CN112100911B - 一种基于深度bilstm的太阳辐射预测方法 - Google Patents
一种基于深度bilstm的太阳辐射预测方法 Download PDFInfo
- Publication number
- CN112100911B CN112100911B CN202010935820.5A CN202010935820A CN112100911B CN 112100911 B CN112100911 B CN 112100911B CN 202010935820 A CN202010935820 A CN 202010935820A CN 112100911 B CN112100911 B CN 112100911B
- Authority
- CN
- China
- Prior art keywords
- bilstm
- model
- solar radiation
- sca
- neural network
- Prior art date
- Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
- Active
Links
- 230000005855 radiation Effects 0.000 title claims abstract description 61
- 238000000034 method Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 41
- 238000004422 calculation algorithm Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 35
- 238000013528 artificial neural network Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 29
- 230000015654 memory Effects 0.000 claims abstract description 23
- 230000004931 aggregating effect Effects 0.000 claims abstract description 4
- 238000012549 training Methods 0.000 claims description 20
- 239000011159 matrix material Substances 0.000 claims description 16
- 230000006870 function Effects 0.000 claims description 12
- 230000002441 reversible effect Effects 0.000 claims description 12
- 238000012360 testing method Methods 0.000 claims description 12
- 230000008569 process Effects 0.000 claims description 10
- 238000005311 autocorrelation function Methods 0.000 claims description 6
- 230000007787 long-term memory Effects 0.000 claims description 6
- 210000002569 neuron Anatomy 0.000 claims description 6
- 238000013178 mathematical model Methods 0.000 claims description 4
- 238000007781 pre-processing Methods 0.000 claims description 4
- 230000006403 short-term memory Effects 0.000 claims description 4
- 238000004088 simulation Methods 0.000 claims description 4
- 238000007619 statistical method Methods 0.000 claims description 3
- 238000009827 uniform distribution Methods 0.000 claims description 3
- 238000013480 data collection Methods 0.000 claims description 2
- 230000009191 jumping Effects 0.000 claims description 2
- 230000000694 effects Effects 0.000 abstract description 2
- 210000004027 cell Anatomy 0.000 description 4
- 238000010248 power generation Methods 0.000 description 3
- 230000005540 biological transmission Effects 0.000 description 2
- 238000004364 calculation method Methods 0.000 description 2
- 238000010586 diagram Methods 0.000 description 2
- 238000010801 machine learning Methods 0.000 description 2
- 238000005457 optimization Methods 0.000 description 2
- 238000005070 sampling Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000009466 transformation Effects 0.000 description 2
- 230000004913 activation Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000009286 beneficial effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000000052 comparative effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000002860 competitive effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000007547 defect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000011161 development Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000005516 engineering process Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000000605 extraction Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000007620 mathematical function Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000012986 modification Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000004048 modification Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000012545 processing Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000000306 recurrent effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000011160 research Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000007704 transition Effects 0.000 description 1
- XLYOFNOQVPJJNP-UHFFFAOYSA-N water Substances O XLYOFNOQVPJJNP-UHFFFAOYSA-N 0.000 description 1
Images
Classifications
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06F—ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
- G06F30/00—Computer-aided design [CAD]
- G06F30/20—Design optimisation, verification or simulation
- G06F30/27—Design optimisation, verification or simulation using machine learning, e.g. artificial intelligence, neural networks, support vector machines [SVM] or training a model
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06N—COMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
- G06N3/00—Computing arrangements based on biological models
- G06N3/02—Neural networks
- G06N3/04—Architecture, e.g. interconnection topology
- G06N3/049—Temporal neural networks, e.g. delay elements, oscillating neurons or pulsed inputs
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06N—COMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
- G06N3/00—Computing arrangements based on biological models
- G06N3/02—Neural networks
- G06N3/08—Learning methods
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06N—COMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
- G06N3/00—Computing arrangements based on biological models
- G06N3/02—Neural networks
- G06N3/08—Learning methods
- G06N3/084—Backpropagation, e.g. using gradient descent
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
- G06Q50/06—Electricity, gas or water supply
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06F—ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
- G06F2113/00—Details relating to the application field
- G06F2113/04—Power grid distribution networks
-
- Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
- Y04—INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
- Y04S—SYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
- Y04S10/00—Systems supporting electrical power generation, transmission or distribution
- Y04S10/50—Systems or methods supporting the power network operation or management, involving a certain degree of interaction with the load-side end user applications
Abstract
Description
Claims (6)
Priority Applications (1)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
CN202010935820.5A CN112100911B (zh) | 2020-09-08 | 2020-09-08 | 一种基于深度bilstm的太阳辐射预测方法 |
Applications Claiming Priority (1)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
CN202010935820.5A CN112100911B (zh) | 2020-09-08 | 2020-09-08 | 一种基于深度bilstm的太阳辐射预测方法 |
Publications (2)
Publication Number | Publication Date |
---|---|
CN112100911A CN112100911A (zh) | 2020-12-18 |
CN112100911B true CN112100911B (zh) | 2023-06-30 |
Family
ID=73752472
Family Applications (1)
Application Number | Title | Priority Date | Filing Date |
---|---|---|---|
CN202010935820.5A Active CN112100911B (zh) | 2020-09-08 | 2020-09-08 | 一种基于深度bilstm的太阳辐射预测方法 |
Country Status (1)
Country | Link |
---|---|
CN (1) | CN112100911B (zh) |
Families Citing this family (4)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN113487064A (zh) * | 2021-06-10 | 2021-10-08 | 淮阴工学院 | 基于主成分分析和改进lstm的光伏功率预测方法及系统 |
CN114201924B (zh) * | 2022-02-16 | 2022-06-10 | 杭州经纬信息技术股份有限公司 | 基于迁移学习的太阳辐照度预测方法及预测系统 |
CN114742808A (zh) * | 2022-04-25 | 2022-07-12 | 之江实验室 | 一种基于lstm模型的平场预测方法和装置 |
CN116306226B (zh) * | 2023-02-03 | 2023-10-20 | 淮阴工学院 | 一种燃料电池性能退化预测方法 |
Citations (1)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN108280551A (zh) * | 2018-02-02 | 2018-07-13 | 华北电力大学 | 一种利用长短期记忆网络的光伏发电功率预测方法 |
Family Cites Families (6)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
JP6584510B2 (ja) * | 2015-08-07 | 2019-10-02 | 三菱電機株式会社 | 太陽光発電量予測装置および太陽光発電量予測方法 |
WO2018065045A1 (en) * | 2016-10-05 | 2018-04-12 | Telecom Italia S.P.A. | Method and system for estimating energy generation based on solar irradiance forecasting |
US20200057175A1 (en) * | 2018-08-17 | 2020-02-20 | Nec Laboratories America, Inc. | Weather dependent energy output forecasting |
CN109242204A (zh) * | 2018-09-30 | 2019-01-18 | 淮阴工学院 | 基于最优vmd与同步优化的超短期风速预测方法 |
CN110070226B (zh) * | 2019-04-24 | 2020-06-16 | 河海大学 | 基于卷积神经网络与元学习的光伏功率预测方法及系统 |
CN111222674A (zh) * | 2019-10-08 | 2020-06-02 | 南昌大学 | 基于长短期记忆神经网络的短期光伏发电量预测方法 |
-
2020
- 2020-09-08 CN CN202010935820.5A patent/CN112100911B/zh active Active
Patent Citations (1)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN108280551A (zh) * | 2018-02-02 | 2018-07-13 | 华北电力大学 | 一种利用长短期记忆网络的光伏发电功率预测方法 |
Also Published As
Publication number | Publication date |
---|---|
CN112100911A (zh) | 2020-12-18 |
Similar Documents
Publication | Publication Date | Title |
---|---|---|
Tian | Short-term wind speed prediction based on LMD and improved FA optimized combined kernel function LSSVM | |
CN112100911B (zh) | 一种基于深度bilstm的太阳辐射预测方法 | |
Tian | Modes decomposition forecasting approach for ultra-short-term wind speed | |
CN112949945B (zh) | 一种改进双向长短期记忆网络的风电功率超短期预测方法 | |
CN105391083B (zh) | 基于变分模态分解和相关向量机的风功率区间短期预测方法 | |
Bhardwaj et al. | Estimation of solar radiation using a combination of Hidden Markov Model and generalized Fuzzy model | |
Jebli et al. | Deep learning based models for solar energy prediction | |
CN111027775A (zh) | 基于长短期记忆网络的梯级水电站发电量预测方法 | |
Qian et al. | Short-term wind speed prediction with a two-layer attention-based LSTM | |
Lu et al. | Neural network interpretability for forecasting of aggregated renewable generation | |
CN116644970A (zh) | 一种基于vmd分解和叠层深度学习的光伏功率预测方法 | |
Teferra et al. | Fuzzy-based prediction of solar PV and wind power generation for microgrid modeling using particle swarm optimization | |
CN116169670A (zh) | 一种基于改进神经网络的短期非居民负荷预测方法及系统 | |
Wang et al. | An approach for day-ahead interval forecasting of photovoltaic power: A novel DCGAN and LSTM based quantile regression modeling method | |
Kumar | Improved Prediction of Wind Speed using Machine Learning. | |
CN112418504A (zh) | 一种基于混合变量选择优化深度信念网络风速预测方法 | |
Xu et al. | A novel hybrid wind speed interval prediction model based on mode decomposition and gated recursive neural network | |
CN115713144A (zh) | 基于组合cgru模型的短期风速多步预测方法 | |
Phan et al. | A study on missing data imputation methods for improving hourly solar dataset | |
CN114139783A (zh) | 基于非线性加权组合的风电短期功率预测方法及装置 | |
Xu et al. | NWP feature selection and GCN-based ultra-short-term wind farm cluster power forecasting method | |
CN113191526A (zh) | 一种基于随机敏感度的短期风速区间多目标优化预测方法及系统 | |
Shen et al. | An interval analysis scheme based on empirical error and mcmc to quantify uncertainty of wind speed | |
Li et al. | Short-term wind power forecasting by advanced machine learning models | |
Cao et al. | Short-Term Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis of Photovoltaic Power Based on the FCM-WOA-BILSTM Model |
Legal Events
Date | Code | Title | Description |
---|---|---|---|
PB01 | Publication | ||
PB01 | Publication | ||
SE01 | Entry into force of request for substantive examination | ||
SE01 | Entry into force of request for substantive examination | ||
GR01 | Patent grant | ||
GR01 | Patent grant | ||
TR01 | Transfer of patent right |
Effective date of registration: 20240117 Address after: 518000 1104, Building A, Zhiyun Industrial Park, No. 13, Huaxing Road, Henglang Community, Longhua District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province Patentee after: Shenzhen Hongyue Enterprise Management Consulting Co.,Ltd. Address before: 223005 Jiangsu Huaian economic and Technological Development Zone, 1 East Road. Patentee before: HUAIYIN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY |
|
TR01 | Transfer of patent right | ||
TR01 | Transfer of patent right |
Effective date of registration: 20240407 Address after: No. 191-1 Huangpu River Road, Southeast Street, Changshu City, Suzhou City, Jiangsu Province, 215505 Patentee after: Jiangsu shangximu Intelligent Technology Co.,Ltd. Country or region after: China Address before: 518000 1104, Building A, Zhiyun Industrial Park, No. 13, Huaxing Road, Henglang Community, Longhua District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province Patentee before: Shenzhen Hongyue Enterprise Management Consulting Co.,Ltd. Country or region before: China |