CN113253613A - Circuit breaker control method and system based on RSM prediction model - Google Patents

Circuit breaker control method and system based on RSM prediction model Download PDF

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CN113253613A
CN113253613A CN202110686509.6A CN202110686509A CN113253613A CN 113253613 A CN113253613 A CN 113253613A CN 202110686509 A CN202110686509 A CN 202110686509A CN 113253613 A CN113253613 A CN 113253613A
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dissipation
heat accumulation
time
circuit breaker
rsm
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CN113253613B (en
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陈昊华
吴天音
胡鑫
向露萍
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Wuhan Zhongyuan Electronic Information Co ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G05CONTROLLING; REGULATING
    • G05BCONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL; FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS; MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS OR ELEMENTS
    • G05B13/00Adaptive control systems, i.e. systems automatically adjusting themselves to have a performance which is optimum according to some preassigned criterion
    • G05B13/02Adaptive control systems, i.e. systems automatically adjusting themselves to have a performance which is optimum according to some preassigned criterion electric
    • G05B13/04Adaptive control systems, i.e. systems automatically adjusting themselves to have a performance which is optimum according to some preassigned criterion electric involving the use of models or simulators
    • G05B13/042Adaptive control systems, i.e. systems automatically adjusting themselves to have a performance which is optimum according to some preassigned criterion electric involving the use of models or simulators in which a parameter or coefficient is automatically adjusted to optimise the performance
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H01ELECTRIC ELEMENTS
    • H01HELECTRIC SWITCHES; RELAYS; SELECTORS; EMERGENCY PROTECTIVE DEVICES
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Abstract

The invention discloses a circuit breaker control method and a system based on an RSM prediction model, wherein the method comprises the following steps: analyzing and determining factors influencing heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker, and acquiring historical data of the influencing factors and corresponding historical estimation data of the heat accumulation/dissipation; constructing an RSM prediction model through a response surface method, and fitting a corresponding relation between historical data of influence factors and historical estimation data of heat accumulation/dissipation through the RSM prediction model; inputting real-time data of the influence factors of the circuit breaker at different moments into an RSM prediction model to respectively obtain estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments; drawing a real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve according to estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments; and performing circuit breaker on-off control according to the real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve. The invention can realize the simulation of heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker and the calculation of the power-off time on the premise of not increasing hardware circuits and not needing complex software algorithms, and is simple and practical.

Description

Circuit breaker control method and system based on RSM prediction model
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of circuit breaker control, and particularly relates to a circuit breaker control method and system based on an RSM prediction model.
Background
The circuit breaker is a switchgear circuit breaker capable of closing, carrying, and opening/closing a current under a normal circuit condition and a current under an abnormal circuit condition within a prescribed time. The said protector can be used to distribute electric energy, start asynchronous motor infrequently, protect power supply circuit and motor, and cut off circuit automatically when they have serious overload or short circuit and undervoltage faults. Furthermore, no parts need to be changed after breaking the fault current. In order to prevent the breaker or the motor from being burnt out due to repeated or periodic overload, the relay protection device is generally required to have better over-current switching-on and re-tripping capability, i.e. the capability of re-tripping in a short time due to over-current switching-on after tripping. Relay protection requires tracking and recording of the thermal effects of the overload current, and circuit breakers or motors trip when the accumulation of the thermal effects of the periodic overload reaches a predetermined level.
In the prior art, closed-loop adjustment is generally performed by adding a hardware circuit, so that hardware overhead is increased, and certain hysteresis exists in tracking and recording of the thermal effect of the overload current. In the production and processing processes of factories such as chip production and the like, a semi-finished product can be damaged or a chip can be scrapped due to sudden power failure or overlong power failure time, so that the power failure time needs to be reasonably controlled while a circuit is protected.
Disclosure of Invention
In view of the above, the invention provides a circuit breaker control method, a system, equipment and a storage medium based on an RSM prediction model, which are used for solving the problem that tracking records of the overload current thermal effect of the circuit breaker excessively depend on a hardware circuit, and can be applied to the fields of chip processing production and the like.
In a first aspect of the present invention, a circuit breaker control method based on an RSM prediction model is disclosed, the method comprising:
analyzing and determining factors influencing heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker, and acquiring historical data of the influencing factors and corresponding historical estimation data of the heat accumulation/dissipation;
constructing an RSM prediction model through a response surface method, and fitting a corresponding relation between historical data of influence factors and historical estimation data of heat accumulation/dissipation through the RSM prediction model;
inputting real-time data of the influence factors of the circuit breaker at different moments into an RSM prediction model to respectively obtain estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments;
drawing a real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve according to estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments;
and performing circuit breaker on-off control according to the real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve.
Preferably, the factors influencing the heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker include:
the circuit breaker comprises a circuit breaker environment temperature, circuit breaker accumulated on-off times, overload current and duration, wherein the duration is zero when the current first exceeds a set current threshold value in a heat accumulation/dissipation period.
Preferably, the RSM prediction model is:
Figure 157360DEST_PATH_IMAGE001
wherein the content of the first and second substances,
Figure 605659DEST_PATH_IMAGE002
for a heat accumulation model in the RSM prediction model, for calculating an estimate of heat accumulation,
Figure 311764DEST_PATH_IMAGE003
a heat dissipation model in the RSM prediction model is used for calculating an estimated value of heat dissipation;
Figure 673606DEST_PATH_IMAGE004
is the ambient temperature of the circuit breaker,
Figure 27227DEST_PATH_IMAGE005
The accumulated opening and closing times of the circuit breaker,
Figure 825419DEST_PATH_IMAGE006
Is an overload current,
Figure 571789DEST_PATH_IMAGE007
Is the duration;
Figure 771826DEST_PATH_IMAGE008
as a coefficient of the heat accumulation model,
Figure 296349DEST_PATH_IMAGE009
as to the coefficients of the heat dissipation model,
Figure 581837DEST_PATH_IMAGE010
preferably, the switching-on and switching-off control of the circuit breaker according to the real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve specifically comprises:
setting heat accumulation threshold values respectively
Figure 600739DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 920862DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
According to the heat accumulation threshold
Figure 881865DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 654649DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
And calculating the optimal switching-off time and switching-on time by the real-time heat accumulation curve and the real-time heat dissipation curve to perform switching-on and switching-off control on the circuit breaker.
Preferably, the calculating the optimal switching-on and switching-off time specifically includes:
establishing switching-off time, switching-on time and heat accumulation threshold value based on curve change rates of real-time heat accumulation curve and real-time heat dissipation curve
Figure 211663DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 651872DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
A constraint relationship between;
establishing a switching-on and switching-off time optimization model by taking the shortest power-off time and the minimum total switching-on and switching-off times as optimization targets;
and solving the minimum value of the opening and closing time optimization model to obtain the optimal opening time and closing time.
Preferably, the expression of the constraint relationship is:
Figure 518197DEST_PATH_IMAGE013
wherein the content of the first and second substances,
Figure 529009DEST_PATH_IMAGE014
respectively for reaching a heat accumulation threshold
Figure 138982DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 433697DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
The time corresponds to the time of day,
Figure 736503DEST_PATH_IMAGE015
the heat dissipation prediction method comprises the steps that historical data of influencing factors, corresponding historical estimation data of heat accumulation and historical estimation data of heat dissipation are obtained through prediction;
Figure 969032DEST_PATH_IMAGE016
are all preset time difference values, and are all preset time difference values,
Figure 648275DEST_PATH_IMAGE017
Figure 610546DEST_PATH_IMAGE018
for the optimal switching-off time,
Figure 631723DEST_PATH_IMAGE019
Is best toThe closing time of the switch.
Preferably, the expression of the switching-on/off time optimization model is as follows:
Figure 397553DEST_PATH_IMAGE020
wherein the content of the first and second substances,
Figure 631220DEST_PATH_IMAGE021
and accumulating the opening and closing times for the circuit breaker.
In a second aspect of the present invention, a circuit breaker control system based on RSM prediction model is disclosed, the system comprising:
a data acquisition module: analyzing and determining factors influencing heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker, and acquiring historical data of the influencing factors and corresponding historical estimation data of the heat accumulation/dissipation;
a model construction module: constructing an RSM prediction model through a response surface method, and fitting a corresponding relation between historical data of influence factors and historical estimation data of heat accumulation/dissipation through the RSM prediction model;
a real-time prediction module: inputting real-time data of the influence factors of the circuit breaker at different moments into an RSM prediction model to respectively obtain estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments; drawing a real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve according to estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments;
the separation and combination control module: and performing circuit breaker on-off control according to the real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve.
In a third aspect of the present invention, an electronic device is disclosed, comprising: at least one processor, at least one memory, a communication interface, and a bus;
the processor, the memory and the communication interface complete mutual communication through the bus;
the memory stores program instructions executable by the processor, which program instructions are invoked by the processor to implement the method according to the first aspect of the invention.
In a fourth aspect of the invention, a computer-readable storage medium is disclosed, which stores computer instructions for causing a computer to implement the method of the first aspect of the invention.
Compared with the prior art, the invention has the following beneficial effects:
1) factors influencing the heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker are determined through analysis, besides direct influence factors influencing the heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker, such as the overload current and the duration, potential indirect influence factors, such as the change of the temperature of the working environment and aging caused by the increase of the service life, are considered, the heat accumulation/dissipation process is closer to the actual heat accumulation/dissipation process of the circuit breaker, and the calculation of the heat accumulation/dissipation is more accurate.
2) According to the method, the RSM prediction model is established through a response surface method, and the corresponding relation between the historical data of the influence factors influencing heat accumulation/dissipation and the historical estimation data of heat accumulation/dissipation is fitted through the RSM prediction model, so that the estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation of the current circuit breaker at different moments can be obtained respectively, and a real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve is obtained. The method fully excavates the relation between the influence factors and the heat accumulation/dissipation data in the historical big data, can realize the simulation of the heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker on the premise of not increasing hardware circuits and not needing complex software algorithms, and is simple and practical.
3) The switching-off time, the switching-on time and the heat accumulation threshold value are constructed on the basis of the curve change rates of the real-time heat accumulation curve and the real-time heat dissipation curve
Figure 775893DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 686080DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
A constraint relationship between; establishing a switching-on and switching-off time optimization model by taking the shortest power-off time as an optimization target; and the optimal switching-off time and the optimal switching-on time are obtained by solving the minimum value of the switching-on and switching-off time optimization model and predicting in advance. The invention can combine the real-time heat accumulation curve and the real-time heat dissipation on the basis of the heat accumulation threshold and the heat dissipation thresholdThe curve change rate of the curve predicts the switching-on time and the switching-off time, so that the power-off time is shortest on the basis of protecting the safety of the electric appliance, and the actual requirements of chip processing production and the like are met better.
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In order to more clearly illustrate the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the drawings used in the description of the embodiments or the prior art will be briefly described below, it is obvious that the drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the present invention, and for those skilled in the art, other drawings can be obtained according to the drawings without creative efforts.
Fig. 1 is a schematic flow chart of a circuit breaker control method of the present invention;
fig. 2 is a schematic flow chart of calculating the optimal switching-off time and switching-on time according to the present invention.
Detailed Description
The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the embodiments of the present invention, and it is obvious that the described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, and not all of the embodiments. All other embodiments, which can be obtained by a person skilled in the art without any inventive step based on the embodiments of the present invention, are within the scope of the present invention.
Referring to fig. 1, the present invention discloses a circuit breaker control method based on RSM prediction model, the method includes:
and S1, analyzing and determining factors influencing heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker, and acquiring historical data of the influencing factors and corresponding historical estimation data of the heat accumulation/dissipation.
The real-time overload current and the duration of the circuit breaker are direct factors influencing the heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker, and the heat accumulation/dissipation process of the circuit breaker can change along with the change of the working environment and the increase of the service life of the circuit breaker, so the influencing factors of the heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker comprise: the circuit breaker working environment temperature, the circuit breaker accumulated opening and closing times, the overload current and the duration can further comprise three-phase power, a circuit breaker topological structure, circuit breaker action time and the like, wherein the working environment temperature is different, the circuit breaker heat accumulation or dissipation rates are possibly different, the circuit breaker accumulated opening and closing times are too many to cause circuit breaker aging, and the circuit breaker heat accumulation or dissipation can also be influenced. The circuit breaker is controlled by taking the factors with larger influence such as the ambient temperature of the circuit breaker, the accumulated opening and closing times of the circuit breaker, the overload current, the duration and the like as examples. The duration is zero at the time when the current first exceeds the set current threshold within one heat accumulation/dissipation cycle, i.e., from the time when the current first exceeds the set current threshold.
S2 response surface method (Response SurfaceMethodRSM), and fitting the corresponding relation between the historical data of the influencing factors and the historical estimation data of heat accumulation/dissipation through the RSM prediction model.
The RSM prediction model is as follows:
Figure 424360DEST_PATH_IMAGE001
wherein the content of the first and second substances,
Figure 445406DEST_PATH_IMAGE002
for a heat accumulation model in the RSM prediction model, for calculating an estimate of heat accumulation,
Figure 788794DEST_PATH_IMAGE003
a heat dissipation model in the RSM prediction model is used for calculating an estimated value of heat dissipation;
Figure 604303DEST_PATH_IMAGE004
is the ambient temperature of the circuit breaker,
Figure 813567DEST_PATH_IMAGE005
The accumulated opening and closing times of the circuit breaker,
Figure 372725DEST_PATH_IMAGE006
Is an overload current,
Figure 101777DEST_PATH_IMAGE007
Is the duration;
Figure 822609DEST_PATH_IMAGE008
the coefficient of the heat accumulation model is obtained by calculation of historical data of the influence factors and corresponding historical estimation data of heat accumulation;
Figure 519169DEST_PATH_IMAGE022
the coefficient of the heat dissipation model is calculated by historical data of the influencing factors and corresponding historical estimation data of heat dissipation,
Figure 367171DEST_PATH_IMAGE010
and S3, inputting the real-time data of the influence factors of the circuit breaker at different moments into an RSM prediction model, and respectively obtaining estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments.
S4, drawing a real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve according to the estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments;
specifically, in one heat accumulation/dissipation period, a heat accumulation curve and a real-time heat dissipation curve are drawn in real time by taking the duration as an abscissa and taking the estimated values of heat accumulation or dissipation corresponding to different moments as an ordinate.
According to the method, the RSM prediction model is established through a response surface method, and the corresponding relation between the historical data of the influence factors influencing heat accumulation/dissipation and the historical estimation data of heat accumulation/dissipation is fitted through the RSM prediction model, so that the estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation of the current circuit breaker at different moments can be obtained respectively, and a real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve is obtained. According to the invention, through fully mining the relation between the influence factors in the historical big data and the heat accumulation/dissipation data, the simulation of the heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker can be realized on the premise of not increasing hardware circuits and not needing complex software algorithms, and the method is simple and practical.
S5, performing circuit breaker on-off control according to the real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve, and specifically comprising the following steps:
s51, setting heat accumulation threshold values respectively
Figure 465577DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 622889DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
S52, according to the heat accumulation threshold value
Figure 811338DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 977877DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
And calculating the optimal switching-off time and the optimal switching-on time by using the real-time heat accumulation curve and the real-time heat dissipation curve.
Step S52 further includes the following substeps:
s521, constructing switching-off time, switching-on time and heat accumulation threshold value based on curve change rates of real-time heat accumulation curve and real-time heat dissipation curve
Figure 415943DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 9735DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
The constraint relationship between them.
The expression of the constraint relationship is:
Figure 149730DEST_PATH_IMAGE013
wherein the content of the first and second substances,
Figure 605113DEST_PATH_IMAGE014
respectively for reaching a heat accumulation threshold
Figure 412532DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 911646DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
The time corresponds to the time of day,
Figure 538937DEST_PATH_IMAGE015
the heat accumulation threshold value is predicted to be reached in advance according to the heat accumulation curve or the heat dissipation curve corresponding to the set of searched historical data
Figure 532432DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 194357DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
Time corresponding to time
Figure 864373DEST_PATH_IMAGE014
Figure 729692DEST_PATH_IMAGE016
Are all preset time difference values, and are all preset time difference values,
Figure 510566DEST_PATH_IMAGE017
Figure 292577DEST_PATH_IMAGE018
for the optimal switching-off time,
Figure 133494DEST_PATH_IMAGE019
The optimal closing time is set.
Due to heat accumulation threshold
Figure 486110DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 336254DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
The heat accumulation trend is gradually reduced and is smaller than a first set value when the heat accumulation trend is gradually reduced
Figure 707192DEST_PATH_IMAGE023
When the heat dissipation trend is slow and less than the second set value, the brake can be properly delayed and otherwise the brake can be opened in advance
Figure 469743DEST_PATH_IMAGE024
When the valve is closed, the valve can be properly delayed, otherwise, the valve can be closed in advance, so that the valve can be closed at the preset heat accumulation threshold value
Figure 558922DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 947178DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
And optimizing on the basis of corresponding time, and more reasonably planning the opening and closing time.
S522, establishing an opening and closing time optimization model by taking the shortest power-off time and the minimum total opening and closing times as optimization targets; the expression of the switching-on and switching-off time optimization model is as follows:
Figure 188935DEST_PATH_IMAGE025
wherein the content of the first and second substances,
Figure 371654DEST_PATH_IMAGE026
to be related to time
Figure 948129DEST_PATH_IMAGE027
As a function of (a) or (b),
Figure 874497DEST_PATH_IMAGE028
to be related to time
Figure 970760DEST_PATH_IMAGE019
As a function of (a) or (b),
Figure 855539DEST_PATH_IMAGE005
and accumulating the opening and closing times for the circuit breaker.
And S523, solving the minimum value of the opening and closing time optimization model to obtain the optimal opening time and closing time.
The switching-on and switching-off time optimization model
Figure 653731DEST_PATH_IMAGE029
Is with respect to time
Figure 400101DEST_PATH_IMAGE027
Figure 334559DEST_PATH_IMAGE019
By solving for
Figure 390240DEST_PATH_IMAGE029
The minimum value of the time is the optimal brake-separating time
Figure 426460DEST_PATH_IMAGE027
Closing time
Figure 694630DEST_PATH_IMAGE019
And S53, performing the on-off control of the breaker according to the optimal opening time and closing time.
In a conventional thermal memory protection method for a circuit breaker, a heat accumulation threshold or a heat dissipation threshold is set, the thresholds are experience thresholds, and are rarely changed once set, however, the heat accumulation or heat dissipation process of the circuit breaker changes along with the change of the working environment of the circuit breaker, aging, abrasion and the like, and the original experience threshold is often poor in effect.
Therefore, the switching-off time and the switching-on time are finely adjusted by combining the curve change rates of the real-time heat accumulation curve and the real-time heat dissipation curve on the basis of the heat accumulation threshold and the heat dissipation threshold, so that the power-off time is shortest on the basis of protecting the safety of electrical appliances, and the actual requirements are better met.
Corresponding to the above method embodiment, the present invention further provides a circuit breaker control system based on an RSM prediction model, where the system includes:
a data acquisition module: analyzing and determining factors influencing heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker, and acquiring historical data of the influencing factors and corresponding historical estimation data of the heat accumulation/dissipation;
a model construction module: constructing an RSM prediction model through a response surface method, and fitting a corresponding relation between historical data of influence factors and historical estimation data of heat accumulation/dissipation through the RSM prediction model;
a real-time prediction module: inputting real-time data of the influence factors of the circuit breaker at different moments into an RSM prediction model to respectively obtain estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments; drawing a real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve according to estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments;
the separation and combination control module: and performing circuit breaker on-off control according to the real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve.
The present invention also discloses an electronic device, comprising: at least one processor, at least one memory, a communication interface, and a bus; the processor, the memory and the communication interface complete mutual communication through the bus; the memory stores program instructions executable by the processor, which invokes the program instructions to implement the methods of the invention described above.
The invention also discloses a computer readable storage medium which stores computer instructions for causing the computer to implement all or part of the steps of the method of the embodiment of the invention. The storage medium includes: u disk, removable hard disk, ROM, RAM, magnetic disk or optical disk, etc.
The above-described system embodiments are merely illustrative, wherein the units described as separate parts may or may not be physically separate, and the parts shown as units may or may not be physical units, i.e. may be distributed over a plurality of network units. Some or all of the modules may be selected according to actual needs to achieve the purpose of the solution of the present embodiment. One of ordinary skill in the art can understand and implement it without inventive effort.
The above description is only for the purpose of illustrating the preferred embodiments of the present invention and is not to be construed as limiting the invention, and any modifications, equivalents, improvements and the like that fall within the spirit and principle of the present invention are intended to be included therein.

Claims (10)

1. A circuit breaker control method based on an RSM prediction model, the method comprising:
analyzing and determining factors influencing heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker, and acquiring historical data of the influencing factors and corresponding historical estimation data of the heat accumulation/dissipation;
constructing an RSM prediction model through a response surface method, and fitting a corresponding relation between historical data of influence factors and historical estimation data of heat accumulation/dissipation through the RSM prediction model;
inputting real-time data of the influence factors of the circuit breaker at different moments into an RSM prediction model to respectively obtain estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments;
drawing a real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve according to estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments;
and performing circuit breaker on-off control according to the real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve.
2. The RSM predictive model-based circuit breaker control method of claim 1, wherein the influencing factors of circuit breaker heat accumulation/dissipation include:
the circuit breaker comprises a circuit breaker environment temperature, circuit breaker accumulated on-off times, overload current and duration, wherein the duration is zero when the current first exceeds a set current threshold value in a heat accumulation/dissipation period.
3. The circuit breaker control method based on the RSM prediction model according to claim 2, wherein the RSM prediction model is:
Figure 670668DEST_PATH_IMAGE001
wherein the content of the first and second substances,
Figure 647982DEST_PATH_IMAGE002
for a heat accumulation model in the RSM prediction model, for calculating an estimate of heat accumulation,
Figure 420766DEST_PATH_IMAGE003
a heat dissipation model in the RSM prediction model is used for calculating an estimated value of heat dissipation;
Figure 492627DEST_PATH_IMAGE004
is the ambient temperature of the circuit breaker,
Figure 417989DEST_PATH_IMAGE005
The accumulated opening and closing times of the circuit breaker,
Figure 284314DEST_PATH_IMAGE006
Is an overload current,
Figure 809973DEST_PATH_IMAGE007
Is the duration;
Figure 170678DEST_PATH_IMAGE008
as a coefficient of the heat accumulation model,
Figure 199814DEST_PATH_IMAGE009
as to the coefficients of the heat dissipation model,
Figure 502620DEST_PATH_IMAGE010
4. the circuit breaker control method based on the RSM prediction model according to claim 1, wherein performing the switching on/off control of the circuit breaker according to the heat accumulation/dissipation curve specifically comprises:
setting heat accumulation threshold values respectively
Figure 249996DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 679971DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
According to the heat accumulation threshold
Figure 829193DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 319211DEST_PATH_IMAGE012
And calculating the optimal switching-off time and switching-on time by the real-time heat accumulation curve and the real-time heat dissipation curve to perform switching-on and switching-off control on the circuit breaker.
5. The circuit breaker control method based on the RSM prediction model according to claim 4, wherein the calculating the optimal switching-on/off time specifically comprises:
establishing switching-off time, switching-on time and heat accumulation threshold value based on curve change rates of real-time heat accumulation curve and real-time heat dissipation curve
Figure 553883DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 505659DEST_PATH_IMAGE013
A constraint relationship between;
establishing a switching-on and switching-off time optimization model by taking the shortest power-off time as an optimization target;
and solving the minimum value of the opening and closing time optimization model to obtain the optimal opening time and closing time.
6. The RSM predictive model-based circuit breaker control method of claim 5, wherein the constraint relationship is expressed as:
Figure 525699DEST_PATH_IMAGE014
wherein the content of the first and second substances,
Figure 904727DEST_PATH_IMAGE015
respectively for reaching a heat accumulation threshold
Figure 361116DEST_PATH_IMAGE011
Heat dissipation threshold
Figure 382162DEST_PATH_IMAGE016
The time corresponds to the time of day,
Figure 991129DEST_PATH_IMAGE017
the heat dissipation prediction method comprises the steps that historical data of influencing factors, corresponding historical estimation data of heat accumulation and historical estimation data of heat dissipation are obtained through prediction;
Figure 72218DEST_PATH_IMAGE018
are all preset time difference values, and are all preset time difference values,
Figure 15903DEST_PATH_IMAGE019
Figure 60213DEST_PATH_IMAGE020
for the optimal switching-off time,
Figure 38534DEST_PATH_IMAGE021
The optimal closing time is set.
7. The circuit breaker control method based on the RSM prediction model according to claim 6, wherein the expression of the switching-on and switching-off time optimization model is as follows:
Figure 24944DEST_PATH_IMAGE022
wherein the content of the first and second substances,
Figure 455926DEST_PATH_IMAGE023
and accumulating the opening and closing times for the circuit breaker.
8. A circuit breaker control system based on an RSM predictive model, the system comprising:
a data acquisition module: the circuit breaker heat accumulation and dissipation monitoring system is used for analyzing and determining factors influencing heat accumulation/dissipation of the circuit breaker and acquiring historical data of the influencing factors and corresponding historical estimation data of the heat accumulation/dissipation;
a model construction module: the system comprises a response surface method, a RSM prediction model and a heat accumulation/dissipation device, wherein the RSM prediction model is constructed through the response surface method and is used for fitting the corresponding relation between historical data of influence factors and historical estimation data of heat accumulation/dissipation;
a real-time prediction module: the circuit breaker real-time data acquisition and prediction model is used for inputting the real-time data of the influence factors of the circuit breaker at different moments into the RSM prediction model to respectively obtain estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments; drawing a real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve according to estimated values of heat accumulation/dissipation at different moments;
the separation and combination control module: and the circuit breaker switching-on and switching-off control is carried out according to the real-time heat accumulation/dissipation curve.
9. An electronic device, comprising: at least one processor, at least one memory, a communication interface, and a bus;
the processor, the memory and the communication interface complete mutual communication through the bus;
the memory stores program instructions executable by the processor, the processor invoking the program instructions to implement the method of any one of claims 1-7.
10. A computer readable storage medium storing computer instructions which cause a computer to implement the method of any one of claims 1 to 7.
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