CN114049053A - Method and device for analyzing risk distribution of power distribution network tower under flood - Google Patents
Method and device for analyzing risk distribution of power distribution network tower under flood Download PDFInfo
- Publication number
- CN114049053A CN114049053A CN202210032890.9A CN202210032890A CN114049053A CN 114049053 A CN114049053 A CN 114049053A CN 202210032890 A CN202210032890 A CN 202210032890A CN 114049053 A CN114049053 A CN 114049053A
- Authority
- CN
- China
- Prior art keywords
- tower
- risk
- certain
- follows
- disaster
- Prior art date
- Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
- Pending
Links
- 238000000034 method Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 34
- 238000011156 evaluation Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 32
- 238000011157 data evaluation Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 20
- 150000001875 compounds Chemical class 0.000 claims description 20
- 238000004458 analytical method Methods 0.000 claims description 12
- 239000011159 matrix material Substances 0.000 claims description 6
- 238000004590 computer program Methods 0.000 claims description 3
- 230000005484 gravity Effects 0.000 claims description 2
- 238000012545 processing Methods 0.000 description 5
- 238000010586 diagram Methods 0.000 description 4
- 230000006698 induction Effects 0.000 description 4
- 238000004364 calculation method Methods 0.000 description 3
- 230000006870 function Effects 0.000 description 3
- 230000008569 process Effects 0.000 description 3
- 230000004044 response Effects 0.000 description 3
- 230000005540 biological transmission Effects 0.000 description 2
- 230000000694 effects Effects 0.000 description 2
- 238000012502 risk assessment Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000009286 beneficial effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000008859 change Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000004891 communication Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000011161 development Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000005516 engineering process Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000007774 longterm Effects 0.000 description 1
- 239000000463 material Substances 0.000 description 1
- 238000010295 mobile communication Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000012544 monitoring process Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000010606 normalization Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000002265 prevention Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000011160 research Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000012216 screening Methods 0.000 description 1
- 239000007787 solid Substances 0.000 description 1
- 238000007619 statistical method Methods 0.000 description 1
Images
Classifications
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
- G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
- G06Q10/0635—Risk analysis of enterprise or organisation activities
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
- G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
- G06Q10/0639—Performance analysis of employees; Performance analysis of enterprise or organisation operations
- G06Q10/06393—Score-carding, benchmarking or key performance indicator [KPI] analysis
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
- G06Q50/06—Energy or water supply
-
- Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
- Y02—TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
- Y02A—TECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE
- Y02A10/00—TECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE at coastal zones; at river basins
- Y02A10/40—Controlling or monitoring, e.g. of flood or hurricane; Forecasting, e.g. risk assessment or mapping
Landscapes
- Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
- Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
- Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
- Economics (AREA)
- Strategic Management (AREA)
- Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
- General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
- General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
- Educational Administration (AREA)
- Marketing (AREA)
- Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
- Development Economics (AREA)
- Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
- Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
- Quality & Reliability (AREA)
- Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
- Operations Research (AREA)
- Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
- Public Health (AREA)
- Water Supply & Treatment (AREA)
- General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
- Primary Health Care (AREA)
- Alarm Systems (AREA)
Abstract
The invention discloses a method and a device for analyzing the risk distribution of a power distribution network tower under flood, wherein the method comprises the steps of establishing a tower flood disaster evaluation index system; establishing a historical data evaluation rule base according to a pole tower flood disaster evaluation index system and historical characteristic disaster information; responding to the disaster data index information of a certain tower obtained in real time, and inputting the disaster data index information of the certain tower into a historical data evaluation rule base to enable a risk factor of the certain tower to be output; updating the risk factor of a certain tower according to the risk factor of at least one tower associated with the certain tower; and judging whether the updated risk factor of a certain tower is greater than a preset threshold value or not, so as to determine the risk level of the certain tower. Risk grids are screened out by calculating risk factors according to a historical flood disaster information base, disaster risk information around the line tower can be mastered accurately, and a basis is provided for analyzing and early warning of flood disaster risks of the power distribution network line tower.
Description
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of risk analysis of power distribution network towers, and particularly relates to a method and a device for analyzing risk distribution of power distribution network towers in flooding.
Background
In recent years, with the high-speed innovative development of science and technology, the power system is rapidly developed as the national pillar industry, but due to the influence of natural disasters, the weak structure of the power grid is still the main factor threatening the safety of the power grid. The power transmission and distribution line pole tower is an important basic measure of a power system, is a main object which is easily impacted by a flood disaster in a natural disaster, and once the flood disaster happens, the pole tower can be aged and damaged, even serious disaster damage accidents are generated, and serious influence is caused on social economy and life. The safe and stable operation of the line tower is related to the reliable supply of electric power safety, so that the flood disaster assessment and prevention work for the tower is very necessary, the influence degree of the flood disaster on the line tower is assessed, and the establishment of a corresponding assessment index system has long-term and important practical significance.
The current research current situation discovers, flood disaster real-time supervision and early warning ability towards the shaft tower are mostly in the exploration stage at present, pole tower flood disaster early warning lacks the early warning that effectual monitoring means and degree of accuracy are high enough among the prior art, forecast key data source, only consider meteorological data information, through the incidence relation of establishing meteorological information and shaft tower flood disaster, obtain early warning information, early warning information reliability is low, flood disaster early warning's pertinence is not strong, the regional locking range of calamity is extensive, the preparation scheme of accident response is abundant inadequately, the emergent response capability of pole tower flood disaster, material deployment efficiency is low, the loss is big.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention provides a method for analyzing risk distribution of a power distribution network tower under flooding, which is used for at least solving one of the technical problems.
In a first aspect, the invention provides a method for analyzing risk distribution of power distribution network towers in flooding, which comprises the following steps: establishing a pole and tower flood disaster evaluation index system based on the flood risk level, the meteorological information, the geographic information and the underlying surface information; establishing a historical data evaluation rule base according to the pole tower flood disaster evaluation index system and historical characteristic disaster information; responding to the disaster data index information of a certain tower obtained in real time, inputting the disaster data index information of the certain tower into a historical data evaluation rule base, and outputting a risk factor of the certain tower, wherein the expression for calculating the risk factor of the certain tower is as follows:in the formula (I), wherein,is as followsThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe weight of each of the indices is,is as followsThe score of each of the indexes is calculated,evaluating the index number for the flood disaster of a certain tower; updating the risk factor of the certain tower according to the risk factor of at least one tower associated with the certain tower, wherein an expression for updating the risk factor of the certain tower is as follows:in the formula (I), wherein,to be updated to the secondThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withRisk factors of individual towers; and judging whether the updated risk factor of the certain tower is greater than a preset threshold value or not, so as to determine the risk grade of the certain tower.
In a second aspect, the present invention provides a device for analyzing risk distribution of power distribution network towers in flood, including: the first establishing module is configured to establish a pole and tower flood disaster evaluation index system based on the flood risk level, the meteorological information, the geographic information and the underlying surface information; the second establishing module is configured to establish a historical data evaluation rule base according to the pole tower flood disaster evaluation index system and the historical characteristic disaster information; the output module is configured to respond to the disaster data index information of a certain tower obtained in real time and count the disasters of the certain towerInputting the index information into a historical data evaluation rule base to output the risk factor of the certain tower, wherein the expression for calculating the risk factor of the certain tower is as follows:in the formula (I), wherein,is as followsThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe weight of each of the indices is,is as followsThe score of each of the indexes is calculated,evaluating the index number for the flood disaster of a certain tower; an updating module configured to update the risk factor of the certain tower according to the risk factor of at least one tower associated with the certain tower, wherein an expression for updating the risk factor of the certain tower is as follows:in the formula (I), wherein,to be updated to the secondWind of individual towerThe risk factor is a function of the number of the risk factors,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withRisk factors of individual towers; and the judging module is configured to judge whether the updated risk factor of the certain tower is greater than a certain preset threshold value, so that the risk grade of the certain tower is determined.
In a third aspect, an electronic device is provided, comprising: the system comprises at least one processor and a memory which is in communication connection with the at least one processor, wherein the memory stores instructions executable by the at least one processor, and the instructions are executed by the at least one processor, so that the at least one processor can execute the steps of the flood distribution network tower risk distribution analysis method according to any embodiment of the invention.
In a fourth aspect, the present invention further provides a computer-readable storage medium, on which a computer program is stored, the computer program including program instructions, which, when executed by a computer, cause the computer to perform the steps of the method for risk distribution analysis of flooding power distribution network towers according to any of the embodiments of the present invention.
According to the method and the device for analyzing the distribution network pole tower risk distribution under the flood, the obtained flood risk distribution map and the pole tower multi-source information are combined, correlation processing is carried out on the flood disaster area grids after meshing, an evaluation index system of pole tower flood disasters is established, the risk grids are screened out according to the risk factors calculated by the historical flood disaster information base, the disaster risk information around the line pole tower can be grasped exactly, and the basis is provided for analyzing and early warning of the distribution network pole tower flood disaster risks.
Drawings
In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention, the drawings needed to be used in the description of the embodiments are briefly introduced below, and it is obvious that the drawings in the following description are some embodiments of the present invention, and it is obvious for those skilled in the art to obtain other drawings based on the drawings without creative efforts.
Fig. 1 is a flowchart of a risk distribution analysis method for a power distribution network tower under flooding according to an embodiment of the present invention;
fig. 2 is a flowchart of another method for analyzing risk distribution of a power distribution network tower under flooding according to an embodiment of the present invention;
fig. 3 is a block diagram of a risk distribution analysis device for a power distribution network tower under flooding according to an embodiment of the present invention;
fig. 4 is a schematic structural diagram of an electronic device according to an embodiment of the present invention.
Detailed Description
In order to make the objects, technical solutions and advantages of the embodiments of the present invention clearer, the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and it is obvious that the described embodiments are some, but not all, embodiments of the present invention. All other embodiments, which can be derived by a person skilled in the art from the embodiments given herein without making any creative effort, shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
Please refer to fig. 1, which shows a flowchart of a risk distribution analysis method for a distribution network tower under flooding according to the present application.
As shown in fig. 1, in step S101, a pole tower flood disaster evaluation index system is established based on the flood risk level, the meteorological information, the geographic information, and the underlying surface information;
in step S102, a historical data evaluation rule base is constructed according to the pole tower flood disaster evaluation index system and historical characteristic disaster information;
in step S103, in response to acquiring disaster data index information of a certain tower in real time, inputting the disaster data index information of the certain tower into a historical data evaluation rule base, so as to output a risk factor of the certain tower, where an expression for calculating the risk factor of the certain tower is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is as followsThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe weight of each of the indices is,is as followsThe score of each of the indexes is calculated,evaluating the index number for the flood disaster of a certain tower;
in step S104, updating the risk factor of the certain tower according to the risk factor of at least one tower associated with the certain tower, where an expression for updating the risk factor of the certain tower is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,to be updated to the secondThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withRisk factors of individual towers;
in step S105, it is determined whether the updated risk factor of the certain tower is greater than a preset threshold, so as to determine a risk level of the certain tower.
In summary, according to the method of the embodiment, the historical data evaluation rule base is established based on the pole tower flood risk evaluation index system and the historical pole tower flood disaster feature data set, the disaster data index information of the target pole tower is input into the historical data evaluation rule base, so that the risk factor of the target pole tower corresponding to the grid is calculated, the risk factor of the target pole tower is updated according to the associated pole tower risk factor, finally, the risk values of all pole towers are obtained, and if the risk value is greater than the set threshold value, early warning is performed and early warning information is output, so that the pertinence of flood disaster early warning is enhanced, and economic loss is reduced.
Please refer to fig. 2, which shows a flowchart of another method for analyzing risk distribution of a flooding distribution network tower according to the present application.
As shown in fig. 2, the method for analyzing risk distribution of power distribution network towers under flooding specifically includes the following steps:
step 1, acquiring a flood risk distribution map.
And 2, meshing the flood disaster area based on the GIS information of the line tower.
Specifically, a gridding range is defined based on the obtained maximum value of the longitude and latitude of the flood disaster area; presetting the size of grids, and calculating the increment of the longitude and latitude of each grid according to the preset size of the grids, wherein the expression for calculating the increment of the longitude and latitude of each grid is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is the increase in the longitude of the grid,is the latitude and longitude span of the grid,which is the radius of the earth, is,is the lower limit of the latitude of the meteorological disaster area,is the upper limit of the latitude of the meteorological disaster area,an increment in the latitude of the grid;
and then according to the increment of the longitude and latitude of each grid, calculating the longitude and latitude of the central point of each grid, wherein the longitude and latitude expression of the central point of each grid is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is the longitude coordinate value of the center point of the grid,a grid ID number corresponding to an arbitrary longitude,is the increase in the longitude of the grid,is the initial longitude value of the meteorological disaster area,is the latitude coordinate value of the central point of the grid,the grid ID number corresponding to an arbitrary latitude,in the case of an increasing amount of latitude of the grid,is the initial latitude value of the meteorological disaster area.
Calculating the expression of the grid ID number corresponding to any longitude as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is the longitude of any point and is the latitude of the point,is the increase in the longitude of the grid,the lower limit of the longitude of the meteorological disaster area;
calculating the expression of the grid ID number corresponding to any latitude as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is the latitude of any point and is,in the case of an increasing amount of latitude of the grid,the lower limit of the latitude of the meteorological disaster area.
Step 3, calculating the minimum distance between the longitude and latitude coordinates of the power distribution network tower and the grid central point to perform association;
specifically, the minimum distance of the longitude and latitude of the central point of each calculated grid is obtained, and the grid corresponding to a certain power distribution network line tower is determined based on the minimum distance.
And 4, establishing an influence evaluation index system of the flood disasters on the power distribution network tower.
It should be noted that, the distribution network shaft tower multisource information and the flood risk distribution map under the flood disaster are integrated, and characteristic parameters in four aspects are extracted, including: and carrying out association processing according to the meshing processing and the characteristic parameters.
And analyzing the processed grid information, screening out risk grids according to the risk level of the flood disasters of the power distribution network, and establishing a risk evaluation index system of the flood disasters on the power distribution network towers.
And 5, calculating the risk factor of each pole tower according to the evaluation index.
In this embodiment, the process of calculating the risk factor of each pole tower includes:
(1) acquiring historical disaster data index information of each grid, and performing fuzzy comprehensive evaluation on the historical disaster data index information, wherein the process is as follows:
let the index set asThe corresponding weight is recorded asQuantizing the comment sets into F = {100,80,60,0} by adopting 4 comment sets of F = { no disaster induction risk, low disaster induction risk, medium disaster induction risk and high disaster induction risk };
the evaluation matrix An multiplied by m is determined by the membership degree of the index set to the comment set, wherein n is the number of indexes, m is the dimension of the comment set,indicating indexFor fuzzy setsThe degree of membership of different elements to F is determined by a fuzzy statistical method,for fuzzy setsThe membership degree determination formula is as follows:
In the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is as followsThe score of each of the indexes is calculated,is determined by degree of membershipThe evaluation matrix is a matrix of the evaluation,is a set of quantized comments.
data normalization
Standardizing the disaster index data subjected to intuitive fuzzification, and assuming that n indexes are givenWherein. Suppose that one finger is involvedNormalized value of the target data is,
In the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,for the corresponding after standardizationThe first in the indexThe number of the data is one,is the first after fuzzificationThe first in the indexThe number of the data is one,is the first after fuzzificationData set of individual indices.
Calculating the information entropy of each index
Determining an information entropy formula of a group of data according to the definition of information entropy in an information theory. WhereinIf, ifThen define。
In the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is as followsThe information entropy of each index is calculated,is as followsThe data account forThe specific gravity of each index is as follows,the weight of each data in the nth index is shown.
Determining the weights of the indexes
According to the calculation formula of the information entropy, the information entropy of each index is calculated as. Calculating the weight of each index through the information entropy:。
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is as followsThe weight of each of the indices is,is as followsThe information entropy of each index is calculated,is the total number of indexes.
(3) Comprehensive evaluation for determining tower disaster risk level
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is as followsThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe weight of each of the indices is,is as followsThe score of each of the indexes is calculated,and evaluating the index number for the flood disaster of a certain tower.
And 6, updating the corresponding risk factors according to the calculation of the risk factors of the towers before and after the space.
In this embodiment, the tower risk factors at the front and rear positions are updated, and the expression is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,to be updated to the secondThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower (which is determined by experts based on historical experience),is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withRisk factors of individual towers.
It should be noted that the reason why the corresponding risk factors are updated according to the risk factor calculation of the towers before and after the space is that after one tower is inclined, the level of the conducting wire is separately changed, the horizontal component of the span at the inclined side is reduced, and the horizontal component of the span at the reverse side is increased, so that the tension applied to the adjacent towers, particularly the reverse side tower, is increased, thereby increasing the risk of the towers; and the force can be transmitted along with the power line, so that the influence of physical mechanics (tension on adjacent towers) of front and rear towers is considered, and the tower risk factor is updated.
And 7, outputting the flood disaster risk values of all the towers.
And 8, judging whether the flood disaster risk value is greater than or equal to a threshold value.
In this embodiment, the corresponding grid disaster information with the flood disaster risk value greater than or equal to the threshold is output as disaster early warning information.
In summary, the method of the present application can achieve the following technical effects:
1. the flood disaster area is gridded through the acquired flood disaster risk distribution map, the grids corresponding to a certain power transmission and distribution line pole tower are determined based on the longitude and latitude minimum distance, and finally the disaster condition of a specific power distribution line pole tower can be analyzed and early-warned quickly and accurately.
2. Based on distribution network shaft tower multisource information under the flood disaster, draw the characteristic parameter of four aspects, include: and carrying out association processing on the flood risk level, the meteorological information, the geographic information and the underlying surface information according to the grid division and the characteristic parameters. And analyzing the processed grid information, and establishing a risk evaluation index system of the flood disaster on the power distribution network tower, so that the evaluation accuracy is increased, and the reliability of the early warning information is improved.
3. The method comprises the steps of establishing a historical data assessment rule base based on an established pole tower flood risk assessment index system and a historical pole tower flood disaster characteristic data set, calculating risk factors of corresponding poles and towers of a grid according to intuitionistically blurred grid disaster information, updating the historical data base according to the risk factors of the front pole tower and the rear pole tower, finally obtaining risk values of all the poles and towers, and if the risk values are larger than a set threshold value, performing early warning and outputting early warning information, so that the pertinence of flood disaster early warning is enhanced, and economic loss is reduced.
Please refer to fig. 3, which shows a block diagram of a risk distribution analysis apparatus for a distribution network tower under flooding conditions according to the present application.
As shown in fig. 3, the risk distribution analysis device 200 for a flooding distribution network tower includes a first establishing module 210, a second establishing module 220, an output module 230, an updating module 240, and a determining module 250.
The first establishing module 210 is configured to establish a pole and tower flood disaster evaluation index system based on the flood risk level, the meteorological information, the geographic information and the underlying surface information; the second establishing module 220 is configured to establish a historical data evaluation rule base according to the pole tower flood disaster evaluation index system and the historical characteristic disaster information; the output module 230 is configured to respond to real-time acquisition of disaster data index information of a certain tower, input the disaster data index information of the certain tower into a historical data evaluation rule base, and output a risk factor of the certain tower, where an expression for calculating the risk factor of the certain tower is:in the formula (I), wherein,is as followsThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe weight of each of the indices is,is as followsThe score of each of the indexes is calculated,evaluating the index number for the flood disaster of a certain tower; an updating module 240 configured to update the risk factor of the certain tower according to the risk factor of at least one tower associated with the certain tower, where an expression for updating the risk factor of the certain tower is:in the formula (I), wherein,to be updated to the secondThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withRisk factors of individual towers; the determining module 250 is configured to determine whether the updated risk factor of the certain tower is greater than a preset threshold, so as to determine a risk level of the certain tower.
It should be understood that the modules depicted in fig. 3 correspond to various steps in the method described with reference to fig. 1. Thus, the operations and features described above for the method and the corresponding technical effects are also applicable to the modules in fig. 3, and are not described again here.
In other embodiments, an embodiment of the present invention further provides a computer-readable storage medium, where computer-executable instructions are stored in the computer-readable storage medium, and the computer-executable instructions may execute the method for analyzing risk distribution of a power distribution tower under flooding in any of the method embodiments described above;
as one embodiment, the computer-readable storage medium of the present invention stores computer-executable instructions configured to:
establishing a pole and tower flood disaster evaluation index system based on the flood risk level, the meteorological information, the geographic information and the underlying surface information;
establishing a historical data evaluation rule base according to the pole tower flood disaster evaluation index system and historical characteristic disaster information;
responding to the disaster data index information of a certain tower obtained in real time, and inputting the disaster data index information of the certain tower into a historical data evaluation rule base to enable a risk factor of the certain tower to be output;
updating the risk factor of the certain tower according to the risk factor of at least one tower associated with the certain tower;
and judging whether the updated risk factor of the certain tower is greater than a preset threshold value or not, so as to determine the risk grade of the certain tower.
The computer-readable storage medium may include a storage program area and a storage data area, wherein the storage program area may store an operating system, an application program required for at least one function; the storage data area can store data and the like created according to the use of the flood distribution network pole and tower risk distribution analysis device. Further, the computer-readable storage medium may include high speed random access memory, and may also include memory, such as at least one magnetic disk storage device, flash memory device, or other non-volatile solid state storage device. In some embodiments, the computer readable storage medium optionally includes a memory remotely located from the processor, and the remote memory may be connected to the flood distribution network tower risk distribution analysis device over a network. Examples of such networks include, but are not limited to, the internet, intranets, local area networks, mobile communication networks, and combinations thereof.
Fig. 4 is a schematic structural diagram of an electronic device according to an embodiment of the present invention, and as shown in fig. 4, the electronic device includes: a processor 310 and a memory 320. The electronic device may further include: an input device 330 and an output device 340. The processor 310, the memory 320, the input device 330, and the output device 340 may be connected by a bus or other means, such as the bus connection in fig. 4. The memory 320 is the computer-readable storage medium described above. The processor 310 executes various functional applications and data processing of the server by running the nonvolatile software program, instructions and modules stored in the memory 320, that is, the method for analyzing risk distribution of the power distribution network tower under flooding according to the embodiment of the method is implemented. The input device 330 may receive input numeric or character information and generate key signal inputs related to user settings and function control of the flooding distribution tower risk distribution analysis device. The output device 340 may include a display device such as a display screen.
The electronic device can execute the method provided by the embodiment of the invention, and has the corresponding functional modules and beneficial effects of the execution method. For technical details that are not described in detail in this embodiment, reference may be made to the method provided by the embodiment of the present invention.
As an embodiment, the above electronic device is applied to a distribution network tower risk distribution analysis device under flooding, and is used for a client, including: at least one processor; and a memory communicatively coupled to the at least one processor; wherein the memory stores instructions executable by the at least one processor to cause the at least one processor to:
establishing a pole and tower flood disaster evaluation index system based on the flood risk level, the meteorological information, the geographic information and the underlying surface information;
establishing a historical data evaluation rule base according to the pole tower flood disaster evaluation index system and historical characteristic disaster information;
responding to the disaster data index information of a certain tower obtained in real time, and inputting the disaster data index information of the certain tower into a historical data evaluation rule base to enable a risk factor of the certain tower to be output;
updating the risk factor of the certain tower according to the risk factor of at least one tower associated with the certain tower;
and judging whether the updated risk factor of the certain tower is greater than a preset threshold value or not, so as to determine the risk grade of the certain tower.
Claims (8)
1. A distribution network pole tower risk distribution analysis method under flooding is characterized by comprising the following steps:
establishing a pole and tower flood disaster evaluation index system based on the flood risk level, the meteorological information, the geographic information and the underlying surface information;
establishing a historical data evaluation rule base according to the pole tower flood disaster evaluation index system and historical characteristic disaster information;
responding to the disaster data index information of a certain tower obtained in real time, inputting the disaster data index information of the certain tower into a historical data evaluation rule base, and outputting a risk factor of the certain tower, wherein the expression for calculating the risk factor of the certain tower is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is as followsThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe weight of each of the indices is,is as followsThe score of each of the indexes is calculated,evaluating the index number for the flood disaster of a certain tower;
updating the risk factor of the certain tower according to the risk factor of at least one tower associated with the certain tower, wherein an expression for updating the risk factor of the certain tower is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,to be updated to the secondThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withRisk factors of individual towers;
and judging whether the updated risk factor of the certain tower is greater than a preset threshold value or not, so as to determine the risk grade of the certain tower.
2. The method according to claim 1, wherein the at least one tower associated with the certain tower is:
and at least one tower which is adjacent to the certain tower and is positioned at the front position, the rear position, the left position or the right position of the certain tower.
3. The method of claim 1, wherein the calculating the first step comprisesThe expression of the weight of each index is:
4. The method of claim 3, wherein the calculating the first step comprisesThe expression of the information entropy of each index is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is as followsThe information entropy of each index is calculated,is the total number of the indexes,is as followsThe data account forSpecific gravity of each index;
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,for the corresponding after standardizationThe first in the indexThe number of the data is one,is the first after fuzzificationThe first in the indexThe number of the data is one,is the first after fuzzificationData set of individual indices.
5. The method of claim 1, wherein the calculating the first step comprisesThe expression of the score of each index is:
6. The utility model provides a distribution network shaft tower risk distribution analytical equipment under flood which characterized in that includes:
the first establishing module is configured to establish a pole and tower flood disaster evaluation index system based on the flood risk level, the meteorological information, the geographic information and the underlying surface information;
the second establishing module is configured to establish a historical data evaluation rule base according to the pole tower flood disaster evaluation index system and the historical characteristic disaster information;
the output module is configured to respond to the fact that disaster data index information of a certain tower is obtained in real time, input the disaster data index information of the certain tower into a historical data evaluation rule base, and enable risk factors of the certain tower to be output, wherein the expression for calculating the risk factors of the certain tower is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,is as followsThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe weight of each of the indices is,is as followsThe score of each of the indexes is calculated,evaluating the index number for the flood disaster of a certain tower;
an updating module configured to update the risk factor of the certain tower according to the risk factor of at least one tower associated with the certain tower, wherein an expression for updating the risk factor of the certain tower is as follows:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,to be updated to the secondThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is the first tower associated withThe risk factors of the individual pole towers,is as followsThe tower is opposite to the first towerThe weight of each tower is calculated by the weight of each tower,is the first tower associated withRisk factors of individual towers;
and the judging module is configured to judge whether the updated risk factor of the certain tower is greater than a certain preset threshold value, so that the risk grade of the certain tower is determined.
7. An electronic device, comprising: at least one processor, and a memory communicatively coupled to the at least one processor, wherein the memory stores instructions executable by the at least one processor to enable the at least one processor to perform the method of any of claims 1 to 5.
8. A computer-readable storage medium, on which a computer program is stored, which, when being executed by a processor, carries out the method of any one of claims 1 to 5.
Priority Applications (1)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
CN202210032890.9A CN114049053A (en) | 2022-01-12 | 2022-01-12 | Method and device for analyzing risk distribution of power distribution network tower under flood |
Applications Claiming Priority (1)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
CN202210032890.9A CN114049053A (en) | 2022-01-12 | 2022-01-12 | Method and device for analyzing risk distribution of power distribution network tower under flood |
Publications (1)
Publication Number | Publication Date |
---|---|
CN114049053A true CN114049053A (en) | 2022-02-15 |
Family
ID=80196314
Family Applications (1)
Application Number | Title | Priority Date | Filing Date |
---|---|---|---|
CN202210032890.9A Pending CN114049053A (en) | 2022-01-12 | 2022-01-12 | Method and device for analyzing risk distribution of power distribution network tower under flood |
Country Status (1)
Country | Link |
---|---|
CN (1) | CN114049053A (en) |
Citations (9)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN103985057A (en) * | 2014-05-27 | 2014-08-13 | 煤炭科学研究总院 | Coal mine safety risk evaluation or loss evaluation method and device |
CN106875105A (en) * | 2017-01-23 | 2017-06-20 | 东北大学 | A kind of power distribution network differentiation planing method for considering combined failure risk |
CN108564263A (en) * | 2018-04-02 | 2018-09-21 | 国网安徽省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 | One kind is for the disaster-stricken prediction technique of electric power line pole tower under squall line environment |
US20190051146A1 (en) * | 2017-08-09 | 2019-02-14 | Institute Of Mountain Hazards And Environment, Chinese Academy Of Sciences | Three-dimensional multi-point multi-index early warning method for risk at power grid tower in landslide section |
CN109741071A (en) * | 2019-01-03 | 2019-05-10 | 江苏方天电力技术有限公司 | A kind of large power customers tariff recovery methods of risk assessment based on Information Entropy |
WO2021169038A1 (en) * | 2020-02-28 | 2021-09-02 | 青岛理工大学 | Deep foundation pit blasting vibration velocity risk level big data evaluation method |
CN113537846A (en) * | 2021-09-17 | 2021-10-22 | 国网江西省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 | Meteorological disaster-based risk analysis method and system for power transmission and distribution line tower |
CN113570226A (en) * | 2021-07-20 | 2021-10-29 | 中交第一公路勘察设计研究院有限公司 | Method for evaluating occurrence probability grade of tunnel water inrush disaster in fault fracture zone |
CN113869804A (en) * | 2021-12-02 | 2021-12-31 | 国网江西省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 | Power grid equipment risk early warning method and system under flood disaster |
-
2022
- 2022-01-12 CN CN202210032890.9A patent/CN114049053A/en active Pending
Patent Citations (9)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN103985057A (en) * | 2014-05-27 | 2014-08-13 | 煤炭科学研究总院 | Coal mine safety risk evaluation or loss evaluation method and device |
CN106875105A (en) * | 2017-01-23 | 2017-06-20 | 东北大学 | A kind of power distribution network differentiation planing method for considering combined failure risk |
US20190051146A1 (en) * | 2017-08-09 | 2019-02-14 | Institute Of Mountain Hazards And Environment, Chinese Academy Of Sciences | Three-dimensional multi-point multi-index early warning method for risk at power grid tower in landslide section |
CN108564263A (en) * | 2018-04-02 | 2018-09-21 | 国网安徽省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 | One kind is for the disaster-stricken prediction technique of electric power line pole tower under squall line environment |
CN109741071A (en) * | 2019-01-03 | 2019-05-10 | 江苏方天电力技术有限公司 | A kind of large power customers tariff recovery methods of risk assessment based on Information Entropy |
WO2021169038A1 (en) * | 2020-02-28 | 2021-09-02 | 青岛理工大学 | Deep foundation pit blasting vibration velocity risk level big data evaluation method |
CN113570226A (en) * | 2021-07-20 | 2021-10-29 | 中交第一公路勘察设计研究院有限公司 | Method for evaluating occurrence probability grade of tunnel water inrush disaster in fault fracture zone |
CN113537846A (en) * | 2021-09-17 | 2021-10-22 | 国网江西省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 | Meteorological disaster-based risk analysis method and system for power transmission and distribution line tower |
CN113869804A (en) * | 2021-12-02 | 2021-12-31 | 国网江西省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 | Power grid equipment risk early warning method and system under flood disaster |
Non-Patent Citations (2)
Title |
---|
谢从珍 等: "基于多维关联信息融合的架空输电线路雷害风险评估方法", 《中国电机工程学报》 * |
邓红雷 等: "基于层次分析-熵权组合法的架空输电线路综合运行风险评估", 《电力系统保护与控制》 * |
Similar Documents
Publication | Publication Date | Title |
---|---|---|
CN102629294B (en) | Probability evaluation method of failure caused by typhoon to power transmission line | |
US20220113343A1 (en) | Infrared zero value diagnosis method and system for porcelain insulator string | |
CN109544399B (en) | Power transmission equipment state evaluation method and device based on multi-source heterogeneous data | |
CN107944590B (en) | Method and equipment for analyzing and forecasting fishing situations | |
CN106469356A (en) | Transmission facility state evaluation based on multidimensional data and risk analysis method and device | |
CN103606109B (en) | A kind of safe operation of electric network risk integrative assessment method based on evaluation object | |
CN113689053B (en) | Strong convection weather overhead line power failure prediction method based on random forest | |
CN111047169A (en) | Fault analysis and detection system for power grid dispatching | |
CN114723285A (en) | Power grid equipment safety evaluation prediction method | |
CN116050599A (en) | Line icing fault prediction method, system, storage medium and equipment | |
CN117191147A (en) | Flood discharge dam water level monitoring and early warning method and system | |
CN115587719A (en) | Large power grid static security risk analysis method based on dense power transmission channel disasters | |
CN113537846B (en) | Meteorological disaster-based risk analysis method and system for power transmission and distribution line tower | |
CN116523140A (en) | Method and device for detecting electricity theft, electronic equipment and storage medium | |
CN115577011A (en) | Power transmission line monitoring method and related equipment | |
CN117113157B (en) | Platform district power consumption fault detection system based on artificial intelligence | |
CN118193954A (en) | Power distribution network abnormal data detection method and system based on edge calculation | |
CN113657610A (en) | Hail climate characteristic prediction method based on random forest | |
CN114049053A (en) | Method and device for analyzing risk distribution of power distribution network tower under flood | |
CN117034149A (en) | Fault processing strategy determining method and device, electronic equipment and storage medium | |
CN111506636A (en) | System and method for analyzing residential electricity consumption behavior based on autoregressive and neighbor algorithm | |
CN116341739A (en) | Flood loss pre-assessment method, device, equipment and medium | |
CN116541780A (en) | Power transmission line galloping early warning method, device, equipment and storage medium | |
Li et al. | Prediction Algorithm of Wind Waterlogging Disaster in Distribution Network Based on Multi‐Source Data Fusion | |
CN117131947B (en) | Overhead transmission line fault prediction method, device, equipment and storage medium |
Legal Events
Date | Code | Title | Description |
---|---|---|---|
PB01 | Publication | ||
PB01 | Publication | ||
SE01 | Entry into force of request for substantive examination | ||
SE01 | Entry into force of request for substantive examination | ||
RJ01 | Rejection of invention patent application after publication |
Application publication date: 20220215 |
|
RJ01 | Rejection of invention patent application after publication |