CN113674017A - Method and system for calculating and analyzing optimal proportion of cost sharing of closed-loop supply chain of household appliance - Google Patents
Method and system for calculating and analyzing optimal proportion of cost sharing of closed-loop supply chain of household appliance Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a method and a system for calculating and analyzing optimal proportion of cost sharing of a closed-loop supply chain of a household appliance. The method comprises the following steps: constructing different cost sharing contract decision models under the carbon tax policy of a home appliance manufacturer leading a closed-loop supply chain; solving the models by adopting a reverse method to obtain the optimal solution of the decision variables in each model and the optimal expected profit values of household appliance manufacturers and household appliance retailers; analyzing the influence rule of the carbon tax rate on the pricing decision, expected profit, cost sharing rate and recovery rate of household electrical appliance manufacturers and household electrical appliance retailers through numerical sensitivity; and analyzing different cost sharing contract decision models according to the analysis result. According to the method, different models of cost sharing contracts of the closed-loop supply chain of the household appliances, which are dominated by manufacturers, are constructed, so that the influence rules of the carbon tax rate on the pricing decision, the expected profit, the cost sharing rate and the recovery rate of the members of the closed-loop supply chain of the household appliances are quantitatively analyzed, and finally, the optimal cost sharing scheme is obtained.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of big data application, in particular to a method and a system for calculating and analyzing optimal proportion of cost sharing of a closed-loop supply chain of a household appliance.
Background
Over the past few years, a great deal of research and practice has proven that reducing and controlling carbon emissions is the most direct way to address the current social problem of continued environmental degradation and climate warming, and is becoming a common consensus in international society. Governments and home electronics enterprises are taking different measures to better address this problem. The carbon tax policy is an effective policy measure for guiding household appliance enterprises to reduce and control carbon emission, is well practiced in European Union countries, and achieves preliminary results. Given the importance of Closed Loop Supply Chain (CLSC) management in practice, CLSC is also a key research topic in the academic field. In the home appliance closed-loop supply chain, home appliance manufacturers use clean technology for low-carbon production to reduce carbon tax punishment, and recycle old home appliances from consumers to reduce production costs. The household appliance manufacturer determines the discharge reduction amount, the recovery rate of old household appliances and the wholesale price of unit products according to the tax rate, the emission reduction cost and the recovery cost. The home appliance retailer develops low carbon promotion activities to increase sales in consideration of low carbon preferences of consumers. The home appliance retailer decides the selling price and the investment of the low-carbon promotion activity according to the wholesale price, the promotion activity cost and the selling quantity. Each member of the supply chain makes decisions based on his own profit maximization. But a calculation scheme for quantifying the optimal proportion of cost sharing of the closed-loop supply chain of the household appliance is not available at present.
Disclosure of Invention
In order to solve the problems, the invention discloses a closed-loop supply chain cost sharing contract mechanism calculation analysis method and system based on a carbon tax policy.
In order to achieve the purpose, the invention provides the following technical scheme:
a method for calculating and analyzing optimal proportion of cost sharing of a closed supply chain of household appliances comprises the following steps:
step S1: establishing a non-cooperative decision model and three cooperative decision models, and respectively designing three cost sharing contract coordination supply chains aiming at the cooperative decision models;
step S2: solving each model established in the step S1 by adopting a backward-stepping method to obtain the optimal solution of decision variables in each model and the optimal profit expectation value of a manufacturer main body in a closed-loop household appliance supply chain;
step S3: on the premise of ensuring certain low-carbon preference of consumers and certain low-carbon popularization activity preference of consumers, performing numerical sensitivity analysis of numerical simulation on the model through a mathematical analysis tool according to the optimal solution of the decision variables and the optimal profit expectation value of the members of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain, and determining the influence rule of the carbon tax rate on the pricing decision, the expected profit, the cost sharing rate and the recovery rate of the members of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain;
step S4: and analyzing different cost sharing contract decision models according to the analysis result of the step S3, and obtaining an optimal cost sharing scheme.
Further, in step S3, the mathematical analysis tool uses MATLAB.
Further, in the step S3, it is assumed that the carbon tax rate is uniformly distributed within a certain interval.
Further, the analysis of the different cost sharing contract decision models in step S4 includes comparison between different cooperation models.
A closed-loop supply chain cost sharing contract mechanism calculation analysis system comprises a memory, a processor and a computer program which is stored on the memory and can run on the processor, wherein the computer program realizes the closed-loop supply chain cost sharing contract mechanism calculation analysis method when being loaded to the processor.
Further, the closed-loop supply chain cost sharing contract mechanism calculation analysis system comprises a model establishing module, a model solving module, a simulation analysis module and an analysis comparison module; the model establishing module is used for establishing a non-cooperative decision model and three cooperative decision models which are dominated by a household appliance manufacturer, and designing three cost sharing contract coordination supply chains aiming at the cooperative decision models; the model solving module is used for solving the model established in the model establishing module by adopting a reverse-thrust method to obtain the optimal solution of decision variables in each model and the optimal profit expected value of a manufacturer main body in a closed-loop household appliance supply chain; the simulation analysis module is used for carrying out numerical value sensitivity analysis of numerical value simulation on the model through a mathematical analysis tool and determining the influence rule of the carbon tax rate on the pricing decision, expected profit, cost sharing rate and recovery rate of the members of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain; and the analysis comparison module is used for comparing different cost sharing contract decision models according to the analysis result of the simulation analysis module and obtaining an optimal cost sharing scheme.
Compared with the prior art, the invention has the following advantages and beneficial effects:
the method quantitatively analyzes the influence rule of the carbon tax rate on the pricing decision, the expected profit, the cost sharing rate and the recovery rate of the members of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain under the conditions of the carbon tax policy and the low-carbon preference of the consumer by constructing different models of the cost sharing contract of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain dominated by the manufacturer, and finally obtains the optimal cost sharing scheme; and regulating the closed-loop household appliance supply chain leading by the household appliance manufacturer according to the analysis result, effectively reducing the carbon dioxide emission of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain, and improving the cooperative operation of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain. Meanwhile, the invention provides an automatic system which can be executed in a computer and can realize the method.
Drawings
Fig. 1 is a closed supply chain for government carbon taxes and home appliance manufacturers to reclaim products.
Fig. 2 is a graph of the optimal wholesale price w as a function of the carbon tax rate t.
Fig. 3 is a graph of optimal carbon emission reduction Δ e as a function of carbon tax rate t.
FIG. 4 is a graph of optimal recovery θ as a function of carbon tax rate t.
FIG. 5 is a plot of the optimal retail margin h as a function of carbon tax rate t.
Fig. 6 is a function curve of the low carbon promotion activity v of the optimal home appliance retailer with respect to the carbon tax rate t.
FIG. 7 is a plot of an optimal supply chain retail price p as a function of carbon tax rate t.
FIG. 8 is the optimal supply chain total profit πTCurve of function for carbon tax rate t.
Detailed Description
The technical solutions provided by the present invention will be described in detail below with reference to specific examples, and it should be understood that the following specific embodiments are only illustrative of the present invention and are not intended to limit the scope of the present invention. Additionally, the steps illustrated in the flow charts of the figures may be performed in a computer system such as a set of computer-executable instructions and, although a logical order is illustrated in the flow charts, in some cases, the steps illustrated or described may be performed in an order different than here.
The invention discloses a method for calculating and analyzing optimal proportion of cost sharing of a closed supply chain of household appliances, which comprises the following steps:
step S1: under the conditions of carbon tax policies and low carbon preference of consumers, home appliance manufacturers in closed-loop supply chains carry out carbon emission reduction, recycling and remanufacturing, and home appliance retailers carry out low carbon popularization activities. The closed supply chain members dominated by the home appliance manufacturer include government departments, home appliance manufacturers, home appliance retailers. Based on the background, the contract coordination problem of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain is researched, a non-cooperative decision model and three cooperative decision models which are dominated by a household appliance manufacturer are established, and three cost sharing contract coordination supply chains are respectively designed aiming at the cooperative decision models. The method comprises the following substeps:
step S101: home appliance manufacturers use clean technology for low carbon production to reduce carbon tax punishment, and recycle old home appliances from consumers to reduce production costs. The household appliance manufacturer determines the discharge reduction amount, the recovery rate of old household appliances and the wholesale price of unit products according to the tax rate, the emission reduction cost and the recovery cost. The home appliance retailer develops low carbon promotion activities to increase sales in consideration of low carbon preferences of consumers. The home appliance retailer decides the selling price and the investment of the low-carbon promotion activity according to the wholesale price, the promotion activity cost and the selling quantity. Each member of the supply chain makes decisions based on his own profit maximization.
According to the analysis, a household appliance market demand function and a cost function are constructed:
in the forward sales supply chain, the market demand Q is a-b (w + h) + γ Δ e + λ v. w is the wholesale price of the appliance manufacturer, h is the retail balance of the appliance retailer, a is market capacity, b is customer consumptionThe sensitivity coefficient of a consumer to the retail price, gamma is the preference coefficient of the consumer to carbon emission reduction, lambda is the preference coefficient of the consumer to the low-carbon promotion activity of the home appliance retailer, products sold in the early stage can be recycled, new products are reproduced, and delta e is the emission reduction of carbon dioxide. Old appliance recovery Q of appliance manufacturer in reverse recovery supply chainrThe new product produced by the old household appliance cannot meet the market demand (theta is the recovery rate, 0 < theta < 1), namely: q>Qr. The home appliance manufacturer can preferentially use the old home appliances to produce when producing the products, then use the new materials to produce, and the products produced by the two modes are homogeneous, the home appliance manufacturer sells the products at the same wholesale price, and the home appliance retailer sells the products to consumers at the same retail price. The Stacklberg game which is dominated by the household appliance manufacturer is formed between the household appliance manufacturer and the retailer, and the game is a symmetrical game. The cost of producing unit products by using new materials and old household appliances by household appliance manufacturers is cm、cr. Wherein c isr<cmLet δ be cm-cr. The government collects carbon tax on carbon dioxide emitted by household appliance manufacturers, and the tax rate is t yuan/ton; the household appliance manufacturers adopt the carbon emission reduction technology, the emission of carbon dioxide of the products of production units is reduced by delta e, and the emission reduction cost isMu is the carbon emission reduction cost coefficient corresponding to the carbon emission reduction of the household appliance manufacturer. The recovery rate of the old household appliances is a function of the recovery investment of the old household appliances, the recovery rate of the invention depends on the investment of the household appliance manufacturer on the recovery activity, the recovery rate is an increasing function of the recovery investment of the household appliance manufacturer, and the recovery rate function is as follows:
M=Cb*θ2cost invested for home appliance manufacturers to recycle old home appliances, CbA recycling cost factor invested for the home appliance manufacturer corresponding to the recycling rate of the old home appliances. The household appliance retailer carries out low-carbon promotion activities with the cost function ofU is the cost coefficient of the low-carbon promotion activities of the household appliance retailers, and v is the effort degree of the low-carbon promotion activities of the retailers.Represents the profit of the appliance manufacturer in the decision model 0, o ∈ { N, A, BP, BR }.
Step S102: according to the analysis in step S101, each profit maximization model is obtained as follows:
non-cooperative decision model (model N):
in the model, home appliance manufacturers and home appliance retailers aim to achieve the maximization of their profits, the home appliance manufacturers make decisions on carbon emission reduction levels, recovery ratios and wholesale prices, and the home appliance retailers make decisions on low-carbon popularization activity investment and retail balance. From the foregoing assumptions, the home appliance manufacturer and home appliance retailer profit functions are:
one-way cooperative decision model (model a):
on the basis of a non-cooperative decision model, the household appliance manufacturer sets a sharing ratio beta (beta is more than or equal to 0 and less than or equal to 1) to subsidize the low-carbon promotion activity cost of the household appliance retailer to a certain degree, and provides an additional subsidy K for the household appliance retailerA. From the foregoing assumptions, the home appliance manufacturer and retailer profit functions are known as:
s.t
a two-way collaborative decision model (model Bp) to subsidize carbon emission reduction costs:
on the basis of a non-cooperative decision model, the household appliance manufacturer sets a sharing ratio beta1(0≤β1Less than or equal to 1) subsidy low-carbon promotion activity cost of the home appliance retailer, and provide additional subsidy K for the home appliance retailerBp. Home appliance retailer setting sharing ratio beta2(0≤β2Not more than 1) subsidy the carbon emission reduction production cost of the household appliance manufacturer.
s.t
Two-way cooperation decision model (model Br) for subsidizing recovery cost
On the basis of a non-cooperative decision model, the household appliance manufacturer sets a sharing ratio beta1(0≤β1Less than or equal to 1) subsidy low-carbon promotion activity cost of the home appliance retailer, and provide additional subsidy K for the home appliance retailerBr. Home appliance retailer setting sharing ratio beta3(0≤β3Not more than 1) subsidizing the cost of recycling old household appliances for household appliance manufacturers.
s.t
Step S2: solving the models by adopting a reverse-thrust method to obtain the optimal solution of decision variables in each model and the optimal profit expectation value of a manufacturer main body in a closed-loop household appliance supply chain; the method specifically comprises the following substeps:
step S201: home appliance retailers expect the greatest profit:
model N
Hessian matrix of home appliance retailer profit function:
it can be known thatWhen in useThe home appliance retailer profit function is a concave function with respect to h and v, so there is a maximum equal to the maximum value by solving the following system of equations:
obtaining an expression of a maximum value point:
model A
Hessian matrix of home appliance retailer profit function:
it can be known thatWhen in useThe home appliance retailer profit function is a concave function with respect to h and v, so there is a maximum equal to the maximum value by solving the following system of equations:
obtaining an expression of a maximum value point:
model Bp
Hessian matrix of home appliance retailer profit function:
it can be known thatWhen in useThe home appliance retailer profit function is a concave function with respect to h and v, so there is a maximum equal to the maximum value by solving the following system of equations:
obtaining an expression of a maximum value point:
model Br
Hessian matrix of home appliance retailer profit function:
it can be known thatWhen in useThe home appliance retailer profit function is a concave function with respect to h and v, so there is a maximum equal to the maximum value by solving the following system of equations:
obtaining an expression of a maximum value point:
step S202: home appliance manufacturers expect the greatest profit: the optimal solution of the expected profit obtained in step S201 is substituted into the objective function with the maximum profit for the home appliance manufacturer, which is specifically as follows:
model N
Substituting h (w, Δ e), v (w, Δ e) into equation (1) yields a hessian matrix for the appliance manufacturer profit function for w, Δ e, θ:
therefore, the following steps are carried out:
therefore, when 2 λ2μ+U[γ2+2bγt+bU(bt2-4μ)]<0
And 4Cbλ2μ+2Cb[γ2+2bγt+bU(bt2-4μ)]+b2μUδ2The profit function of the home appliance manufacturer at < 0 is a concave function with respect to w, θ, Δ e, and thus has a maximum value, i.e., a maximum value, and the following equation is solved:
can determine wN*,ΔeN*,θN*,hN*,vN*。
Model A
Substituting h (w, Δ e, β), v (w, Δ e, β) into equation (3) yields a hessian matrix for the appliance manufacturer profit function for w, Δ e, θ:
therefore, the following steps are carried out:
thus when
[(2-3β)λ2-4b(β-1)2U]μ+(β-1)2U(γ2+2bγt+b2t2)<0,
And b is2δ2μU(β-1)2+2Cb{[(2-3β)λ2-4b(β-1)2U]μ+(β-1)2U(γ2+2bγt+b2t2) The profit function of the appliance manufacturer at } < 0 is a concave function with respect to w, θ, Δ e, and thus has a maximum value, i.e., a maximum value, by solving the following equation
From the first order conditions, w can be obtainedA(β),ΔeA(β),θA(β) substituting it intoThereby obtaining hA(β),vA(beta). Will wA(β),ΔeA(β),θA(β),hA(β),vA(β) substitution into equation (3) due to the second derivativeMaking the first derivative zero to obtainWill beta1 A*Substitution into wA(β),ΔeA(β),θA(β),hA(β),vA(β) then w can be determinedA*,ΔeA*,θA*,hA*,vA*. Finally, K can be obtained by satisfying the constraint condition (5)A*。
Model Bp
H (w, delta e, beta)1),v(w,Δe,β1) Substituting equation (6) to obtain the hessian matrix for the appliance manufacturer profit function for w, Δ e, θ:
[(2-3β1)λ2-4b(β1-1)2U](β2-1)μ+(β1-1)2U(γ2+2bγt+b2t2) Is < 0 and
b2δ2μU(β1-1)2(1-β2)+2Cb{[(2-3β1)λ2-4b(β1-1)2U](β2-1)μ+(β1-1)2U(γ2+2bγt+b2t2) When the ratio is less than 0, the ratio is more than zero,is a joint concave function with respect to w, Δ e, θ. Solving the following system of equations
From first order conditionsSubstitute it into Thereby obtainingWill be provided with Substitution into equations (6), (7) due to second derivativeMaking the first derivative zero to obtain
Will be provided withSubstitution intoThen it can be determinedFinally, the constraint condition (8) is satisfied to obtain
Model Br
H (w, delta e, beta)1),v(w,Δe,β1) Substituting equation (9) results in a hessian matrix for the appliance manufacturer profit function for w, Δ e, θ:
therefore, the following steps are carried out:
when mu [ lambda ]2(2-3β1)-4bU(1-β1)2]+(1-β1)2U(γ2+2bγt+b2t2)<0
And b is2δ2μU(β1-1)2+2Cb(1-β3){μ[λ2(2-3β1)-4bU(1-β1)2]+(1-β1)2U(γ2+2bγt+b2t2) When the ratio is less than 0, the ratio is more than zero,is a joint concave function with respect to w, Δ e, θ. Solving the following system of equations
From first order conditionsSubstitute it into Thereby obtainingWill be provided with Substitution into equations (9), (10) due to second derivativeMaking the first derivative zero to obtain
Will be provided withSubstitution intoThen it can be determinedFinally, the constraint condition (11) is satisfied to obtain
Step S203: the optimal solution of each model obtained in step S202.
Model N
In the N model, the best decision for the appliance manufacturer and retailer is:
by mixing wN*,ΔeN*,θN*,hN*And vN*Substituting the values of (a) and (b) into equations (1) and (2) yields the optimum profits for the appliance manufacturer, retailer, and overall supply chain as:
the best decision for model a appliance manufacturers and retailers is:
by mixing betaA*,wA*,ΔeA*,θA*,hA*And vA*Substituting the values of (a) into equations (3) and (4) yields the optimum profits for the appliance manufacturer, retailer, and overall supply chain as:
the best decision for model Bp appliance manufacturers and retailers is:
by mixingwBp*,ΔeBp*,θBp*,hBp*And vBp*Substituting the values of (a) into equations (6) and (7) yields the optimum profits for the appliance manufacturer, retailer, and overall supply chain as:
model Br
The best decision for the appliance manufacturer and appliance retailer is:
the optimal profit for the appliance manufacturer, retailer and the entire supply chain is obtained as:
step S3: under the condition of ensuring that the low-carbon preference gamma of the consumer and the low-carbon popularization activity preference lambda of the consumer are certain, performing numerical sensitivity analysis of numerical simulation on the model through a mathematical analysis tool MATLAB according to the optimal solution of the decision variable and the optimal profit expectation value of the members of the supply chain of the closed-loop household appliance, and determining the influence rule of the carbon tax rate t on the pricing decision, the expected profit, the cost sharing rate and the recovery rate of the members of the supply chain of the closed-loop household appliance. In this process, to simplify the analysis process, it is assumed that t is subject to a uniform distribution between [0,15] and that the market parameters γ is 4.5 and λ is 6.
Step S4: and analyzing different cost sharing contract decision-making models according to the analysis result of the step S3, wherein the analysis comprises comparing different cooperation models by using MATLAB software through sensitivity analysis, and obtaining an optimal cost sharing scheme and an optimal sharing proportion.
Since it is difficult to obtain an explicit solution in step S2, for further analysis, the model is simplified and the parameters are assigned a to 100, b to 1, e to 3.8, γ to 4.5, λ to 6, and c tom=20,δ=15,Cb300, U100, μ 300, solving the numerical solution of each decision variable and profit function, analyzing and researching the change rule of the decision variable, expected profit and social welfare expectation value when the inventory change, namely the demand uncertainty is taken as the fuzzy random change of the disturbance factor.
From the calculation results, it is found that:
Through the analysis, the home appliance retailer is willing to share the carbon emission reduction cost of the home appliance manufacturer when the low carbon preference of the consumer, the carbon tax rate and the cost of recycling the old home appliance are high or the cost saved by producing each unit of product by the old home appliance is low; conversely, the appliance retailer is willing to share the recycling costs of the appliance manufacturer.
Carbon tax rate t for optimal wholesale price w*As shown in FIG. 2, it can be seen that the wholesale price of the home appliance manufacturer will be increased with the increase of carbon tax, when t < t*When the temperature of the water is higher than the set temperature,on the contrary, the method can be used for carrying out the following steps,this illustrates that in terms of price decision, when t < t*At present, home appliance manufacturers prefer to perform bidirectional cooperative carbon emission reduction with home appliance retailers; when t > t*At times, home appliance manufacturers prefer to work with home appliance retailersOne-way cooperation.
Carbon tax rate t versus optimal carbon emission reduction Δ e*As can be seen from fig. 3, the household appliance manufacturer increases the investment of carbon emission reduction as the carbon tax increases, and in the bidirectional cooperation decision model for cooperative carbon emission reduction, the marginal optimal carbon emission reduction amount of the household appliance manufacturer continuously increases as the carbon tax increases, and continuously decreases in other models.
Carbon tax rate t for optimal recovery θ*As can be seen in fig. 4, the optimum recovery rate for the appliance manufacturer decreases with increasing carbon tax, which is significantly higher in the two-way collaborative decision model for collaborative recovery than in the other models. When the tax rate is high, a growing trend occurs in the two-way collaborative decision model.
Since the appliance retailer profits are the same across different models, the carbon tax rate impact on appliance manufacturer profits is consistent with the supply chain total profits.
As can be seen from the analysis of FIGS. 1, 2 and 3, the influence of the carbon tax rate on the optimal decision of the home appliance manufacturer is shown in BpSignificant in the model, followed by BrThe model, again model a, is superior to model N, so home appliance manufacturers tend to work with home appliance retailers in both directions. The increase of carbon tax will guide home appliance manufacturers to select a bidirectional cooperation decision model for cooperative carbon emission reduction to increase carbon emission reduction, thereby reducing cost, expanding sales volume and improving competitive advantage of products. In addition, for different models, high carbon taxes cannot well guide enterprises to carry out carbon emission reduction, and governments deal with enterprises of different scales and types to make different carbon tax policies.
Carbon tax rate t for optimal retail margin h*As can be seen in fig. 5, the optimal retail balance decreases with increasing carbon tax, while the retail balance in the collaborative carbon reduction model tends to increase when the tax rate is higher. t < t*Time of day, at the same tax rateOn the contrary, the method can be used for carrying out the following steps,therefore, in price decision, when t < t*At the same time, the home appliance retailer prefers to cooperate with the home appliance manufacturer for recycling; when t > t*At times, home appliance retailers prefer to cooperate with home appliance manufacturers for carbon emissions reduction.
Carbon tax rate t invests in low carbon promotional campaigns for optimal home appliance retailers v*As shown in fig. 6, it can be seen that the investment of low-carbon promotion activities of the optimal home appliance retailer decreases with the increase of carbon tax, and when the tax rate is higher, a growth trend appears in the cooperative carbon emission reduction model. t < t*Time of day, at the same tax rateOn the contrary, the method can be used for carrying out the following steps,therefore, under the same tax rate, when t < t*In time, the cooperative recovery model can more motivate home appliance retailers to carry out carbon emission reduction promotion activities; when t > t*In time, the cooperation with the carbon emission reduction model can more motivate household appliance retailers to carry out carbon emission reduction promotion activities.
As can be seen from the analysis in fig. 5 and 6, when the carbon tax rate is low, the home appliance manufacturer can cooperate with the home appliance manufacturer to recover the carbon tax, which is beneficial for the home appliance retailer to make positive decisions; when the carbon tax rate is high, the carbon tax rate is reduced by cooperating with the household appliance manufacturer, which is beneficial for the household appliance retailer to make positive decisions.
Carbon tax Rate t for optimal retail price p*The influence of (2) is shown in fig. 7, it can be seen that the optimal retail price of the commodity increases with the increase of the carbon tax rate, and the optimal retail price relationship of each model under the same tax rate is
Total profit of carbon tax rate t for optimal decision pi*As can be seen in fig. 8, the total profit for the optimal decision for each model of the closed-loop supply chain decreases as the carbon tax rate increases. The optimal total profit relationship of each model under the same tax rate is as follows:
therefore, under the condition of a certain carbon tax, t < t*The home appliance manufacturer and the home appliance retailer are in bidirectional cooperation, so that the home appliance manufacturer and the whole supply chain can achieve optimal profit; t > t*In time, the home appliance manufacturer and the home appliance retailer perform bidirectional cooperation for cooperative carbon emission reduction, so that the overall profit of the supply chain and the profit of the members can be optimized.
It can be analyzed and known by combining fig. 7 and 8 that when the carbon tax rate is high, the supply chain members who mainly run high-quality and high-price products can achieve the optimal price, sales and profit by selecting a bidirectional cooperation decision model for cooperative carbon emission reduction. From the above, carbon tax can guide the closed-loop household appliance supply chain member to select the bidirectional cooperation decision model, and the high carbon tax rate selects B for the supply chain memberpThe model has strong guidance.
According to the invention, under the conditions of carbon tax policy and low carbon preference of consumers, different cooperation decision models are designed for a closed-loop household appliance supply chain consisting of a single household appliance manufacturer and a household appliance retailer, and the contract coordination problem of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain is researched on the basis. Therefore, when the household appliance enterprises are influenced by the government carbon tax policy and the low carbon preference of consumers, the most favorable cost sharing interest contract can be shared through different influence degrees of various factors and different choices of the characteristics of the household appliance products.
The increase of carbon tax can reduce the total profit of the supply chain, so the carbon tax can guide household appliance supply chain members to select the most favorable cooperative operation mode according with the requirements of the household appliance supply chain members, and the bidirectional cooperative decision model can well realize the optimal balance between the profit of the household appliance supply chain members and the energy conservation and emission reduction. Particularly, when the carbon tax rate is high, the household appliance supply chain members who mainly run high-price and low-sale products can achieve the optimal profit, price and emission reduction by selecting a bidirectional cooperation decision model for cooperative carbon emission reduction. Household appliance supply chain members who host low-price and multi-sale products can achieve optimal profit, sales volume and emission reduction by selecting a bidirectional cooperation decision model for cooperation recovery. The government can guide different household appliance enterprises to select different cooperation decision models by adopting different carbon tax rates, so that the purposes of household appliance industry optimization, energy conservation, emission reduction and green sustainable development are achieved. The following table shows the parameters used in the present invention, the meanings of which are to be read together:
TABLE 1 description of the parameters
Based on the same inventive concept, the invention also provides a system for calculating and analyzing the cost sharing optimal proportion of the closed-loop supply chain of the household appliance, which comprises a memory, a processor and a computer program which is stored on the memory and can run on the processor, wherein the computer program realizes the method for calculating and analyzing the cost sharing contract mechanism of the closed-loop supply chain when being loaded to the processor. The closed-loop supply chain cost sharing contract mechanism calculation and analysis system comprises a model establishing module, a model solving module, a simulation analysis module and an analysis comparison module. The model establishing module is used for establishing a non-cooperative decision model and three cooperative decision models which are dominated by a household appliance manufacturer, designing three cost sharing contract coordinating supply chains aiming at the cooperative decision models, and specifically realizing the content of step S1 in the closed-loop supply chain cost sharing contract mechanism calculation analysis method; the model solving module is used for solving the model established in the model establishing module by adopting a reverse-thrust method, obtaining the optimal solution of decision variables in each model and the optimal profit expectation value of a manufacturer main body in a closed-loop household appliance supply chain, and particularly realizing the content of step S2 in the cost sharing contract mechanism calculation analysis method of the closed-loop supply chain; the simulation analysis module is used for carrying out numerical value sensitivity analysis of numerical value simulation on the model through a mathematical analysis tool, determining the influence rule of the carbon tax rate on the pricing decision, expected profit, cost sharing rate and recovery rate of the members of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain, and particularly realizing the content of step S3 in the closed-loop supply chain cost sharing contract mechanism calculation analysis method; and the analysis and comparison module is used for comparing different cost sharing contract decision models according to the analysis result of the simulation analysis module, obtaining an optimal cost sharing scheme and specifically realizing the content of step S4 in the closed-loop supply chain cost sharing contract mechanism calculation and analysis method.
The technical means disclosed in the invention scheme are not limited to the technical means disclosed in the above embodiments, but also include the technical scheme formed by any combination of the above technical features. It should be noted that those skilled in the art can make various improvements and modifications without departing from the principle of the present invention, and such improvements and modifications are also considered to be within the scope of the present invention.
Claims (8)
1. A method for calculating and analyzing optimal proportion of cost sharing of a closed supply chain of household appliances is characterized by comprising the following steps:
step S1: establishing a non-cooperative decision model and three cooperative decision models, and respectively designing three cost sharing contract coordination supply chains aiming at the cooperative decision models;
step S2: solving each model established in the step S1 by adopting a backward-stepping method to obtain the optimal solution of decision variables in each model and the optimal profit expectation value of a manufacturer main body in a closed-loop household appliance supply chain;
step S3: on the premise of ensuring certain low-carbon preference of consumers and certain low-carbon popularization activity preference of consumers, performing numerical sensitivity analysis of numerical simulation on the model through a mathematical analysis tool according to the optimal solution of the decision variables and the optimal profit expectation value of the members of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain, and determining the influence rule of the carbon tax rate on the pricing decision, the expected profit, the cost sharing rate and the recovery rate of the members of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain;
step S4: and analyzing different cost sharing contract decision models according to the analysis result of the step S3, and obtaining an optimal cost sharing scheme.
2. The method for computing and analyzing the optimal proportion of cost sharing in the closed supply chain of the household appliances according to claim 1, wherein the step S1 comprises the following sub-steps:
step S101: constructing a household appliance market demand function and a cost function:
in the forward sales supply chain, the market demand Q ═ a-b (w + h) + γ Δ e + λ v; w is the wholesale price of the home appliance manufacturer, h is the retail balance of the home appliance retailer, a is the market capacity, b is the sensitivity coefficient of the consumer to the retail price, gamma is the preference coefficient of the consumer to carbon emission reduction, lambda is the product sold in the early stage of the preference coefficient of the consumer to the low-carbon promotion activity of the home appliance retailer can be recycled to reproduce a new product, and delta e is the reduction of carbon dioxide emission; old appliance recovery Q of appliance manufacturer in reverse recovery supply chainrTheta is the recovery rate, theta is more than 0 and less than 1, and a new product produced by the old household appliance cannot meet the market demand, namely: q>Qr(ii) a The cost of producing unit products by using new materials and old household appliances by household appliance manufacturers is cm、cr(ii) a Wherein c isr<cmLet δ be cm-cr(ii) a The government collects carbon tax on carbon dioxide emitted by household appliance manufacturers, and the tax rate is t yuan/ton; the household appliance manufacturers adopt the carbon emission reduction technology, the emission of carbon dioxide of the products of production units is reduced by delta e, and the emission reduction cost isMu is a carbon emission reduction cost coefficient corresponding to carbon emission reduction of a household appliance manufacturer; the recovery rate of the old household appliances is a function of the recovery investment of the old household appliances, and the recovery rate function is as follows:
M=Cb*θ2cost invested for home appliance manufacturers to recycle old home appliances, CbA recycling cost coefficient invested for the home appliance manufacturer corresponding to the recycling rate of the old home appliances; the household appliance retailer carries out low-carbon promotion activities with the cost function ofU is a cost coefficient of low-carbon promotion activities performed by the household appliance retailer, and v is the effort degree of the low-carbon promotion activities of the retailer;representing the profit of the household appliance manufacturer in a 0 decision model, and o belongs to { N, A, BP, BR };
step S102: according to the analysis in step S101, each profit maximization model is obtained as follows:
non-cooperative decision model N:
the home appliance manufacturer and home appliance retailer profit functions are:
one-way cooperative decision model a:
the home appliance manufacturer and retailer profit functions are:
s.t
wherein, beta is the sharing ratio of subsidizing the low-carbon promotion activity cost of the home appliance retailer to a certain degree set by the home appliance manufacturer in the model, KAProviding additional subsidies to the appliance retailer;
a bidirectional cooperative decision model Bp for subsidizing carbon emission reduction cost:
s.t
wherein, beta1Subsidy sharing ratio, K, for low carbon promotional activity cost of home appliance retailers set by home appliance manufacturersBpFor additional subsidies provided to the retailer of the appliance, beta2Setting a sharing ratio for subsidizing the carbon emission reduction production cost of the home appliance manufacturer for the home appliance retailer;
bidirectional cooperation decision model Br for subsidizing recovery cost
s.t
Wherein, on the basis of the non-cooperative decision model, KBrAdditional subsidies, beta, for home appliance manufacturers to home appliance retailers3A share ratio set for the home appliance retailer subsidizing the cost of the home appliance manufacturer's recycling of old home appliances.
3. The method for calculating and analyzing the optimal proportion of cost sharing in the closed supply chain of the household appliance according to claim 1, wherein the step 2 specifically comprises the following substeps:
step S201: home appliance retailers expect the greatest profit:
model N
Hessian matrix of home appliance retailer profit function:
it can be known thatWhen in useThe home appliance retailer profit function is a concave function with respect to h and v, so there is a maximum equal to the maximum value by solving the following system of equations:
obtaining an expression of a maximum value point:
model A
Hessian matrix of home appliance retailer profit function:
it can be known thatWhen in useThe home appliance retailer profit function is a concave function with respect to h and v, so there is a maximum equal to the maximum value by solving the following system of equations:
obtaining an expression of a maximum value point:
model Bp
Hessian matrix of home appliance retailer profit function:
it can be known thatWhen in useThe home appliance retailer profit function is a concave function with respect to h and v, so there is a maximum equal to the maximum value by solving the following system of equations:
obtaining an expression of a maximum value point:
model Br
Hessian matrix of home appliance retailer profit function:
it can be known thatWhen in useThe home appliance retailer profit function is a concave function with respect to h and v, so that there is a maximum equal to the maximum, allOver-solving the following system of equations:
obtaining an expression of a maximum value point:
step S202: home appliance manufacturers expect the greatest profit: the optimal solution of the expected profit obtained in step S201 is substituted into the objective function with the maximum profit for the home appliance manufacturer, which is specifically as follows:
model N
Substituting h (w, Δ e), v (w, Δ e) into equation (1) yields a hessian matrix for the appliance manufacturer profit function for w, Δ e, θ:
therefore, the following steps are carried out:
therefore, when 2 λ2μ+U[γ2+2bγt+bU(bt2-4μ)]<0
And 4Cbλ2μ+2Cb[γ2+2bγt+bU(bt2-4μ)]+b2μUδ2At time < 0The home appliance manufacturer profit function is a concave function with respect to w, θ, Δ e, and thus has a maximum value, i.e., a maximum value, by solving the following equation:
can determine wN*,ΔeN*,θN*,hN*,vN*;
Model A
Substituting h (w, Δ e, β), v (w, Δ e, β) into equation (4) yields a hessian matrix for the appliance manufacturer profit function for w, Δ e, θ:
therefore, the following steps are carried out:
thus when
[(2-3β)λ2-4b(β-1)2U]μ+(β-1)2U(γ2+2bγt+b2t2)<0,
And b is2δ2μU(β-1)2+2Cb{[(2-3β)λ2-4b(β-1)2U]μ+(β-1)2U(γ2+2bγt+b2t2) The home appliance manufacturer profit function is a concave function with respect to w, θ, Δ e when the } < 0, and thus has a maximum value, i.e., a maximum valueMaximum value by solving the following equation
From the first order conditions, w can be obtainedA(β),ΔeA(β),θA(β) substituting it intoThereby obtaining hA(β),vA(β); will wA(β),ΔeA(β),θA(β),hA(β),vA(β) substitution into equation (3) due to the second derivativeMaking the first derivative zero to obtainWill be provided withSubstitution into wA(β),ΔeA(β),θA(β),hA(β),vA(β) then w can be determinedA*,ΔeA*,θA*,hA*,vA*(ii) a Finally, the constraint condition (5) is satisfied to obtainModel Bp
H (w, delta e, beta)1),v(w,Δe,β1) Substituting equation (7) results in a hessian matrix for the appliance manufacturer profit function for w, Δ e, θ:
[(2-3β1)λ2-4b(β1-1)2U](β2-1)μ+(β1-1)2U(γ2+2bγt+b2t2) < 0 and b2δ2μU(β1-1)2(1-β2)+2Cb{[(2-3β1)λ2-4b(β1-1)2U](β2-1)μ+(β1-1)2U(γ2+2bγt+b2t2) When the ratio is less than 0, the ratio is more than zero,is a joint concave function with respect to w, Δ e, θ; solving the following system of equations
From first order conditionsSubstitute it into Thereby obtainingWill be provided with Substitution into equations (6), (7) due to second derivativeMaking the first derivative zero to obtain
Will be provided withSubstitution intoThen it can be determinedFinally, the constraint condition (8) is satisfied to obtain
Model Br
H (w, delta e, beta)1),v(w,Δe,β1) Substituting equation (10) results in a hessian matrix for the appliance manufacturer profit function for w, Δ e, θ:
therefore, the following steps are carried out:
when mu [ lambda ]2(2-3β1)-4bU(1-β1)2]+(1-β1)2U(γ2+2bγt+b2t2) < 0 and b2δ2μU(β1-1)2+2Cb(1-β3){μ[λ2(2-3β1)-4bU(1-β1)2]+(1-β1)2U(γ2+2bγt+b2t2) When the ratio is less than 0, the ratio is more than zero,is a joint concave function with respect to w, Δ e, θ; solving the following system of equations
From first order conditionsSubstitute it into Thereby obtainingWill be provided with Substitution into equations (9), (10) due to second derivativeMaking the first derivative zero to obtain
Will be provided withSubstitution intoThen it can be determinedFinally, the constraint condition (11) is satisfied to obtain
Step S203: according to the optimal solution of each model obtained in step S202:
model N
In the N model, the best decision for the appliance manufacturer and retailer is:
by mixing wN*,ΔeN*,θN*,hN*And vN*Substituting the values of (a) and (b) into equations (1) and (2) yields the optimum profits for the appliance manufacturer, retailer, and overall supply chain:
the best decision for model a appliance manufacturers and retailers is:
by mixing betaA*,wA*,ΔeA*,θA*,hA*And vA*Substituting the values of (a) into equations (3) and (4) yields the optimum profits for the appliance manufacturer, retailer, and overall supply chain as:
the best decision for model Bp appliance manufacturers and retailers is:
by mixingwBp*,ΔeBp*,θBp*,hBp*And vBp*Substituting the values of (a) into equations (6) and (7) yields the optimum profits for the appliance manufacturer, retailer, and overall supply chain as:
model Br
The best decision for the appliance manufacturer and appliance retailer is:
will be provided withAndsubstituting the values of (a) into equations (9) and (10) yields the optimum profits for the appliance manufacturer, retailer, and overall supply chain as:
4. the method for computing and analyzing the cost sharing optimal proportion of the closed supply chain of the household appliances according to claim 1, wherein in the step S3, the mathematical analysis tool adopts MATLAB.
5. The method for calculating and analyzing the optimal proportion of cost sharing in the closed supply chain of home appliances as claimed in claim 1, wherein in step S3, it is assumed that the carbon tax rate is uniformly distributed within a certain interval.
6. The method for cost sharing optimal ratio calculation and analysis of closed supply chain of household appliances as claimed in claim 1, wherein the analysis of different cost sharing contract decision models in step S4 includes comparison between different cooperation models.
7. A closed-loop supply chain cost sharing contract mechanism computational analysis system comprising a memory, a processor and a computer program stored on the memory and executable on the processor, wherein the computer program when loaded into the processor implements the closed-loop supply chain cost sharing contract mechanism computational analysis method of any one of claims 1 to 6.
8. The closed-loop supply chain cost sharing contract mechanism calculation and analysis system of claim 1, wherein the closed-loop supply chain cost sharing contract mechanism calculation and analysis system comprises a model establishing module, a model solving module, a simulation analysis module and an analysis comparison module; the model establishing module is used for establishing a non-cooperative decision model and three cooperative decision models which are dominated by a household appliance manufacturer, and designing three cost sharing contract coordination supply chains aiming at the cooperative decision models; the model solving module is used for solving the model established in the model establishing module by adopting a reverse-thrust method to obtain the optimal solution of decision variables in each model and the optimal profit expected value of a manufacturer main body in a closed-loop household appliance supply chain; the simulation analysis module is used for carrying out numerical value sensitivity analysis of numerical value simulation on the model through a mathematical analysis tool and determining the influence rule of the carbon tax rate on the pricing decision, expected profit, cost sharing rate and recovery rate of the members of the closed-loop household appliance supply chain; and the analysis comparison module is used for comparing different cost sharing contract decision models according to the analysis result of the simulation analysis module and obtaining an optimal cost sharing scheme.
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