CN116109151A - Emergency plan deduction system, deduction method, electronic equipment and storage medium - Google Patents
Emergency plan deduction system, deduction method, electronic equipment and storage medium Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention provides an emergency plan deduction system, a deduction method, electronic equipment and a storage medium, wherein the emergency plan deduction system comprises a deduction element determining module, a calculating module and a calculating module, wherein the deduction element determining module is used for determining a plurality of scene elements associated with a plan, and the scene elements comprise at least one of disaster factors, disaster-tolerant environments, disaster-bearing bodies and corresponding bodies of disasters; the deduction feature selection module is used for screening feature elements needing deduction from various scene element relations; the deduction modeling calculation module is used for constructing feature nodes according to the association relation among the feature elements and deducting the feature nodes to obtain the difference between the scenario elements before the start of the plan and the scenario elements after the start of the plan.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of data visualization, in particular to an emergency plan deduction system, a deduction method, electronic equipment and a storage medium.
Background
With the rapid development of socioeconomic performance, china currently enters a stage with higher occurrence probability, higher destructive power and stronger influence on various sudden events. Various incidents often result in serious personnel and property damage. The reasonable and effective emergency plan is formulated, so that a processing decision can be made rapidly when an emergency occurs, and the harm caused by the emergency is reduced. In the related art, a data simulation drilling system is constructed to simulate drilling in the emergency plan starting process. But the drilling system focuses on the scene construction of the emergency plan, the visual presentation of the plan is more preferable to the drilling of the plan, but not deduction, the causal relationship, time sequence relationship and the like of the tasks cannot be presented, the comprehensive judgment of the trend cannot be carried out in all directions, decision basis cannot be provided for a director, and the director is not facilitated to command and dispatch.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention provides an emergency plan deduction system, which comprises:
the deduction element determining module is used for determining various scene elements associated with the plan, wherein the scene elements comprise at least one of disaster causing factors, disaster pregnancy environments, disaster bearing bodies and corresponding bodies of disasters;
the deduction feature selection module is used for screening feature elements needing deduction from the plurality of scene element relations;
and the deduction modeling calculation module is used for constructing feature nodes according to the association relation among the feature elements and deducting the feature nodes to obtain the difference between the scene elements before the starting of the plan and the scene elements after the starting of the plan.
According to the emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention, the deduction modeling calculation module is further used for:
and establishing a Bayesian network according to the disaster causing factors, the disaster-tolerant environment and the disaster-tolerant body, wherein the Bayesian network is used for presenting the association relationship among the disaster causing factors, the disaster-tolerant environment and the disaster-tolerant body.
The emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention further comprises:
and the situation deduction module is used for calculating the risk conversion probability among the disaster-causing factors according to the association relation among the disaster-causing factors, the disaster-tolerant environment and the disaster-bearing body.
According to the emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention, the situation deduction module is further used for:
and calculating the rescue index of the corresponding body according to the association relation between the corresponding body and the disaster causing factor.
According to the emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention, the situation deduction module is further used for displaying the causal relationship between different situation elements and/or displaying the difference between the situation elements before starting the plan and the situation elements after starting the plan.
According to the emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention, the situation deduction module is further used for:
and deducing the situation according to the command and dispatch stage, wherein the command and dispatch stage comprises a pre-plan starting stage in the event, a command and dispatch stage in the event and a post-guarantee stage.
The emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention further comprises:
the comprehensive evaluation module is used for scoring the execution condition of the pre-project task during the pre-project starting stage, the evaluation of the command scheduling condition during the command scheduling stage during the pre-project, and the post-guarantee condition during the post-guarantee stage, and accumulating the scoring results of various conditions according to the preset weight to obtain the pre-project score.
The emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention further comprises:
the auxiliary emergency module is used for executing emergency tasks in an auxiliary emergency scheme, and the emergency tasks comprise a plan task, a scheduling task, an expert consultation task and a situation awareness task.
According to the emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention, the plan tasks comprise the organization architecture of the corresponding body in the plan and the responsibilities thereof.
According to the emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention, the scheduling tasks comprise at least one of team scheduling, material scheduling and equipment scheduling.
According to the emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention, the expert consultation task recommends relevant experts and organizes the expert conference according to the event type and the event level.
According to the emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention, the situation awareness task is from preset tasks triggered by various awareness devices.
The emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention further comprises:
the plan conversion module is used for converting the general plan into an auxiliary emergency plan;
the protocol conversion module includes:
the problem determining unit is used for analyzing disaster factors included in the current occurrence event and situation situations generated by the disaster factors;
the node selection unit is used for determining disaster-causing factor nodes, disaster-pregnant environment nodes, disaster-bearing body nodes and corresponding body nodes according to disaster-causing factors included in the current occurrence event and situation situations generated by the disaster-causing factors;
an annotation unit for describing element characteristics of each node;
and the constraint unit is used for constraining the scene elements in the nodes and comprises a characteristic value threshold value of the scene elements, a time relation of the scene elements and a logic relation among the scene elements.
The invention also provides an emergency plan deduction method which is applied to the emergency plan deduction system, and comprises the following steps:
determining a plurality of scene elements associated with a plan, wherein the scene elements comprise at least one of disaster causing factors, disaster pregnancy environments, disaster bearing bodies and corresponding bodies of disasters;
screening out feature elements needing deduction from the plurality of scene element relations;
and constructing feature nodes according to the association relation between the feature elements, and deducing the feature nodes to obtain the difference between the scene elements before the starting of the plan and the scene elements after the starting of the plan.
The invention also provides an electronic device comprising a memory, a processor and a computer program stored on the memory and capable of running on the processor, wherein the processor realizes the emergency plan deduction method according to any one of the above when executing the program.
The invention also provides a non-transitory computer readable storage medium having stored thereon a computer program which, when executed by a processor, implements an emergency plan deduction method as described in any one of the above.
The invention provides an emergency plan deduction system, a deduction method, electronic equipment and a storage medium, wherein the emergency plan deduction system comprises a deduction element determining module, a calculating module and a calculating module, wherein the deduction element determining module is used for determining a plurality of scene elements associated with a plan, and the scene elements comprise at least one of disaster factors, disaster-tolerant environments, disaster-bearing bodies and corresponding bodies of disasters; the deduction feature selection module is used for screening feature elements needing deduction from various scene element relations; the deduction modeling calculation module is used for constructing feature nodes according to the association relation among the feature elements and deducting the feature nodes to obtain the difference between the scenario elements before the start of the plan and the scenario elements after the start of the plan.
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In order to more clearly illustrate the invention or the technical solutions of the prior art, the following description will briefly explain the drawings used in the embodiments or the description of the prior art, and it is obvious that the drawings in the following description are some embodiments of the invention, and other drawings can be obtained according to the drawings without inventive effort for a person skilled in the art.
FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram of a functional structure of an emergency plan deduction system according to the present invention;
FIG. 2 is a second schematic diagram of a functional structure of the emergency plan deduction system according to the present invention;
FIG. 3 is a third functional schematic diagram of the emergency plan deduction system according to the present invention;
FIG. 4 is a schematic diagram of a functional structure of an emergency plan deduction system according to the present invention;
FIG. 5 is a schematic diagram of a functional structure of an emergency plan deduction system according to the present invention;
FIG. 6 is a schematic diagram of a functional structure of an emergency plan deduction system according to the present invention;
FIG. 7 is a schematic diagram of a functional structure of an emergency plan deduction system according to the present invention;
FIG. 8 is a schematic diagram of a functional structure of an emergency plan deduction system according to the present invention;
FIG. 9 is a diagram illustrating a functional structure of an emergency plan deduction system according to the present invention;
FIG. 10 is a schematic flow chart of the emergency plan deduction method provided by the invention;
fig. 11 is a schematic structural diagram of an electronic device provided by the present invention.
Detailed Description
For the purpose of making the objects, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention more apparent, the technical solutions of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the accompanying drawings, and it is apparent that the described embodiments are some embodiments of the present invention, not all embodiments. All other embodiments, which can be made by those skilled in the art based on the embodiments of the invention without making any inventive effort, are intended to be within the scope of the invention.
The invention will be described in detail below with reference to the drawings in connection with embodiments.
Referring to fig. 1, fig. 1 is a schematic functional structural diagram of some embodiments of an emergency plan deduction system according to the present invention. As shown in fig. 1, the emergency plan deduction system includes:
a deduction element determining module 101, configured to determine a plurality of scenario elements associated with a plan, where the scenario elements include at least one of a disaster factor, a disaster-tolerant environment, a disaster-bearing body, and a counterbody of a disaster;
the deduction feature selection module 102 is configured to screen feature elements to be deducted from the multiple scenario element relationships;
and the deduction modeling calculation module 103 is used for constructing feature nodes according to the association relation between the feature elements and deducting the feature nodes to obtain the difference between the scene elements before the starting of the plan and the scene elements after the starting of the plan.
As shown in fig. 2, the whole process of deducing the plan is composed of three steps of "deduction element determination, deduction feature selection and deduction modeling calculation", wherein the deduction element determination module 101 is used for determining elements such as disaster causing factors, disaster-tolerant environments, disaster-bearing bodies and counterbodies of disasters, and the deduction feature selection module 102 is used for selecting the most core features from a plurality of features for deduction aiming at the deduction elements. The deduction modeling calculation module 103 deducts the feature nodes through an algorithm model, and shows differences between the prior elements and the after elements.
For example: the method comprises the steps that a landslide event is caused by storm, the prior elements obtained by determining the deduction element comprise elements such as the rainfall capacity and duration of the storm, the viscosity, the soil property and the area of the mountain, and the deduction feature is selected as mountain debris flow; with the duration of rainfall, the mountain body becomes qualitative, and the conditional probability of debris flow is greatly increased under the condition of continuous heavy rain. The deduction modeling calculation is used for calculating the data changes such as the compensation quantity, the longitudinal reduction ratio, the mud depth, the ditch length, the ditch width and the like of the mud-rock flow, so that the risk probability of the mud-rock flow is deducted.
In the embodiment of the present invention, the deduction modeling calculation module 103 is further configured to:
and establishing a Bayesian network according to the disaster causing factors, the disaster-tolerant environment and the disaster-tolerant body, wherein the Bayesian network is used for presenting the association relationship among the disaster causing factors, the disaster-tolerant environment and the disaster-tolerant body.
As shown in fig. 3, the bayesian network is also called a belief network, and is established by establishing a bayesian network for the characteristics of heavy rain (rainfall intensity and rainfall duration), the characteristics of mountain (acidity, area and fall), the characteristics of mud-rock flow (whether occurrence, flow velocity, longitudinal drop ratio and section mud depth) and revealing the causal relationship between different scene elements.
The traditional drilling system focuses on the scene construction of the emergency plan, visual presentation of the plan is more preferable to drilling of the plan, but not deduction, the causal relationship, time sequence relationship and the like of the tasks cannot be presented, comprehensive judgment of the trend cannot be carried out in all directions, decision basis cannot be provided for a director, and the director is not facilitated to command and schedule.
The emergency plan deduction system provided by the embodiment of the invention comprises a deduction element determining module, a calculating module and a calculating module, wherein the deduction element determining module is used for determining a plurality of scene elements associated with a plan, and the scene elements comprise at least one of disaster factors, disaster-tolerant environments, disaster-bearing bodies and corresponding bodies of disasters; the deduction feature selection module is used for screening feature elements needing deduction from various scene element relations; the deduction modeling calculation module is used for constructing feature nodes according to the association relation among the feature elements and deducting the feature nodes to obtain the difference between the scenario elements before the start of the plan and the scenario elements after the start of the plan.
Based on any of the above embodiments, as shown in fig. 4, the emergency plan deduction system further includes:
the situation deduction module is used for calculating the risk conversion probability among the disaster-causing factors according to the association relation among the disaster-causing factors, the disaster-pregnant environment and the disaster-bearing body;
risk conversion probability:
where i is a specific node in DAG (directed acyclic graph), x= (X) i ) i∈I The node variable expresses the probability distribution in the form of probability product, and the static Bayesian network probability distribution is obtained as follows:
the bayesian network is divided into 2 time slices, namely ' storm affecting mountain and ' mountain forming debris flow '. According to the Markov chain Monte Carlo method, the value state of each characteristic of the debris flow is predicted by the following formula, and the Bayesian network is solved.
Wherein f i And (t) is data of various characteristics of the debris flow, such as the compensation quantity, the longitudinal reduction ratio, the depth of the debris, the length of the ditch, the width of the ditch and the like of the debris flow.
With the solid material supplementing quantity f 2 The probability is calculated as follows (in the use case, the rainfall intensity is set to "strong rainfall", and the soil property is set to "weak acidity") as an example of the value state prediction.
p(f 2 ＝1)＝∑p(f 2 ＝11f 1 f s )p(f 1 f s )＝p(f 2 ＝11f 1 ＞100，f s ＜5）p(f 1 f s )+p（f 2 ＝11f 1 ＞100，f s ＞5)p(f 1 f s )+p（f 2 ＝11f 1 ＜100，f s ＜5）p（f 1 f s )+p（f 2 ＝11f 1 ＜100，f s ＞5)p(f 1 f s )
＝0.823×1×0+0.177×1×1+0.219×0×0+0.781×0×1
＝0.177
In the embodiment of the invention, a specific quantitative decision basis can be provided for emergency commanders by calculating the risk conversion probability, and the emergency capacity of the system is improved.
Calculating rescue indexes of the corresponding bodies according to the association relation between the corresponding bodies and the disaster causing factors; the counterpart can be regarded as a special situation of disaster causing factor, which is opposite to the acting force of disaster causing factor. The calculation method is similar to risk transformation probability.
In the embodiment of the invention, a specific quantitative decision basis can be provided for emergency commanders by calculating the rescue index of the corresponding body, and the emergency capacity of the system is improved.
According to the emergency plan deduction system provided by the invention, the situation deduction module is also used for displaying the causal relationship between different situation elements and/or displaying the difference between the situation elements before starting the plan and the situation elements after starting the plan;
and deducing the situation according to the command and dispatch stage, wherein the command and dispatch stage comprises a pre-plan starting stage in the event, a command and dispatch stage in the event and a post-guarantee stage.
For example, the deduction based on the situation is concentrated in the commanding and dispatching stage in the event, and the deduction is carried out on the parameter change of the carrier by various measures taken by the disaster relief body in the commanding process. The method mainly adopts a form evaluation mode in the stage of starting the plan, and when the plan is started, personnel in place conditions, equipment in place conditions and the like of emergency response are scored, so that the possibility of converting the situation into good conditions during starting is obtained.
According to the risk conversion probability among the disaster-causing factors, a disaster-causing factor deduction trend graph is drawn, according to the deduction trend of the corresponding body, the disaster-causing factors and the deduction trend graph of the corresponding body are compared, the change situation of the disaster can be controlled in real time, and the disaster control trend of the corresponding body (such as rescue team members, rescue materials, rescue equipment and the like) corresponding to the disaster can be controlled. As the trend of disaster causing factors continues to be downward, the risk index becomes lower. And the rescuing ability and the controlling ability of the corresponding body to the disaster are continuously improved, the risk index is also lower and lower, and the opposite is the case.
Based on any of the above embodiments, as shown in fig. 5, the emergency plan deduction system further includes:
the comprehensive evaluation module is used for scoring the execution condition of the pre-project task during the pre-project starting stage, the evaluation of the command scheduling condition during the command scheduling stage during the pre-project, and the post-guarantee condition during the post-guarantee stage, and accumulating the scoring results of various conditions according to the preset weight to obtain the pre-project score.
The comprehensive evaluation is an important means for controlling situation, and the evaluation of command scheduling in the event and the evaluation of post-event guarantee are scored according to a certain weight and a certain degree of completion through the execution condition of the pre-plan task in the event. The comprehensive judgment of the trend in an omnibearing way can be realized, a decision basis is provided for a director, and the overall trend of the command scheduling is influenced.
Based on any of the above embodiments, as shown in fig. 6, the emergency plan deduction system further includes:
the auxiliary emergency module is used for executing emergency tasks in an auxiliary emergency scheme, and the emergency tasks comprise a plan task, a scheduling task, an expert consultation task and a situation awareness task.
In an embodiment of the present invention, the project task includes an organization architecture of a counterpart in the project and its responsibilities.
In the embodiment of the invention, the scheduling task comprises at least one of team scheduling, material scheduling and equipment scheduling.
In the embodiment of the invention, the expert consultation task recommends relevant experts and organizes the expert conference according to the event type and the event level.
In the embodiment of the invention, the situation awareness task is from preset tasks triggered by various awareness devices.
The auxiliary emergency scheme is formulated in the form of work tasks, and four types of tasks are organized through a Bayesian network, so that the causal relationship and the time sequence relationship between the tasks can be obtained.
For example, the Bayesian network extracts the deduced feature from the disaster-causing factors, the disaster-causing environment, the disaster-bearing body and the deducing elements of the corresponding body by determining the deduced feature, wherein nodes in the network represent the deduced feature, and edges represent the possible probability. The Bayesian network is combined with the Markov chain to organize various tasks of the task set, the development process of the natural cascade disaster is irreversible, and the scene state at the time t+1 is only dependent on the scene state at the time t, so that the Bayesian network accords with the Markov model. Such as: when an expert consultation task is held, a plurality of scheduling tasks are triggered, and have time sequence relation, and the scheduling tasks depend on the expert consultation at this time.
Based on any of the above embodiments, as shown in fig. 7, the emergency plan deduction system further includes:
the plan conversion module is used for converting the general plan into an auxiliary emergency plan;
the protocol conversion module includes:
the problem determining unit is used for analyzing disaster factors included in the current occurrence event and situation situations generated by the disaster factors;
the node selection unit is used for determining disaster-causing factor nodes, disaster-pregnant environment nodes, disaster-bearing body nodes and corresponding body nodes according to disaster-causing factors included in the current occurrence event and situation situations generated by the disaster-causing factors;
an annotation unit for describing element characteristics of each node;
and the constraint unit is used for constraining the scene elements in the nodes and comprises a characteristic value threshold value of the scene elements, a time relation of the scene elements and a logic relation among the scene elements.
The emergency command scheduling is not a one-time waterfall scheduling work, but is a running process of a plurality of PDCA (digital versatile analysis) loops, wherein the PDCA loops mean Plan, do (execution), check (examination) and Act (processing), and each time of task scheduling, the command scheduling can be led to a favorable or unfavorable direction, and diagnosis and evaluation of situation deduction and emergency assessment of a scene situation are required to be integrated, so that the effectiveness of measures is verified.
An emergency plan is a series of standard task sets envisaged under ideal conditions, and the proposed standard specification actions have general guiding significance but are not very practical. The current event is the actual action taken according to the real state under the guidance of the emergency plan. There is a gap between ideal conditions and realistic conditions, resulting in problems. After the root cause analysis is carried out on the problems, the corresponding adjustment is carried out on the emergency scheme, the corresponding task set is adjusted, the auxiliary emergency scheme is formed, the work of commanding and dispatching is guided to be carried out, the work of task dispatching, task execution and task monitoring is completed, the system automatically gathers various conditions, data support is provided for emergency assessment, analysis is carried out through two means of situation deduction and emergency assessment, whether the current commanding and dispatching method is effective is assessed, whether the overall trend is towards a good direction is judged, and an effective deduction strategy is provided for the adjustment of the scheme.
According to the storm time, the method can be divided into 5 stages: the system comprises a preparation stage, a search and rescue stage, a maintenance stage, a placement stage and a recovery stage, wherein each government department can be divided into 9 emergency groups according to command responsibilities, namely a meteorological professional team, an emergency command center, a city commission municipal government, a public security fire department, a armed police support team, a propaganda professional team, an emergency professional team, a medical professional team and a material preparation team. Each group has its own specific tasks at different stages.
As shown in fig. 8, se:Sub>A disaster deduction scenario of se:Sub>A plan is constructed by taking an < I-N-C-se:Sub>A-R > framework in an ontology as se:Sub>A tool, wherein i=issues problem, n=nodes, c=constraints constraint, a=analysis, annotation, r=relations are associated, and se:Sub>A scenario situation conversion path of converting se:Sub>A mountain into se:Sub>A mud-rock flow under the action of heavy rain is taken as an example.
(1) Question (Issues)
In the transformation deduction of the situation, the problem represents basic description of main situations before and after transformation, such as: storms cause landslide, and storms cause urban inland inundation.
(2) Node (Nodes)
Scenario elements before and after transformation in the deduction process, such as: the nodes involved in the storm problem include storm, mountain, debris flow and the like.
(3) Constraint (Constraints)
Rules constraints in the conversion deduction, such as element feature value threshold, time logic relation of element appearance, and the like.
(4) Annotation (Annitation)
The annotation represents the scene element feature of the node and is the main object analyzed in the conversion deduction. Such as: the notes of the storm are mainly rainfall, and the notes of the mountain have viscosity, elevation and area.
(5) Correlation (Relations)
The association represents the association relation among the scene element characteristics of each node, and a Bayesian network for scene situation transformation is formed through the association relation.
As shown in fig. 9, the plan deduction overall flow includes:
in the preparation stage, a meteorological professional team issues early warning, and an emergency command center starts an emergency plan and monitors the emergency plan; the city commission government establishes an emergency command center; the police fire department maneuver and the armed police team maneuver; power supply guarantee of emergency professional team; preparing materials of medical professionals; the material preparation team is used for communication guarantee;
in the search and rescue stage, the weather professional team collects data, and the emergency command center carries out rescue command; propaganda professional team propaganda; the medical professional team carries out personnel treatment;
in the maintenance stage, the emergency command center monitors data; propaganda professional team propaganda; reinforcing and repairing by the emergency professional team;
in the setting stage, the police fire department and the armed police team carry out casualties statistics, and the medical professional team carries out casualties statistics; emergency transport of the material preparation team, and setting a placement center at the post-disaster reconstruction part;
in the recovery stage, the emergency command center carries out disaster statistics; the propaganda professional team performs propaganda and rescue professional team reinforcing rush repair; health epidemic prevention of medical professionals; the post-disaster reconstruction unit performs deduction evaluation.
The invention provides an emergency plan deduction system and provides a plan-to-plan generation method; the deduction of the emergency scheme is carried out according to different stages of command and dispatch, namely a starting stage in the event, a command and dispatch stage in the event and a post-guarantee stage, and the deduction of the algorithm model is carried out according to the evolution of the situation, so that a decision basis is provided for a director.
Fig. 10 is a flow chart of the emergency plan deduction method provided by the invention. As shown in fig. 10, the emergency plan deduction method is applied to the emergency plan deduction system according to any one of the above, and includes:
step 1001: determining a plurality of scene elements associated with a plan, wherein the scene elements comprise at least one of disaster causing factors, disaster pregnancy environments, disaster bearing bodies and corresponding bodies of disasters;
step 1002: screening out feature elements needing deduction from various scene element relations;
step 1003: and constructing feature nodes according to the association relation between the feature elements, and deducing the feature nodes to obtain the difference between the scene elements before the starting of the plan and the scene elements after the starting of the plan.
According to the emergency plan deduction method provided by the embodiment of the invention, the deduction process is based on the association relation among the characteristic elements, so that comprehensive judgment of the trend can be realized in all directions, decision basis is provided for a director, and the director is facilitated to command and dispatch.
Fig. 11 illustrates a physical schematic diagram of a test apparatus, and as shown in fig. 11, the electronic apparatus may include: processor 1110, communication interface 1120, memory 1130, and communication bus 1140, wherein processor 1110, communication interface 1120, memory 1130 perform communication with each other through communication bus 1140. Processor 1110 may call logic instructions in memory 1130 to perform an emergency plan deduction method comprising: determining a plurality of scene elements associated with the plan, wherein the scene elements comprise at least one of disaster causing factors, disaster pregnancy environments, disaster bearing bodies and corresponding bodies of disasters; screening out feature elements needing deduction from various scene element relations; and constructing feature nodes according to the association relation between the feature elements, and deducing the feature nodes to obtain the difference between the scene elements before the starting of the plan and the scene elements after the starting of the plan.
Further, the logic instructions in the memory 1130 described above may be implemented in the form of software functional units and sold or used as a stand-alone product, stored on a computer-readable storage medium. Based on this understanding, the technical solution of the present invention may be embodied essentially or in a part contributing to the prior art or in a part of the technical solution, in the form of a software product stored in a storage medium, comprising several instructions for causing a computer device (which may be a personal computer, a server, a network device, etc.) to perform all or part of the steps of the method according to the embodiments of the present invention. And the aforementioned storage medium includes: a usb disk, a removable hard disk, a Read-only memory (ROM), a random access memory (RAM, randomAccessMemory), a magnetic disk, or an optical disk, or other various media capable of storing program codes.
In another aspect, the present invention also provides a non-transitory computer readable storage medium having stored thereon a computer program which, when executed by a processor, is implemented to perform the emergency plan deduction method provided by the above methods, the method comprising: determining a plurality of scene elements associated with the plan, wherein the scene elements comprise at least one of disaster causing factors, disaster pregnancy environments, disaster bearing bodies and corresponding bodies of disasters; screening out feature elements needing deduction from various scene element relations; and constructing feature nodes according to the association relation between the feature elements, and deducing the feature nodes to obtain the difference between the scene elements before the starting of the plan and the scene elements after the starting of the plan.
The apparatus embodiments described above are merely illustrative, wherein the elements illustrated as separate elements may or may not be physically separate, and the elements shown as elements may or may not be physical elements, may be located in one place, or may be distributed over a plurality of network elements. Some or all of the modules may be selected according to actual needs to achieve the purpose of the solution of this embodiment. Those of ordinary skill in the art will understand and implement the present invention without undue burden.
From the above description of the embodiments, it will be apparent to those skilled in the art that the embodiments may be implemented by means of software plus necessary general hardware platforms, or of course may be implemented by means of hardware. Based on this understanding, the foregoing technical solution may be embodied essentially or in a part contributing to the prior art in the form of a software product, which may be stored in a computer readable storage medium, such as ROM/RAM, a magnetic disk, an optical disk, etc., including several instructions for causing a computer device (which may be a personal computer, a server, or a network device, etc.) to execute the method described in the respective embodiments or some parts of the embodiments.
Finally, it should be noted that: the above embodiments are only for illustrating the technical solution of the present invention, and are not limiting; although the invention has been described in detail with reference to the foregoing embodiments, it will be understood by those of ordinary skill in the art that: the technical scheme described in the foregoing embodiments can be modified or some technical features thereof can be replaced by equivalents; such modifications and substitutions do not depart from the spirit and scope of the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention.
Claims (16)
1. An emergency plan deduction system, comprising:
the deduction element determining module is used for determining various scene elements associated with the plan, wherein the scene elements comprise at least one of disaster causing factors, disaster pregnancy environments, disaster bearing bodies and corresponding bodies of disasters;
the deduction feature selection module is used for screening feature elements needing deduction from the plurality of scene element relations;
and the deduction modeling calculation module is used for constructing feature nodes according to the association relation among the feature elements and deducting the feature nodes to obtain the difference between the scene elements before the starting of the plan and the scene elements after the starting of the plan.
2. The emergency plan deduction system of claim 1, wherein the deduction modeling calculation module is further to:
and establishing a Bayesian network according to the disaster causing factors, the disaster-tolerant environment and the disaster-tolerant body, wherein the Bayesian network is used for presenting the association relationship among the disaster causing factors, the disaster-tolerant environment and the disaster-tolerant body.
3. The emergency plan deduction system of claim 2, further comprising:
and the situation deduction module is used for calculating the risk conversion probability among the disaster-causing factors according to the association relation among the disaster-causing factors, the disaster-tolerant environment and the disaster-bearing body.
4. The emergency plan deduction system of claim 3, wherein the situational situation deduction module is further configured to:
and calculating the rescue index of the corresponding body according to the association relation between the corresponding body and the disaster causing factor.
5. The emergency plan deduction system of claim 3 wherein the scenario situation deduction module is further configured to display causal relationships between different scenario elements and/or display differences between scenario elements before a start of a plan and scenario elements after a start of a plan.
6. The emergency plan deduction system of claim 3, wherein the situational situation deduction module is further configured to:
and deducing the situation according to the command and dispatch stage, wherein the command and dispatch stage comprises a pre-plan starting stage in the event, a command and dispatch stage in the event and a post-guarantee stage.
7. The emergency plan deduction system of claim 6, further comprising:
the comprehensive evaluation module is used for scoring the execution condition of the pre-project task during the pre-project starting stage, the evaluation of the command scheduling condition during the command scheduling stage during the pre-project, and the post-guarantee condition during the post-guarantee stage, and accumulating the scoring results of various conditions according to the preset weight to obtain the pre-project score.
8. The emergency plan deduction system of claim 2, further comprising:
the auxiliary emergency module is used for executing emergency tasks in an auxiliary emergency scheme, wherein the emergency tasks comprise a pre-scheme task, a scheduling task, an expert consultation task and a situation awareness task.
9. The emergency plan deduction system of claim 8, wherein the plan tasks include an organization architecture of a counterpart in the plan and its responsibilities.
10. The emergency plan deduction system of claim 8, wherein the scheduled tasks include at least one of team scheduling, material scheduling, equipment scheduling.
11. The emergency plan deduction system of claim 8 wherein the expert consultation task recommends associated experts, organizes expert meetings based on event type, event level.
12. The emergency plan deduction system of claim 8 wherein the situational awareness tasks are from preset tasks triggered by various awareness devices.
13. The emergency plan deduction system of claim 8, further comprising:
the plan conversion module is used for converting the general plan into the auxiliary emergency plan;
the protocol conversion module includes:
the problem determining unit is used for analyzing disaster factors included in the current occurrence event and situation situations generated by the disaster factors;
the node selection unit is used for determining disaster-causing factor nodes, disaster-pregnant environment nodes, disaster-bearing body nodes and corresponding body nodes according to disaster-causing factors included in the current occurrence event and situation situations generated by the disaster-causing factors;
an annotation unit for describing element characteristics of each node;
and the constraint unit is used for constraining the scene elements in the nodes and comprises a characteristic value threshold value of the scene elements, a time relation of the scene elements and a logic relation among the scene elements.
14. An emergency plan deduction method, applied to the emergency plan deduction system according to any one of claims 1 to 13, comprising:
determining a plurality of scene elements associated with a plan, wherein the scene elements comprise at least one of disaster causing factors, disaster pregnancy environments, disaster bearing bodies and corresponding bodies of disasters;
screening out feature elements needing deduction from the plurality of scene element relations;
and constructing feature nodes according to the association relation between the feature elements, and deducing the feature nodes to obtain the difference between the scene elements before the starting of the plan and the scene elements after the starting of the plan.
15. An electronic device comprising a memory, a processor and a computer program stored on the memory and executable on the processor, wherein the processor implements the emergency plan deduction method of claim 14 when the program is executed by the processor.
16. A non-transitory computer readable storage medium having stored thereon a computer program, which when executed by a processor implements the emergency plan deduction method of claim 14.
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