CN113673831B - Dynamic evaluation system for safety production risk - Google Patents

Dynamic evaluation system for safety production risk Download PDF

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CN113673831B
CN113673831B CN202110850261.2A CN202110850261A CN113673831B CN 113673831 B CN113673831 B CN 113673831B CN 202110850261 A CN202110850261 A CN 202110850261A CN 113673831 B CN113673831 B CN 113673831B
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CN113673831A (en
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叶磊
王登银
熊保锋
张帅
周碧云
王雨婷
岳超
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PowerChina Huadong Engineering Corp Ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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Abstract

The invention provides a dynamic evaluation system for safety production risk, which comprises the following components: the system comprises a risk identification module, a risk process management and control module, a risk dynamic evaluation module and a risk dynamic value statistics module. According to the risk classification management and control method, the risk classification management and control and the risk dynamic assessment are combined, the triggering conditions of the dynamic assessment are set in the risk classification management and control process, the dynamic assessment content is questionnaired, the risk dynamic assessment is informationized and standardized, the risk management and control efficiency is improved, and the rising reason of the risk value is recorded for analysis.

Description

Dynamic evaluation system for safety production risk
Technical Field
The invention relates to the field of safety risk management and control, in particular to a safety production risk dynamic evaluation system which is applicable to industries including new energy engineering, municipal traffic engineering and constructional engineering, in particular to construction of a safety production risk dual prevention mechanism for water conservancy and hydropower engineering risk grading management and hidden danger investigation and control.
Background
For risk classification management and control, each industry has respective risk classification, identification and classification methods. And for dynamic risk management and control, implementing management and control responsibility according to the security risk assessment result and the corresponding management and control measures. The dynamic evaluation is embodied in the process of continuously executing risk identification and then managing and controlling along with the continuous change development of the production system, which has operability for project states with obvious nodes, however, the dynamic evaluation of the risk is realized by nodes with large projects, and the management and control of the risk are not good due to the large node range and period and the small and exquisite management and control of the risk. On the other hand, in the field of water conservancy and hydropower engineering, a more mature evaluation model is calculated for dynamic evaluation from four dimensions by using dynamic adjustment coefficients, and the evaluation is comprehensive and sufficiently refined, however, the dynamic evaluation is difficult to realize due to lack of a standard triggering comprehensive dynamic evaluation, and risk management and control is not active. And because the evaluation is comprehensive, the workload is relatively large, if all risks are comprehensively evaluated, unnecessary waste is caused, the effort is low, and the risk management and control is also a disadvantage. In the process of implementing risk dynamic management and control, the risk dynamic assessment is triggered by combining the management and control states, so that the dynamic assessment is established on the same standard, the risk dynamic assessment is more floor and has operability, and the risk management and control for safety production is more beneficial.
Disclosure of Invention
Aiming at the defects existing in the prior art, the invention aims to provide a safety production risk dynamic assessment system, which combines risk classification management and control with risk dynamic assessment, sets a triggering condition of dynamic assessment in the risk classification management and control process, questionnaires dynamic assessment content, realizes risk dynamic assessment informatization and standardization, improves risk management and control efficiency, and records the rising reason of a risk value for analysis.
In order to achieve the above purpose, the present invention adopts the following technical scheme:
A system for dynamic assessment of risk of safety production, comprising:
And the risk identification module is used for identifying and inputting risk classification management and control information based on the LEC value. The project risk identification information is input, and the content comprises the part of the project, the risk category, the risk name, the accident cause, the possible consequences, the pre-control measure and the LEC value (L is the possibility of accident, E is the frequency of human body exposure in the dangerous environment, and C is the loss consequence caused by accident once the accident occurs). The initial risk value d1=l×e×c is obtained therefrom. And determining risk levels according to the D1 value, wherein risks of different levels specify management and control responsible persons and management and control periods of different levels.
And the risk process management and control module is used for respectively setting the early warning conditions of all risk grades according to management and control contents aiming at risks of different grades, pushing early warning information to risk management and control responsible persons once the early warning conditions are reached, and automatically pushing a check list in the form of a comprehensive risk assessment questionnaire. The risk process management and control module refines the content of risk management and control into non-judgment options, corresponding management and control responsible persons select on-site conditions according to various description contents, and formed data are recorded in the system. The risk process management content is divided into general control items and strict control items, the early warning conditions are comprehensively judged according to the number of non-conforming items and the number of exceeding cycles, the items are used as units for self setting, the set objects are the general control items, and the early warning is immediately carried out when the strict control items are not conforming.
The risk dynamic evaluation module is used for questionnaizing the risk dynamic evaluation content, making the actual conditions of people, machines, environments and management into questionnaire survey forms, selecting the content therein and automatically calculating according to a calculation formula by the system. And the risk dynamic evaluation module pushes the risk dynamic evaluation to a management and control responsible person for evaluation according to the data generated in the management and control process of the risk process management and control module if the early warning is triggered. The risk dynamic assessment is divided into active assessment and passive assessment, the active assessment is not limited, discrimination can be performed at any time, when the risk generates early warning, the passive assessment is pushed to a management and control responsible person, the passive assessment is forced to be executed, and corresponding data are recorded in the system.
And the risk dynamic value statistics module is used for automatically calculating a dynamic risk value D2 according to the dynamic evaluation content and automatically counting the rising reason of the risk value. The dynamic risk value D2 can only rise and cannot fall relative to the D1 value, and after the D2 rises, management and control responsible persons are required to fill in corresponding rectifying measures, and the D2 value can only be restored to the D1 value.
Through the module, the early warning conditions are set by taking the project as a unit, the general management and control project and the strict management and control project are distinguished, the early warning is provided by integrating the management and control cycle conditions, the early warning information and the dynamic evaluation content are pushed to a management and control responsible person in an early warning mode, the contents of different dimensions of the comprehensive dynamic evaluation and the risk dynamic management and control are fused, the risk dynamic evaluation is more operable, the statistics of the reason for rising the risk value is helpful to grasp the risk management weak point of the project, and the fine management of the risk management and control is realized.
In the risk identification module, item risk identification information is input, wherein the input content comprises the position, risk category, risk name, accident cause, possible consequences, pre-control measures and LEC value, LEC value and risk grade division of the item are determined according to industry regulations, and risk management and control levels of different grades, corresponding responsible persons and management and control periods are determined according to the condition of the item.
In the risk process management and control module, the risk process management and control module refines the content of risk management and control into non-judgment options, and divides the content into a general control item and a strict control item, wherein the general control item and the strict control item are used for distinguishing the importance degree of the management and control content in the risk management and control, and the effect of the management and control is quantified through the setting of early warning conditions.
As a preferable technical scheme of the invention, in the risk process management and control module, risk management and control contents are divided into a general control item and a strict control item, wherein the management and control contents in one item are consistent, namely, a sleeve management and control content is used in one item, and the general management and control item and the strict management and control item are also set in one item in a unified way.
As a preferable technical scheme of the invention, in the risk process management and control module, the early warning condition is comprehensively judged according to the number of the management and control non-conforming items and the number of the management and control exceeding cycles, particularly how to judge, the items are used as units for self-setting, and the early warning is immediately carried out if the strict control items are not conforming.
As a preferable technical scheme of the invention, in the risk dynamic evaluation module, the risk dynamic evaluation content is questionnaire, the field safety current situation can be divided into four dimensions of actual conditions of people, machines, environments and management to be made into a questionnaire form, the questionnaire content is selected as a choice question, the corresponding score weight is set for each choice, the content in the choice is selected during evaluation, the system calculates according to a calculation formula, the risk value does not rise for meeting the items, and the risk value should rise for not meeting the safety management requirement items.
In the risk dynamic assessment module, whether early warning is judged according to data generated in the management and control process of the risk process management and control module, and if the early warning is triggered, the risk dynamic assessment is pushed to a management and control responsible person for assessment.
As an optimal technical scheme of the invention, in the risk dynamic evaluation module, the risk dynamic evaluation is divided into active evaluation and passive evaluation, the active evaluation is not limited, the judgment of the dynamic evaluation can be performed at any time, when the risk generates early warning, the passive evaluation is pushed to a management and control responsible person, the passive evaluation is forced to be executed, if the passive evaluation is not executed for a certain period, the risk dynamic evaluation can be pushed to a project safety management responsible person, and corresponding data are recorded in a system.
As a preferable technical scheme of the invention, in the risk dynamic value statistics module, the dynamic risk value D2 can only rise and cannot fall relative to the D1 value, and after D2 rises, management and control responsible persons are required to fill in corresponding rectifying measures, and the D2 value can only be restored to the D1 value.
In the risk dynamic value statistics module, the dynamic risk value D2 is based on the D1 value, the ascending and descending change of the dynamic risk value is a dynamic value, the effect of controlling the site risk is reflected and the change of the risk value is quantified, if the value of the risk value D2 is the same as the D1 value, the risk value D2 is not controlled, if the value is ascending, the risk value D2 is not controlled, the ascending amplitude is the degree of increasing the site safety risk, and if the value of the risk value is the same as the D1 value, the risk value is controlled again.
As a preferable technical scheme of the invention, in the risk dynamic value statistics module, the system automatically records the change of the D2 value to form the condition of controlling the broken line reaction site, so that the safety current situation can be fed back in real time, and the reasons of risk change, risk uncontrollable reasons and duration of risk uncontrollable can be traced back.
As a preferable technical scheme of the invention, in the risk dynamic value statistical module, according to the current management and control data and the evaluation content, a calculation model is adopted according to industry in calculation, and the cause of the rise of the risk value is automatically counted.
Compared with the prior art, the invention has the following advantages:
1. The risk process management and control and the dynamic evaluation are associated in a mode of presetting early warning conditions, so that the content fusion of different latitudes and intersection of the risk process management and control and the dynamic evaluation is realized, and the quantitative executable standard is adopted when the dynamic evaluation is carried out.
2. The risk management and control content is divided into a general management and control item and a key management and control item, the risk management and control item can be set according to the characteristics of the item, the condition that early warning is not timely due to the influence of the initial level of the risk of the management and control item is avoided, the management and control content and the management and control item are identified as general management and control or strict management and control and are determined by taking the item as a unit, the management and control item is unified in the item, and the item has good operability while considering the characteristics of the item.
3. The method comprises the steps of combining active evaluation with passive evaluation, questionnaire filling of dynamic evaluation items, setting triggering conditions by the passive evaluation, refining investigation contents aiming at early warning risks by the dynamic evaluation, finding out adverse factors, combining coarse granularity of dynamic management and control with refined comprehensive dynamic management and control contents, integrating the dynamic risk evaluation into a risk management and control process, enabling a dynamic risk value to represent a state value of a risk, and realizing dynamic management and control of the risk process.
4. And the risk classification condition is combined, the early warning index is quantized, the management and control content and the management and control period are combined, the management and control responsibility person performs the action and the risk state, the risk is evaluated in a multi-dimensional mode, and the risk management and control is more targeted. The index rule can be set by oneself, and the system has good reusability.
Drawings
Fig. 1 is a schematic process flow diagram of a dynamic security risk assessment system according to an embodiment of the present invention.
Fig. 2 is a schematic diagram of risk process control early warning condition setting provided in an embodiment of the present invention.
FIG. 3 is a diagram of an exemplary interface for a portion of a risk dynamic assessment content questionnaire provided by an embodiment of the present invention.
Fig. 4 is a statistical interface for risk dynamic value variation statistics and risk rising reasons provided by the embodiment of the invention.
Detailed Description
In order that those skilled in the art will better understand the technical solution of the present invention, a preferred embodiment of the present invention will be described below with reference to specific examples, but it should be understood that the drawings are only for illustrative purposes and should not be construed as limiting the present patent.
Referring to fig. 2 to 4, an embodiment of the present invention provides a security production risk dynamic assessment system, which includes a risk identification module, a risk process management module, a risk dynamic assessment module, and a risk dynamic value statistics module.
Firstly, a risk identification module is described, and project risk identification information is input by taking a hydraulic and hydroelectric engineering as an example, wherein the content comprises a project position, a risk category, a risk name, an accident cause, possible consequences, pre-control measures and LEC values (L is the possibility of accidents, E is the frequency of human bodies exposed in the dangerous environment, and C is the loss result caused once the accidents happen). The initial risk value d1=l×e×c is obtained therefrom.
The content is managed and distinguished according to four systems, and the content is non-option. (1) administrative support: a. whether the resource allocation is in place (people, supplies, equipment, etc.). (2) technical support: b. whether technical schemes are checked (if required), censored and issued; c. whether the technical scheme is layered and bottoming and whether the record is complete. (3) production implementation: d. whether the construction organization is reasonable; e. whether the safety protection is in place. (4) safety supervision: f. whether the personnel is on duty or not; g. whether education training is completed; h. whether the pre-shift activity is performed; i. whether the full-time security officer is on duty; j. whether the security facility is intact; k. whether the emergency measure is in place.
And setting project early warning conditions, wherein the early warning conditions are shown in figure 2, and the early warning conditions for distinguishing risks of different dangerous sources and different risk levels are set.
When the early warning occurs, the risk assessment module is pushed to a management and control responsible person, and an assessment page is shown in figure 3.
Calculation of risk dynamic values the risk dynamic values d2=d1/K are calculated with existing models, The options in the dynamic evaluation table are each bj in the formula.
After the evaluation, the state is recorded at the time of each early warning, and the reason for the rising risk value after the evaluation is automatically given, as shown in fig. 4. The time of risk assessment, whether the risk is controlled, the duration of risk uncontrolled, can be seen by the varying fold line of the D2 value.
The foregoing description is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention, and is not intended to limit the present invention in any way, and any simple modification, equivalent variation, etc. of the above embodiment according to the technical matter of the present invention fall within the scope of the present invention.

Claims (2)

1. A system for dynamic assessment of risk of safety production, comprising:
The risk identification module is used for judging risk classification management and control information based on the LEC value and inputting the risk classification management and control information, so that an initial risk value D1=L×E×C is obtained, and a risk class is determined according to the D1 value;
the risk process management and control module is used for respectively setting early warning conditions of all risk levels according to management and control contents and aiming at risks of different levels, pushing early warning information to risk management and control responsible persons once the early warning conditions are met, and automatically pushing a check list in the form of a comprehensive risk assessment questionnaire;
The risk dynamic evaluation module is used for questionnaizing the risk dynamic evaluation content, preparing the actual conditions of people, machines, environments and management four dimensions into a questionnaire survey form, selecting the opposite face content, and performing self-calculation according to a calculation formula by the system;
The risk dynamic value statistics module is used for automatically calculating a dynamic risk value D2 according to the dynamic evaluation content and automatically counting the rising reason of the risk value;
in the risk identification module, risk identification information is input, the input content comprises the position of an item, the risk category, the risk name, the accident cause, the possible consequences, the pre-control measure and the LEC value, the LEC value and the risk grade division are determined according to industry regulations, and the risk management and control levels of different grades, corresponding responsible persons and management and control periods are determined according to the condition of the item; in the risk process management and control module, the risk management and control contents are divided into a general control item and a strict control item, wherein the management and control contents in one item are consistent, namely, a sleeve management and control content is used in one item, and the general management and control item and the strict management and control item are also set in one item in a unified way;
in the risk process management and control module, comprehensively judging the number of non-conforming items and the number of exceeding periods by management and control of early warning conditions;
In the risk dynamic evaluation module, the risk dynamic evaluation module pushes risk dynamic evaluation to a management and control responsible person for evaluation according to data generated in the management and control process of the risk process management and control module if early warning is triggered;
In the risk dynamic evaluation module, risk dynamic evaluation is divided into active evaluation and passive evaluation, wherein the active evaluation is not limited, discrimination can be performed at any time, when the risk generates early warning, the passive evaluation is pushed to a management and control responsible person, the passive evaluation is forced to be executed, and corresponding data are recorded in a system;
in the risk dynamic value statistics module, a dynamic risk value D2 is calculated according to the current management and control data and the evaluation content, and the rising reason of the risk value is automatically counted;
In the risk dynamic value statistics module, a dynamic risk value D2 can only rise and cannot fall relative to a D1 value, and after D2 rises, a management and control responsible person is required to fill in corresponding rectifying measures, and the D2 value can only be restored to the D1 value; the dynamic risk value D2 is based on the D1 value, the ascending and descending changes of the dynamic risk value represent the field risk management and control effect and quantify the change of the risk value, if the same value of the risk value D2 is D1, the field safety risk is controlled, if the same value of the risk value D2 is D1, the rise is uncontrolled, the rising amplitude is the degree of the field safety risk is increased, and if the same value of the risk value is D1, the risk value is controlled again;
In the risk dynamic value statistics module, the system automatically records the change of the D2 value to form the condition of controlling the broken line reaction site, the safety current situation can be fed back in real time, and the reasons of risk change, the reasons of risk uncontrollable and the duration of risk uncontrollable can be traced back.
2. The system for dynamic assessment of risk of safety production of claim 1, wherein: the system is applicable to at least one of the following:
Providing a safety production risk dynamic assessment system, combining risk grading management and control with risk dynamic assessment, setting a triggering condition of dynamic assessment in the risk grading management and control process, questionnaizing dynamic assessment content, realizing risk dynamic assessment informatization, and recording a risk value rising reason;
Combining dynamic evaluation with passive evaluation, questionnaire filling of dynamic evaluation items, setting triggering conditions by the passive evaluation, refining the investigation content aiming at early warning risks by the dynamic evaluation, finding out adverse factors, combining coarse granularity of dynamic management and control with refined comprehensive dynamic management and control content, and integrating the dynamic evaluation of risks into a risk management and control process;
the method is suitable for construction of a safety production risk dual prevention mechanism for risk classification management and control and hidden danger investigation and management, and is suitable for industries including water conservancy and hydropower engineering, new energy engineering, municipal traffic engineering and constructional engineering.
CN202110850261.2A 2021-07-27 2021-07-27 Dynamic evaluation system for safety production risk Active CN113673831B (en)

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Citations (3)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109978396A (en) * 2019-03-29 2019-07-05 深圳市人民医院 A kind of early screening system and method for risk case
CN110910031A (en) * 2019-11-29 2020-03-24 江苏建筑职业技术学院 Online risk assessment system of building construction quality safety
CN111160684A (en) * 2019-09-18 2020-05-15 中国电建集团华东勘测设计研究院有限公司 Safe production risk dual prevention mechanism construction platform

Patent Citations (3)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109978396A (en) * 2019-03-29 2019-07-05 深圳市人民医院 A kind of early screening system and method for risk case
CN111160684A (en) * 2019-09-18 2020-05-15 中国电建集团华东勘测设计研究院有限公司 Safe production risk dual prevention mechanism construction platform
CN110910031A (en) * 2019-11-29 2020-03-24 江苏建筑职业技术学院 Online risk assessment system of building construction quality safety

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