CN115800271A - Power distribution system parameter correction method and system based on adaptive Kalman filtering - Google Patents
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Abstract
The invention provides a power distribution system parameter correction method and system based on adaptive Kalman filtering, wherein the method comprises the following steps: establishing a state equation and a measurement equation of system parameters of the medium-voltage power distribution system based on adaptive Kalman filtering; calculating a predicted value and covariance of system parameters at a certain moment based on a state equation and a measurement equation; calculating residual errors and covariance thereof according to the predicted values and the covariance thereof; calculating the mahalanobis distance according to the residual error and the covariance thereof; performing self-adaptive correction on the residual error according to the Mahalanobis distance; then, calculating Kalman filtering gain through the residual error and the covariance thereof; and calculating the posterior state estimation value according to the Kalman filtering gain. The invention improves the observability and the calculation capability of the medium-voltage distribution network.
Description
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the field of situation awareness of medium-voltage power distribution systems, and particularly relates to a power distribution system parameter correction method and system based on adaptive Kalman filtering.
Background
With the development of society and the improvement of people's living standard, the requirements on the power supply reliability and the power supply quality of a power system are higher and higher. The medium-voltage distribution system which is an important component of the power system is directly oriented to the terminal users, and whether the medium-voltage distribution system is perfected or not is directly related to the power utilization reliability and the power utilization quality of the majority of users. In conventional power flow calculations for medium-voltage power distribution systems, the parameters of the medium-voltage power distribution system are generally approximated unchanged. In fact, the parameters of the medium-voltage distribution system change at any time according to different seasons and different times, and the traditional approximate processing influences the observability and the computing capacity of the medium-voltage distribution network. Therefore, how to improve the observable capability of the medium-voltage distribution network and ensure the operation safety and the power supply reliability of the power grid becomes a problem to be solved urgently.
Disclosure of Invention
In order to solve the above problems, the present invention provides a power distribution system parameter correction method based on adaptive kalman filtering, including:
establishing a state equation and a measurement equation of system parameters of the medium-voltage power distribution system based on adaptive Kalman filtering;
calculating a predicted value and covariance of system parameters at a certain moment based on a state equation and a measurement equation;
calculating residual errors and covariance thereof according to the predicted values, the covariance thereof and the measured values;
calculating the Mahalanobis distance according to the residual error and the covariance thereof, and performing self-adaptive correction on the residual error according to the Mahalanobis distance, wherein the self-adaptive correction comprises the following steps:
determining whether the corresponding measurement value is uncertain noise according to the Mahalanobis distance, and if so, updating the residual error and the covariance thereof through a self-adaptive factor;
determining whether the corresponding measurement value is a wild value or not according to the Mahalanobis distance, if so, abandoning the wild value, and replacing the measurement value with a predicted value to recalculate the residual error and the covariance thereof;
then, calculating Kalman filtering gain according to the latest residual error and the covariance thereof;
and calculating the posterior state estimation value according to the Kalman filtering gain.
Further, establishing an adaptive kalman filter-based state equation and measurement equation for the medium voltage power distribution system parameters includes:
establishing a state equation and a measurement equation of the added noise:
a state variable representing a parameter of the system,indicating the previous moment of time, i.e.The state of the system parameter at the time of day,is a matrix of state transitions that is,,is zero mean and covariance ofWhite gaussian noise;the measured value is expressed as a measurement value,is a measurement matrix, which is a matrix of measurements,,represents the voltage amplitude of the line current inflow terminal at the time k,representing the current flowing through the line at time k,representing the current at the line current inflow terminal at time k-1,representing the magnitude of the terminal voltage at the line current inflow at time k-1,representing the voltage amplitude of the incoming terminal of the line current at the moment k-2;is zero mean and covariance ofThe white gaussian noise of (a) is,in order to add extra noise to the sound,for measuring outliers, whereinCompliance parameter ofThe distribution of the Bernoulli effect of (A),,in the form of a function of the unit pulse,compliance parameter ofThe distribution of the Bernoulli effect of (A),;
wherein the system parameters comprise line parameters and/or transformer parameters.
Further, the step of calculating the predicted value and the covariance of the certain time line parameter includes: obtaining initial values and covariance of line parameters of a medium voltage distribution systemAnd,
calculated by the following formula:
known initial valueAnd its covarianceCalculating the value and covariance of the state variable at the next moment, calculating the value and covariance of the state variable at the later moment by the value and covariance of the state variable at the next moment, and continuously iterating to obtainPrediction value of system parameters of medium-voltage distribution system at momentAnd its covariance。
further, calculating the mahalanobis distance from the residual and its covariance comprises:
wherein, (r) represents the r-th element, (r, r) represents the r-th row, r-th column element.
Further, if the Mahalanobis distance is in the specified confidence interval, which indicates that uncertain noise occurs in the measurement, the residual error and the covariance thereof are updated through a self-adaptive factor;
wherein ,representing the lower bound of the assigned confidence interval,is the residual covariance before the update,for the purpose of the updated residual covariance,as a vectorTo (1) aThe number of the elements is one,as a vectorTo (1) aThe number of the elements is one,、、is a matrixOn the diagonal line of the firstAnd (4) each element.
Further, calculating the kalman filter gain by the residual and its covariance includes:
if no uncertain noise appears, the Kalman filtering gain of the parameters of the medium-voltage power distribution systemThe calculation formula of (a) is as follows:
if uncertain noise occurs, then:
further, the posterior state estimation valueAnd its covarianceThe calculation formula of (a) is as follows:
further, if the mahalanobis distance is greater than the upper limit value of the specified confidence interval, the corresponding measurement value is considered as a wild value and is discarded, and the predicted value is adopted for replacement.
The invention also provides a power distribution system parameter correction system based on adaptive Kalman filtering, which comprises:
a model determination unit to: establishing a state equation and a measurement equation of system parameters of the medium-voltage power distribution system based on adaptive Kalman filtering;
a prediction unit to: calculating a predicted value and covariance of system parameters at a certain moment based on a state equation and a measurement equation;
a residual calculation unit for: calculating residual errors and covariance thereof according to the predicted values and the covariance thereof;
the residual error correction unit is used for calculating the Mahalanobis distance according to the residual error and the covariance thereof and carrying out self-adaptive correction on the residual error according to the Mahalanobis distance, and comprises the following steps:
determining whether the corresponding measurement value is uncertain noise according to the Mahalanobis distance, and if so, updating the residual error and the covariance thereof through a self-adaptive factor;
determining whether the corresponding measured value is a wild value according to the Mahalanobis distance, if so, abandoning the wild value, and recalculating the residual error and the covariance thereof by replacing the measured value with the predicted value;
a gain calculation unit to: calculating Kalman filtering gain according to the residual error determined by the residual error correction unit and the covariance thereof;
an estimated value calculation unit configured to: and calculating the posterior state estimation value according to the Kalman filtering gain.
According to the power distribution system parameter correction method and system based on the adaptive Kalman filtering, model and noise statistical characteristics of a large amount of measured data can be estimated and corrected through the adaptive Kalman filtering, parameters of the medium-voltage power distribution system are estimated through a large amount of historical data, changed new parameter values are obtained, and observability and calculation capacity of a medium-voltage power distribution network are improved.
Additional features and advantages of the invention will be set forth in the description which follows, and in part will be obvious from the description, or may be learned by practice of the invention. The objectives and other advantages of the invention will be realized and attained by the structure particularly pointed out in the written description and claims hereof as well as the appended drawings.
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In order to more clearly illustrate the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the drawings used in the description of the embodiments or the prior art will be briefly introduced below, and it is obvious that the drawings in the following description are some embodiments of the present invention, and for those skilled in the art, other drawings can be obtained according to these drawings without creative efforts.
Fig. 1 shows a schematic diagram of an equivalent circuit structure of a line of a medium voltage distribution system according to an embodiment of the invention;
FIG. 2 illustrates a schematic diagram of an equivalent circuit configuration of a medium voltage distribution system transformer in accordance with an embodiment of the present invention;
FIG. 3 shows a flow chart of a method for on-line correction of parameters of a medium voltage distribution system according to an embodiment of the invention;
fig. 4 shows a schematic structural diagram of a medium voltage distribution system parameter online correction system according to an embodiment of the present invention.
Detailed Description
In order to make the objects, technical solutions and advantages of the embodiments of the present invention clearer, the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. All other embodiments, which can be derived by a person skilled in the art from the embodiments given herein without making any creative effort, shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
The invention provides a power distribution system parameter correction method based on adaptive Kalman filtering, which can be used for on-line correction of medium-voltage power distribution system parameters. The method utilizes a large amount of historical measurement data recorded in the power grid to correct parameters, and utilizes a hypothesis testing method to respectively judge and process wild values and uncertain noises in measurement information. Compared with the existing calculation method using unchanged system parameters, the method can consider the condition that the parameters of the medium-voltage distribution network change along with different seasons and time at any time, and improves the observability and the calculation capability of the medium-voltage distribution network.
In the embodiment of the invention, the equivalent circuit structure of the medium-voltage distribution system circuit is shown as figure 1. The equivalent resistance R and the equivalent reactance X of the circuit are connected in series, and the voltages at two ends of the circuit are respectivelyThe current flowing into the line isThe current in the line is I. The equivalent capacitance to ground of both ends of the line (the grounding points are GND1 and GND2 respectively) is C.
The equivalent circuit structure of the transformer of the medium voltage distribution system is shown in fig. 2. The equivalent circuit structure comprises an excitation part and a gate type equivalent circuit which are connected in series. The transformation ratio of the transformer is T. The excitation part is represented by a parallel branch formed by connecting a conductance G and a capacitor C in parallel, one end of the parallel branch is grounded, and the other end of the parallel branch is used as a current inflow end of the circuit structure.Other properties of transformers、、A gate (pi) equivalent circuit representation is formed, wherein,,,, wherein ,one end is grounded and the other end is connected withIs connected to the current inflow terminal of the power supply,one end is grounded and the other end is connected withIs connected to the current outflow end. Wherein Z represents impedance and is composed of equivalent resistance R and equivalent reactance X which are connected in series. The voltages at the two ends of the line are respectivelyThe current flowing into the line at the head end isIs flowed throughIs I, flows throughWith a current ofThe current of the excitation part is。
A flow chart of the on-line correction of the parameters of the medium voltage distribution system based on the adaptive kalman filter is shown in fig. 3.
The method comprises the following steps:
step 1: establishing medium voltage distribution system parametersAnd provides (can be directly obtained according to the system parameter performance) the process noise covarianceMeasuring the noise covariance;
In the embodiment of the invention, the system parameters comprise line parameters and/or transformer parameters, and the processing logics of the self-adaptive Kalman filtering-based power distribution system parameter correction method for the two parameters are the same, so that the parameters can be corrected in an all-around and multi-angle manner, and the accuracy of power grid observation and calculation is improved.
The establishment of a state equation and a measurement equation of system parameters of the medium-voltage distribution system is divided into the following two parts:
(1) Establishing a state equation and a measurement equation without noise interference
The equation of state is established as follows:
wherein ,in the form of a discrete time series of,indicating the state of the system parameter at time k,representing the state of the system parameter at the previous instant, i.e. at instant k-1,is a matrix of state transitions that is,. For line parameters, state variables。
A measurement equation is established below, and for the line parameters, the equivalent reactance is setA voltage across the terminals ofIn the continuous-time domain, according to kirchhoff's law:
Representing the magnitude of the terminal voltage at the line current outlet at time t,representing the magnitude of the terminal voltage at which line current flows at time t,represents the equivalent reactance at time tThe voltage of the two ends is applied,representing the current flowing through the line at time t,and represents the current of the line current inflow end at the time t. Since the sample points are discrete, it is necessary to cross-domain the continuous time domain to the discrete time domain:
wherein ,are all continuous time functions, sampled (in discrete time domain) asAbbreviated as,Is the sampling time. That is to say that the temperature of the molten steel,represents the current of the line current inflow terminal at the time k,representing the current at the line current inflow terminal at time k-1,indicating the k-1 timeThe down-line current flows into the terminal voltage magnitude,representing the terminal voltage magnitude of the line current inflow at time k,representing the voltage amplitude of the current outlet end of the line at the moment k;
substituting (4), (5) and (6) into (1) to obtain:
after finishing, the method can obtain:
t is transformer transformation ratio, impedanceJ represents the imaginary part of the complex number,;
(2) And establishing a measurement equation and a state equation with noise influence as a system parameter correction model of the adaptive Kalman filtering.
Respectively adding noise interference on a state equation and a measurement equation to obtain:
is zero mean and covariance ofWhite gaussian noise. Measured value,Respectively the voltage amplitudes at the beginning and end of the line (of the system),is a measurement matrix, which is a matrix of measurements,,representing the magnitude of the terminal voltage of the line current flowing in at time k-2.Is zero mean and covariance ofThe white gaussian noise of (a) is,in order to add extra noise to the sound,for measuring outliers, whereinCompliance parameter ofThe distribution of the Bernoulli effect of (A),,a constant of large magnitude, illustratively,in the range of 100-1000 f,in the form of a function of the unit pulse,compliance parameter isThe distribution of the Bernoulli effect of (1),the initial values and the covariances of the system parameters of the medium-voltage distribution system are respectivelyAnd。
and 2, step: calculating a system parameter modification model (namely formula (10)) based on the adaptive Kalman filteringPrediction value of system parameters of medium-voltage distribution system at momentAnd its covarianceAnd initial value of the state variableAnd its covariance;
The predicted value and its covariance calculation formula are as follows:
known initial valueAnd its covarianceCalculating the value and covariance of the state variable at the next moment, calculating the value and covariance of the state variable at the later moment according to the value and covariance of the state variable at the next moment, and continuously iterating to obtainPrediction value of system parameters of medium-voltage distribution system at momentAnd its covariance. Initial valueAnd its covarianceIs obtained by consulting known standards for the cable used, i.e. the value of the cable as a result of factory testing.
And step 3: measuring matrix obtained by using current value and load power obtained by measuring device and using distribution network three-phase power flow algorithm and state estimationAnd calculating the residual errorAnd covariance;
and 4, step 4: calculating the Mahalanobis distance by the obtained residual errorIf at allThen go to step 5; otherwise, go to step 6;
using residual errorsAnd its covarianceThe formula for calculating the mahalanobis distance is as follows:
wherein, (r) represents the r-th element, (r, r) represents the r-th row, r-th column element;
and 5: comparisonAndsize of (1), ifIf so, the corresponding measurement value is regarded as uncertain noise, and the adaptive factor is calculatedAnd updating the prior residual, calculating the covariance of the updated residualThen, go to step 7; otherwise, go to step 7 directly;
the judgment and processing method of the outlier and the uncertain noise is explained as follows: calculating the Mahalanobis distance of the residualIf, ifIf so, the measurement outliers are eliminated and the predicted values (obtained from equation (11)) are used to replace the posterior state estimated values (used in equation (20)); it should be noted that, when the outlier appears, the covariance is recalculated by using the predicted value instead of the outlier, the covariance is 0, and the kalman filter gain is 0 according to the subsequent calculation, which is equivalent to replacing the posterior state estimation value with the predicted value. If it isThen, it is regarded that the uncertainty noise is present at this time. Adaptive factorAnd its updated residual covarianceThe calculation formula of (c) is as follows:
wherein ,、the lower and upper bounds of the confidence interval are shown, illustratively, as 0 and 1, respectively.Is the residual covariance before the update,for the purpose of the updated residual covariance,is a vectorTo (1) aThe number of the elements is one,is a vectorTo (1) aThe number of the elements is one,、、is a matrixOn the diagonal line of the firstAnd (4) each element.
The invention judges the outlier and the uncertain noise through the Mahalanobis distance and carries out corresponding processing, thereby realizing the adaptive correction of the parameters.
Step 6: the measured value is regarded as a wild value, discarded, and the predicted value obtained in the step 2 is used for replacing the posterior state estimated value, and the step 7 is carried out;
and 7: kalman filtering gain for calculating parameters related to medium voltage distribution system;
Kalman filter gain of medium voltage distribution system parametersThe calculation formula of (c) is as follows:
if uncertain noise occurs, then:
and 8: by usingIs calculated to obtainPosterior state estimation of temporal system parametersAnd its covariance(matrix) andas a correction to system parametersAnd (6) obtaining the result.
Of medium-voltage distribution systemsPosterior state estimation of temporal system parametersAnd its covarianceThe calculation formula of (c) is as follows:
based on the same inventive concept, an embodiment of the present invention further provides a power distribution system parameter correction system based on adaptive kalman filtering, as shown in fig. 4, including:
a model determination unit to: establishing a state equation and a measurement equation of system parameters of the medium-voltage power distribution system based on adaptive Kalman filtering;
a prediction unit to: calculating a predicted value and covariance of system parameters at a certain moment based on a state equation and a measurement equation;
a residual calculation unit for: calculating residual errors and covariance thereof according to the predicted values and the covariance thereof;
the residual error correction unit is used for calculating the Mahalanobis distance according to the residual error and the covariance thereof and performing self-adaptive correction on the residual error according to the Mahalanobis distance, and comprises the following steps of;
determining whether the corresponding measurement value is uncertain noise according to the Mahalanobis distance, and if so, updating the residual error and the covariance thereof through a self-adaptive factor;
determining whether the corresponding measurement value is a wild value or not according to the Mahalanobis distance, if so, abandoning the wild value, and replacing the measurement value with a predicted value to recalculate the residual error and the covariance thereof;
a gain calculation unit to: calculating Kalman filtering gain according to the residual error determined by the residual error correction unit and the covariance thereof;
an estimated value calculation unit configured to: and calculating the posterior state estimation value according to the Kalman filtering gain.
The residual error correction unit is used for judging whether the Mahalanobis distance is larger than the upper limit value of the specified confidence interval or not, if so, considering the corresponding measurement value as a wild value and abandoning the wild value, and in the estimation value calculation unit, adopting the predicted value to replace the posterior state estimation value; and judging whether the Mahalanobis distance is in the specified confidence interval, if so, indicating that uncertain noise appears in the measurement, and updating the residual error and the covariance thereof through a self-adaptive factor.
The specific implementation of each unit of the power distribution system parameter correction system based on the adaptive Kalman filtering can be obtained according to the power distribution system parameter correction method based on the adaptive Kalman filtering in the embodiment of the invention, and the detailed description is omitted.
Although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the foregoing embodiments, it should be understood by those of ordinary skill in the art that: the technical solutions described in the foregoing embodiments may still be modified, or some technical features may be equivalently replaced; and such modifications or substitutions do not depart from the spirit and scope of the corresponding technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention.
Claims (10)
1. A power distribution system parameter correction method based on adaptive Kalman filtering is characterized by comprising the following steps:
establishing a state equation and a measurement equation of system parameters of the medium-voltage power distribution system based on adaptive Kalman filtering;
calculating a predicted value and covariance of system parameters at a certain moment based on a state equation and a measurement equation;
calculating residual errors and covariance thereof according to the predicted values, the covariance thereof and the measured values;
calculating the Mahalanobis distance according to the residual error and the covariance thereof, and performing self-adaptive correction on the residual error according to the Mahalanobis distance, wherein the self-adaptive correction comprises the following steps:
determining whether the corresponding measurement value is uncertain noise according to the Mahalanobis distance, and if so, updating the residual error and the covariance thereof through a self-adaptive factor;
determining whether the corresponding measured value is a wild value according to the Mahalanobis distance, if so, abandoning the wild value, and recalculating the residual error and the covariance thereof by replacing the measured value with the predicted value;
then, calculating Kalman filtering gain according to the latest residual error and the covariance thereof;
and calculating the posterior state estimation value according to the Kalman filtering gain.
2. The adaptive kalman filter-based power distribution system parameter modification method according to claim 1, wherein establishing the adaptive kalman filter-based state equation and measurement equation for the medium voltage power distribution system parameter comprises:
establishing a state equation and a measurement equation of the added noise:
a state variable representing a parameter of the system,indicating the previous moment, i.e.The state of the system parameter at the time of day,is a matrix of state transitions that is,,is zero mean and covariance ofWhite gaussian noise;the measured value is expressed as a measurement value,is a measurement matrix, which is a matrix of measurements,,represents the voltage amplitude at the line current inflow terminal at time k,representing the current flowing through the line at time k,representing the current at the line current inflow terminal at time k-1,representing the magnitude of the terminal voltage at the line current inflow at time k-1,representing the voltage amplitude of the incoming terminal of the line current at the moment k-2;is zero mean and covariance ofThe white gaussian noise of (a) is,in order to add extra noise to the sound,for measuring outliersIn whichCompliance parameter isThe distribution of the Bernoulli effect of (1),,is a function of the unit pulse and is,compliance parameter ofThe distribution of the Bernoulli effect of (A),;
wherein the system parameters comprise line parameters and/or transformer parameters.
3. The adaptive Kalman filtering-based power distribution system parameter correction method of claim 2, wherein calculating the predicted value of a certain time line parameter and its covariance comprises: obtaining initial values and covariance of line parameters of a medium voltage distribution systemAnd,
calculated by the following formula:
known initial valueAnd its covarianceCalculating the value and covariance of the state variable at the next moment, calculating the value and covariance of the state variable at the later moment according to the value and covariance of the state variable at the next moment, and continuously iterating to obtainPrediction value of system parameters of medium-voltage distribution system at momentAnd its covariance。
6. The adaptive Kalman filtering based power distribution system parameter modification method of claim 5,
if the Mahalanobis distance is in the specified confidence interval, which indicates that uncertain noise occurs in the measurement, updating the residual error and the covariance thereof through a self-adaptive factor;
wherein ,representing the lower bound of the assigned confidence interval,is the residual covariance before the update,as updated remainsThe difference of the covariance of the difference,as a vectorTo (1) aThe number of the elements is one,is a vectorTo (1) aThe number of the elements is one,、、is a matrixOn the diagonal line of the firstAnd (4) each element.
7. The adaptive Kalman filtering based power distribution system parameter modification method of claim 6, wherein calculating Kalman filtering gain through a residual and its covariance comprises:
if no uncertain noise appears, the Kalman filtering gain of the parameters of the medium-voltage distribution systemThe calculation formula of (c) is as follows:
if uncertain noise is present:
9. the adaptive Kalman filtering based power distribution system parameter modification method according to any one of claims 6-8,
and if the Mahalanobis distance is greater than the upper limit value of the specified confidence interval, the corresponding measurement value is considered as a wild value and is discarded, and the predicted value is adopted for replacement.
10. A power distribution system parameter correction system based on adaptive Kalman filtering is characterized by comprising:
a model determination unit to: establishing a state equation and a measurement equation of system parameters of the medium-voltage power distribution system based on adaptive Kalman filtering;
a prediction unit to: calculating a predicted value and covariance of system parameters at a certain moment based on a state equation and a measurement equation;
a residual calculation unit for: calculating residual errors and covariance thereof according to the predicted values and the covariance thereof;
the residual error correction unit is used for calculating the Mahalanobis distance according to the residual error and the covariance thereof and performing self-adaptive correction on the residual error according to the Mahalanobis distance, and comprises the following steps:
determining whether the corresponding measurement value is uncertain noise according to the Mahalanobis distance, and if so, updating the residual error and the covariance thereof through a self-adaptive factor;
determining whether the corresponding measurement value is a wild value or not according to the Mahalanobis distance, if so, abandoning the wild value, and replacing the measurement value with a predicted value to recalculate the residual error and the covariance thereof;
a gain calculation unit to: calculating Kalman filtering gain according to the residual error determined by the residual error correction unit and the covariance thereof;
an estimated value calculation unit configured to: and calculating the posterior state estimation value according to the Kalman filtering gain.
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