CN115622146A - A scheduling decision-making method for a cascaded water-solar-storage complementary system - Google Patents
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Abstract
本发明公开了一种梯级水光蓄互补系统调度决策方法,涉及能源综合利用技术领域,包括:将光伏发电源侧波动、并网点波动及经济性作为梯级水光蓄调度优化目标,结合并网点交换功率约束、水电站和抽蓄水库水量约束、节点电压和馈线电流约束搭建梯级水光蓄调度模型;将梯级水光蓄调度模型转换为马尔可夫决策过程;搭建基于强化学习的梯级水光蓄动态调度框架;以当前梯级水光蓄互补系统数据作为输入,利用DDPG算法求解转换为马尔可夫决策过程的梯级水光蓄调度模型,输出得到应对强随机性光伏出力的梯级水光蓄系统实时调度策略。本发明计算效率高,极大缓解电源侧波动率,提高了系统外送调度能力,实现了光伏全额消纳,可根据水光随机环境实现实时决策。
The invention discloses a scheduling decision-making method for a cascaded water-solar-storage-storage complementary system, which relates to the technical field of energy comprehensive utilization, including: taking photovoltaic power generation source side fluctuations, grid-connected point fluctuations, and economy as cascade water-solar-storage-storage scheduling optimization targets, and combining grid-connected points Exchange power constraints, hydropower station and pumped-storage reservoir water constraints, node voltage and feeder current constraints to build a cascade water-solar-storage scheduling model; convert the cascade water-solar-storage scheduling model into a Markov decision-making process; build a cascade water-solar energy storage system based on reinforcement learning Storage dynamic scheduling framework; take the current cascaded water-solar-solar-storage complementary system data as input, use the DDPG algorithm to solve the cascade water-solar-storage scheduling model transformed into a Markov decision process, and output a cascade water-solar-storage system that can cope with strong random photovoltaic output Real-time scheduling strategy. The invention has high calculation efficiency, greatly alleviates the fluctuation rate of the power supply side, improves the dispatching ability of the system, realizes the full consumption of photovoltaics, and can realize real-time decision-making according to the random environment of water and light.
Description
技术领域technical field
本发明涉及能源综合利用技术领域,具体而言,涉及一种梯级水光蓄互补系统调度决策方法。The invention relates to the technical field of energy comprehensive utilization, in particular to a scheduling decision-making method for a cascaded water-photovoltaic-storage complementary system.
背景技术Background technique
光伏出力极强随机性、水电来水不确定性、梯级水电出力强耦合性给梯级水光蓄系统的运行提出了严峻的挑战。目前国内外对多能互补协同发电技术的研究已取得了一些成果,针对可再生能源出力随机性特征,利用具有灵活调节能力的常规电源,例如水电、火电等或储能设备,通过先进的调控手段对可再生能源互补,提高可再生能源的利用率,实现多能互补联合发电,为梯级水光蓄系统的运行提供参考。但现有研究大多侧重于单个大容量的水电站与光伏的互补,随着多年流域的梯级开发,已逐步规划建成多个梯级小水电站,由于小水电站库容调节能力有限,还有径流式水电站无调节能力,因此不能将现有传统的水光互补系统发电技术应用在此梯级水光蓄系统,同时,现有水光互补调度研究大多关注水电发电量及运行的经济性,兼顾光伏消纳率,但不是从新能源全额消纳的角度看待问题,并未充分考虑到光伏实时的随机波动变化。另外,传统的优化调度主要集中在长期或日前调度,对实时调度决策无太大指导意义,且这些所涉及的调度决策方法很难准确适应光伏和来水的随机动态变化,因此,考虑水光极强随机性开展梯级水光蓄系统的实时调度决策是亟待解决的问题。The strong randomness of photovoltaic output, the uncertainty of hydropower incoming water, and the strong coupling of cascaded hydropower output pose severe challenges to the operation of cascaded hydro-photovoltaic-storage systems. At present, research on multi-energy complementary and coordinated power generation technology at home and abroad has achieved some results. Aiming at the randomness of renewable energy output, conventional power sources with flexible adjustment capabilities, such as hydropower, thermal power, etc., or energy storage equipment, through advanced regulation The means are complementary to renewable energy, improve the utilization rate of renewable energy, realize multi-energy complementary joint power generation, and provide reference for the operation of cascaded water-photovoltaic-storage systems. However, most of the existing research focuses on the complementarity of a single large-capacity hydropower station and photovoltaics. With the cascade development of the river basin for many years, multiple cascade small hydropower stations have been gradually planned and built. Due to the limited capacity adjustment capacity of small hydropower stations, there are also run-of-the-river hydropower stations without regulation. Therefore, the existing traditional hydro-photovoltaic hybrid system power generation technology cannot be applied to this cascaded hydro-photovoltaic storage system. At the same time, most of the existing hydro-solar hybrid dispatching research focuses on hydropower generation and operation economics, taking into account the photovoltaic consumption rate, However, it does not look at the problem from the perspective of full consumption of new energy, and does not fully consider the real-time random fluctuations of photovoltaics. In addition, traditional optimal scheduling mainly focuses on long-term or day-ahead scheduling, which does not have much guiding significance for real-time scheduling decisions, and these involved scheduling decision-making methods are difficult to accurately adapt to the random dynamic changes of photovoltaics and incoming water. It is an urgent problem to be solved to carry out real-time scheduling decision-making of cascade water-photovoltaic-storage system with strong randomness.
发明内容Contents of the invention
本发明在于提供一种梯级水光蓄互补系统调度决策方法,其能够缓解上述问题。The present invention aims to provide a scheduling decision-making method for a cascaded water-solar-storage complementary system, which can alleviate the above-mentioned problems.
为了缓解上述的问题,本发明采取的技术方案如下:In order to alleviate the above-mentioned problems, the technical scheme that the present invention takes is as follows:
本发明提供了一种梯级水光蓄互补系统调度决策方法,包括以下步骤:The invention provides a scheduling decision-making method for a cascaded water-solar-storage complementary system, comprising the following steps:
S1、将光伏发电源侧波动、并网点波动及经济性作为梯级水光蓄调度优化目标,结合并网点交换功率约束、水电站和抽蓄水库水量约束、节点电压和馈线电流约束搭建梯级水光蓄调度模型;S1. Taking photovoltaic power generation fluctuations, grid-connected point fluctuations, and economics as cascaded hydro-solar-solar-storage scheduling optimization objectives, combined with grid-connected point exchange power constraints, hydropower stations and pumped-storage reservoir water constraints, node voltage and feeder current constraints to build cascade hydro-solar storage scheduling model;
S2、将梯级水光蓄调度模型转换为马尔可夫决策过程,搭建基于强化学习的梯级水光蓄动态调度框架;S2. Transform the cascade water-solar-storage scheduling model into a Markov decision-making process, and build a cascade water-solar-storage dynamic scheduling framework based on reinforcement learning;
S3、在基于强化学习的梯级水光蓄动态调度框架下,以当前梯级水光蓄互补系统数据作为输入,利用深度确定性策略梯度(Deep deterministic policy gradient,DDPG)算法求解转换为马尔可夫决策过程的梯级水光蓄调度模型,输出得到应对强随机性光伏出力的梯级水光蓄系统实时调度策略。S3. Under the framework of cascade hydro-solar-storage dynamic scheduling based on reinforcement learning, the data of the current cascade hydro-solar-storage complementary system is used as input, and the deep deterministic policy gradient (DDPG) algorithm is used to solve the problem and transform it into a Markov decision The cascaded water-solar-storage scheduling model of the process is output to obtain a real-time scheduling strategy for the cascade water-solar-storage system to deal with strong random photovoltaic output.
在本发明的一较佳实施方式中,步骤S1中,梯级水光蓄调度优化方法包括将计算周期划分为M个阶段,根据经济效益最大化、光伏发电源侧波动最小化、并网点波动最小化构建梯级水光蓄调度优化目标函数In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, in step S1, the cascaded water-solar-storage scheduling optimization method includes dividing the calculation cycle into M stages, according to the maximization of economic benefits, the minimization of fluctuations on the photovoltaic power generation side, and the minimization of fluctuations in grid-connected points Optimal construction of cascade water-solar-storage scheduling optimization objective function
其中,F为计算周期T内的总目标,ERt为t时刻梯级水光蓄系统经济收益,ΔPsource,t为t时刻源侧波动度量,ΔPt为Δt时段内并网点波动度量值,β1、β2、β3分别是经济性目标、光伏发电源侧波动平抑目标、并网点波动平抑目标的权重因子。Among them, F is the total target in the calculation period T, ER t is the economic income of cascaded water-photovoltaic-storage system at time t, ΔP source,t is the source side fluctuation measurement at time t, ΔP t is the fluctuation measurement value of the grid-connected point within the period of Δt, β 1 , β 2 , and β 3 are the weighting factors of the economic goal, the photovoltaic power generation source-side fluctuation stabilization goal, and the grid-connected point fluctuation stabilization goal, respectively.
在本发明的一较佳实施方式中,采用信息熵理论计算经济性目标、光伏发电源侧波动平抑目标、并网点波动平抑目标的权重因子。In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the information entropy theory is used to calculate the weight factors of the economic target, the photovoltaic power generation source-side fluctuation suppression target, and the grid-connected point fluctuation suppression target.
在本发明的一较佳实施方式中,光伏发电源侧波动的优化目标是使计算周期内每个阶段光伏出力波动最小化,计算t时刻波动度量ΔPsource,t的计算公式为:In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the optimization goal of photovoltaic power generation source-side fluctuation is to minimize the fluctuation of photovoltaic output at each stage in the calculation period, and the calculation formula for calculating the fluctuation measure ΔP source,t at time t is:
其中,PPV,t为t时刻光伏发电出力,Phydro,i,t为第i个水电站t时刻的发电出力,N为水电站的个数,为计算周期第r阶段所设定的水光出力平均值。Among them, P PV,t is the photovoltaic power generation output at time t, P hydro,i,t is the power generation output of the i-th hydropower station at time t, N is the number of hydropower stations, The average value of water and light output set for the rth stage of the calculation cycle.
在本发明的一较佳实施方式中,并网点波动的优化目标是使并网点功率波动最小,形成可调度的外送曲线,Δt时段内并网点波动度量值ΔPt的计算公式为:In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the optimization goal of the grid-connected point fluctuation is to minimize the power fluctuation of the grid-connected point and form a schedulable outgoing curve. The calculation formula of the grid-connected point fluctuation measurement value ΔP t within the Δt period is:
ΔPt=(Pgrid,t-P′grid,t-(Pgrid,t-1-P′grid,t-1))2,ΔP t =(P grid,t -P' grid,t -(P grid,t-1 -P' grid,t-1 )) 2 ,
其中,Pgrid,t为t时刻内梯级水光蓄系统与外网交互功率,Phydro,i,t为第i个水电站t时刻的发电出力,N为水电站的个数,PPHS,t为t时刻内抽蓄出力,Pgrid,t为t时刻内梯级水光蓄系统与外网交互功率,Pgrid,t-1为t-1时刻内梯级水光蓄系统与外网交互功率,Pload,t为t时刻负荷需求,P′grid,t为t时刻抽蓄参与调节前并网点的交互功率,P′grid,t-1为t-1时刻抽蓄参与调节前并网点的交互功率,ΔPt为Δt时段并网点的波动度量值。Among them, P grid,t is the interactive power between the cascade hydro-photovoltaic storage system and the external grid at time t, P hydro,i,t is the power generation output of the i-th hydropower station at time t, N is the number of hydropower stations, P PHS,t is Pumping and storage output at time t, P grid,t is the interactive power between the cascade water-photovoltaic storage system and the external network at time t, P grid,t-1 is the interactive power between the cascade water-photovoltaic storage system and the external network at time t-1, P load,t is the load demand at time t, P′ grid,t is the interactive power of grid-connected points before pumping and storage participates in regulation at time t, P′ grid,t-1 is the interactive power of grid-connected points before pumping and storage participates in regulation at time t-1 , ΔP t is the fluctuation measurement value of the grid-connected point during the Δt period.
在本发明的一较佳实施方式中,经济性的优化目标是使梯级水光蓄系统与外网交易获得最大的经济收益,在实时电价模式下,t时刻梯级水光蓄系统经济收益ERt的计算公式为:In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the economic optimization goal is to maximize the economic benefits of cascaded water-photovoltaic-storage systems and external network transactions. The calculation formula is:
其中,λt为t时刻电价,PPV,t为t时刻光伏发电出力,Phydro,i,t为第i个水电站t时刻的发电出力,N为水电站的个数,PPHS,t为t时刻内抽蓄出力,Pload,t为t时刻负荷需求。Among them, λ t is the electricity price at time t, P PV,t is the output of photovoltaic power generation at time t, P hydro,i,t is the power generation output of the i-th hydropower station at time t, N is the number of hydropower stations, P PHS,t is t Pumping and storing output in time, P load,t is the load demand at time t.
在本发明的一较佳实施方式中,步骤S1中,并网点交换功率约束为In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, in step S1, the switching power constraint of the grid-connected point is
Pgrid,min≤Pgrid,t≤Pgrid,max,P grid,min ≤P grid,t ≤P grid,max ,
其中,Pgrid,min,Pgrid,max分别表示并网点传输功率极小值和极大值。Among them, P grid,min and P grid,max represent the minimum value and the maximum value of the transmission power of the grid-connected point respectively.
在本发明的一较佳实施方式中,水电站和抽蓄水库水量约束为In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the water volume constraints of hydropower stations and pumped storage reservoirs are
SOChydro,i,t=Vi,t/Vi,max,SOC hydro,i,t = V i,t /V i,max ,
SOCPHS,t=VPHS,t/VPHS,max,SOC PHS,t = V PHS,t /V PHS,max ,
SOChydro,i,min≤SOChydro,i,t≤SOChydro,i,max,SOC hydro,i,min ≤SOC hydro,i,t ≤SOC hydro,i,max ,
SOCPHS,min≤SOCPHS,t≤SOCPHS,max,SOC PHS,min ≤SOC PHS,t ≤SOC PHS,max ,
其中,Vi,t、VPHS,t为t时刻i梯级水电站、抽蓄的库容,Vi,max,VPHS,max为i梯级水电站水库、抽蓄蓄水量的最大值,SOChydro,i,t、SOCPHS,t分别为第i个梯级水电站和抽蓄电站水库水量的荷电状态,SOChydro,i,max、SOChydro,i,min是第i个梯级水电站库容水量荷电状态的最大值和最小值,SOCPHS,max和SOCPHS,min分别是抽蓄电站水库水量荷电状态的最大值和最小值。Among them, V i,t and V PHS,t are the storage capacity of i cascade hydropower station and pumped storage at time t, V i,max , V PHS,max is the maximum value of i cascade hydropower station reservoir, pumped and stored water, SOC hydro, i,t , SOC PHS,t are the state of charge of the i-th cascade hydropower station and the reservoir water of the pumped-storage power station, and SOC hydro,i,max , SOC hydro,i,min are the state of charge of the i-th cascade hydropower station's reservoir capacity The maximum and minimum values of , SOC PHS,max and SOC PHS,min are the maximum and minimum values of the state of charge of the pumped-storage power station reservoir water, respectively.
在本发明的一较佳实施方式中,节点电压和馈线电流约束为In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the node voltage and feeder current constraints are
Ui,min≤Ui,t≤Ui,max,U i,min ≤ U i ,t ≤ U i,max ,
Ij,min≤Ij,t≤Ij,max,I j,min ≤I j,t ≤I j,max ,
式中,Ui,t为i节点在t时刻的电压,Ij,t为第j条馈线在t时刻的电流,Vi,min、Vi,max分别为i节点电压容许的最小值和最大值,Ij,min、Ij,max分别为第j条馈线电流容许的最小值和最大值。In the formula, U i,t is the voltage of node i at time t, I j,t is the current of feeder j at time t, V i,min and V i,max are the allowable minimum value and Maximum value, I j,min , I j,max are the minimum and maximum allowable currents of the jth feeder line respectively.
在本发明的一较佳实施方式中,步骤S3中,当前梯级水光蓄互补系统数据包括光伏出力数据、负荷需求数据、电价数据和梯级水电来水数据;需将当前梯级水光蓄互补系统数据分成训练数据集和测试数据集,利用训练数据集训练转换为马尔可夫决策过程的梯级水光蓄调度模型,保存收敛的模型网络参数,利用收敛的模型网络得到测试数据的调度决策结果,即应对强随机性光伏出力的梯级水光蓄系统实时调度策略。In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, in step S3, the data of the current cascade water-solar-storage complementary system includes photovoltaic output data, load demand data, electricity price data and cascade water-power incoming water data; the current cascade water-solar-storage complementary system needs to be The data is divided into a training data set and a test data set. The training data set is used to train the cascade water-solar-solar-storage scheduling model converted into a Markov decision process, and the converged model network parameters are saved. The converged model network is used to obtain the scheduling decision results of the test data. That is, a real-time scheduling strategy for the cascaded water-solar-storage system to deal with strong random photovoltaic output.
与现有技术相比,本发明的有益效果是:Compared with prior art, the beneficial effect of the present invention is:
提出了电源侧分阶段波动控制策略,继而避免了因光伏富光区和匮光区出力差异而导致最终的调度策略不准确;考虑到梯级水光蓄系统外送可调度性,构建了可全额消纳光伏的梯级水光蓄系统调度模型;设计了深度强化学习与梯级水光蓄系统调度模型的实时交互环境,利用深度确定性策略梯度(Deep deterministic policy gradient,DDPG)算法求解得到能够应对源荷随机波动变化的动态调度策略;从应用的角度出发,此方法极大缓解电源侧波动率,提高系统外送调度能力,满足并网点功率波动率指标要求,实现光伏全额消纳,同时具有很高的计算效率,可根据水光随机环境实现实时决策。A staged fluctuation control strategy on the power source side is proposed, which avoids the inaccurate final scheduling strategy caused by the output difference between the photovoltaic rich light area and the light poor area; The scheduling model of the cascade water-solar-storage system that accommodates photovoltaics; the real-time interactive environment between deep reinforcement learning and the cascade water-solar-storage system scheduling model is designed, and the deep deterministic policy gradient (DDPG) algorithm is used to solve it. Dynamic scheduling strategy for random fluctuations of source and load; from the application point of view, this method greatly alleviates the fluctuation rate of the power source side, improves the dispatching ability of the system, meets the requirements of the power fluctuation rate index of the grid-connected point, and realizes the full consumption of photovoltaics. It has high computing efficiency and can realize real-time decision-making according to the random environment of water and light.
为使本发明的上述目的、特征和优点能更明显易懂,下文特举本发明实施例,并配合所附附图,作详细说明如下。In order to make the above-mentioned objects, features and advantages of the present invention more comprehensible, the embodiments of the present invention will be described in detail below together with the accompanying drawings.
附图说明Description of drawings
为了更清楚地说明本发明实施例的技术方案,下面将对实施例中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,应当理解,以下附图仅示出了本发明的某些实施例,因此不应被看作是对范围的限定,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其他相关的附图。In order to illustrate the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention more clearly, the accompanying drawings used in the embodiments will be briefly introduced below. It should be understood that the following drawings only show some embodiments of the present invention, and thus It should be regarded as a limitation on the scope, and those skilled in the art can also obtain other related drawings based on these drawings without creative work.
图1是梯级水光蓄互补系统调度决策方法的流程图;Fig. 1 is a flowchart of a scheduling decision-making method for a cascaded water-solar-storage hybrid system;
图2是基于DDPG的梯级水光蓄系统动态调度求解流程图;Fig. 2 is a flow chart for solving dynamic dispatching of cascaded water-photovoltaic-storage system based on DDPG;
图3是电源侧平均波动情况对比图;Figure 3 is a comparison chart of average fluctuations on the power supply side;
图4是抽蓄参于调控前后并网点波动对比图。Figure 4 is a comparison chart of grid-connected point fluctuations before and after pumping and storage ginseng regulation.
具体实施方式detailed description
为使本发明实施例的目的、技术方案和优点更加清楚,下面将结合本发明实施例中的附图,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。通常在此处附图中描述和示出的本发明实施例的组件可以以各种不同的配置来布置和设计。In order to make the purpose, technical solutions and advantages of the embodiments of the present invention clearer, the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below in conjunction with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments It is a part of embodiments of the present invention, but not all embodiments. The components of the embodiments of the invention generally described and illustrated in the figures herein may be arranged and designed in a variety of different configurations.
因此,以下对在附图中提供的本发明的实施例的详细描述并非旨在限制要求保护的本发明的范围,而是仅仅表示本发明的选定实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有作出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。Accordingly, the following detailed description of the embodiments of the invention provided in the accompanying drawings is not intended to limit the scope of the claimed invention, but merely represents selected embodiments of the invention. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by persons of ordinary skill in the art without creative efforts fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
请参照图1,本发明提供了一种梯级水光蓄互补系统调度决策方法,具体如下:Please refer to Figure 1. The present invention provides a scheduling decision-making method for a cascaded water-solar-storage complementary system, specifically as follows:
S1、搭建梯级水光蓄调度模型,包括梯级水光蓄调度优化目标函数和约束条件。S1. Build a cascade water-solar-storage-storage scheduling model, including cascade water-solar-storage scheduling optimization objective functions and constraints.
其中,在构建梯级水光蓄调度模型,针对光伏发电的随机波动性,采用水电作为互补电源,平抑光伏波动提高光伏接入电网的友好性。由于小水电调节能力有限,再通过抽蓄和梯级水电协调控制来平抑联络线波动,提高外送可调度性,同时考虑整个梯级水光蓄系统的经济效益。Among them, in constructing the cascade hydro-solar-storage dispatching model, aiming at the random fluctuation of photovoltaic power generation, hydropower is used as a complementary power source to stabilize photovoltaic fluctuations and improve the friendliness of photovoltaic access to the grid. Due to the limited adjustment capacity of small hydropower, coordinated control of pumping storage and cascade hydropower is used to stabilize the fluctuation of the tie line, improve the dispatchability of external delivery, and consider the economic benefits of the entire cascade hydro-photovoltaic-storage system.
1、梯级水光蓄调度优化目标函数1. Optimization objective function of cascaded water-solar-storage-storage scheduling
(1)电源侧波动平抑(1) Fluctuation stabilization on the power supply side
充分考虑光伏存在富光区和匮光区,源侧的波动就涵盖了对随机性和间歇性所导致的波动,未来平抑波动,一般将水光互补目标设定为一条直线,可以将水光周期的平均出力作为基准作为波动的度量,则波动如下式所示:Fully considering that there are light-rich areas and light-poor areas in photovoltaics, the fluctuations on the source side cover the fluctuations caused by randomness and intermittency. The average output of the cycle is used as the benchmark as a measure of fluctuation, and the fluctuation is shown in the following formula:
其中,PPV,t为t时刻光伏发电出力,Pav为计算周期内水光发电出力平均值。Among them, PP PV,t is the photovoltaic power generation output at time t, and P av is the average value of hydro-photovoltaic power generation output within the calculation period.
然而,平抑波动的目的是为了电源具有可调度性能够被电网所接受,设定为一条直线固然能够稳定源侧输出,但是存在以下问题:(1)光伏出力极强随机性,白天和晚上出力变化大,直线目标肯定增加水电容量需求;(2)本文中梯级小水电调节能力有限,直线目标必将导致在光伏输出功率最大的正午时刻发生弃水,而光伏输出功率小的时刻却无法满足光伏波动平抑需求。However, the purpose of stabilizing fluctuations is to ensure that the power supply is schedulable and can be accepted by the grid. Setting it as a straight line can stabilize the output of the source side, but there are the following problems: (1) The photovoltaic output is extremely random, and the output during the day and night If the change is large, the straight-line target will definitely increase the demand for hydropower capacity; (2) In this paper, the cascade small hydropower regulation capacity is limited, and the straight-line target will inevitably lead to water abandonment at noon when the photovoltaic output power is the largest, but it cannot meet the demand at the moment when the photovoltaic output power is small. Photovoltaic fluctuations stabilize demand.
鉴于上述问题,本发明充分考虑光伏存在富光区和匮光区,提出分阶段波动控制策略,将计算周期划分为M个阶段,每个阶段使光伏出力波动最小化,其波动度量如式提出电源侧分阶段波动控制策略,将计算周期划分为M个阶段,每个阶段使光伏出力波动最小化,计算周期内t时刻波动度量ΔPsource,t的计算公式为:In view of the above-mentioned problems, the present invention fully considers that there are light-rich and light-poor areas in photovoltaics, and proposes a staged fluctuation control strategy, dividing the calculation cycle into M stages, each stage minimizes the fluctuation of photovoltaic output, and its fluctuation measure is proposed as follows: The stage-based fluctuation control strategy on the power supply side divides the calculation cycle into M stages, and each stage minimizes the fluctuation of photovoltaic output. The calculation formula of the fluctuation measure ΔP source,t at time t in the calculation cycle is:
其中,PPV,t为t时刻光伏发电出力,Phydro,i,t为第i个水电站t时刻的发电出力,N代表水电站的总个数,为计算周期第r阶段所设定的水光出力平均值。Among them, P PV,t is the photovoltaic power generation output at time t, P hydro,i,t is the power generation output of the i-th hydropower station at time t, N represents the total number of hydropower stations, The average value of water and light output set for the rth stage of the calculation cycle.
(2)并网点波动平抑(2) The grid-connected point fluctuates smoothly
为提高外送曲线可调度性,实现源荷匹配,考虑并网点功率波动最小为目标,形成可调度的外送曲线,Δt时段内并网点波动度量值ΔPt的计算公式为:In order to improve the schedulability of the outgoing curve and realize the matching of source and load, the minimum power fluctuation of the grid-connected point is considered as the goal to form a dispatchable outgoing curve. The calculation formula of the fluctuation measurement value ΔP t of the grid-connected point within the Δt period is:
ΔPt=(Pgrid,t-P′grid,t-(Pgrid,t-1-P′grid,t-1))2,ΔP t =(P grid,t -P' grid,t -(P grid,t-1 -P' grid,t-1 )) 2 ,
其中,Pgrid,t为t时刻内梯级水光蓄系统与外网交互功率,Phydro,i,t为第i个水电站t时刻的发电出力,N为水电站的个数,PPHS,t为t时刻内抽蓄出力,Pgrid,t为t时刻内梯级水光蓄系统与外网交互功率,Pgrid,t-1为t-1时刻内梯级水光蓄系统与外网交互功率,Pload,t为t时刻负荷需求,P′grid,t为t时刻抽蓄参与调节前并网点的交互功率,P′grid,t-1为t-1时刻抽蓄参与调节前并网点的交互功率,ΔPt为Δt时段并网点的波动度量值。Among them, P grid,t is the interactive power between the cascade hydro-photovoltaic storage system and the external grid at time t, P hydro,i,t is the power generation output of the i-th hydropower station at time t, N is the number of hydropower stations, P PHS,t is Pumping and storage output at time t, P grid,t is the interactive power between the cascade water-photovoltaic storage system and the external network at time t, P grid,t-1 is the interactive power between the cascade water-photovoltaic storage system and the external network at time t-1, P load,t is the load demand at time t, P′ grid,t is the interactive power of grid-connected points before pumping and storage participates in regulation at time t, P′ grid,t-1 is the interactive power of grid-connected points before pumping and storage participates in regulation at time t-1 , ΔP t is the fluctuation measurement value of the grid-connected point during the Δt period.
(3)经济性(3) Economy
经济性的优化目标是使梯级水光蓄系统与外网交易获得最大的经济收益,在实时电价模式下,t时刻梯级水光蓄系统经济收益ERt的计算公式为:The optimization goal of economy is to maximize the economic benefits of cascaded water-solar-storage system and external network transactions. Under the real-time electricity price mode, the calculation formula of economic income ER t of cascade water-solar-storage system at time t is:
其中,PPV,t为t时刻光伏发电出力,Phydro,i,t为第i个水电站t时刻的发电出力,N为水电站的个数,PPHS,t为t时刻内抽蓄出力,Pload,t为t时刻负荷需求。Among them, P PV,t is the photovoltaic power generation output at time t, P hydro,i,t is the power generation output of the i-th hydropower station at time t, N is the number of hydropower stations, P PHS,t is the pumping and storage output at time t, P load,t is the load demand at time t.
在构建梯级水光蓄调度优化目标函数时,应充分考虑梯级水光蓄互补系统输出稳定功率以保证友好接入电网,在此基础上考虑不同径流条件下如何获得最大收益,因此,根据经济效益最大化、光伏发电源侧波动最小化、并网点波动最小化构建梯级水光蓄调度优化目标函数When constructing the optimization objective function of cascade hydro-solar-storage storage dispatching, the output stable power of the cascade hydro-solar-storage complementary system should be fully considered to ensure friendly access to the power grid. On this basis, how to obtain the maximum benefit under different runoff conditions should be considered. Therefore, according to economic benefits Maximization, minimization of photovoltaic power source side fluctuations, minimization of grid-connected point fluctuations to construct cascade water-solar-storage scheduling optimization objective function
其中,F为计算周期T内的总目标,ERt为t时刻梯级水光蓄系统经济收益,ΔPsource,t为t时刻波动度量值,ΔPt为Δt时段内并网点波动度量值,β1、β2、β3分别是经济性目标、光伏发电源侧波动平抑目标、并网点波动平抑目标的权重因子。Among them, F is the total target in the calculation period T, ER t is the economic income of cascaded water-photovoltaic-storage system at time t, ΔP source,t is the fluctuation measurement value at time t, ΔP t is the measurement value of grid-connected point fluctuation within the period Δt, β 1 , β 2 , and β 3 are the weighting factors of the economic target, the photovoltaic power generation source-side fluctuation stabilization target, and the grid-connected point fluctuation stabilization target, respectively.
在本发明中,采用信息熵理论计算经济性目标、光伏发电源侧波动平抑目标、并网点波动平抑目标的权重因子。In the present invention, the information entropy theory is used to calculate the weight factors of the economic target, the photovoltaic power generation source-side fluctuation suppression target, and the grid-connected point fluctuation suppression target.
2、约束条件2. Constraints
梯级水光蓄调度模型需满足并网点交换功率约束,水电站和抽蓄水库水量约束,节点电压和馈线电流约束。The cascade water-solar-storage scheduling model needs to meet the constraints of switching power at grid-connected points, water volume constraints of hydropower stations and pumped-storage reservoirs, node voltage and feeder current constraints.
(1)并网点交换功率约束:(1) Switching power constraints at grid-connected points:
Pgrid,min≤Pgrid,t≤Pgrid,max,P grid,min ≤P grid,t ≤P grid,max ,
其中,Pgrid,min,Pgrid,max分别表示并网点传输功率极小值和极大值。并网点交换功率Pgrid,t受联络线传输能力的限制,不容许超过其限值。Among them, P grid,min and P grid,max represent the minimum value and the maximum value of the transmission power of the grid-connected point respectively. The switching power P grid,t of the grid-connected point is limited by the transmission capacity of the tie line, and it is not allowed to exceed its limit.
(2)水电站和抽蓄水库水量约束:(2) Water volume constraints of hydropower stations and pumped storage reservoirs:
SOChydro,i,t=Vi,t/Vi,max,SOC hydro,i,t = V i,t /V i,max ,
SOCPHS,t=VPHS,t/VPHS,max,SOC PHS,t = V PHS,t /V PHS,max ,
SOChydro,i,min≤SOChydro,i,t≤SOChydro,i,max,SOC hydro,i,min ≤SOC hydro,i,t ≤SOC hydro,i,max ,
SOCPHS,min≤SOCPHS,t≤SOCPHS,max,SOC PHS,min ≤SOC PHS,t ≤SOC PHS,max ,
其中,Vi,t、VPHS,t为t时刻i梯级水电站、抽蓄的库容,Vi,max,VPHS,max为i梯级水电站水库、抽蓄蓄水量的最大值,SOChydro,i,t、SOCPHS,t分别为第i个梯级水电站和抽蓄电站水库水量的荷电状态,SOChydro,i,max、SOChydro,i,min是第i个梯级水电站库容水量荷电状态的最大值和最小值,SOCPHS,max和SOCPHS,min分别是抽蓄电站水库水量荷电状态的最大值和最小值。Among them, V i,t and V PHS,t are the storage capacity of i cascade hydropower station and pumped storage at time t, V i,max , V PHS,max is the maximum value of i cascade hydropower station reservoir, pumped and stored water, SOC hydro, i,t , SOC PHS,t are the state of charge of the i-th cascade hydropower station and the reservoir water of the pumped-storage power station, and SOC hydro,i,max , SOC hydro,i,min are the state of charge of the i-th cascade hydropower station's reservoir capacity The maximum and minimum values of , SOC PHS,max and SOC PHS,min are the maximum and minimum values of the state of charge of the pumped-storage power station reservoir water, respectively.
(3)节点电压和馈线电流约束:(3) Node voltage and feeder current constraints:
Ui,min≤Ui,t≤Ui,max,U i,min ≤ U i ,t ≤ U i,max ,
Ij,min≤Ij,t≤Ij,max,I j,min ≤I j,t ≤I j,max ,
式中,Ui,t为i节点在t时刻的电压,Ij,t为第j条馈线在t时刻的电流,Vi,min、Vi,max分别为i节点电压容许的最小值和最大值,Ij,min、Ij,max分别为第j条馈线电流容许的最小值和最大值。In the formula, U i,t is the voltage of node i at time t, I j,t is the current of feeder j at time t, V i,min and V i,max are the allowable minimum value and Maximum value, I j,min , I j,max are the minimum and maximum allowable current of the jth feeder line respectively.
S2、将梯级水光蓄调度模型转换为马尔可夫决策过程,搭建基于强化学习的梯级水光蓄动态调度框架。其中,包括梯级水光蓄实时调度系统强化学习任务转换过程中动作、状态、奖励的构建。S2. Transform the cascade water-solar-storage scheduling model into a Markov decision-making process, and build a cascade water-solar-storage dynamic scheduling framework based on reinforcement learning. Among them, it includes the construction of actions, states, and rewards during the step-by-step water-solar-storage real-time dispatching system reinforcement learning task conversion process.
1、动作1. Action
梯级水光蓄互补动态调度系统控制中心等效为MDP智能体,智能体根据所观测的系统环境实时状态信息,例如:电价,光伏输出功率、负荷需求、梯级水电及抽蓄库容存储水量,考虑到经济性、源侧及并网点功率波动平抑等需求指导梯级水光蓄系统调度运行,将梯级水电发出功率phydro,i,t及抽蓄发/用电功率PPHS,t作为智能体动作at。The control center of the cascaded water-solar-storage complementary dynamic dispatching system is equivalent to an MDP agent. The agent is based on the real-time status information of the observed system environment, such as: electricity price, photovoltaic output power, load demand, cascaded hydropower and pumped storage capacity. To guide the dispatching and operation of the cascade hydro-photovoltaic-storage system based on the requirements of economy, source side and grid-connected point power fluctuation stabilization, the cascade hydropower output power p hydro,i,t and the pumped-storage power generation/consumption power P PHS,t are used as the agent action a t .
at={phydro,i,t,PPHS,t},a t ={p hydro,i,t ,P PHS,t },
phydro,i,t∈[phydro,i,min,phydro,i,max],p hydro,i,t ∈ [p hydro,i,min ,p hydro,i,max ],
PPHS,t∈[PPHS,min,PPHS,miax],P PHS,t ∈ [P PHS,min ,P PHS,miax ],
式中,phydro,i,min、phydro,i,max分别为第i级水电出力的极小值和极大值,PPHS,min、PPHS,miax分别为抽蓄出力的极小值和极大值。强化学习过程中,在动作空间限制了水电出力和抽蓄输出功率的边界,不用再用约束条件描述。In the formula, p hydro,i,min , p hydro,i,max are the minimum value and maximum value of the i-th hydropower output respectively, P PHS,min , P PHS,miax are the minimum value of the pumping storage output and the maximum value. In the process of reinforcement learning, the boundary of hydropower output and pumped storage output power is limited in the action space, so there is no need to describe it with constraint conditions.
2、状态2. Status
通过与环境交互机制使智能体得到相应奖励,st为与环境不断交互得到的实时状态观测信息,强化学习主体通过观测的状态信息决策水电、抽蓄输出功率。梯级水光蓄互补动态调度系统的状态包括时段、电价、当前时段的光伏出力、负荷需求、梯级水电站和抽水库容水量荷电状态(State of Charge,SOC)可由下式描述:Through the interaction mechanism with the environment, the agent gets corresponding rewards, st is the real-time state observation information obtained through continuous interaction with the environment, and the reinforcement learning subject decides the output power of hydropower and pumped storage through the observed state information. The state of the cascade hydro-photovoltaic-storage complementary dynamic dispatching system includes the time period, electricity price, photovoltaic output in the current period, load demand, and the state of charge (State of Charge, SOC) of the cascade hydropower station and the water capacity of the pumped reservoir can be described by the following formula:
st=(t,λt,PPV,t,Pload,t,SOChydro,i,t,SOCPHS,t)。s t =(t,λ t ,P PV,t ,P load,t ,SOC hydro,i,t ,SOC PHS,t ).
3、奖励3. Rewards
梯级水光蓄动态调度模型综合考虑收益的最大化和源侧、并网点波动的最小化,通过控制中心试错学习得到最大的累积回报。然而,最优策略必须满足调度模型中的约束条件,所以需要将约束条件合理转化为部分奖励,相当于将含约束条件的优化问题转换为无约束条件的优化问题,其奖励函数表示如下:The cascade hydro-photovoltaic-storage dynamic scheduling model comprehensively considers the maximization of revenue and the minimization of source-side and grid-connected point fluctuations, and obtains the maximum cumulative return through trial-and-error learning by the control center. However, the optimal strategy must satisfy the constraints in the scheduling model, so the constraints need to be converted into partial rewards, which is equivalent to converting an optimization problem with constraints into an optimization problem without constraints. The reward function is expressed as follows:
rtotal,t=β1ERt-β2ΔPsource,t-β3ΔPt,r total,t =β 1 ER t -β 2 ΔP source,t -β 3 ΔP t ,
其中,δ1为节点电压超过限值相应的惩罚系数,δ2为支路电流超过容许范围的惩罚系数,在本发明中,将δ1、δ2设置为常数。梯级水电站、抽蓄电站水库水量类比于电池的荷电状态SOC,δk,t为第k个SOC超过上下限范围时相应惩罚项,包括水电站和抽蓄的库容水量SOC,ω为惩罚系数。Among them, δ 1 is the penalty coefficient corresponding to the node voltage exceeding the limit value, and δ 2 is the penalty coefficient of the branch current exceeding the allowable range. In the present invention, δ 1 and δ 2 are set as constants. The reservoir water volume of cascade hydropower stations and pumped-storage power stations is analogous to the state of charge SOC of the battery. δ k,t is the corresponding penalty item when the k-th SOC exceeds the upper and lower limits, including the storage capacity SOC of hydropower stations and pumped-storage power stations, and ω is the penalty coefficient.
S3、在基于强化学习的梯级水光蓄动态调度框架下,以当前梯级水光蓄互补系统数据(光伏出力数据、负荷需求数据、电价数据和梯级水电来水数据)作为输入,将当前梯级水光蓄互补系统数据分成训练数据集和测试数据集,利用DDPG算法求解转换为马尔可夫决策过程的梯级水光蓄调度模型(即利用DDPG算法通过多进程不断试错,搜索趋优的调度策略),输出得到应对强随机性光伏出力的梯级水光蓄系统实时调度策略,如图2所示,具体流程如下:S3. Under the framework of cascade hydro-solar-solar-storage dynamic scheduling based on reinforcement learning, the current cascade water-solar-storage complementary system data (photovoltaic output data, load demand data, electricity price data, and cascade hydropower incoming water data) are used as input, and the current The data of the solar-storage complementary system is divided into training data sets and test data sets, and the DDPG algorithm is used to solve the cascade water-solar-storage scheduling model converted into a Markov decision process (that is, the DDPG algorithm is used to continuously try and error through multiple processes to search for an optimal scheduling strategy ), the output is the real-time scheduling strategy of the cascaded water-solar-storage system for strong random photovoltaic output, as shown in Figure 2, and the specific process is as follows:
1)初始化梯级水光蓄调度模型参数和DDPG网络超参数、权重与偏置。1) Initialize the cascade water-solar-storage scheduling model parameters and DDPG network hyperparameters, weights and biases.
2)随机读入训练数据集中一天的光伏出力数据、负荷需求数据、电价数据和梯级水电来水数据,更新环境模型,得到初始状态。2) Randomly read in one day's photovoltaic output data, load demand data, electricity price data and cascade hydropower incoming water data in the training data set, update the environmental model, and obtain the initial state.
3)基于当前策略得到动作即梯级水电、抽蓄输出功率,根据构建的梯级水光蓄动态调度环境模型,计算即时奖励,输出下一时刻状态。3) Based on the current strategy, the actions are cascade hydropower and pumped-storage output power. According to the constructed cascade hydro-photovoltaic-storage dynamic scheduling environment model, the immediate reward is calculated and the next moment status is output.
4)产生一个元组(包括:状态、动作、奖励、下一时刻状态)存储在经验池里,经验池计数器加一。4) Generate a tuple (including: state, action, reward, next moment state) and store it in the experience pool, and add one to the counter of the experience pool.
5)判断经验池是否存满,如果存满选择L个元组更新策略、价值网络参数,然后继续执行步骤6),如果没有存满则跳转至步骤2);5) Judging whether the experience pool is full, if it is full, select L tuples to update the strategy and value network parameters, and then continue to step 6), if not, jump to step 2);
6)判断当前训练是否完成,即若ep>N,则判断所有进程已经训练完成,跳转至步骤7),否则跳转至步骤2);6) Judging whether the current training is completed, that is, if ep>N, it is judged that all processes have been trained, and jump to step 7), otherwise jump to step 2);
7)输出多轮训练的累积奖励,观察是否收敛,如果收敛,保存网络参数,否则跳转至步骤1);7) Output the cumulative rewards of multiple rounds of training, observe whether it converges, if converged, save the network parameters, otherwise jump to step 1);
8)利用保存的模型网络得到测试数据的调度结果,并输出此调度结果。8) Obtain the scheduling result of the test data by using the saved model network, and output the scheduling result.
在本发明中,是利用训练过程中收敛的模型参数,对测试数据进行调度决策,可将决策后的结果与其它传统方法进行比较,比如粒子群和随机规划方法。In the present invention, the model parameters converged in the training process are used to make scheduling decisions on the test data, and the results after the decision can be compared with other traditional methods, such as particle swarm and random programming methods.
本发明所述梯级水光蓄互补系统调度决策方法在现实中得到了应用,任选6天的测试结果分析,其优化前后的源侧波动率和并网点波动率结果如图3、4所示,虽然不同时段波动率不同,但是动态调整梯级水电出力后,源侧的功率波动情况得到了极大缓解,每天的平均波动率从32.71%下降到5.97%,降低约27%左右。智能体动态调整抽蓄运行工况后,并网点功率波动得到了改善,DDPG智能体可以根据当前电价、负荷、并网点波动情况实时动态调度抽蓄出力,平均波动率从9.03%降低至6.57%,下降了约2.46%,满足小于8%波动率指标要求,实现光伏全额消纳。DDPG离线训练比较耗时,但在线测试时可根据训练好的模型在线决策,响应可达秒级。算例测试求解时间如表1所示,可以看出随机规划和粒子群算法的求解时间分别为16.23s和90.88s,而DDPG仅需要0.62s,本发明中的调度方法可达秒级决策。The dispatching decision-making method of the cascaded water-solar-storage complementary system of the present invention has been applied in reality, and the test result analysis of 6 days is optional, and the source-side volatility and grid-connected point volatility results before and after optimization are shown in Figures 3 and 4 , although the fluctuation rate is different in different time periods, after the dynamic adjustment of cascade hydropower output, the power fluctuation on the source side has been greatly alleviated, and the average daily fluctuation rate has dropped from 32.71% to 5.97%, which is about 27% lower. After the intelligent body dynamically adjusts the operating conditions of pumped storage, the power fluctuation of the grid-connected point has been improved. The DDPG intelligent body can dynamically schedule the pumped-storage output in real time according to the current electricity price, load, and grid-connected point fluctuations, and the average fluctuation rate has been reduced from 9.03% to 6.57%. , a decrease of about 2.46%, meeting the requirement of a volatility index of less than 8%, and realizing the full consumption of photovoltaics. DDPG offline training is time-consuming, but during online testing, decisions can be made online based on the trained model, and the response can reach the second level. The solution time of the calculation example test is shown in Table 1. It can be seen that the solution time of stochastic programming and particle swarm optimization is 16.23s and 90.88s respectively, while DDPG only needs 0.62s, and the scheduling method in the present invention can achieve second-level decision-making.
表1不同方法求解时间Table 1 The solution time of different methods
以上所述仅为本发明的优选实施例而已,并不用于限制本发明,对于本领域的技术人员来说,本发明可以有各种更改和变化。凡在本发明的精神和原则之内,所作的任何修改、等同替换、改进等,均应包含在本发明的保护范围之内。The above descriptions are only preferred embodiments of the present invention, and are not intended to limit the present invention. For those skilled in the art, the present invention may have various modifications and changes. Any modifications, equivalent replacements, improvements, etc. made within the spirit and principles of the present invention shall be included within the protection scope of the present invention.
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CN117674266A (en) * | 2024-01-31 | 2024-03-08 | 国电南瑞科技股份有限公司 | Advanced prediction control method and system for cascade hydropower and photovoltaic cooperative operation |
CN118691128A (en) * | 2024-08-29 | 2024-09-24 | 河海大学 | Long-term dispatching decision method, system, equipment and storage medium for cascade hydropower stations |
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CN117639111A (en) * | 2024-01-25 | 2024-03-01 | 南京南瑞水利水电科技有限公司 | A photovoltaic fluctuation smoothing control method and system based on cascade runoff hydropower |
CN117639111B (en) * | 2024-01-25 | 2024-04-09 | 南京南瑞水利水电科技有限公司 | A photovoltaic fluctuation smoothing control method and system based on cascade run-of-river hydropower |
CN117674266A (en) * | 2024-01-31 | 2024-03-08 | 国电南瑞科技股份有限公司 | Advanced prediction control method and system for cascade hydropower and photovoltaic cooperative operation |
CN117674266B (en) * | 2024-01-31 | 2024-04-26 | 国电南瑞科技股份有限公司 | Advanced prediction control method and system for cascade hydropower and photovoltaic cooperative operation |
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