分布图。In this embodiment, topographic factors may include elevation, slope, aspect, plane curvature, profile curvature and topographic moisture index, geological conditions factors may include lithology, distance from fault and distance from epicenter, environmental conditions factors may include normalized vegetation index and distance from channel, and this embodiment uses the initial vector data of fault, epicenter and channel as input, and adopts the Euclidean distance calculation method in ArcGIS software to obtain the distance from fault, distance from epicenter and distance from channel. For each landslide impact factor, the value of the landslide impact factor at each position point in the target area constitutes the factor distribution map of the landslide impact factor in the target area.
S2:以所有所述因子分布图为输入,利用训练好的多维CNN耦合模型确定所述目标区域每一位置点的滑坡概率,以对所述目标区域进行滑坡易发性评价;所述训练好的多维CNN耦合模型包括依次连接的二维卷积神经网络、二维非对称聚合模块、一维卷积神经网络、一维非对称聚合模块和全连接层模块;所述二维非对称聚合模块包括并联连接的二维最大池化层和二维平均池化层以及分别与所述二维最大池化层的输出和所述二维平均池化层的输出相连接的concatenate层;所述一维非对称聚合模块包括并联连接的一维最大池化层和一维平均池化层以及分别与所述一维最大池化层的输出和所述一维平均池化层的输出相连接的concatenate层。S2: Taking all the factor distribution maps as input, using the trained multidimensional CNN coupling model to determine the landslide probability of each location point in the target area, so as to evaluate the landslide susceptibility of the target area; the trained multidimensional CNN coupling model includes a two-dimensional convolutional neural network, a two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module, a one-dimensional convolutional neural network, a one-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module and a fully connected layer module connected in sequence; the two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module includes a two-dimensional maximum pooling layer and a two-dimensional average pooling layer connected in parallel, and a concatenate layer connected to the output of the two-dimensional maximum pooling layer and the output of the two-dimensional average pooling layer respectively; the one-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module includes a one-dimensional maximum pooling layer and a one-dimensional average pooling layer connected in parallel, and a concatenate layer connected to the output of the one-dimensional maximum pooling layer and the output of the one-dimensional average pooling layer respectively.
本实施例利用移动窗口方法对所有因子分布图分别进行划分,以每一因子分布图的相应位置的窗口作为输入,计算目标区域中位于该窗口中心的位置点的滑坡概率,从而对目标区域进行逐位置点预测,最终得到目标区域每个位置点的滑坡概率,滑坡概率大于预设阈值即确定该位置点为滑坡点,否则,该位置点为非滑坡点。This embodiment uses a moving window method to divide all factor distribution maps separately, takes the window of the corresponding position of each factor distribution map as input, calculates the landslide probability of the position point located at the center of the window in the target area, and thus predicts the target area point by point, and finally obtains the landslide probability of each position point in the target area. If the landslide probability is greater than a preset threshold, the position point is determined to be a landslide point, otherwise, the position point is a non-landslide point.
在S2之前,本实施例的滑坡易发性评价方法还包括对多维CNN耦合模型进行训练,得到训练好的多维CNN耦合模型的步骤,该步骤可以包括:Before S2, the landslide susceptibility assessment method of this embodiment further includes the step of training the multi-dimensional CNN coupling model to obtain a trained multi-dimensional CNN coupling model, which may include:
(1)获取数据集,并按照预设比例将数据集划分为训练集、验证集和测试集。数据集包括多组因子样本集以及每一组因子样本集对应的标签,因子样本集包括每一滑坡影响因子的因子样本图,标签为滑坡或者非滑坡。(1) Obtain a data set and divide the data set into a training set, a validation set, and a test set according to a preset ratio. The data set includes multiple groups of factor sample sets and labels corresponding to each group of factor sample sets. The factor sample set includes a factor sample map of each landslide influencing factor, and the label is landslide or non-landslide.
准确的样本数据是模型学习的前提,为在保证信息可靠的同时满足模型训练的需求,本实施例采用窗口提取的方式构建数据集,整体流程如图2所示,具体的,获取数据集可以包括:Accurate sample data is a prerequisite for model learning. In order to ensure information reliability and meet the needs of model training, this embodiment uses a window extraction method to construct a data set. The overall process is shown in Figure 2. Specifically, obtaining a data set may include:
1)获取每一滑坡影响因子在目标区域的因子分布样本图和目标区域的滑坡编目图,滑坡编目图标识有目标区域的滑坡位置和非滑坡位置。1) Obtain a factor distribution sample map of each landslide influencing factor in the target area and a landslide inventory map of the target area. The landslide inventory map identifies the landslide location and non-landslide location of the target area.
获取滑坡编目图的方式包括:利用卫星遥感技术或者无人机平台分别获取目标区域发生滑坡灾害前后的数字高程模型,观察发生滑坡灾害前的数字高程模型和发生滑坡灾害后的数字高程模型,将高程前后变化超出10m的区域作为滑坡区域,以确定目标区域的滑坡位置和非滑坡位置,将该滑坡位置和非滑坡位置在目标区域的各个位置点上进行标识,即可得到滑坡编目图。The methods for obtaining a landslide catalog map include: using satellite remote sensing technology or an unmanned aerial vehicle platform to obtain digital elevation models of the target area before and after the landslide disaster, observing the digital elevation model before and after the landslide disaster, and taking the area with an elevation change of more than 10m before and after as the landslide area to determine the landslide location and non-landslide location in the target area, marking the landslide location and non-landslide location at various locations in the target area, and thus obtaining a landslide catalog map.
获取每一滑坡影响因子在目标区域的因子分布样本图的方式包括:对于每一滑坡影响因子,获取发生滑坡灾害前目标区域的每一位置点处的该滑坡影响因子的取值,构成该滑坡影响因子在目标区域的因子分布样本图。The method of obtaining a factor distribution sample map of each landslide impact factor in the target area includes: for each landslide impact factor, obtaining the value of the landslide impact factor at each location point in the target area before the landslide disaster occurs, and forming a factor distribution sample map of the landslide impact factor in the target area.
优选的,本实施例还可对获取的因子分布样本图和滑坡编目图进行预处理,即本实施例的滑坡易发性评价方法还包括:在预处理阶段,对因子分布样本图进行直方图均衡化,得到均衡化图像,对滑坡编目图进行二值化处理,得到二值化图像,并以均衡化图像和二值化图像作为新的因子分布样本图和滑坡编目图,执行2)。Preferably, the present embodiment may also preprocess the acquired factor distribution sample map and landslide catalog map, that is, the landslide susceptibility assessment method of the present embodiment also includes: in the preprocessing stage, performing histogram equalization on the factor distribution sample map to obtain a balanced image, performing binarization on the landslide catalog map to obtain a binarized image, and using the balanced image and the binarized image as new factor distribution sample map and landslide catalog map, executing 2).
其中,直方图均衡化是指剔除因子分布样本图(可为栅格图)中较大或较小的稀疏值,即在因子分布样本图内观察数据整体分布趋势,在不影响整体分布规律的情况下,对于数量极少的稀疏值进行剔除,以便显示数量较多的值的变化情况,并将剔除稀疏值后的因子分布样本图的像素进行归一化处理,再将归一化处理后的因子分布样本图的像素以预设比例进行拉伸,以将像素差异动态拉伸至0-255之间。不同滑坡影响因子在拉伸时的预设比例相同,即以同一比例进行拉伸。各滑坡影响因子的因子分布样本图经直方图均衡化后将像素差异动态拉伸至0-255之间,使其在单波段位图下仍具有丰富且明显的特征,方便后续模型读取和处理。二值化处理是指将滑坡编目图中的滑坡位置的像素值设置为255,非滑坡位置的像素值设置为0,以将滑坡编目图处理成黑白图像进行显示,滑坡编目图经二值化处理后表现为滑坡与非滑坡两种类型,以供数据筛选,筛选出模型训练所需要的正负样本,正样本为滑坡样本,负样本为非滑坡样本。Among them, histogram equalization refers to the removal of larger or smaller sparse values in the factor distribution sample map (which can be a raster map), that is, observing the overall distribution trend of the data in the factor distribution sample map, and removing the sparse values with a very small number without affecting the overall distribution law, so as to show the changes in the values with a large number, and normalizing the pixels of the factor distribution sample map after removing the sparse values, and then stretching the pixels of the normalized factor distribution sample map at a preset ratio to dynamically stretch the pixel difference to between 0 and 255. Different landslide influencing factors have the same preset ratio when stretching, that is, they are stretched at the same ratio. After histogram equalization, the pixel difference of the factor distribution sample map of each landslide influencing factor is dynamically stretched to between 0 and 255, so that it still has rich and obvious characteristics under the single-band bitmap, which is convenient for subsequent model reading and processing. Binarization processing refers to setting the pixel value of the landslide position in the landslide catalog map to 255 and the pixel value of the non-landslide position to 0, so as to process the landslide catalog map into a black and white image for display. After binarization processing, the landslide catalog map is presented as two types, landslide and non-landslide, for data screening, and the positive and negative samples required for model training are screened out. The positive samples are landslide samples, and the negative samples are non-landslide samples.
2)利用移动窗口方法在滑坡编目图中提取多个窗口。对于每一窗口,在每一因子分布样本图中分别提取与窗口位置相应的区域,得到每一滑坡影响因子的因子样本图,组成窗口对应的因子样本集;以窗口的中心像素的滑坡情况作为窗口对应的标签;所有窗口对应的因子样本集和标签组成数据集,数据集中的标签为滑坡的因子样本集的数量与标签为非滑坡的因子样本集的数量相同。2) Multiple windows are extracted from the landslide catalog map using the moving window method. For each window, the area corresponding to the window position is extracted from each factor distribution sample map to obtain the factor sample map of each landslide influencing factor, which constitutes the factor sample set corresponding to the window; the landslide situation of the central pixel of the window is used as the label corresponding to the window; the factor sample sets and labels corresponding to all windows constitute a data set, and the number of factor sample sets with the label of landslide in the data set is the same as the number of factor sample sets with the label of non-landslide.
传统根据滑坡点位提取因子属性的方法严重依赖滑坡定位的精准性,而滑坡属于复杂的物理过程,其发生往往与周围环境关系密切,据此本实施例采用移动窗口提取滑坡空间邻域,构建数据集。设定窗口边长,窗口每次在滑坡编目图中移动时可以移动一个像素步长,以确定多个窗口。本实施例可在10m分辨率下得到目标区域的1058×963的滑坡编目图,经测试最终设立13像素作为窗口边长,结果表明采用的图像大小和窗口大小可以包含足够特征并避免数据冗余。The traditional method of extracting factor attributes based on landslide points is heavily dependent on the accuracy of landslide positioning. Landslides are complex physical processes, and their occurrence is often closely related to the surrounding environment. Based on this, this embodiment uses a moving window to extract the landslide spatial neighborhood and construct a data set. The window side length is set, and the window can move one pixel step each time it moves in the landslide catalog map to determine multiple windows. This embodiment can obtain a 1058×963 landslide catalog map of the target area at a resolution of 10m. After testing, 13 pixels are finally set as the window side length. The results show that the image size and window size used can contain enough features and avoid data redundancy.
对于每一窗口,在每一因子分布样本图中分别提取与窗口位置相应的区域,即提取因子分布样本图中与窗口的位置完全对应的区域,得到每一滑坡影响因子的因子样本图,所有滑坡影响因子的因子样本图组成窗口对应的因子样本集,并以窗口的中心像素的滑坡情况作为窗口对应的标签,标签为滑坡或非滑坡,确定周围环境与中心像素的关联,一个窗口对应的因子样本集和标签组成一个样本,标签为滑坡的样本为正样本,标签为非滑坡的样本为负样本。所有窗口对应的因子样本集和标签组成数据集。For each window, the area corresponding to the window position is extracted from each factor distribution sample map, that is, the area completely corresponding to the window position is extracted from the factor distribution sample map to obtain the factor sample map of each landslide influencing factor. The factor sample maps of all landslide influencing factors constitute the factor sample set corresponding to the window, and the landslide situation of the central pixel of the window is used as the label corresponding to the window, the label is landslide or non-landslide, and the association between the surrounding environment and the central pixel is determined. The factor sample set and label corresponding to a window constitute a sample. The sample with the label of landslide is a positive sample, and the sample with the label of non-landslide is a negative sample. The factor sample set and label corresponding to all windows constitute a data set.
考虑到小区域滑坡发生较少、样本不充足的问题,本实施例引入数据增强处理,将有限的正样本对应的因子样本集通过数据增强处理进行扩充,即在得到数据集后,本实施例的滑坡易发性评价方法还包括:对数据集中标签为滑坡的每一组因子样本集均进行数据增强,得到多组增强后样本集,数据增强包括水平翻转和垂直翻转,以对数据集进行扩充,得到扩充后数据集,扩充后数据集除包括原始的数据集内的数据外,还包括多组增强后样本集,每一组增强后样本集的标签均为滑坡,以对数据集内的正样本进行扩充,并以扩充后数据集作为新的数据集,执行后续的模型训练过程。Taking into account the problem that landslides occur less frequently in small areas and samples are insufficient, this embodiment introduces data enhancement processing, and expands the factor sample sets corresponding to the limited positive samples through data enhancement processing. That is, after obtaining the data set, the landslide susceptibility evaluation method of this embodiment also includes: performing data enhancement on each group of factor sample sets labeled as landslide in the data set to obtain multiple groups of enhanced sample sets, and the data enhancement includes horizontal flipping and vertical flipping to expand the data set to obtain an expanded data set. In addition to the data in the original data set, the expanded data set also includes multiple groups of enhanced sample sets, and the label of each group of enhanced sample sets is landslide, so as to expand the positive samples in the data set, and use the expanded data set as a new data set to perform subsequent model training process.
正负样本数量比增加将会降低正样本预测准确率,这与滑坡预警目标相悖,因此本实施例采用随机均衡采样策略设置非滑坡样本(即负样本)数量,即以与正样本相同的数量,在滑坡编目图内随机位置切割出多个负样本,使正样本和负样本的数量相同,保证数据集中的标签为滑坡的因子样本集的数量与标签为非滑坡的因子样本集的数量相同。当存在数据增强处理时,为了实现这一目的,本实施例可先在滑坡编目图中确定多个正样本,然后对正样本进行数据增强处理,以对正样本进行扩充,确定扩充后的正样本的数量,再在滑坡编目图中确定与扩充后的正样本的数量相同的负样本,从而构建得到数据集。An increase in the ratio of the number of positive and negative samples will reduce the prediction accuracy of positive samples, which is contrary to the landslide warning goal. Therefore, this embodiment adopts a random balanced sampling strategy to set the number of non-landslide samples (i.e., negative samples), that is, multiple negative samples are cut out at random positions in the landslide catalog map with the same number as the positive samples, so that the number of positive samples and negative samples is the same, ensuring that the number of factor sample sets labeled as landslides in the data set is the same as the number of factor sample sets labeled as non-landslides. When there is data enhancement processing, in order to achieve this purpose, this embodiment can first determine multiple positive samples in the landslide catalog map, and then perform data enhancement processing on the positive samples to expand the positive samples, determine the number of positive samples after expansion, and then determine the same number of negative samples as the positive samples after expansion in the landslide catalog map, so as to construct a data set.
在获取数据集后,将数据集打乱顺序后按预设比例划分为训练集、验证集和测试集,预设比例可为6:2:2或者8:1:1。训练集用于模型学习滑坡特征,训练模型内部参数;验证集用于检验模型训练状态,作为优化模型超参数的参考;测试集则用于检验模型最终泛化误差,评价模型鲁棒性。After obtaining the data set, the data set is shuffled and divided into training set, validation set and test set according to the preset ratio, which can be 6:2:2 or 8:1:1. The training set is used for the model to learn the landslide characteristics and train the internal parameters of the model; the validation set is used to test the model training status as a reference for optimizing the model hyperparameters; the test set is used to test the final generalization error of the model and evaluate the robustness of the model.
(2)以训练集为输入,对多维CNN耦合模型进行训练,得到训练后模型。(2) Using the training set as input, the multi-dimensional CNN coupling model is trained to obtain the trained model.
本实施例提出利用2D-CNN与1D-CNN耦合的方式构建新的滑坡易发性评价模型(即多维CNN耦合模型),综合两种卷积神经网络的优势以实现滑坡因子空间邻域以及不同因子间相关特征的自动学习,在耦合结构下,模型维持深度的同时避免了参数量和计算量的大幅增加,从而既能够保证模型效率,又能够提高模型预测精度。本实施例的多维CNN耦合模型主要分为五个部分,包括依次连接的二维卷积神经网络(2D-CNN)、二维非对称聚合模块、一维卷积神经网络(1D-CNN)、一维非对称聚合模块和全连接层模块,网络结构如图3所示,图3中,C为特征通道数。This embodiment proposes to use 2D-CNN and 1D-CNN to couple to build a new landslide susceptibility assessment model (i.e., a multi-dimensional CNN coupling model), combining the advantages of the two convolutional neural networks to achieve automatic learning of the spatial neighborhood of landslide factors and related features between different factors. Under the coupling structure, the model maintains depth while avoiding a substantial increase in the number of parameters and the amount of calculation, thereby ensuring the model efficiency and improving the model prediction accuracy. The multi-dimensional CNN coupling model of this embodiment is mainly divided into five parts, including a two-dimensional convolutional neural network (2D-CNN) connected in sequence, a two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module, a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN), a one-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module, and a fully connected layer module. The network structure is shown in Figure 3, where C is the number of feature channels.
二维卷积神经网络包括依次连接的多个二维卷积池化块和一个二维卷积层,二维卷积池化块包括依次连接的二维卷积层和二维最大池化层。图3中,二维卷积池化块的数量为2个,第一个二维卷积池化块的二维卷积层采用2×2的卷积核,二维最大池化层的池化窗口为1×2;第二个二维卷积池化块的二维卷积层采用3×3的卷积核,二维最大池化层的池化窗口为1×2,连接在多个二维卷积池化块之后的二维卷积层采用3×3的卷积核。模型接受数据集的图像输入,不同类型滑坡影响因子在通道维度叠加,形成一张具有多种特征的滑坡因子多光谱图像,此图像包含了滑坡或非滑坡发生的空间邻域特征,经二维卷积层和二维最大池化层进行浅层特征学习。采用1×2非对称池化窗口,首先在一个维度上聚合特征,因定义池化窗口较小,每次只聚合两个像素中具有代表性的一个,因此可削减数据丢失弊端。由于特征图减小,模型计算量将成倍减小。随着网络层次的加深,利用更多卷积核提取特征图内深层特征,更加充分学习不同维度组成的空间特性。The two-dimensional convolutional neural network includes a plurality of two-dimensional convolutional pooling blocks connected in sequence and a two-dimensional convolutional layer. The two-dimensional convolutional pooling block includes a two-dimensional convolutional layer and a two-dimensional maximum pooling layer connected in sequence. In Figure 3, there are two two-dimensional convolutional pooling blocks. The two-dimensional convolutional layer of the first two-dimensional convolutional pooling block uses a 2×2 convolution kernel, and the pooling window of the two-dimensional maximum pooling layer is 1×2; the two-dimensional convolutional layer of the second two-dimensional convolutional pooling block uses a 3×3 convolution kernel, and the pooling window of the two-dimensional maximum pooling layer is 1×2. The two-dimensional convolutional layer connected after multiple two-dimensional convolutional pooling blocks uses a 3×3 convolution kernel. The model accepts image inputs of the data set, and different types of landslide influencing factors are superimposed in the channel dimension to form a multi-spectral image of landslide factors with multiple features. This image contains the spatial neighborhood features of landslides or non-landslides, and shallow feature learning is performed through the two-dimensional convolutional layer and the two-dimensional maximum pooling layer. Using a 1×2 asymmetric pooling window, features are first aggregated in one dimension. Since the pooling window is defined to be small, only one of the two pixels that are representative is aggregated each time, thus reducing the disadvantage of data loss. As the feature map is reduced, the amount of model calculation will be reduced exponentially. As the network level deepens, more convolution kernels are used to extract deep features in the feature map, and the spatial characteristics composed of different dimensions are more fully learned.
二维非对称聚合模块包括并联连接的二维最大池化层和二维平均池化层以及分别与二维最大池化层的输出和二维平均池化层的输出相连接的concatenate层。图3中,二维最大池化层的池化窗口为1×3,二维平均池化层的池化窗口为1×3。通过二维最大池化层和二维平均池化层分别获取聚合维度的代表信息,聚合维度里通过卷积核运算获得了滑坡影响因子图特征以及因子之间的相互关系特征,这两种池化方式分别以不同的方式获取代表信息,如最大池化获取了池化窗口内的最大像素值,而平均池化获取了池化窗口内的平均像素值,池化层的作用是减少数据冗余,而以两种方式获取代表信息的目的是削弱数据丢失的影响,将两种池化结果经concatenate层整合以减少由池化操作带来的空间语义信息的丢失,同时提升模型对于异常信息值的包容能力,避免模型过拟合。The two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module includes a two-dimensional maximum pooling layer and a two-dimensional average pooling layer connected in parallel, and a concatenate layer connected to the output of the two-dimensional maximum pooling layer and the output of the two-dimensional average pooling layer respectively. In Figure 3, the pooling window of the two-dimensional maximum pooling layer is 1×3, and the pooling window of the two-dimensional average pooling layer is 1×3. The representative information of the aggregation dimension is obtained through the two-dimensional maximum pooling layer and the two-dimensional average pooling layer respectively. The landslide impact factor map features and the relationship features between factors are obtained in the aggregation dimension through convolution kernel operation. The two pooling methods obtain representative information in different ways. For example, the maximum pooling obtains the maximum pixel value in the pooling window, while the average pooling obtains the average pixel value in the pooling window. The role of the pooling layer is to reduce data redundancy, and the purpose of obtaining representative information in two ways is to weaken the impact of data loss. The two pooling results are integrated through the concatenate layer to reduce the loss of spatial semantic information caused by the pooling operation, while improving the model's tolerance for abnormal information values and avoiding model overfitting.
一维卷积神经网络包括依次连接的Reshape层、多个一维卷积池化块和一个一维卷积层,一维卷积池化块包括依次连接的一维卷积层和一维最大池化层。图3中,一维卷积池化块的数量为2个,第一个一维卷积池化块的一维卷积层采用的卷积核大小为3,一维最大池化层的池化窗口为3;第二个一维卷积池化块的一维卷积层采用的卷积核大小为3,一维最大池化层的池化窗口为3,连接在多个一维卷积池化块之后的一维卷积层采用的卷积核大小为3。1D-CNN接受数据形式为特征长度和特征通道数构成的二维输入,Reshape层将二维非对称聚合模块中长度为1的维度压缩,保留特征数量不变前提下降低维度,以进行降尺度衔接,而后经窗口大小为3的一维卷积核学习剩余维度特征,因卷积核参数共享特性,模型不仅学习单一滑坡影响因子局部特征,而且耦合不同因子间特征关联,随着1D-CNN层次加深,整体网络已含有较深结构,能够提取更为抽象的滑坡与非滑坡特征。卷积核参数共享特性是CNN的现有特性,指每个卷积核在一次迭代的过程中权值固定,不会因为图像内位置的不同而改变卷积核内的权值,每个卷积核在图像中滑动学习单独特征,权值共享减少了模型参数,大大降低了网络的训练难度。The one-dimensional convolutional neural network includes a Reshape layer, multiple one-dimensional convolutional pooling blocks and a one-dimensional convolutional layer connected in sequence. The one-dimensional convolutional pooling block includes a one-dimensional convolutional layer and a one-dimensional maximum pooling layer connected in sequence. In Figure 3, there are 2 one-dimensional convolutional pooling blocks. The convolution kernel size used in the one-dimensional convolutional layer of the first one-dimensional convolutional pooling block is 3, and the pooling window of the one-dimensional maximum pooling layer is 3; the convolution kernel size used in the one-dimensional convolutional layer of the second one-dimensional convolutional pooling block is 3, and the pooling window of the one-dimensional maximum pooling layer is 3. The convolution kernel size used in the one-dimensional convolutional layer connected after multiple one-dimensional convolutional pooling blocks is 3. 1D-CNN accepts two-dimensional input data in the form of feature length and feature channel number. The Reshape layer compresses the dimension of length 1 in the two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module, reduces the dimension while keeping the number of features unchanged, so as to perform downscaling connection, and then learns the remaining dimensional features through the one-dimensional convolutional kernel with a window size of 3. Due to the parameter sharing characteristics of the convolutional kernel, the model not only learns the local features of a single landslide influencing factor, but also couples the feature associations between different factors. As the 1D-CNN layer deepens, the overall network has a deeper structure and can extract more abstract landslide and non-landslide features. The convolution kernel parameter sharing feature is an existing feature of CNN, which means that the weight of each convolution kernel is fixed during one iteration, and the weight within the convolution kernel will not change due to different positions in the image. Each convolution kernel slides in the image to learn individual features. Weight sharing reduces model parameters and greatly reduces the difficulty of network training.
一维非对称聚合模块包括并联连接的一维最大池化层和一维平均池化层以及分别与一维最大池化层的输出和一维平均池化层的输出相连接的concatenate层。图3中,一维最大池化层的池化窗口为3,一维平均池化层的池化窗口为3。经平均池化和最大池化对特征聚合,经concatenate层相接后的整体特征(包含由数字表现的抽象的特征聚合信息)传入全连接层模块。The one-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module includes a one-dimensional maximum pooling layer and a one-dimensional average pooling layer connected in parallel, and a concatenate layer connected to the output of the one-dimensional maximum pooling layer and the output of the one-dimensional average pooling layer, respectively. In Figure 3, the pooling window of the one-dimensional maximum pooling layer is 3, and the pooling window of the one-dimensional average pooling layer is 3. After the average pooling and maximum pooling are aggregated, the overall features (including the abstract feature aggregation information represented by numbers) after being connected by the concatenate layer are passed to the fully connected layer module.
全连接层模块包括依次连接的两个全连接层。全连接层将接收的特征向量经过展平后映射,使神经节点间相互关联,使之具有全局特征。加深全连接层可提高模型非线性表达能力,但会导致模型训练成本增加和过拟合现象,因此本模型只设置两层全连接层,在最后一层全连接层以单个神经元输出,输出值在0~1之间,即表示点位内中滑坡发生的概率。The fully connected layer module includes two fully connected layers connected in sequence. The fully connected layer maps the received feature vector after flattening, so that the neural nodes are interconnected and have global characteristics. Deepening the fully connected layer can improve the nonlinear expression ability of the model, but it will increase the model training cost and overfitting. Therefore, this model only sets two fully connected layers, and the last fully connected layer outputs a single neuron with an output value between 0 and 1, which indicates the probability of a medium landslide occurring at the point.
本实施例通过设计上述多维CNN耦合模型的结构,2D-CNN的特征图非对称聚合可将参数量减半,且利用1D-CNN学习剩余维度数据,单维卷积核也可有效减少参数量和计算量,从而可以在保证模型深度的同时抑制参数量和计算量的大幅增长,避免模型训练困难和结果过拟合的问题,在提高预测精度的同时保证模型效率。In this embodiment, by designing the structure of the above-mentioned multi-dimensional CNN coupling model, the asymmetric aggregation of the feature maps of 2D-CNN can halve the number of parameters, and by using 1D-CNN to learn the remaining dimensional data, the single-dimensional convolution kernel can also effectively reduce the number of parameters and the amount of calculation, thereby suppressing a significant increase in the number of parameters and the amount of calculation while ensuring the depth of the model, avoiding the problems of model training difficulties and overfitting of results, and ensuring the model efficiency while improving the prediction accuracy.
模型训练主要是指模型层与层间的权重通过迭代更新来充分拟合特征的过程,这些权重在模型中视为待训练参数,模型参数量决定模型规模,而参数间的计算量则影响着模型推理速度,二者皆与结构设计有关。CNN的模型参数主要集中在卷积层和全连接层,以卷积层为首要部分,卷积层的功能依靠卷积核在特征图上的加权聚合实现,参数量与卷积核大小及输入输出特征图通道数有关,计算公式如下式(1)所示。本模型设计中采用的1D-CNN仅含单维卷积核,可在一定程度减少参数量,从而使更深层的网络变得实用。卷积层主要计算方式为矩阵间的累乘加和运算,计算量的大小可通过浮点运算数(floatingpointoperations,FLOPs)衡量,FLOPs与特征图尺寸、数量和卷积核大小有关,计算公式如下式(2)所示,由于非对称池化作用,特征图尺寸在本模型2D-CNN部分成倍递减,计算量也随之减少。因此,本实施例的多维CNN耦合结构在限制参数量的同时减小计算量,有效避免了由于神经网络层数的加深而带来训练困难的问题,保证模型效率。Model training mainly refers to the process of fully fitting features by iteratively updating the weights between model layers. These weights are regarded as parameters to be trained in the model. The number of model parameters determines the model scale, while the amount of calculation between parameters affects the model reasoning speed. Both are related to the structural design. The model parameters of CNN are mainly concentrated in the convolution layer and the fully connected layer, with the convolution layer as the primary part. The function of the convolution layer is realized by weighted aggregation of the convolution kernel on the feature map. The number of parameters is related to the size of the convolution kernel and the number of input and output feature map channels. The calculation formula is shown in the following formula (1). The 1D-CNN used in this model design only contains a single-dimensional convolution kernel, which can reduce the number of parameters to a certain extent, making deeper networks practical. The main calculation method of the convolution layer is the cumulative multiplication and addition operation between matrices. The amount of calculation can be measured by the number of floating point operations (FLOPs). FLOPs is related to the size and number of feature maps and the size of the convolution kernel. The calculation formula is shown in the following formula (2). Due to the asymmetric pooling effect, the size of the feature map decreases exponentially in the 2D-CNN part of this model, and the amount of calculation is also reduced accordingly. Therefore, the multi-dimensional CNN coupling structure of this embodiment reduces the amount of calculation while limiting the number of parameters, effectively avoiding the problem of training difficulties caused by the deepening of the number of neural network layers, and ensuring the efficiency of the model.
Param=Cout×(k2×Cin+1); (1)Param=C out ×(k 2 ×C in +1); (1)
式(1)中,Param表示一个卷积层所需参数量,k为卷积核尺寸,Cin和Cout分别表示输入和输出特征图通道数。In formula (1), Param represents the number of parameters required for a convolutional layer, k is the convolution kernel size, Cin and Cout represent the number of input and output feature map channels respectively.
FLOPs=Hout×Wout×(k2×Cin)×Cout; (2)FLOPs=H out ×W out ×(k 2 ×C in )×C out ; (2)
式(2)中,Hout和Wout分别表示输出特征图的长和宽。In formula (2), H out and W out represent the length and width of the output feature map respectively.
本实施例还可在多维CNN耦合模型的结构中添加Dropout。This embodiment can also add Dropout in the structure of the multi-dimensional CNN coupling model.
除模型的结构设计外还需考虑模型的部分要素设置。如传统神经网络中层与层间的线性函数映射很难表达如滑坡这类复杂变量间的真实关系,因此,本实施例在各部分卷积层与全连接层中使用了修正性线性单元(rectified linearunit,ReLU)函数来激活层间映射,利用非线性关系有效拟合输出结果与真实数据。同时,ReLU函数还可帮助克服梯度消失,在训练中更高效,进一步缩短网络学习周期,减少计算量。在模型最后的输出中,采用了sigmoid函数单值输出,sigmoid函数能够将输出结果映射在0到1的分布区间以表示滑坡发生概率。即本实施例中,二维卷积层、一维卷积层和全连接层均采用ReLU函数。In addition to the structural design of the model, some elements of the model need to be set. For example, the linear function mapping between layers in traditional neural networks is difficult to express the real relationship between complex variables such as landslides. Therefore, in the present embodiment, the rectified linear unit (rectified linear unit, ReLU) function is used in each part of the convolution layer and the fully connected layer to activate the inter-layer mapping, and the nonlinear relationship is used to effectively fit the output results and real data. At the same time, the ReLU function can also help overcome the gradient disappearance, which is more efficient in training, further shortens the network learning cycle, and reduces the amount of calculation. In the final output of the model, the sigmoid function single-value output is adopted, and the sigmoid function can map the output result to a distribution interval of 0 to 1 to represent the probability of landslide occurrence. That is, in the present embodiment, the two-dimensional convolution layer, the one-dimensional convolution layer and the fully connected layer all use the ReLU function.
损失函数用来比较模型预测结果与真实结果间的差异,进而权衡模型质量的优化方向。在本实施例中,由于输出结果为滑坡概率形式,因此选用均方误差(mean squarederror,MSE)作为模型损失函数。MSE可以简洁的衡量预测值与真实值的“平均误差”,其计算公式如下式(3)所示。在训练过程中,模型经sigmoid函数得到接近拟合的结果时,MSE函数曲率较为平稳,避免了模型向分类结果的趋近,从而避免模型过拟合。整体而言,MSE的变化程度体现模型的好坏,MSE的值越小,说明预测模型描述实验数据具有更好的精确度。在网络优化角度,本实施例使用了Adam Optimizer代替传统的随机梯度下降法来更有效地更新网络权重。即本实施例中,在对多维CNN耦合模型进行训练时,采用均方误差作为损失函数,利用Adam optimizer更新多维CNN耦合模型的网络参数。The loss function is used to compare the difference between the model prediction result and the actual result, and then weigh the optimization direction of the model quality. In this embodiment, since the output result is in the form of landslide probability, the mean square error (MSE) is selected as the model loss function. MSE can simply measure the "average error" between the predicted value and the true value, and its calculation formula is shown in the following formula (3). During the training process, when the model obtains a result close to the fit through the sigmoid function, the curvature of the MSE function is relatively stable, which avoids the model from approaching the classification result, thereby avoiding overfitting of the model. Overall, the degree of change of MSE reflects the quality of the model. The smaller the value of MSE, the better the accuracy of the prediction model in describing the experimental data. From the perspective of network optimization, this embodiment uses Adam Optimizer instead of the traditional stochastic gradient descent method to more effectively update the network weights. That is, in this embodiment, when training the multidimensional CNN coupling model, the mean square error is used as the loss function, and the network parameters of the multidimensional CNN coupling model are updated using Adam optimizer.
式(3)中,m为样本个数;yi为第i个样本的预测值;为第i个样本的标签(即实际值)。In formula (3), m is the number of samples; yi is the predicted value of the i-th sample; is the label of the i-th sample (i.e., the actual value).
本实施例在模型结构中添加了Dropout,利用最大池化和平均池化的拼接结构在最大程度上避免信息损失的同时,对于异常信息值同样具有较好的包容能力,MSE与输出层sigmoid函数的共同应用,使在模型接近拟合的情况下具有更为明显的梯度抑制效应,避免结果分化,有利于研究进行。This embodiment adds Dropout to the model structure, and utilizes the concatenated structure of maximum pooling and average pooling to avoid information loss to the greatest extent while also having good tolerance for abnormal information values. The joint application of MSE and the output layer sigmoid function enables a more obvious gradient suppression effect when the model is close to fitting, thus avoiding result differentiation and facilitating research.
(3)以验证集为输入,利用训练后模型计算验证误差。(3) Take the validation set as input and use the trained model to calculate the validation error.
本实施例在计算验证误差时,也选用MSE损失函数。This embodiment also uses the MSE loss function when calculating the verification error.
(4)判断是否达到迭代终止条件,得到判断结果;若判断结果为是,则结束迭代,以训练后模型作为训练好的多维CNN耦合模型;若判断结果为否,则继续迭代,判断当前次迭代的验证误差与前N次迭代的验证误差是否相同;若是,则调整下一次迭代时训练过程中的学习率,以训练后模型作为下一次迭代的多维CNN耦合模型,返回“以训练集为输入,对多维CNN耦合模型进行训练,得到训练后模型”的步骤;若否,则以训练后模型作为下一次迭代的多维CNN耦合模型,返回“以训练集为输入,对多维CNN耦合模型进行训练,得到训练后模型”的步骤。(4) Determine whether the iteration termination condition is met and obtain the determination result; if the determination result is yes, terminate the iteration and use the trained model as the trained multi-dimensional CNN coupling model; if the determination result is no, continue the iteration and determine whether the verification error of the current iteration is the same as the verification error of the previous N iterations; if so, adjust the learning rate in the training process of the next iteration, use the trained model as the multi-dimensional CNN coupling model of the next iteration, and return to the step of "using the training set as input to train the multi-dimensional CNN coupling model to obtain the trained model"; if not, use the trained model as the multi-dimensional CNN coupling model of the next iteration and return to the step of "using the training set as input to train the multi-dimensional CNN coupling model to obtain the trained model".
迭代终止条件可为达到最大迭代次数。本实施例通过回调函数动态调整训练过程中的学习率,设置初始学习率为0.001,在迭代过程中随着对验证误差的观察,每三个性能持平的迭代结果出现时,即当前次迭代的验证误差与前2次迭代的验证误差相同时,学习率以0.5倍率衰减。The iteration termination condition may be reaching the maximum number of iterations. In this embodiment, the learning rate in the training process is dynamically adjusted through a callback function, and the initial learning rate is set to 0.001. During the iteration process, as the verification error is observed, when every three iterations with equal performance appear, that is, when the verification error of the current iteration is the same as the verification error of the previous two iterations, the learning rate decays at a rate of 0.5.
卷积神经网络因其强大的特征提取能力被广泛应用于滑坡易发性评价。然而,随着场景多样化和高精度的需求,CNN算法不断改进,通过加深网络层次或联合其他模型来提高精度的做法往往大幅增加模型参数量和计算量,导致模型训练困难或结果过拟合,进而无法保证模型效率,限制其实际应用。本实施例提出构建多维CNN耦合模型解决以上问题,通过特征图非对称聚合连接一维卷积神经网络和二维卷积神经网络,维持网络深度而限制模型参数并减少计算量,从而在提高精度的同时还能够保证模型效率。还可进一步利用多维卷积核参数共享捕获各滑坡影响因子不同维度及因子之间的深层耦合特征,实现特征充分利用而避免过拟合。Convolutional neural networks are widely used in landslide susceptibility assessment due to their powerful feature extraction capabilities. However, with the diversification of scenarios and the demand for high precision, the CNN algorithm is constantly improving. The practice of improving accuracy by deepening the network layer or combining other models often greatly increases the number of model parameters and the amount of calculation, resulting in difficulty in model training or overfitting of the results, and thus the model efficiency cannot be guaranteed, limiting its practical application. This embodiment proposes to construct a multidimensional CNN coupling model to solve the above problems. The one-dimensional convolutional neural network and the two-dimensional convolutional neural network are connected by asymmetric aggregation of feature graphs, maintaining the network depth while limiting the model parameters and reducing the amount of calculation, thereby improving the accuracy while ensuring the model efficiency. The multidimensional convolution kernel parameter sharing can also be further used to capture the deep coupling characteristics between the different dimensions of each landslide influencing factor and the factors, so as to fully utilize the features and avoid overfitting.
优选的,在获取多个滑坡影响因子中每一滑坡影响因子在目标区域的因子分布图之前,本实施例的滑坡易发性评价方法还包括:计算每一初始因子的方差膨胀因子,并选取方差膨胀因子小于预设阈值的初始因子作为滑坡影响因子,从而保证滑坡影响因子的独立性。Preferably, before obtaining the factor distribution map of each landslide influencing factor in the target area among multiple landslide influencing factors, the landslide susceptibility evaluation method of this embodiment also includes: calculating the variance inflation factor of each initial factor, and selecting the initial factor with a variance inflation factor less than a preset threshold as the landslide influencing factor, thereby ensuring the independence of the landslide influencing factor.
以下,本实施例以西藏色东普沟为实验区,选取11种滑坡影响因子分析该地滑坡易发性,综合考虑模型鲁棒性、推理速度及结果泛化能力,为CNN在滑坡易发性评价应用中做出新的尝试,对区域工程规划、防灾减灾具有重要意义。Below, this embodiment takes Sedongpugou in Tibet as the experimental area, selects 11 landslide influencing factors to analyze the landslide susceptibility of the area, comprehensively considers the model robustness, reasoning speed and result generalization ability, and makes a new attempt for the application of CNN in landslide susceptibility evaluation, which is of great significance to regional engineering planning and disaster prevention and mitigation.
如图4所示,其为色东普沟流域范围,色东普沟位于我国西藏自治区林芝市米林县,地处雅鲁藏布大峡谷核心区域,沟口连接雅鲁藏布江,沟域面积约67.15km2,主沟长7.4km。色东普沟北部上游地带地形宽阔,地势陡峭,冰川发育,包含域内最高点加拉白垒峰(7294m),而下游沟道变窄,坡度减缓,包含最低点冲沟沟口(2746m),整体高差4548m,属于典型高山峡谷地区。受青藏高原及喜马拉雅山脉构造应力的影响,区内岩体破碎严重,抗剪强度低,复杂的地势加之强烈运动,使该地区孕育大量滑坡灾害。同时,由于该区域的“漏斗效应”,崩滑体与大量冰川融水及降水相互作用易成为碎屑流,沿沟冲出并堵断雅鲁藏布江,形成堰塞坝,坝体溃决时,最终引发高位山洪。目前,色东普沟灾害链已致数千人受灾,数十个村镇被毁,对当地交通物流、工程建设等造成严重影响。随着全球气候变化和地质构造的演化,色东普沟仍存在发生高位崩塌滑坡引发特大地质灾害链的风险。现存研究从形成条件,发生过程和破坏机理等角度对色东普沟进行分析和探究,然而对于未来灾害链的起点,即未来发生滑坡位置缺乏具体指示。因此,有必要对该区域展开滑坡易发性评价,建议对于极高易发区域开展长期监测,早期防护,从根源扼制色东普沟灾害链的发生。As shown in Figure 4, it is the drainage area of Sedongpugou. Sedongpugou is located in Milin County, Nyingchi City, Tibet Autonomous Region, China. It is located in the core area of Yarlung Zangbo Grand Canyon. The mouth of the gully connects to the Yarlung Zangbo River. The gully area is about 67.15km2 and the main gully is 7.4km long. The upper reaches of the northern part of Sedongpugou have wide terrain, steep terrain, and developed glaciers, including the highest point in the area, Jiala Bailei Peak (7294m). The downstream channel is narrower and the slope is reduced, including the lowest point, the gully mouth (2746m). The overall height difference is 4548m, which belongs to a typical high mountain canyon area. Affected by the tectonic stress of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and the Himalayas, the rock mass in the area is severely broken and has low shear strength. The complex terrain and strong movement have caused a large number of landslide disasters in the area. At the same time, due to the "funnel effect" in the region, the landslide body interacts with a large amount of glacial meltwater and precipitation to easily become a debris flow, rushing out along the ditch and blocking the Yarlung Zangbo River, forming a barrier dam. When the dam body collapses, it will eventually trigger a high-level mountain torrent. At present, the disaster chain in Sedongpugou has caused thousands of people to be affected, dozens of villages and towns have been destroyed, and local transportation and logistics, engineering construction, etc. have been seriously affected. With global climate change and the evolution of geological structures, Sedongpugou still has the risk of a high-level collapse and landslide causing a large-scale geological disaster chain. Existing studies have analyzed and explored Sedongpugou from the perspectives of formation conditions, occurrence process and destruction mechanism, but there is a lack of specific indications for the starting point of the future disaster chain, that is, the location of future landslides. Therefore, it is necessary to carry out a landslide susceptibility assessment in the area, and it is recommended to carry out long-term monitoring and early protection in extremely high-susceptibility areas to curb the occurrence of the Sedongpugou disaster chain from the root.
由于色东普沟地势险峻,人烟稀少,传统地质调查手段在该地区难以实施,无法确定滑坡发生的具体位置、规模及体量。因此,本实施例借助卫星遥感技术、无人机平台、DEM差分及目视解译手段,完成历史滑坡范围筛选。在2018年10月,此地曾发生两起因滑坡崩塌引发碎屑流致雅鲁藏布江堵江事件,因此,本实施例聚焦研究时段为灾害发生前后的2017~2020年间,从该时间段滑坡发育特征探究未来滑坡发生风险区域,所用数据为自然资源部国土卫星遥感应用中心和中国测绘科学研究院提供的2017年12月资源三号卫星影像、2019年8月ZC-3无人机采集结果、2020年12月资源三号卫星影像。资源三号卫星是我国首颗民用高分辨率立体测绘卫星,通过立体像对可构建出包含研究区在内的空间分辨率10m,高程中误差5m的数字高程模型(digital elevation model,DEM),高程精度满足国家1:1万山地、高山地DEM精度要求,从中提取研究区DEM,无人机航摄影像分辨率设计为0.1米,采集区域为面积约12km2的主沟域,成图结果满足国家1:2000地形图精度要求,现以资源三号数据为基准,将无人机采集构建的DEM重采样至相同空间分辨率并通过特征点匹配算法进行地理配准,以供后续计算。色东普沟滑坡主要表现为后缘沟道松散体产生的剪切-滑移变形。由于汇水面积大及岩体完整性差,滑坡在“启动”瞬间被架空崩解为碎屑流。为全面识别色东普沟碎屑流物源区,参考广义滑坡定义,本实施例将构成斜坡的物质向下、向外移动的现象均视为滑坡,具体表现在不同时间段DEM变化中。但由于拍摄角度及几何畸变的影响,构建DEM与真值存在误差,因此根据数据处理结果及研究区地貌特征,以高山地高程中误差限度作为划分依据,即高程前后变化超出10m的区域作为滑坡范围。两期卫星影像构建DEM的差分已获取大部分滑坡,为获取主沟附近更精确的结果,在其中添加了覆盖主沟域且精度较高的无人机DEM差分结果作为补充。聚合三年三个时间段下的形变范围,而后结合影像目视解译平滑滑坡边缘以符合实际发育特征,最终完成色东普沟历史滑坡分布绘制,结果如图5所示,图5(a)为基于2017和2019年数据确定的滑坡范围,图5(b)为基于2019和2020年数据确定的滑坡范围,图5(c)为基于2017和2020年数据确定的滑坡范围,图5(d)为基于2017、2019和2020年数据综合确定的滑坡范围。据统计,在研究区域内共识别出70处滑坡,最大完整滑坡面积约1.78km2,最小面积为3971m2,大部分滑坡分布在中部沟道附近,表现聚集。基于此,可构建色东普沟的滑坡编目图。Due to the steep terrain and sparse population in Sedongpugou, traditional geological survey methods are difficult to implement in the area, and the specific location, scale and volume of the landslide cannot be determined. Therefore, this embodiment uses satellite remote sensing technology, drone platform, DEM difference and visual interpretation methods to complete the screening of historical landslide ranges. In October 2018, there were two incidents of debris flows caused by landslide collapse that blocked the Yarlung Zangbo River. Therefore, this embodiment focuses on the research period from 2017 to 2020 before and after the disaster. The development characteristics of the landslide in this period are used to explore the risk areas of landslides in the future. The data used are the December 2017 Resource-3 satellite images provided by the Land Satellite Remote Sensing Application Center of the Ministry of Natural Resources and the Chinese Academy of Surveying and Mapping, the ZC-3 drone collection results in August 2019, and the Resource-3 satellite images in December 2020. Ziyuan-3 is China's first civilian high-resolution stereo mapping satellite. Through stereo image pairs, a digital elevation model (DEM) with a spatial resolution of 10m and an elevation error of 5m can be constructed, including the study area. The elevation accuracy meets the national 1:10,000 mountain and high mountain DEM accuracy requirements. The DEM of the study area was extracted from it. The resolution of the drone aerial photography image was designed to be 0.1m, and the collection area was the main gully area with an area of about 12km2 . The mapping results met the national 1:2000 topographic map accuracy requirements. Based on the Ziyuan-3 data, the DEM constructed by the drone collection was resampled to the same spatial resolution and georeferenced through the feature point matching algorithm for subsequent calculations. The Sedongpugou landslide is mainly manifested as shear-slip deformation caused by the loose body of the trailing edge channel. Due to the large catchment area and poor rock mass integrity, the landslide was overhead collapsed into debris flow at the moment of "starting". In order to fully identify the debris flow source area of Sedongpugou, referring to the general definition of landslide, this embodiment regards the downward and outward movement of the materials constituting the slope as landslides, which is specifically reflected in the changes in DEM in different time periods. However, due to the influence of shooting angle and geometric distortion, there is an error between the constructed DEM and the true value. Therefore, according to the data processing results and the geomorphological characteristics of the study area, the error limit in the high mountain elevation is used as the basis for division, that is, the area with an elevation change of more than 10m before and after is regarded as the landslide range. The difference of the DEM constructed from two phases of satellite images has obtained most of the landslides. In order to obtain more accurate results near the main ditch, the difference results of the drone DEM covering the main ditch area and with higher accuracy are added as a supplement. The deformation ranges in three time periods over three years were aggregated, and then the landslide edges were smoothed in combination with visual interpretation of images to conform to the actual development characteristics. Finally, the distribution of historical landslides in Sedongpugou was mapped. The results are shown in Figure 5. Figure 5(a) shows the landslide range determined based on the data of 2017 and 2019, Figure 5(b) shows the landslide range determined based on the data of 2019 and 2020, Figure 5(c) shows the landslide range determined based on the data of 2017 and 2020, and Figure 5(d) shows the landslide range determined based on the data of 2017, 2019 and 2020. According to statistics, a total of 70 landslides were identified in the study area, with the largest complete landslide area of about 1.78km2 and the smallest area of 3971m2 . Most of the landslides are distributed near the middle channel, showing aggregation. Based on this, a landslide catalog map of Sedongpugou can be constructed.
滑坡易发性评价基于未来滑坡与先前滑坡处于相同环境的假设建立,因此选择恰当滑坡影响因子也是滑坡易发性建模成功的重要环节。由于此研究区范围较小且信息量较少,本实施例从尽可能多的角度反映滑坡特征,分别选择了地形地貌类(高程、坡度、坡向、平面曲率、剖面曲率、地形湿度指数),地质条件类(岩性、距断层距离、距震中距离),环境条件类(归一化植被指数,距沟道距离)共11种因子反映滑坡特征。为保证区域范围内详细信息,全部滑坡因子采用10m×10m分辨率,展示结果如图6所示。数据来源分别为:高程由2017年资源三号遥感影像立体像对生成,其余地形相关因子均由DEM衍生得到;岩性和断层据全国1:25万地质图截取;沟道根据光学遥感影像及历史研究绘制矢量,相关距离按欧氏距离计算;地震点数据由中国地震台网公开提供;NDVI由国家生态数据中心资源共享服务平台公开提供。基于此,可获得如图6所示的各滑坡影响因子的因子分布样本图。Landslide susceptibility assessment is based on the assumption that future landslides are in the same environment as previous landslides. Therefore, the selection of appropriate landslide influencing factors is also an important part of the successful landslide susceptibility modeling. Since the study area is small and the amount of information is small, this embodiment reflects the landslide characteristics from as many angles as possible, and selects 11 factors including topography (elevation, slope, slope aspect, plane curvature, profile curvature, terrain moisture index), geological conditions (lithology, distance from fault, distance from epicenter), and environmental conditions (normalized vegetation index, distance from channel) to reflect landslide characteristics. In order to ensure detailed information within the regional scope, all landslide factors use a resolution of 10m×10m, and the display results are shown in Figure 6. The data sources are as follows: elevation is generated by the stereo image pair of Resource-3 remote sensing images in 2017, and other terrain-related factors are derived from DEM; lithology and faults are intercepted from the national 1:250,000 geological map; channel vectors are drawn based on optical remote sensing images and historical research, and related distances are calculated using Euclidean distances; earthquake point data are publicly provided by the China Earthquake Networks Center; and NDVI is publicly provided by the National Ecological Data Center Resource Sharing Service Platform. Based on this, the factor distribution sample map of each landslide influencing factor can be obtained as shown in Figure 6.
为验证模型精度和运行效果,本实施例通过对比实验来定量评价。在本实施例中,共进行四组独立实验,分别为提出的多维CNN耦合模型,与多维CNN耦合模型参数量处于同一数量级的1D-CNN、浅层2D-CNN以及深层2D-CNN,1D-CNN与浅层2D-CNN用以比较现存方法与本实施例所提出的耦合方法在特征学习上的差异,深层2D-CNN用来验证在模型规模大致相同的情况下本实施例提出网络的效率情况。四种模型的具体参数如表1所示。In order to verify the accuracy and operation effect of the model, this embodiment is quantitatively evaluated through comparative experiments. In this embodiment, a total of four independent experiments were conducted, including the proposed multi-dimensional CNN coupling model, 1D-CNN, shallow 2D-CNN and deep 2D-CNN with the same order of magnitude of parameters as the multi-dimensional CNN coupling model. 1D-CNN and shallow 2D-CNN are used to compare the differences in feature learning between the existing methods and the coupling method proposed in this embodiment, and deep 2D-CNN is used to verify the efficiency of the network proposed in this embodiment when the model scale is roughly the same. The specific parameters of the four models are shown in Table 1.
表1Table 1
四种模型结构根据自身特性设定的同时保持变量控制,在四种结构中均采用了相同的激活函数、损失函数及相同的优化器与学习率等。在网络训练过程中,为了削减过拟合现象,还在每个网络中引入Dropout层,Dropout操作在提高预测性能方面发挥着重要作用,它可在训练过程中根据特定的概率暂时丢弃神经网络单元,以减少隐藏单元之间的协同适应,增强预测方法的泛化能力。The four model structures are set according to their own characteristics while maintaining variable control. The same activation function, loss function, optimizer and learning rate are used in the four structures. In the process of network training, in order to reduce overfitting, the Dropout layer is introduced in each network. The Dropout operation plays an important role in improving the prediction performance. It can temporarily discard the neural network units according to a specific probability during the training process to reduce the co-adaptation between hidden units and enhance the generalization ability of the prediction method.
利用训练好的模型为研究区每个像素点重新赋值可制成整体研究区的滑坡易发性图。将研究区滑坡影响因子输入各模型中进行预测,预测完成后利用ArcGIS将所得滑坡概率用自然断点法划分为五类滑坡易发性等级:极低、低、中等、高、极高。图7为用不同模型得到的色东普沟滑坡易发性图。四种模型结果间存在差异,但仍有一定共性。首先,四种模型对于高敏感区域预测位置大致相同,绝大多数历史滑坡都包含在四种模型预测出的极高易发区域,表明了预测结果的可靠性,综合来看,色东普沟的滑坡范围仍大部分分布在主沟附近,这表明伴随冰川融水与降水作用,仍将会有大量物源融入沟道,堵塞雅鲁藏布江的风险较大,应当引起重视。在四种不同的结果中,1D-CNN拥有更丰富的纹理特征,但存在极高易发区域分布广泛,无法突出典型的问题,其余三种模型向极低和极高易发区分化明显,这与CNN的分类性能有关。相比之下,本实施例所提出的网络在滑坡位置上刻画更加具体。经计算,本实施例方法表明色东普沟极高滑坡易发区面积约为5.75km2,占区域总面积的7.1%。The landslide susceptibility map of the entire study area can be made by reassigning values to each pixel in the study area using the trained model. The landslide influencing factors in the study area are input into each model for prediction. After the prediction is completed, ArcGIS is used to divide the obtained landslide probability into five types of landslide susceptibility levels using the natural breakpoint method: extremely low, low, medium, high, and extremely high. Figure 7 shows the landslide susceptibility map of Sedongpugou obtained using different models. There are differences between the results of the four models, but there are still certain commonalities. First, the four models predict roughly the same location for highly sensitive areas, and most of the historical landslides are included in the extremely high susceptibility areas predicted by the four models, indicating the reliability of the prediction results. Overall, the landslide range of Sedongpugou is still mostly distributed near the main ditch, which indicates that with the action of glacial meltwater and precipitation, a large amount of material will still be integrated into the ditch, and the risk of blocking the Yarlung Zangbo River is relatively high, which should be taken seriously. Among the four different results, 1D-CNN has richer texture features, but the extremely high-prone area is widely distributed and cannot highlight typical problems. The other three models are obviously differentiated into extremely low and extremely high-prone areas, which is related to the classification performance of CNN. In contrast, the network proposed in this embodiment is more specific in the description of landslide locations. After calculation, the method of this embodiment shows that the extremely high landslide prone area in Sedongpugou is about 5.75km2 , accounting for 7.1% of the total area of the region.
为量化滑坡易发性评价统计结果,本实施例将历史滑坡分布与整体评价结果进行比较,通过分布在各易发性等级分区内历史滑坡面积与各易发性等级分区面积的比值,对结果进行客观评价。结果如表2所示,其中模型a-模型d分别对应图7中(a)-(d)的结果,四种模型的极高易发区均包含了90%以上历史滑坡,且各模型的频率比值随着易发性等级的提高都呈上升趋势,表明了四种模型均能有效评价色东普沟滑坡易发性。1D-CNN结果较为发散,历史滑坡分布在低、中、高易发性分区的数目较多;浅层2D-CNN由于模型分化特性,将一部分历史滑坡误判为非滑坡;相比之下,本实施例所提出的方法结果更加可靠,其在极高易发区拥有最大频率比值,仅在7.513%的研究区面积内就准确涵盖了98.460%的历史滑坡范围,表现了较强的特征学习能力。In order to quantify the statistical results of landslide susceptibility evaluation, this embodiment compares the distribution of historical landslides with the overall evaluation results, and objectively evaluates the results by the ratio of the historical landslide area distributed in each susceptibility level partition to the area of each susceptibility level partition. The results are shown in Table 2, where model a-model d correspond to the results of (a)-(d) in Figure 7, respectively. The extremely high susceptibility areas of the four models all contain more than 90% of the historical landslides, and the frequency ratio of each model shows an upward trend with the increase of the susceptibility level, indicating that the four models can effectively evaluate the susceptibility of Sedongpugou landslide. The results of 1D-CNN are relatively divergent, and a large number of historical landslides are distributed in low, medium and high susceptibility zones. Due to the differentiation characteristics of the model, the shallow 2D-CNN misclassifies some historical landslides as non-landslides. In comparison, the results of the method proposed in this embodiment are more reliable, with the largest frequency ratio in extremely high susceptibility zones, accurately covering 98.460% of the historical landslide range in only 7.513% of the study area, showing a strong feature learning ability.
表2Table 2
为进一步探究模型结果差异原因,本实施例从模型训练过程中对模型机理做出进一步分析。本实施例相关神经网络实验都在Tensorflow框架下基于Python实现,实验结果在一台配备Intel(R)Xeno(R)Silver 4214处理器和NVIDIA Quadro P2200显卡的主机上获得。实验利用移动窗口在色东普沟滑坡因子栅格数据中提取出滑坡空间邻域数据30720个,并通过数据增强处理,同时随机选取等量非滑坡数据构建整体数据集,最终数据总量为184320个。为考虑不同数据量及实际应用情况多样性的影响,将整体数据集采用6:2:2和8:1:1两种比例形式划分训练集、验证集和测试集。In order to further explore the reasons for the differences in model results, this embodiment further analyzes the model mechanism from the model training process. The relevant neural network experiments in this embodiment are all implemented based on Python under the Tensorflow framework, and the experimental results are obtained on a host equipped with an Intel (R) Xeno (R) Silver 4214 processor and an NVIDIA Quadro P2200 graphics card. The experiment uses a moving window to extract 30,720 landslide spatial neighborhood data from the Sedongpugou landslide factor raster data, and through data enhancement processing, randomly selects an equal amount of non-landslide data to construct an overall data set, and the final total data volume is 184,320. In order to consider the impact of different data volumes and the diversity of actual application situations, the overall data set is divided into training set, validation set and test set in two ratios of 6:2:2 and 8:1:1.
图8展示了训练过程中各模型验证集学习曲线,1D-CNN迭代120次,其余以2D-CNN开始的模型迭代64次,batch_size统一大小为128,上升曲线表示训练过程准确率ACC,下降曲线代表训练过程损失函数MSE,通过曲线差异对比可对模型学习能力进行初步评估。第一种比例形式下四种模型的验证集曲线如图8的(a)~(d)所示,ACC和MSE两种曲线的逐步变化都反映了模型的学习情况逐步提升,四种模型通过梯度下降算法的误差反向传播,以训练样本的实际值与预测值之间的误差来调整神经元之间的权值,从而逐步计算出了目标损失函数的最小值和模型的最优权值,最终趋于平稳的曲线表达了模型已经形成一个有序、稳定、具有决策能力的结构,在四种模型的对比中,发现1D-CNN学习能力较差,最高准确率仅能停留在0.932左右,而其余三类模型均高于0.980,浅层2D-CNN因可训练参数量较少,在有限的数据下学习能力有限,因此最终ACC停留在0.9825,MSE为0.0152,相比之下,模型参数量较大的深层2D-CNN和本实施例所提出的网络性能更强,深层2D-CNN(ACC:0.9850,MSE:0.0129)比本实施例所提出的网络(ACC:0.9857,MSE:0.0127)结果略差,在模型效率角度,参数量较少1D-CNN训练最快,浅层2D-CNN次之,而参数量较多的深层2D-CNN和本实施例所提出的网络整体偏慢。值得注意的是,本实施例所提出网络在参数量比深层2D-CNN少的情况下获得了更好的学习结果,证明在多维度耦合结构下滑坡特征被更充分利用。Figure 8 shows the validation set learning curves of each model during the training process. 1D-CNN iterates 120 times, and the other models starting with 2D-CNN iterate 64 times. The batch_size is uniformly 128. The rising curve represents the accuracy ACC of the training process, and the falling curve represents the loss function MSE of the training process. The learning ability of the model can be preliminarily evaluated by comparing the curve differences. The validation set curves of the four models in the first proportional form are shown in (a) to (d) of Figure 8. The gradual changes in the ACC and MSE curves reflect the gradual improvement of the model's learning. The four models use the error back propagation of the gradient descent algorithm to adjust the weights between neurons based on the error between the actual value and the predicted value of the training sample, thereby gradually calculating the minimum value of the target loss function and the optimal weight of the model. The final stable curve expresses that the model has formed an orderly, stable, and decision-making structure. In the comparison of the four models, it is found that 1D-CNN has poor learning ability, and the highest accuracy can only stay at around 0.932, while the other three models are all higher than 0.98 0, the shallow 2D-CNN has limited learning ability under limited data due to the small number of trainable parameters, so the final ACC stays at 0.9825 and the MSE is 0.0152. In comparison, the deep 2D-CNN with a large number of model parameters and the network proposed in this embodiment have stronger performance. The deep 2D-CNN (ACC: 0.9850, MSE: 0.0129) is slightly worse than the network proposed in this embodiment (ACC: 0.9857, MSE: 0.0127). From the perspective of model efficiency, the 1D-CNN with a small number of parameters is the fastest to train, followed by the shallow 2D-CNN, while the deep 2D-CNN with a large number of parameters and the network proposed in this embodiment are overall slow. It is worth noting that the network proposed in this embodiment obtains better learning results when the number of parameters is less than that of the deep 2D-CNN, proving that the landslide feature is more fully utilized in the multi-dimensional coupling structure.
在第二种比例形式下(图8(e)~(h)),训练集数据量增加,模型获得了相对更多学习参考,四种模型的整体性能有所提升。1D-CNN(ACC:0.9544,MSE:0.0370)、浅层2D-CNN(ACC:0.9842,MSE:0.0135)、深层2D-CNN(ACC:0.9862,MSE:0.0119)、本实施例提出的网络(ACC:0.9870,MSE:0.0111),可以看出本实施例提出的网络仍保持着最优水平。较多的参数量总是伴随着训练成本的加大,在处理更多数据时,深层2D-CNN耗时最大,而本实施例提出的网络与浅层2D-CNN时间相差不多,而结果优势明显。这证明提出本实施例网络模型整体计算量并没有给模型训练带来更高要求,使模型加深更具可行性。In the second proportion form (Figure 8 (e) ~ (h)), the amount of training set data increases, the model obtains relatively more learning references, and the overall performance of the four models is improved. 1D-CNN (ACC: 0.9544, MSE: 0.0370), shallow 2D-CNN (ACC: 0.9842, MSE: 0.0135), deep 2D-CNN (ACC: 0.9862, MSE: 0.0119), the network proposed in this embodiment (ACC: 0.9870, MSE: 0.0111), it can be seen that the network proposed in this embodiment still maintains the optimal level. A large number of parameters is always accompanied by an increase in training costs. When processing more data, the deep 2D-CNN takes the most time, while the network proposed in this embodiment is similar to the shallow 2D-CNN in time, and the result is significantly superior. This proves that the overall computational amount of the network model proposed in this embodiment does not bring higher requirements to model training, making it more feasible to deepen the model.
测试集数据可用来评估模型最终的泛化能力。将两种不同比例划分出的测试集数据分别传递给训练好的模型,通过混淆矩阵展示预测结果与真实值的对比情况。混淆矩阵是机器学习中总结模型分类预测结果的常用指标,利用混淆矩阵可将模型预测结果与历史真实滑坡对比,从而形成对模型学习结果的评价。混淆矩阵形式如表3所示。The test set data can be used to evaluate the final generalization ability of the model. The test set data divided into two different proportions are passed to the trained model respectively, and the comparison between the predicted results and the true values is displayed through the confusion matrix. The confusion matrix is a common indicator for summarizing the classification prediction results of the model in machine learning. The confusion matrix can be used to compare the model prediction results with the historical real landslides, thereby forming an evaluation of the model learning results. The confusion matrix is shown in Table 3.
表3Table 3
其中,TP、FN、FP、TN分别代表模型预测结果按照阈值划分在四种情况下的数量。利用这些数值可以计算出以下指标:Among them, TP, FN, FP, and TN represent the number of model prediction results in four situations according to the threshold. These values can be used to calculate the following indicators:
整体准确率(Accuracy),表示测试集中整体预测正确的比率,其计算公式为:精确率(Precision),表示测试集中实际为正的样本预测也为正的比率,其计算公式为:召回率(Recall)表示预测为正的样本中实际为正的比率,其计算公式为: F1分数(F1-score)表示精确率和召回率的调和平均数,其计算公式为:Kappa系数表示预测结果与实际值整体的一致性,其计算公式为:其中,n为混淆矩阵列数之和(类别总数);Xii为混淆矩阵中第i行,第i列样本数,即正确分类样本数;Xi+、X+i分别为第i行、第i列样本总数;N为用于准确性评价的样本总数。The overall accuracy (Accuracy) indicates the correct ratio of the overall prediction in the test set, and its calculation formula is: Precision refers to the ratio of samples in the test set that are actually positive to samples that are predicted to be positive. The calculation formula is: Recall represents the ratio of samples predicted to be positive to samples that are actually positive. The calculation formula is: The F1 score represents the harmonic mean of precision and recall, and its calculation formula is: The Kappa coefficient indicates the overall consistency between the predicted results and the actual values, and its calculation formula is: Among them, n is the sum of the number of columns in the confusion matrix (total number of categories); Xii is the number of samples in the i-th row and i-th column in the confusion matrix, that is, the number of correctly classified samples; Xi + and X +i are the total number of samples in the i-th row and i-th column respectively; N is the total number of samples used for accuracy evaluation.
受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线是对不同阈值下的混淆矩阵的综合,被广泛应用在滑坡易发性评价结果评估中,ROC以假阳性率为横坐标,真阳性率为纵坐标,反映数据特异性和敏感性的连续变化,ROC的曲线下面积(areaunderthe curve,AUC)可以直观反映结果,AUC值越接近于1表明模型效果越好。The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is a synthesis of the confusion matrix under different thresholds and is widely used in the evaluation of landslide susceptibility assessment results. ROC uses the false positive rate as the horizontal axis and the true positive rate as the vertical axis to reflect the continuous changes in data specificity and sensitivity. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) can intuitively reflect the results. The closer the AUC value is to 1, the better the model effect.
由于模型输出结果为0~1的概率分布,因此以0.5为阈值将预测结果划分为滑坡与非滑坡,四种模型所得混淆矩阵划分结果如图9所示,各指标结果如表4所示。在混淆矩阵中,各个模型在两种数据集下都具有较高的真阳性率和真阴性率,表明了四种模型面对陌生数据时的可靠分类。本实施例所提出的模型在两种比例测试集下都具有最好的分类结果,进一步证明了模型学习能力。特别是在10%测试集下,充足的训练数据已让各模型充分学习了滑坡与非滑坡特征,对于经过数据增强的滑坡特征,两类2D-CNN与本实施例提出的网络分类结果相同,而面对复杂多变的非滑坡样本时展现出了差异,实际表明,本实施例所提出的方法保持了最好的划分结果,证明了方法的抗差性。在评价指标角度,表4列出的经混淆矩阵计算出的所有评价指标,根据表中各值显示,本实施例提出的方法均为最优。本实施例注意到在第二种比例形势下,参数量较多的深层2D-CNN在各指标均低于浅层2D-CNN,推断应为模型参数增加而导致的过拟合问题出现。模型过分学习了训练集数据而对未曾接触测试集数据缺乏泛化能力,此类模型的实际应用价值较低。从模型训练及结果评价综合来看,多维CNN耦合结构在提高模型精度的情况下,避免了因参数量增加而导致模型效率降低以及模型过拟合的问题,具有良好的应用价值。Since the model output result is a probability distribution of 0 to 1, the prediction result is divided into landslide and non-landslide with a threshold of 0.5. The confusion matrix division results of the four models are shown in Figure 9, and the results of each index are shown in Table 4. In the confusion matrix, each model has a high true positive rate and true negative rate under the two data sets, indicating that the four models can reliably classify unfamiliar data. The model proposed in this embodiment has the best classification results under the two proportion test sets, which further proves the model learning ability. In particular, under the 10% test set, sufficient training data has allowed each model to fully learn the landslide and non-landslide features. For the landslide features after data enhancement, the two types of 2D-CNN and the network classification results proposed in this embodiment are the same, but when facing complex and changeable non-landslide samples, they show differences. It actually shows that the method proposed in this embodiment maintains the best division results and proves the anti-difference of the method. From the perspective of evaluation indicators, all evaluation indicators calculated by the confusion matrix listed in Table 4 are shown in the table. According to the values in the table, the method proposed in this embodiment is the best. This embodiment notes that in the second ratio situation, the deep 2D-CNN with more parameters is lower than the shallow 2D-CNN in all indicators. It is inferred that the overfitting problem should be caused by the increase in model parameters. The model has over-learned the training set data and lacks the ability to generalize to the test set data that has never been exposed. The practical application value of such models is low. From the comprehensive perspective of model training and result evaluation, the multi-dimensional CNN coupling structure avoids the problems of reduced model efficiency and model overfitting due to the increase in parameters while improving the model accuracy, and has good application value.
表4Table 4
结果表明,因计算量减小,本实施例从滑坡特征深度挖掘及特征充分学习角度出发提出的多维CNN耦合结构与参数较少的浅层2D-CNN效率相当,而比参数量近似的深层2D-CNN训练时长大幅减小,模型训练成本降低。此外,耦合模型相比独立1D-CNN和2D-CNN特征学习能力增强,模型精度提升,在测试集数据各混淆矩阵指标下拥有更高评分,进而获得了具有更高可信度的滑坡易发性评价结果。因此,本实施例提出的多维CNN耦合模型是一种适用于滑坡易发性评价的可靠方法,为进一步滑坡灾害监测和预防提供了新的理论指导与技术支持。The results show that due to the reduced amount of calculation, the multi-dimensional CNN coupling structure proposed in this embodiment from the perspective of deep mining of landslide features and full feature learning is as efficient as the shallow 2D-CNN with fewer parameters, and the training time is greatly reduced compared to the deep 2D-CNN with similar parameters, and the model training cost is reduced. In addition, compared with independent 1D-CNN and 2D-CNN, the coupled model has enhanced feature learning capabilities and improved model accuracy, and has higher scores under various confusion matrix indicators of the test set data, thereby obtaining a landslide susceptibility evaluation result with higher credibility. Therefore, the multi-dimensional CNN coupling model proposed in this embodiment is a reliable method for landslide susceptibility evaluation, which provides new theoretical guidance and technical support for further landslide disaster monitoring and prevention.
为探究滑坡易发性评价可靠方法,本实施例将2D-CNN与1D-CNN结构耦合,利用非对称池化和卷积核参数共享学习滑坡不同维度和滑坡影响因子间的深层特征,旨在提高滑坡预测结果精度的同时避免因网络层次加深而导致的模型训练困难的问题。实验以西藏色东普沟为研究对象,通过多源数据获取当地滑坡形变范围,从多种环境因素考虑了11种滑坡影响因子。为验证模型效果,设立了经典1D-CNN,浅层2D-CNN,参数量相当的深层2D-CNN模型作为对比,通过模型训练和混淆矩阵等评价指标得出以下结论:In order to explore a reliable method for evaluating landslide susceptibility, this embodiment couples the 2D-CNN with the 1D-CNN structure, and uses asymmetric pooling and convolution kernel parameter sharing to learn the deep features of different dimensions of landslides and landslide influencing factors, aiming to improve the accuracy of landslide prediction results while avoiding the problem of model training difficulties caused by deepening the network layer. The experiment took Sedongpugou in Tibet as the research object, obtained the local landslide deformation range through multi-source data, and considered 11 landslide influencing factors from a variety of environmental factors. In order to verify the effect of the model, the classic 1D-CNN, shallow 2D-CNN, and deep 2D-CNN models with equivalent parameters were set up for comparison. The following conclusions were drawn through model training and evaluation indicators such as confusion matrix:
(1)在本实施例设立的两种数据比例形式下,所提出的耦合模型在验证集数据中都具有最高的模型精度和最低的损失函数结果。当训练集比例增加时,验证集准确率升高的同时带来了模型效率降低,而本实施例提出的模型在提取深层特征的同时仍与浅层结构效率相当,证明所提出的网络在特征提取及模型效率上具有优势。(1) Under the two data ratios established in this embodiment, the proposed coupling model has the highest model accuracy and the lowest loss function results in the validation set data. When the training set ratio increases, the validation set accuracy increases while the model efficiency decreases. However, the model proposed in this embodiment extracts deep features while still being as efficient as the shallow structure, proving that the proposed network has advantages in feature extraction and model efficiency.
(2)在测试集数据下,本实施例提出的模型在混淆矩阵中各个指标下拥有最优表现,证明所采用的耦合结构具有较强泛化能力,避免了模型过拟合问题出现。在经训练后各模型生成的滑坡易发性图中,本实施例提出的网络对历史滑坡识别最为准确,得到的滑坡预测结果具有最高可靠性。因此,综合评价下认为耦合结构是一种可行的滑坡易发性评价方法,为深度学习在滑坡易发性评价上的应用做出新的尝试。(2) Under the test set data, the model proposed in this embodiment has the best performance under each indicator in the confusion matrix, which proves that the coupling structure adopted has strong generalization ability and avoids the problem of model overfitting. In the landslide susceptibility map generated by each model after training, the network proposed in this embodiment is the most accurate in identifying historical landslides, and the obtained landslide prediction results have the highest reliability. Therefore, under comprehensive evaluation, it is believed that the coupling structure is a feasible landslide susceptibility evaluation method, which makes a new attempt for the application of deep learning in landslide susceptibility evaluation.
本实施例还可对滑坡影响因子进行分析,具体如下:This embodiment can also analyze the landslide influencing factors, as follows:
(1)多重共线性分析(1) Multicollinearity analysis
在探究滑坡与滑坡影响因子间的回归关系时,首先要保证因子间的独立性。当因子间存在强线性关系时将很难找到单独因子与滑坡发生之间的真实关系,导致模型预测结果偏差较大甚至完全相反,本实施例称这种现象为因子间存在多重共线性。多重共线性通常选用方差膨胀因子(variance inflation factor,VIF)和容差(tolerance,T)来评判,VIF公式如下:When exploring the regression relationship between landslides and landslide influencing factors, the independence of factors must be ensured first. When there is a strong linear relationship between factors, it will be difficult to find the true relationship between a single factor and the occurrence of landslides, resulting in a large deviation in the model prediction results or even a complete opposite. This phenomenon is called multicollinearity between factors in this embodiment. Multicollinearity is usually judged by variance inflation factor (VIF) and tolerance (T). The VIF formula is as follows:
式(4)中,A2表示该类自变量对于其他自变量作回归分析的复相关系数,当该类变量与其余变量相关程度愈高时,A2值愈接近1,VIF值愈大,当VIF>10,其倒数容差(T)<0.1时,表明存在多重共线性问题。In formula (4), A2 represents the multiple correlation coefficient of the independent variable for the other independent variables in the regression analysis. When the correlation between the independent variable and the other variables is higher, the A2 value is closer to 1 and the VIF value is larger. When VIF>10 and its reciprocal tolerance (T)<0.1, it indicates the existence of multicollinearity problem.
(2)频率比分析(2) Frequency ratio analysis
频率比(frequency ratio,FR)可准确处理滑坡与其影响因子间的非线性响应关系,表征滑坡因子各属性区间对滑坡发生的相对影响程度。通过频率比分析,可以定量判断当地滑坡发生的多重机理,便于因地制宜。频率比计算如公式(5)所示。The frequency ratio (FR) can accurately handle the nonlinear response relationship between landslides and their influencing factors, and characterize the relative influence of each attribute interval of landslide factors on the occurrence of landslides. Through frequency ratio analysis, the multiple mechanisms of local landslide occurrence can be quantitatively determined, which is convenient for taking appropriate measures. The frequency ratio calculation is shown in formula (5).
式(5)中,A为每一类环境因子在区间中出现的滑坡栅格数﹐A'为区内滑坡栅格总数,B为环境因子的在区间中的栅格数,B'为研究区栅格总数,FR值越高,表明该类属性因子对滑坡影响越大。In formula (5), A is the number of landslide grids that appear in each type of environmental factor in the interval, A' is the total number of landslide grids in the area, B is the number of grids of environmental factors in the interval, and B' is the total number of grids in the study area. The higher the FR value, the greater the impact of this type of attribute factor on the landslide.
将上述因子分析方法应用至色东谱沟,分析结果如下:在SPSS软件中,获取了本实施例选取的滑坡因子特征分析结果。多重共线性分析结果如图10所示,距沟道距离拥有最大的VIF值(4.482)和最小的容差值(0.223),全部因子都在可接受的阈值范围内,表明11种因子都具有较好的独立性,不存在共线性问题,可用于深度学习模型学习。图11展示了各个因子类别下滑坡发生频率比,不同类别呈现出了差异性。The above factor analysis method was applied to Sedongpugou, and the analysis results are as follows: In SPSS software, the characteristic analysis results of the landslide factors selected in this embodiment were obtained. The multicollinearity analysis results are shown in Figure 10. The distance from the ditch has the largest VIF value (4.482) and the smallest tolerance value (0.223). All factors are within the acceptable threshold range, indicating that the 11 factors have good independence and no collinearity problems, which can be used for deep learning model learning. Figure 11 shows the frequency ratio of landslide occurrence in each factor category, and different categories show differences.
(1)地形地貌类。结果显示,色东普沟在海拔3500-4000m,坡度小于20°时拥有最高的FR值,表明滑坡大多发生在沟域中下游,边坡坡度较低处;坡向关系着地区所受降水和太阳辐射的影响程度,在大部分方向都表现出了相关性;曲率被定义为二维表面的三维特征,平面曲率和剖面曲率可以有效地反映地形复杂性,色东普沟分别在0-1和-1-0拥有最高FR值;地形湿度指数反映径流量的状况,在最大值区间内拥有最高的FR值,间接表明了色东普沟滑坡与降水融水较为相关。(1) Topography. The results show that Sedongpugou has the highest FR value at an altitude of 3500-4000m and a slope of less than 20°, indicating that landslides mostly occur in the middle and lower reaches of the gully area and at the lower slopes. The slope direction is related to the degree of influence of precipitation and solar radiation on the region, and it shows correlation in most directions. Curvature is defined as the three-dimensional feature of a two-dimensional surface. Plane curvature and profile curvature can effectively reflect the complexity of the terrain. Sedongpugou has the highest FR value at 0-1 and -1-0, respectively. The terrain humidity index reflects the runoff condition and has the highest FR value in the maximum value range, which indirectly indicates that the Sedongpugou landslide is more related to precipitation and meltwater.
(2)地质条件类。岩性岩石类型对边坡土体类型、边坡结构和土体抗剪强度有显著影响,由于本区域较小,只显示为冰川和南迦巴瓦群大理岩两种类型,FR值表明滑坡在冰川处发育较多;与断层距离的不同影响着滑坡体的力学结构,在色东普沟附近的东北、东南、西南、西北方向均存在地质断层,在多条断层的综合作用下,距离7500-8500m对滑坡影响较大。(2) Geological conditions. Lithology and rock type have a significant impact on the slope soil type, slope structure and soil shear strength. Due to the small size of this area, only two types of rocks are shown: glacier and Nanga Parbat Group marble. The FR value shows that landslides are more common in glaciers. The distance from the fault affects the mechanical structure of the landslide. There are geological faults in the northeast, southeast, southwest and northwest directions near Sedongpugou. Under the combined effect of multiple faults, the distance of 7500-8500m has a greater impact on the landslide.
(3)环境条件类。由于此地常年受冰川融水及大气降水影响,崩塌滑坡往往发育为碎屑流灾害,在碎屑流形成的沟道中,冲击刮铲作用也可进一步诱发周边滑坡,因此根据相关文献及影像解译绘制了色东普沟沟道位置作为地域特色因子,FR值也表现出沟道与滑坡的强烈相关性,在距离最近的小于300m距离处拥有最大值;与地震的相关性反映在距震中的距离,研究选取了米林县及其周边震中位置,在综合作用下,距离9000-10000m处滑坡较为频发;NDVI则反映植被的生长和覆盖度间接影响边坡的稳定性,植被覆盖率较低的0.2-0.4区间有最高的FR值。(3) Environmental conditions. As this area is affected by glacial meltwater and atmospheric precipitation all year round, collapse landslides often develop into debris flow disasters. In the channels formed by debris flows, the impact and scraping effect can further induce surrounding landslides. Therefore, according to relevant literature and image interpretation, the channel location of Sedongpugou was mapped as a regional characteristic factor. The FR value also shows a strong correlation between the channel and the landslide, with the maximum value at the closest distance of less than 300m. The correlation with earthquakes is reflected in the distance from the epicenter. The study selected the epicenter location of Milin County and its surrounding areas. Under the comprehensive effect, landslides are more frequent at a distance of 9000-10000m. NDVI reflects that the growth and coverage of vegetation indirectly affect the stability of the slope. The 0.2-0.4 interval with a low vegetation coverage has the highest FR value.
本实施例提出构建1D-CNN和2D-CNN耦合模型,综合利用两种网络优势学习滑坡因子不同维度以及不同因子间的深层关联特征,同时通过特征图非对称聚合减少模型计算量,进而降低模型训练成本,保障模型效率。This embodiment proposes to construct a 1D-CNN and 2D-CNN coupling model, comprehensively utilizing the advantages of the two networks to learn the different dimensions of landslide factors and the deep correlation features between different factors, and at the same time reduce the model calculation amount through asymmetric aggregation of feature maps, thereby reducing the model training cost and ensuring model efficiency.
实施例2:Embodiment 2:
本实施例用于提供一种多维CNN耦合的滑坡易发性评价系统,如图12所示,所述滑坡易发性评价系统包括:This embodiment is used to provide a multi-dimensional CNN coupled landslide susceptibility evaluation system, as shown in FIG12 , the landslide susceptibility evaluation system includes:
数据获取模块M1,用于获取多个滑坡影响因子中每一所述滑坡影响因子在目标区域的因子分布图;所述滑坡影响因子包括地形地貌类因子、地质条件类因子和环境条件类因子;The data acquisition module M1 is used to obtain a factor distribution diagram of each of the multiple landslide influencing factors in the target area; the landslide influencing factors include topographic factors, geological conditions factors and environmental conditions factors;
评价模块M2,用于以所有所述因子分布图为输入,利用训练好的多维CNN耦合模型确定所述目标区域每一位置点的滑坡概率,以对所述目标区域进行滑坡易发性评价;所述训练好的多维CNN耦合模型包括依次连接的二维卷积神经网络、二维非对称聚合模块、一维卷积神经网络、一维非对称聚合模块和全连接层模块;所述二维非对称聚合模块包括并联连接的二维最大池化层和二维平均池化层以及分别与所述二维最大池化层的输出和所述二维平均池化层的输出相连接的concatenate层;所述一维非对称聚合模块包括并联连接的一维最大池化层和一维平均池化层以及分别与所述一维最大池化层的输出和所述一维平均池化层的输出相连接的concatenate层。The evaluation module M2 is used to use all the factor distribution maps as inputs and use the trained multidimensional CNN coupling model to determine the landslide probability of each location point in the target area to evaluate the landslide susceptibility of the target area; the trained multidimensional CNN coupling model includes a two-dimensional convolutional neural network, a two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module, a one-dimensional convolutional neural network, a one-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module and a fully connected layer module connected in sequence; the two-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module includes a two-dimensional maximum pooling layer and a two-dimensional average pooling layer connected in parallel, and a concatenate layer connected to the output of the two-dimensional maximum pooling layer and the output of the two-dimensional average pooling layer respectively; the one-dimensional asymmetric aggregation module includes a one-dimensional maximum pooling layer and a one-dimensional average pooling layer connected in parallel, and a concatenate layer connected to the output of the one-dimensional maximum pooling layer and the output of the one-dimensional average pooling layer respectively.
本文中应用了具体个例对本发明的原理及实施方式进行了阐述,以上实施例的说明只是用于帮助理解本发明的方法及其核心思想;同时,对于本领域的一般技术人员,依据本发明的思想,在具体实施方式及应用范围上均会有改变之处。综上所述,本说明书内容不应理解为对本发明的限制。This article uses specific examples to illustrate the principles and implementation methods of the present invention. The above examples are only used to help understand the method and core ideas of the present invention. At the same time, for those skilled in the art, according to the ideas of the present invention, there will be changes in the specific implementation methods and application scope. In summary, the content of this specification should not be understood as limiting the present invention.
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"基于地形特征融合的卷积神经网络滑坡识别";蔡浩杰等;《地球科学与环境学报》;第44卷(第3期);第568-579页 * |
Yuan, R et al..A hybrid deep learning method for landslide susceptibility analysis with the application of InSAR data.《Natural Hazards》.2022,第114卷(第2期),1393-1426. * |
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