CN114511158B - Wind turbine power prediction method based on wake deflection effect and 2DJensen model - Google Patents
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Abstract
The invention discloses a wind turbine power prediction method based on wake deflection effect and a 2DJensen model, which collects and preprocesses SCADA data of a wind turbine in a wind field; constructing a relative position coordinate of each wind turbine based on the geographical position data of the wind turbines in the wind field; determining a node set and global attributes of a wind turbine in a wind field; determining an edge set and an adjacent matrix between wind machines in a wind field; constructing an input vector atlas; constructing an improved graph neural network model based on a wake deflection effect and a 2DJensen model; and performing parameter optimization according to the preprocessed SCADA data set and the input vector diagram, determining a wind turbine power prediction model in the wind field, and determining the predicted power of all wind turbine nodes in the wind field. The method can accurately predict the power output value of the wind turbine generator with a yaw error angle in the whole wind field under different wind conditions.
Description
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the field of wind turbine generator power prediction, and particularly relates to a wind turbine power prediction method based on a wake deflection effect and a 2DJensen model.
Background
China is developing new energy industry vigorously, and wind energy becomes one of new energy with a great development prospect due to the advantages of wide distribution, no pollution and the like. With the continuous development of wind power generation technology, more and more large wind power plants appear. Due to factors such as cost and site, the large wind power plant has the conditions of mutual influence among wind turbines, complex and changeable internal wind field and the like. The power loss condition of the wind power plant can be analyzed through the predicted power, and the generating efficiency of the wind power plant can be effectively improved through the combination of the predicted power and a plant control system. Therefore, the method has important significance for accurately predicting the power of all wind turbines of the wind power plant through the wind condition information of the wind power plant. Generally, the wind power plant has abundant SCADA historical data, so that the improvement of the wind power plant power prediction accuracy through the historical data is also of great significance.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to provide a wind turbine power prediction method based on a wake deflection effect and a 2DJensen model.
The technical solution for realizing the purpose of the invention is as follows: a wind turbine power prediction method based on wake deflection effect and a 2DJensen model comprises the following specific steps:
2, constructing a relative position coordinate of each wind turbine based on the geographical position data of the wind turbines in the wind field;
step 3, obtaining a node set and global attributes of the wind turbine in the wind field according to the preprocessed SCADA data set;
step 4, obtaining an edge set and an adjacency matrix between the wind machines in the wind field according to the relative position coordinates of the wind machines, the input wind direction at the current moment, the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model;
step 5, constructing an input vector graph set based on a node set, an edge set, global attributes and an adjacency matrix of a wind turbine in a wind field;
step 6, constructing an improved graph neural network model based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model, and determining the setting parameters of the graph neural network;
step 7, performing parameter optimization on the improved graph neural network according to the preprocessed SCADA data set and the input vector diagram by using an optimization algorithm and according to a loss function, and determining a graph neural network model after the parameter optimization is completed to serve as a wind turbine power prediction model in a wind field;
and 8, processing the input wind speed and wind direction by using a wind turbine power prediction model to obtain the predicted power of all wind turbine nodes in the wind field.
A wind turbine power prediction system based on a wake deflection effect and a 2DJensen model realizes wind turbine power prediction by utilizing the wind turbine power prediction method based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model.
A computer device comprises a storage, a processor and a computer program stored on the storage and capable of running on the processor, wherein when the processor executes the computer program, the wind turbine power prediction method based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model is utilized to realize wind turbine power prediction.
A computer-readable storage medium, on which a computer program is stored, which, when being executed by a processor, implements a wind turbine power prediction using the method for wind turbine power prediction based on wake deflection effect and 2DJensen model.
Compared with the prior art, the invention has the remarkable advantages that: the power of the wind turbine is predicted by combining the graph neural network, the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model, and the power output value of the wind turbine with a yaw error angle in the whole wind field under different wind conditions can be accurately predicted.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a flow chart of a wind turbine power prediction method based on a wake deflection effect and a 2DJensen model.
FIG. 2 is a flow chart of the neural network construction of the present invention.
Fig. 3 is a schematic structural diagram of a network layer of an improved graph based on a wake deflection effect and a 2DJensen model.
FIG. 4 is a schematic diagram of a general architecture of a neural network layer according to the present invention.
FIG. 5 is a comparison graph of the predicted power value of the wind farm wind turbine generator, the predicted power value of the 2DJensen model and the actual power output value.
Detailed Description
In order to make the objects, technical solutions and advantages of the present application more apparent, the present application is described in further detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and embodiments. It should be understood that the specific embodiments described herein are merely illustrative of the present application and are not intended to limit the present application.
As shown in FIG. 1, the wind turbine power prediction method based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model specifically comprises the following steps:
the method comprises the steps of collecting inflow wind speed, inflow wind direction, pitch angle, yaw error angle and output power of each wind turbine in an SCADA system of the wind turbine. The collected data are preprocessed, all data of the moment of the missing value in the data are removed, all data of the moment of the missing value in the data under the condition of power limitation are removed, all data of the moment of the collection error are removed if the wind speed is less than 0 or the active power is less than 0, and after the preprocessing, it is guaranteed that all wind turbines in the data set at the same moment need four characteristics of inflow wind speed, inflow wind direction, yaw error angle and output power.
The electricity limiting condition refers to the condition that the wind turbine does not achieve the advanced pitch control when the rated wind speed is reached yet, and aims to abandon part of captured wind energy to limit the power generation power, so that the data is removed only by judging whether the pitch angle is changed when the inflow wind speed reaches the rated wind speed.
2, constructing a relative position coordinate of each wind turbine based on the geographical position data of the wind turbines in the wind field;
and determining the position information of all wind turbines in the wind field according to the construction site selection of the wind field, and solving the relative position coordinates of each wind turbine in the wind field by taking a certain point in the wind field as a coordinate origin according to the relative azimuth angle and the relative distance between the wind turbines.
Step 3, obtaining a node set and global attributes of the wind turbine in the wind field according to the preprocessed data set;
the method comprises the steps of averaging the inflow wind directions of all wind turbines at a certain moment, judging that the wind flows through a first wind turbine in a wind field at the moment by using the obtained wind directions, and taking the wind speed and the wind direction of the wind turbine at the moment as global attributes. The node attributes in all wind turbines are set to be the wind speeds in the global attribute, and the node set in the wind turbine at the moment can be obtained.
Step 4, obtaining edge attributes and an adjacency matrix between the wind machines in the wind field according to the relative position coordinates of the wind machines, the input wind direction at the current moment, the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model;
based on the inflow wind direction in the global attribute at the moment and the yaw error angle between every two wind turbines, whether wake influence exists between every two wind turbines can be judged according to the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model, if so, a directed edge is established between the two wind turbines, the front wind turbine is a sending node, the back wind turbine is a receiving node, and the attribute of the edge is set as the transverse distance and the longitudinal distance of the back wind turbine in the wake deflected by the front wind turbine; if not, there is no edge between the two wind turbines. After traversing the relationship among all wind turbines in the wind field, the edge set and the adjacency matrix in the whole wind field can be obtained.
And when judging whether wake influence exists between every two wind turbines according to the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model, obtaining the relative positions and the azimuth angles of the two wind turbines according to the coordinates of the two wind turbines, obtaining the sequence of the wind passing through the wind turbines according to the inflow wind direction in the global attribute at the moment, and respectively defining the sequence as an upstream wind turbine and a downstream wind turbine. The specific method for judging whether the downstream wind turbine is influenced by the wake flow deflected by the upstream wind turbine and solving the influenced wake flow transverse distance and longitudinal distance under the condition of considering the wake flow deflection comprises the following steps:
defining an included angle theta between the connecting line of the upstream wind turbine generator and the downstream wind turbine generator and the central axis of the wake flow of the upstream wind turbine generatorLComprises the following steps:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,θ x in order to obtain an inflow wind direction angle,θ FWT the azimuth angle of the upstream unit relative to the downstream unit,β 1is the yaw error angle of the upstream wind turbine,ais a wind turbine axial induction factor;
the longitudinal distance between the section of the downstream wind turbine generator and the wake flow of the upstream wind turbine generator is defined asL l The calculation formula is:
In the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,Ldthe distance between the cabin connecting lines of the wind turbine generator sets upstream and downstream is the distance between the cabin connecting lines of the wind turbine generator sets downstream and upstream;
and simultaneously defining the cross section of the downstream wind turbine generator and the wake flow transverse distance of the upstream wind turbine generator asL r The calculation formula is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,Ldthe distance between the cabin connecting lines of the wind turbine generator sets upstream and downstream is the distance between the cabin connecting lines of the wind turbine generator sets downstream and upstream;
the wake flow radius calculation formula of the cross section position where the downstream wind turbine generator is located is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,kas a function of the attenuation coefficient of the wake flow,r 0 is the radius of the wind wheel of the upstream wind turbine.
According to the calculated wake radiusR l Whether the downstream wind turbine is affected by the wake flow of the upstream wind turbine or not can be judged, and the specific method comprises the following steps:
1) if it isThe downstream wind turbine is not influenced by the wake flow of the upstream wind turbine;
wherein the content of the first and second substances,r 0 ’ for wind-driven machinejThe projection length of the radius of the wind wheel is calculated by the following formula:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,β 2 is the yaw error angle of the downstream wind turbine.
Step 5, constructing an input vector graph set based on a node set, an edge set, global attributes and an adjacency matrix of a wind turbine in a wind field;
step 6, constructing an improved graph neural network model based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model, and determining the setting parameters of the graph neural network;
as shown in fig. 2, an improved graph neural network architecture based on wake deflection effect and a 2DJensen model is established, and a proper graph neural network layer number j is set according to the size of a wind field, and the j is suggested to be 2-4 layers. The first layer is an improved graph network layer based on a wake deflection effect and a 2DJensen model, when the graph neural network output graph is finally obtained, all wind turbine node attributes are extracted and input into the full connection layer, and the predicted power values of all wind turbines are obtained through output.
As shown in fig. 3, when an improved graph network layer based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model is established, the graph network layer includes three update functions, which are edge update functions respectivelyUpdating function of nodeGlobal update function(ii) a Simultaneously comprises three aggregation functions which are adjacent edge aggregation functionsAggregation of all edgesAggregation of functions by all nodes(ii) a Finally, an edge weight distribution function based on a 2DJensen model wake flow loss factor is included. The input diagram isIn which all input edges are includedAll input nodesAnd inputting the global attribute. In the improved graph network layer based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model, the updating sequence is as follows:
the updating of the edge is firstly carried out, and the updating of each directed edge needs to use the attribute of the adjacent sending nodeAnd attributes of the receiving nodeAnd the attribute of the edgeInputting all attributes to the edge update function simultaneouslyIn, the edge update function is selected as a neural networkUpdated edge attributesThe following:
then, the function is distributed according to the edge weightAnd obtaining the due weight of each directed edge, wherein the weight enables each directed edge to play a role in different degrees in the subsequent node updating according to the rules of the physical wake model, and the weight value is as follows:
finally, the final edge attribute after each directed edge is updated can be obtainedThe following were used:
after all existing edges in the graph neural network layer are updated, the node attributes are updated. Each nodeAll the adjacent edges are needed for updatingProperty of the nodeAnd global properties of the entire wind farm. First using neighboring edge aggregation functionAggregating the information of the adjacent S edges which have the connection relation with the node, wherein the aggregation function takes into account the wake superposition effect in the improved graph network layer based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model, and a summation mode is adopted to sum the attributes of all the adjacent edges to obtain the aggregated edge attribute, and the values of the aggregated edge attribute are as follows:
then the aggregated side informationProperty of the local nodeAnd global properties of the entire wind farmSimultaneous input to node update functionIn (1), the node update function is selected as a neural networkUpdated nodeThe following were used:
all present in the neural network layer of the mapAfter the node is updated, the global attribute is finally updated. Global attribute updates require all side information, attributes of all nodes, and global attributes of the entire wind farm. First using all edge aggregation functionsAggregating the information of all edges, wherein the aggregation function usually adopts a summation mode, and sums the attributes of all edges to obtain the aggregated edge attribute, and the value of the aggregated edge attribute is as follows:
then aggregate the functions using all nodesAggregating the information of all nodes, wherein the aggregation function usually adopts a summation mode, and sums the attributes of all nodes to obtain the aggregated node attribute, and the values of the aggregated node attribute are as follows:
finally, aggregated side information is obtainedAggregated node attributesAnd global properties of the entire wind farmInput to global update function at the same timeIn general, the node update function is selected as a neural networkUpdated global attributesThe following were used:
in a graph neural network layer, the global attribute is updated only once, and the output of the graph neural network layer is obtained after the update、Andthe updating and aggregation operations of the graph neural network layer do not change the connectivity of all nodes, i.e. the adjacency matrix does not change, and then outputs it、、And the adjacency matrix is used as an input attribute and is input into the next graph network layer.
In an improved graph network layer based on a wake deflection effect and a 2DJensen model, a 2DJensen model wake loss factor is used as an edge weight distribution function for distributing weights to edges. In the updating of the nodes, the wake deflection effect and the edge weight of the 2DJensen model are considered, and pairwise wind power is reflected more accuratelyPhysical connection between machines and wake impact level. Edge weight distribution functionThe principle is as follows:
first the 2DJensen model is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,for a longitudinal wake distance in the downstream wake ofThe wake transverse distance isThe velocity of the wake flow at which the wind is coming,as a function of the attenuation coefficient of the wake flow,is the radius of the rotor of the upstream wind turbine,is an axial induction factor.
the value of which reflects the longitudinal distance of the wake in the downstream wake of the flowThe wake transverse distance isWind speed deficiency degree of place, wake flow deficiency factor between wind turbines far apartWake loss factor between small, closely spaced wind turbinesLarge, the definition can fully account for different wake influence degrees, so it is defined as the edge weight distribution functionThe wake flow loss factor among different wind turbinesAs an edge weight assignment function.
And the attribute of the directed edge between every two wind turbines is defined as:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,L l for a receiving nodeI.e. downstream wind turbine at the transmitting nodeNamely the longitudinal wake distance in the wake after deflection of the upstream wind turbine,L r for a receiving nodeI.e. downstream wind turbine at the transmitting nodeI.e. the lateral wake distance in the wake after deflection of the upstream wind turbine.
as shown in fig. 4, when the subsequent j-th graph neural network layer connected to the first graph neural network layer is established, the graph network layer includes three update functions, which are edge update functions respectivelyNode update functionGlobal update function(ii) a Simultaneously comprises three aggregation functions which are adjacent edge aggregation functionsAll edge aggregation functionAggregating functions of all nodes. The input diagram of the layer isIncluding all the j-1 layer output edgesAll j-1 level input nodesAnd a j-1 level output global property. In the graph neural network layer at layer j, the update sequence is as follows:
the updating of the edges is firstly carried out, and the updating of each directed edge needs to use the attribute of the adjacent sending nodeAnd attributes of the receiving nodeAnd the attribute of the edgeSimultaneously inputting all attributes into the edge update functionIn, the edge update function is selected as a neural networkUpdated edge attributesThe following:
after all existing edges in the graph neural network layer are updated, the node attributes are updated. Each nodeAll the adjacent edges are needed for updatingProperty of the nodeAnd global properties of the entire wind farm. First using neighboring edge aggregation functionAggregating the information of the adjacent S edges having connection relation with the node, wherein the aggregation function generally adopts an averaging method, and averages the attributes of all the adjacent edges to obtain the aggregated edge attribute, and the values of the aggregated edge attribute are as follows:
then the aggregated side information is processedProperty of the local nodeAnd global properties of the entire wind farmSimultaneous input to node update functionIn (1), the node update function is selected as a neural networkUpdated nodeThe following were used:
after all existing nodes in the graph neural network layer are updated, the global attributes are finally updated. Global attribute updates require all side information, attributes of all nodes, and global attributes of the entire wind farm. First using all edge aggregation functionsThe information of all edges is aggregated, the aggregation function usually adopts an averaging mode, and the attributes of all edges are averaged to obtain the aggregated edge attribute, and the value of the aggregated edge attribute is as follows:
then aggregate the functions using all nodesThe information of all nodes is aggregated, the aggregation function usually adopts an averaging mode, and the attributes of all nodes are summed to obtain the aggregated node attribute, and the value is as follows:
finally, the aggregated side informationAggregated node attributesAnd global properties of the entire wind farmInput to global simultaneouslyUpdating functionsIn (1), the node update function is usually selected as a neural networkUpdated global attributesThe following were used:
in a graph neural network layer, the global attribute is updated only once, and the output of the graph neural network layer is obtained after the update、Andthe updating and aggregation operations of the graph neural network layer do not change the connectivity of all nodes, i.e. the adjacency matrix does not change, and then outputs it、、And the adjacency matrix is used as an input attribute and is input into the next graph network layer.
In input vector diagrams、、Obtaining an output vector diagram after the whole diagram neural network architectureIn the power prediction of each wind turbine, only the wind turbine nodes are neededSo that a full connection layer is establishedThe node attribute in the final graph neural network output vector graphInput to the full connection layerAnd obtaining the predicted power of each wind turbine, wherein the predicted power is as follows:
step 7, performing parameter optimization on the improved graph neural network according to the preprocessed data set and the input vector diagram by using an optimization algorithm and according to a loss function, and taking a graph neural network model with determined parameters after the optimization as a wind turbine power prediction model in a wind field;
in the process of training the neural network of the graph, firstly setting a loss function as a predicted power and a true valueMSEThe values are as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is composed ofkInputting a predicted value of the graph neural network power of the ith wind turbine in the wind field corresponding to the vector graph at a moment,is composed ofkInputting the actual power value of the ith wind turbine in the wind field corresponding to the vector diagram at a moment,sto be the total number of input data,mthe total number of wind turbines in the wind farm.
After the loss function is set, a proper optimization algorithm is selected, a gradient descent optimization algorithm such as Adam, SGD or RMSprop is suggested to be used, a proper learning rate is set, the graph neural network power prediction model can be optimized, when the accuracy of the model does not change any more, optimization is completed, and the graph neural network model with parameters determined after optimization is used as the wind turbine power prediction model in the wind field.
Step 8, processing the input wind speed and wind direction by using a wind turbine power prediction model to obtain the predicted power of all wind turbine nodes in a wind field;
and when the power of each wind turbine in the wind field corresponding to a certain wind speed and wind direction is predicted, the input wind speed and wind direction are taken as global attributes, the wind speed in the global attributes is set as the node attributes of all the wind turbines, a corresponding input vector diagram is generated according to the steps 3-5, and the optimized model is called to process the input vector diagram, so that the power output value of each wind turbine in the wind field can be obtained.
The invention further provides a wind turbine power prediction system of the graph neural network based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model improvement, and the wind turbine power prediction is realized by using the wind turbine power prediction method of the graph neural network based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model improvement.
A computer device comprises a storage, a processor and a computer program stored on the storage and capable of running on the processor, wherein when the processor executes the computer program, the wind turbine power prediction method based on wake deflection effect and 2DJensen model improved graph neural network is used for realizing wind turbine power prediction.
A computer-readable storage medium, on which a computer program is stored, which, when being executed by a processor, implements a wind turbine power prediction using the method for wind turbine power prediction based on wake deflection effect and a 2DJensen model improved graph neural network.
In order to verify the effectiveness of the scheme of the invention, the following experiment is carried out by using SCADA data of a real wind farm.
SCADA data of five wind turbines in a certain wind power plant are collected, the data comprise characteristics of inflow wind direction, inflow wind speed, yaw error angle, output power and the like, the unit numbers are A02, A03, A04, A05 and A06 respectively, and the geographical position information is shown in table 1. The five wind turbines arranged in the wind field are of the same type, the radius of an impeller of each wind turbine is 59m, the axial induction factor is 0.24, and the wake flow attenuation coefficient is 0.075.
TABLE 1 wind turbine position parameters
Constructing an input vector atlas by utilizing collected SCADA data and position information of five wind turbines, using 70% of data in the input vector atlas for training a neural network model, setting all neural networks as three hidden layers, namely 128 neurons, 64 neurons and 32 neurons, setting an activation function as a ReLU function, selecting an Adam algorithm as an optimization algorithm, and selecting a learning rate of 3e-6And iterating 20000 steps. And obtaining a graph neural network model after the training is finished, using the residual 30% of data to measure the power prediction accuracy of the graph neural network model, and obtaining that the comprehensive error of the predicted power and the actual power is 15% for the A02 unit, which is better than 40% of the comprehensive error of the 2DJensen model, as shown in FIG. 5. The method is accurate and effective, and can accurately calculate the power output value of the wind turbine.
The technical features of the above embodiments can be arbitrarily combined, and for the sake of brevity, all possible combinations of the technical features in the above embodiments are not described, but should be considered as the scope of the present specification as long as there is no contradiction between the combinations of the technical features.
The above-mentioned embodiments only express several embodiments of the present application, and the description thereof is more specific and detailed, but not construed as limiting the scope of the present application. It should be noted that, for a person skilled in the art, several variations and modifications can be made without departing from the concept of the present application, which falls within the scope of protection of the present application. Therefore, the protection scope of the present application should be subject to the appended claims.
Claims (6)
1. The wind turbine power prediction method based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model is characterized by comprising the following specific steps of:
step 1, collecting and preprocessing SCADA data of a wind turbine in a wind field;
2, constructing a relative position coordinate of each wind turbine based on the geographical position data of the wind turbines in the wind field;
step 3, obtaining a node set and global attributes of the wind turbine in the wind field according to the preprocessed SCADA data set;
step 4, obtaining an edge set and an adjacency matrix between the wind machines in the wind field according to the relative position coordinates of the wind machines, the input wind direction at the current moment, the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model;
step 5, constructing an input vector graph set based on a node set, an edge set, global attributes and an adjacency matrix of a wind turbine in a wind field;
step 6, constructing an improved graph neural network model based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model, and determining the setting parameters of the graph neural network;
step 7, performing parameter optimization on the improved graph neural network according to the preprocessed SCADA data set and the input vector diagram by using an optimization algorithm and according to a loss function, and determining a graph neural network model after the parameter optimization is completed to serve as a wind turbine power prediction model in a wind field;
step 8, processing the input wind speed and wind direction by using a wind turbine power prediction model to obtain the predicted power of all wind turbine nodes in a wind field;
step 4, obtaining an edge set and an adjacency matrix between the wind machines in the wind field according to the relative position coordinates of the wind machines, the input wind direction at the current moment, the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model, wherein the specific method comprises the following steps:
judging whether wake flow influence exists between every two wind turbines or not according to a wake flow deflection effect and a 2DJensen model based on an inflow wind direction and a yaw error angle between every two wind turbines in the global attribute at the moment, if so, establishing a directed edge between the two wind turbines, setting a foreground wind turbine as a sending node and a background wind turbine as a receiving node, and setting the attribute of the edge as the transverse distance and the longitudinal distance of the background wind turbine in the wake flow deflected by the foreground wind turbine; if not, no edge exists between the two wind turbines, and after traversing the relationship between all the wind turbines in the wind field, an edge set and an adjacent matrix in the whole wind field are obtained; the specific method for judging whether wake influence exists between every two wind turbines or not according to the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model comprises the following steps:
obtaining the relative positions and azimuth angles of the two wind turbines according to the coordinates of the two wind turbines, obtaining the sequence of the outlet wind passing through the wind turbines successively according to the inflow wind direction in the global attribute at the moment, respectively defining the sequence as an upstream wind turbine and a downstream wind turbine, and defining the included angle theta between the connection line of the upstream wind turbine and the downstream wind turbine and the central axis of the wake flow of the upstream wind turbineLComprises the following steps:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,θ x in order to obtain an inflow wind direction angle,θ FWT the azimuth angle of the upstream unit relative to the downstream unit,β 1is the yaw error angle of the upstream wind turbine,ais a wind turbine axial induction factor;
the longitudinal distance between the section of the downstream wind turbine generator and the wake flow of the upstream wind turbine generator is defined asL l The calculation formula is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,Ldthe distance between the cabin connecting lines of the wind turbine generator sets upstream and downstream is the distance between the cabin connecting lines of the wind turbine generator sets downstream and upstream;
and simultaneously defining the cross section of the downstream wind turbine generator set and the wake flow transverse distance of the upstream wind turbine generator set asL r The calculation formula is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,Ldthe distance between the cabin connecting lines of the wind turbine generator sets upstream and downstream is the distance between the cabin connecting lines of the wind turbine generator sets downstream and upstream;
then, the wake radius calculation formula of the cross section position where the downstream wind turbine generator is located is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,kas a function of the attenuation coefficient of the wake flow,r 0 the radius of the wind wheel of the upstream wind turbine generator set;
according to the calculated wake radiusR l Judging whether the downstream wind turbine is influenced by the wake flow of the upstream wind turbine or not, wherein the specific method comprises the following steps:
1) if it isThe downstream wind turbine is not influenced by the wake flow of the upstream wind turbine;
wherein the content of the first and second substances,r 0 ’ for wind-driven machinejThe projection length of the radius of the wind wheel is calculated by the following formula:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,β 2 the yaw error angle of the downstream wind turbine generator set;
step 6, constructing an improved graph neural network model based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model, determining the setting parameters of the graph neural network, and selecting 2-4 layers from the layer number of the graph neural network model, wherein the first layer is an improved graph network layer based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model, comprises three updating functions which are respectively edge updating functionsUpdating function of nodeGlobal update function(ii) a Simultaneously comprises three aggregation functions which are adjacent edge aggregation functionsAll edges aggregate functionAggregation of functions by all nodes(ii) a Edge weight distribution function based on 2DJensen model wake loss factor;
Based on wake deflection effectIn the improved graph network layer of the 2DJensen model, the input graph isIn which all input edges are includedAll input nodesAnd inputting the global attributeThe update sequence is as follows:
the updating of the edges is firstly carried out, and the updating of each directed edge needs to use the attribute of the adjacent sending nodeAnd attributes of the receiving nodeAnd the attribute of the edgeInputting all attributes to the edge update function simultaneouslyIn, the edge update function is selected as a neural networkUpdated edge attributesThe following were used:
then, the function is distributed according to the edge weightAnd obtaining the due weight of each directed edge, wherein the weight enables each directed edge to play a role in different degrees in the subsequent node updating according to the rules of the physical wake model, and the weight value is as follows:
finally, the final edge attribute after each directed edge is updated is obtainedThe following were used:
after all existing edges in the graph neural network layer are updated, the node attributes are updated, and each nodeAll the adjacent edges are needed for updatingProperty of the nodeAnd global properties of the entire wind farmFirst using the adjacent edge aggregation functionAggregating the information of the adjacent S edges which have a connection relation with the node, wherein the adjacent edge aggregation function takes into account the wake superposition effect in the improved graph network layer based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model, and the attributes of all the adjacent edges are summed to obtain the aggregated edge attributes, and the values of the aggregated edge attributes are as follows:
then the aggregated side informationProperty of the nodeAnd global properties of the entire wind farmSimultaneous input to node update functionIn (1), the node update function is selected as a neural networkUpdated nodeThe following were used:
after all existing nodes in the graph neural network layer are updated, the global attribute is required to be updated finally, the global attribute updating requires all the edge information, all the node attributes and the global attribute of the whole wind field, and all the edges are firstly utilized to aggregateFunction(s)Aggregating the information of all edges, wherein the aggregation function of all edges adopts a summation mode, and the attributes of all edges are summed to obtain the aggregated edge attribute, and the value of the aggregated edge attribute is as follows:
then aggregate the functions using all nodesAggregating the information of all nodes, wherein the aggregation function of all nodes adopts a summation mode, and the attributes of all nodes are summed to obtain the aggregated node attribute, and the values are as follows:
finally, the aggregated side informationAggregated node attributesAnd global properties of the entire wind farmInput to global update function at the same timeIn general, the node update function is selected as a neural networkUpdated global attributesThe following were used:
in a graph neural network layer, the global attribute is updated only once, and the output of the graph neural network layer is obtained after the update、Andthe updating and aggregation operations of the graph neural network layer do not change the connectivity of all nodes, i.e. the adjacency matrix does not change, and then outputs it、、And the adjacency matrix is used as an input attribute and is input into the next graph network layer;
edge weight distribution function based on 2DJensen model wake loss factorThe method comprises the following steps:
the 2DJensen model was first established as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,for the longitudinal wake distance in the downstream wake ofTransverse wake distance ofThe velocity of the wake flow at which the wind is coming,as a function of the attenuation coefficient of the wake flow,is the radius of the rotor of the upstream wind turbine,is an axial induction factor;
the value of which reflects the longitudinal wake distance in the downstream wake ofTransverse wake distance ofWind speed deficiency degree of the wind turbine and wake flow deficiency factors between wind turbines far away from each otherWake loss factor between small, closely spaced wind turbinesLarge, the definition fully accounts for different wake impact levels, so it is defined as an edge weight distribution functionThe wake flow loss factor among different wind turbinesAs an edge weight distribution function; and the attribute of the directed edge between every two wind turbines is defined as:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,L l for a receiving nodeI.e. downstream wind turbine at the transmitting nodeNamely the longitudinal wake distance in the wake after deflection of the upstream wind turbine,L r for a receiving nodeI.e. downstream wind turbine at the transmitting nodeNamely the lateral distance of the wake flow in the wake flow after the deflection of the upstream wind turbine;
when the subsequent j-th graph neural network layer connected with the first graph neural network layer is established, the graph network layer comprises three updating functions which are respectively edge updating functionsNode update functionGlobal update function(ii) a Simultaneously comprises three aggregation functions which are adjacent edge aggregation functionsAll edge aggregation functionAggregating functions of all nodes;
The input diagram of the layer isIncluding all the j-1 layer output edgesAll the j-1 level input nodesAnd a j-1 level output global propertyIn the graph neural network layer of the j-th layer, the update sequence is as follows:
the updating of the edges is firstly carried out, and the updating of each directed edge needs to use the attribute of the adjacent sending nodeAnd attributes of the receiving nodeAnd the attribute of the edgeInputting all attributes to the edge update function simultaneouslyIn, the edge update function is selected as a neural networkUpdated edge attributesThe following:
after all existing edges in the graph neural network layer are updated, the node attributes are updated, and each nodeAll the adjacent edges are needed for updatingProperty of the nodeAnd global properties of the entire wind farmFirst using the adjacent edge aggregation functionAggregating the information of the adjacent S edges which have a connection relation with the node, wherein the adjacent edge aggregation function adopts an averaging mode, and averages the attributes of all the adjacent edges to obtain the aggregated edge attribute, and the values of the aggregated edge attribute are as follows:
then the aggregated side informationProperty of the nodeAnd global properties of the entire wind farmSimultaneous input to node update functionIn (1), the node update function is selected as a neural networkUpdated nodeThe following were used:
after all existing nodes in the graph neural network layer are updated, the global attribute is required to be updated finally, the global attribute updating requires all the edge information, all the node attributes and the global attribute of the whole wind field, and all the edge aggregation functions are firstly utilizedAggregating the information of all edges, wherein the aggregation function of all edges adopts an averaging mode, and averaging the attributes of all edges to obtain the aggregated edge attribute, and the values are as follows:
then aggregate the functions using all nodesAggregating the information of all nodes, wherein the aggregation function of all nodes adopts an averaging mode, and the attributes of all nodes are summed to obtain the aggregated node attribute, and the value is as follows:
finally, the aggregated side informationAggregated node attributesAnd global properties of the entire wind farmInput to global bit at the same timeNew functionIn (1), the node update function is selected as a neural networkUpdated global attributesThe following were used:
in a graph neural network layer, the global attribute is updated only once, and the output of the graph neural network layer is obtained after the update、Andthe updating and aggregation operations of the graph neural network layer do not change the connectivity of all nodes, i.e. the adjacency matrix does not change, and then outputs it、、And the adjacency matrix is used as an input attribute and is input into the next graph network layer;
in input vector diagrams、、Obtaining an output vector diagram after the whole diagram neural network architectureIn the power prediction of each wind turbine, only the wind turbine nodes are neededSo that a full connection layer is establishedThe node attribute in the final graph neural network output vector graphInput to the full connection layerAnd obtaining the predicted power of each wind turbine, wherein the values are as follows:
2. the method for predicting the power of the wind turbine based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model as claimed in claim 1, wherein in the step 1, SCADA data of the wind turbine in the wind field are collected and preprocessed, and the method comprises the following specific steps:
the method comprises the steps of collecting inflow wind speed, inflow wind direction, pitch angle, yaw error angle and output power of each wind turbine in an SCADA system of a wind turbine generator, preprocessing collected data, removing all data of missing values in the data at the moment, removing all data of the data at the moment under the condition of power limitation, removing all data of collection errors of which the wind speed is less than 0 or the active power is less than 0, and ensuring that all wind turbines in a data set at the same moment need four characteristics of inflow wind speed, inflow wind direction, yaw error angle and output power after preprocessing.
3. The method for wind turbine power prediction based on wake deflection effect and 2DJensen model as claimed in claim 1, wherein step 2, the relative position coordinates of each wind turbine are constructed based on the geographical position data of the wind turbine in the wind field, the method comprises:
and determining the position information of all wind turbines in the wind field according to the construction site selection of the wind field, and solving the relative position coordinates of each wind turbine in the wind field by taking a certain point in the wind field as a coordinate origin according to the relative azimuth angle and the relative distance between the wind turbines.
4. The method for predicting the power of the wind turbine based on the wake deflection effect and the 2DJensen model as claimed in claim 1, wherein in the step 3, the node set and the global attribute of the wind turbine in the wind field are obtained according to the preprocessed SCADA data set, and the method comprises the following specific steps:
the method comprises the steps of averaging the inflow wind directions of all wind turbines at a certain moment, judging that the wind at the moment flows through a first wind turbine in a wind field by using the obtained wind directions, setting the node attributes in all the wind turbines as the wind speeds in the global attributes by taking the wind speed and the wind direction of the wind turbine at the moment as the global attributes, and obtaining a node set in the wind field at the moment.
5. The method of claim 1, wherein in step 7, the improved graph neural network is optimized parametrically according to the preprocessed SCADA data set and the input vector diagram according to a loss function by using an optimization algorithm, wherein the loss function is the predicted power and the true valueMSEThe values are as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is composed ofkInputting a predicted value of the graph neural network power of the ith wind turbine in the wind field corresponding to the vector graph at a moment,is composed ofkInputting the actual power value of the ith wind turbine in the wind field corresponding to the vector diagram at a moment,sto be the total number of input data,mthe total number of wind turbines in the wind field;
and after the loss function is set, selecting Adam, SGD or RMSprop algorithm, setting learning rate, optimizing the graph neural network power prediction model, finishing optimization when the precision of the model is not changed any more, and taking the graph neural network model with the parameters determined after the optimization as the wind turbine power prediction model in the wind farm.
6. The method for wind turbine power prediction based on wake deflection effect and 2DJensen model as claimed in claim 1, wherein step 8, the wind turbine power prediction model is used to process the input wind speed and wind direction to obtain the predicted power of all wind turbine nodes in the wind field, and the specific method is as follows:
when the power of each wind turbine in the wind field corresponding to a certain wind speed and wind direction is predicted, the input wind speed and wind direction are taken as global attributes, the wind speed in the global attributes is set as the node attributes of all the wind turbines, a corresponding input vector diagram is generated, an optimized graph neural network model is called to process the input vector diagram, and the power output value of each wind turbine in the wind field is obtained.
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