CN114358461A - Risk early warning system and risk early warning method constructed based on multi-factor model - Google Patents

Risk early warning system and risk early warning method constructed based on multi-factor model Download PDF

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CN114358461A
CN114358461A CN202111287716.0A CN202111287716A CN114358461A CN 114358461 A CN114358461 A CN 114358461A CN 202111287716 A CN202111287716 A CN 202111287716A CN 114358461 A CN114358461 A CN 114358461A
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CN114358461B (en
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王明星
沈宗邦
厉紫阳
祝敏琦
王佳华
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Zhejiang Yulian Information Development Co ltd
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Abstract

The invention discloses a risk early warning system constructed based on a multi-factor model, which comprises a comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform (1), a monitoring data acquisition module (2), a data storage module (3), a risk early warning and display module (4) and an information release module (5); the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform (1) is respectively in data communication connection with the monitoring data acquisition module (2), the data storage module (3), the risk early warning and display module (4) and the information release module (5). According to the risk early warning system and the risk early warning method based on multi-factor model construction, a multi-disciplinary comprehensive model construction principle is adopted, and the acquired risk early warning systems of multiple management departments of risk factors are subjected to comprehensive sharing management, so that risks are analyzed from data of multiple dimensions, and risk analysis and risk early warning are more accurate.

Description

基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统及风险预警方法Risk early warning system and risk early warning method based on multi-factor model

技术领域technical field

本发明涉及智能安全和智慧城市技术领域,具体为一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统及风险预警方法。The invention relates to the technical fields of intelligent security and smart city, in particular to a risk early warning system and a risk early warning method constructed based on a multi-factor model.

背景技术Background technique

随着我国国家城市化的进程的快速发展,城市也变得越来越大,城市的方面的事情都需要管理和提前预知,以便保证城市的安宁和稳定。一方面,城市的日常运营中,包括各种日常生活、日常社区治安、城市交通、城市社区健康等城市的运营。而在传统的城市管理中,日常的社区治安通道是由社区的治安办管理、城市交通则是由城市交管部门进行管理,城市的社区健康则由社区卫生院和卫生部门进行管理;可见,城市的各方面都由各管理和负责部分进行单独管理和负责,没有各部门进行互动和交互的过程,但是,在实际的城市管理和运作中,各部门的管理和工作缺乏协调性,导致工作执行效率低,响应慢,不利于对城市管理的快速风险预警和风险管控;一方面,通常紧急和风险情况的发生,通常都具备一定的关联性或称之为先兆性,因此,如果能够对相关区域进行风险预警和风险监测,在发现紧急情况前,进行一定的超前部署,可以很大程度的上减小紧急情况对城市正常运营的影响,或者在碰到紧急情况下尽快恢复。With the rapid development of urbanization in our country, cities are becoming larger and larger, and all aspects of the city need to be managed and predicted in advance in order to ensure the tranquility and stability of the city. On the one hand, the daily operation of the city includes various daily life, daily community security, urban transportation, urban community health and other urban operations. In traditional urban management, the daily community security channel is managed by the community security office, the urban traffic is managed by the urban traffic control department, and the urban community health is managed by the community health center and the health department. All aspects of the city are independently managed and responsible by the management and responsible departments, and there is no process of interaction and interaction between departments. However, in the actual city management and operation, the management and work of various departments lack coordination, which leads to the execution of work. Low efficiency and slow response are not conducive to rapid risk early warning and risk management and control of urban management; on the one hand, the occurrence of emergency and risk situations usually has a certain correlation or is called a harbinger. Risk warning and risk monitoring are carried out in the region. Before an emergency is discovered, a certain advance deployment can be carried out, which can greatly reduce the impact of the emergency on the normal operation of the city, or recover as soon as possible in the event of an emergency.

针对上述情况,现有技术中也存在一种所谓城市大脑的系统,它是一种城市综合检测和评估系统,能够同时监测城市的多种因素,并基于多种因素,综合考虑和分析城市的潜在风险情况,则具备十分有价值的系统;如:In view of the above situation, there is also a so-called urban brain system in the prior art, which is a comprehensive urban detection and evaluation system, which can monitor various factors of the city at the same time, and comprehensively consider and analyze the city's In potentially risky situations, there are very valuable systems; such as:

如专利申请CN112820415A公开了一种基于GIS的慢性病时空演化特征分析及环境健康风险监测系统及方法,能够实现慢性病时空演化特征的分析及环境健康风险的监测,本发明一方面,将传统的慢性病管理方法与GIS相结合,能够识别出慢性病的空间异质性特征,制定具有区域针对性的防控措施;另一方面,慢性病受到多种环境要素的影响,而将地理探测器与贝叶斯时空交互模型结合不仅能够分析单因子的影响,同时能够探测出双因子交互作用和多因子协同作用对慢性病发病的影响方式。该发明可以用到与环境健康紧密相关的慢性病监测和预警中去。For example, the patent application CN112820415A discloses a GIS-based system and method for analyzing the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of chronic diseases and monitoring environmental health risks, which can realize the analysis of the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of chronic diseases and the monitoring of environmental health risks. The combination of the method and GIS can identify the spatial heterogeneity of chronic diseases and formulate regionally targeted prevention and control measures; The interaction model combination can not only analyze the influence of a single factor, but also detect the influence of two-factor interaction and multi-factor synergy on the incidence of chronic diseases. The invention can be used in monitoring and early warning of chronic diseases closely related to environmental health.

专利申请CN 110443528A公开了一种基于机器学习的企业风险量化评估和跟踪系统,是集风险因子识别、风险评估、风险跟踪及预警一体的系统,具体包括了风险量化评估子系统、投资项目价值评估子系统、债券风险量化评估子系统和风险预警跟踪子系统。系统最大的特点是系统基于原点参数大数据平台的数据,利用机器学习算法自动识别、判断标的企业可能存在的潜在风险因子,并通过对公司基本信息的分析自动调用适用于标的企业的风险评估模型,实现对标的企业的风险量化评估、实时跟踪预警,为投资者提供可靠实用的工具。Patent application CN 110443528A discloses an enterprise risk quantitative assessment and tracking system based on machine learning, which is a system integrating risk factor identification, risk assessment, risk tracking and early warning, and specifically includes a risk quantitative assessment subsystem, investment project value assessment Subsystem, Bond Risk Quantitative Assessment Subsystem and Risk Early Warning Tracking Subsystem. The biggest feature of the system is that the system is based on the data of the origin parameter big data platform, uses machine learning algorithms to automatically identify and judge the potential risk factors that may exist in the target enterprise, and automatically calls the risk assessment model suitable for the target enterprise through the analysis of the basic information of the company. , to achieve quantitative risk assessment of target companies, real-time tracking and early warning, and provide investors with reliable and practical tools.

专利申请CN113360830A公开了一种金属冶炼企业重大安全风险重大风险辨识与评估方法。步骤在于收集金属冶炼企业事故案例数据,对事故案例分析,寻找与事故相关的风险因子;按金属冶炼工艺划分风险单元,编制金属冶炼企业通用风险辨识清单;形成通用风险与隐患违规证据信息清单;以冶炼工艺为单元,以风险点为评估主线,划分风险评估单元;建立金属冶炼企业高危风险固有风险指标体系,通过建立的金属冶炼企业评估模型,计算风险点的固有危险指数;单元固有风险评估,确定单元风险频率,单元初始高危安全风险评估,动态风险因子辨识;单元风险聚合到企业风险。该发明提高了金属冶炼企业的本质安全程度和安全管理水平,预防重特大事故,减轻事故危害后果。Patent application CN113360830A discloses a major risk identification and assessment method for major safety risks in metal smelting enterprises. The steps are to collect the accident case data of metal smelting enterprises, analyze the accident cases, and find the risk factors related to the accident; divide the risk units according to the metal smelting process, and compile the general risk identification list of metal smelting enterprises; form the general risk and hidden danger violation evidence information list; Taking the smelting process as the unit and the risk point as the main line of assessment, the risk assessment unit is divided; the inherent risk index system of high-risk risks of metal smelting enterprises is established, and the inherent risk index of risk points is calculated through the established metal smelting enterprise evaluation model; unit inherent risk assessment , determine unit risk frequency, unit initial high-risk security risk assessment, dynamic risk factor identification; unit risk is aggregated into enterprise risk. The invention improves the intrinsic safety level and safety management level of metal smelting enterprises, prevents major accidents, and reduces the harmful consequences of accidents.

专利申请CN112712903A公开了一种基于人机物三元空间协同感知的传染病监测方法。该方法包括:通过线上和线下结合的方式采集社会空间监测数据、信息空间监测数据和物理空间监测数据,构建三元空间数据集;对所述三元空间数据集进行处理,以提取传染病相关的关键词和分类,并对数据来源定位地理位置;建立监测预警模型,以分析不同时空范围内的传染病风险程度,并结合多种类型的风险特征因子进行疫情风险预警。该发明通过线上和线下结合的方式及时采集相关数据,通过完成时空覆盖和目标覆盖的协同感知,动态实时地监测传染病状态,能够准确、及时地进行传染病预警。Patent application CN112712903A discloses an infectious disease monitoring method based on human-machine-object ternary space collaborative perception. The method includes: collecting social space monitoring data, information space monitoring data and physical space monitoring data by combining online and offline methods to construct a ternary spatial data set; processing the ternary spatial data set to extract infection Disease-related keywords and classifications, and locate the geographic location of data sources; establish a monitoring and early warning model to analyze the degree of infectious disease risk in different time and space ranges, and combine various types of risk characteristic factors for epidemic risk early warning. The invention collects relevant data in a timely manner through a combination of online and offline methods, completes the coordinated perception of space-time coverage and target coverage, dynamically monitors the state of infectious diseases in real time, and can accurately and timely warn of infectious diseases.

专利CN111882830A公开了一种本发明公开了一种城市内涝监测预报预警方法、装置、系统及存储介质,所述方法包括:内涝监测设备监测积水水深数据;视频网关设备向云端服务器发送获取实测降雨数据请求并接收云端服务器发送的实测降雨数据;视频网关设备根据实测降雨数据和监测的积水水深数据,对当前内涝监测点进行内涝模拟边缘计算,得到预报最大积水深度,判断当前内涝监测点是否存在内涝风险,并将内涝风险判断结果反馈给云端服务器;若存在内涝风险,则进行现场抓拍,并向内涝预警设备发送预警指令,内涝预警设备显示报警信息。本发明通过前端的视频网关设备进行内涝模拟计算,提高了内涝预报预警的实时性,减轻了云端服务器计算的压力,降低了对通信带宽的要求。Patent CN111882830A discloses a method, device, system and storage medium for urban waterlogging monitoring, forecasting and early warning. The method includes: waterlogging monitoring equipment monitors water depth data; video gateway equipment sends to cloud server to obtain measured rainfall Data requests and receives the measured rainfall data sent by the cloud server; the video gateway device performs the edge calculation of the waterlogging simulation on the current waterlogging monitoring point according to the measured rainfall data and the monitored water depth data, obtains the forecast maximum water depth, and judges the current waterlogging monitoring point Whether there is a waterlogging risk, and feedback the result of the waterlogging risk judgment to the cloud server; if there is a waterlogging risk, take a snapshot of the scene, and send an early warning command to the waterlogging early warning device, which will display the alarm information. The invention performs the waterlogging simulation calculation through the front-end video gateway equipment, improves the real-time performance of the waterlogging forecast and early warning, reduces the pressure of cloud server calculation, and reduces the requirement for communication bandwidth.

专利CN110427406A公开了一种组织机构相关人员关系的挖掘方法及装置。所述方法包括:获取组织机构相关自然人及自然人所属组织机构的各维度数据信息集合;获取根据自然人姓名或其他属性信息聚类后的人员所属组织机构各维度的特征子集合;将同类自然人所属的组织机构进行组合,依据每个组合的相似性特征进行向量转化;根据相似性向量训练同名人分类模型,并使用模型预测分类结果;根据分类结果,合并同一自然人,聚合关联自然人、自然人所属组织机构和关联组织机构数据集合,生成组织机构相关人员关系结构。本发明实施例能够准确而直观的挖掘出不同组织机构相关人员的相互关系,从而满足了在孤立分散的组织机构相关人员间建立联系的需求。Patent CN110427406A discloses a method and device for mining the relationship between related personnel in an organization. The method includes: acquiring the data information sets of various dimensions of the natural persons related to the organization and the organizations to which the natural persons belong; acquiring the feature subsets of each dimension of the organizations to which the persons belong after being clustered according to the names of the natural persons or other attribute information; Organizations are combined, and vector transformation is performed according to the similarity characteristics of each combination; the same person classification model is trained according to the similarity vector, and the model is used to predict the classification results; according to the classification results, the same natural person is merged, and the related natural person and the organization to which the natural person belongs are aggregated And the associated organization data collection to generate the organization related personnel relationship structure. The embodiments of the present invention can accurately and intuitively dig out the mutual relationship between the relevant personnel of different organizations, thereby meeting the requirement of establishing connections between the relevant personnel of the isolated and scattered organizations.

可见,目前,在社区生活风险控制和预警领域方面,已经出现了不少现有技术,寄希望通过相关的监测系统获取信息,以便进行风险的快速处理,但是,还存在以下缺陷:It can be seen that at present, there are many existing technologies in the field of community life risk control and early warning. It is hoped that information can be obtained through the relevant monitoring system so as to quickly deal with risks. However, there are still the following defects:

1.在现有技术中,也存在对社区风险环境强化学习训练模型通常利用自身收集的数据进行学习、优化和控制,对数据的处理很少是跨部门进行风险因子进行知识协助,基本都是各管理部门依据各自的传感数据进行分析和判断并发现自己负责处理的风险和发现风险预警,但在现实中,通常对风险的预警需要各方面的风险因子综合考虑后才能做出准确的判断,因此,现有技术中的风险预警获取和判断方法并不准确;1. In the existing technology, there is also a reinforcement learning training model for community risk environment, which usually uses the data collected by itself for learning, optimization and control. The processing of data is rarely cross-departmental risk factor knowledge assistance, basically all Each management department analyzes and judges according to their own sensor data and discovers the risks that they are responsible for handling and discovers risk warnings. However, in reality, risk warnings usually require comprehensive consideration of various risk factors before making accurate judgments. , therefore, the risk early warning acquisition and judgment methods in the prior art are not accurate;

2.现有技术中,由于获取了多个部门获取的各自数据,当需要综合判断城市运营工作的风险或侦测风险时,如何对获取的各种风险参数数据进行各管理模块间的共享一种是个难题,特别是在各部门对风险预警后的处理和风险降低。但是现有技术中,由于各部门是分开的,因此风险处理协调困难,特别是需要处于依据对方提供的风险预警进行本管理部门的风险排查。2. In the prior art, since the respective data obtained by multiple departments are obtained, when it is necessary to comprehensively judge the risks of urban operation or detect risks, how to share the obtained various risk parameter data among various management modules? This is a difficult problem, especially in the processing and risk reduction after the risk warning is given by various departments. However, in the prior art, since each department is separated, it is difficult to coordinate the risk processing, especially the risk inspection of the management department needs to be carried out according to the risk warning provided by the other party.

现有技术中,没有对疾病治疗特别是传染性疾病的数据进行专门分析的系统,事实上,很多疾病特别是传染性疾病,通常最开始的爆发点是一个小的区域,具备集中、和病情特点,如果能在发现某个疾病存在集中、病情相同和增长异常时,及时发出风险预警,则可以更早阻止疾病的传播,并对该疾病进行清除,但现有技术中并无相关手段和机制。In the prior art, there is no special analysis system for disease treatment, especially infectious disease data. In fact, for many diseases, especially infectious diseases, the initial outbreak point is usually a small area. Characteristics, if a risk warning can be issued in time when a disease is found to be concentrated, the same condition, and abnormal growth, the spread of the disease can be prevented earlier, and the disease can be eliminated, but there are no relevant means and methods in the existing technology. mechanism.

面对上述技术问题,人们希望提供一种能够获取城市各项参数、形成同时检测多个风险因素的综合风险预警系统和预警方法,以便及时提供早期的风险预警和清楚风险。但到目前为止,现有技术中并无有效办法解决上述技术难题。Faced with the above technical problems, people hope to provide a comprehensive risk early warning system and early warning method that can obtain various parameters of the city and detect multiple risk factors at the same time, so as to provide early risk early warning and clear risks in time. But so far, there is no effective solution to the above technical problems in the prior art.

面对上述技术问题,希望提供一种基于神经网络与深度学习的跨域知识协助方法与系统,以解决上述技术问题。Facing the above technical problems, it is hoped to provide a cross-domain knowledge assistance method and system based on neural network and deep learning to solve the above technical problems.

发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

针对上述技术问题,本发明的目的在于提供一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统及风险预警方法,以解决上述背景技术中提出的问题。In view of the above technical problems, the purpose of the present invention is to provide a risk early warning system and a risk early warning method constructed based on a multi-factor model, so as to solve the problems raised in the above background technology.

为实现上述目的,本发明提供如下技术方案:To achieve the above object, the present invention provides the following technical solutions:

一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,包括综合评价评估平台、监视数据获取模块、数据存储模块、风险预警和展示模块和信息发布模块;所述综合评价评估平台分别和所述监视数据获取模块、数据存储模块、风险预警和展示模块和信息发布模块数据通信连接;A risk early-warning system based on a multi-factor model, comprising a comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform, a monitoring data acquisition module, a data storage module, a risk early-warning and display module, and an information release module; the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform is obtained from the monitoring data separately Data communication connection between modules, data storage modules, risk warning and display modules and information release modules;

其中,所述监视数据获取模块用于获取监视人员、监视区域的风险行为和潜在风险参数,获取到的多种类型的风险参数和风险行为构成了多维度的风险因素;Wherein, the monitoring data acquisition module is used to acquire the risk behaviors and potential risk parameters of the monitoring personnel and the monitoring area, and the obtained various types of risk parameters and risk behaviors constitute multi-dimensional risk factors;

所述综合评价评估平台基于监视数据获取模块获取的风险传感数据进行风险评估、风险预警和风险控制,所述综合评价评估平台包括多因素智能分析模块、实时风险预警模块和AI智能分析检测模块;The comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform performs risk evaluation, risk early warning and risk control based on the risk sensing data obtained by the monitoring data acquisition module, and the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform includes a multi-factor intelligent analysis module, a real-time risk early warning module and an AI intelligent analysis and detection module. ;

所述多因素智能分析模块基于构建的多因素智能化分析模型,找准全市重点人、重点单位,筛选出潜在隐患事件,实现由人工排摸变为全面感知;The multi-factor intelligent analysis module is based on the constructed multi-factor intelligent analysis model, identifies key people and key units in the city, screens out potential hidden danger events, and realizes the change from manual detection to comprehensive perception;

所述实时风险预警模块基于所述监视数据获取模块实时获取的风险传感数据,并发送至所述多因素智能分析模块结合其构建的所述多因素智能化分析模型进行数据查询分析,得出可能发生的风险类型、风险等级参数,并发送至所述风险预警和展示模块和信息发布模块;The real-time risk early warning module is based on the risk sensing data acquired in real time by the monitoring data acquisition module, and sends it to the multi-factor intelligent analysis module to perform data query and analysis in conjunction with the multi-factor intelligent analysis model constructed by the monitoring data acquisition module. The type of risk and risk level parameters that may occur, and sent to the risk warning and display module and information release module;

所述AI智能分析检测模块融合AI智能应用,基于储存于所述数据存储模块中的检测到的风险因素和存在的风险对应关系构成风险预警模型和风险区域,得出智能化分析模型;从而开展实施监测,并调整相应的所述监视数据获取模块的布置;The AI intelligent analysis and detection module integrates AI intelligent applications, and forms a risk early warning model and a risk area based on the detected risk factors and the existing risk correspondence stored in the data storage module, and obtains an intelligent analysis model; Implement monitoring, and adjust the corresponding arrangement of the monitoring data acquisition modules;

所述监视数据获取模块包括网络数据提取模块、街道安全模块、小区安全监视网模块、道路安全监视网模块和户政数据接口模块;The monitoring data acquisition module includes a network data extraction module, a street safety module, a community safety monitoring network module, a road safety monitoring network module and a household administration data interface module;

所述网络数据提取模块用于获取互联网络上发布新闻和事件,以便提取对社区构成风险的风险因子;所述街道安全模块为设置于政府管理部门已经设置的街道安全摄像模块,以便提供对社街道成风险的风险因子;所述小区安全监视网模块为设置于小区的安全监视视频系统,通过所述小区的安全监视视频系统获取的监视图像以便提供对社区构成风险的风险因子;所述道路安全监视网模块为设置于道路用于检测道路车辆的视频监视系统,从而提供道路上的车辆、路况的数据,形成道路上的风险因子;所述户政数据接口模块用于获取人口的户政数据,以便提供居住人口的户政风险因素;The network data extraction module is used to obtain news and events published on the Internet, so as to extract risk factors that pose risks to the community; The street becomes a risk factor of risk; the community security surveillance network module is a security surveillance video system set up in the community, and the surveillance images obtained by the security surveillance video system of the community are used to provide a risk factor that poses a risk to the community; the road The security monitoring network module is a video monitoring system installed on the road for detecting road vehicles, thereby providing data on vehicles and road conditions on the road to form risk factors on the road; the household registration data interface module is used to obtain the household registration of the population. data to provide household registration risk factors for the resident population;

所述数据存储模块用于存储所述监视数据获取模块获取的多维度的风险因素;所述风险预警和展示模块用于展示所述综合评价评估平台分析出的风险,并向管理部门发出风险预警;所述信息发布模块用于对所述综合评价评估平台分析出的风险进行发布风险预警;The data storage module is used to store the multi-dimensional risk factors obtained by the monitoring data acquisition module; the risk warning and display module is used to display the risks analyzed by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform, and issue a risk warning to the management department ; The information release module is used to issue a risk warning for the risk analyzed by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform;

所述风险预警系统在运行进行风险预警时,所述网络数据提取模块、街道安全模块、小区安全监视网模块、道路安全监视网模块和户政数据接口模块分别获取各类风险因素,并存储于所述数据存储模块;When the risk early warning system is running for risk early warning, the network data extraction module, the street safety module, the community safety monitoring network module, the road safety monitoring network module and the household registration data interface module respectively obtain various risk factors and store them in the the data storage module;

所述综合评价评估平台的实时风险预警模块、多因素智能分析模块和AI智能分析检测模块基于存储于所述数据存储模块进行大数据分析,得出实时风险预警数据和社会治安数据,并将得出所述风险预警数据发送至所述信息发布模块,所述信息发布模块将所述风险预警数据发送给相应区域的监管责任部门和社区生活人员,以便及时应对,同时所述风险预警和展示模块用于给监管调度部门展示,以便和所述相应区域的监管部门、责任部门安排风险处理工作,和调整相应的风险监管责任部门、的工作人员数量。The real-time risk early-warning module, multi-factor intelligent analysis module and AI intelligent analysis and detection module of the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform perform big data analysis based on the data stored in the data storage module to obtain real-time risk early-warning data and social security data. The risk warning data is sent to the information release module, and the information release module sends the risk warning data to the supervisory responsible department and community life personnel in the corresponding area for timely response. At the same time, the risk warning and display module It is used to show it to the supervision and dispatch department, so as to arrange the risk handling work with the supervision department and the responsible department in the corresponding area, and adjust the number of staff of the corresponding risk supervision department and the responsible department.

优选的,所述风险预警系统还包括群众用户端,所述群众用户端能够是APP的形式或微信小程序的形式呈现,所述群众用户端和所述监视数据获取模块数据通信连接,从而群众能够通过所述群众用户端上报风险数据至所述监视数据获取模块,并存储至于所述数据存储模块,所述综合评价评估平台基于所述存储于所述数据存储模块进行大数据分析,得出实时风险和社会治安数据。Preferably, the risk early warning system further includes a mass user terminal, the mass user terminal can be presented in the form of an APP or a WeChat applet, and the mass user terminal is connected with the monitoring data acquisition module in data communication, so that the mass user terminal is connected by data communication. The risk data can be reported to the monitoring data acquisition module through the mass user terminal, and stored in the data storage module. Real-time risk and social policing data.

优选的,官方用户端配置有官方的官方账号,被配备给党群机关及社区工作人员使用,当需要将官方的信息及时发出时,通过选择广播模式,将政府的官方信息和风险信息发送给所有用户声音传递到千家万户。Preferably, the official user terminal is equipped with an official official account, which is used by party and mass organs and community staff. When the official information needs to be sent out in time, the official information and risk information of the government can be sent to the public by selecting the broadcast mode. All user voices are delivered to thousands of households.

优选的,所述监视数据获取模块还包括医务治疗数据获取模块,所述医务治疗数据获取模块获取社区医院的医务治疗数据,并存储于所述数据存储模块,所述AI智能分析检测模块基于获取医务治疗数据,利用存储在所述数据存储模块中已有的历史医务治疗数据,分析出该区域疾病治疗模型,该疾病治疗模型为一个包括治疗医院、疾病类型、疾病人员数量和疾病人员年龄的疾病治疗模型,并将该疾病治疗模型提供给所述实时风险预警模块,从而所述实时风险预警模块基于实时获得的治疗患者的治疗医院、疾病类型、疾病人员数量和疾病人员年龄和疾病治疗模型进行数据比较,从而分析出出现异常的治疗医院、疾病类型、疾病人员增加速度和疾病人员的年龄,并提供给响应疾病治疗领域的专家,以便及时判断疾病的传播特点、疾病的爆发地,以便及时阻断疾病的发展,提供疾病风险预警。Preferably, the monitoring data acquisition module further includes a medical treatment data acquisition module, the medical treatment data acquisition module acquires the medical treatment data of the community hospital and stores it in the data storage module, and the AI intelligent analysis and detection module is based on the acquisition For medical treatment data, use the existing historical medical treatment data stored in the data storage module to analyze the disease treatment model in the region, and the disease treatment model is a disease treatment model including the treatment hospital, the type of disease, the number of patients with the disease, and the age of the diseased personnel. A disease treatment model, and the disease treatment model is provided to the real-time risk early warning module, so that the real-time risk early warning module is based on the treatment hospital, the type of disease, the number of patients with the disease, the age of the patient and the disease treatment model obtained in real time. Data comparison is performed to analyze abnormal treatment hospitals, disease types, rate of increase in disease personnel, and age of disease personnel, and provide it to experts in the field of disease response treatment, so as to timely determine the transmission characteristics of the disease and the outbreak of the disease, so as to Block the development of diseases in a timely manner and provide early warning of disease risks.

优选的,各城市负责管理部门都设置有相应的风险预警接收和调度模块,所述风险预警接收和调度模块在接收到所述综合评价评估平台发出风险预警和风险类型时,所述城市负责管理部门基于自己的责任完成相应的风险排查工作或接收到的所述综合评价评估平台发出的风险处理的调度指令时进度风险处理。Preferably, each city responsible management department is provided with a corresponding risk early warning receiving and dispatching module. When the risk early warning receiving and dispatching module receives the risk early warning and risk type issued by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform, the city is responsible for the management The department completes the corresponding risk investigation work based on its own responsibility or progresses the risk processing when it receives the scheduling instruction for risk processing issued by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform.

优选的,所述风险预警和展示模块还包括风险处理调度模块,在所述综合评价评估平台在监测到风险时,向所述风险预警和展示模块发出风险预警,当需要多个城市负责管理部门联合处理消除该风险时,所述风险处理调度模块协调各城市负责管理部门进行风险降低和消除;并且,在负责消除或降低该风险的城市负责管理部门无法单独完成该风险降低或消除工作,通过所述风险处理调度模块向其他城市负责管理部门发出风险消除或降低协助请求,从而实现风险指挥和调度工作。Preferably, the risk early warning and display module further includes a risk processing and scheduling module, when the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform detects a risk, it sends a risk early warning to the risk early warning and display module. When multiple cities are required to be responsible for the management department When the risk is eliminated by joint processing, the risk processing scheduling module coordinates the management departments in each city to reduce and eliminate the risk; and, if the city responsible for eliminating or reducing the risk cannot complete the risk reduction or elimination work alone, through The risk processing and dispatching module sends out a risk elimination or reduction assistance request to the responsible management departments of other cities, so as to realize risk command and dispatch work.

优选的,所述风险预警系统还包括设置重点监视事件、重点监视区域和重点监视人员的过程,通过预先确定的重点监视事件、重点监视区域和重点监视人员,在所述重点监视事件、重点监视区域和重点监视人员所处的区域设置相应的所述监视数据获取模块,以便获取所述多维度的风险因素,从而对所述重点区域进行监视,以便更快的发现风险。Preferably, the risk early warning system further includes a process of setting key monitoring events, key monitoring areas and key monitoring personnel, through predetermined key monitoring events, key monitoring areas and key monitoring personnel, in the key monitoring events, key monitoring areas and key monitoring personnel The corresponding monitoring data acquisition module is set in the area and the area where the key monitoring personnel are located, so as to obtain the multi-dimensional risk factors, so as to monitor the key area, so as to discover risks more quickly.

优选的,所述风险预警和展示模块包括分别设置于中心调度部门和各基层管理部门的风险处理调度模块,所述中心调度部门分别和各基层管理部门之间实现数据通信连接和指挥调度,各基层管理部门之间实现通信连接和指挥调度,从而建立纵向贯通、横向联通的综合指挥调度体系。Preferably, the risk early warning and display module includes risk processing and dispatching modules respectively set in the central dispatching department and each grass-roots management department. Communication connection and command and dispatch are realized between grass-roots management departments, so as to establish a comprehensive command and dispatch system with vertical and horizontal connectivity.

另外一方面,本申请还提供一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警方法,包括基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,其特征在于,包括如下步骤:On the other hand, the present application also provides a risk early warning method constructed based on a multi-factor model, including a risk early-warning system constructed based on the multi-factor model, characterized in that it includes the following steps:

步骤S1,所述风险预警系统在运行时,所述网络数据提取模块、街道安全模块、小区安全监视网模块、道路安全监视网模块和户政数据接口模块分别获取监视人员、监视区域的风险行为和潜在风险参数,获取到的多种类型的风险参数和风险行为构成了多维度的风险因素,并存储于所述数据存储模块;Step S1, when the risk early warning system is running, the network data extraction module, the street safety module, the community safety monitoring network module, the road safety monitoring network module and the household registration data interface module respectively obtain the risk behaviors of the monitoring personnel and the monitoring area. and potential risk parameters, the obtained various types of risk parameters and risk behaviors constitute multi-dimensional risk factors and are stored in the data storage module;

步骤S2,所述综合评价评估平台基于监视数据获取模块获取的风险传感数据进行风险评估、风险预警和风险控制,具体地,所述AI智能分析检测模块融合AI智能应用,基于储存于所述数据存储模块中的检测到的风险因素和存在的风险对应关系构成风险预警模型和风险区域,得出智能化分析模型;从而在开展实施监测,并调整相应的所述监视数据获取模块的布置;In step S2, the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform performs risk evaluation, risk early warning and risk control based on the risk sensing data obtained by the monitoring data acquisition module. The detected risk factors and the existing risk correspondences in the data storage module constitute a risk early warning model and a risk area, and an intelligent analysis model is obtained; so as to carry out monitoring and adjust the layout of the corresponding monitoring data acquisition module;

步骤S3,所述多因素智能分析模块基于构建的多因素智能化分析模型,找准全市重点人、重点单位,筛选出潜在隐患事件,实现由人工排摸变为全面感知;Step S3, the multi-factor intelligent analysis module, based on the constructed multi-factor intelligent analysis model, identifies key persons and key units in the city, screens out potential hidden danger events, and realizes the change from manual scouting to comprehensive perception;

步骤S4,所述实时风险预警模块基于所述监视数据获取模块实时获取的风险传感数据,并发送至所述多因素智能分析模块结合其构建的所述多因素智能化分析模型进行数据查询分析,得出可能发生的风险类型、风险等级参数,并发送至所述风险预警和展示模块和信息发布模块;Step S4, the real-time risk early warning module sends to the multi-factor intelligent analysis module combined with the multi-factor intelligent analysis model constructed by the monitoring data acquisition module based on the risk sensing data acquired in real time by the monitoring data acquisition module for data query and analysis. , obtain the possible risk types and risk level parameters, and send them to the risk warning and display module and information release module;

步骤S5,所述风险预警和展示模块展示所述综合评价评估平台分析出的风险,并向管理部门发出风险预警;所述信息发布模块对所述综合评价评估平台分析出的风险进行发布风险预警;Step S5, the risk early warning and display module displays the risk analyzed by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform, and issues a risk early warning to the management department; the information release module issues a risk early warning for the risk analyzed by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform. ;

步骤S6,时所述风险预警和展示模块用于给监管调度部门展示,以便和所述相应区域的监管部门、责任部门安排风险处理工作,和调整相应的风险监管责任部门、的工作人员数量。In step S6, the risk early warning and display module is used to display to the supervision and dispatch department, so as to arrange risk handling work with the supervision department and the responsible department in the corresponding area, and adjust the number of staff of the corresponding risk supervision department and the responsible department.

优选的,所述风险预警和展示模块包括分别设置于中心调度部门和各基层管理部门的风险处理调度模块,所述中心调度部门分别和各基层管理部门之间实现数据通信连接和指挥调度,各基层管理部门之间实现通信连接和指挥调度,从而建立纵向贯通、横向联通的综合指挥调度体系。Preferably, the risk early warning and display module includes risk processing and dispatching modules respectively set in the central dispatching department and each grass-roots management department. Communication connection and command and dispatch are realized between grass-roots management departments, so as to establish a comprehensive command and dispatch system with vertical and horizontal connectivity.

与现有技术相比,本发明的有益效果是:Compared with the prior art, the beneficial effects of the present invention are:

1、本发明的基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统及风险预警方法,本申请中,采用多学科综合模型构建的原理,对获取的风险因子多个管理部门的风险预警系统进行综合共享管理,从而从多个维度的数据中去分析风险,使得风险分析和风险预警更加准确。1. The risk early-warning system and risk early-warning method constructed based on the multi-factor model of the present invention, in this application, the principle of multi-disciplinary comprehensive model construction is adopted to comprehensively share and manage the risk early-warning systems of multiple management departments of the acquired risk factors, Thereby, the risk is analyzed from the data of multiple dimensions, which makes the risk analysis and risk early warning more accurate.

、本发明的基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统及风险预警方法,实现综合协调部门和各基层部门进行风险消除和降低的纵向连通和横向连通,从而实现风险消除和降低的综合协调部门直接下达管理命令,和不同部门之间的协调,减层级、简流程,实现日常管理效率提升、应急指挥统一联动和社会治理方式优化。, The risk early-warning system and risk early-warning method constructed based on the multi-factor model of the present invention realize the vertical and horizontal connection of the comprehensive coordination department and each grass-roots department to eliminate and reduce risks, so that the comprehensive coordination department for risk elimination and reduction can directly issue Management orders, coordination between different departments, reducing levels and simplifying processes, to improve daily management efficiency, unified linkage of emergency command and optimization of social governance methods.

、本发明的基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统及风险预警方法,本申请利用医务治疗数据获取模块获取各治疗医院的治疗疾病类型、疾病人员数量和疾病人员年龄,并通过智能分析得出疾病治疗模型,同时实时获取相应的治疗数据,在治疗医院、疾病类型、疾病人员数量和疾病人员年龄出现异常时,及时提供给响应疾病治疗领域的专家,以便及时判断疾病的传播特点、疾病的爆发地,以便及时阻断疾病的发展,提供疾病风险预警。, The risk early-warning system and risk early-warning method based on the multi-factor model construction of the present invention, the application uses the medical treatment data acquisition module to obtain the type of treatment disease, the number of patients with the disease and the age of the patient in each treatment hospital, and obtains the disease through intelligent analysis. The treatment model and the corresponding treatment data are obtained in real time. When there is an abnormality in the treatment hospital, disease type, number of patients with the disease, and age of the patients with the disease, it will be provided to experts in the field of disease treatment in a timely manner, so as to timely judge the transmission characteristics of the disease and the outbreak of the disease. In order to timely block the development of the disease and provide early warning of disease risk.

附图说明Description of drawings

图1为本发明的整体结构示意图;Fig. 1 is the overall structure schematic diagram of the present invention;

图2为本发明的综合评价评估平台的数据流程结构示意图;2 is a schematic diagram of the data flow structure of the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform of the present invention;

图3本发明的监视数据获取模块的数据流程结构示意图。FIG. 3 is a schematic diagram of the data flow structure of the monitoring data acquisition module of the present invention.

图中:1、综合评价评估平台;2、监视数据获取模块;3、数据存储模块;4、风险预警和展示模块;5、信息发布模块;6、多因素智能分析模块;7、实时风险预警模块;8、AI智能分析检测模块;9、网络数据提取模块;10、街道安全模块;11、小区安全监视网模块;12、道路安全监视网模块;13、户政数据接口模块;14、医务治疗数据获取模块;15、官方用户端;16、群众用户端;17、风险处理调度模块。In the figure: 1. Comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform; 2. Monitoring data acquisition module; 3. Data storage module; 4. Risk warning and display module; 5. Information release module; 6. Multi-factor intelligent analysis module; 7. Real-time risk warning Module; 8. AI intelligent analysis and detection module; 9. Network data extraction module; 10. Street safety module; 11. Community safety monitoring network module; 12. Road safety monitoring network module; 13. Household administration data interface module; 14. Medical Treatment data acquisition module; 15. Official client; 16. Mass client; 17. Risk processing scheduling module.

具体实施方式Detailed ways

下面将结合本发明实施例中的附图,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the accompanying drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, but not all of the embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by those of ordinary skill in the art without creative efforts shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.

具体实施例一:Specific embodiment one:

1.一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,包括综合评价评估平台1、监视数据获取模块2、数据存储模块3、风险预警和展示模块4和信息发布模块5;所述综合评价评估平台1分别和所述监视数据获取模块2、数据存储模块3、风险预警和展示模块4和信息发布模块5数据通信连接;1. A risk early warning system based on a multi-factor model, comprising a comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform 1, a monitoring data acquisition module 2, a data storage module 3, a risk early warning and display module 4 and an information release module 5; the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform 1 is respectively With the monitoring data acquisition module 2, data storage module 3, risk warning and display module 4 and information release module 5 data communication connection;

其中,所述监视数据获取模块2用于获取监视人员、监视区域的风险行为和潜在风险参数,获取到的多种类型的风险参数和风险行为构成了多维度的风险因素;Wherein, the monitoring data acquisition module 2 is used to acquire the risk behaviors and potential risk parameters of the monitoring personnel and the monitoring area, and the obtained various types of risk parameters and risk behaviors constitute multi-dimensional risk factors;

所述综合评价评估平台1基于监视数据获取模块2获取的风险传感数据进行风险评估、风险预警和风险控制,所述综合评价评估平台1包括多因素智能分析模块6、实时风险预警模块7和AI智能分析检测模块8;The comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform 1 performs risk evaluation, risk early warning and risk control based on the risk sensing data obtained by the monitoring data acquisition module 2, and the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform 1 includes a multi-factor intelligent analysis module 6, a real-time risk early warning module 7 and AI intelligent analysis and detection module 8;

所述多因素智能分析模块6基于构建的多因素智能化分析模型,找准全市重点人、重点单位,筛选出潜在隐患事件,实现由人工排摸变为全面感知;The multi-factor intelligent analysis module 6 is based on the constructed multi-factor intelligent analysis model to identify key people and key units in the city, screen out potential hidden danger events, and realize the change from manual detection to comprehensive perception;

所述实时风险预警模块7基于所述监视数据获取模块2实时获取的风险传感数据,并发送至所述多因素智能分析模块6结合其构建的所述多因素智能化分析模型进行数据查询分析,得出可能发生的风险类型、风险等级参数,并发送至所述风险预警和展示模块4和信息发布模块5;The real-time risk early warning module 7 is based on the risk sensing data acquired in real time by the monitoring data acquisition module 2, and is sent to the multi-factor intelligent analysis module 6 to perform data query analysis in conjunction with the multi-factor intelligent analysis model constructed by it. , obtain the risk type and risk level parameters that may occur, and send them to the risk warning and display module 4 and the information release module 5;

所述AI智能分析检测模块8融合AI智能应用,基于储存于所述数据存储模块3中的检测到的风险因素和存在的风险对应关系构成风险预警模型和风险区域,得出智能化分析模型;从而开展实施监测,并调整相应的所述监视数据获取模块2的布置;The AI intelligent analysis and detection module 8 integrates AI intelligent applications, and forms a risk early warning model and a risk area based on the detected risk factors and the existing risk correspondence stored in the data storage module 3, and obtains an intelligent analysis model; Thereby, the implementation monitoring is carried out, and the arrangement of the corresponding monitoring data acquisition module 2 is adjusted;

所述监视数据获取模块2包括网络数据提取模块9、街道安全模块10、小区安全监视网模块11、道路安全监视网模块12和户政数据接口模块13;The monitoring data acquisition module 2 includes a network data extraction module 9, a street safety module 10, a community safety monitoring network module 11, a road safety monitoring network module 12 and a household administration data interface module 13;

所述网络数据提取模块9用于获取互联网络上发布新闻和事件,以便提取对社区构成风险的风险因子;所述街道安全模块10为设置于政府管理部门已经设置的街道安全摄像模块,以便提供对社街道成风险的风险因子;所述小区安全监视网模块11为设置于小区的安全监视视频系统,通过所述小区的安全监视视频系统获取的监视图像以便提供对社区构成风险的风险因子;所述道路安全监视网模块12为设置于道路用于检测道路车辆的视频监视系统,从而提供道路上的车辆、路况的数据,形成道路上的风险因子;所述户政数据接口模块13用于获取人口的户政数据,以便提供居住人口的户政风险因素;The network data extraction module 9 is used to obtain news and events published on the Internet, so as to extract risk factors that pose risks to the community; The risk factor of forming a risk to the community; the community security monitoring network module 11 is a security monitoring video system arranged in the community, and the monitoring image obtained by the security monitoring video system of the community is so as to provide a risk factor that poses a risk to the community; The road safety monitoring network module 12 is a video monitoring system installed on the road for detecting road vehicles, thereby providing data on vehicles and road conditions on the road to form risk factors on the road; the household registration data interface module 13 is used for. Obtain household registration data on the population in order to provide household registration risk factors for the resident population;

所述数据存储模块3用于存储所述监视数据获取模块2获取的多维度的风险因素;所述风险预警和展示模块4用于展示所述综合评价评估平台1分析出的风险,并向管理部门发出风险预警;所述信息发布模块5用于对所述综合评价评估平台1分析出的风险进行发布风险预警;The data storage module 3 is used to store the multi-dimensional risk factors obtained by the monitoring data acquisition module 2; the risk early warning and display module 4 is used to display the risk analyzed by the comprehensive evaluation platform 1 and report it to the management. The department issues a risk warning; the information release module 5 is used to issue a risk warning for the risk analyzed by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform 1;

所述风险预警系统在运行进行风险预警时,所述网络数据提取模块9、街道安全模块10、小区安全监视网模块11、道路安全监视网模块12和户政数据接口模块13分别获取各类风险因素,并存储于所述数据存储模块3;When the risk early warning system is running for risk early warning, the network data extraction module 9, the street safety module 10, the community safety monitoring network module 11, the road safety monitoring network module 12 and the household registration data interface module 13 respectively obtain various risks. factor, and stored in the data storage module 3;

所述综合评价评估平台1的实时风险预警模块7、多因素智能分析模块6和AI智能分析检测模块8基于存储于所述数据存储模块3进行大数据分析,得出实时风险预警数据和社会治安数据,并将得出所述风险预警数据发送至所述信息发布模块5,所述信息发布模块5将所述风险预警数据发送给相应区域的监管责任部门和社区生活人员,以便及时应对,同时所述风险预警和展示模块4用于给监管调度部门展示,以便和所述相应区域的监管部门、责任部门安排风险处理工作,和调整相应的风险监管责任部门、的工作人员数量。The real-time risk early warning module 7, the multi-factor intelligent analysis module 6 and the AI intelligent analysis detection module 8 of the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform 1 perform big data analysis based on the data storage module 3, and obtain real-time risk early warning data and social security. data, and send the risk warning data to the information release module 5, and the information release module 5 sends the risk warning data to the supervisory responsible department and community life personnel in the corresponding area, so as to respond in time, and at the same time The risk early warning and display module 4 is used to display to the supervision and dispatch department, so as to arrange risk handling work with the supervision department and the responsible department in the corresponding area, and adjust the number of staff of the corresponding risk supervision department and the responsible department.

优选的,所述风险预警系统还包括群众用户端16,所述群众用户端16能够是APP的形式或微信小程序的形式呈现,所述群众用户端16和所述监视数据获取模块2数据通信连接,从而群众能够通过所述群众用户端16上报风险数据至所述监视数据获取模块2,并存储至于所述数据存储模块3,所述综合评价评估平台1基于所述存储于所述数据存储模块3进行大数据分析,得出实时风险和社会治安数据。Preferably, the risk early warning system further includes a mass user terminal 16, which can be presented in the form of an APP or a WeChat applet, and the mass user terminal 16 communicates with the monitoring data acquisition module 2 in data communication. connection, so that the masses can report the risk data to the monitoring data acquisition module 2 through the masses user terminal 16, and store it in the data storage module 3, and the comprehensive evaluation platform 1 is based on the data stored in the data storage Module 3 conducts big data analysis to obtain real-time risk and social security data.

优选的,官方用户端15配置有官方的官方账号,其和所述风险预警系统通信连接,被配备给党群机关及社区工作人员使用,当需要将官方的信息及时发出时,通过选择广播模式,将政府的官方信息和风险信息发送给所有用户声音传递到千家万户。Preferably, the official user terminal 15 is configured with an official official account, which is connected to the risk early warning system in communication, and is used by party and mass organs and community staff. When the official information needs to be sent in time, the broadcast mode is selected by , to send the government's official information and risk information to all users' voices to thousands of households.

优选的,所述监视数据获取模块2还包括医务治疗数据获取模块14,所述医务治疗数据获取模块14获取社区医院的医务治疗数据,并存储于所述数据存储模块3,所述AI智能分析检测模块8基于获取医务治疗数据,利用存储在所述数据存储模块3中已有的历史医务治疗数据,分析出该区域疾病治疗模型,该疾病治疗模型为一个包括治疗医院、疾病类型、疾病人员数量和疾病人员年龄的疾病治疗模型,并将该疾病治疗模型提供给所述实时风险预警模块7,从而所述实时风险预警模块7基于实时获得的治疗患者的治疗医院、疾病类型、疾病人员数量和疾病人员年龄和疾病治疗模型进行数据比较,从而分析出出现异常的治疗医院、疾病类型、疾病人员增加速度和疾病人员的年龄,并提供给响应疾病治疗领域的专家,以便及时判断疾病的传播特点、疾病的爆发地,以便及时阻断疾病的发展,提供疾病风险预警。Preferably, the monitoring data acquisition module 2 further includes a medical treatment data acquisition module 14, and the medical treatment data acquisition module 14 acquires the medical treatment data of the community hospital and stores it in the data storage module 3, and the AI intelligent analysis The detection module 8 is based on the acquisition of medical treatment data, and utilizes the existing historical medical treatment data stored in the data storage module 3 to analyze the disease treatment model of the region, which is a disease treatment model that includes treatment hospitals, disease types, and disease personnel. The disease treatment model of the number and the age of the sick person, and the disease treatment model is provided to the real-time risk early warning module 7, so that the real-time risk early warning module 7 is based on the treatment hospital, the type of disease, and the number of patients with the disease obtained in real time. Compare the data with the age of the diseased person and the disease treatment model, so as to analyze the abnormal treatment hospital, the type of disease, the rate of increase of the diseased person and the age of the diseased person, and provide it to experts in the field of response to disease treatment, so as to judge the spread of the disease in time characteristics, and the outbreak place of the disease, so as to block the development of the disease in time and provide early warning of disease risk.

优选的,各城市负责管理部门都设置有相应的风险预警接收和调度模块17,所述风险预警接收和调度模块17在接收到所述综合评价评估平台1发出风险预警和风险类型时,所述城市负责管理部门基于自己的责任完成相应的风险排查工作或接收到的所述综合评价评估平台1发出的风险处理的调度指令时进度风险处理。Preferably, each city responsible management department is provided with a corresponding risk early warning receiving and dispatching module 17. When the risk early warning receiving and dispatching module 17 receives a risk early warning and a risk type issued by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform 1, the risk early warning receiving and dispatching module 17 The city responsible management department completes the corresponding risk investigation work based on its own responsibility or progresses the risk processing when it receives the risk processing scheduling instruction issued by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform 1 .

优选的,所述风险预警和展示模块4还包括风险处理调度模块17,在所述综合评价评估平台1在监测到风险时,向所述风险预警和展示模块4发出风险预警,当需要多个城市负责管理部门联合处理消除该风险时,所述风险处理调度模块17协调各城市负责管理部门进行风险降低和消除;并且,在负责消除或降低该风险的城市负责管理部门无法单独完成该风险降低或消除工作,通过所述风险处理调度模块17向其他城市负责管理部门发出风险消除或降低协助请求,从而实现风险指挥和调度工作。Preferably, the risk early warning and display module 4 further includes a risk processing and scheduling module 17, when the comprehensive evaluation platform 1 monitors a risk, it sends a risk early warning to the risk early warning and display module 4. When multiple When the city responsible management departments jointly process and eliminate the risk, the risk processing and scheduling module 17 coordinates the city responsible management departments to reduce and eliminate the risk; and, the city responsible management department responsible for eliminating or reducing the risk cannot complete the risk reduction alone Or eliminate work, through the risk processing and dispatching module 17 to send a risk elimination or reduction assistance request to the responsible management department of other cities, so as to realize risk command and dispatch work.

优选的,所述风险预警系统还包括设置重点监视事件、重点监视区域和重点监视人员的过程,通过预先确定的重点监视事件、重点监视区域和重点监视人员,在所述重点监视事件、重点监视区域和重点监视人员所处的区域设置相应的所述监视数据获取模块2,以便获取所述多维度的风险因素,从而对所述重点区域进行监视,以便更快的发现风险。Preferably, the risk early warning system further includes a process of setting key monitoring events, key monitoring areas and key monitoring personnel, through predetermined key monitoring events, key monitoring areas and key monitoring personnel, in the key monitoring events, key monitoring areas and key monitoring personnel The corresponding monitoring data acquisition module 2 is set in the area and the area where the key monitoring personnel are located, so as to obtain the multi-dimensional risk factors, so as to monitor the key area, so as to discover risks more quickly.

优选的,所述风险预警和展示模块4包括分别设置于中心调度部门和各基层管理部门的风险处理调度模块17,所述中心调度部门分别和各基层管理部门之间实现数据通信连接和指挥调度,各基层管理部门之间实现通信连接和指挥调度,从而建立纵向贯通、横向联通的综合指挥调度体系。Preferably, the risk early warning and display module 4 includes risk processing and dispatching modules 17 respectively arranged in the central dispatching department and each grass-roots management department, and the central dispatching department and each grass-roots management department realize data communication connection and command dispatching respectively , to realize communication connection and command and dispatch among the grass-roots management departments, so as to establish a comprehensive command and dispatch system with vertical connection and horizontal connection.

具体实施例二:Specific embodiment two:

一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警方法,包括基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,其特征在于,包括如下步骤:A risk early warning method constructed based on a multi-factor model, including a risk early-warning system constructed based on the multi-factor model, characterized in that it includes the following steps:

步骤S1,所述风险预警系统在运行时,所述网络数据提取模块9、街道安全模块10、小区安全监视网模块11、道路安全监视网模块12和户政数据接口模块13分别获取监视人员、监视区域的风险行为和潜在风险参数,获取到的多种类型的风险参数和风险行为构成了多维度的风险因素,并存储于所述数据存储模块3;Step S1, when the risk early warning system is running, the network data extraction module 9, the street safety module 10, the community safety monitoring network module 11, the road safety monitoring network module 12 and the household registration data interface module 13 obtain the monitoring personnel, Monitoring the risk behaviors and potential risk parameters of the area, the obtained various types of risk parameters and risk behaviors constitute multi-dimensional risk factors, and are stored in the data storage module 3;

步骤S2,所述综合评价评估平台1基于监视数据获取模块2获取的风险传感数据进行风险评估、风险预警和风险控制,具体地,所述AI智能分析检测模块8融合AI智能应用,基于储存于所述数据存储模块3中的检测到的风险因素和存在的风险对应关系构成风险预警模型和风险区域,得出智能化分析模型;从而开展实施监测,并调整相应的所述监视数据获取模块2的布置;Step S2, the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform 1 performs risk evaluation, risk early warning and risk control based on the risk sensing data obtained by the monitoring data acquisition module 2. Specifically, the AI intelligent analysis and detection module 8 integrates AI intelligent applications, based on storage The detected risk factors and the existing risk correspondences in the data storage module 3 constitute a risk early warning model and a risk area, and an intelligent analysis model is obtained; thereby carrying out monitoring, and adjusting the corresponding monitoring data acquisition module 2 arrangement;

步骤S3,所述多因素智能分析模块6基于构建的多因素智能化分析模型,找准全市重点人、重点单位,筛选出潜在隐患事件,实现由人工排摸变为全面感知;Step S3, the multi-factor intelligent analysis module 6, based on the constructed multi-factor intelligent analysis model, identifies key persons and key units in the city, and screens out potential hidden danger events, so as to realize the change from manual detection to comprehensive perception;

步骤S4,所述实时风险预警模块7基于所述监视数据获取模块2实时获取的风险传感数据,并发送至所述多因素智能分析模块6结合其构建的所述多因素智能化分析模型进行数据查询分析,得出可能发生的风险类型、风险等级参数,并发送至所述风险预警和展示模块4和信息发布模块5;Step S4, the real-time risk early warning module 7 is based on the risk sensing data acquired by the monitoring data acquisition module 2 in real time, and sends it to the multi-factor intelligent analysis module 6 in conjunction with the multi-factor intelligent analysis model constructed by it. Data query and analysis to obtain possible risk types and risk level parameters, and send them to the risk warning and display module 4 and the information release module 5;

步骤S5,所述风险预警和展示模块4展示所述综合评价评估平台1分析出的风险,并向管理部门发出风险预警;所述信息发布模块5对所述综合评价评估平台1分析出的风险进行发布风险预警;Step S5, the risk warning and display module 4 displays the risk analyzed by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform 1, and issues a risk early warning to the management department; the information release module 5 analyzes the risk of the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform 1. Issue risk warnings;

步骤S6,时所述风险预警和展示模块4用于给监管调度部门展示,以便和所述相应区域的监管部门、责任部门安排风险处理工作,和调整相应的风险监管责任部门、的工作人员数量。In step S6, the risk warning and display module 4 is used to display to the supervision and dispatch department, so as to arrange the risk handling work with the supervision department and the responsible department in the corresponding area, and adjust the number of staff of the corresponding risk supervision department and the responsible department. .

优选的,所述风险预警和展示模块4包括分别设置于中心调度部门和各基层管理部门的风险处理调度模块17,所述中心调度部门分别和各基层管理部门之间实现数据通信连接和指挥调度,各基层管理部门之间实现通信连接和指挥调度,从而建立纵向贯通、横向联通的综合指挥调度体系。Preferably, the risk early warning and display module 4 includes risk processing and dispatching modules 17 respectively arranged in the central dispatching department and each grass-roots management department, and the central dispatching department and each grass-roots management department realize data communication connection and command dispatching respectively , to realize communication connection and command and dispatch among the grass-roots management departments, so as to establish a comprehensive command and dispatch system with vertical connection and horizontal connection.

需要说明的是,在本文中,诸如第一和第二等之类的关系术语仅仅用来将一个实体或者操作与另一个实体或操作区分开来,而不一定要求或者暗示这些实体或操作之间存在任何这种实际的关系或者顺序。而且,术语“包括”、“包含”或者其任何其他变体意在涵盖非排他性的包含,从而使得包括一系列要素的过程、方法、物品或者设备不仅包括那些要素,而且还包括没有明确列出的其他要素,或者是还包括为这种过程、方法、物品或者设备所固有的要素。It should be noted that, in this document, relational terms such as first and second are only used to distinguish one entity or operation from another entity or operation, and do not necessarily require or imply any relationship between these entities or operations. any such actual relationship or sequence exists. Moreover, the terms "comprising", "comprising" or any other variation thereof are intended to encompass a non-exclusive inclusion such that a process, method, article or device that includes a list of elements includes not only those elements, but also includes not explicitly listed or other elements inherent to such a process, method, article or apparatus.

尽管已经示出和描述了本发明的实施例,对于本领域的普通技术人员而言,可以理解在不脱离本发明的原理和精神的情况下可以对这些实施例进行多种变化、修改、替换和变型,本发明的范围由所附权利要求及其等同物限定。Although embodiments of the present invention have been shown and described, it will be understood by those skilled in the art that various changes, modifications, and substitutions can be made in these embodiments without departing from the principle and spirit of the invention and modifications, the scope of the present invention is defined by the appended claims and their equivalents.

Claims (10)

1.一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,包括综合评价评估平台(1)、监视数据获取模块(2)、数据存储模块(3)、风险预警和展示模块(4)和信息发布模块(5);所述综合评价评估平台(1)分别和所述监视数据获取模块(2)、数据存储模块(3)、风险预警和展示模块(4)和信息发布模块(5)数据通信连接;1. A risk early warning system based on a multi-factor model, including a comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform (1), a monitoring data acquisition module (2), a data storage module (3), a risk early warning and display module (4), and an information release module (5); The comprehensive evaluation platform (1) is connected to the monitoring data acquisition module (2), the data storage module (3), the risk warning and display module (4) and the information release module (5) in data communication respectively ; 其中,所述监视数据获取模块(2)用于获取监视人员、监视区域的风险行为和潜在风险参数,获取到的多种类型的风险参数和风险行为构成了多维度的风险因素;Wherein, the monitoring data acquisition module (2) is used to acquire the risk behaviors and potential risk parameters of the monitoring personnel and the monitoring area, and the obtained various types of risk parameters and risk behaviors constitute multi-dimensional risk factors; 所述综合评价评估平台(1)基于监视数据获取模块(2)获取的风险传感数据进行风险评估、风险预警和风险控制,所述综合评价评估平台(1)包括多因素智能分析模块(6)、实时风险预警模块(7)和AI智能分析检测模块(8);The comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform (1) performs risk evaluation, risk early warning and risk control based on the risk sensing data obtained by the monitoring data acquisition module (2), and the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform (1) includes a multi-factor intelligent analysis module (6). ), real-time risk warning module (7) and AI intelligent analysis and detection module (8); 所述多因素智能分析模块(6)基于构建的多因素智能化分析模型,找准全市重点人、重点单位,筛选出潜在隐患事件,实现由人工排摸变为全面感知;The multi-factor intelligent analysis module (6) is based on the constructed multi-factor intelligent analysis model to identify key people and key units in the city, screen out potential hidden danger events, and realize the change from manual detection to comprehensive perception; 所述实时风险预警模块(7)基于所述监视数据获取模块(2)实时获取的风险传感数据,并发送至所述多因素智能分析模块(6)结合其构建的所述多因素智能化分析模型进行数据查询分析,得出可能发生的风险类型、风险等级参数,并发送至所述风险预警和展示模块(4)和信息发布模块(5);The real-time risk early warning module (7) is based on the risk sensing data acquired in real time by the monitoring data acquisition module (2), and is sent to the multi-factor intelligent analysis module (6) in conjunction with the multi-factor intelligence constructed by the monitoring data acquisition module (2). The analysis model performs data query and analysis to obtain possible risk types and risk level parameters, and sends them to the risk warning and display module (4) and the information release module (5); 所述AI智能分析检测模块(8)融合AI智能应用,基于储存于所述数据存储模块(3)中的检测到的风险因素和存在的风险对应关系构成风险预警模型和风险区域,得出智能化分析模型;从而开展实施监测,并调整相应的所述监视数据获取模块(2)的布置;The AI intelligent analysis and detection module (8) integrates AI intelligent applications, and forms a risk early warning model and a risk area based on the detected risk factors and the existing risk correspondences stored in the data storage module (3), and obtains an intelligent to carry out the implementation monitoring, and adjust the corresponding arrangement of the monitoring data acquisition module (2); 所述监视数据获取模块(2)包括网络数据提取模块(9)、街道安全模块(10)、小区安全监视网模块(11)、道路安全监视网模块(12)和户政数据接口模块(13);The monitoring data acquisition module (2) includes a network data extraction module (9), a street safety module (10), a community safety monitoring network module (11), a road safety monitoring network module (12) and a household administration data interface module (13) ); 所述网络数据提取模块(9)用于获取互联网络上发布新闻和事件,以便提取对社区构成风险的风险因子;所述街道安全模块(10)为设置于政府管理部门已经设置的街道安全摄像模块,以便提供对社街道成风险的风险因子;所述小区安全监视网模块(11)为设置于小区的安全监视视频系统,通过所述小区的安全监视视频系统获取的监视图像以便提供对社区构成风险的风险因子;所述道路安全监视网模块(12)为设置于道路用于检测道路车辆的视频监视系统,从而提供道路上的车辆、路况的数据,形成道路上的风险因子;所述户政数据接口模块(13)用于获取人口的户政数据,以便提供居住人口的户政风险因素;The network data extraction module (9) is used to obtain news and events published on the Internet, so as to extract risk factors that pose risks to the community; the street security module (10) is a street security camera set up by the government management department. module, so as to provide the risk factor of the risk to the community; the community security surveillance network module (11) is a security surveillance video system set up in the community, and the surveillance images obtained by the security surveillance video system of the community are used to provide community security surveillance images. Risk factors that constitute risks; the road safety monitoring network module (12) is a video surveillance system installed on the road for detecting road vehicles, thereby providing data on vehicles and road conditions on the road to form risk factors on the road; the The household registration data interface module (13) is used to obtain the household registration data of the population, so as to provide the household registration risk factors of the resident population; 所述数据存储模块(3)用于存储所述监视数据获取模块(2)获取的多维度的风险因素;所述风险预警和展示模块(4)用于展示所述综合评价评估平台(1)分析出的风险,并向管理部门发出风险预警;所述信息发布模块(5)用于对所述综合评价评估平台(1)分析出的风险进行发布风险预警;The data storage module (3) is used to store the multi-dimensional risk factors acquired by the monitoring data acquisition module (2); the risk early warning and display module (4) is used to display the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform (1) Analyzed risks, and issue a risk warning to the management department; the information release module (5) is used to issue a risk warning for the risks analyzed by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform (1); 其特征在于:It is characterized by: 所述风险预警系统在运行进行风险预警时,所述网络数据提取模块(9)、街道安全模块(10)、小区安全监视网模块(11)、道路安全监视网模块(12)和户政数据接口模块(13)分别获取各类风险因素,并存储于所述数据存储模块(3);When the risk early warning system is running for risk early warning, the network data extraction module (9), the street safety module (10), the community safety monitoring network module (11), the road safety monitoring network module (12) and the household registration data The interface module (13) obtains various risk factors respectively, and stores them in the data storage module (3); 所述综合评价评估平台(1)的实时风险预警模块(7)、多因素智能分析模块(6)和AI智能分析检测模块(8)基于存储于所述数据存储模块(3)进行大数据分析,得出实时风险预警数据和社会治安数据,并将得出所述风险预警数据发送至所述信息发布模块(5),所述信息发布模块(5)将所述风险预警数据发送给相应区域的监管责任部门和社区生活人员,以便及时应对,同时所述风险预警和展示模块(4)用于给监管调度部门展示,以便和所述相应区域的监管部门、责任部门安排风险处理工作,和调整相应的风险监管责任部门、的工作人员数量。The real-time risk early warning module (7), the multi-factor intelligent analysis module (6) and the AI intelligent analysis and detection module (8) of the comprehensive evaluation platform (1) perform big data analysis based on the data stored in the data storage module (3) , obtain real-time risk warning data and social security data, and send the obtained risk warning data to the information release module (5), and the information release module (5) sends the risk warning data to the corresponding area The responsible supervision department and the community life personnel are in order to respond in time, and the risk warning and display module (4) is used to display to the supervision and dispatch department, so as to arrange the risk handling work with the supervision department and the responsible department in the corresponding area, and Adjust the corresponding risk supervision departments and the number of staff. 2.根据权利要求1所述的一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,其特征在于:所述风险预警系统还包括群众用户端(16),其和所述风险预警系统通信连接,所述群众用户端(16)能够是APP的形式或微信小程序的形式呈现,所述群众用户端(16)和所述监视数据获取模块(2)数据通信连接,从而群众能够通过所述群众用户端(16)上报风险数据至所述监视数据获取模块(2),并存储至于所述数据存储模块(3),所述综合评价评估平台(1)基于所述存储于所述数据存储模块(3)进行大数据分析,得出实时风险和社会治安数据。2. A risk early warning system constructed based on a multi-factor model according to claim 1, characterized in that: the risk early warning system further comprises a mass user terminal (16), which is connected in communication with the risk early warning system, so that the The mass client (16) can be presented in the form of an APP or a WeChat applet, and the mass client (16) is connected with the monitoring data acquisition module (2) for data communication, so that the mass can pass the mass user The terminal (16) reports the risk data to the monitoring data acquisition module (2), and stores it in the data storage module (3). The comprehensive evaluation platform (1) is based on the data stored in the data storage module ( 3) Carry out big data analysis to obtain real-time risk and social security data. 3.根据权利要求2所述的一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,其特征在于:官方用户端(15)配置有官方的官方账号,其和所述风险预警系统通信连接,被配备给党群机关及社区工作人员使用,当需要将官方的信息及时发出时,通过选择广播模式,将政府的官方信息和风险信息发送给所有用户声音传递到千家万户。3. A risk early warning system based on a multi-factor model construction according to claim 2, characterized in that: the official user terminal (15) is configured with an official official account, which is communicatively connected with the risk early warning system, and is equipped with It is used by party and mass organs and community staff. When the official information needs to be sent out in time, the government's official information and risk information can be sent to all users by selecting the broadcast mode to transmit it to thousands of households. 4.根据权利要求1所述的一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,其特征在于:所述监视数据获取模块(2)还包括医务治疗数据获取模块(14),所述医务治疗数据获取模块(14)获取社区医院的医务治疗数据,并存储于所述数据存储模块(3),所述AI智能分析检测模块(8)基于获取医务治疗数据,利用存储在所述数据存储模块(3)中已有的历史医务治疗数据,分析出该区域疾病治疗模型,该疾病治疗模型为一个包括治疗医院、疾病类型、疾病人员数量和疾病人员年龄的疾病治疗模型,并将该疾病治疗模型提供给所述实时风险预警模块(7),从而所述实时风险预警模块(7)基于实时获得的治疗患者的治疗医院、疾病类型、疾病人员数量和疾病人员年龄和疾病治疗模型进行数据比较,从而分析出出现异常的治疗医院、疾病类型、疾病人员增加速度和疾病人员的年龄,并提供给响应疾病治疗领域的专家,以便及时判断疾病的传播特点、疾病的爆发地,以便及时阻断疾病的发展,提供疾病风险预警。4. A risk early warning system based on a multi-factor model construction according to claim 1, wherein the monitoring data acquisition module (2) further comprises a medical treatment data acquisition module (14), wherein the medical treatment data The acquisition module (14) acquires the medical treatment data of the community hospital and stores it in the data storage module (3), and the AI intelligent analysis and detection module (8) uses the data stored in the data storage module (8) based on the acquired medical treatment data. 3) The existing historical medical treatment data in, analyze the disease treatment model in the region, the disease treatment model is a disease treatment model including the treatment hospital, the type of disease, the number of patients with the disease, and the age of the diseased personnel, and the disease treatment model. Provided to the real-time risk early warning module (7), so that the real-time risk early warning module (7) performs data comparison based on the treatment hospital, the type of disease, the number of diseased personnel, the age of the diseased personnel and the disease treatment model obtained in real time for treating the patient, In this way, abnormal treatment hospitals, disease types, the rate of increase in disease personnel and the age of disease personnel are analyzed, and provided to experts in the field of disease treatment, so as to timely determine the transmission characteristics of the disease and the outbreak place of the disease, so as to block the disease in time. development and provide early warning of disease risk. 5.根据权利要求1所述的一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,其特征在于:各城市负责管理部门都设置有相应的风险预警接收和调度模块(16),所述风险预警接收和调度模块(16)在接收到所述综合评价评估平台(1)发出风险预警和风险类型时,所述城市负责管理部门基于自己的责任完成相应的风险排查工作或接收到的所述综合评价评估平台(1)发出的风险处理的调度指令时进度风险处理。5. A risk early-warning system constructed based on a multi-factor model according to claim 1, characterized in that: each city responsible management department is provided with a corresponding risk early-warning receiving and dispatching module (16), the risk early-warning receiving and dispatching modules (16). When receiving the risk warning and risk type issued by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform (1) and the scheduling module (16), the city responsible management department completes the corresponding risk investigation based on its own responsibility or receives the comprehensive evaluation. When evaluating the scheduling instruction of risk processing issued by the platform (1), schedule risk processing. 6.根据权利要求5所述的一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,其特征在于:所述风险预警和展示模块(4)还包括风险处理调度模块(17),在所述综合评价评估平台(1)在监测到风险时,向所述风险预警和展示模块(4)发出风险预警,当需要多个城市负责管理部门联合处理消除该风险时,所述风险处理调度模块(17)协调各城市负责管理部门进行风险降低和消除;并且,在负责消除或降低该风险的城市负责管理部门无法单独完成该风险降低或消除工作,通过所述风险处理调度模块(17)向其他城市负责管理部门发出风险消除或降低协助请求,从而实现风险指挥和调度工作。6. A risk early warning system constructed based on a multi-factor model according to claim 5, characterized in that: the risk early warning and display module (4) further comprises a risk processing and scheduling module (17), in the comprehensive evaluation The evaluation platform (1) issues a risk early warning to the risk early warning and display module (4) when a risk is detected, and when multiple city responsible management departments are required to jointly process and eliminate the risk, the risk processing and scheduling module (17) Coordinate the responsible management departments of each city to reduce and eliminate risks; and, if the responsible management departments in the city responsible for eliminating or reducing the risk cannot complete the work of reducing or eliminating the risk alone, it is responsible to other cities through the risk processing and scheduling module (17) The management department issues a request for assistance in risk elimination or reduction, thereby realizing risk command and dispatch. 7.根据权利要求6所述的一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,其特征在于:所述风险预警系统还包括设置重点监视事件、重点监视区域和重点监视人员的过程,通过预先确定的重点监视事件、重点监视区域和重点监视人员,在所述重点监视事件、重点监视区域和重点监视人员所处的区域设置相应的所述监视数据获取模块(2),以便获取所述多维度的风险因素,从而对所述重点区域进行监视,以便更快的发现风险。7. a kind of risk early-warning system based on multi-factor model construction according to claim 6, is characterized in that: described risk early-warning system also comprises the process of setting key monitoring event, key monitoring area and key monitoring personnel, by predetermined The key monitoring event, key monitoring area and key monitoring personnel are set up in the key monitoring event, key monitoring area and the area where the key monitoring personnel are located. The corresponding monitoring data acquisition module (2) is set in order to obtain the multi-dimensional to monitor the key areas in order to detect risks more quickly. 8.根据权利要求6所述的一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,其特征在于:所述风险预警和展示模块(4)包括分别设置于中心调度部门和各基层管理部门的风险处理调度模块(17),所述中心调度部门分别和各基层管理部门之间实现数据通信连接和指挥调度,各基层管理部门之间实现通信连接和指挥调度,从而建立纵向贯通、横向联通的综合指挥调度体系。8. A risk early warning system based on a multi-factor model construction according to claim 6, characterized in that: the risk early warning and display module (4) comprises risk processing which is respectively set in the central dispatching department and each grass-roots management department Dispatching module (17), the central dispatching department realizes data communication connection and command dispatching with each basic management department respectively, and realizes communication connection and command dispatching between each basic management department, so as to establish a comprehensive command of vertical connection and horizontal connection scheduling system. 9.一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警方法,包括如权利要求1-8中任意一项所述的基于多因子模型构建的风险预警系统,其特征在于,包括如下步骤:9. A risk early-warning method based on multi-factor model construction, comprising the risk early-warning system based on multi-factor model construction as described in any one of claims 1-8, characterized in that, comprising the steps: 步骤S1,所述风险预警系统在运行时,所述网络数据提取模块(9)、街道安全模块(10)、小区安全监视网模块(11)、道路安全监视网模块(12)和户政数据接口模块(13)分别获取监视人员、监视区域的风险行为和潜在风险参数,获取到的多种类型的风险参数和风险行为构成了多维度的风险因素,并存储于所述数据存储模块(3);Step S1, when the risk early warning system is running, the network data extraction module (9), the street safety module (10), the community safety monitoring network module (11), the road safety monitoring network module (12) and the household registration data The interface module (13) obtains the risk behaviors and potential risk parameters of the monitoring personnel and the monitoring area respectively, and the obtained various types of risk parameters and risk behaviors constitute multi-dimensional risk factors, and are stored in the data storage module (3). ); 步骤S2,所述综合评价评估平台(1)基于监视数据获取模块(2)获取的风险传感数据进行风险评估、风险预警和风险控制,具体地,所述AI智能分析检测模块(8)融合AI智能应用,基于储存于所述数据存储模块(3)中的检测到的风险因素和存在的风险对应关系构成风险预警模型和风险区域,得出智能化分析模型;从而开展实施监测,并调整相应的所述监视数据获取模块(2)的布置;Step S2, the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform (1) performs risk assessment, risk early warning and risk control based on the risk sensing data obtained by the monitoring data acquisition module (2). Specifically, the AI intelligent analysis and detection module (8) is integrated AI intelligent application, based on the detected risk factors and the existing risk correspondences stored in the data storage module (3) to form a risk early warning model and a risk area, and obtain an intelligent analysis model; to carry out monitoring and adjustment. Corresponding arrangement of the monitoring data acquisition module (2); 步骤S3,所述多因素智能分析模块(6)基于构建的多因素智能化分析模型,找准全市重点人、重点单位,筛选出潜在隐患事件,实现由人工排摸变为全面感知;Step S3, the multi-factor intelligent analysis module (6), based on the constructed multi-factor intelligent analysis model, identifies key persons and key units in the city, and screens out potential hidden danger events, so as to realize the change from manual detection to comprehensive perception; 步骤S4,所述实时风险预警模块(7)基于所述监视数据获取模块(2)实时获取的风险传感数据,并发送至所述多因素智能分析模块(6)结合其构建的所述多因素智能化分析模型进行数据查询分析,得出可能发生的风险类型、风险等级参数,并发送至所述风险预警和展示模块(4)和信息发布模块(5);Step S4, the real-time risk early warning module (7) is based on the risk sensing data acquired in real time by the monitoring data acquisition module (2), and sends it to the multi-factor intelligent analysis module (6) in conjunction with the multi-factor intelligent analysis module (6). The factor intelligent analysis model performs data query and analysis to obtain possible risk types and risk level parameters, and sends them to the risk warning and display module (4) and the information release module (5); 步骤S5,所述风险预警和展示模块(4)展示所述综合评价评估平台(1)分析出的风险,并向管理部门发出风险预警;所述信息发布模块(5)对所述综合评价评估平台(1)分析出的风险进行发布风险预警;Step S5, the risk early warning and display module (4) displays the risk analyzed by the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation platform (1), and issues a risk early warning to the management department; the information release module (5) evaluates the comprehensive evaluation and evaluation. The platform (1) publishes risk warnings based on the analyzed risks; 步骤S6,时所述风险预警和展示模块(4)用于给监管调度部门展示,以便和所述相应区域的监管部门、责任部门安排风险处理工作,和调整相应的风险监管责任部门、的工作人员数量。In step S6, the risk warning and display module (4) is used to display to the supervision and dispatch department, so as to arrange the risk handling work with the supervision department and the responsible department in the corresponding area, and adjust the work of the corresponding risk supervision department and the responsible department. number of personnel. 10.根据权利要求9所述的一种基于多因子模型构建的风险预警方法,其特征在于:所述风险预警和展示模块(4)包括分别设置于中心调度部门和各基层管理部门的风险处理调度模块(17),所述中心调度部门分别和各基层管理部门之间实现数据通信连接和指挥调度,各基层管理部门之间实现通信连接和指挥调度,从而建立纵向贯通、横向联通的综合指挥调度体系。10. A risk early warning method based on a multi-factor model construction according to claim 9, characterized in that: the risk early warning and display module (4) comprises risk processing which is respectively set in the central dispatch department and each grassroots management department Dispatching module (17), the central dispatching department realizes data communication connection and command dispatching with each basic management department respectively, and realizes communication connection and command dispatching between each basic management department, so as to establish a comprehensive command of vertical connection and horizontal connection scheduling system.
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