CN112183428A - Wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method - Google Patents

Wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method Download PDF

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CN112183428A
CN112183428A CN202011081232.6A CN202011081232A CN112183428A CN 112183428 A CN112183428 A CN 112183428A CN 202011081232 A CN202011081232 A CN 202011081232A CN 112183428 A CN112183428 A CN 112183428A
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邓水光
李畅
陈中平
王如杰
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Zhongyuan Research Institute Of Zhejiang University
Zhejiang University ZJU
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Abstract

The invention discloses a wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method, which utilizes the existing open multispectral remote sensing data and satellite monitoring meteorological environment data to realize the accurate segmentation and scientific yield estimation method of a winter wheat planting area, thereby avoiding the cost on time, labor and financial resources brought by large-scale on-site mapping and meteorological monitoring. Meanwhile, the model has better mobility, not only can be applied to the division of the planting area of winter wheat and the prediction of yield, but also can be effectively applied to other crops, and provides possibility for realizing agricultural modernization and business.

Description

Wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of image processing and remote sensing, and particularly relates to a wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method.
Background
The growth of wheat is influenced by various external environmental factors such as solar radiation, atmosphere, hydrology, soil and the like. By comprehensively applying professional knowledge in the field of remote sensing and an optimization algorithm in mathematics, quantitative representation of external environment factors related to wheat growth and biological growth characteristics expressed by the wheat through multiple spectra are obtained, and therefore the division of a planting area and the construction of an estimated yield model are achieved. As more growth environment data need to be collected and counted, a large amount of manpower and material resources are inevitably consumed for manual on-site monitoring by using an instrument, and reliable and stable monitoring data can be obtained by converting remote sensing data into related index indexes of crop growth through an inversion method. At present, meteorological monitoring data generated by remote sensing satellite sensors represented by MODIS are widely used, and data such as absorption of vegetation chlorophyll and aerosol in the atmosphere can be obtained from the MODIS. Therefore, how to accurately divide the planting area of the target crop from the multi-spectrum remote sensing image is a problem which needs to be solved urgently at present.
At present, papers and patents related to agricultural assessment mainly rely on spectral data in multispectral images to perform simple formula calculation in the aspect of planting area segmentation, and the method can better segment the planting areas of crops under the conditions of less data volume and more knowledge of related fields. However, when the remote sensing related knowledge is not deep enough and the processing of crops in a large area is required, a lot of time is consumed for manually adjusting the parameters in the model, and the automation degree is not high. Therefore, how to realize a model which can be flexibly applied to other areas and is more automatic is an urgent problem to be solved for remote sensing image area crop segmentation.
The Chinese patent with the application number of 201210133136.0 provides a winter wheat yield estimation method for assimilating the characteristic of a leaf area index time sequence curve, a WOFOST model is adopted to predict the yield of winter wheat in a unit area within the scope of the Shijiazhuan city, but the scheme does not involve the division of a winter wheat planting area, the yield of the unit area is predicted for the whole area grid, no difference exists in the area grid, only the Leaf Area Index (LAI) of a remote sensing satellite MODIS sensor is used, the WOFOST model is optimized by fitting the time sequence curve of the LAI, and the yield simulation is seriously low only by depending on the MODIS LAI to perform the assimilation of the model. The Chinese patent with the application number of 201910094036.3 provides a regional winter Wheat estimation method based on remote sensing phenological assimilation and particle swarm optimization algorithm, a scheme based on MODIS LAI index is also adopted, a crop growth model adopts MCWLA-Wheat, and an LAI time sequence curve is also adopted.
Therefore, the current thesis and patent still use a simple one-dimensional linear equation based on multispectral remote sensing data or use a genetic algorithm to find and optimize a prediction model for the method for estimating the yield of the winter wheat. However, the crop growth characteristic index obtained based on multispectral calculation and the meteorological environment data volume obtained by the remote sensing satellite sensor are large, and the large data volume cannot be fitted only by using a simple one-dimensional linear equation; moreover, the use of algorithms like genetic algorithms does not have strict mathematical convergence and theoretical proof of finding the optimal value, and it cannot be guaranteed that the model can obtain a good prediction result. Therefore, an urgent need exists for solving the problem of how to apply an algorithm with better accuracy and fitting data characteristics to crop estimation.
Disclosure of Invention
In view of the above, the invention provides a wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method, which utilizes the existing open multispectral remote sensing data and satellite monitoring meteorological environment data to realize accurate segmentation and scientific estimation method of the winter wheat planting area, thereby avoiding the cost on time, labor and financial resources brought by large-scale on-site mapping and meteorological monitoring.
A wheat planting region segmentation and yield prediction method comprises the following steps:
(1) acquiring multispectral remote sensing images historically acquired by a target area for years and meteorological environment information of a wheat planting area in the images and carrying out data cleaning work;
(2) carrying out image preprocessing work of radiometric calibration and atmospheric correction on the multispectral remote sensing image, and converting the image into an RGB format;
(3) dividing the multispectral remote sensing image processed in the step (2) into a plurality of image blocks, and marking pixels belonging to a wheat planting area in the image blocks;
(4) establishing a convolutional neural network, inputting the image blocks into the neural network one by one to train the image blocks so as to obtain a segmentation model for distinguishing wheat planting areas in the image;
(5) calculating crop growth characteristics of the wheat planting area according to the spectral information of the wheat planting area in the multispectral remote sensing image;
(6) establishing a polynomial relation between the yield of the wheat planting area and meteorological environment information and crop growth characteristic indexes, and fitting the polynomial by using historical data to obtain a prediction model for measuring and calculating the yield of the wheat planting area;
(7) and acquiring a multispectral remote sensing image of a target area to be predicted at present, preprocessing the image and dividing the multispectral remote sensing image into a plurality of image blocks, inputting each image block into the segmentation model to obtain a wheat planting area in the image, further acquiring current meteorological environment information of the wheat planting area, calculating current crop growth characteristics of the wheat planting area, and finally inputting the current meteorological environment information and the crop growth characteristics into the prediction model to calculate the yield of the wheat planting area.
Further, the meteorological environment information in the step (1) includes solar radiation energy, surface reflectivity, monthly average surface temperature, monthly surface temperature extremum, monthly average air temperature, monthly temperature extremum, monthly average precipitation, soil moisture, monthly average atmospheric pressure, monthly average atmospheric evaporation, and monthly average steam pressure.
Further, the data cleaning work on the meteorological environment information in the step (1) comprises the steps of removing abnormal values, complementing missing values and normalizing numerical values.
Further, the multispectral remote sensing image is converted into an RGB format by adopting a standard false color synthesis method in the step (2), so that the loss of the wave band which plays an important role in the statistics of the crop growth characteristics in the multispectral remote sensing image can be ensured as little as possible.
Further, the multispectral remote sensing image is divided into a plurality of image blocks by overlapping in the step (3) by using a sliding window method, and overlapping is needed between adjacent divided blocks, because the overlapping needs to be introduced in the subsequent segmentation reconstruction process, so that noise errors possibly generated at the boundary of the image by the segmentation model are eliminated.
Further, in the step (4), the minimum binary cross entropy loss function is used as an optimization target, and a stochastic gradient descent method is adopted to train the convolutional neural network.
Further, the crop growth characteristics of the wheat planting area in the step (5) comprise a normalized vegetation index NDVI, a green chlorophyll vegetation index GCVI and an enhanced vegetation index EVI, and the specific expressions are as follows:
Figure BDA0002715757890000041
Figure BDA0002715757890000042
Figure BDA0002715757890000043
wherein: NIR is the average value of the near-infrared wave band of each pixel point in the wheat planting area, RED is the average value of the infrared wave band of each pixel point in the wheat planting area, GREEN is the average value of the GREEN wave band of each pixel point in the wheat planting area, and BLUE is the average value of the BLUE wave band of each pixel point in the wheat planting area.
Further, the polynomial expression in the step (6) is as follows:
y=β0x01x12x2+…+βnxn
wherein: y is the yield of the wheat planting area, x0~xnCorresponding to each index value beta of the wheat planting area about meteorological environment information and crop growth characteristics0~βnIs x0~xnThe corresponding polynomial coefficients.
Compared with the similar planting region segmentation and yield estimation technology based on the multispectral remote sensing image at present, the method has the following advantages:
1. the deep learning model in the computer vision field is applied to the multispectral remote sensing image, and the original multispectral remote sensing image is converted by adopting a standard false color synthesis method, so that the model can process the multispectral remote sensing image; compared with the method for segmenting the winter wheat planting area based on the inversion data at present, the accuracy of segmentation can be improved by using the model, and misjudgment caused by similarity of crop spectra is avoided.
2. The remote sensing data and the meteorological environment data used in the invention can be obtained from a website of a Chinese academy remote sensing and digital globe institute or NASA, and the quality of the data is better, so that the manpower and time cost is saved compared with manual monitoring.
3. The inversion vegetation index and meteorological environment data of winter wheat growth are comprehensively considered, and multispectral remote sensing data and meteorological environment data are collected according to the winter wheat growth period of the historical year and about every half month; compared with a one-dimensional linear model only depending on NDVI indexes in a related paper, the method has better robustness and accuracy;
4. according to the method, a linear regression algorithm is used to obtain a polynomial model about the multi-spectral data, the meteorological data and the winter wheat yield by combining the vegetation index and the meteorological data which are obtained based on the multi-spectral calculation; compared with the method based on the genetic algorithm in the similar patents, the method can obtain more accurate yield estimation results.
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FIG. 1 is a schematic flow chart of a wheat planting region segmentation and yield prediction method of the present invention.
FIG. 2 is a schematic diagram of the segmentation result of the 2018-year winter wheat planting area of Zhengzhou city obtained by using the segmentation model of the invention.
Detailed Description
In order to more specifically describe the present invention, the following detailed description is provided for the technical solution of the present invention with reference to the accompanying drawings and the specific embodiments.
As shown in FIG. 1, the invention introduces a method applied to multi-spectral remote sensing image segmentation processing and winter wheat yield estimation, which comprises the following specific steps:
step S1: and acquiring data required by the winter wheat planting region segmentation and yield estimation model, wherein the data comprises multispectral remote sensing data of the target region history and meteorological environment data of the target region history.
Considering the interval of different growth stages of the winter wheat and the time of the remote sensing satellite for one circle around the earth, multispectral remote sensing images of the region and corresponding meteorological environment data are collected from the planting time of the winter wheat and once every half month, so that the multispectral remote sensing images can cover all the growth stages of the winter wheat, including a green returning period, a heading period and the like. The meteorological environment data required to be collected are time-synchronized with the collected multispectral remote sensing data, the time-synchronization comprises solar radiation, surface-month average temperature and extremum, month average precipitation, soil moisture, month average atmospheric pressure, month average atmospheric evaporation capacity, month average steam pressure and the like, and the data can be obtained from a remote sensing satellite data website disclosed by NASA.
Step S2: and for each acquired remote sensing image, segmenting the large remote sensing image into small blocks by adopting a sliding window method, wherein an overlapping area is formed between the adjacent small blocks, and the size of the sliding window needs to be matched with the input size of a deep learning model segmented in the later winter wheat planting area. The deep learning model for the winter wheat planting area segmentation can use a U-Net or a model based on U-Net improvement. The U-Net model is used for semantic segmentation of images in the field of computer vision and is widely applied to the aspect of processing medical images.
Step S3: the constructed segmentation model and the processed multispectral remote sensing image used for training are used in the step, and the specific optimization process is as follows:
firstly, constructing a semantic segmentation model by using convolution and a full connection layer, wherein a multispectral remote sensing image is cut into small regions with adjacent regions mutually overlapped after being preprocessed in the steps and then input into the segmentation model; the segmentation model needs to divide pixels on the remote sensing image into a winter wheat planting area and other areas, and a minimized binary cross entropy loss function is used as an optimization target, wherein the formula of the binary cross entropy loss function is as follows:
Figure BDA0002715757890000061
the object processed by the segmentation model is each pixel point on the remote sensing image, and y in the loss functioniThe correct class label that indicates a certain pixel point,
Figure BDA0002715757890000062
a category label representing the pixel point prediction; inputting the preprocessed and labeled remote sensing image into a segmentation model, and optimizing the segmentation model by using a random gradient descent methodAnd (4) molding.
Stopping the training optimization of the segmentation model when one of the following conditions is satisfied:
(a) when the binary cross entropy loss function value does not decrease on the training data set;
(b) the training round of the model on the data set exceeded 20 rounds.
And finally obtaining a segmentation model of the winter wheat planting area through the data preparation and processing and the construction and training of the segmentation model.
The evaluation index of the model can be the accuracy of the pixel class after segmentation or an IoU evaluation index, and the two indexes are expressed as follows:
Figure BDA0002715757890000063
Figure BDA0002715757890000064
although the segmentation model can be evaluated well using pixel accuracy and is also essentially the same as the optimization goal of the model, using the IoU index can supplement the evaluation index using only pixel accuracy, since the planted area is a continuous area. It should be noted that, in consideration of different spectrum and visual characteristics exhibited by the winter wheat at different growth stages, corresponding segmentation models need to be trained for the winter wheat at different growth stages respectively; in the training stage of the model, the actual planting area of the current year is taken as a target; in the prediction stage, for the prediction year, the prediction about the winter wheat planting area is respectively obtained by using the segmentation models of the winter wheat in several growth stages, and finally the average value is calculated, so that the result is more reliable.
Step S4: and step (3) accumulating the vegetation indexes such as NDVI, GCVI, EVI and the like in each remote sensing image according to the segmentation result of the winter wheat planting area obtained in the step (S3), wherein the calculation formula is as follows:
Figure BDA0002715757890000071
Figure BDA0002715757890000072
Figure BDA0002715757890000073
the vegetation index mainly uses four bands of near infrared, red, green and blue, wherein the reflection spectrum of the vegetation is mainly concentrated on the near infrared band, so that the vegetation can show red in an RGB format image synthesized by adopting standard false colors, and the vegetation index can be used for better modeling the growth characteristics of winter wheat.
Step S5: after the processing of the remote sensing image of the target area, the training of the segmentation model and the processing of the vegetation characteristic index are completed in the previous step, the meteorological environment characteristic data of the target area is processed at this stage. The meteorological environment characteristic data required to be collected by the target area comprise indexes such as atmospheric pressure, steam pressure, monthly average air temperature, monthly air temperature extreme value, air humidity, solar radiation, earth surface reflection, soil humidity, monthly precipitation and the like. Before being applied to a prediction model, the data needs to be preprocessed, wherein the preprocessing comprises missing values, abnormal value elimination, numerical value normalization and the like. The meteorological data have a close correlation with the final yield of winter wheat, and the specific numerical correlation is measured as shown in table 1.
TABLE 1
Figure BDA0002715757890000074
Step S6: the calculation of the vegetation index in the winter wheat planting area and the preprocessing operation of the meteorological environment characteristics are already calculated and completed in the previous steps. In the step, a linear regression model is constructed, and the vegetation index, the meteorological environment characteristics, the winter wheat planting area and the current year yield which are obtained by processing and calculating the steps in the historical year are input. Linear regression is a widely used machine learning prediction model, and its basic form is as follows:
y=β0x01x12x2+…+βnxn
wherein: y represents a prediction result, the model is trained by using a least square method, the optimization target of the final model is a minimum mean square error, the error describes the error between the predicted yield and the actual yield of a target area, and the model is optimized by using a random gradient descent method, wherein the formula of an error function of the model is as follows:
Figure BDA0002715757890000081
wherein: xiIs x in the above formula0,x1,……xnRepresents that β is the coefficient corresponding to each term x. The estimated termination condition of the model training process is a preset maximum iteration number or the number of successive rounds of loss function values of the model on the training set does not decrease.
Step S7: collecting multispectral remote sensing images and corresponding meteorological data for the years to be predicted of the target area at the time frequency of about half a month interval, sequentially completing the operations of segmentation of wheat planting areas, statistics of vegetation indexes, preprocessing of meteorological environment data and normalization according to the steps, and finally sending the processed data into a prediction and yield estimation model to obtain the predicted yield of the winter wheat of the target area.
In the following, we will exemplify the specific application of the method of the present invention by using Zheng City of Henan province as a research area.
Step S1: the method comprises the steps of selecting Zheng city and county areas of each place and city of Henan province as research areas, wherein 6 districts, 5 county-level cities and one county are administered in the Zheng city, the research areas are located between 112 degrees 42 'to 114 degrees 14' at east longitude and 34 degrees 16 'to 34 degrees 58' at northern latitude, the landform is mainly plain, and the areas are located in the main wheat producing areas of the original regions. The local climate belongs to the temperate zone seasonal climate, and the annual average temperature is 15.6 ℃; the average rainfall is 542.15 mm all year round, the frost-free period is 209 days, and the sunshine time all year round is about 1869.7 hours. The meteorological environment data with enough precision and large time span can be found from the earth remote sensing satellite data disclosed by NASA, wherein the data are classified into atmosphere, atmospheric temperature, wind, earth climate indexes, earth surface, hydrology and the like according to categories. According to the correlation analysis between the meteorological environment indexes and the wheat yield, selecting the meteorological environment indexes with large winter wheat yield images, and acquiring meteorological environment data of a target area at about every half month, wherein the meteorological environment data comprise monthly average air temperature (DEG C), monthly air temperature extreme values (DEG C), solar radiation (MJ/square meter), atmospheric pressure (Kpa), steam pressure (Kpa), soil moisture content (%), monthly evaporation capacity (cm), monthly precipitation capacity (mm), earth surface reflectivity (%), monthly average earth surface temperature (DEG C) and monthly earth surface temperature extreme values (DEG C). The data collected once every half month can contain the data of each stage of winter wheat growth as much as possible, including the green returning period, heading period and the like of the winter wheat, the data can be obtained from the open website of NASA, and the time interval of the data is enough to meet the collection frequency of about half month, so that the requirement of the invention is met. The multispectral remote sensing image of the target area can be acquired from a website of a national space agency earth observation and data center, and the area to be acquired is selected from the website according to the time to be acquired, so that the multispectral remote sensing image covering the area can be acquired.
Step S2: and preprocessing the collected meteorological environment data of the target area. Firstly, the collected multispectral remote sensing image of the target area does not only contain the target area Zhengzhou city, and the Zhengzhou city area needs to be cut from the multispectral remote sensing image according to the geographical boundary of the administrative district of the Zhengzhou city. The specific operation steps are as follows: firstly, acquiring a longitude and latitude file of an administrative division boundary in GeoJSON format of an administrative division in Zhengzhou city, wherein the coordinates of the file are the same as the geographic coordinate standard used by a multispectral remote sensing image by using WSN-84; then, the geographic information of the administrative boundaries is used, GDAL library programming is adopted, or professional software such as ENVI or ArcGIS is used for cutting the remote sensing image, the pixel value outside the target area is set to be 0, and the multispectral remote sensing image can be obtained from sensors of remote sensing satellites of different models, so that operations such as radiometric calibration, atmospheric correction and the like are required to be applied to the collected multispectral remote sensing image to convert relative radiation into absolute radiation.
Step S3: the collected multispectral remote sensing data has tens of thousands of pixel points in length and width, and cannot be directly input into the segmentation model, and generally multispectral remote sensing images have 4, 8 and 16 wave bands, so that the multispectral remote sensing images also need to be converted into images in an RGB format. Firstly, converting a remote sensing image into an image in an RGB format, and adopting a standard false color synthesis method in the specific implementation, wherein the standard false color synthesis method uses red, green, blue and near-infrared wave bands of a multispectral remote sensing image; the green band contains more reflection spectrum information of vegetation, and the near-infrared band contains the most reflection spectrum information of the vegetation; the method adopting standard false color synthesis can better help to identify the ground features and retain more reflection spectrum information of the ground vegetation.
Step S4: after the step S3 of converting the multispectral image into the RGB image, the image needs to be cut into small image blocks by a sliding window method, and there is an overlap between the adjacent small blocks. Compared with the common method of dividing the grids for segmenting the remote sensing image, the method of sliding windows is adopted, and the adjacent areas are overlapped, so that the noise error generated by the segmentation model at the edge of each small image block can be eliminated better.
Step S5: after the multispectral data is converted and segmented in the step S4, the image of each small block is processed by adopting a segmentation model, and a winter wheat planting area is obtained. In the embodiment, a U-Net model is used, and the U-Net semantic segmentation model is widely applied to the processing of medical images, and can still obtain a good segmentation effect particularly under the condition of unbalanced categories in the images; in the U-Net model, an input image is subjected to down-sampling and up-sampling operations, and finally a matrix with the same size as the input image is output, wherein each value in the matrix represents a class label of a corresponding pixel. After the winter wheat planting area in each small image area is divided by using the division model, the small images are placed according to the original positions of the small images, and the overlapped areas among the small images are subjected to fusion processing, so that noise possibly generated by the division model at the edge of the image is eliminated, and the result is shown in fig. 2.
Step S6: and preprocessing the acquired and processed meteorological environment, including abnormal data processing, missing value processing, numerical value normalization processing and the like. In addition, according to the segmentation result of the winter wheat planting region in the step S5 and the vegetation index indexes such as NDVI, GCVI, EVI and the like obtained by accumulative calculation on the regions, the polynomial relationship between the variables and the yield of the winter wheat in the target region is constructed by combining the meteorological environment data obtained by processing and the planting area of the winter wheat, the problem is solved by using a least square method, and finally a polynomial model close to the optimum can be obtained.
The embodiment of the invention adopts a winter wheat planting region segmentation and linear regression yield estimation method based on deep learning, fully exerts the advantages of combining a deep learning model with a multispectral remote sensing image, and uses a machine learning method to search the internal relation between meteorological environment variables and winter wheat yield. In the segmentation of the winter wheat planting area, crop vegetation spectral information contained in the multispectral remote sensing image is fully utilized, and a segmentation task of the winter wheat planting area is better completed by the aid of a segmentation model. And a regression algorithm in machine learning is used based on the segmentation result and meteorological environment data, so that a more optimal solution can be found compared with the traditional experience-based and genetic algorithm. In specific implementation, based on historical data of Zhengzhou city, data of the Zhengzhou city statistical bureau are used, data in 2018 are used as model verification and evaluation, a trained model is used for segmenting the winter wheat planting area of the Zhengzhou city, the area of the winter wheat planting area of the Zhengzhou city in 2018 is 1676654592 square meters, and the error of the area of the winter wheat planting area of the Zhengzhou city statistical bureau in the year 1655000000 square meters is less than 3 percent; the yield of the winter wheat is estimated by the yield estimation model, the finally predicted yield is 79.76706083 ten thousand tons, and the error of the 78.8 ten thousand tons of the data of the Zheng State City statistical bureau in 2018 is less than 3%.
The method can avoid the cost of manpower monitoring of the traditional method, greatly improve the growth monitoring of winter wheat in each growth stage and the prediction of yield data, and provide a quick, convenient and scientific data basis for the scientific decision of tracking and regulating the grain situation of relevant departments of the country.
The method fully utilizes the existing open multispectral remote sensing data and satellite monitoring meteorological environment data, realizes accurate segmentation and scientific estimation of the winter wheat planting area, and avoids the cost on time, labor and financial resources brought by large-scale on-site mapping and meteorological monitoring. Meanwhile, the model has better mobility, not only can be applied to the division of the planting area of winter wheat and the prediction of yield, but also can be effectively applied to other crops, and provides possibility for realizing agricultural modernization and business.
The embodiments described above are presented to enable a person having ordinary skill in the art to make and use the invention. It will be readily apparent to those skilled in the art that various modifications to the above-described embodiments may be made, and the generic principles defined herein may be applied to other embodiments without the use of inventive faculty. Therefore, the present invention is not limited to the above embodiments, and those skilled in the art should make improvements and modifications to the present invention based on the disclosure of the present invention within the protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (8)

1. A wheat planting region segmentation and yield prediction method comprises the following steps:
(1) acquiring multispectral remote sensing images historically acquired by a target area for years and meteorological environment information of a wheat planting area in the images and carrying out data cleaning work;
(2) carrying out image preprocessing work of radiometric calibration and atmospheric correction on the multispectral remote sensing image, and converting the image into an RGB format;
(3) dividing the multispectral remote sensing image processed in the step (2) into a plurality of image blocks, and marking pixels belonging to a wheat planting area in the image blocks;
(4) establishing a convolutional neural network, inputting the image blocks into the neural network one by one to train the image blocks so as to obtain a segmentation model for distinguishing wheat planting areas in the image;
(5) calculating crop growth characteristics of the wheat planting area according to the spectral information of the wheat planting area in the multispectral remote sensing image;
(6) establishing a polynomial relation between the yield of the wheat planting area and meteorological environment information and crop growth characteristic indexes, and fitting the polynomial by using historical data to obtain a prediction model for measuring and calculating the yield of the wheat planting area;
(7) and acquiring a multispectral remote sensing image of a target area to be predicted at present, preprocessing the image and dividing the multispectral remote sensing image into a plurality of image blocks, inputting each image block into the segmentation model to obtain a wheat planting area in the image, further acquiring current meteorological environment information of the wheat planting area, calculating current crop growth characteristics of the wheat planting area, and finally inputting the current meteorological environment information and the crop growth characteristics into the prediction model to calculate the yield of the wheat planting area.
2. The wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method of claim 1, wherein: the meteorological environment information in the step (1) comprises solar radiation energy, earth surface reflectivity, monthly average earth surface temperature, monthly earth surface temperature extreme value, monthly average air temperature, monthly air temperature extreme value, monthly average precipitation, soil moisture, monthly average atmospheric pressure, monthly average atmospheric evaporation capacity and monthly average steam pressure.
3. The wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method of claim 1, wherein: and (2) performing data cleaning work on the meteorological environment information in the step (1) and including removal of abnormal values, completion of missing values and normalization processing of logarithmic values.
4. The wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method of claim 1, wherein: and (3) converting the multispectral remote sensing image into an RGB format by adopting a standard false color synthesis method in the step (2).
5. The wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method of claim 1, wherein: and (3) dividing the multispectral remote sensing image into a plurality of image blocks in an overlapping manner by adopting a sliding window method.
6. The wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method of claim 1, wherein: and (4) taking the minimized binary cross entropy loss function as an optimization target, and training the convolutional neural network by adopting a random gradient descent method.
7. The wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method of claim 1, wherein: the crop growth characteristics of the wheat planting area in the step (5) comprise a normalized vegetation index NDVI, a green chlorophyll vegetation index GCVI and an enhanced vegetation index EVI, and the specific expression is as follows:
Figure FDA0002715757880000021
Figure FDA0002715757880000022
Figure FDA0002715757880000023
wherein: NIR is the average value of the near-infrared wave band of each pixel point in the wheat planting area, RED is the average value of the infrared wave band of each pixel point in the wheat planting area, GREEN is the average value of the GREEN wave band of each pixel point in the wheat planting area, and BLUE is the average value of the BLUE wave band of each pixel point in the wheat planting area.
8. The wheat planting area segmentation and yield prediction method of claim 1, wherein: the polynomial expression in the step (6) is as follows:
y=β0x01x12x2+…+βnxn
wherein: y is the yield of the wheat planting area, x0~xnCorresponding to each index value beta of the wheat planting area about meteorological environment information and crop growth characteristics0~βnIs x0~xnThe corresponding polynomial coefficients.
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