CN112990719B - Intelligent power supply management method and system and computer readable storage medium - Google Patents

Intelligent power supply management method and system and computer readable storage medium Download PDF

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CN112990719B
CN112990719B CN202110310181.8A CN202110310181A CN112990719B CN 112990719 B CN112990719 B CN 112990719B CN 202110310181 A CN202110310181 A CN 202110310181A CN 112990719 B CN112990719 B CN 112990719B
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power
time period
electricity
curve
user
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CN112990719A (en
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关玉衡
张兰
肖云鹏
蔡秋娜
刘思捷
白杨
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Electric Power Dispatch Control Center of Guangdong Power Grid Co Ltd
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Electric Power Dispatch Control Center of Guangdong Power Grid Co Ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0639Performance analysis of employees; Performance analysis of enterprise or organisation operations
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00Commerce
    • G06Q30/02Marketing; Price estimation or determination; Fundraising
    • G06Q30/0201Market modelling; Market analysis; Collecting market data
    • G06Q30/0206Price or cost determination based on market factors
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/06Electricity, gas or water supply
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y02TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
    • Y02EREDUCTION OF GREENHOUSE GAS [GHG] EMISSIONS, RELATED TO ENERGY GENERATION, TRANSMISSION OR DISTRIBUTION
    • Y02E40/00Technologies for an efficient electrical power generation, transmission or distribution
    • Y02E40/70Smart grids as climate change mitigation technology in the energy generation sector
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y04INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
    • Y04SSYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
    • Y04S10/00Systems supporting electrical power generation, transmission or distribution
    • Y04S10/50Systems or methods supporting the power network operation or management, involving a certain degree of interaction with the load-side end user applications
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y04INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
    • Y04SSYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
    • Y04S50/00Market activities related to the operation of systems integrating technologies related to power network operation or related to communication or information technologies
    • Y04S50/14Marketing, i.e. market research and analysis, surveying, promotions, advertising, buyer profiling, customer management or rewards

Abstract

The invention discloses an intelligent power supply management method and system and a computer readable storage medium, wherein the method comprises the following steps: acquiring a residual electric quantity curve according to a power generation capacity curve of a future preset time period and a first power transaction curve of the future preset time period; predicting newly-added electric power transaction data in a future preset time period according to historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, and acquiring a vacant electric quantity curve according to the newly-added electric power transaction data and the residual electric quantity curve; determining a judgment result of the user spare electric quantity value and the electricity utilization standard in a future preset time period from the spare electric quantity curve, and generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result; and sending the electricity utilization feedback information to a user terminal so that the user can pay fees and adjust electricity utilization requirements and electricity utilization behaviors according to the electricity utilization feedback information. The invention establishes a perfect power demand and power consumption behavior information acquisition channel for the user, and is convenient for the user to quickly know whether the current power demand and power consumption behavior of the user meet the energy-saving policy.

Description

Intelligent power supply management method and system and computer readable storage medium
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of power supply management, in particular to an intelligent power supply management method and system and a computer readable storage medium.
Background
With the increase of the power generation capacity of renewable energy sources and the power consumption of users, the real-time power generation capacity and the power load fluctuation in the power grid are not easy to control, and in order to realize power supply and demand balance, reduce power consumption pressure and improve a load curve, a power dispatching center needs to perform power supply management and control. Except for source management and control, the state also goes out an energy-saving policy, and encourages users who use electricity to cooperate and reasonably use electricity so as to relieve the pressure of electricity utilization.
However, the ordinary user can only know the total power consumption in a period of time through the electric meter, and cannot determine whether the total power consumption meets the energy-saving policy, that is, the ordinary user lacks a channel for knowing the current power consumption demand and whether the power consumption behavior meets the energy-saving policy, and cannot actively respond to the national energy-saving policy, so that the problems of contradiction between power supply and demand, power consumption pressure and the like are still serious.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to provide an intelligent power supply management method and system and a computer readable storage medium, which establish a perfect power demand and power consumption behavior information acquisition channel for a user by judging whether the vacant electric quantity value of the user at any moment in a future preset time period reaches a power consumption standard or not and then feeding back power consumption feedback information to a user terminal, so that the user can quickly know whether the current power demand and the power consumption behavior meet an energy-saving policy or not, thereby actively responding to the national energy-saving policy and relieving the problems of power supply and demand contradiction, power consumption pressure and the like.
In order to achieve the above object, an embodiment of the present invention provides an intelligent power supply management method, including:
acquiring a residual electric quantity curve according to a power generation capacity curve of a future preset time period and a first power transaction curve of the future preset time period;
predicting newly-added electric power transaction data in the future preset time period according to historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, and acquiring a vacant electric quantity curve according to the newly-added electric power transaction data and the residual electric quantity curve;
determining a judgment result of the user spare electric quantity value and the electricity utilization standard in the future preset time period from the spare electric quantity curve, and generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result;
and sending the electricity utilization feedback information to a user terminal so that a user can pay fees and adjust electricity utilization requirements and electricity utilization behaviors according to the electricity utilization feedback information.
In a specific embodiment, the obtaining a remaining power curve according to the generated power capacity curve of the future preset time period and the first power transaction curve of the future preset time period specifically includes:
determining the generating capacity of the future preset time period according to a generating plan or historical power trading data of a power plant, and forming a generating capacity curve according to the generating capacity;
screening out first electric power transaction data from historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, and forming a first electric power transaction curve according to the first electric power transaction data; the time corresponding to the purchased electric power comprises the future preset time period or historical transaction data located in the future preset time period;
and subtracting the first power transaction curve from the power generation capacity curve to obtain a remaining power curve.
In a specific embodiment, the predicting, according to historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, new electric power transaction data in the future preset time period, and obtaining a free electric power curve according to the new electric power transaction data and the remaining electric power curve specifically include:
acquiring second electric power transaction data of which the difference between the transaction time and the time corresponding to the purchased electric power is smaller than preset time from historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, and forming a second electric power transaction curve according to the second electric power transaction data;
predicting newly added power transaction data through the second power transaction curve; the newly increased power trading data is used for predicting the newly increased power used in the future preset time period for the power market trading center;
subtracting the newly increased power transaction data from the residual power curve to obtain a vacant power curve; wherein the free electricity curve is a predicted electric capacity that is not purchased or used in the electric power wholesale market.
In a specific embodiment, the determining a result of the vacant electric quantity value of the user in the future preset time period and a judgment result of the electricity utilization standard from the vacant electric quantity curve, and generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result specifically include:
according to the vacant electric quantity curve, determining a first time period in which the vacant electric quantity value of each user is smaller than a first preset value and a second time period in which the vacant electric quantity value of each user is larger than a second preset value; wherein the first preset value is smaller than the second preset value;
determining the electricity price increase of the first time period according to the difference value between the vacant electricity value corresponding to each first time period and the first preset value;
determining electricity price rewards of the second time periods according to the difference value between the vacant electricity quantity value corresponding to each second time period and the second preset value;
and generating corresponding electricity consumption feedback information according to the first time period, the corresponding electricity price increase, the second time period and the corresponding electricity price reward.
In a specific embodiment, the sending the electricity utilization feedback information to the user terminal specifically includes:
sending power utilization feedback information containing the second time period and the power price reward to a user terminal;
after the power utilization feedback information is sent to the user terminal, the method further comprises the following steps:
and sending power utilization feedback information containing the first time period and the power price increase to a power plant.
In a specific embodiment, after the sending the electricity utilization feedback information to the user terminal, the method further includes:
acquiring a power utilization plan fed back by the user terminal within any preset time period and actual power utilization information within any preset time period;
after the actual power utilization information is judged not to accord with the power utilization plan, power supply is cut off;
after the actual power utilization information is judged to be in accordance with the power utilization plan, calculating the power price of the user in the preset time period according to the actual power utilization information and the power price reward, further determining the power fee to be paid by the user, and sending the power fee to be paid by the user to the user terminal.
In a specific embodiment, after the sending the electricity utilization feedback information to the user terminal, the method further includes:
and setting power consumption and priority power supply objects in different time periods according to the electricity price rewards.
An embodiment of the present invention further provides an intelligent power supply management system, including: a management center and a management terminal;
the management center is connected with the electric power market trading center and is used for: acquiring a residual electric quantity curve according to a power generation capacity curve of a future preset time period and a first power transaction curve of the future preset time period; predicting newly-added electric power transaction data in the future preset time period according to historical transaction data of an electric power market transaction center, and acquiring a vacant electric quantity curve according to the newly-added electric power transaction data and the residual electric quantity curve; determining a judgment result of the user spare electric quantity value and the electricity utilization standard in the future preset time period from the spare electric quantity curve, and generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result; sending the electricity utilization feedback information to the management terminal;
the management terminal is connected with the user terminal and is used for: and sending the electricity utilization feedback information to a user terminal so that a user can pay fees and adjust electricity utilization requirements and electricity utilization behaviors according to the electricity utilization feedback information.
In a specific embodiment, the management center determines a judgment result of the vacant electric quantity value and the electricity utilization standard of the user in the future preset time period from the vacant electric quantity curve, generates corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result, and sends the electricity utilization feedback information to the management terminal, and the management terminal sends the electricity utilization feedback information to the user terminal, specifically:
the management center determines a first time period in which the vacant electric quantity value of each user is smaller than a first preset value and a second time period in which the vacant electric quantity value of each user is larger than a second preset value according to the vacant electric quantity curve; wherein the first preset value is smaller than the second preset value; determining the electricity price increase of the first time period according to the difference value between the vacant electric quantity value corresponding to each first time period and the first preset value; determining electricity price rewards of the second time periods according to the difference value between the vacant electric quantity value corresponding to each second time period and the second preset value; generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the first time period, the corresponding electricity price increase, the second time period and the corresponding electricity price reward; and sending power utilization feedback information including the first time period, the power price amplification, the second time period and the power price reward to the management terminal;
the management terminal sends the electricity utilization feedback information containing the first time period and the electricity price increase to a power plant, and sends the electricity utilization feedback information containing the second time period and the electricity price reward to a user terminal;
the management terminal is further configured to:
acquiring an electricity utilization plan fed back by the user terminal within any preset time period and actual electricity utilization information within any preset time period;
after the actual power utilization information is judged to be not in accordance with the power utilization plan, power supply is cut off;
after the fact that the actual electricity utilization information accords with the electricity utilization plan is judged, the electricity price of the user in the preset time period is calculated according to the fact electricity utilization information and the electricity price reward, then the electricity fee to be paid by the user is determined, and the electricity fee to be paid by the user is sent to the user terminal.
The embodiment of the present invention further provides a computer-readable storage medium, on which a computer program is stored, and when the computer program is executed by a processor, the intelligent power supply management method in any one of the above embodiments is implemented.
According to the intelligent power supply management method and the system thereof, firstly, a residual electric quantity curve in a future preset time period is determined through a power generation capacity curve and a first electric power transaction curve in the future preset time period; then newly added electric power transaction data in the future preset time period are predicted through historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, and a spare electric quantity curve is obtained; on the basis of the electricity utilization standard, determining the comparison condition of the user vacant electric quantity value and the electricity utilization standard in the future preset time period according to the vacant electric quantity curve, so as to judge whether the user vacant electric quantity value at any moment in the future preset time period reaches the electricity utilization standard or not, and generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result; and finally, feeding back the electricity utilization feedback information to a user terminal so that a user can pay fees and adjust electricity utilization requirements and electricity utilization behaviors according to the electricity utilization feedback information. Therefore, a user can know whether the power consumption demand and the power consumption behavior conform to the energy-saving policy through the user terminal, so that the national energy-saving policy is responded positively, and the problems of contradiction between power supply and demand, power consumption pressure and the like are relieved.
Drawings
In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solution of the present invention, the drawings needed to be used in the embodiments will be briefly described below, and it is obvious that the drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the present invention, and it is obvious for those skilled in the art that other drawings can be obtained according to the drawings without creative efforts.
Fig. 1 is a schematic flowchart of an intelligent power supply management method according to an embodiment of the present invention;
fig. 2 is a schematic structural diagram of an intelligent power supply management system according to an embodiment of the present invention;
fig. 3 is a schematic structural diagram of a computer terminal device according to an embodiment of the present invention.
Detailed Description
The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and it is obvious that the described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, and not all of the embodiments. All other embodiments, which can be obtained by a person skilled in the art without inventive step based on the embodiments of the present invention, are within the scope of protection of the present invention.
It should be understood that the step numbers used herein are only for convenience of description and are not used as limitations on the order in which the steps are performed.
It is to be understood that the terminology used in the description of the invention herein is for the purpose of describing particular embodiments only and is not intended to be limiting of the invention. As used in this specification and the appended claims, the singular forms "a", "an", and "the" are intended to include the plural forms as well, unless the context clearly indicates otherwise.
The terms "comprises" and "comprising" indicate the presence of the described features, integers, steps, operations, elements, and/or components, but do not preclude the presence or addition of one or more other features, integers, steps, operations, elements, components, and/or groups thereof.
The term "and/or" refers to any and all possible combinations of one or more of the associated listed items and includes such combinations.
Referring to fig. 1, an embodiment of the present invention provides an intelligent power supply management method, including the following steps:
s10, acquiring a residual electric quantity curve according to a power generation capacity curve of a future preset time period and a first power transaction curve of the future preset time period;
s20, predicting newly-added electric power transaction data in the future preset time period according to historical transaction data of an electric power market transaction center, and acquiring a vacant electric quantity curve according to the newly-added electric power transaction data and the residual electric quantity curve;
s30, determining a judgment result of the vacant electric quantity value and the electricity utilization standard of the user in the future preset time period from the vacant electric quantity curve, and generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result;
and S40, sending the electricity utilization feedback information to a user terminal so that a user can pay and adjust electricity utilization requirements and electricity utilization behaviors according to the electricity utilization feedback information.
The intelligent power supply method in the embodiment of the present invention may be applied to the intelligent power supply management system 100 shown in fig. 2. Specifically, the intelligent power supply management system 100 includes a management center 110 and a management terminal 120.
The management terminal 120 is installed in the electricity utilization place of the user, connected to an electricity meter of the electricity utilization place and connected to the electricity utilization equipment in the electricity utilization place, and the management terminal 120 controls the on/off of the electricity utilization equipment and counts the electricity consumption of different electricity utilization equipment or electricity utilization loops.
The management center 110 is connected to the electric power market trading center, and acquires trading data and remaining untrammeled electric quantity of the electric power market trading center at preset time intervals. The transaction data is current and future electric power transaction data and historical transaction data.
In the intelligent power supply method in the embodiment of the present invention, the preset time period may be one day, three days, one week, or other time periods. The transaction data of the electric power market transaction center comprises current and future electric power transaction data and historical transaction data.
The first electric power transaction curve is formed according to first electric power transaction data, the first electric power transaction data is electric power transaction data which is obtained by the management center from transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, and the time corresponding to the selected electric power purchase comprises the preset time period or is positioned in the preset time period.
The remaining capacity curve is obtained by subtracting the first power transaction curve from the generated capacity curve.
And newly-added electric power transaction data is predicted to be newly-added electric power transaction data in a future preset time period by the management center according to weather forecast, holiday information, current economic environment, whether power grid transformation is carried out or not and the like in the preset time period, which can influence the electric power consumption and electric power transaction, in the historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, on the basis of the traded electric quantity, and the time period in which similar information exists in the historical transaction curve is obtained. It can be understood that, because the electric power purchased by the user has a certain continuity, the user may purchase more electric power after having purchased a certain amount of electric power, due to factors such as weather forecast, holiday and festival information, current economic environment, whether the power grid is modified, and the like, so as to meet the power consumption demand of the user. At this time, the user may trade the newly increased power amount with the power market trading center again. Therefore, when the power consumption requirement and the power consumption behavior of the user are considered, dynamically added power transaction data need to be predicted, so that the power feedback result is more accurate. Of course, the newly added transaction electric quantity of the user in the future preset time period can be predicted through the historical transaction curve, so that newly added electric power transaction data in the future preset time period can be predicted.
And combining the residual capacity curve and the newly added electric power transaction data to further obtain the spare capacity and further obtain a spare capacity curve, wherein the spare capacity curve is the predicted capacity which is not purchased or used in the electric power wholesale market.
And after the spare electric quantity curve is obtained, whether the spare electric quantity value of the user meets the power utilization standard is further judged. Supposing that the electricity utilization standard is X kilowatt-hour in the peak period of electricity utilization, if the vacant electric quantity value of the user at a certain time exceeds X kilowatt-hour, the electricity utilization standard is met, and if the vacant electric quantity value of the user at a certain time does not exceed X kilowatt-hour, the electricity utilization standard is not met. It is understood that the electricity utilization standard in the present embodiment may be determined according to the national energy saving policy.
In the embodiment of the invention, firstly, a residual capacity curve in a future preset time period is determined through a power generation capacity curve and a first power transaction curve in the future preset time period; then newly added electric power transaction data in the future preset time period are predicted through historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, and a spare electric quantity curve is obtained; on the basis of the electricity utilization standard, determining the comparison condition of the user spare electricity value in the future preset time period and the electricity utilization standard according to the spare electricity curve, so as to judge whether the user spare electricity value at any moment in the future preset time period reaches the electricity utilization standard or not, and generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result; and finally, feeding back the electricity utilization feedback information to a user terminal so that a user can pay fees and adjust electricity utilization requirements and electricity utilization behaviors according to the electricity utilization feedback information. Therefore, a user can know whether the power consumption requirement and the power consumption behavior of the user accord with the energy-saving policy through the user terminal, so that the national energy-saving policy is responded positively, and the problems of contradiction between power supply and demand, power consumption pressure and the like are relieved.
In a specific embodiment, in step S10, a remaining power curve is obtained according to a power generation capacity curve of a future preset time period and a first power transaction curve of the future preset time period, specifically:
s11, determining the generating capacity of the future preset time period according to a generating plan or historical power transaction data of a power plant, and forming a generating capacity curve according to the generating capacity;
s12, screening out first electric power transaction data from historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, and forming a first electric power transaction curve according to the first electric power transaction data; wherein the time corresponding to the purchased electric power comprises the future preset time period or data within the future preset time period;
and S13, subtracting the first power transaction curve from the power generation capacity curve to obtain a residual power curve.
It is understood that the management center 110 may determine the power generation capacity for a future preset time period through the power generation plan of the power plant or the historical trading data with the power market trading center; of course, the management center 110 may also obtain historical trading data with the power plant from the electric power market trading center, and further obtain the power generation capacity for the future preset time period.
The first power transaction data includes two parts, wherein one part covers the future preset time period for the power time purchased by the user, and the other part is positioned in the future preset time period for the power time purchased by the user. Taking a preset time period of a quarter as an example, the a subscriber purchases power for the entire quarter, and the B subscriber purchases power for one month of the entire quarter, so the first power transaction data includes not only the a subscriber's power transaction data but also the B subscriber's power transaction data.
The remaining capacity is the capacity which is not purchased in the electric power wholesale market in the future preset time period and can be obtained by subtracting the first electric power transaction data from the generated capacity.
In a specific embodiment, in step S20, new electricity trading data in the future preset time period is predicted according to historical trading data of the electricity market trading center, and a free electricity curve is obtained according to the new electricity trading data and the remaining electricity curve, specifically:
s21, second electric power transaction data with the transaction time difference smaller than the preset time and the time difference corresponding to the purchased electric power are obtained from the historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, and a second electric power transaction curve is formed according to the second electric power transaction data;
s22, predicting newly added power transaction data through the second power transaction curve; the newly increased power trading data is used for predicting the newly increased power used in the future preset time period for the power market trading center;
s23, subtracting the newly increased power transaction data from the remaining power curve to obtain a spare power curve; wherein the free electricity curve is a predicted electric capacity that is not purchased or used in the electric power wholesale market.
In the embodiment of the present invention, the management center 110 may obtain the electricity transaction data (referred to as second electricity transaction data in this embodiment) with a time close to the time corresponding to the purchased electricity through the historical transaction data of the electricity market transaction center, form a second electricity transaction curve according to the second electricity transaction data, predict the newly added electricity transaction data according to the second electricity transaction curve, and further obtain the empty electricity quantity curve. Through the vacant electric quantity curve, the vacant electric quantity value of each user in the future preset time period can be known, and then the electricity utilization standard is combined, whether the electricity utilization requirement and the electricity utilization behavior of each user accord with the national energy-saving policy is judged, so that the user can pay fees and adjust the electricity utilization requirement and the electricity utilization behavior according to the electricity utilization feedback information.
Of course, the newly added electric power transaction data in the future preset time period can be further predicted by combining the information that the electricity consumption and the electric power transaction can be influenced by weather forecast, holiday information, current economic environment, whether the power grid is modified and the like in the preset time period and the time period of obtaining similar information in the historical transaction curve.
Taking the preset time as one month as an example, assuming that the time corresponding to the electric power purchased by the user is 9 months to 12 months in 2020, half year time is counted, and the electric power in each month is quantified. Through historical transaction data of the electricity market transaction center, electricity transaction data of 7-8 months in 2020 can be obtained, so that electricity purchased by a user in 7-8 months in 2020 is determined, meanwhile, electricity utilization requirements and electricity utilization behaviors of the user before time corresponding to the purchased electricity can be known, and further, newly-added electricity transaction data of 9-12 months in 2020 is predicted.
Although the electric power purchased by the user has a certain continuity, the prediction still has errors, so weather forecast, holiday information, current economic environment, whether power grid transformation exists or not in 9-12 months in 2020 can be combined with information which can influence electricity utilization and electricity transaction, for example, in 11-12 months in 2020, more electricity needs to be added due to heating requirements, and thus, the newly added electricity transaction data in 9-12 months in 2020 can be accurately predicted.
In a specific embodiment, in step S30, a determination result of the vacant electric quantity value and the electricity consumption standard of the user in the future preset time period is determined from the vacant electric quantity curve, and corresponding electricity consumption feedback information is generated according to the determination result, specifically:
s31, according to the vacant electric quantity curve, determining a first time period in which the vacant electric quantity value of each user is smaller than a first preset value and a second time period in which the vacant electric quantity value of each user is larger than a second preset value; wherein the first preset value is smaller than the second preset value;
s32, determining the electricity price increase of the first time period according to the difference value between the vacant electric quantity value corresponding to each first time period and the first preset value;
s33, determining electricity price rewards of the second time periods according to the difference value between the vacant electric quantity values corresponding to the second time periods and the second preset value;
and S34, generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the first time period, the corresponding electricity price increase, the second time period and the corresponding electricity price reward.
In the current reward policy, most rewards only set a fixed reward rate, are difficult to adjust according to the power load condition, and are difficult to mobilize the enthusiasm of users for saving electricity.
In this embodiment, the more the electricity consumption saved by the user is, the higher the corresponding electricity price reward is, in other words, the larger the difference between the vacant electricity value of the user and the second preset value is, the higher the electricity price reward corresponding to each electricity price used by the user in the second time period is, and the electricity price reward can be used for offsetting part of the electricity prices, so that the user can pay less electricity charges.
Specifically, the first preset value and the second preset value are both preset two spare electric quantity threshold values, wherein the first preset value is smaller than the second preset value. When the vacant electric quantity value of the user is smaller than the first preset value, the vacant electric quantity value of the user is less, the energy-saving policy is not met, and the electricity price can be increased adaptively; when the vacant electric quantity value of the user is larger than the second preset value, the vacant electric quantity of the user is more, the energy-saving policy is met, and electricity price reward can be provided adaptively.
In this embodiment, through the empty power curve, a time period (referred to as a second time period in this embodiment) in which the empty power value of each user is greater than the second preset value may be determined, and a difference between the two time periods may be calculated. Of course, it is also possible to determine a time period in which the vacant electric quantity value of each user is smaller than the first preset value (referred to as the first time period in this embodiment), and calculate a difference value between the two.
And then determining electricity price reward of the second time period according to the difference value between the vacant electricity quantity value corresponding to each second time period and the second preset value, and predicting the electricity price = balanced electricity price-reward electricity price so as to reward the user to actively respond to the energy-saving policy in the second time period.
In addition, the electricity price increase of the first time period is determined according to the difference value between the vacant electricity quantity value corresponding to each first time period and the first preset value, and then the electricity price = the balance electricity price + the increased electricity price of the first time period is predicted to promote the power generation of the power generation party. Wherein the increased electricity price may be equal to the electricity price reward or determined according to the second time period newly purchased electricity amount predicted by the electricity price reward.
Therefore, the embodiment of the invention can adjust the electricity price according to the power load condition, particularly determine the electricity price reward and the increase of the electricity price through the vacant electricity quantity curve, feed back electricity utilization feedback information to the user, encourage the user to further respond to an energy-saving policy and promote the power generation of a power generation party, and further effectively realize the balance of power supply and demand, reduce the electricity utilization pressure and improve the conforming curve.
In a specific embodiment, in step S40, the sending the electricity consumption feedback information to a user terminal specifically includes:
and sending power utilization feedback information containing the second time period and the power price reward to a user terminal.
After the power utilization feedback information is sent to the user terminal, the method further comprises the following steps:
and sending power utilization feedback information containing the first time period and the power price increase to a power plant.
In this embodiment, the management terminal 120 sends the information to the user and the power plant through various methods, including public number push, short message, and other methods.
In a specific embodiment, in step S40, after the sending the electricity feedback information to the user terminal, the method further includes:
s50, acquiring an electricity utilization plan in any preset time period and actual electricity utilization information in any preset time period, which are fed back by the user terminal;
s60, after the fact that the actual electricity utilization information does not accord with the electricity utilization plan is judged, power supply is cut off;
and S70, after the fact that the actual electricity utilization information accords with the electricity utilization plan is judged, calculating the electricity price of the user in the preset time period according to the actual electricity utilization information and the electricity price reward, further determining the electricity fee to be paid by the user, and sending the electricity fee to be paid by the user to the user terminal.
In this embodiment, after sending the information, the management terminal 120 receives a power utilization plan within a preset time sent by the user, where the power utilization plan includes the total power consumption. And then judging whether the electricity utilization information conforms to the electricity utilization plan or not, and judging the electricity consumption of each time period.
In a specific embodiment, after the sending the electricity utilization feedback information to the user terminal, the method further includes: and setting the electricity consumption and the priority power supply object in different time periods according to the electricity price reward.
In this embodiment, the management terminal sets the power consumption and the priority power supply object in different time periods according to the electricity price reward, so that the management terminal can judge the power consumption in each time period according to the user information, and thus judge whether the power consumption information conforms to the power utilization plan.
When the power utilization plan is exceeded, the management terminal 120 sends a message to remind the user, and part of the power utilization equipment or the loop is disconnected according to a preset mode. When the power utilization plan is not exceeded, the management terminal 120 calculates the power rate of the user in each time period according to the power utilization information and the power rate reward information, further determines the power rate required to be paid by the user, and then sends the power rate information to the user.
Referring to fig. 2, an embodiment of the invention provides an intelligent power management system 100, which includes: a management center 110 and a management terminal 120;
the management center 110 is configured to: acquiring a residual electric quantity curve according to a power generation capacity curve of a future preset time period and a first power transaction curve of the future preset time period; predicting newly-added electric power transaction data in the future preset time period according to historical transaction data of an electric power market transaction center, and acquiring a vacant electric quantity curve according to the newly-added electric power transaction data and the residual electric quantity curve; determining a judgment result of the user spare electric quantity value and the electricity utilization standard in the future preset time period from the spare electric quantity curve, and generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result; sending the power consumption feedback information to the management terminal 120;
the management terminal 120 is configured to: and sending the electricity utilization feedback information to a user terminal so that a user can pay fees and adjust electricity utilization requirements and electricity utilization behaviors according to the electricity utilization feedback information.
In this embodiment, the intelligent power supply management system 100 includes a management center 110 and a management terminal 120.
The management terminal 120 is installed in the electricity utilization place of the user, connected to an electricity meter of the electricity utilization place and connected to the electricity utilization equipment in the electricity utilization place, and the management terminal 120 controls the on/off of the electricity utilization equipment and counts the electricity consumption of different electricity utilization equipment or electricity utilization loops.
The management center 110 is connected to the electric power market trading center, and acquires trading data and remaining untrammeled electric quantity of the electric power market trading center at preset time intervals. The transaction data is current and future electric power transaction data and historical transaction data.
In the embodiment of the present invention, the management center 110 first determines a remaining power curve in a future preset time period through a power generation capacity curve and a first power transaction curve in the future preset time period; then newly-added electric power transaction data in the future preset time period are predicted through historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, and a vacant electric quantity curve is obtained; on the basis of the electricity utilization standard, determining the comparison condition of the user spare electricity value in the future preset time period and the electricity utilization standard according to the spare electricity curve, so as to judge whether the user spare electricity value at any moment in the future preset time period reaches the electricity utilization standard or not, and generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result; and finally, the electricity utilization feedback information management terminal 120 is fed back to the user terminal by the management terminal 120, so that the user can pay and adjust electricity utilization requirements and electricity utilization behaviors according to the electricity utilization feedback information. Therefore, a user can know whether the power consumption demand and the power consumption behavior conform to the energy-saving policy through the user terminal, so that the national energy-saving policy is responded positively, and the problems of contradiction between power supply and demand, power consumption pressure and the like are relieved.
In a specific embodiment, the management center 110 determines a judgment result of the vacant electric quantity value and the electricity utilization standard of the user in the future preset time period from the vacant electric quantity curve, generates corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result, and sends the electricity utilization feedback information to the management terminal 120, and the management terminal 120 sends the electricity utilization feedback information to the user terminal, specifically:
the management center 110 determines a first time period in which the vacant electric quantity value of each user is smaller than a first preset value and a second time period in which the vacant electric quantity value of each user is larger than a second preset value according to the vacant electric quantity curve; wherein the first preset value is smaller than the second preset value; determining the electricity price increase of the first time period according to the difference value between the vacant electricity value corresponding to each first time period and the first preset value; determining electricity price rewards of the second time periods according to the difference value between the vacant electricity quantity value corresponding to each second time period and the second preset value; generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the first time period, the corresponding electricity price increase, the second time period and the corresponding electricity price reward; and transmitting power consumption feedback information including the first time period, the power price increase, the second time period, and the power price reward to the management terminal 120;
the management terminal 120 sends the electricity consumption feedback information including the first time period and the electricity price increase to a power plant, and sends the electricity consumption feedback information including the second time period and the electricity price reward to a user terminal;
the management terminal 120 is further configured to:
acquiring a power utilization plan fed back by the user terminal within any preset time period and actual power utilization information within any preset time period;
after the actual power utilization information is judged to be not in accordance with the power utilization plan, power supply is cut off;
after the actual electricity utilization information is judged to accord with the electricity utilization plan, calculating the electricity price of the user in the preset time period according to the actual electricity utilization information and the electricity price reward, further determining the electricity fee to be paid by the user, and sending the electricity fee to be paid by the user to the user terminal.
Referring to fig. 3, an embodiment of the present invention provides a computer terminal device, which includes one or more processors and a memory. The memory is coupled to the processor and configured to store one or more programs, which when executed by the one or more processors, cause the one or more processors to implement the intelligent power management method of any of the above embodiments.
The processor is used for controlling the overall operation of the computer terminal equipment so as to complete all or part of the steps of the intelligent power supply management method. The memory is used to store various types of data to support the operation at the computer terminal device, which data may include, for example, instructions for any application or method operating on the computer terminal device, as well as application-related data. The Memory may be implemented by any type or combination of volatile and non-volatile Memory devices, such as Static Random Access Memory (SRAM), electrically Erasable Programmable Read-Only Memory (EEPROM), erasable Programmable Read-Only Memory (EPROM), programmable Read-Only Memory (PROM), read-Only Memory (ROM), magnetic Memory, flash Memory, magnetic disk, or optical disk.
In an exemplary embodiment, the computer terminal Device may be implemented by one or more Application Specific 1 integrated Circuit (AS 1C), digital Signal Processor (DSP), digital Signal Processing Device (DSPD), programmable Logic Device (PLD), field Programmable Gate Array (FPGA), controller, microcontroller, microprocessor or other electronic components, and is configured to perform the above intelligent power management method and achieve technical effects consistent with the above methods.
In another exemplary embodiment, there is also provided a computer readable storage medium comprising program instructions which, when executed by a processor, implement the steps of the intelligent power management method in any of the above embodiments. For example, the computer readable storage medium may be the above-mentioned memory including program instructions, which can be executed by a processor of a computer terminal device to implement the above-mentioned intelligent power supply management method, and achieve the technical effects consistent with the above-mentioned method.
While the foregoing is directed to the preferred embodiment of the present invention, it will be understood by those skilled in the art that various changes and modifications may be made without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention.

Claims (6)

1. An intelligent power supply management method is characterized by comprising the following steps:
acquiring a residual electric quantity curve according to a power generation capacity curve of a future preset time period and a first power transaction curve of the future preset time period;
predicting newly-added electric power transaction data when the newly-added electric power transaction data is located in the future preset time period according to historical transaction data of an electric power market transaction center, obtaining information capable of influencing electricity utilization and electric power transaction in the future preset time period and a time period in which the information capable of influencing the electricity utilization and electric power transaction exists in the historical transaction data, predicting the newly-added electric power transaction data in the future preset time period, wherein the information capable of influencing the electricity utilization and electric power transaction comprises weather forecast, holiday information, current economic environment and whether power grid transformation is carried out or not, and obtaining a vacant electric quantity curve according to the newly-added electric power transaction data and the residual electric quantity curve;
determining a judgment result of the vacant electric quantity value and the electricity utilization standard of the user in the future preset time period from the vacant electric quantity curve, and generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result, wherein the judgment result specifically comprises the following steps: according to the vacant electric quantity curve, determining a first time period when the vacant electric quantity value of each user is smaller than a first preset value and a second time period when the vacant electric quantity value of each user is larger than a second preset value; wherein the first preset value is smaller than the second preset value; determining the electricity price increase of the first time period according to the difference value between the vacant electricity value corresponding to each first time period and the first preset value; determining electricity price rewards of the second time periods according to the difference value between the vacant electricity quantity value corresponding to each second time period and the second preset value; generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the first time period, the corresponding electricity price increase, the second time period and the corresponding electricity price reward;
and sending the electricity utilization feedback information to a user terminal, specifically: sending power utilization feedback information containing the second time period and the power price reward to a user terminal so that a user can pay fees and adjust power utilization requirements and power utilization behaviors according to the power utilization feedback information;
after the power utilization feedback information is sent to the user terminal, the method further comprises the following steps:
sending power utilization feedback information containing the first time period and the power price increase to a power plant; acquiring an electricity utilization plan fed back by the user terminal within any preset time period and actual electricity utilization information within any preset time period; after the actual power utilization information is judged not to accord with the power utilization plan, power supply is cut off; after the actual power utilization information is judged to be in accordance with the power utilization plan, calculating the power price of the user in the preset time period according to the actual power utilization information and the power price reward, further determining the power fee to be paid by the user, and sending the power fee to be paid by the user to the user terminal.
2. The intelligent power supply management method according to claim 1, wherein the obtaining of the remaining power amount curve according to the power generation capacity curve of the future preset time period and the first power transaction curve of the future preset time period specifically includes:
determining the generating capacity of the future preset time period according to a generating plan or historical power trading data of a power plant, and forming a generating capacity curve according to the generating capacity;
screening out first electric power transaction data from historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, and forming a first electric power transaction curve according to the first electric power transaction data; wherein, the time corresponding to the purchased electric power comprises the future preset time period or historical transaction data within the future preset time period;
and subtracting the first power transaction curve from the power generation capacity curve to obtain a remaining power curve.
3. The intelligent power supply management method according to claim 1, wherein the step of predicting newly-added power transaction data in the future preset time period according to historical transaction data of the power market transaction center, and obtaining a free power curve according to the newly-added power transaction data and the remaining power curve includes:
acquiring second electric power transaction data of which the difference between the transaction time and the time corresponding to the purchased electric power is smaller than preset time from historical transaction data of the electric power market transaction center, and forming a second electric power transaction curve according to the second electric power transaction data;
predicting newly added power transaction data through the second power transaction curve; the newly increased power trading data is used for predicting the newly increased power used in the future preset time period for the power market trading center;
subtracting the newly increased power transaction data from the remaining power curve to obtain a vacant power curve; wherein the free electricity curve is a predicted electric capacity that is not purchased or used in the electric power wholesale market.
4. The intelligent power supply management method according to claim 1, further comprising, after the sending the power consumption feedback information to a user terminal:
and setting power consumption and priority power supply objects in different time periods according to the electricity price rewards.
5. An intelligent power management system, comprising: a management center and a management terminal;
the management center is connected with the electric power market trading center and is used for: acquiring a residual electric quantity curve according to a power generation capacity curve of a future preset time period and a first power transaction curve of the future preset time period; predicting newly-added electric power transaction data when the newly-added electric power transaction data are located in the future preset time period according to historical transaction data of an electric power market transaction center, obtaining information capable of influencing electricity utilization and electric power transaction in the future preset time period and the time period in which the information capable of influencing the electricity utilization and electric power transaction exists in the historical transaction data, predicting the newly-added electric power transaction data in the future preset time period, wherein the information capable of influencing the electricity utilization and electric power transaction comprises weather forecast, holiday information, current economic environment and whether power grid transformation is carried out or not, and obtaining a vacant electric quantity curve according to the newly-added electric power transaction data and the residual electric quantity curve; determining a judgment result of the user spare electric quantity value and the electricity utilization standard in the future preset time period from the spare electric quantity curve, and generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the judgment result; sending the electricity utilization feedback information to the management terminal;
the management terminal is connected with the user terminal and is used for: and sending the electricity utilization feedback information to a user terminal, specifically:
the management center determines a first time period in which the vacant electric quantity value of each user is smaller than a first preset value and a second time period in which the vacant electric quantity value of each user is larger than a second preset value according to the vacant electric quantity curve; wherein the first preset value is smaller than the second preset value; determining the electricity price increase of the first time period according to the difference value between the vacant electric quantity value corresponding to each first time period and the first preset value; determining electricity price rewards of the second time periods according to the difference value between the vacant electricity quantity value corresponding to each second time period and the second preset value; generating corresponding electricity utilization feedback information according to the first time period, the corresponding electricity price increase, the second time period and the corresponding electricity price reward; and sending power utilization feedback information including the first time period, the power price amplification, the second time period and the power price reward to the management terminal;
the management terminal sends the electricity utilization feedback information containing the first time period and the electricity price increase to a power plant, and sends the electricity utilization feedback information containing the second time period and the electricity price reward to a user terminal;
the management terminal is further configured to:
acquiring an electricity utilization plan fed back by the user terminal within any preset time period and actual electricity utilization information within any preset time period;
after the actual power utilization information is judged to be not in accordance with the power utilization plan, power supply is cut off;
after the actual power utilization information is judged to accord with the power utilization plan, calculating the power price of the user in the preset time period according to the actual power utilization information and the power price reward, further determining the power fee to be paid by the user, and sending the power fee to be paid by the user to the user terminal so that the user can pay and adjust the power utilization requirement and the power utilization behavior according to the power utilization feedback information.
6. A computer-readable storage medium, on which a computer program is stored, which, when being executed by a processor, implements the intelligent power management method according to any one of claims 1 to 4.
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