CN112465210A - Energy internet layered construction method and device based on complex adaptation theory - Google Patents
Energy internet layered construction method and device based on complex adaptation theory Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The energy internet layered construction method and device based on the complex adaptation theory can provide services for a large number of users, provide a comprehensive energy configuration scheme aiming at the energy utilization optimization problem of different users, provide a good solution for the economical efficiency of energy use and operation of the users and the high efficiency of energy efficiency, provide electric energy services, demand response and energy-saving value-added services for the society, and directly save the social and economic costs. The method comprises the following steps: (1) collecting data; (2) and (3) hierarchical division: according to the hierarchical division standard of three layers and two centers, an energy supply area is divided into energy cells, function units, operation units, city supply centers and demand centers step by combining with the function of the area; (3) analyzing the current energy; (4) load prediction; (5) energy supply and demand are balanced; (6) formulating a scheme; (7) evaluating the technology and the economy; (8) building an energy information system; (9) and (4) designing energy business.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of power systems, in particular to an energy internet layered construction method based on a complex adaptation theory and an energy internet layered construction device based on the complex adaptation theory.
Background
With the rapid increase of global economy, the consumption of non-renewable energy is continuously increased, so that the exploitation and the use of traditional energy are difficult, and the energy problem becomes a complex, mutually coupled and multidimensional severe challenge facing the future of human beings, or the human beings experience a huge energy revolution.
Related research results are provided for multi-energy flow coupling calculation and energy system planning operation in China, and beneficial exploration is conducted for the establishment of an energy comprehensive system. However, most of the methods still aim at a small-area power grid and a micro power grid with small range and single energy combination or research from the perspective of a single optimization technology, and an urban energy internet construction system is not constructed from the top layer in combination with the bottom layer requirements. There is still much work to be extended and driven to systems that cover multi-energy flows, multi-services, and multi-energy sources.
(1) The energy system revolution not only needs top-level design, but also needs to establish a planning architecture of gradual decomposition and landing. The problem of the complex giant system is decomposed into a plurality of small units, and a planning system from top to bottom and a planning idea from bottom to top are combined to adapt to the future development trend of decentralized energy system and information coupling;
(2) the development of the energy Internet is a practical innovation process, fractal innovation is needed to be carried out repeatedly and gradually, and complete systems and methods are needed as guidance in the fractal innovation processes of energy systems such as demand response, energy efficiency management, multi-energy conversion and the like;
(3) the complexity of the energy Internet far exceeds the professional storage of any one existing subject, and the constituent elements and the connection mode are deeply changed; energy system practitioners face anxiety and weakness of 'frog boiling in warm water', and the method has the effect of quickly changing and lacking the adequacy of energy systems; the requirements and constraints on the subject involved in the rapid change process are difficult to unify;
(4) the urban energy system planning method, standard, mode and mechanism converge, a planning method and system facing energy interconnection network is lacked, a planning idea according to local conditions is lacked, a co-construction sharing mechanism of cost sharing and benefit distribution is lacked, and a planning system which is suitable for planning, operating, managing, serving and other links after the urban energy system is changed needs to be established.
Disclosure of Invention
In order to overcome the defects of the prior art, the technical problem to be solved by the invention is to provide an energy internet layered construction method based on a complex adaptive theory, which can provide services for a large number of users, provide a comprehensive energy configuration scheme aiming at the energy consumption optimization problem of different users, provide a good solution for the economy of energy use and operation of the users and the energy efficiency and high efficiency, provide electric energy service, demand response and energy-saving value-added service for the society, and directly save the social and economic cost.
The technical scheme of the invention is as follows: the energy internet layered construction method based on the complex adaptation theory comprises the following steps:
(1) collecting data;
(2) and (3) hierarchical division: according to the hierarchical division standard of three layers and two centers, an energy supply area is divided into energy cells, functional units, operation units, city supply centers and demand centers step by combining with the function of the area;
(3) analyzing the current energy;
(4) load prediction;
(5) energy supply and demand are balanced;
(6) formulating a scheme;
(7) evaluating the technology and the economy;
(8) building an energy information system;
(9) and (4) designing energy business.
The invention builds a three-layer two-center energy Internet planning system, fully considers the inevitable trends of specific gravity improvement of distributed energy and development of ubiquitous Internet of things, can provide services for a large number of users, provides a comprehensive energy configuration scheme aiming at the energy utilization optimization problem of different users, provides a good solution for the economical efficiency of energy use and operation of the users and the high efficiency of energy efficiency, provides electric energy service, demand response and energy-saving value-added service for the society, and directly saves the social and economic cost.
Still provide an energy internet layering structure device based on complicated adaptation theory, it includes:
a collection module configured to collect data;
the hierarchy dividing module is configured to divide the energy supply area into energy source cells, function units, operation units, city supply centers and demand centers step by step according to the hierarchy dividing standard of three layers and two centers by combining the function of the area;
an analysis module configured to perform a present energy analysis;
a prediction module configured to perform load prediction;
a balancing module configured to perform energy supply and demand balancing;
a formulation module configured to perform a protocol formulation;
an evaluation module configured to perform technical and economic evaluation;
a construction module configured to perform energy information system construction;
a design module configured to perform energy business design.
Drawings
Fig. 1 is a flow chart of a method for hierarchically constructing an energy internet based on a complex adaptation theory according to the present invention.
FIG. 2 illustrates a feature logic relationship diagram.
Fig. 3 shows an energy internet hierarchy based on complex adaptation theory.
Detailed Description
As shown in fig. 1, the energy internet hierarchical construction method based on the complex adaptation theory includes the following steps:
(1) collecting data;
(2) and (3) hierarchical division: according to the hierarchical division standard of three layers and two centers, combining the region function to divide the energy supply region into energy cells, function units, operation units, city supply centers and demand centers step by step;
(3) analyzing the current energy;
(4) load prediction;
(5) energy supply and demand are balanced;
(6) formulating a scheme;
(7) evaluating the technology and the economy;
(8) building an energy information system;
(9) and (4) designing energy business.
The invention builds a three-layer two-center energy Internet planning system, fully considers the inevitable trends of specific gravity improvement of distributed energy and development of ubiquitous Internet of things, can provide services for a large number of users, provides a comprehensive energy configuration scheme aiming at the energy utilization optimization problem of different users, provides a good solution for the economical efficiency of energy use and operation of the users and the high efficiency of energy efficiency, provides electric energy service, demand response and energy-saving value-added service for the society, and directly saves the social and economic cost.
Preferably, in step (1), collecting various data required for planning includes: the system comprises a regional city planning report, a regional power special planning report, a regional heating power special planning report, a regional gas special planning report, a special town/park building design report and a corresponding atlas.
Preferably, in the step (3), the analyzing of the current situation of the urban energy resource includes analyzing aspects of energy resource conditions on a supply side of the city, resource conditions on a demand side, energy structures, current situations of energy supply and demand, energy development margins, energy efficiency, information-based construction degree, policies related to comprehensive energy services, business models of the comprehensive energy services, and energy management levels.
Preferably, in the step (4), space power load prediction, gas index prediction and unit area index heat load prediction are adopted to predict the loads of cooling, heating, electricity and gas in the region step by step.
Preferably, in the step (5), the total supply amount of the electric power, the gas and the new energy is calculated by considering energy conversion, demand response resources, stored energy and new energy according to the prediction result of the cold, heat, electricity and gas loads on the demand side.
Preferably, in the step (6), a plurality of comprehensive energy planning schemes are provided according to the energy supply and demand balance result and combining the regional multipotential collaborative planning target and the supply side energy endowment situation.
Preferably, in the step (7), a multi-scheme comparison selection mode is selected, and a regional economic optimal multi-energy collaborative planning scheme is obtained through calculation of a plurality of project economic evaluation indexes of internal yield, net present value, net annual value and investment recovery period; the design requirements of actual placement spaces and pipelines of multi-energy conversion equipment, new energy equipment, energy storage equipment and the like are considered by combining a building planning scheme of a characteristic park, and the practicability of landing of a project is met.
Preferably, in the step (8), the user energy characteristics are comprehensively sensed by installing an intelligent meter and an intelligent sensor, and the landing of the business forms of economic operation, network load interaction, demand side management, energy management and operation and maintenance service is realized by taking energy cells as units through the acquisition and mining of user side data; accumulating and analyzing the energy consumption habits of the users, providing support for business innovation on the planning, marketing, operation and maintenance and scheduling operation level, and providing a foundation for data and business communication.
Preferably, in the step (9), regional energy operation is supported and typical business operation mode design is developed according to the actual energy development situation and target in the region.
It will be understood by those skilled in the art that all or part of the steps in the method of the above embodiments may be implemented by a program to instruct associated hardware, the program may be stored in a computer readable storage medium, and when executed, the program includes the steps of the method of the above embodiments, and the storage medium may be: ROM/RAM, magnetic disks, optical disks, memory cards, and the like. Therefore, corresponding to the method of the invention, the invention also comprises an energy internet hierarchical construction device based on the complex adaptation theory, which is generally expressed in the form of functional modules corresponding to the steps of the method. The device includes:
a collection module configured to collect data;
the hierarchy dividing module is configured to divide the energy supply area into energy source cells, function units, operation units, city supply centers and demand centers step by step according to the hierarchy dividing standard of three layers and two centers by combining the function of the area;
an analysis module configured to perform a present energy analysis;
a prediction module configured to perform load prediction;
a balancing module configured to perform energy supply and demand balancing;
a formulation module configured to perform a protocol formulation;
an evaluation module configured to perform technical and economic evaluation;
a construction module configured to perform energy information system construction;
a design module configured to perform energy business design.
The present invention is described in more detail below.
Based on a system theory, an information theory and a complex adaptation theory, a bottom-layer energy demand and resource endowment are combined, and a bottom-layer and top-layer mode is adopted, so that an energy internet layered construction system is constructed from a top-layer design and is used for guiding enterprise, park, county-level, city-level and provincial-level energy internet planning.
Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS) is a door system science that has emerged at the end of the 20 th century. The core of the complex adaptation system theory is the adaptation generation complexity, which is the condition for generating intelligence. The members of a complex system are called the adaptive agents. By adaptive it is meant that it is capable of interacting with the environment as well as other subjects. In such continuous interaction, the subject continuously "learns" or "accumulates experience" to change his structure and behavior pattern according to the learned experience. The evolution or evolution of the entire macrosystem, including the generation and differentiation of new layers, the appearance of diversity, newly aggregated bodies, etc., is derived gradually on this basis.
CAS is at its core to accommodate production complexity, which is a condition for generating intelligence. 8 basic characteristics which should be possessed in the complex adaptation system model comprise a main body, aggregation, nonlinearity, element flow, diversity, feature identification, an internal model and a building block, wherein the first 5 items are general characteristics of the complex adaptation system and play a role in adaptation and evolution; the last 3 items are the mechanisms when the individual interacts with the environment. The comprehensive energy complex network collaborative planning theory research oriented to urban energy interconnection is the innovation combination of theory and practice, and is the deepened innovation of complex adaptation theory on an energy planning system. Independent energy is regarded as a main body, multiple energy is regarded as main body aggregation in a synergetic mode, and the independent energy is freely combined into building blocks according to different development targets and transaction mechanisms so as to continuously adapt to the development of an energy system.
The logical relationship of the eight feature concepts is shown in fig. 2.
The energy internet layered construction method based on the complex adaptation theory combines various energy planning projects to practice experiences, theories and algorithm research achievements, forms a core idea of grading and progressive evolution layer by taking an energy user of a concerned terminal as a basis, builds an energy internet planning system of three layers and two centers on the basis of a system theory, an information theory and the complex adaptation theory, and fully considers the increase of the proportion of distributed energy and the inevitable trend of the development of the ubiquitous internet of things. The core part of the theoretical system is to set up a planning architecture suitable for the development of the energy Internet, and the architecture is divided into three layers of energy cells, functional units and operation units.
(1) Energy cell layer: the energy cell layer is formed by attaching energy sources at the end user side and is suitable for the energy using unit of the minimum unit;
(2) functional unit layer: the functional unit layer is divided to provide the constraint on the energy utilization target on the basis of meeting the urban planning function, and the functional unit layer is formed by combining a plurality of energy cells, organically combines the urban development demand with the energy guarantee and realizes the management and control function on the planning level;
(3) operation unit layer: the division of the operation unit layer takes urban energy operation and service as a fundamental target, takes the development trend of energy system reform and distributed energy utilization into consideration, and is an industrial guarantee for urban energy industry development and energy utilization efficiency improvement.
(4) Energy supply (demand) center: the region formed by taking the management range of provincial/urban electric power companies as a boundary is the comprehensive management from lower-level energy to upper-level energy supply and demand, and intelligent scheduling and energy trading of urban energy supply and demand balance are completed by building an intelligent energy management platform.
The theory has universal adaptability for urban energy, regional energy and enterprise energy management. Under the system architecture, according to different operation management targets, from the top design, a lower energy level and an upper energy level are constructed, and the energy management problem under different targets is solved.
The invention has the following beneficial effects:
(1) the invention fills the blank of theoretical research and application of the multi-energy collaborative development planning method, can provide various energy solutions for users such as governments, industrial enterprises, power grid enterprises and the like by proposing the innovative planning construction theory, can provide electric energy service, demand response and energy-saving value-added service for society by constructing the energy Internet service platform which is completely and independently developed, and directly saves the social and economic costs.
(2) The invention provides services for a large number of users, including large-scale industrial enterprises, schools, public institutions and the like, provides a comprehensive energy configuration scheme aiming at the problem of energy consumption optimization of different users, and provides a good solution for the economical efficiency of energy use and operation of the users and the high efficiency of energy efficiency.
The above description is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention, and is not intended to limit the present invention in any way, and all simple modifications, equivalent variations and modifications made to the above embodiment according to the technical spirit of the present invention still fall within the protection scope of the technical solution of the present invention.
Claims (10)
1. The energy internet layered construction method based on the complex adaptation theory is characterized by comprising the following steps: which comprises the following steps:
(1) collecting data;
(2) and (3) hierarchical division: according to the hierarchical division standard of three layers and two centers, an energy supply area is divided into energy cells, function units, operation units, city supply centers and demand centers step by combining with the function of the area;
(3) analyzing the current energy;
(4) load prediction;
(5) energy supply and demand are balanced;
(6) formulating a scheme;
(7) evaluating the technology and the economy;
(8) building an energy information system;
(9) and (4) designing energy business.
2. The energy internet hierarchical construction method based on the complex adaptation theory as claimed in claim 1, characterized in that: in the step (1), collecting various data required by the planning includes: the system comprises a regional city planning report, a regional power special planning report, a regional heating power special planning report, a regional gas special planning report, a special town/park building design report and a corresponding atlas.
3. The energy internet hierarchical construction method based on the complex adaptation theory as claimed in claim 2, characterized in that: in the step (3), the current urban energy situation analysis includes analysis of energy resource conditions of an urban supply side, resource conditions of a demand side, an energy structure, current energy supply and demand situations, energy development margins, energy efficiency, information-based construction degree, policies related to comprehensive energy services, business models of comprehensive energy services, and energy management levels.
4. The energy internet hierarchical construction method based on the complex adaptation theory as claimed in claim 3, characterized in that: in the step (4), space power load prediction, a gas index prediction method and a unit area index heat load prediction method are adopted to predict the loads of cold, heat, electricity and gas in the area step by step.
5. The energy internet hierarchical construction method based on the complex adaptation theory as claimed in claim 4, characterized in that: and (5) calculating the total supply amount of the electric power, the gas and the new energy by considering energy conversion, demand response resources, energy storage and the new energy according to the prediction results of the cold, heat, electricity and gas loads on the demand side.
6. The energy internet hierarchical construction method based on the complex adaptation theory as claimed in claim 5, characterized in that: in the step (6), a plurality of comprehensive energy planning schemes are provided according to the energy supply and demand balance result and the regional multi-energy collaborative planning target and the supply side energy endowment condition.
7. The energy internet hierarchical construction method based on the complex adaptation theory as claimed in claim 6, characterized in that: in the step (7), a multi-scheme comparison selection mode is selected, and an optimal regional economic multi-energy collaborative planning scheme is obtained through calculation of a plurality of project economic evaluation indexes of internal yield, net present value, net annual value and investment recovery period; the design requirements of actual placement spaces and pipelines of multi-energy conversion equipment, new energy equipment, energy storage equipment and the like are considered by combining a building planning scheme of a characteristic park, and the floor feasibility of a project is met.
8. The energy internet hierarchical construction method based on the complex adaptation theory as claimed in claim 7, characterized in that: in the step (8), the user energy characteristics are comprehensively sensed by installing an intelligent meter and an intelligent sensor, and the landing of the business forms of economic operation, network load interaction, demand side management, energy management and operation and maintenance service is realized by taking energy cells as units through the acquisition and mining of user side data; the energy consumption habits of the users are accumulated and analyzed, support is provided for business innovation of planning, marketing, operation and maintenance and scheduling operation layers, and a foundation is provided for data and business communication.
9. The energy internet hierarchical construction method based on the complex adaptation theory as claimed in claim 8, characterized in that: in the step (9), regional energy operation is supported and typical business operation mode design is developed according to the actual energy development condition and the target in the region.
10. Energy internet layering structure device based on complicated adaptation theory, its characterized in that: it includes:
a collection module configured to collect data;
the hierarchy dividing module is configured to divide an energy supply area into energy cells, functional units, operation units, city supply centers and demand centers step by step according to a hierarchy dividing standard of three layers and two centers by combining with an area function;
an analysis module configured to perform a present energy analysis;
a prediction module configured to perform load prediction;
a balancing module configured to perform energy supply and demand balancing;
a formulation module configured to perform a protocol formulation;
an evaluation module configured to perform technical and economic evaluation;
a construction module configured to perform energy information system construction;
a design module configured to perform energy business design.
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