CN111507628A - Financial risk early warning processing system - Google Patents
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- CN111507628A CN111507628A CN202010309710.8A CN202010309710A CN111507628A CN 111507628 A CN111507628 A CN 111507628A CN 202010309710 A CN202010309710 A CN 202010309710A CN 111507628 A CN111507628 A CN 111507628A
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Abstract
The invention discloses a financial risk early warning processing system, and relates to the field of financial early warning. The financial risk early warning processing system comprises an enterprise external environment risk factor, an enterprise internal environment risk factor, an enterprise financial analysis module, a central data processing module, a long-term financial risk early warning module, a short-term financial risk early warning module, an enterprise financial early warning monitoring module and an enterprise financial risk control module. This financial risk early warning processing system, through the enterprise financial analysis module that sets up, central data processing module, long-term financial risk early warning module, short-term financial risk early warning module, enterprise financial early warning monitoring module and enterprise financial risk control module, all supervise analysis and control the enterprise financial aspect at each time quantum of enterprise development, compare the short-term financial actual value of enterprise financial with the expected value, revise when deviating too greatly.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of financial early warning, in particular to a financial risk early warning processing system.
Background
The financial risk includes the risk that the enterprise may lose the repayment ability and the variability of the dividend income, the fixed expense of the enterprise will increase with the increase of the proportion of the debt, lease and priority share financing in the enterprise capital structure, and as a result, the possibility that the enterprise loses the cash repayment ability is increased.
The financial risk of enterprise runs through in the aspect of enterprise's production and operation, and the enterprise all probably produces the risk in the allocation of financing fund, investment, daily transaction, profit, and the enterprise has controlled financial risk and has had positive effect to the development of enterprise, reduces financial risk and is favorable to the enterprise to create a relatively safe and stable's operational environment, consequently needs a financial risk early warning processing system.
Disclosure of Invention
Technical problem to be solved
Aiming at the defects of the prior art, the invention discloses a financial risk early warning processing system, which aims to solve the problems in the background technology.
(II) technical scheme
In order to achieve the purpose, the invention is realized by the following technical scheme: a financial risk early warning processing system comprises an enterprise external environment risk factor, an enterprise internal environment risk factor, an enterprise financial analysis module, a central data processing module, a long-term financial risk early warning module, a short-term financial risk early warning module, an enterprise financial early warning monitoring module and an enterprise financial risk control module, wherein the enterprise external environment risk factor and the enterprise internal environment risk factor generate enterprise risk factors;
the enterprise risk factors comprise financing risk, investment risk, operation risk and income distribution risk;
the enterprise financial analysis module analyzes enterprise risk factors and transmits analysis data to the central data processing module, and the central data processing module processes the data and then carries out long-term financial risk early warning and short-term financial risk early warning on enterprise financial risks through the long-term financial risk early warning module and the short-term financial risk early warning module;
the long-term financial risk early warning module comprises the profit capacity, the debt paying capacity, the economic efficiency and the development potential;
the enterprise financial early warning monitoring module monitors enterprise risk factors through the central data processing module and sets up a risk threshold value, the short-term financial early warning module calculates and obtains enterprise financial budget performance through rolling cash flow budget, the enterprise financial budget performance obtains an actual expected deviation value through comparison with the actual performance of enterprise financial, and the enterprise financial risk control module carries out deviation correction after comparing the risk threshold value with the actual expected deviation value.
Preferably, the external environment risk factors of the enterprise comprise social environment and task environment.
Preferably, the risk factor of the internal environment of the enterprise is the sum of the internal condition and the internal atmosphere which is beneficial to ensuring the normal operation of the enterprise and realizing the profit target of the enterprise.
Preferably, the financing risk refers to the possibility of losing the repayment capacity of the enterprise due to borrowing funds and the variability of enterprise profit;
the investment risk refers to the risk born by the investment subject to the possible loss or bankruptcy of future business and financial activities for realizing the investment purpose of the investment subject, and the investment risk is the main content of predictive analysis for the investment subject to decide whether to invest or not;
the operation risk refers to the uncertainty faced by the enterprise in cash management, accounts receivable management, inventory management and the like;
the risk of revenue allocation refers to adverse effects that revenue allocation may bring to subsequent operation and management of the enterprise, and the revenue allocation is the last link of the financial cycle of the enterprise.
Preferably, the profitability comprises a total asset consideration rate and a cost-expense profit rate, the repayment capacity comprises a liquidity rate and an asset liability rate, the economic efficiency comprises an accounts receivable turnover rate and a production and sales balance rate, and the development potential comprises a sales growth rate and a capital premium increment rate.
Preferably, the rolling cash flow budget includes cash inflow, cash outflow and cash balance, the budget is compiled in a table form, and each row of the budget table form is composed of each item listed in the compiling range.
Preferably, the cash inflow amount is composed of sales income, other income, etc., the cash outflow amount is composed of capital expenditure, investment expenditure, engineering expenditure, operation expenditure, etc., the cash balance amount is composed of bank loan, bank deposit, cash remainder, etc., and each column of the budget sheet is an initial term (a division term, a month term), a year, and a month-by-month number of one to twelve months.
Preferably, the enterprise financial early warning monitoring module comprises an accounting monitoring module and a financial analysis module, wherein the accounting monitoring module is used for auditing and monitoring the compliance, the reasonability and the correctness of various expenses and expenses, monitoring the authenticity and the integrity of various collections of a company, monitoring the receiving, sending and using conditions of purchasing assets and substances, monitoring the implementation and execution conditions of all department systems, and the financial analysis module is used for participating in the operation management of the company, providing financial analysis data and suggestions for major decisions of the company, compiling a financial analysis report, analyzing and proposing the operation results and the operation risks of the company, participating in the analysis of the investment scheme of the company, and providing financial prediction and financial risk analysis for investment projects.
Preferably, the enterprise financial risk control module includes preventative control, feed forward control, and feedback control.
The invention discloses a financial risk early warning processing system, which has the following beneficial effects:
1. this financial risk early warning processing system, through the enterprise financial analysis module that sets up, central data processing module, long-term financial risk early warning module, short-term financial risk early warning module, enterprise financial early warning monitoring module and enterprise financial risk control module, all supervise analysis and control the enterprise financial aspect at each time quantum of enterprise development, compare the short-term financial actual value of enterprise financial with the expected value, revise when deviating too greatly.
2. This financial risk early warning processing system, through the long-term financial risk early warning module that sets up, carry out protectiveness control, feedforward nature control and feedback control to enterprise's financial affairs, before financial activity takes place, just make a series of system and regulation, the difference that probably produces is got rid of, the monitoring to actual financial system operation, the deviation that the application scientific method prediction probably appears, take certain measure, make the difference eliminate, on the basis of earnest analysis, discover the difference between reality and the plan, confirm the reason that the difference produced, effective measure takes conscientiously, adjust actual financial activity or adjust financial plan, make the difference eliminate or avoid.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a flow chart of the financial risk early warning process of the present invention;
FIG. 2 is a component diagram of the enterprise financial risk factors of the present invention;
FIG. 3 is a block diagram of the long term financial risk early warning module of the present invention;
FIG. 4 is a flowchart of enterprise financial risk control according to the present invention.
Detailed Description
The embodiment of the invention discloses a financial risk early warning processing system, which comprises an enterprise external environment risk causing factor, an enterprise internal environment risk causing factor, an enterprise risk factor, an enterprise financial analysis module, a central data processing module, a long-term financial risk early warning module, a short-term financial risk early warning module, an enterprise financial early warning monitoring module and an enterprise financial risk control module, wherein the enterprise external environment risk causing factor and the enterprise internal environment risk causing factor generate enterprise risk factors, as shown in FIGS. 1-4;
enterprise risk factors include financing risk, investment risk, operational risk and revenue distribution risk;
the enterprise financial analysis module analyzes the enterprise risk factors and transmits the analysis data to the central data processing module, and the central data processing module processes the data and then carries out long-term financial risk early warning and short-term financial risk early warning on the enterprise financial risk through the long-term financial risk early warning module and the short-term financial risk early warning module;
the long-term financial risk early warning module comprises the profit capacity, the debt paying capacity, the economic efficiency and the development potential;
the enterprise financial early warning monitoring module monitors enterprise risk factors through the central data processing module and sets a risk threshold, the short-term financial early warning module calculates the enterprise financial budget performance through rolling cash flow budget, the enterprise financial budget performance obtains an actual expected deviation value through comparison with the enterprise financial actual performance, the enterprise financial risk control module compares the risk threshold with the actual expected deviation value and then corrects the deviation, and the enterprise financial early warning monitoring module monitors, analyzes and controls the enterprise financial condition in each time period of enterprise development through the set enterprise financial analysis module, the central data processing module, the long-term financial early warning module, the short-term financial early warning module, the enterprise financial early warning monitoring module and the enterprise financial risk control module and compares the enterprise financial short-term financial actual value with the expected value, and correcting when the deviation is too large.
The risk factors of the external environment of the enterprise comprise social environment and task environment, wherein the social environment refers to general elements which have no direct effect on enterprise activities and can often have potential influence on enterprise decisions, the social environment mainly comprises four forces of technology, economy, culture and political laws related to the whole enterprise environment, and the task environment generally refers to elements which can directly influence main operation activities of the enterprise or influence the main operation activities of the enterprise and a claim group, such as: stakeholders, customers, suppliers, competitors, local communities, government agencies, financial institutions, etc., changes in the external social environment of an enterprise affect the operation of the enterprise primarily through its role in these interested parties in the form of pressure on the interested parties in the mission environment.
The risk factor of the internal environment of the enterprise is the sum of the internal condition and the internal atmosphere which is beneficial to ensuring the normal operation of the enterprise and realizing the profit target of the enterprise, and the risk factor is composed of the spirit of the enterprise, the material basis of the enterprise, the organization structure of the enterprise and the culture of the enterprise, and the four factors are mutually associated, mutually influenced and interacted to form an organic whole.
Financing risk refers to the possibility of losing the repayment capacity of the enterprise due to borrowing funds and the variability of enterprise profit;
the investment risk refers to the risk born by the investment subject to the possible loss or bankruptcy of future business and financial activities for realizing the investment purpose, and is the main content of the prediction analysis for the investment subject to decide whether to invest or not;
operational risk refers to the uncertainty facing the enterprise in cash management, accounts receivable management, inventory management, etc.;
the risk of revenue allocation refers to the adverse effect that revenue allocation may have on subsequent operations and management of the enterprise, and revenue allocation is the last link of the financial cycle of the enterprise.
The profitability includes a total asset consideration rate and a cost-expense profit rate, the repayment capacity includes a liquidity rate and an asset liability rate, the economic efficiency includes an accounts receivable turnover rate and an output and sales balance rate, and the development potential includes a sales growth rate and a capital appreciation rate.
The rolling cash flow budget comprises cash inflow amount, cash outflow amount and cash balance amount, the budget is compiled in a table form, and each row of the budget table form consists of each item listed in the compiling range.
The cash inflow amount is composed of sales income, other income and the like, the cash outflow amount is composed of capital expenditure, investment expenditure, engineering expenditure, operation expenditure and the like, the cash balance amount is composed of bank loan, bank deposit, cash remainder and the like, and each column of the budget form is an initial period base (a division year base, a month base), a year base and a month-by-month number of one to twelve months.
The enterprise financial early warning monitoring module comprises an accounting monitoring module and a financial analysis module, wherein the accounting monitoring module is used for auditing and monitoring the compliance, the rationality and the correctness of various expenses and expenses (including reimbursement, salary data, purchase data and reward and penalty data), monitoring the authenticity and the integrity of various collections of a company, monitoring the receiving, sending and using conditions of assets and material purchasing, monitoring the implementation and execution conditions of all departments (related to finance), and the financial analysis module is used for participating in the operation management of the company, providing financial analysis data and suggestions for major decisions of the company, compiling a financial analysis report, analyzing and proposing the operation results and operation risks of the company, participating in the analysis of an investment scheme of the company and providing financial prediction and financial risk analysis for investment projects.
The enterprise financial risk control module comprises protective control, feedforward control and feedback control, wherein the protective control is also called interference elimination control, namely a control method for making a series of rules and regulations before financial activities occur and eliminating possible differences, the feedforward control is also called interference compensation control, namely a control method for forecasting possible deviations by applying a scientific method through monitoring the operation of an actual financial system and adopting a certain measure to eliminate the differences, and the feedback control is also called balance deviation control, namely a control method for finding the differences between the actual and planned systems on the basis of serious analysis, determining the reasons for the differences, adopting practical and effective measures to adjust the actual financial activities or adjust the financial plan so as to eliminate the differences or avoid similar differences in the future.
The working principle is as follows: by the arrangement of an enterprise financial analysis module, a central data processing module, a long-term financial risk early warning module, a short-term financial risk early warning module, an enterprise financial early warning monitoring module and an enterprise financial risk control module, the enterprise financial conditions are supervised, analyzed and controlled in each time period of enterprise development, the enterprise financial budget performance is calculated by using a rolling cash flow budget, the rolling cash flow budget comprises cash inflow, cash outflow and cash balance, the budget is compiled in a tabular form, each horizontal row of the budget tabular form comprises each subject listed in the compiling range, the cash inflow total quantity comprises sales income, other income and the like, the cash outflow total quantity comprises capital expenditure, investment expenditure, engineering expenditure, operation expenditure and the like, the cash balance consists of bank loan, bank deposit, cash vacancy and the like, and each column of the budget tabular form is an initial base (a base number of years, a base number of years, monthly cardinality), years, and month-by-month numbers of one to twelve months;
the enterprise financial early warning monitoring module monitors enterprise risk factors through the central data processing module and sets a risk threshold, the short-term financial early warning module calculates enterprise financial budget performance through rolling cash flow budget, the enterprise financial budget performance is compared with the enterprise financial actual performance to obtain an actual expected deviation value, and the enterprise financial risk control module compares the risk threshold with the actual expected deviation value and corrects the deviation when the deviation correction is overlarge;
meanwhile, protective control, feedforward control and feedback control are carried out on the enterprise finance through the arranged long-term financial risk early warning module, a series of regulations and regulations are formulated before financial activities occur, possible differences are eliminated, the operation of an actual financial system is monitored, a scientific method is used for predicting possible deviations, certain measures are taken to eliminate the differences, on the basis of serious analysis, the differences between the actual and planned are found, the reasons for the differences are determined, practical and effective measures are taken to adjust the actual financial activities or adjust the financial plan, and the differences are eliminated or avoided.
The foregoing shows and describes the general principles and broad features of the present invention and advantages thereof. It will be understood by those skilled in the art that the present invention is not limited to the embodiments described above, which are described in the specification and illustrated only to illustrate the principle of the present invention, but that various changes and modifications may be made therein without departing from the spirit and scope of the present invention, which fall within the scope of the invention as claimed. The scope of the invention is defined by the appended claims and equivalents thereof.
Claims (9)
1. The utility model provides a financial risk early warning processing system, includes that enterprise external environment causes the risk factor, enterprise internal environment causes the risk factor, enterprise financial analysis module, central data processing module, long-term financial risk early warning module, short-term financial risk early warning module, enterprise financial early warning monitoring module and enterprise financial risk control module, its characterized in that: the enterprise external environment risk factor and the enterprise internal environment risk factor generate an enterprise risk factor;
the enterprise risk factors comprise financing risk, investment risk, operation risk and income distribution risk;
the enterprise financial analysis module analyzes enterprise risk factors and transmits analysis data to the central data processing module, and the central data processing module processes the data and then carries out long-term financial risk early warning and short-term financial risk early warning on enterprise financial risks through the long-term financial risk early warning module and the short-term financial risk early warning module;
the long-term financial risk early warning module comprises the profit capacity, the debt paying capacity, the economic efficiency and the development potential;
the enterprise financial early warning monitoring module monitors enterprise risk factors through the central data processing module and sets up a risk threshold value, the short-term financial early warning module calculates and obtains enterprise financial budget performance through rolling cash flow budget, the enterprise financial budget performance obtains an actual expected deviation value through comparison with the actual performance of enterprise financial, and the enterprise financial risk control module carries out deviation correction after comparing the risk threshold value with the actual expected deviation value.
2. A financial risk pre-warning processing system according to claim 1, wherein: the risk factors of the external environment of the enterprise comprise social environment and task environment.
3. A financial risk pre-warning processing system according to claim 1, wherein: the risk factor of the internal environment of the enterprise is the sum of the internal condition and the internal atmosphere which is beneficial to ensuring the normal operation of the enterprise and realizing the profit target of the enterprise.
4. A financial risk pre-warning processing system according to claim 1, wherein: the financing risk refers to the possibility of losing the repayment capacity of the enterprise due to borrowing funds and the variability of enterprise profit;
the investment risk refers to the risk born by the investment subject to the possible loss or bankruptcy of future business and financial activities for realizing the investment purpose of the investment subject, and the investment risk is the main content of predictive analysis for the investment subject to decide whether to invest or not;
the operation risk refers to the uncertainty faced by the enterprise in cash management, accounts receivable management, inventory management and the like;
the risk of revenue allocation refers to adverse effects that revenue allocation may bring to subsequent operation and management of the enterprise, and the revenue allocation is the last link of the financial cycle of the enterprise.
5. A financial risk pre-warning processing system according to claim 1, wherein: the profitability comprises a total asset consideration rate and a cost-expense profit rate, the repayment capacity comprises a liquidity rate and an asset liability rate, the economic efficiency comprises an accounts receivable turnover rate and a production and sales balance rate, and the development potential comprises a sales growth rate and a capital premium gain rate.
6. A financial risk pre-warning processing system according to claim 1, wherein: the rolling cash flow budget comprises cash inflow, cash outflow and cash balance, the budget is compiled in a table form, and each horizontal line of the budget table form consists of each subject listed in a compiling range.
7. A financial risk pre-warning processing system according to claim 5, wherein: the cash inflow amount is composed of sales income, other income and the like, the cash outflow amount is composed of capital expenditure, investment expenditure, engineering expenditure, operation expenditure and the like, the cash balance amount is composed of bank loan, bank deposit, cash vacancy and the like, and each column of the budget form is an initial period base (a division year base, a month base), a year number and a month-by-month number of one to twelve months.
8. A financial risk pre-warning processing system according to claim 1, wherein: the enterprise financial early warning monitoring module comprises an accounting monitoring module and a financial analysis module, wherein the accounting monitoring module refers to auditing and monitoring the compliance, the rationality and the correctness of various expenses and expenses, supervising the authenticity and the integrity of various collections of a company, supervising the receiving, sending and using conditions of purchasing assets and substances, supervising the implementation and execution conditions of all department systems, and the financial analysis module refers to participating in the operation management of the company, providing financial analysis data and suggestions for major decisions of the company, compiling a financial analysis report, analyzing and proposing the operation results and the operation risks of the company, participating in the analysis of the investment scheme of the company, and providing financial prediction and financial risk analysis for investment projects.
9. A financial risk pre-warning processing system according to claim 1, wherein: the enterprise financial risk control module includes preventative control, feed forward control, and feedback control.
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Cited By (10)
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| CN112150263A (en) * | 2020-10-09 | 2020-12-29 | 信阳农林学院 | Enterprise financial risk early warning system |
| CN112700317A (en) * | 2020-12-30 | 2021-04-23 | 福建正孚软件有限公司 | Method for implementing enterprise financial operation management and control system |
| CN112801549A (en) * | 2021-03-22 | 2021-05-14 | 南泽(广东)科技股份有限公司 | Financial data management system based on big data |
| CN112826216A (en) * | 2020-12-31 | 2021-05-25 | 重庆工程职业技术学院 | Financial risk early warning management device |
| CN112967122A (en) * | 2021-02-05 | 2021-06-15 | 马晓华 | Financial management system |
| CN113487398A (en) * | 2021-05-17 | 2021-10-08 | 广州城建职业学院 | Financial risk intelligent analysis method based on big data |
| CN113487399A (en) * | 2021-05-18 | 2021-10-08 | 广州城建职业学院 | Accounting book management method based on block chain technology |
| CN113643114A (en) * | 2021-08-16 | 2021-11-12 | 肖歆桐 | Financial risk early warning monitoring method and system |
| CN113822551A (en) * | 2021-09-02 | 2021-12-21 | 国网河北省电力有限公司石家庄供电分公司 | Power company financial budget management and control system and early warning method thereof |
| CN115545872A (en) * | 2022-11-28 | 2022-12-30 | 杭州工猫科技有限公司 | Risk early warning method in application of RPA financial robot based on AI |
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| CN115545872A (en) * | 2022-11-28 | 2022-12-30 | 杭州工猫科技有限公司 | Risk early warning method in application of RPA financial robot based on AI |
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