CN116093959A - Power load energy storage and power supply management system - Google Patents

Power load energy storage and power supply management system Download PDF

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Publication number
CN116093959A
CN116093959A CN202310383006.0A CN202310383006A CN116093959A CN 116093959 A CN116093959 A CN 116093959A CN 202310383006 A CN202310383006 A CN 202310383006A CN 116093959 A CN116093959 A CN 116093959A
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power
power generation
supply
energy storage
information
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CN116093959B (en
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何涛
钟山
王玉鹏
薛天生
何紫彤
僧雪明
何东江
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Jiangsu Tongqiu Construction Technology Co ltd
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    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J3/00Circuit arrangements for ac mains or ac distribution networks
    • H02J3/12Circuit arrangements for ac mains or ac distribution networks for adjusting voltage in ac networks by changing a characteristic of the network load
    • H02J3/14Circuit arrangements for ac mains or ac distribution networks for adjusting voltage in ac networks by changing a characteristic of the network load by switching loads on to, or off from, network, e.g. progressively balanced loading
    • H02J3/144Demand-response operation of the power transmission or distribution network
    • GPHYSICS
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    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J13/00Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network
    • H02J13/00001Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network characterised by the display of information or by user interaction, e.g. supervisory control and data acquisition systems [SCADA] or graphical user interfaces [GUI]
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J13/00Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network
    • H02J13/00002Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network characterised by monitoring
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J13/00Circuit arrangements for providing remote indication of network conditions, e.g. an instantaneous record of the open or closed condition of each circuitbreaker in the network; Circuit arrangements for providing remote control of switching means in a power distribution network, e.g. switching in and out of current consumers by using a pulse code signal carried by the network
    • H02J13/00032Systems characterised by the controlled or operated power network elements or equipment, the power network elements or equipment not otherwise provided for
    • H02J13/00036Systems characterised by the controlled or operated power network elements or equipment, the power network elements or equipment not otherwise provided for the elements or equipment being or involving switches, relays or circuit breakers
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J3/00Circuit arrangements for ac mains or ac distribution networks
    • H02J3/28Arrangements for balancing of the load in a network by storage of energy
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J3/00Circuit arrangements for ac mains or ac distribution networks
    • H02J3/38Arrangements for parallely feeding a single network by two or more generators, converters or transformers
    • H02J3/381Dispersed generators
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J2203/00Indexing scheme relating to details of circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
    • H02J2203/10Power transmission or distribution systems management focussing at grid-level, e.g. load flow analysis, node profile computation, meshed network optimisation, active network management or spinning reserve management
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J2300/00Systems for supplying or distributing electric power characterised by decentralized, dispersed, or local generation
    • H02J2300/20The dispersed energy generation being of renewable origin
    • H02J2300/22The renewable source being solar energy
    • H02J2300/24The renewable source being solar energy of photovoltaic origin
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J2310/00The network for supplying or distributing electric power characterised by its spatial reach or by the load
    • H02J2310/50The network for supplying or distributing electric power characterised by its spatial reach or by the load for selectively controlling the operation of the loads
    • H02J2310/56The network for supplying or distributing electric power characterised by its spatial reach or by the load for selectively controlling the operation of the loads characterised by the condition upon which the selective controlling is based
    • H02J2310/58The condition being electrical
    • H02J2310/60Limiting power consumption in the network or in one section of the network, e.g. load shedding or peak shaving
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y04INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
    • Y04SSYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
    • Y04S10/00Systems supporting electrical power generation, transmission or distribution
    • Y04S10/50Systems or methods supporting the power network operation or management, involving a certain degree of interaction with the load-side end user applications

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Abstract

The invention belongs to the technical field of power supply management, and particularly discloses a power load energy storage and power supply management system. According to the invention, the power supply plan change requirement assessment is carried out according to three information dimensions, namely the region related power supply information, the household electric energy information and the power consumption load change information, so that the coordination and reliability of power supply between photovoltaic power generation supply and energy storage supply are promoted, the limitation existing in the current back-end power consumption management mode is effectively solved, the power consumption freedom of a user is met to the greatest extent under the condition of ensuring the stable power supply of a power grid, the interference of control equipment on daily life is reduced, the flexible supply of household power consumption is realized, and the dependence of a direct power supply source is reduced from the source.

Description

Power load energy storage and power supply management system
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of power supply management, and relates to an electric load energy storage power supply management system.
Background
The household energy storage not only can reduce the electricity cost by improving the spontaneous proportion, participating in auxiliary service and the like, but also can be used as an emergency standby power supply when the middle end of the power grid is powered by factors such as serious disasters and the like, so that the household power supply reliability is improved. Therefore, in order to ensure the reliability of the user power supply, power supply management is required.
The prior art is as disclosed in the Chinese patent application with publication number of CN110794671A, which confirms the power and history data of the equipment according to the power plan of the user and formulates various control strategies in each power consumption period according to the power and history data of the corresponding electric equipment in each power consumption period; sequencing a plurality of control strategies in each electricity utilization period according to electricity utilization cost; and selecting the optimal control strategy in the electricity utilization period according to the electricity utilization period, so that the electricity utilization cost is reduced.
Aiming at the scheme, the electricity consumption cost can be reduced only by controlling the electricity consumption of the home internal equipment in the self-layer, certain limitations still exist, and the problems in the following aspects also exist: 1. the utilization of renewable energy plays a key role in saving electricity consumption, currently belongs to back-end electricity consumption management, and does not analyze a front-end power supply mode, so that the saving rate of the electricity consumption cost of the household electricity consumption integrity is low, and the utilization rate of renewable energy is also low.
2. At present, the power consumption cost is saved by controlling the equipment in a time-division manner, the power consumption cost is not saved from a supply source, the situation that renewable energy sources replace direct power supplies is not considered, the dependence of the direct power supplies cannot be reduced from the source, and certain interference is brought to the daily life of families in a mode of controlling the equipment.
Disclosure of Invention
In view of this, in order to solve the problems set forth in the background art, a power load energy storage and power supply management system is now proposed.
The aim of the invention can be achieved by the following technical scheme: the invention provides an electric load energy storage and power supply management system, which comprises: and the regional power supply related information extraction module is used for extracting power supply related information corresponding to the designated power utilization region and comprises meteorological information, a current power grid load curve and historical power failure information.
And the household electric energy information extraction module is used for extracting electric energy information corresponding to the designated household at present, and the electric energy information comprises electric load, power generation information and energy storage information.
And the household electricity change information extraction module is used for extracting electricity load change information uploaded by the appointed household user.
And the household power supply plan evaluation module is used for extracting the current corresponding power supply plan of the appointed household from the power utilization information library, evaluating the change requirement of the current power supply plan, and confirming the target power supply plan of the appointed household in the current power utilization period when the evaluation result is that the change is required.
And the electricity consumption information library is used for storing the comprehensive electricity consumption hours corresponding to the specified family in each historical monitoring period and storing the current corresponding power supply plan of the specified family.
And the power supply plan feedback terminal is used for feeding back a target power supply plan of the appointed family in the current power utilization period to the power utilization control platform and adjusting the power supply plan.
In one possible design, the weather information includes illumination information in a current power utilization period and a next power utilization period, and the illumination information includes a number of sunny days and a date, an illumination duration and an illumination intensity to which each sunny day corresponds.
The historical power-off information comprises the highest power-off times and the historical total power-off times corresponding to each month of the history.
The power generation information comprises the accumulated operation years of the full-load power generation capacity and the photovoltaic power generation battery pack.
The energy storage information comprises storage loss corresponding to each power supply quantity of the energy storage end and accumulated operation years of the energy storage end.
And the power consumption load change information is the power consumption power and the type corresponding to each newly-added electric equipment.
In one possible design, the performing a change demand assessment on the current power supply plan includes: extracting planned supply duty ratio corresponding to photovoltaic power generation end from current corresponding power supply plan of specified household
Figure SMS_1
According to the electricity load change information, calculating the planned supply electric quantity corresponding to the photovoltaic power generation end
Figure SMS_2
Performing power generation change demand analysis to obtain a power generation supply change demand evaluation index
Figure SMS_3
Performing energy storage change demand analysis to obtain an energy storage supply change demand evaluation index
Figure SMS_4
Setting a power generation peak regulation demand factor
Figure SMS_5
And energy storage demand factor->
Figure SMS_6
Calculating a current power supply plan change demand assessment index
Figure SMS_7
Figure SMS_8
wherein ,
Figure SMS_9
the duty ratio weight is evaluated for the set power generation and energy storage corresponding to the supply change requirement,
Figure SMS_10
power generation and energy storage corresponding supply change demand evaluation index for setting reference respectively, < >>
Figure SMS_11
And evaluating the correction factor for the set power supply change.
If it is
Figure SMS_12
And (5) recording the change requirement assessment result of the current power supply plan as a change requirement, and otherwise recording as a change-free requirement.
In one possible design, the calculating the planned supply power corresponding to the photovoltaic power generation end includes: extracting the power consumption power corresponding to each newly increased electric equipment from the power consumption load change information, and accumulating to obtain the newly increased total power consumption load
Figure SMS_13
Extracting current corresponding power load of appointed family
Figure SMS_14
Calculating the estimated electricity load of a given household>
Figure SMS_15
Figure SMS_16
,/>
Figure SMS_17
And (5) setting floating power loads.
Calculating planned supply electric quantity corresponding to photovoltaic power generation end
Figure SMS_18
Figure SMS_19
wherein ,
Figure SMS_20
for the number of estimated power hours per day, +.>
Figure SMS_21
For the number of days corresponding to the current power utilization period, +.>
Figure SMS_22
And supplying the loss electric quantity and the error compensation electric quantity for the set power generation.
In one possible design, the performing power generation change demand analysis includes: extracting the accumulated operation life of the photovoltaic power generation battery pack from the power generation information
Figure SMS_23
And full load power generation->
Figure SMS_24
Extracting illumination information in the current power utilization period and the next power utilization period from the meteorological information, and counting expected power generation capacity corresponding to the current power utilization period
Figure SMS_25
And the power generation difference index corresponding to the next power utilization period +.>
Figure SMS_26
Calculating a power generation supply change demand evaluation index
Figure SMS_27
,/>
Figure SMS_28
wherein ,
Figure SMS_29
the duty weight and/or the +/are respectively estimated for the set supply deviation and the power generation supply change demand corresponding to the power generation deviation>
Figure SMS_30
The power supply allowance, the early warning power generation deviation and the stable operation period of the photovoltaic power generation battery pack are respectively set as references>
Figure SMS_31
And evaluating the correction factor for the set power generation change.
In one possible design, the calculating the expected power generation amount corresponding to the current power utilization period and the power generation difference index corresponding to the next power utilization period includes: according to the meteorological information, analyzing illumination information in the current power utilization period and the next power utilization period to obtain power generation duration, power generation stability and power generation resource sufficiency, and respectively marking as
Figure SMS_32
、/>
Figure SMS_33
、/>
Figure SMS_34
and />
Figure SMS_35
、/>
Figure SMS_36
、/>
Figure SMS_37
Calculating the expected generated energy corresponding to the current power utilization period
Figure SMS_38
,/>
Figure SMS_39
wherein ,
Figure SMS_40
evaluating an index for a power generation state->
Figure SMS_41
For the set power generation loss coefficient, < >>
Figure SMS_42
And evaluating the index for the set efficient power generation state.
Figure SMS_43
in the formula ,
Figure SMS_44
evaluating correction factors for the set power generation state, +.>
Figure SMS_45
、/>
Figure SMS_46
、/>
Figure SMS_47
Respectively corresponding to the power generation duration, the power generation stability and the power generation resource fullness of the reference under the set high-efficiency power generation state, +.>
Figure SMS_48
And respectively evaluating the duty ratio weight for the power generation state corresponding to the set power generation duration, the power generation stability and the full power generation resource.
Calculating the power generation difference index corresponding to the next power utilization period
Figure SMS_49
Figure SMS_50
wherein ,
Figure SMS_51
the duty ratio weight is evaluated for the difference corresponding to the set power generation duration, power generation stability and power generation resource fullness respectively, < >>
Figure SMS_52
、/>
Figure SMS_53
、/>
Figure SMS_54
The power generation duration deviation, the power generation stability deviation and the power generation resource fullness deviation of the set reference are respectively set.
In one possible design, the performing energy storage change requirement analysis includes: extracting illumination information in the next power utilization period from the meteorological information, and calculating a resource level supply change evaluation index
Figure SMS_55
Extracting the storage loss corresponding to each supplied electric quantity from the energy storage information
Figure SMS_56
And the accumulated operating period of the energy storage end ∈>
Figure SMS_57
, wherein ,/>
Figure SMS_58
Representing the order number of supply, +.>
Figure SMS_59
Calculating a storage loss level provisioning change assessment index
Figure SMS_60
Figure SMS_61
wherein ,
Figure SMS_62
the duty ratio weight is evaluated for the storage loss level corresponding to the set operation years and loss increment respectively, < ->
Figure SMS_63
The energy storage end stable operation years and the allowable loss increment of the set reference are respectively +.>
Figure SMS_64
Modifying the evaluation correction factor for the set loss level, +.>
Figure SMS_65
The y+1st power supply is supplied with the corresponding amount of memory loss.
Calculating an energy storage supply change demand assessment index
Figure SMS_66
,/>
Figure SMS_67
Wherein e is a natural constant,
Figure SMS_68
the energy storage change corresponding to the set resource supply layer and the loss layer is evaluated to be the duty ratio weight,/->
Figure SMS_69
The correction factor is evaluated for the set stored energy supply change.
In one possible design, the computing resource level supply change assessment index includes: according to illumination information in the next power utilization period, the systemThe sunny duty ratio corresponding to the next power utilization period
Figure SMS_70
Light intermittence->
Figure SMS_71
And availability of illumination resources->
Figure SMS_72
Computing resource level provisioning change assessment index
Figure SMS_73
Figure SMS_74
wherein ,
Figure SMS_75
the weight of the duty ratio is estimated for the corresponding resources of the set sunny duty ratio, the illumination intermittence and the illumination resource availability respectively,>
Figure SMS_76
evaluating a correction factor for the set resource supply change, < +.>
Figure SMS_77
、/>
Figure SMS_78
、/>
Figure SMS_79
The clear day duty ratio, the illumination intermittence and the illumination resource availability of the set reference are respectively set.
In one possible design, the setting the power generation peak shaving demand factor and the energy storage demand factor includes: overlapping and comparing the current power grid load curve with a set early warning power grid load curve to obtain the number of curve segments positioned above the early warning power grid load curve
Figure SMS_80
Sum of curve total length +.>
Figure SMS_81
Calculating the power generation peak regulation demand factor
Figure SMS_82
,/>
Figure SMS_83
wherein ,
Figure SMS_84
the duty ratio weight is evaluated for the power generation peak shaving requirement corresponding to the number of curve segments and the total length of the curve respectively,
Figure SMS_85
the number of curve segments, the excess length ratio of the set reference, respectively +.>
Figure SMS_86
Is the current power grid load curve length.
According to the current month, the highest power-off times corresponding to the current month of the history are screened out from the historical power-off information
Figure SMS_87
Extracting historical total power-off times
Figure SMS_88
Calculating energy storage demand factor->
Figure SMS_89
,/>
Figure SMS_90
,/>
Figure SMS_91
To set a reference power-off count ratio.
In one possible design, the confirmation specifies that the home is currently in useA target power plan for an electrical cycle comprising: according to the meteorological information, calculating the photovoltaic supply dominance corresponding to the current power utilization period
Figure SMS_92
And the energy storage supply dominance of the next power utilization period +.>
Figure SMS_93
。/>
Calculating corresponding adaptive supply duty ratio of photovoltaic power generation end in current power utilization period
Figure SMS_94
Figure SMS_95
wherein ,
Figure SMS_96
a first deviation ratio, a second deviation ratio, and a +.>
Figure SMS_97
,/>
Figure SMS_98
The corrected scaling parameters of the set reference, the compensated floating supply duty cycle, respectively.
Will be
Figure SMS_99
As a corresponding adapted supply duty cycle of the energy storage terminal.
And taking the corresponding adaptive supply duty ratio of the photovoltaic power generation end and the energy storage end of the current power utilization period as a target power supply plan of the designated family in the current power utilization period.
Compared with the prior art, the invention has the following beneficial effects: (1) According to the invention, the power supply plan change requirement assessment is carried out according to three information dimensions, namely the region related power supply information, the household electric energy information and the power consumption load change information, so that the coordination and reliability of power supply between photovoltaic power generation supply and energy storage supply are promoted, the limitation existing in the current back-end power consumption management mode is effectively solved, the power consumption freedom of a user is met to the greatest extent under the condition of ensuring the stable power supply of a power grid, the interference of control equipment on daily life is reduced, and the flexible supply of household power consumption is realized.
(2) According to the invention, through changing and evaluating the photovoltaic power generation supply and the energy storage supply, the utilization rate of renewable energy sources is improved, the load pressure of power grid supply is effectively reduced, the saving rate of the integral electricity cost of household electricity is ensured, and the supply mode of direct power supply is effectively replaced through the spontaneous photovoltaic supply and the energy storage supply mode, so that the dependence of the direct power supply is reduced from the source.
(3) According to the invention, the power generation supply change demand evaluation index is calculated according to the illumination information of the current power utilization period and the next power utilization period, the current power generation resource state and the power generation resource state of the next power utilization period are intuitively displayed, the reliability and persuasion of power generation supply change evaluation are improved, the timeliness of power generation supply change is ensured, and the fitting property of the follow-up target power supply plan setting is ensured.
(4) According to the invention, the current energy storage loss degree is disclosed by calculating the energy storage supply change demand assessment index according to the illumination information and the storage loss information in the next power utilization period, so that the authenticity and the rationality of the energy storage supply change demand assessment are ensured, and the timeliness of the storage abnormality detection of the energy storage end is also improved from the other aspect.
(5) According to the invention, the target power supply plan of the appointed family in the current power utilization period is confirmed by calculating the photovoltaic supply dominance and the energy storage dominance of the next power utilization period, the value maximization of family power supply plan selection is realized, the current environmental resources and the energy storage function of the energy storage terminal are fully utilized, and the accuracy of the target power supply plan confirmation result is improved.
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In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention, the drawings that are needed for the description of the embodiments will be briefly described below, and it is obvious that the drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the present invention, and that other drawings may be obtained according to these drawings without inventive effort for a person skilled in the art.
FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram of the connection of the modules of the system of the present invention.
Fig. 2 is a schematic diagram of a power management flow according to the present invention.
Detailed Description
The following description of the embodiments of the present invention will be made clearly and completely with reference to the accompanying drawings, in which it is apparent that the embodiments described are only some embodiments of the present invention, but not all embodiments. All other embodiments, which can be made by those skilled in the art based on the embodiments of the invention without making any inventive effort, are intended to be within the scope of the invention.
Referring to fig. 1 to 2, the invention provides an electric load energy storage and power supply management system, which comprises a regional power supply related information extraction module, a household electric energy information extraction module, a household power consumption change information extraction module, a household power supply plan evaluation module, a power consumption information library and a power supply plan feedback terminal.
The household power supply plan evaluation module is respectively connected with the regional power supply related information extraction module, the household electric energy information extraction module, the household power consumption change information extraction module, the power consumption information library and the power supply plan feedback terminal.
The regional power supply related information extraction module is used for extracting power supply related information corresponding to a designated power utilization region and comprises meteorological information, a current power grid load curve and historical power failure information.
Specifically, the meteorological information comprises illumination information in a current power utilization period and a next power utilization period, and the illumination information comprises the number of sunny days, and the corresponding date, illumination duration and illumination intensity of each sunny day.
The historical power-off information comprises the highest power-off times corresponding to each month of the history and the historical total power-off times.
The household electric energy information extraction module is used for extracting electric energy information corresponding to a specified household at present, and the electric energy information comprises electric load, power generation information and energy storage information.
Specifically, the power generation information includes the full power generation amount and the cumulative operating life of the photovoltaic power generation battery pack.
The energy storage information comprises the storage loss corresponding to each power supply of the energy storage end and the accumulated operation life of the energy storage end.
The household electricity consumption change information extraction module is used for extracting electricity consumption load change information uploaded by a designated household user, wherein the electricity consumption load change information is the electricity consumption power and the type corresponding to each newly-added electric equipment.
And the electricity consumption information library is used for storing the comprehensive electricity consumption hours corresponding to the specified families in each historical monitoring period and storing the current corresponding power supply plan of the specified families.
And the household power supply plan evaluation module is used for extracting a power supply plan corresponding to the designated household currently from the power utilization information library, evaluating the change requirement of the current power supply plan, and confirming the target power supply plan of the designated household in the current power utilization period when the evaluation result is that the change is required.
Specifically, the change demand assessment for the current power supply plan includes: step 1, extracting a planned supply duty ratio corresponding to a photovoltaic power generation end from a current corresponding power supply plan of a designated family
Figure SMS_100
Step 2, calculating the planned supply electric quantity corresponding to the photovoltaic power generation end according to the power load change information
Figure SMS_101
Preferably, calculating a planned supply power corresponding to the photovoltaic power generation end includes: step 2-1, extracting the power consumption power corresponding to each newly added electric equipment from the power consumption load change information, and accumulating to obtain the newly added total power consumption load
Figure SMS_102
Step 2-2, extracting the current corresponding power load of the appointed family
Figure SMS_103
Calculating the expected electricity load of a given household
Figure SMS_104
,/>
Figure SMS_105
,/>
Figure SMS_106
And (5) setting floating power loads.
Step 2-3, calculating the planned supply electric quantity corresponding to the photovoltaic power generation end
Figure SMS_107
Figure SMS_108
wherein ,
Figure SMS_109
for the number of estimated power hours per day, +.>
Figure SMS_110
For the number of days corresponding to the current power utilization period, +.>
Figure SMS_111
And supplying the loss electric quantity and the error compensation electric quantity for the set power generation.
The specific statistical process of the estimated daily power consumption hours is as follows: and extracting the corresponding comprehensive electricity utilization hours of the appointed family in each historical monitoring period from the electricity utilization information library.
By the formula
Figure SMS_112
Calculating average daily electricity consumption hour number corresponding to each monitoring period of history>
Figure SMS_113
I represents the monitoring period number,/->
Figure SMS_114
Locating the highest average single-day power consumption hour number from the average single-day power consumption hour number corresponding to each monitoring period of the history
Figure SMS_115
And the lowest average number of hours per day +.>
Figure SMS_116
Calculating the number of estimated power hours per day
Figure SMS_117
,/>
Figure SMS_118
Is the set reference maximum ratio.
It should be further noted that the specific setting process of the error compensation electric quantity is as follows: and extracting the types corresponding to the newly added electric equipment from the electric utilization coincidence change information, and comparing the types with the reference use frequencies corresponding to the types of the electric equipment to obtain the reference use frequencies corresponding to the newly added equipment.
Locating the highest reference frequency of use from the corresponding reference frequencies of use of the newly added devices
Figure SMS_119
And lowest reference frequency of use->
Figure SMS_120
Will be
Figure SMS_121
、/>
Figure SMS_122
Leading in formula to calculate error compensation electric quantity +.>
Figure SMS_123
,/>
Figure SMS_124
,/>
Figure SMS_125
Compensating the electric quantity for the set reference standard error, +.>
Figure SMS_126
The frequency difference is used for setting the reference.
Step 3, analyzing the power generation changing requirement to obtain a power generation supply changing requirement assessment index
Figure SMS_127
Understandably, performing power generation change demand analysis includes: step 3-1, extracting the accumulated operation life of the photovoltaic power generation battery pack from the power generation information
Figure SMS_128
And full load power generation->
Figure SMS_129
Step 3-2, extracting illumination information in the current power utilization period and the next power utilization period from the meteorological information, and counting the expected power generation amount corresponding to the current power utilization period
Figure SMS_130
And the power generation difference index corresponding to the next power utilization period +.>
Figure SMS_131
Further, the statistics of the expected power generation amount corresponding to the current power utilization period and the power generation difference index corresponding to the next power utilization period comprises the following steps: step 3-2-1, analyzing illumination information in the current power utilization period and the next power utilization period according to the meteorological information to obtain power generation duration, power generation stability and power generation resource fullness, which are respectively recorded as
Figure SMS_132
、/>
Figure SMS_133
、/>
Figure SMS_134
and
Figure SMS_135
、/>
Figure SMS_136
、/>
Figure SMS_137
It should be noted that, the specific calculation process of the power generation duration, the power generation stability and the power generation resource fullness corresponding to the current power utilization period includes: 1) Power generation duration: extracting the number of sunny days from illumination information corresponding to the current power utilization period
Figure SMS_138
Extracting the corresponding dates of each sunny day from the illumination information corresponding to the current power utilization period, mutually comparing the dates to obtain the interval days among the sunny days, and calculating the average value to obtain the average interval days of the sunny days
Figure SMS_139
。/>
Calculating the power generation duration corresponding to the current power utilization period
Figure SMS_140
,/>
Figure SMS_141
, wherein ,/>
Figure SMS_142
For the lowest reference sunny duty cycle set, +.>
Figure SMS_143
For reference to the appropriate maximum number of days of interval,/>
Figure SMS_144
and the power generation duration evaluation duty ratio weight factors are respectively expressed as set sunny duty ratios and corresponding sunny interval days.
2) Power generation stability: extracting the illumination duration and illumination intensity corresponding to each sunny day from the illumination information corresponding to the current power utilization period, and respectively screening the highest illumination duration from the illumination duration and the illumination intensity
Figure SMS_145
Minimum illumination duration->
Figure SMS_146
Maximum illumination intensity->
Figure SMS_147
And minimum illumination intensity->
Figure SMS_148
Calculating the power generation stability corresponding to the current power utilization period
Figure SMS_149
Figure SMS_150
wherein ,
Figure SMS_151
generating stability evaluation duty ratio weights respectively expressed as the set maximum difference of illumination duration and the maximum difference of illumination intensity>
Figure SMS_152
Respectively, the set reference illumination duration deviation and the reference illumination intensity deviation.
3) Power generation resource is full: screening the highest interval days from the interval days between sunny days
Figure SMS_153
Will be
Figure SMS_154
、/>
Figure SMS_155
、/>
Figure SMS_156
Leading in formula to calculate power generation resource fullness corresponding to current power utilization period
Figure SMS_157
,/>
Figure SMS_158
wherein ,
Figure SMS_159
the estimated duty ratio weight of the illumination resource corresponding to the set interval day deviation, the minimum illumination duration deviation and the minimum illumination intensity deviation is respectively expressed as +.>
Figure SMS_160
Respectively expressed as the set reference maximum interval sunny days, the corresponding suitable illumination duration and the suitable illumination intensity under the state of reference conventional power generation efficiency,
Figure SMS_161
and respectively setting the corresponding allowable illumination duration deviation and allowable illumination intensity deviation under the state of reference conventional power generation efficiency.
It should be noted that, the analysis modes of the power generation duration, the power generation stability and the power generation resource abundance corresponding to the current power utilization period in the next power utilization period are the same analysis modes, and are not described here.
Step 3-2-2, calculating the expected power generation amount corresponding to the current power utilization period
Figure SMS_162
Figure SMS_163
wherein ,
Figure SMS_164
evaluating an index for a power generation state->
Figure SMS_165
For the set power generation loss coefficient, < >>
Figure SMS_166
And evaluating the index for the set efficient power generation state.
Figure SMS_167
in the formula ,
Figure SMS_168
evaluating correction factors for the set power generation state, +.>
Figure SMS_169
、/>
Figure SMS_170
、/>
Figure SMS_171
Respectively corresponding to the power generation duration, the power generation stability and the power generation resource fullness of the reference under the set high-efficiency power generation state, +.>
Figure SMS_172
And respectively evaluating the duty ratio weight for the power generation state corresponding to the set power generation duration, the power generation stability and the full power generation resource.
Step 3-2-3, calculating the power generation difference index corresponding to the next power utilization period
Figure SMS_173
Figure SMS_174
wherein ,
Figure SMS_175
the duty ratio weight is evaluated for the difference corresponding to the set power generation duration, power generation stability and power generation resource fullness respectively, < >>
Figure SMS_176
、/>
Figure SMS_177
、/>
Figure SMS_178
The power generation duration deviation, the power generation stability deviation and the power generation resource fullness deviation of the set reference are respectively set.
Step 3-3, calculating a power generation supply change demand evaluation index
Figure SMS_179
Figure SMS_180
wherein ,
Figure SMS_181
the duty weight and/or the +/are respectively estimated for the set supply deviation and the power generation supply change demand corresponding to the power generation deviation>
Figure SMS_182
The power supply allowance, the early warning power generation deviation and the stable operation period of the photovoltaic power generation battery pack are respectively set as references>
Figure SMS_183
And evaluating the correction factor for the set power generation change.
According to the embodiment of the invention, the power generation supply change demand assessment index is calculated according to the illumination information of the current power utilization period and the next power utilization period, the current power generation resource state and the power generation resource state of the next power utilization period are intuitively displayed, the reliability and persuasion of power generation supply change assessment are improved, the timeliness of power generation supply change is ensured, and the fitting performance of the subsequent target power supply plan setting is ensured.
Step 4, analyzing the energy storage change demand to obtain an energy storage supply change demand assessment index
Figure SMS_184
Understandably, performing energy storage change demand analysis includes: step 4-1, extracting illumination information in the next electricity utilization period from the meteorological information, and calculating a resource level supply change evaluation index
Figure SMS_185
Further, calculating a resource level provisioning change assessment index includes: according to illumination information in the next power utilization period, counting the sunny day duty ratio corresponding to the next power utilization period
Figure SMS_186
Light intermittence->
Figure SMS_187
And availability of illumination resources->
Figure SMS_188
Computing resource level provisioning change assessment index
Figure SMS_189
Figure SMS_190
wherein ,
Figure SMS_191
the weight of the duty ratio is estimated for the corresponding resources of the set sunny duty ratio, the illumination intermittence and the illumination resource availability respectively,>
Figure SMS_192
evaluating a correction factor for the set resource supply change, < +.>
Figure SMS_193
、/>
Figure SMS_194
、/>
Figure SMS_195
The clear day duty ratio, the illumination intermittence and the illumination resource availability of the set reference are respectively set.
It should be noted that, the specific statistical process of the sunny day duty ratio, the illumination intermittence and the illumination resource availability corresponding to the next electricity utilization period includes: extracting the number of sunny days from the illumination information in the next power utilization period through a formula
Figure SMS_196
Calculating the clear day duty ratio of the next period +.>
Figure SMS_197
Extracting the date corresponding to each sunny day from the illumination information in the next power utilization period
Figure SMS_198
Calculating the illumination intermittence degree of the next power utilization period>
Figure SMS_199
,/>
Figure SMS_200
wherein ,
Figure SMS_201
the illumination intermittence evaluation duty ratio weight factors respectively corresponding to the set next highest interval sunny day and interval sunny day maximum value ratio are respectively represented, j represents sunny day numbers, and +_>
Figure SMS_202
M represents the number of sunny days,
Figure SMS_203
representing the time between sunny daysMaximum of days of interval, +.>
Figure SMS_204
Expressed as a set reference interval clear day maximum ratio.
And extracting the illumination duration and illumination intensity corresponding to each sunny day from the illumination information in the next power utilization period.
Respectively carrying out average calculation on the illumination duration and the illumination intensity corresponding to each sunny day in the next power utilization period to obtain average illumination duration
Figure SMS_205
Average illumination intensity->
Figure SMS_206
Screening the lowest illumination duration from the illumination duration and illumination intensity corresponding to each sunny day in the next power utilization period
Figure SMS_207
And minimum illumination intensity->
Figure SMS_208
Calculating availability of illumination resources of next power utilization period
Figure SMS_209
Figure SMS_210
wherein ,
Figure SMS_211
audience better resource availability evaluation duty ratio weight factors respectively expressed as set illumination duration and illumination intensity>
Figure SMS_212
Respectively expressed as a set reference illumination duration and reference illumination intensity.
Step 4-2, extracting from the stored energy informationTaking the storage loss corresponding to each power supply
Figure SMS_213
And the accumulated operating period of the energy storage end ∈>
Figure SMS_214
, wherein ,/>
Figure SMS_215
Representing the order number of supply, +.>
Figure SMS_216
Step 4-3, calculating a storage loss level supply change evaluation index
Figure SMS_217
Figure SMS_218
wherein ,
Figure SMS_219
the duty ratio weight is evaluated for the storage loss level corresponding to the set operation years and loss increment respectively, < ->
Figure SMS_220
The energy storage end stable operation years and the allowable loss increment of the set reference are respectively +.>
Figure SMS_221
Modifying the evaluation correction factor for the set loss level, +.>
Figure SMS_222
The y+1st power supply is supplied with the corresponding amount of memory loss.
Step 4-4, calculating an energy storage supply change demand evaluation index
Figure SMS_223
Figure SMS_224
。/>
Wherein e is a natural constant,
Figure SMS_225
the energy storage change corresponding to the set resource supply layer and the loss layer is evaluated to be the duty ratio weight,/->
Figure SMS_226
The correction factor is evaluated for the set stored energy supply change.
According to the embodiment of the invention, the current energy storage loss degree is disclosed by calculating the energy storage supply change demand assessment index according to the illumination information and the storage loss information in the next power utilization period, so that the authenticity and the rationality of the energy storage supply change demand assessment are ensured, and the timeliness of the abnormal detection of the storage of the energy storage end is also improved from the other aspect.
Step 5, setting a power generation peak regulation demand factor
Figure SMS_227
And energy storage demand factor->
Figure SMS_228
Specifically, setting a power generation peak shaving demand factor and an energy storage demand factor, including: overlapping and comparing the current power grid load curve with a set early warning power grid load curve to obtain the number of curve segments positioned above the early warning power grid load curve
Figure SMS_229
Sum of curve total length +.>
Figure SMS_230
Calculating the power generation peak regulation demand factor
Figure SMS_231
,/>
Figure SMS_232
wherein ,
Figure SMS_233
the duty ratio weight is evaluated for the power generation peak shaving requirement corresponding to the number of curve segments and the total length of the curve respectively,
Figure SMS_234
the number of curve segments, the excess length ratio of the set reference, respectively +.>
Figure SMS_235
Is the current power grid load curve length.
According to the current month, the highest power-off times corresponding to the current month of the history are screened out from the historical power-off information
Figure SMS_236
Extracting historical total power-off times
Figure SMS_237
Calculating energy storage demand factor->
Figure SMS_238
,/>
Figure SMS_239
,/>
Figure SMS_240
To set a reference power-off count ratio.
Step 6, calculating the current power supply plan change demand assessment index
Figure SMS_241
Figure SMS_242
wherein ,
Figure SMS_243
the duty ratio weight is evaluated for the set power generation and energy storage corresponding to the supply change requirement,
Figure SMS_244
power generation and energy storage corresponding supply change demand evaluation index for setting reference respectively, < >>
Figure SMS_245
And evaluating the correction factor for the set power supply change.
According to the embodiment of the invention, the power supply plan change requirement assessment is carried out according to three information dimensions, namely the region related power supply information, the household electric energy information and the power consumption load change information, so that the coordination and reliability of power supply between photovoltaic power generation supply and energy storage supply are promoted, the limitation existing in the current back-end power consumption management mode is effectively solved, the power consumption freedom of a user is met to the greatest extent under the condition of ensuring the stable power supply of a power grid, the interference of control equipment on daily life is reduced, and the flexible supply of household power consumption is realized.
The embodiment of the invention also improves the utilization rate of renewable energy sources by changing and evaluating the photovoltaic power generation supply and the energy storage supply, effectively reduces the load pressure of power grid supply, ensures the saving rate of the integral electricity cost of household electricity consumption, and effectively replaces the supply mode of direct power supply by the self-used photovoltaic supply and the energy storage supply mode, thereby reducing the dependence of the direct power supply from the source.
Step 7, if
Figure SMS_246
And (5) recording the change requirement assessment result of the current power supply plan as a change requirement, and otherwise recording as a change-free requirement. />
Still more specifically, confirming the target power supply plan of the specified household in the current power utilization period includes: according to the meteorological information, calculating the photovoltaic supply dominance corresponding to the current power utilization period
Figure SMS_247
And the energy storage supply dominance of the next power utilization period +.>
Figure SMS_248
According to the embodiment of the invention, the target power supply plan of the appointed family in the current power utilization period is confirmed by calculating the photovoltaic supply dominance and the energy storage dominance of the next power utilization period, the value maximization of family power supply plan selection is realized, the current environmental resources and the energy storage function of the energy storage terminal are fully utilized, and the accuracy of the confirmation result of the target power supply plan is improved.
It should be noted that, the specific calculation process of the photovoltaic supply dominance corresponding to the current power utilization period is as follows: extracting corresponding illumination information in the current power utilization period, and further positioning and extracting the number of sunny days from the illumination information
Figure SMS_249
And the illumination duration and the illumination intensity corresponding to each sunny day.
Average value calculation is carried out on the illumination duration and the illumination intensity corresponding to each sunny day to obtain average illumination duration
Figure SMS_250
Average illumination intensity->
Figure SMS_251
Calculating photovoltaic supply dominance
Figure SMS_252
Figure SMS_253
wherein ,
Figure SMS_254
the duty ratio weight factors are evaluated for the photovoltaic supply advantages corresponding to the number of sunny days and the illumination state respectively,
Figure SMS_255
the method comprises the steps of respectively setting the corresponding reference sunny number, reference illumination duration and reference illumination intensity in the high-efficiency power supply state, and adding +.>
Figure SMS_256
And respectively representing the illumination state evaluation duty ratio weight corresponding to the set illumination duration and the illumination intensity.
It should also be noted that the specific calculation process of the energy storage and supply dominance of the next power utilization period is as follows: extracting corresponding illumination information in the next power utilization period, and further extracting the number of sunny days
Figure SMS_257
And the illumination duration and the illumination intensity corresponding to each sunny day.
Obtaining the average illumination duration corresponding to the next power utilization period through average calculation
Figure SMS_258
Average illumination intensity
Figure SMS_259
Calculating the energy storage and supply dominance of the next power utilization period
Figure SMS_260
Figure SMS_261
wherein ,
Figure SMS_262
the reference sunny number, the reference illumination duration and the reference illumination intensity corresponding to the set normal demand state are respectively +.>
Figure SMS_263
For the days of the next power cycle, +.>
Figure SMS_264
And estimating the duty ratio weight factors for the energy storage requirements corresponding to the number of sunny days and the illumination state respectively.
Calculating corresponding adaptive supply duty ratio of photovoltaic power generation end in current power utilization period
Figure SMS_265
,/>
Figure SMS_266
wherein ,
Figure SMS_267
a first deviation ratio, a second deviation ratio, and a +.>
Figure SMS_268
,/>
Figure SMS_269
The corrected scaling parameters of the set reference, the compensated floating supply duty cycle, respectively.
In a specific embodiment, when the photovoltaic supply dominance corresponding to the current electricity utilization period is larger and the energy storage dominance of the next electricity utilization period is smaller, the lighting conditions of the current electricity utilization period and the next electricity utilization period are good, electricity utilization and supply can be directly performed by using electricity generated by photovoltaic, when the energy storage dominance of the next electricity utilization period is higher, the energy storage terminal can be properly combined to perform bidirectional power supply to meet the electricity utilization requirement in the next electricity utilization period, so that the electricity storage loss of the energy storage terminal is reduced, when the energy storage dominance of the next electricity utilization period is higher, the main power supply mode of the next period is an energy storage supply mode, namely, when a sufficient amount of electricity should be charged into the energy storage terminal in the current electricity utilization period, therefore, a part of energy of photovoltaic power generation needs to be stored, the power generation and the energy storage bidirectional power supply mode are performed, the photovoltaic power supply duty ratio is properly reduced, and the storage capacity is improved.
In a further embodiment of the present invention,
Figure SMS_270
,/>
Figure SMS_271
representing far less than the symbol.
Will be
Figure SMS_272
Adaptation as energy storage endThe supply duty cycle.
And taking the corresponding adaptive supply duty ratio of the photovoltaic power generation end and the energy storage end of the current power utilization period as a target power supply plan of the designated family in the current power utilization period.
And the power supply plan feedback terminal is used for feeding back a target power supply plan of the appointed family in the current power utilization period to the power utilization control platform and adjusting the power supply plan.
The foregoing is merely illustrative and explanatory of the principles of this invention, as various modifications and additions may be made to the specific embodiments described, or similar arrangements may be substituted by those skilled in the art, without departing from the principles of this invention or beyond the scope of this invention as defined in the claims.

Claims (10)

1. An electric load energy storage power supply management system, characterized in that: the system comprises:
the regional power supply related information extraction module is used for extracting power supply related information corresponding to a designated power utilization region and comprises meteorological information, a current power grid load curve and historical power failure information;
the household electric energy information extraction module is used for extracting electric energy information corresponding to a specified household at present, wherein the electric energy information comprises electric load, power generation information and energy storage information;
the household electricity change information extraction module is used for extracting electricity load change information uploaded by a specified household user;
the household power supply plan evaluation module is used for extracting a power supply plan corresponding to the designated household currently from the power utilization information library, evaluating the change requirement of the current power supply plan, and confirming a target power supply plan of the designated household in the current power utilization period when the evaluation result is that the change is required;
the electricity consumption information library is used for storing the comprehensive electricity consumption hours corresponding to each historical monitoring period of the appointed family and storing the current corresponding power supply plan of the appointed family;
and the power supply plan feedback terminal is used for feeding back a target power supply plan of the appointed family in the current power utilization period to the power utilization control platform and adjusting the power supply plan.
2. An electrical load energy storage and power management system as defined in claim 1, wherein: the meteorological information comprises illumination information in a current power utilization period and a next power utilization period, and the illumination information comprises the number of sunny days, and the corresponding belonging date, illumination duration and illumination intensity of each sunny day;
the historical power-off information comprises the highest power-off times and the historical total power-off times corresponding to each month of the history;
the power generation information comprises the accumulated operation years of the full-load power generation capacity and the photovoltaic power generation battery pack;
the energy storage information comprises storage loss corresponding to each power supply of the energy storage end and accumulated operation years of the energy storage end;
and the power consumption load change information is the power consumption power and the type corresponding to each newly-added electric equipment.
3. An electrical load energy storage and power management system as claimed in claim 2, wherein: the changing requirement assessment for the current power supply plan comprises the following steps:
extracting planned supply duty ratio corresponding to photovoltaic power generation end from current corresponding power supply plan of specified household
Figure QLYQS_1
According to the electricity load change information, calculating the planned supply electric quantity corresponding to the photovoltaic power generation end
Figure QLYQS_2
Performing power generation change demand analysis to obtain a power generation supply change demand evaluation index
Figure QLYQS_3
Performing energy storage change demand analysis to obtain an energy storage supply change demand evaluation index
Figure QLYQS_4
Setting a power generation peak regulation demand factor
Figure QLYQS_5
And energy storage demand factor->
Figure QLYQS_6
Calculating a current power supply plan change demand assessment index
Figure QLYQS_7
Figure QLYQS_8
wherein ,
Figure QLYQS_9
the duty ratio weight is evaluated for the set power generation and energy storage corresponding to the supply change requirement respectively>
Figure QLYQS_10
Power generation and energy storage corresponding supply change demand evaluation index for setting reference respectively, < >>
Figure QLYQS_11
Evaluating a correction factor for the set power supply change;
if it is
Figure QLYQS_12
And (5) recording the change requirement assessment result of the current power supply plan as a change requirement, and otherwise recording as a change-free requirement.
4. A power load energy storage and supply management system as claimed in claim 3, wherein: the calculation of the planned supply electric quantity corresponding to the photovoltaic power generation end comprises the following steps:
extracting the power consumption power corresponding to each newly increased electric equipment from the power consumption load change information, and accumulating to obtain the newly increased total power consumption load
Figure QLYQS_13
Extracting current corresponding power load of appointed family
Figure QLYQS_14
Calculating the estimated electricity load of a given household>
Figure QLYQS_15
Figure QLYQS_16
,/>
Figure QLYQS_17
A set floating power load;
calculating planned supply electric quantity corresponding to photovoltaic power generation end
Figure QLYQS_18
,/>
Figure QLYQS_19
wherein ,
Figure QLYQS_20
for the number of estimated power hours per day, +.>
Figure QLYQS_21
For the number of days corresponding to the current power utilization period, +.>
Figure QLYQS_22
And supplying the loss electric quantity and the error compensation electric quantity for the set power generation.
5. An electrical load energy storage and power management system as defined in claim 4, wherein: the power generation change demand analysis includes:
extracting the accumulated operation life of the photovoltaic power generation battery pack from the power generation information
Figure QLYQS_23
And full load power generation->
Figure QLYQS_24
Extracting illumination information in the current power utilization period and the next power utilization period from the meteorological information, and counting expected power generation capacity corresponding to the current power utilization period
Figure QLYQS_25
And the power generation difference index corresponding to the next power utilization period +.>
Figure QLYQS_26
Calculating a power generation supply change demand evaluation index
Figure QLYQS_27
,/>
Figure QLYQS_28
wherein ,
Figure QLYQS_29
the duty weight and/or the +/are respectively estimated for the set supply deviation and the power generation supply change demand corresponding to the power generation deviation>
Figure QLYQS_30
The power supply allowance, the early warning power generation deviation and the stable operation period of the photovoltaic power generation battery pack are respectively set as references>
Figure QLYQS_31
And evaluating the correction factor for the set power generation change.
6. An electrical load energy storage and power management system as defined in claim 5, wherein: the statistics of the expected generated energy corresponding to the current power utilization period and the power generation difference index corresponding to the next power utilization period comprises the following steps:
according to the meteorological information, analyzing illumination information in the current power utilization period and the next power utilization period to obtain power generation duration, power generation stability and power generation resource sufficiency, and respectively marking as
Figure QLYQS_32
、/>
Figure QLYQS_33
、/>
Figure QLYQS_34
and />
Figure QLYQS_35
、/>
Figure QLYQS_36
、/>
Figure QLYQS_37
Calculating the expected generated energy corresponding to the current power utilization period
Figure QLYQS_38
,/>
Figure QLYQS_39
wherein ,
Figure QLYQS_40
evaluating an index for a power generation state->
Figure QLYQS_41
For the set power generation loss coefficient, < >>
Figure QLYQS_42
Evaluating an index for the set efficient power generation state;
Figure QLYQS_43
in the formula ,
Figure QLYQS_44
evaluating correction factors for the set power generation state, +.>
Figure QLYQS_45
、/>
Figure QLYQS_46
、/>
Figure QLYQS_47
Respectively corresponding to the power generation duration, the power generation stability and the power generation resource fullness of the reference under the set high-efficiency power generation state, +.>
Figure QLYQS_48
The duty ratio weight is evaluated for the power generation state corresponding to the set power generation duration, power generation stability and power generation resource fullness respectively;
calculating the power generation difference index corresponding to the next power utilization period
Figure QLYQS_49
Figure QLYQS_50
wherein ,
Figure QLYQS_51
the duty ratio weight is evaluated for the difference corresponding to the set power generation duration, power generation stability and power generation resource fullness respectively, < >>
Figure QLYQS_52
、/>
Figure QLYQS_53
、/>
Figure QLYQS_54
The power generation duration deviation, the power generation stability deviation and the power generation resource fullness deviation of the set reference are respectively set.
7. A power load energy storage and supply management system as claimed in claim 3, wherein: the energy storage change demand analysis comprises the following steps:
extracting illumination information in the next power utilization period from the meteorological information, and calculating a resource level supply change evaluation index
Figure QLYQS_55
Extracting the storage loss corresponding to each supplied electric quantity from the energy storage information
Figure QLYQS_56
And the accumulated operation life of the energy storage end
Figure QLYQS_57
, wherein ,/>
Figure QLYQS_58
Representing the order number of supply, +.>
Figure QLYQS_59
Calculating a storage loss level provisioning change assessment index
Figure QLYQS_60
,/>
Figure QLYQS_61
wherein ,
Figure QLYQS_62
the duty ratio weights are respectively evaluated for the storage loss layers corresponding to the set operation years and the loss increments,
Figure QLYQS_63
the energy storage end stable operation years and the allowable loss increment of the set reference are respectively +.>
Figure QLYQS_64
Modifying the evaluation correction factor for the set loss level, +.>
Figure QLYQS_65
Supplying the storage loss corresponding to the electric quantity for the (y+1) th time;
calculating an energy storage supply change demand assessment index
Figure QLYQS_66
,/>
Figure QLYQS_67
Wherein e is a natural constant,
Figure QLYQS_68
the energy storage change corresponding to the set resource supply layer and the loss layer is evaluated to be the duty ratio weight,/->
Figure QLYQS_69
The correction factor is evaluated for the set stored energy supply change.
8. An electrical load energy storage and power management system as defined in claim 7, wherein: the computing resource level provisioning change assessment index includes:
according to illumination information in the next power utilization period, counting the sunny day duty ratio corresponding to the next power utilization period
Figure QLYQS_70
Intermittent degree of illumination
Figure QLYQS_71
And availability of illumination resources->
Figure QLYQS_72
Computing resource level provisioning change assessment index
Figure QLYQS_73
,/>
Figure QLYQS_74
wherein ,
Figure QLYQS_75
the weight of the duty ratio is estimated for the corresponding resources of the set sunny duty ratio, the illumination intermittence and the illumination resource availability respectively,>
Figure QLYQS_76
evaluating a correction factor for the set resource supply change, < +.>
Figure QLYQS_77
、/>
Figure QLYQS_78
、/>
Figure QLYQS_79
The clear day duty ratio, the illumination intermittence and the illumination resource availability of the set reference are respectively set.
9. A power load energy storage and supply management system as claimed in claim 3, wherein: the setting of the power generation peak shaving demand factor and the energy storage demand factor comprises the following steps:
overlapping and comparing the current power grid load curve with a set early warning power grid load curve to obtain a load of the early warning power gridNumber of curve segments above the load curve
Figure QLYQS_80
Sum of curve total length +.>
Figure QLYQS_81
Calculating the power generation peak regulation demand factor
Figure QLYQS_82
,/>
Figure QLYQS_83
wherein ,
Figure QLYQS_84
the duty ratio weight is evaluated for the power generation peak regulation requirement corresponding to the number of curve segments and the total length of the curve respectively, and the weight is->
Figure QLYQS_85
The number of curve segments, the excess length ratio of the set reference, respectively +.>
Figure QLYQS_86
The current power grid load curve length;
according to the current month, the highest power-off times corresponding to the current month of the history are screened out from the historical power-off information
Figure QLYQS_87
Extracting historical total power-off times
Figure QLYQS_88
Calculating energy storage demand factor->
Figure QLYQS_89
,/>
Figure QLYQS_90
,/>
Figure QLYQS_91
To set a reference power-off count ratio.
10. An electrical load energy storage and power management system as defined in claim 4, wherein: the validation specifies a target power plan for the household during a current power cycle, comprising:
according to the meteorological information, calculating the photovoltaic supply dominance corresponding to the current power utilization period
Figure QLYQS_92
And the energy storage supply dominance of the next power utilization period +.>
Figure QLYQS_93
Calculating corresponding adaptive supply duty ratio of photovoltaic power generation end in current power utilization period
Figure QLYQS_94
Figure QLYQS_95
wherein ,
Figure QLYQS_96
a first deviation ratio, a second deviation ratio, and a +.>
Figure QLYQS_97
,/>
Figure QLYQS_98
Respectively setting a reference correction proportionality coefficient and a compensation floating supply duty ratio;
will be
Figure QLYQS_99
As the energy storage end corresponds toAdapting the supply duty cycle;
and taking the corresponding adaptive supply duty ratio of the photovoltaic power generation end and the energy storage end of the current power utilization period as a target power supply plan of the designated family in the current power utilization period.
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