CN111444593B - Method for improving vulnerability of elements of electricity-gas comprehensive energy system - Google Patents
Method for improving vulnerability of elements of electricity-gas comprehensive energy system Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a method for improving the vulnerability of elements of an electric-gas comprehensive energy system. Inputting original data, establishing an operation state model of the electricity-gas integrated energy system, and obtaining an operation result in an initial normal state; extracting a network topological structure of the comprehensive energy system, and processing to obtain structural vulnerability parameters of the elements; simulating element faults to obtain an operation result of the system in a fault state; then obtaining the airflow distribution entropy of the natural gas system and the power flow distribution entropy of the power system to obtain the operation vulnerability parameters of the elements; and calculating the weight of each parameter by using an optimal combination weight method to obtain the comprehensive vulnerability of the element. The invention can quickly perform key protection on elements with higher vulnerability, improves the reliability of the elements by thickening the power line and reinforcing the natural gas pipeline, effectively improves the overall operation reliability and robustness of the system, and reduces the probability of large-area faults of the system.
Description
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of power systems and comprehensive energy systems, and relates to a method for improving the vulnerability of elements of an electricity-gas comprehensive energy system under the condition of deep coupling of the power system and a natural gas system.
Background
In recent years, with the gradual increase of the specific gravity of natural gas power generation and the application of gas source equipment depending on power supply of a power grid, the coupling operation of a natural gas system and a power system is increasingly tight. Obviously, the interdependence and interplay of the natural gas system and the electrical power system can increase the vulnerability of the electric-gas integrated energy system. On one hand, the stoppage of a gas transmission natural gas pipeline in a natural gas system may cause the interruption of the supply of natural gas fuel of a gas turbine unit, further cause the insufficient power generation capacity of a power system and cause power failure accidents; on the other hand, the power line is broken, so that the working power supply of the gas source equipment which depends on the power supply of the power grid is lost, the gas source equipment cannot normally work, and the gas supply capacity of the natural gas system is insufficient. Therefore, it is necessary to provide a method for improving vulnerability of components of an electricity-gas integrated energy system by comprehensively considering the coupling operation characteristics of an electric power system and a natural gas system.
At present, a vulnerability improving method, especially a power system vulnerability improving method, mainly aims at improving the vulnerability of the whole system, for example, researching the whole vulnerability of the power system based on a complex network theory or a power system operation analysis theory, and then providing a measure for improving the vulnerability of the system. However, these methods do not analyze the components in the system, resulting in poor vulnerability improvement of the system components. In addition, the current research method only considers the scene of independent operation of the power system, does not consider the influence of other energy networks closely coupled with the power system, enables the two power systems and the natural gas system to be closely connected through the coupled operation of the two power systems and the natural gas system, and ensures that the vulnerability of elements depends on not only the self system but also other coupled systems.
Therefore, it is necessary to comprehensively consider the coupling operation characteristics of the power system and the natural gas system, and to provide a method for improving the vulnerability of elements of the electric-gas integrated energy system, find out the vulnerable elements, and perform important protection on the elements to improve the operation reliability and robustness of the whole system.
Disclosure of Invention
In order to solve the problems of the background art, the invention aims to provide a method for improving the vulnerability of elements of an electric-gas integrated energy system. The invention can quickly find the elements with higher vulnerability, improve the reliability of the elements by thickening the power line and reinforcing the key protection of the natural gas pipeline, effectively improve the overall operation reliability and robustness of the system and reduce the probability of large-area faults of the system.
In order to achieve the purpose, the invention adopts the specific technical scheme that the method comprises the following steps:
step 1, inputting original data, establishing an operation state model of the electricity-gas integrated energy system, and calculating to obtain an operation result of the system in an initial normal state;
the original data refers to the power, load and other data of the electricity-gas comprehensive energy system in the current operation state.
Step 2, extracting a network topological structure of the electricity-gas integrated energy system according to an operation result in an initial normal state, and processing to obtain structural vulnerability parameters of elements;
step 3, simulating element faults including power line outage and natural gas pipeline outage, and obtaining an operation result of the electricity-gas integrated energy system in a fault state by using an electricity-gas integrated energy system operation state model;
step 4, processing and obtaining a natural gas system airflow distribution entropy and a power system power flow distribution entropy based on an operation result in a fault state, so as to obtain an operation vulnerability parameter of the element;
step 5, calculating the weight of each parameter by using an optimal combination weight method based on each vulnerability parameter obtained in the step 2 and the step 4, thereby obtaining the comprehensive vulnerability of the element; and selecting elements with higher comprehensive weakness for processing, and improving the reliability of the elements by thickening power lines and reinforcing natural gas pipelines.
The electricity-gas comprehensive energy system consists of an electric power system and a natural gas system. The natural gas node is present in a natural gas system and refers to gas source equipment, compressor equipment and load equipment in the natural gas system, wherein the gas source equipment comprises an independent power supply gas source and a power supply gas source depending on a power grid. The power grid nodes exist in a power system and refer to power stations, substations and load equipment in the power system, wherein the power stations comprise two types of conventional units and gas units. The natural gas nodes are connected through natural gas pipelines, the power grid nodes are connected through power lines, and the two end nodes of each natural gas pipeline and each power line are respectively called as a head end node and a tail end node. The natural gas system and the electric power system are coupled through a gas unit and a gas source depending on a power grid for power supply, natural gas fuel consumed by the gas unit is sourced from gas source equipment of the natural gas system, and a working power source depending on the gas source supplied by the power grid is sourced from a power station of the electric power system.
The step 1 is specifically as follows:
step 1.1, establishing a minimum Minf of the sum of the operating energy consumption of the natural gas system and the power system as an objective function of an operating state model of the electricity-gas comprehensive energy system:
in the formula phig、ΦeRespectively a natural gas node set and a power grid node set;respectively indicating the gas supply amount and the gas load removal amount of a gas source of a natural gas node i in a state l;the energy consumption for the operation of the natural gas node i in the state l is generallyAnda quadratic or linear function of;andthe active output power of the conventional unit and the active output power of the gas unit of the power grid node j in the state l are respectivelyAnd electrical load power shedding amount;the energy consumption of the grid node j in the state l is generallyAnda quadratic or linear function of; i. j is the ordinal number of the natural gas node and the power grid node respectively; l is an ordinal number of the system running state, and the initial normal running state is represented when l is 0;
step 1.2, establishing equivalent constraint of the following electric-gas integrated energy system operation state model:
in the formula, Fload,i、Respectively the gas load of a natural gas node i and the gas consumption of the gas unit in a state l; (i, t) denotes a natural gas pipeline connecting the head end node i and the tail end node t; phipipeRepresents a collection of natural gas pipelines;representing the amount of gas flowing through the natural gas pipeline (i, t) in state l; m is a group ofitRepresenting a transmission parameter of the natural gas pipeline (i, t);respectively representing the pressure square values of natural gas nodes i and t in the state l; pload,jRepresenting the active power load of the grid node j; (j, s) represents a power line connecting the head end node j and the tail end node s; philineRepresenting a set of power lines;represents the active power flowing through the power line (j, s) in state l; x is the number ofjsRepresents the reactance of the power line (j, s);andrespectively representing voltage phase angles of the grid nodes j and s in the state l; gHV、ηG2PRespectively representing the heat value of natural gas and the power generation efficiency of the gas engine set; j belongs to i and represents that the natural gas fuel of the gas turbine set on the power grid node j is provided by a natural gas node i; p issour,jThe active power which is consumed by the gas source connected to the grid node j to maintain normal work is represented; etaP2GRepresenting the conversion coefficient of electricity to gas; i belongs to j and represents that the working power supply of the gas source on the natural gas node i is provided by the power grid node j;
step 1.3, establishing an inequality constraint of an electric-gas integrated energy system operation state model:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,the working state of an air source on a natural gas node i under the state l is shown, when the normal working value of the air source is 1, otherwise, the working state is 0; (8) - (9) when the electrical load shedding of the grid node j is greater than a certain threshold, i.e.ThenIndicating that the supplied gas source is shut down; the superscripts of the letters carry "max" and "min" respectively, which represent the upper and lower limits of the variable;
and finally, inputting the original data into the model, and solving by adopting a linear programming method to obtain an operation result of the system in an initial normal state.
The operation result comprises the air supply quantity of an air source of a natural gas node i in a state lGas load removal amount of natural gas node i in state lActive power output power of conventional unit of power grid node j in state lGas turbine unit active output power of power grid node j in state lAnd the electric load power cut-off quantity of the grid node j under the state lThe state l is a normal state or a fault state. The conventional units are referred to as coal-fired units.
The step 2 is specifically as follows: the structural vulnerability comprises a capability number centrality parameter and a capability number centrality parameter of the natural gas pipeline and an electrical number centrality parameter of the power line.
Step 2.1, according to the upper limit of the output of the gas source at the natural gas node iGas consumption of gas unit under initial normal operation state at natural gas node tGas load F at natural gas node tload,tProcessing and obtaining the capacity betweenness centrality parameter CBC of the natural gas pipeline according to the following formulap:
In the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,representing a set of shortest paths between natural gas nodes i and t;the weight of the mth shortest path between the nodes i and t is represented, and the calculation formula is shown in (20);representing the gas consumption of the gas unit of the natural gas node i in an initial normal operation state;the transmission capacity of the mth shortest path between the nodes i and t is represented and is the minimum value of the transmission capacities of all the natural gas pipelines contained in the shortest path;a decision variable indicating whether the natural gas pipeline p is in the shortest path, when the natural gas pipeline p is in the mth shortest path between the nodes i and t,otherwisem is the ordinal number of the shortest path between the natural gas nodes i and t; p is the ordinal number of the natural gas pipeline;
step 2.2, according to the upper limit of the output of the gas source at the natural gas node iGas consumption of gas unit in initial normal operation state at natural gas node iGas load F at natural gas node iload,iProcessing and obtaining the capability degree centrality parameter CDC of the natural gas pipeline according to the following formulap:
CDCp=(dcap,p1+dcap,p2)/2(22)
In the formula, c(i,t)Representing the transmission capacity of the natural gas pipeline (i, t); the t epsilon i represents that the natural gas node t is connected with the node i; p1 and p2 are respectively a head end node and a tail end node of the natural gas pipeline p;
step 2.3, according to the upper limit of the output of the conventional unit at the j position of the power grid nodeUpper limit of gas turbine set outputAt grid node s there isWork power load Pload,sThe active power P consumed by the gas source connected with the power grid node s to maintain normal worksour,sThe following formula is adopted to process and obtain the electrical betweenness centrality parameter EBC of the power linek:
In the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,representing a set of shortest paths between grid nodes j, s, one path possibly comprising a plurality of power lines;the weight of the nth shortest path between the nodes j and s is represented, and a calculation formula is shown in (24);the transmission capacity of the nth shortest path between the grid nodes j and s is represented and is the minimum value of the transmission capacities of all the power lines contained in the shortest path;as a decision variable whether or not power line k is in the shortest path, when line k is in the nth shortest path between nodes j, s,otherwisen is the ordinal number of the shortest path between the grid nodes j and s; k is the ordinal number of the power line;
step 2.4, according to the output of the conventional unit at the j position of the power grid nodeLimit ofUpper limit of gas turbine set outputActive power load P at grid node jload,jAnd the active power P consumed by the gas source connected to the power grid node j to maintain normal worksour,jProcessing and obtaining the electrical degree centrality parameter EDC of the power line according to the following formulak:
EDCk=(dcapa,k1+dcapa,k2)/2(26)
In the formula, c(j,s)Representing the transmission capacity of the power line (j, s); s belongs to j and represents that the power grid node s is connected with the node j; k1 and k2 are respectively the head end node and the tail end node of the power line k.
The step 3 is specifically as follows: running state model of electricity-gas comprehensive energy system
Step 3.1, according to the simulated natural gas pipeline outage fault, updating the network topology structure of the electricity-gas integrated energy system in the simulated natural gas pipeline outage fault process, inputting the updated network topology structure of the electricity-gas integrated energy system and original data into the operation state model of the electricity-gas integrated energy system to calculate and solve to obtain operation data of the system in the state, wherein the operation data comprises gas flow rate in the natural gas pipeline p fault stateAnd active power flow of natural gas pipeline p in fault stateAnd further calculating the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline and the active power flow increment of the power line under the outage fault of the natural gas pipeline according to the following formulas according to the operation data:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,respectively representing the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline q and the active power flow increment of the power line b caused by the shutdown fault of the natural gas pipeline p;andrespectively representing the transmission capacity of the natural gas pipeline q, the gas flow in the initial normal state and the gas flow in the failure state of the natural gas pipeline p;andrespectively representing the transmission capacity of the power line b, the active power flow in the initial normal state and the active power flow in the fault state of the natural gas pipeline p;
step 3.2, simulating the outage fault of the power line, updating the network topology structure of the electric-gas integrated energy system in the process of simulating the outage fault of the power line, inputting the updated network topology structure of the electric-gas integrated energy system and original data into the operation state model of the electric-gas integrated energy system, calculating and solving to obtain the operation data of the system in the state, wherein the operation data comprises the gas flow rate of the natural gas pipeline q in the k fault state of the power lineAnd power line b in power line k fault conditionActive power flow ofAnd further calculating the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline and the active power flow increment of the power line under the outage fault of the power line according to the following formulas according to the operation data:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,respectively representing the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline q and the active power flow increment of the power line b caused by the disconnection fault of the power line k;representing the gas flow of the natural gas pipeline q in the fault state of the power line k;representing the active power flow of the power line b in a fault condition of the power line k.
The natural gas pipeline is shut down, which means that the natural gas pipeline is attacked by people or disconnected due to natural disasters. The power line outage is caused by tripping, disconnection and the like of the power line due to human attack or natural disaster.
The step 4 is specifically as follows:
step 4.1, processing according to the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline under the outage fault of the natural gas pipeline and the power line and the following formula to obtain the vulnerability parameter PFI of the outage fault of the natural gas pipelinep:
In the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,indicating the gas flow rate of the natural gas pipeline p in the initial normal state;respectively representing natural gas system airflow distribution entropy and power system load flow distribution entropy caused by natural gas pipeline p outage fault; u. of1、u2Respectively representing the influence weight of the natural gas pipeline outage fault on a natural gas system and an electric power system;
the airflow distribution entropy and the load flow distribution entropy caused by the natural gas pipeline p fault are calculated as follows:
in the formula etaqp、ηbpRespectively representing the airflow impact ratio caused by the shutdown fault of the natural gas pipeline p to the natural gas pipeline q and the power flow impact ratio caused by the shutdown fault of the natural gas pipeline p to the line b;
step 4.2, processing according to the active power flow increment of the power line under the outage faults of the natural gas pipeline and the power line and the following formula to obtain the fault vulnerability parameter LFI of the power linek:
In the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,representing the active power flow power of the power line k in an initial normal state;respectively representing the power flow distribution entropy of the power system and the airflow distribution entropy of the natural gas system caused by the k fault of the line; v. of1、v2Respectively representing the influence weight of the line fault on the power system and the natural gas system;
the power flow distribution entropy and the airflow distribution entropy caused by the fault of the line k are calculated as follows:
in the formula etabk、ηqkAnd respectively representing the power flow impact ratio caused by the disconnection fault of the line k to the line b and the airflow impact ratio caused to the natural gas pipeline q.
The step 5 is specifically as follows:
step 5.1, establishing the following optimal combination weight model, and calculating the optimal weight of each vulnerability parameter:
ρs,β=τs,β/(τs,β+τo,β)(42)
ρo,β=τo,β/(τs,β+τo,β)(43)
wβ≥0(45)
in the formula, wβAn optimal weight representing the parameter β; tau iss,β、τo,βRespectively representing subjective weight obtained by calculating the parameter beta according to an analytic hierarchy process and objective weight obtained by calculating according to an entropy weight method; rhos,β、ρo,βThe bias weight coefficients respectively representing the parameter beta, the subjective weight and the objective weight are obtained by calculation through (42) and (43); m is the total number of all vulnerability parameters; beta is the ordinal number of the vulnerability parameter;
and 5.2, integrating the structural vulnerability parameters and the operation vulnerability parameters obtained in the step 2 and the step 4, and obtaining the integrated vulnerability of each natural gas pipeline and each power line by adopting the following formula:
VG(p)=ωg1CBCp+ωg2CDCp+ωg3PFIp(46)
VE(k)=ωe1EBCk+ωe2EDCk+ωe3LFIk(47)
in the formula, ωg1、ωg2And ωg3Are respectively CBCp、CDCpAnd PFIpThe parameters are calculated according to the step 5.1 to obtain the optimal weight; omegae1、ωe2And ωe3Are respectively EBCk、EDCkAnd LFIkThe parameters are calculated according to the step 5.1 to obtain the optimal weight;
step 5.3, calculating comprehensive fragility values of elements of the natural gas pipelines/power lines according to the step 5.2, improving the fragility of the electricity-gas comprehensive energy system according to the comprehensive fragility values, selecting the elements with high comprehensive fragility for key processing, and improving the reliability of the elements by thickening the power lines and reinforcing the natural gas pipelines, wherein the method specifically comprises the following steps of:
for elements with an integrated vulnerability above a preset vulnerability threshold,
if the element is a power line, measures of thickening the power line, increasing the split number of the line and replacing the line with a double-circuit line are taken to improve the transmission capacity of the power line and reduce the vulnerability;
if the element is a natural gas pipeline, the reliability of the natural gas pipeline is improved and the vulnerability is reduced by adopting measures of thickening the wall of the natural gas pipeline and reducing the gas transmission pressure of the pipeline.
And for the elements with the comprehensive vulnerability not higher than the preset vulnerability threshold value, not processing.
In the step 2.1: the natural gas pipeline capacity betweenness centrality parameter CBCpThe capacity and distribution condition of gas source equipment and load equipment, the coupling condition of a gas unit and a natural gas node, the transmission capacity of a natural gas pipeline and the like are considered, the role of the natural gas pipeline in the network transmission function is revealed from the perspective of the global network, the larger the centrality of the natural gas pipeline capacity betweenness is, the more the number of times of the shortest paths passing through the natural gas pipeline is, and the larger the transmission capacity of each shortest path is, so that the larger the transmission function borne by the natural gas pipeline in the global structure is, and the more the key is in the network.
In the step 2.2: the natural gas pipeline capability degree centrality parameter CDCpThe capacity and distribution of gas source equipment and load equipment, the coupling condition of a gas unit and a natural gas node, the transmission capacity of a natural gas pipeline and the like are considered, the role of the natural gas pipeline in the network transmission function is revealed from the local view of a network, the larger the centrality of the natural gas pipeline capacity is, the more the number of the natural gas pipelines connected with the natural gas pipeline is, and the larger the capacity of the connected natural gas pipeline is, so that the larger the transmission function of the natural gas pipeline in a local structure is, the more the key is in the network.
In said step 2.3: the electric power circuit gas dielectric constant centrality parameter EBCkConsidering the capacities and distribution conditions of power generation equipment and load equipment, the coupling condition of air source equipment and a power grid node, the transmission capacity of a power line and the like, the role of the power line in the network transmission function is revealed from the perspective of the global network, the larger the centrality of the electrical medium number of the power line is, the more the number of times of the shortest path passing through the line is, and the larger the transmission capacity of each shortest path is, so that the larger the transmission role of the line in the global structure is, and the more critical the transmission role of the line in the network is.
In the step 2.4: the electric power line electrical degree centrality parameter EDCkConsidering the capacities and distribution of power generation equipment and load equipment, the coupling condition of air source equipment and a power grid node, the transmission capacity of a power line and the like, the role of the power line in the network transmission function is revealed from the local view of the network, the larger the electrical degree centrality of the power line is, the larger the number of lines connected with the line is, and the larger the capacity of the connected line is, so that the larger the transmission role of the line in a local structure is, and the more critical the transmission role of the line in the network is.
In the step 4.1: the vulnerability parameter PFI of the natural gas pipeline outage faultpThe disturbance degree of the natural gas pipeline fault on the natural gas system and the disturbance degree of the natural gas pipeline fault on the power system are comprehensively reflected, the greater the vulnerability of the natural gas pipeline outage fault is, the greater the natural gas airflow impact and line tide impact caused by the natural gas pipeline fault are, and the more uneven the impact distribution is, the more easily the full load of other natural gas pipelines and lines is caused, so that the cascade fault is caused, and therefore, the more fragile the natural gas pipeline is.
In the step 4.2: the power line disconnection fault vulnerability parameter LFIkThe disturbance degree of a line fault on the power system and the disturbance degree of a natural gas system are comprehensively reflected, the greater the vulnerability of the line disconnection fault is, the greater the tidal current impact and the greater the airflow impact caused by the line fault are, and the more uneven the impact distribution is, the more easily the full load of other lines and natural gas pipelines is caused to cause cascade faults, so the more fragile the line is.
In the step 5.2: the comprehensive weakness V of the natural gas pipelineG(p) and the combined vulnerability V of the power lineE(k) The vulnerability of natural gas pipelines and power lines in the electric-gas integrated energy system is revealed in two aspects of the integrated network topology structure and the system operation state. The greater the comprehensive vulnerability of the element is, the greater the transmission role the element bears in the global and local structures of the network is, the greater the disturbance impact of the element fault on the self system and the coupled system is, and the higher the vulnerability of the element is.
The invention has the following beneficial effects:
the method of the invention is a method for improving the vulnerability of elements of the electricity-gas comprehensive energy system under the condition of deep coupling of the power system and the natural gas system, and overcomes the defect that the traditional vulnerability improvement method only analyzes and improves the whole vulnerability of a single energy system; the method can evaluate the vulnerability of the elements from two angles of network topology and system running state, more accurately find out the vulnerable elements in the system, and can effectively improve the running reliability and robustness of the whole system by improving the vulnerability of the vulnerable elements.
The invention can meet the engineering application requirements under the condition of deep coupling of a power system and a natural gas system in the future, quickly improve the vulnerability of each fragile element in the electricity-gas comprehensive energy system, perform key protection on the fragile element, improve the reliability of the element by thickening a power line and reinforcing a natural gas pipeline, and effectively reduce the probability of large-area faults of the electricity-gas comprehensive energy system.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a schematic structural view of an embodiment of an electric-gas integrated energy system of the present invention;
FIG. 2 is a flow chart of the method of the present invention.
Detailed Description
The invention is further illustrated by the following figures and examples.
The specific embodiment of the complete method according to the invention is as follows:
the invention is described in detail by taking an electricity-gas comprehensive energy system composed of an IEEE30 node power system and a Belgian 20 node natural gas system as an example and combining a technical scheme and a drawing.
As shown in fig. 1, the IEEE30 node power system includes 7 generator sets and 41 power lines, and the belgium 20 node natural gas system includes 6 gas source devices and 19 natural gas pipelines. The generator sets on the power grid nodes 5, 7, 8, 11 and 13 are gas generator sets, natural gas fuel is supplied by the natural gas nodes 3, 12, 6, 10 and 15 respectively, and the rest generator sets are conventional generator sets. The gas sources on the natural gas nodes 1, 2, 5 and 8 are power supply sources depending on a power grid, the power supply sources are respectively supplied by the power grid nodes 14, 21, 30 and 26 to maintain normal operation, and the rest gas sources are independent gas sources. In addition, for the convenience of calculation, the belgium 20 node system is modified as follows: combining the two-loop natural gas pipelines into a single loop; taking 1.3 times of natural gas pipeline transmission airflow in the initial operation state as the natural gas pipeline capacity, wherein the natural gas pipeline capacity is less than 5 multiplied by 103m3·h-1By 5X 103m3·h-1And (4) calculating. The IEEE30 node system is modified as follows: simplifying all lines into non-directional weighted edges and not counting parallel capacitor branches; the line capacity is 1.5 times of the transmission power of the line in the initial operation state, and the less than 15MW is calculated by 15 MW.
The implementation flow of the invention is shown in fig. 2, and the specific steps are as follows:
step 1, inputting original data, establishing an operation state model of the electricity-gas integrated energy system, and calculating to obtain an operation result of the system in an initial normal state;
step 1.1, establishing a minimum Minf of the sum of the operating energy consumption of the natural gas system and the power system as an objective function of an operating state model of the electricity-gas comprehensive energy system:
step 1.2, establishing equivalent constraint of the following electric-gas integrated energy system operation state model:
step 1.3, establishing an inequality constraint of an electric-gas integrated energy system operation state model:
the initial normal operating state of the electricity-gas comprehensive energy system obtained by the solution in the step 1 is shown in table 1.
TABLE 1 initial Normal running State of the Electricity-gas Integrated energy System
Step 2, extracting a network topological structure of the system based on an operation result in an initial normal state, and processing to obtain a structural vulnerability parameter of the element;
step 2.1, processing and obtaining the capability betweenness centrality parameter CBC of the natural gas pipelinep:
Step 2.2, processing and obtaining capability degree centrality parameter CDC of the natural gas pipelinep:
Step 2.3, processing and obtaining the electrical betweenness centrality parameter EBC of the power linek:
Step 2.4, processing and obtaining electrical degree centrality parameter EDC of power linek:
Simulating element faults including power line tripping and natural gas pipeline outage, and calculating the operation result of the system in the fault state;
step 3.1, simulating the outage fault of the natural gas pipeline, and calculating the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline and the active power flow increment of the power line:
step 3.2, simulating the power line disconnection fault (or the power line tripping caused by the misoperation of the relay protection device), and calculating the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline and the active power flow increment of the power line:
step 4, processing and obtaining a natural gas system airflow distribution entropy and a power system power flow distribution entropy based on an operation result in a fault state, so as to obtain an operation vulnerability parameter of the element;
step 4.1, processing and obtaining the vulnerability parameter PFI of the outage fault of the natural gas pipelinep:
Step 4.2,Processing and obtaining a fault vulnerability parameter LFI of the power line according to the following formulak:
And 5, calculating the weight of each parameter by using an optimal combination weight method based on each vulnerability parameter obtained in the step 2 and the step 4, thereby obtaining the comprehensive vulnerability of the element.
Step 5.1, establishing the following optimal combination weight model, and calculating the optimal weight of each vulnerability parameter:
and 5.2, integrating the structural vulnerability parameters and the operation vulnerability parameters obtained in the step 2 and the step 4 to obtain the integrated vulnerability of the natural gas pipeline and the power line:
and 5.3, calculating comprehensive weakness values of the natural gas pipelines and the lines according to the step 5.2, selecting elements with high comprehensive weakness for key protection, and improving the reliability of the elements by thickening the power lines and reinforcing the natural gas pipelines.
And (3) calculating the comprehensive fragility of each element in the electricity-gas comprehensive energy system, sorting the elements from large to small, and screening the natural gas pipelines and the power lines which are ranked in the top five as the fragile elements, wherein the comprehensive fragility values of the fragile elements are shown in a table 2.
TABLE 2 comprehensive vulnerability value of vulnerable component of electro-pneumatic comprehensive energy system
It can be seen that the screened vulnerable elements are all key elements playing an important role in the network transmission function, and at the same time, once the elements fail, the elements are very easy to have a great influence on the own system or the coupled system, so that a large-scale failure is caused, and the safe operation of the system is endangered, for example, the natural gas pipeline P9-10、P8-9And an electric power line L1-2. Therefore, in the context of deep coupling of an electric power system and a natural gas system, system operators need to pay attention not only to the influence of the self system on the vulnerability of the elements, but also to the influence of the coupling system on the vulnerability of the elements.
According to the method, the comprehensive weakness of each element in the system is calculated quantitatively, the weak elements are found out and are subjected to key protection, so that the overall operation reliability and robustness of the system are improved, and the probability of large-area faults of the system is reduced.
Claims (5)
1. A method for improving the vulnerability of elements of an electricity-gas integrated energy system is characterized by comprising the following steps: the method comprises the following steps:
step 1, inputting original data, establishing an operation state model of the electricity-gas integrated energy system, and calculating to obtain an operation result of the system in an initial normal state;
step 2, extracting a network topological structure of the electricity-gas integrated energy system according to an operation result in an initial normal state, and processing to obtain structural vulnerability parameters of elements;
step 3, simulating element faults including power line outage and natural gas pipeline outage, and obtaining an operation result of the electricity-gas integrated energy system in a fault state by using an electricity-gas integrated energy system operation state model;
step 4, processing and obtaining a natural gas system airflow distribution entropy and a power system power flow distribution entropy based on an operation result in a fault state, so as to obtain an operation vulnerability parameter of the element;
step 5, calculating the weight of each parameter by using an optimal combination weight method based on each vulnerability parameter obtained in the step 2 and the step 4, thereby obtaining the comprehensive vulnerability of the element; selecting an element with higher comprehensive weakness for processing, and improving the reliability of the element by thickening a power line and reinforcing a natural gas pipeline;
the step 1 is specifically as follows:
step 1.1, establishing a minimum Minf of the sum of the operating energy consumption of the natural gas system and the power system as an objective function of an operating state model of the electricity-gas comprehensive energy system:
in the formula phig、ΦeRespectively a natural gas node set and a power grid node set;respectively indicating the gas supply amount and the gas load removal amount of a gas source of a natural gas node i in a state l;the energy consumption of the natural gas node i in the state l isAnda quadratic or linear function of;andrespectively obtaining the active output power of a conventional unit, the active output power of a gas unit and the cut-off quantity of the power load power of a power grid node j in a state l;for the operating energy consumption of the grid node j in the state lAnda quadratic or linear function of (a); i. j is the ordinal number of the natural gas node and the power grid node respectively; l is an ordinal number of the system running state, and the initial normal running state is represented when l is 0;
step 1.2, establishing equivalent constraint of the following electric-gas integrated energy system operation state model:
in the formula, Fload,i、Respectively the gas load of a natural gas node i and the gas consumption of the gas unit under the state l; (i, t) denotes a natural gas pipeline connecting the head end node i and the tail end node t; phipipeRepresents a collection of natural gas pipelines;representing the amount of gas flowing through the natural gas pipeline (i, t) in state l; mitRepresenting a transmission parameter of the natural gas pipeline (i, t);respectively indicating that natural gas nodes i and t are in a state lThe air pressure square value of (a); pload,jRepresenting the active power load of the grid node j; (j, s) represents a power line connecting the head end node j and the tail end node s; philineRepresenting a set of power lines;represents the active power flowing through the power line (j, s) in state l; x is the number ofjsRepresents the reactance of the power line (j, s);andrespectively representing voltage phase angles of the grid nodes j and s in the state l; gHV、ηG2PRespectively representing the heat value of natural gas and the power generation efficiency of the gas engine set; j belongs to i and represents that the natural gas fuel of the gas turbine set on the power grid node j is provided by a natural gas node i; psour,jThe active power which is consumed by the gas source connected to the grid node j to maintain normal work is represented; etaP2GRepresenting the conversion coefficient of electricity to gas; i belongs to j and represents that the working power supply of the gas source on the natural gas node i is provided by the power grid node j;
step 1.3, establishing an inequality constraint of an electric-gas integrated energy system operation state model:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,the working state of an air source on a natural gas node i under the state l is shown, when the normal working value of the air source is 1, otherwise, the working state is 0; formula (II)Andindicating when the electrical load shedding of grid node j is greater than a certain threshold, i.e.Then Indicating that the supplied gas source is shut down; the superscripts of the letters carry "max" and "min" respectively, which represent the upper and lower limits of the variable;
and finally, inputting the original data into the model to solve to obtain the running result of the system in the initial normal state.
2. The method of claim 1, wherein the method further comprises: the step 2 is specifically as follows:
step 2.1, according to the upper limit of the air supply quantity of the air source at the natural gas node iGas consumption of gas unit under initial normal operation state at natural gas node tGas load F at natural gas node tload,tProcessing and obtaining the capacity betweenness centrality parameter CBC of the natural gas pipeline according to the following formulap:
In the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,representing a set of shortest paths between natural gas nodes i and t;representing the weight of the mth shortest path between the nodes i and t;representing the gas consumption of the gas unit of the natural gas node i in an initial normal operation state;the transmission capacity of the mth shortest path between the nodes i and t is represented and is the minimum value of the transmission capacities of all the natural gas pipelines contained in the shortest path;a decision variable indicating whether the natural gas pipeline p is in the shortest path, when the natural gas pipeline p is in the mth shortest path between the nodes i and t,otherwisem is the ordinal number of the shortest path between the natural gas nodes i and t; p is the ordinal number of the natural gas pipeline;
step 2.2, according to the upper limit of the air supply quantity of the air source at the natural gas node iGas consumption of gas unit in initial normal operation state at natural gas node iGas load F at natural gas node iload,iProcessing and obtaining the capability degree centrality parameter CDC of the natural gas pipeline according to the following formulap:
CDCp=(dcap,p1+dcap,p2)/2
In the formula, c(i,t)Representing the transmission capacity of the natural gas pipeline (i, t); the t epsilon i represents that the natural gas node t is connected with the node i; p1 and p2 are respectively a head end node and a tail end node of the natural gas pipeline p;
step 2.3, according to the upper limit of the active output power of the conventional unit at the power grid node jGas unit active output power upper limitActive power load P at grid node sload,sAnd the active power P consumed by the air source connected to the power grid node s for maintaining normal worksour,sThe following formula is adopted to process and obtain the electrical betweenness centrality parameter EBC of the power linek:
In the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,representing the shortest path between grid nodes j, sA path set;representing the weight of the nth shortest path between the nodes j and s;the transmission capacity of the nth shortest path between the grid nodes j and s is represented and is the minimum value of the transmission capacities of all the power lines contained in the shortest path;as a decision variable whether or not power line k is in the shortest path, when line k is in the nth shortest path between nodes j, s,otherwisen is the ordinal number of the shortest path between the grid nodes j and s; k is the ordinal number of the power line;
step 2.4, according to the upper limit of the active output power of the conventional unit at the power grid node jGas unit active output power upper limitActive power load P at grid node jload,jAnd the active power P consumed by the air source connected to the power grid node j to maintain normal worksour,jProcessing and obtaining the electrical degree centrality parameter EDC of the power line according to the following formulak:
EDCk=(dcapa,k1+dcapa,k2)/2
In the formula, c(j,s)Representing the transmission capacity of the power line (j, s); s belongs to j and represents that the power grid node s is connected with the node j; k1 and k2 are respectively the head end node and the tail end node of the power line k.
3. The method of claim 1, wherein the vulnerability of the element of the electric-gas integrated energy system is: the step 3 is specifically as follows:
step 3.1, according to the simulated natural gas pipeline outage fault, updating the network topology structure of the electricity-gas integrated energy system in the simulated natural gas pipeline outage fault process, inputting the updated network topology structure of the electricity-gas integrated energy system and original data into the operation state model of the electricity-gas integrated energy system to calculate and solve to obtain operation data of the system in the state, wherein the operation data comprises gas flow rate in the natural gas pipeline p fault stateAnd active power flow of natural gas pipeline p in fault stateAnd further calculating the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline and the active power flow increment of the power line under the outage fault of the natural gas pipeline according to the following formulas according to the operation data:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,respectively due to the natural gas pipeline p being out of serviceThe fault causes the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline q and the active power flow increment of the power line b;andrespectively representing the transmission capacity of the natural gas pipeline q, the gas flow in the initial normal state and the gas flow in the failure state of the natural gas pipeline p;andrespectively representing the transmission capacity of the power line b, the active power flow in the initial normal state and the active power flow in the fault state of the natural gas pipeline p;
step 3.2, simulating the outage fault of the power line, updating the network topology structure of the electric-gas integrated energy system in the process of simulating the outage fault of the power line, inputting the updated network topology structure of the electric-gas integrated energy system and original data into the operation state model of the electric-gas integrated energy system, calculating and solving to obtain the operation data of the system in the state, wherein the operation data comprises the gas flow rate of the natural gas pipeline q in the k fault state of the power lineAnd the active power flow of the power line b in the fault state of the power line kAnd further calculating the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline and the active power flow increment of the power line under the outage fault of the power line according to the following formulas according to the operation data:
in the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,respectively representing the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline q and the active power flow increment of the power line b caused by the disconnection fault of the power line k;representing the gas flow of the natural gas pipeline q in the fault state of the power line k;representing the active power flow of the power line b in a fault condition of the power line k.
4. The method of claim 1, wherein the vulnerability of the element of the electric-gas integrated energy system is: the step 4 is specifically as follows:
step 4.1, processing according to the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline under the outage fault of the natural gas pipeline and the power line and the following formula to obtain the vulnerability parameter PFI of the outage fault of the natural gas pipelinep:
In the formula (I), the compound is shown in the specification,indicating the gas flow rate of the natural gas pipeline p in an initial normal state;respectively representing natural gas systems caused by shutdown faults of natural gas pipelines pThe system airflow distribution entropy and the power flow distribution entropy of the power system are calculated; u. of1、u2Respectively representing the influence weight of the natural gas pipeline outage fault on a natural gas system and an electric power system;
the airflow distribution entropy and the load flow distribution entropy caused by the natural gas pipeline p fault are calculated as follows:
in the formula etaqp、ηbpRespectively representing the airflow impact ratio caused by the shutdown fault of the natural gas pipeline p to the natural gas pipeline q and the power flow impact ratio caused by the shutdown fault of the natural gas pipeline p to the line b;respectively representing the airflow increment of the natural gas pipeline q and the active power flow increment of the power line b caused by the shutdown fault of the natural gas pipeline p;
step 4.2, processing according to the active power flow increment of the power line under the outage faults of the natural gas pipeline and the power line and the following formula to obtain the fault vulnerability parameter LFI of the power linek:
In the formula,Representing the active power flow power of the power line k in an initial normal state;respectively representing the power flow distribution entropy of the power system and the airflow distribution entropy of the natural gas system caused by the k fault of the line; v. of1、v2Respectively representing the influence weight of the line fault on the power system and the natural gas system;
the power flow distribution entropy and the airflow distribution entropy caused by the fault of the line k are calculated as follows:
in the formula etabk、ηqkRespectively representing the power flow impact ratio caused by the disconnection fault of the line k to the line b and the airflow impact ratio caused by the disconnection fault of the line k to the natural gas pipeline q;respectively representing the increment of the airflow of the natural gas pipeline q and the increment of the active power flow of the power line b caused by the disconnection fault of the power line k.
5. The method of claim 1, wherein the vulnerability of the element of the electric-gas integrated energy system is: the step 5 is specifically as follows:
step 5.1, establishing the following optimal combination weight model, and calculating the optimal weight of each vulnerability parameter:
ρs,β=τs,β/(τs,β+τo,β)
ρo,β=τo,β/(τs,β+τo,β)
wβ≥0
in the formula, wβAn optimal weight representing the parameter β; tau iss,β、τo,βRespectively representing subjective weight obtained by calculating the parameter beta according to an analytic hierarchy process and objective weight obtained by calculating according to an entropy weight method; rhos,β、ρo,βBias coefficients representing a parameter beta supervisor weight and an objective weight, respectively; m is the total number of all vulnerability parameters; beta is the ordinal number of the vulnerability parameter;
and 5.2, integrating the structural vulnerability parameters and the operation vulnerability parameters obtained in the step 2 and the step 4, and obtaining the integrated vulnerability of each natural gas pipeline and each power line by adopting the following formula:
VG(p)=ωg1CBCp+ωg2CDCp+ωg3PFIp
VE(k)=ωe1EBCk+ωe2EDCk+ωe3LFIk
in the formula, ωg1、ωg2And ωg3Are respectively CBCp、CDCpAnd PFIpThe parameters are calculated according to the step 5.1 to obtain the optimal weight; omegae1、we2And ωe3Are respectively EBCk、EDCkAnd LFIkThe parameters are calculated according to the step 5.1 to obtain the optimal weight; CBCpRepresenting the capability mesomeric centrality parameter, CDC, of a natural gas pipelinepRepresenting the power degree centrality parameter, PFI, of a natural gas pipelinepRepresenting the vulnerability parameter of the natural gas pipeline to out-of-service faults, EBCkIndicating the electrical neutral center parameter, EDC, of the power linekIndicating the electrical degree centrality parameter, LFI, of the power linekA fault vulnerability parameter representing a power line fault;
step 5.3, calculating the comprehensive vulnerability value of each natural gas pipeline/power line element according to the step 5.2, and improving the vulnerability of the electricity-gas comprehensive energy system according to the comprehensive vulnerability value specifically comprises the following steps: for the elements with the comprehensive weakness degree higher than the preset weakness degree threshold value, if the elements are power lines, measures of thickening the power lines, increasing the splitting number of the lines and replacing the elements with double-circuit lines are adopted; if the element is a natural gas pipeline, measures of thickening the wall of the natural gas pipeline and reducing the gas transmission pressure of the pipeline are taken.
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