CN112861207A - Method and equipment for predicting sedimentation of composite stratum and computer storage medium - Google Patents

Method and equipment for predicting sedimentation of composite stratum and computer storage medium Download PDF

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CN112861207A
CN112861207A CN202110009768.5A CN202110009768A CN112861207A CN 112861207 A CN112861207 A CN 112861207A CN 202110009768 A CN202110009768 A CN 202110009768A CN 112861207 A CN112861207 A CN 112861207A
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田管凤
马宏伟
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Abstract

本申请公开了一种复合地层的沉降预测的方法、设备及计算机存储介质,涉及隧道工程领域,方法包括获取待预测的复合地层的每一地质分层的第一变形模量以及变形模量权重;将每一所述第一变形模量与对应的所述变形模量权重进行加权处理,得到所述复合地层的第二变形模量;计算出每一所述第一变形模量与所述第二变形模量的权重均方差;并根据每一所述第一变形模量与所述第二变形模量的权重均方差、所述第二变形模量,得到所述复合地层的第一加权变异系数;将所述第一加权变异系数通过预设的沉降预测模型进行预测,得到所述复合地层的沉降预测值。通过将第一加权变异参数引入预设的沉降预测模型中,得到较为准确的沉降预测值。

Figure 202110009768

The present application discloses a method, equipment and computer storage medium for subsidence prediction of a composite stratum, and relates to the field of tunnel engineering. The method includes obtaining a first deformation modulus and a deformation modulus weight of each geological layer of a composite stratum to be predicted ; Perform weighting processing on each of the first deformation modulus and the corresponding deformation modulus weight to obtain the second deformation modulus of the composite formation; calculate each of the first deformation modulus and the The weighted mean square error of the second deformation modulus; and the first deformation modulus of the composite formation is obtained according to the weighted mean square error of each of the first deformation modulus and the second deformation modulus, and the second deformation modulus Weighted coefficient of variation; predicting the first weighted coefficient of variation through a preset subsidence prediction model to obtain a subsidence prediction value of the composite stratum. By introducing the first weighted variation parameter into the preset settlement prediction model, a more accurate settlement prediction value is obtained.

Figure 202110009768

Description

复合地层的沉降预测的方法、设备及计算机存储介质Method, device and computer storage medium for subsidence prediction of composite formation

技术领域technical field

本申请涉及隧道工程领域,特别涉及一种复合地层的沉降预测的方法、设备及计算机存储介质。The present application relates to the field of tunnel engineering, and in particular, to a method, device and computer storage medium for subsidence prediction of composite strata.

背景技术Background technique

在隧道掘进过程中,由于复合地层具有复杂的地质特征、岩土性质,因此通过对影响制约工程施工安全的关键因素(如沉降值)进行预测,可以有效防止施工安全事故的发生。In the process of tunnel excavation, due to the complex geological characteristics and geotechnical properties of the composite stratum, the occurrence of construction safety accidents can be effectively prevented by predicting the key factors (such as settlement value) that affect the safety of engineering construction.

目前隧道复合地层围岩的力学分析常用有限元方法,或者将多地层性质参数采用厚度加权平均的方法近似为均质层考虑,进而可采用解析法。即使理论计算方法本身使结果愈加精确,但是由于复合地层的现实特殊性,仍然导致地面沉降的理论计算预测值与施工现场监测值存在较大差异。At present, the finite element method is commonly used in the mechanical analysis of the surrounding rock of the tunnel composite stratum, or the thickness-weighted average method is used to approximate the property parameters of multiple strata to be considered as a homogeneous layer, and then the analytical method can be used. Even if the theoretical calculation method itself makes the results more accurate, due to the practical particularity of the composite strata, there is still a big difference between the theoretical calculation prediction value of land subsidence and the construction site monitoring value.

发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

本申请旨在至少解决现有技术中存在的技术问题之一。为此,本申请提供了一种复合地层的沉降预测的方法、设备及计算机存储介质,能够提升沉降预测值预测的准确性。The present application aims to solve at least one of the technical problems existing in the prior art. To this end, the present application provides a method, device and computer storage medium for subsidence prediction of composite strata, which can improve the accuracy of subsidence prediction value prediction.

根据本申请实施例的一种复合地层的沉降预测的方法,所述方法包括:A method for subsidence prediction of a composite formation according to an embodiment of the present application, the method includes:

获取待预测的复合地层的每一地质分层的第一变形模量以及变形模量权重;obtaining the first deformation modulus and the deformation modulus weight of each geological layer of the composite formation to be predicted;

将每一所述第一变形模量与对应的所述变形模量权重进行加权处理,得到所述复合地层的第二变形模量;weighting each of the first deformation modulus and the corresponding deformation modulus weight to obtain a second deformation modulus of the composite formation;

计算出每一所述第一变形模量与所述第二变形模量的权重均方差;calculating the weighted mean square error of each of the first deformation modulus and the second deformation modulus;

根据所述权重均方差、所述第二变形模量,得到所述复合地层的第一加权变异系数;obtaining the first weighted coefficient of variation of the composite formation according to the weighted mean square error and the second deformation modulus;

将所述第一加权变异系数通过预设的沉降预测模型进行预测,得到所述复合地层的沉降预测值。The first weighted coefficient of variation is predicted by a preset subsidence prediction model to obtain a subsidence prediction value of the composite formation.

根据本申请上述实施例,至少具有如下有益效果:通过将每一第一变形模量分别进行权重处理得到复合地层的第二变形模量,并将每一第一变形模块与第二变形模块进行权重均方差处理,可以得到复合地层性质变化的复杂程度的表征参数,即第一加权变异系数,从而可以通过将第一加权变异参数引入预设的沉降预测模型中,得到较为准确的沉降预测值。According to the above-mentioned embodiments of the present application, at least the following beneficial effects are obtained: the second deformation modulus of the composite formation is obtained by weighting each first deformation modulus, and each first deformation module and the second deformation module are weighted. The weighted mean square error processing can obtain a parameter representing the complexity of the property change of the composite formation, that is, the first weighted variation coefficient, so that a more accurate settlement prediction value can be obtained by introducing the first weighted variation parameter into the preset settlement prediction model. .

根据本申请一些实施例的复合地层的沉降预测的方法,所述获取待预测的复合地层的每一地质分层的变形模量权重,包括:According to the method for subsidence prediction of composite strata according to some embodiments of the present application, the obtaining the deformation modulus weight of each geological layer of the composite stratum to be predicted includes:

获取每一所述地质分层的剖面面积;obtaining the cross-sectional area of each of said geological layers;

根据每一所述剖面面积,得到对应的所述地质分层的面积占比;According to each of the cross-sectional areas, the area ratio of the corresponding geological layer is obtained;

将每一所述面积占比设为对应的所述地质分层的所述变形模量权重。Each of the area proportions is set as the deformation modulus weight of the corresponding geological layer.

因此,通过将剖面面积的面积占比设置为变形模量权重,可以更为准确的描述每一地质分层与复合地层之间的变形模量关系。Therefore, by setting the area ratio of the section area as the deformation modulus weight, the deformation modulus relationship between each geological layer and the composite formation can be described more accurately.

根据本申请一些实施例的复合地层的沉降预测的方法,所述计算出每一所述第一变形模量与所述第二变形模量的权重均方差,包括:According to the method for subsidence prediction of a composite formation according to some embodiments of the present application, the calculating the weighted mean square error of each of the first deformation modulus and the second deformation modulus includes:

获取每一所述第一变形模量与所述第二变形模量的差值的平方和,得到对应所述地质分层的模量差;obtaining the sum of squares of the difference between each of the first deformation modulus and the second deformation modulus, to obtain the modulus difference corresponding to the geological layer;

将每一所述模量差与对应的所述变形模量权重进行权重处理,得到所述复合地层的总模量差;Perform weighting processing on each of the modulus differences and the corresponding deformation modulus weights to obtain the total modulus difference of the composite formation;

将所述总模量差的均值的开方设置为所述权重均方差。The square root of the mean of the total modulus differences is set as the weighted mean square error.

因此,通过对第一变形模量进行均方差求取过程中,引入变形模量权重,使得得到加权变异系数可以更符合实际的变化。Therefore, in the process of obtaining the mean square error of the first deformation modulus, the weight of the deformation modulus is introduced, so that the weighted coefficient of variation can be obtained more in line with the actual change.

根据本申请一些实施例的复合地层的沉降预测的方法,所述方法还包括:According to the method for subsidence prediction of a composite formation according to some embodiments of the present application, the method further includes:

创建沉降预测模型,其中,所述创建沉降预测模型具体包括:Creating a settlement prediction model, wherein the creating a settlement prediction model specifically includes:

获取多组样本数据,其中,所述样本数据包括实际沉降值、第一最大沉降理论值、第二加权变异系数;Acquiring multiple sets of sample data, wherein the sample data includes an actual sedimentation value, a first maximum sedimentation theoretical value, and a second weighted coefficient of variation;

建立所述实际沉降值与所述第一最大沉降理论值、所述第二加权变异系数的关系等式;establishing the relationship equation between the actual settlement value, the first maximum settlement theoretical value, and the second weighted coefficient of variation;

将多组所述样本数据通过所述关系等式进行拟合处理,得到所述沉降预测模型。The multiple sets of the sample data are fitted through the relational equation to obtain the settlement prediction model.

因此,通过样本数据进行拟合处理,可以得到关系等式中的自变量对应的系数,从而可以得到沉降预测模型。Therefore, by fitting the sample data, the coefficients corresponding to the independent variables in the relational equation can be obtained, so that the settlement prediction model can be obtained.

根据本申请一些实施例的复合地层的沉降预测的方法,所述样本数据还包括第一盾构贯入度以及第一水平柔度系数;According to the method for subsidence prediction of a composite formation according to some embodiments of the present application, the sample data further includes a first shield penetration degree and a first horizontal compliance coefficient;

所述建立所述实际沉降值与所述第一最大沉降理论值、所述第二加权变异系数的关系等式,包括:The establishment of the relationship equation between the actual settlement value, the first maximum settlement theoretical value, and the second weighted coefficient of variation includes:

将所述实际沉降值与所述第一盾构贯入度的比值设置为因变量;Setting the ratio of the actual settlement value to the penetration degree of the first shield as a dependent variable;

将所述第一最大沉降理论值和所述第一水平柔度系数的比值、所述第二加权变异系数均设置为自变量;Setting the ratio of the first maximum settlement theoretical value to the first horizontal compliance coefficient and the second weighted coefficient of variation as independent variables;

根据所述因变量、所述自变量,建立所述关系等式。According to the dependent variable and the independent variable, the relational equation is established.

根据本申请一些实施例的复合地层的沉降预测的方法,所述将所述第一加权变异系数通过预设的沉降预测模型进行预测,得到所述复合地层的沉降预测值,包括:According to the method for subsidence prediction of a composite stratum according to some embodiments of the present application, the first weighted coefficient of variation is predicted by a preset subsidence prediction model to obtain a subsidence predicted value of the composite stratum, including:

获取当前盾构机的最大有效推力;Get the maximum effective thrust of the current shield machine;

将所述最大有效推力通过有限层法处理,得到所述复合地层的第二最大沉降理论值以及所述盾构机掘进的水平位移;The maximum effective thrust is processed by the finite layer method to obtain the second theoretical maximum settlement value of the composite stratum and the horizontal displacement of the shield tunneling machine;

根据所述水平位移、所述最大有效推力,得到所述盾构机的第二水平柔度系数;Obtain the second horizontal compliance coefficient of the shield machine according to the horizontal displacement and the maximum effective thrust;

将所述第二最大沉降理论值、所述第二水平柔度系数、预设的第二盾构贯入度以及所述第一加权变异系数输入到所述沉降预测模型中,输出所述沉降预测值。Input the second maximum settlement theoretical value, the second horizontal compliance coefficient, the preset second shield penetration degree and the first weighted variation coefficient into the settlement prediction model, and output the settlement Predictive value.

因此,通过对理论得到的第二最大沉降理论值进行修正,可以提高理论预测的准确性,从而使得沉降预测值更具参考性。Therefore, by revising the theoretically obtained second maximum settlement theoretical value, the accuracy of the theoretical prediction can be improved, thereby making the settlement prediction value more reference.

根据本申请实施例的一种复合地层的沉降预测值预测的设备,所述设备包括:A device for predicting the subsidence prediction value of a composite formation according to an embodiment of the present application, the device includes:

至少一个处理器,以及,at least one processor, and,

与所述至少一个处理器通信连接的存储器;其中,a memory communicatively coupled to the at least one processor; wherein,

所述存储器存储有指令,所述指令被所述至少一个处理器执行,以使所述至少一个处理器执行所述指令时实现如第一方面任一所述的复合地层的沉降预测的方法。The memory stores instructions, the instructions are executed by the at least one processor, so that when the at least one processor executes the instructions, the method for subsidence prediction of a composite formation according to any one of the first aspects is implemented.

根据本申请实施例的一种计算机可读存储介质,所述计算机可读存储介质存储有计算机可执行指令,所述计算机可执行指令用于使计算机执行如第一方面任一项所述的复合地层的沉降预测的方法。A computer-readable storage medium according to an embodiment of the present application, where the computer-readable storage medium stores computer-executable instructions, where the computer-executable instructions are used to cause a computer to execute the compound according to any one of the first aspects Methods for subsidence prediction of formations.

本申请的附加方面和优点将在下面的描述中部分给出,部分将从下面的描述中变得明显,或通过本申请的实践了解到。Additional aspects and advantages of the present application will be set forth, in part, from the following description, and in part will become apparent from the following description, or may be learned by practice of the present application.

附图说明Description of drawings

本申请的上述和/或附加的方面和优点从结合下面附图对实施例的描述中将变得明显和容易理解,其中:The above and/or additional aspects and advantages of the present application will become apparent and readily understood from the following description of embodiments in conjunction with the accompanying drawings, wherein:

图1是本申请实施例的复合地层的沉降预测的方法流程示意图;Fig. 1 is the method flow schematic diagram of the subsidence prediction of the composite formation of the embodiment of the present application;

图2是本申请实施例的第一变形模量以及变形模量权重获取的流程示意图;FIG. 2 is a schematic flowchart of obtaining the first deformation modulus and the weight of the deformation modulus according to an embodiment of the present application;

图3是本申请实施例的权重均方差获取的流程示意图;3 is a schematic flowchart of the weight mean square error acquisition according to an embodiment of the present application;

图4是本申请实施例的沉降预测模型获取的流程示意图;Fig. 4 is the schematic flow chart of the settlement prediction model acquisition of the embodiment of the present application;

图5是本申请实施例的复合地层的沉降预测的方法的步骤S620流程示意图;5 is a schematic flowchart of step S620 of the method for subsidence prediction of a composite formation according to an embodiment of the present application;

图6是本申请实施例的沉降预测值获取流程示意图。FIG. 6 is a schematic diagram of a flow chart of obtaining a settlement prediction value according to an embodiment of the present application.

具体实施方式Detailed ways

下面详细描述本申请的实施例,所述实施例的示例在附图中示出,其中自始至终相同或类似的标号表示相同或类似的元件或具有相同或类似功能的元件。下面通过参考附图描述的实施例是示例性的,仅用于解释本申请,而不能理解为对本申请的限制。The following describes in detail the embodiments of the present application, examples of which are illustrated in the accompanying drawings, wherein the same or similar reference numerals refer to the same or similar elements or elements having the same or similar functions throughout. The embodiments described below with reference to the accompanying drawings are exemplary and are only used to explain the present application, but should not be construed as a limitation on the present application.

下面参照图1至图6描述本申请的复合地层的沉降预测的方法、设备及计算机存储介质。The method, apparatus and computer storage medium for subsidence prediction of the composite formation of the present application will be described below with reference to FIGS. 1 to 6 .

如图1所示,根据本申请实施例的一种复合地层的沉降预测的方法,方法包括:As shown in FIG. 1 , according to an embodiment of the present application, a method for predicting the settlement of a composite formation, the method includes:

步骤S100、获取待预测的复合地层的每一地质分层的第一变形模量以及变形模量权重。Step S100: Obtain the first deformation modulus and deformation modulus weight of each geological layer of the composite formation to be predicted.

需说明的是,复合地层是由由两种或两种以上不同地层组成;每一地质分层均具有第一变形模量,其中,变形模量是通过现场载荷试验求得的压缩性指标,即在部分侧限条件下,其应力增量与相应的应变增量的比值。因此,第一变形模量可以通过工具检测出。It should be noted that the composite formation is composed of two or more different formations; each geological layer has a first deformation modulus, wherein the deformation modulus is the compressibility index obtained through the field load test, That is, the ratio of the stress increment to the corresponding strain increment under partial confinement conditions. Therefore, the first deformation modulus can be detected by the tool.

步骤S200、将每一第一变形模量与对应的变形模量权重进行加权处理,得到复合地层的第二变形模量。Step S200: Perform weighting processing on each first deformation modulus and the corresponding deformation modulus weight to obtain a second deformation modulus of the composite formation.

需说明的是,加权处理为将每一第一变形模量与对应的变形模量权重进行乘积后,进行累加处理。因此,可以得到复合地层的第二变形模量。It should be noted that, the weighting process is to perform an accumulation process after multiplying each first deformation modulus by the corresponding deformation modulus weight. Therefore, the second deformation modulus of the composite formation can be obtained.

步骤S300、计算出每一第一变形模量与第二变形模量的权重均方差。Step S300: Calculate the weighted mean square error of each of the first deformation modulus and the second deformation modulus.

步骤S400、根据权重均方差、第二变形模量,得到复合地层的第一加权变异系数。Step S400 , obtaining the first weighted coefficient of variation of the composite formation according to the weighted mean square error and the second deformation modulus.

需说明的是,第一加权变异系数用于表征复合地层性质变化的复杂程度;第一加权变异系数越大表示剖面分布的各层的第一变形模量的离散性愈大。It should be noted that the first weighted coefficient of variation is used to represent the complexity of the property change of the composite formation; the larger the first weighted coefficient of variation, the greater the dispersion of the first deformation modulus of each layer distributed in the profile.

步骤S500、将第一加权变异系数通过预设的沉降预测模型进行预测,得到复合地层的沉降预测值。Step S500: Predict the first weighted coefficient of variation through a preset subsidence prediction model to obtain a subsidence prediction value of the composite stratum.

因此,通过将每一第一变形模量分别进行权重处理得到复合地层的第二变形模量,并将每一第一变形模块与第二变形模块进行权重均方差处理,可以得到复合地层性质变化的复杂程度的表征参数,即第一加权变异系数,从而可以通过将第一加权变异参数引入预设的沉降预测模型中,得到较为准确的沉降预测值。Therefore, the second deformation modulus of the composite formation is obtained by weighting each first deformation modulus, and the weight mean square error processing is performed on each first deformation module and the second deformation module to obtain the property change of the composite formation. The characterization parameter of the complexity degree, namely the first weighted variation coefficient, so that a more accurate settlement prediction value can be obtained by introducing the first weighted variation parameter into the preset settlement prediction model.

可理解为,如图2所示,步骤S100中变形模量权重的获取,包括:It can be understood that, as shown in FIG. 2 , the acquisition of the deformation modulus weight in step S100 includes:

步骤S110、获取每一地质分层的剖面面积。Step S110, acquiring the cross-sectional area of each geological layer.

步骤S120、根据每一剖面面积,得到对应的地质分层的面积占比。Step S120: Obtain the area ratio of the corresponding geological layer according to the area of each section.

步骤S130、将每一面积占比设为对应的地质分层的变形模量权重。Step S130, setting each area ratio as the deformation modulus weight of the corresponding geological layer.

需说明的是,假设将地质分层依次编号为1至i;对于第i个地质分层,其剖面面积为Ai。则第i个地质分层的变形模量权重λi为:It should be noted that it is assumed that the geological layers are sequentially numbered from 1 to i; for the i-th geological layer, its section area is A i . Then the deformation modulus weight λ i of the i-th geological layer is:

Figure BDA0002884564350000041
Figure BDA0002884564350000041

因此,通过将剖面面积的面积占比设置为变形模量权重,可以更为准确的描述每一地质分层与复合地层之间的变形模量关系。Therefore, by setting the area ratio of the section area as the deformation modulus weight, the deformation modulus relationship between each geological layer and the composite formation can be described more accurately.

需说明的是,此时参照步骤S200得到第二变形模量Ec如下:It should be noted that, at this time, referring to step S200 to obtain the second deformation modulus E c as follows:

Figure BDA0002884564350000051
Figure BDA0002884564350000051

可理解为,如图3所示,步骤S300,包括:It can be understood that, as shown in FIG. 3 , step S300 includes:

步骤S310、获取每一第一变形模量与第二变形模量的差值的平方和,得到对应地质分层的模量差。Step S310: Obtain the sum of the squares of the difference between each first deformation modulus and the second deformation modulus to obtain the modulus difference corresponding to the geological layer.

步骤S320、将每一模量差与对应的变形模量权重进行权重处理,得到复合地层的总模量差。Step S320: Perform weighting processing on each modulus difference and the corresponding deformation modulus weight to obtain the total modulus difference of the composite formation.

需说明的是,将每一模量差和对应的变形权重乘积后,然后依次进行累加,可以得到复合底层的总模量差。It should be noted that the total modulus difference of the composite bottom layer can be obtained by multiplying each modulus difference and the corresponding deformation weight, and then accumulating them in sequence.

步骤S330、将总模量差的均值的开方设置为权重均方差。Step S330, setting the square root of the mean value of the total modulus difference as the weighted mean square error.

需说明的是,假设第一变形模量为Ei,第二变形模量为Ec;则第一加权变异系数COVE为:It should be noted that, assuming that the first deformation modulus is E i and the second deformation modulus is E c ; then the first weighted coefficient of variation COV E is:

Figure BDA0002884564350000052
Figure BDA0002884564350000052

其中,λi为第i个的地质分层的变形模量权重。n表示复合地层中地质分层的层数。Among them, λ i is the deformation modulus weight of the ith geological layer. n represents the number of layers of geological layers in the composite formation.

因此,通过对第一变形模量进行均方差求取过程中,引入变形模量权重,使得得到的加权变异系数可以更符合实际的变化。Therefore, in the process of obtaining the mean square error of the first deformation modulus, the weight of the deformation modulus is introduced, so that the obtained weighted coefficient of variation can be more in line with the actual change.

可理解为,如图4所示,步骤S500前,复合地层的沉降预测的方法还包括创建沉降预测模型,其中,创建沉降预测模型具体包括:It can be understood that, as shown in FIG. 4 , before step S500, the method for predicting the settlement of the composite stratum further includes creating a settlement prediction model, wherein the creation of the settlement prediction model specifically includes:

步骤S610、获取多组样本数据,其中,样本数据包括实际沉降值、第一最大沉降理论值、第二加权变异系数。Step S610: Acquire multiple sets of sample data, wherein the sample data includes the actual subsidence value, the first maximum subsidence theoretical value, and the second weighted coefficient of variation.

步骤S620、建立实际沉降值与第一最大沉降理论值、第二加权变异系数的关系等式。Step S620, establishing a relationship equation between the actual settlement value, the first maximum settlement theoretical value, and the second weighted coefficient of variation.

步骤S630、将多组样本数据通过关系等式进行拟合处理,得到沉降预测模型。Step S630 , performing fitting processing on multiple sets of sample data through relational equations to obtain a settlement prediction model.

因此,通过样本数据进行拟合处理,可以得到关系等式中的自变量对应的系数,从而可以得到沉降预测模型。Therefore, by fitting the sample data, the coefficients corresponding to the independent variables in the relational equation can be obtained, so that the settlement prediction model can be obtained.

可理解为,样本数据还包括第一盾构贯入度以及第一水平柔度系数。It can be understood that the sample data also includes the first shield penetration and the first horizontal compliance coefficient.

需说明的是,第一水平柔度系数为盾构机施加单位的有效推力与产生的水平位移的比值。It should be noted that the first horizontal compliance coefficient is the ratio of the effective thrust per unit applied by the shield machine to the generated horizontal displacement.

步骤S620,如图5所示,包括:Step S620, as shown in Figure 5, includes:

步骤S621、将实际沉降值与第一盾构贯入度的比值设置为因变量。Step S621, setting the ratio of the actual settlement value to the penetration degree of the first shield as the dependent variable.

步骤S622、将第一最大沉降理论值和第一水平柔度系数的比值、第二加权变异系数均设置为自变量。Step S622: Set the ratio of the first theoretical maximum settlement value to the first horizontal compliance coefficient and the second weighted coefficient of variation as independent variables.

步骤S623、根据因变量、自变量,建立关系等式。Step S623, establishing a relational equation according to the dependent variable and the independent variable.

需说明的是,假设因变量为

Figure BDA0002884564350000061
两个自变量分别为
Figure BDA0002884564350000062
和CI,其中,ws表示实际沉降值,f表示第一盾构贯入度,δ表示第一水平柔度系数,wm表示第一最大沉降理论值;CI表示第二加权变异系数;则关系等式如下:It should be noted that it is assumed that the dependent variable is
Figure BDA0002884564350000061
The two independent variables are
Figure BDA0002884564350000062
and C I , where ws represents the actual settlement value, f represents the first shield penetration, δ represents the first horizontal compliance coefficient, w m represents the first theoretical maximum settlement value; C I represents the second weighted coefficient of variation ; then the relational equation is as follows:

Figure BDA0002884564350000063
Figure BDA0002884564350000063

其中,a和b分别为自变量

Figure BDA0002884564350000064
和自变量CI的系数,当进行拟合处理后,可以得到一个确定的a、b值;因此当f、δ、wm、CI可以根据待测的复合底层的测量数据得到,从而反推出ws的值,此时,ws作为因变量计算沉降预测值。where a and b are independent variables, respectively
Figure BDA0002884564350000064
and the coefficient of the independent variable C I , after fitting, a definite value of a and b can be obtained; therefore, when f, δ, w m , and C I can be obtained according to the measurement data of the composite bottom layer to be measured, thus inversely The value of ws is derived. At this time, ws is used as the dependent variable to calculate the predicted value of settlement.

可理解为,此时,根据上述已得到自变量系数的沉降预测模型,参照步骤S400进行沉降预测值的获取。如图6所示,步骤S500包括:It can be understood that, at this time, according to the settlement prediction model for which the independent variable coefficients have been obtained, the settlement prediction value is obtained with reference to step S400. As shown in Figure 6, step S500 includes:

S510、获取当前盾构机的最大有效推力。S510. Obtain the maximum effective thrust of the current shield machine.

需说明的是,可以通过盾构隧道力学经验公式,获取盾构机掘进的总推力,从而可以得到有效推力。It should be noted that the total thrust of the shield tunneling machine can be obtained through the empirical formula of shield tunnel mechanics, so that the effective thrust can be obtained.

S520、将最大有效推力通过有限层法处理,得到复合地层的第二最大沉降理论值以及盾构机掘进的水平位移。S520, the maximum effective thrust is processed by the finite layer method to obtain the second maximum subsidence theoretical value of the composite stratum and the horizontal displacement of the shield tunneling machine.

需说明的是,水平位移是盾构机施加单位的最大有效推力产生的水平位移量。It should be noted that the horizontal displacement is the horizontal displacement generated by the maximum effective thrust of the shield machine applied unit.

S530、根据水平位移、最大有效推力,得到盾构机的第二水平柔度系数;S530. Obtain the second horizontal compliance coefficient of the shield machine according to the horizontal displacement and the maximum effective thrust;

需说明的是,假设δ'表示第二水平柔度系数,最大有效推力为F',水平位移为u;则δ'=u/F'。It should be noted that, assuming that δ' represents the second horizontal compliance coefficient, the maximum effective thrust is F', and the horizontal displacement is u; then δ'=u/F'.

S540、将第二最大沉降理论值、第二水平柔度系数、预设的第二盾构贯入度以及第一加权变异系数输入到沉降预测模型中,输出沉降预测值。S540. Input the second maximum settlement theoretical value, the second horizontal compliance coefficient, the preset second shield penetration degree and the first weighted variation coefficient into the settlement prediction model, and output the settlement prediction value.

需说明的是,假设ws'表示沉降预测值,f'表示第二盾构贯入度,wm'表示第二最大沉降理论值;COVE表示第一加权变异系数;则可知,沉降预测值ws'与f'、δ'、wm'、COVE具有如下关系:It should be noted that it is assumed that ws ' represents the predicted value of settlement, f' represents the second shield penetration, w m ' represents the second maximum theoretical value of settlement; COVE represents the first weighted coefficient of variation; it can be seen that the predicted settlement of The value ws ' has the following relationship with f ', δ', w m ', COVE :

Figure BDA0002884564350000071
Figure BDA0002884564350000071

因此,通过对理论得到的第二最大沉降理论值进行修正,可以提高理论预测的准确性,从而使得沉降预测值更具参考性。Therefore, by revising the theoretically obtained second maximum settlement theoretical value, the accuracy of the theoretical prediction can be improved, thereby making the settlement prediction value more reference.

根据本申请实施例的一种复合地层的沉降预测值预测的设备,设备包括:A device for predicting the subsidence prediction value of a composite stratum according to an embodiment of the present application, the device includes:

至少一个处理器,以及,at least one processor, and,

与至少一个处理器通信连接的存储器;其中,a memory communicatively coupled to the at least one processor; wherein,

存储器存储有指令,指令被至少一个处理器执行,以使至少一个处理器执行指令时实现如第一方面任一项的复合地层的沉降预测的方法。The memory stores instructions, which are executed by the at least one processor, so that when the at least one processor executes the instructions, the method for subsidence prediction of a composite formation according to any one of the first aspects is implemented.

根据本申请实施例的一种计算机可读存储介质,计算机可读存储介质存储有计算机可执行指令,计算机可执行指令用于使计算机执行如第一方面任一项的复合地层的沉降预测的方法。According to a computer-readable storage medium according to an embodiment of the present application, the computer-readable storage medium stores computer-executable instructions, and the computer-executable instructions are used to make a computer execute the method for subsidence prediction of a composite formation according to any one of the first aspect .

需说明的是,术语计算机存储介质包括在用于存储信息(诸如计算机可读指令、数据结构、程序模块或其他数据)的任何方法或技术中实施的易失性和非易失性、可移除和不可移除介质。计算机存储介质包括但不限于RAM、ROM、EEPROM、闪存或其他存储器技术、CD-ROM、数字多功能盘(DVD)或其他光盘存储、磁盒、磁带、磁盘存储或其他磁存储装置、或者可以用于存储期望的信息并且可以被计算机访问的任何其他的介质。It should be noted that the term computer storage media includes volatile and nonvolatile, removable, removable storage media implemented in any method or technology for storage of information such as computer readable instructions, data structures, program modules or other data. removable and non-removable media. Computer storage media include, but are not limited to, RAM, ROM, EEPROM, flash memory or other memory technology, CD-ROM, digital versatile disk (DVD) or other optical disk storage, magnetic cartridges, magnetic tape, magnetic disk storage or other magnetic storage devices, or may Any other medium used to store desired information and which can be accessed by a computer.

需说明的是,本领域普通技术人员可以理解,上文中所公开方法中的全部或某些步骤可以被实施为软件、固件、硬件及其适当的组合。It should be noted that, those of ordinary skill in the art can understand that all or some of the steps in the methods disclosed above can be implemented as software, firmware, hardware, and appropriate combinations thereof.

下面参考图1至图6以一个具体的实施例详细描述根据本申请实施例的复合地层的沉降预测的方法。值得理解的是,下述描述仅是示例性说明,而不是对申请的具体限制。The method for subsidence prediction of a composite formation according to an embodiment of the present application will be described in detail below with reference to FIGS. 1 to 6 with a specific embodiment. It is to be understood that the following description is illustrative only and not specific to the application.

如图1所示,参照步骤S100所示,得到每一地质分层的第一变形模量以及变形模量权重。As shown in FIG. 1 , referring to step S100 , the first deformation modulus and the deformation modulus weight of each geological layer are obtained.

具体的,参照如图2所示的步骤S110~步骤S140,得到每一地质分层的变形模量权重

Figure BDA0002884564350000072
Specifically, referring to steps S110 to S140 shown in FIG. 2 , the deformation modulus weight of each geological layer is obtained
Figure BDA0002884564350000072

进一步,参照步骤S200,得到第二变形模量

Figure BDA0002884564350000073
Further, referring to step S200, the second deformation modulus is obtained
Figure BDA0002884564350000073

进一步,参照步骤S310~步骤S330、步骤S400,得到复合地层的第一加权变异系数

Figure BDA0002884564350000081
Further, referring to steps S310 to S330 and S400, the first weighted coefficient of variation of the composite formation is obtained
Figure BDA0002884564350000081

进一步,参照步骤S600,获取多组样本数据,得到沉降预测模型

Figure BDA0002884564350000082
Further, referring to step S600, multiple groups of sample data are obtained to obtain a settlement prediction model
Figure BDA0002884564350000082

进一步,参照步骤S400,将第一加权变异系数等相关参数通过沉降预测模型处理,得到沉降预测值。Further, referring to step S400, the relevant parameters such as the first weighted coefficient of variation are processed through the settlement prediction model to obtain the settlement prediction value.

此时,如步骤S410~步骤440所示,通过

Figure BDA0002884564350000083
得到沉降预测值ws'。At this time, as shown in steps S410 to 440, by
Figure BDA0002884564350000083
The settlement prediction value ws ' is obtained.

在本说明书的描述中,参考术语“一个实施例”、“一些实施例”、“示意性实施例”、“示例”、“具体示例”、或“一些示例”等的描述意指结合该实施例或示例描述的具体特征、结构、材料或者特点包含于本申请的至少一个实施例或示例中。在本说明书中,对上述术语的示意性表述不一定指的是相同的实施例或示例。而且,描述的具体特征、结构、材料或者特点可以在任何的一个或多个实施例或示例中以合适的方式结合。In the description of this specification, reference to the terms "one embodiment," "some embodiments," "exemplary embodiment," "example," "specific example," or "some examples", etc., is meant to incorporate the embodiments A particular feature, structure, material, or characteristic described by an example or example is included in at least one embodiment or example of the present application. In this specification, schematic representations of the above terms do not necessarily refer to the same embodiment or example. Furthermore, the particular features, structures, materials or characteristics described may be combined in any suitable manner in any one or more embodiments or examples.

尽管已经示出和描述了本申请的实施例,本领域的普通技术人员可以理解:在不脱离本申请的原理和宗旨的情况下可以对这些实施例进行多种变化、修改、替换和变型,本申请的范围由权利要求及其等同物限定。Although the embodiments of the present application have been shown and described, it will be understood by those of ordinary skill in the art that various changes, modifications, substitutions and alterations can be made in these embodiments without departing from the principles and spirit of the present application, The scope of the application is defined by the claims and their equivalents.

Claims (8)

1.一种复合地层的沉降预测的方法,其特征在于,所述方法包括:1. a method for subsidence prediction of composite formation, characterized in that the method comprises: 获取待预测的复合地层的每一地质分层的第一变形模量以及变形模量权重;obtaining the first deformation modulus and the deformation modulus weight of each geological layer of the composite formation to be predicted; 将每一所述第一变形模量与对应的所述变形模量权重进行加权处理,得到所述复合地层的第二变形模量;weighting each of the first deformation modulus and the corresponding deformation modulus weight to obtain a second deformation modulus of the composite formation; 计算出每一所述第一变形模量与所述第二变形模量的权重均方差;calculating the weighted mean square error of each of the first deformation modulus and the second deformation modulus; 根据所述权重均方差、所述第二变形模量,得到所述复合地层的第一加权变异系数;obtaining the first weighted coefficient of variation of the composite formation according to the weighted mean square error and the second deformation modulus; 将所述第一加权变异系数通过预设的沉降预测模型进行预测,得到所述复合地层的沉降预测值。The first weighted coefficient of variation is predicted by a preset subsidence prediction model to obtain a subsidence prediction value of the composite formation. 2.根据权利要求1所述的复合地层的沉降预测的方法,其特征在于,2. The method for subsidence prediction of composite formation according to claim 1, characterized in that, 所述获取待预测的复合地层的每一地质分层的变形模量权重,包括:The obtaining the deformation modulus weight of each geological layer of the composite formation to be predicted includes: 获取每一所述地质分层的剖面面积;obtaining the cross-sectional area of each of said geological layers; 根据每一所述剖面面积,得到对应的所述地质分层的面积占比;According to each of the cross-sectional areas, the area ratio of the corresponding geological layer is obtained; 将每一所述面积占比设为对应的所述地质分层的所述变形模量权重。Each of the area proportions is set as the deformation modulus weight of the corresponding geological layer. 3.根据权利要求1所述的复合地层的沉降预测的方法,其特征在于,3. The method for subsidence prediction of composite strata according to claim 1, characterized in that, 所述计算出每一所述第一变形模量与所述第二变形模量的权重均方差,包括:The calculating the weighted mean square error of each of the first deformation modulus and the second deformation modulus includes: 获取每一所述第一变形模量与所述第二变形模量的差值的平方和,得到对应所述地质分层的模量差;obtaining the sum of squares of the difference between each of the first deformation modulus and the second deformation modulus, to obtain the modulus difference corresponding to the geological layer; 将每一所述模量差与对应的所述变形模量权重进行权重处理,得到所述复合地层的总模量差;Perform weighting processing on each of the modulus differences and the corresponding deformation modulus weights to obtain the total modulus difference of the composite formation; 将所述总模量差的均值的开方设置为所述权重均方差。The square root of the mean of the total modulus differences is set as the weighted mean square error. 4.根据权利要求1所述的复合地层的沉降预测的方法,其特征在于,还包括:4. The method for subsidence prediction of composite strata according to claim 1, characterized in that, further comprising: 创建沉降预测模型,其中,所述创建沉降预测模型具体包括:Creating a settlement prediction model, wherein the creating a settlement prediction model specifically includes: 获取多组样本数据,其中,所述样本数据包括实际沉降值、第一最大沉降理论值、第二加权变异系数;Acquiring multiple sets of sample data, wherein the sample data includes an actual sedimentation value, a first maximum sedimentation theoretical value, and a second weighted coefficient of variation; 建立所述实际沉降值与所述第一最大沉降理论值、所述第二加权变异系数的关系等式;establishing the relationship equation between the actual settlement value, the first maximum settlement theoretical value, and the second weighted coefficient of variation; 将多组所述样本数据通过所述关系等式进行拟合处理,得到所述沉降预测模型。The multiple sets of the sample data are fitted through the relational equation to obtain the settlement prediction model. 5.根据权利要求4所述的复合地层的沉降预测的方法,其特征在于,5. The method for subsidence prediction of composite strata according to claim 4, characterized in that, 所述样本数据还包括第一盾构贯入度以及第一水平柔度系数;The sample data further includes a first shield penetration and a first horizontal compliance coefficient; 所述建立所述实际沉降值与所述第一最大沉降理论值、所述第二加权变异系数的关系等式,包括:The establishment of the relationship equation between the actual settlement value, the first maximum settlement theoretical value, and the second weighted coefficient of variation includes: 将所述实际沉降值与所述第一盾构贯入度的比值设置为因变量;Setting the ratio of the actual settlement value to the penetration degree of the first shield as a dependent variable; 将所述第一最大沉降理论值和所述第一水平柔度系数的比值、所述第二加权变异系数均设置为自变量;Setting the ratio of the first maximum settlement theoretical value to the first horizontal compliance coefficient and the second weighted coefficient of variation as independent variables; 根据所述因变量、所述自变量,建立所述关系等式。According to the dependent variable and the independent variable, the relational equation is established. 6.根据权利要求5所述的复合地层的沉降预测的方法,其特征在于,6. The method for subsidence prediction of composite strata according to claim 5, characterized in that, 所述将所述第一加权变异系数通过预设的沉降预测模型进行预测,得到所述复合地层的沉降预测值,包括:Predicting the first weighted coefficient of variation through a preset settlement prediction model to obtain a settlement prediction value of the composite stratum, including: 获取当前盾构机的最大有效推力;Get the maximum effective thrust of the current shield machine; 将所述最大有效推力通过有限层法处理,得到所述复合地层的第二最大沉降理论值以及所述盾构机掘进的水平位移;The maximum effective thrust is processed by the finite layer method to obtain the second maximum subsidence theoretical value of the composite stratum and the horizontal displacement of the shield tunneling machine; 根据所述水平位移、所述最大有效推力,得到所述盾构机的第二水平柔度系数;Obtain the second horizontal compliance coefficient of the shield machine according to the horizontal displacement and the maximum effective thrust; 将所述第二最大沉降理论值、所述第二水平柔度系数、预设的第二盾构贯入度以及所述第一加权变异系数输入到所述沉降预测模型中,输出所述沉降预测值。Input the second maximum settlement theoretical value, the second horizontal compliance coefficient, the preset second shield penetration degree and the first weighted variation coefficient into the settlement prediction model, and output the settlement Predictive value. 7.一种复合地层的沉降预测的设备,其特征在于,包括:7. A device for predicting the subsidence of composite strata, characterized in that it comprises: 至少一个处理器,以及,at least one processor, and, 与所述至少一个处理器通信连接的存储器;其中,a memory communicatively coupled to the at least one processor; wherein, 所述存储器存储有指令,所述指令被所述至少一个处理器执行,以使所述至少一个处理器执行所述指令时实现如权利要求1至6任一所述的复合地层的沉降预测的方法。The memory stores instructions that are executed by the at least one processor to enable the at least one processor to implement the subsidence prediction of the composite formation as claimed in any one of claims 1 to 6 when the at least one processor executes the instructions. method. 8.一种计算机可读存储介质,其特征在于,所述计算机可读存储介质存储有计算机可执行指令,所述计算机可执行指令用于使计算机执行如权利要求1至6任一项所述的复合地层的沉降预测的方法。8. A computer-readable storage medium, characterized in that the computer-readable storage medium stores computer-executable instructions, the computer-executable instructions being used to cause a computer to execute any one of claims 1 to 6 A method for subsidence prediction of composite formations.
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