CN114413448A - Real-time parameter identification method for first-order model of building to which air conditioner belongs - Google Patents
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- F—MECHANICAL ENGINEERING; LIGHTING; HEATING; WEAPONS; BLASTING
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- F24F—AIR-CONDITIONING; AIR-HUMIDIFICATION; VENTILATION; USE OF AIR CURRENTS FOR SCREENING
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- Y02B—CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO BUILDINGS, e.g. HOUSING, HOUSE APPLIANCES OR RELATED END-USER APPLICATIONS
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Abstract
The invention provides a real-time parameter identification method for a first-order model of a building to which an air conditioner belongs, which comprises the steps of constructing the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs; acquiring air conditioner load characteristic data and parameters to be identified in a preset time period within a target range and preprocessing the data and the parameters; performing first identification on a parameter to be identified by using a standard least square method; acquiring and preprocessing air conditioner load characteristic data at the next moment of the preset time period; based on the first identification result, performing second identification on the parameter to be identified by adopting a recursion auxiliary variable method; and updating the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs in real time based on the second identification result. The ETP model of the air-conditioning load is equivalent to a standard difference equation, an input/output sequence and a sequence to be identified are determined, and the air-conditioning load model in a target range is established in real time based on a recursion auxiliary variable method and is used for controlling and scheduling the air-conditioning load in real time.
Description
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the field of electric power system scheduling, and particularly relates to a real-time parameter identification method for a first-order model of a building to which an air conditioner belongs.
Background
The load aggregation business can acquire the on-off state of the user air conditioner and the real-time change condition of the indoor and outdoor temperature through the advanced measurement terminal and the bidirectional communication network of the smart grid. Among various parameter identification methods, the principle of the least square method is simple, the calculated amount is small, and the method is widely applied to online parameter identification in various fields. In order to reduce the calculated amount in the real-time parameter identification process, a recursion least square method is provided, and in order to enhance the anti-interference capability, an auxiliary variable is introduced, and a recursion auxiliary variable method is provided. By means of hardware support of a smart power grid and related online identification technology, online identification of air conditioner loads of load aggregators plays a crucial role in participation of the air conditioner loads in demand response.
The air conditioning load is an important demand response resource, the ETP model of the building is widely applied to various fields of air conditioning load control, but some parameters in the model are closely related to factors such as the thickness of a wall body of the building, the window area and the volume size and cannot be obtained through measurement, so that the parameters of the air conditioning load model need to be identified through a certain parameter identification means, the existing parameter identification of the air conditioning load model is weak, and the real-time online modeling of the air conditioning load is ignored.
Disclosure of Invention
Aiming at the defects in the prior art, the invention provides a real-time parameter identification method for a first-order model of a building to which an air conditioner belongs, which can realize real-time control and scheduling of air conditioner load.
The technical scheme provided by the invention is as follows:
the invention discloses a real-time parameter identification method for a first-order model of a building to which an air conditioner belongs, which comprises the following steps:
constructing a first-order model of a building to which the air conditioner belongs;
acquiring air conditioner load characteristic data and parameters to be identified in a preset time period within a target range and preprocessing the data and the parameters;
performing first identification on the parameter to be identified by adopting a standard least square method;
acquiring and preprocessing air conditioner load characteristic data at the next moment of the preset time period;
based on the first identification result, performing second identification on the parameter to be identified by adopting a recursion auxiliary variable method;
and updating the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs in real time based on the second identification result.
Further, the specific process of constructing the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs is as follows:
the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs is equivalent to a single input/output linear system;
the single input/output linear system is described using a standard form of difference equations.
Further, the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs specifically is as follows:
wherein ,is composed ofThe time of day is input into the sequence,is composed ofThe time of day output sequence is output,is composed ofA sequence of time-of-day random variables,andas the parameter to be identified, the identification information is obtained,。
further, the random variable sequence:
Further, the air conditioning load characteristic data includes indoor/outdoor temperature, and on/off state quantity of the air conditioning load.
Further, the first identification of the parameter to be identified by adopting the standard least square method specifically comprises the following steps:
wherein ,to the total number of time of acquisitionIs the result of parameter identification of the standard least square method,is a matrix of input sequences and output sequences,is an output matrix.
Further, the recursion auxiliary variable method specifically comprises the following steps:
wherein ,in order to correct the coefficients of the coefficients,is the intermediate variable(s) of the variable,are auxiliary variables.
Further, the method for selecting the auxiliary variable specifically comprises:
Further, based on the first identification result, performing second identification on the to-be-identified parameter by using a recursion auxiliary variable method specifically comprises:
According to the existing technology for researching air conditioning load, the adopted building model to which the air conditioner belongs generally cannot identify the relationship between model parameters and factors such as wall thickness, window area, volume size and the like of a building, the method for identifying the real-time parameters of the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs is characterized in that an ETP (extract-transform-point) model of the air conditioning load is equivalent to a standard difference equation, an input/output sequence and a sequence to be identified are determined, an air conditioning load model in a target range is established in real time based on a recursion auxiliary variable method and is used for controlling and scheduling the air conditioning load in real time, the anti-jamming capability of the method is remarkably improved compared with the prior art, and the error of a parameter identification result is reduced by 40 percent compared with a recursion least square method.
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In order to more clearly illustrate the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the drawings which are required to be used in the technical solution description will be briefly introduced below, it is obvious that the exemplary embodiments of the present invention and the description thereof are only used for explaining the present invention and do not constitute an unnecessary limitation of the present invention, and for those skilled in the art, other drawings can be obtained according to the provided drawings without inventive labor. In the drawings:
FIG. 1 is a schematic flow chart illustrating a real-time parameter identification method according to the present invention;
FIG. 2 is a schematic diagram showing the comparison between the predicted result and the actual parameter of the RIV algorithm at a noise-to-signal ratio of 16.06% in example 1 of the present invention;
FIG. 3 is a graph showing the variation of the error of the RIV algorithm and the error of the RLS algorithm with the number of iterations when the noise-to-signal ratio is 16.06% in example 1 of the present invention;
FIG. 4 is a comparison graph of the predicted results and actual parameters of the RIV algorithm at a signal-to-noise ratio of 25.94% in example 1 of the present invention;
fig. 5 is a graph showing the error of the RIV algorithm and the error of the RLS algorithm as a function of the number of iterations at a noise-to-signal ratio of 25.94% in example 1 of the present invention.
Detailed Description
The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and it is obvious that the described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, and not all of the embodiments. All other embodiments, which can be derived by a person skilled in the art from the embodiments given herein without making any creative effort, shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
Referring to fig. 1, the present embodiment provides a method for identifying real-time parameters of a first-order model of a building to which an air conditioner belongs, including the following steps:
s1: constructing a first-order model of a building to which the air conditioner belongs;
specifically, a first-order model of a building to which the air conditioner belongs is equivalent to a single-input/output linear system, and is described by using a standard form of a differential equation to determineThe input and output sequence of the time is,The random variable sequence of the time isThe number of the parameters to be identified isThe parameter to be identified isAndthen, the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioners in the target range belong is:
in the formula :is the order of the difference equation,,the zero mean uncorrelated noise sequences at time instants are;
S2: acquiring air conditioner load characteristic data and parameters to be identified in a preset time period within a target range and preprocessing the data and the parameters;
specifically, referring to fig. 2, in this embodiment, the advanced metering terminal of the smart grid acquires input and output data and performs preprocessing on the input and output data to be acquiredOf time of dayAn input/output sequence, listed according to equation (1)The difference equation is:
writing equation (2) in matrix form:
in the formula ,
in the formula ,to be the output matrix, the output matrix is,is a matrix composed of input and output sequences,is a parameter matrix to be identified,is an error matrix;
s3: performing first identification on the parameter to be identified by adopting a standard least square method;
specifically, the data collected in S2 is subjected to parameter estimation by a standard least square method, and an initial value of a recursion auxiliary variable method recursion process is obtained;
in the formula :is the intermediate variable(s) of the variable,the estimated value of the parameter to be identified is obtained by a standard least square method;
s4: acquiring and preprocessing air conditioner load characteristic data at the next moment of the preset time period;
specifically, collectingThe input and output data of the moment are obtained by preprocessing the input and output dataThe input and output sequence of the time is;
S5: based on the first identification result, performing second identification on the parameter to be identified by adopting a recursion auxiliary variable method;
by auxiliary variablesIn the alternative formula (11)And obtaining a recursion auxiliary variable method:
in the formula ,
S6: updating the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs in real time based on the second identification result;
in particular, according toThe updating method comprises the following steps of (1) updating a first-order model of a building to which the air conditioner belongs in real time;
s7: updating the intermediate variable and resetting the cycle parameter;
It should be noted that the preprocessing in steps S2 and S4 is specifically as follows:
a: pre-treatment for indoor/outdoor temperature:
a 1: the average value of the indoor/outdoor temperature was calculated according to the following formulaAnd standard deviation of:
in the formula :represents the first to the successive acquisitionsIndividual indoor/outdoor temperatures;
a 2: judgment ofWhether or not: if not, explainIs normal data; otherwise it explainsIf the data is bad, correction is needed;
a 3: the bad data correction formula is as follows:
in the formula :indicating modified the secondThe temperature of the individual indoor/outdoor air,is a self-defined correction coefficient, and;
b: preprocessing the on-off state quantity of the air conditioner load:
in the process of indoor temperature rising or falling, the on-off state of the air conditioner is kept unchanged, and the air conditioner switch is changed only when the set temperature upper and lower limits are reached: let three switch state quantities acquired continuously beThe three indoor temperatures correspondingly collected are as follows,the following judgment is made:
in thatThe method comprises the following steps: if it isThen representsIs normal data; if it isThen representsIs bad data, needs to be corrected, and order;
In thatThe method comprises the following steps: if it isThen representsIs normal data; if it isThen representsIs bad data, needs to be corrected, and order;
It should be noted that the method for selecting the auxiliary variable specifically includes the following steps:
according to equation (20), equation (1) can be written as:
from equation (21) we can obtain:
the least squares algorithm then has the expression:
introducing Frechet's theorem:
theorem 1: suppose thatIs to converge to a constant with probability 1The random variables of (a) then have:
namely:
applying the above convergence theorem, it can be concluded that:
at this point, an unbiased estimate can be obtained;
if it is notIs not white noise, at this time. If an unbiased estimate of the parameters is desired, and the equation is still valid, then an auxiliary vector needs to be introduced, defining an auxiliary matrix as follows:
wherein the auxiliary variables must satisfy the following two conditions:
if the auxiliary variable satisfies the above two conditions, then there are:
wherein ,is an auxiliary variable parameter estimation value. If the selected auxiliary variables can satisfy the above two conditions, unbiased consistent parameter estimates can be obtained.
Based on the above analysis, an auxiliary variable method can be obtained as follows:
regarding the selection of the auxiliary variables, there are three methods, specifically as follows:
the self-adaptive filtering method comprises the following steps:
or
wherein ,is thatParameter estimates of the time instant auxiliary variables. The method is to use the auxiliary model parametersPerforming smoothing processing according to the smoothing parametersAndthe specific situation is selected.
Input hysteresis method:
output hysteresis method:
the auxiliary variable may be selected as follows:
this time is:
it should be noted that, the derivation process of the recursion auxiliary variable method is as follows:
the basic idea of the recursion algorithm can be summarized as follows: new estimated value= old estimate+ a correction term;
defining:
this can be deduced from equation (39):
the drive type (30) of the formulae (40) and (41) can be derived:
the following can be derived by bringing formula (43) into formula (39):
the formula of the recursion auxiliary variable method is as follows:
wherein ,in order to be an auxiliary vector,is a recognition parameterAt the moment of timeIn a recursive algorithm, the initial value is usually selectedIs a very large positive definite matrix,,。
it should be noted that the mean square convergence of the recursive auxiliary variable method proves as follows:
firstly, proposing a characteristic value displacement and singular value displacement theorem:
lemma 1[ eigenvalue displacement lemma]: setting matrixIs/are as followsA characteristic value ofMatrix of rulesHas a characteristic value of, wherein ,is a constant.
Lemma 2 singular value displacement lemma]: setting matrixIs/are as followsA characteristic value ofMemory for recordingThen there is,Is formed in which。
Theorem 3: is provided withA sequence of random noise vectors with zero mean and bounded variance, i.e.Input signalAnd an auxiliary vectorAnduncorrelated, and the system satisfies weak persistent excitation to guaranteeAre non-singular, i.e.:
definition ofIs provided withAnd is andanduncorrelated, then the parameters of the RIV algorithm are estimatedIs consistently converged on the true parametersNamely:
wherein ,is a matrixThe rank of (c) is determined,is in a matrixMaximum eigenvalue, e.g.For example, say that。
The following was demonstrated:
defining a parameter estimation error vector:
by bringing formulae (21) and (39) into formula (30), it is possible to obtain:
when formula (53) is taken into formula (52), it is possible to obtain:
defining:
it can be deduced that:
and because:
it can be deduced that:
further pushing out:
the following can be derived by bringing formula (61) and formula (60) into formula (54):
from the above, althoughColored noise, as long as the system is continuously excited,zero mean and bounded variance, andis not related, the condition can be satisfiedAndthen the RIV algorithm has mean square convergence, i.e. parameter estimation errorTo be provided withIs consistently converged on the true parameters。
Example 1
The equivalent standard difference equation of the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs constructed in the embodiment is as follows:
According to the method of the invention, the real-time parameter discrimination results are as follows:
table 1 shows the prediction results and the accuracy of the method (RIV) of the invention as a function of the number of iterations for a noise to signal ratio of 16.06%.
TABLE 1 noise-to-signal ratio of 16.6%, RIV algorithm parameters and error variation with iteration number
Referring to fig. 2, fig. 2 is a comparison graph of the predicted result and the actual parameter of the RIV algorithm parameter when the noise-to-signal ratio is 16.06%;
referring to fig. 3, fig. 3 is a graph of the error of the RIV algorithm and the error of the recursive least squares algorithm (RLS) as a function of the number of iterations for a noise to signal ratio of 16.06%;
it can be seen that in the initial stage, the errors of the RIV algorithm and the RLS algorithm are both large, convergence is performed quickly as the number of iterations increases, and the error of the RIV algorithm is always smaller than that of the RLS, which reduces the error by nearly 40%.
Table 2 shows that the identification result and precision of each parameter of the RIV algorithm change along with the iteration number under the condition that the noise-to-signal ratio is 25.94%.
TABLE 2 noise-to-signal ratio of 25.94%, RIV algorithm parameters and error variation with iteration number
Referring to fig. 4, fig. 4 is a comparison graph of the predicted result of the RIV algorithm parameter and the actual parameter when the noise-to-signal ratio is 25.94%, and it can be seen that the predicted value of the RIV algorithm is substantially consistent with the actual value curve, but the predicted deviation at the corner of the curve is lower and the noise-to-signal ratio is slightly larger due to the slightly improved noise-to-signal ratio.
Referring to fig. 5, fig. 5 is a graph of the variation of the error of the RIV algorithm and the error of the RLS algorithm with the number of iterations when the noise-to-signal ratio is 25.94%, and it can be seen that in the initial stage, the errors of the RIV and the RLS algorithms are both large, and converge quickly as the number of iterations increases, and the error of the RIV algorithm is always smaller than that of the RLS, and the error is reduced by nearly 40%.
In addition, an embodiment of the present invention further provides a computer-readable storage medium, where the computer-readable storage medium may store a program, and when the program is executed, the program includes some or all of the steps of the method for identifying the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs in the above method embodiments.
In addition, functional units in the embodiments of the present invention may be integrated into one processing unit, or each unit may exist alone physically, or two or more units are integrated into one unit. The integrated unit can be realized in a form of hardware, and can also be realized in a form of a software functional unit.
The integrated unit, if implemented in the form of a software functional unit and sold or used as a stand-alone product, may be stored in a computer readable memory. Based on such understanding, the technical solution of the present invention may be embodied in the form of a software product, which is stored in a memory and includes several instructions for causing a computer device (which may be a personal computer, a server, a network device, or the like) to execute all or part of the steps of the method according to the embodiments of the present invention. And the aforementioned memory comprises: u disk, Read-Only Memory (ROM), Random Access Memory (RAM)
Memory), a removable hard disk, a magnetic or optical disk, or the like.
Those skilled in the art will appreciate that all or part of the steps in the methods of the above embodiments may be implemented by associated hardware instructed by a program, which may be stored in a computer-readable memory, which may include: flash memory disks, read-only memory, random access memory, magnetic or optical disks, and the like.
The above-mentioned embodiments, objects, technical solutions and advantages of the present application are further described in detail, it should be understood that the above-mentioned embodiments are only examples of the present application, and are not intended to limit the scope of the present application, and any modifications, equivalent substitutions, improvements and the like made on the basis of the technical solutions of the present application should be included in the scope of the present application.
Claims (10)
1. A real-time parameter identification method for a first-order model of a building to which an air conditioner belongs is characterized by comprising the following steps:
constructing a first-order model of a building to which the air conditioner belongs;
acquiring air conditioner load characteristic data and parameters to be identified in a preset time period within a target range and preprocessing the data and the parameters;
performing first identification on the parameter to be identified by adopting a standard least square method;
acquiring and preprocessing air conditioner load characteristic data at the next moment of the preset time period;
based on the first identification result, performing second identification on the parameter to be identified by adopting a recursion auxiliary variable method;
and updating the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs in real time based on the second identification result.
2. The method for identifying the real-time parameters of the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs according to claim 1, wherein the concrete process for constructing the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs is as follows:
the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs is equivalent to a single input/output linear system;
the single input/output linear system is described using a standard form of difference equations.
3. The method for identifying the real-time parameters of the first-order building model to which the air conditioner belongs according to claim 2, wherein the first-order building model to which the air conditioner belongs specifically comprises:
5. The method as claimed in claim 1, wherein the air-conditioning load characteristic data includes indoor/outdoor temperature, and on-off state quantity of air-conditioning load.
6. The method for identifying the real-time parameters of the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs according to claim 1, wherein the first identification of the parameters to be identified by adopting a standard least square method specifically comprises the following steps:
7. The method for identifying the real-time parameters of the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs according to claim 1, wherein the recursion auxiliary variable method specifically comprises the following steps:
8. The method for identifying the real-time parameters of the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs according to claim 7, wherein the method for selecting the auxiliary variables specifically comprises the following steps:
9. The method for identifying the real-time parameters of the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs according to claim 1, wherein the second identification of the parameters to be identified by using a recursion auxiliary variable method based on the first identification result specifically comprises the following steps:
10. A computer-readable storage medium, wherein the storage medium contains the method for identifying the real-time parameters of the first-order model of the building to which the air conditioner belongs according to any one of claims 1 to 9.
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