CN111383443A - Method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction - Google Patents

Method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction Download PDF

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CN111383443A
CN111383443A CN201811611166.1A CN201811611166A CN111383443A CN 111383443 A CN111383443 A CN 111383443A CN 201811611166 A CN201811611166 A CN 201811611166A CN 111383443 A CN111383443 A CN 111383443A
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time
calculating
phase
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周园园
黄智定
管青
丁现伟
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Shanghai Baokang Electronic Control Engineering Co Ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08GTRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS
    • G08G1/00Traffic control systems for road vehicles
    • G08G1/01Detecting movement of traffic to be counted or controlled
    • G08G1/0104Measuring and analyzing of parameters relative to traffic conditions
    • G08G1/0125Traffic data processing
    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08GTRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS
    • G08G1/00Traffic control systems for road vehicles
    • G08G1/01Detecting movement of traffic to be counted or controlled
    • G08G1/0104Measuring and analyzing of parameters relative to traffic conditions
    • G08G1/0125Traffic data processing
    • G08G1/0129Traffic data processing for creating historical data or processing based on historical data
    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08GTRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS
    • G08G1/00Traffic control systems for road vehicles
    • G08G1/065Traffic control systems for road vehicles by counting the vehicles in a section of the road or in a parking area, i.e. comparing incoming count with outgoing count
    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08GTRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS
    • G08G1/00Traffic control systems for road vehicles
    • G08G1/07Controlling traffic signals
    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08GTRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS
    • G08G1/00Traffic control systems for road vehicles
    • G08G1/07Controlling traffic signals
    • G08G1/08Controlling traffic signals according to detected number or speed of vehicles

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Abstract

The invention relates to a method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction, which comprises the steps of (1) judging the current time t1Whether or not greater than tnAnd is not less than t0If yes, acquiring continuous n-stroke periodic flow data; otherwise, exiting the method; (2) predicting next time next flow data F of intersection lanein(ii) a (3) Calculating a flow ratio and Y; (4) judging whether the flow ratio and the Y are less than 0.9, if so, continuing to the step (5); otherwise, continuing the step (6); (5) (6) effective green duration g according to each phaseeiAnd display green time giAnd minimum green time period gminCalculating the total time length t of each phaseiAnd (4) continuing to the step (1). By adopting the method, based on a big Baokang data platform, the traffic flow rule of the intersection can be mastered more accurately through a large amount of historical data; according to history, the exponential weighting algorithm weight is solved in real time through linear programming, and the weight value is dynamically adjusted, so that the calculation result is more accurate, and the personnel investment is reduced.

Description

Method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction
Technical Field
The invention relates to the field of urban intelligent traffic, in particular to the field of intelligent signal control of urban intelligent traffic, and specifically relates to a method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic index weighted prediction.
Background
With the gradual acceleration of the urbanization process, the urban traffic problem becomes an urgent problem in China, and more phenomena show that urban traffic congestion is often highlighted at urban road intersections, and the traffic capacity of a plurality of plane intersections is less than 50% of the average traffic capacity of related road sections. Therefore, the key to the full utilization of road resources is the utilization of intersection resources. The traffic signal control system is an extremely important component in the field of modern intelligent traffic. By using an advanced traffic signal control system, the traffic flow can be effectively managed, and the smooth level of urban roads is improved. Various advanced road traffic management schemes are finally realized by means of a traffic signal control system. At present, traffic signal machines are generally used for managing intersections in the traffic management of large and medium cities in China.
At present, a signal control and tuning method is simple, and timing calculation is carried out mainly according to a traffic management department or traffic optimization practitioner through on-site simple data investigation and a traffic engineering method. The reliability of the method mainly depends on the subjective experience of traffic management departments or traffic optimization practitioners, and meanwhile, simple traffic data investigation cannot quantitatively and objectively reflect the traffic flow law of the signal control intersection.
Based on a big data analysis platform, the invention controls a large amount of historical data of the intersection through signals, dynamically adjusts the weight setting of an intersection prediction algorithm (exponential weighting), so that the intersection traffic flow prediction data is more accurate, and meanwhile, an intersection timing scheme is generated through a signal timing method; the invention not only can more accurately play the scientificity of traffic management, but also can reduce the number of employees according to traffic management departments or traffic optimization, and improve the high efficiency and intellectualization of traffic management.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to overcome the defects of the prior art and provides a method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic index weighted prediction, which has the advantages of prediction accuracy, high efficiency and intellectualization.
In order to achieve the above object, the method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction of the present invention comprises the following steps:
the method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on the system and based on dynamic index weighted prediction is mainly characterized by comprising the following steps of:
(1) obtaining an operating time [ t ]0,tn]Intersection lane data LiCurrent time t1Judging the current time t1Whether or not greater than tnAnd is not less than t0If yes, acquiring continuous n-stroke periodic flow data, and converting into hourly flow; otherwise, exiting the method;
(2) calculating an exponential weighting dynamic parameter value β, predicting the next time flow data F of the intersection lane according to the exponential weightingin
(3) Obtaining the current signal stage parameters of the intersection and calculating the traffic capacity C of the laneiAnd calculating the maximum flow ratio y of the phase lanejAnd the flow ratio and Y;
(4) judging whether the flow ratio and the Y are less than 0.9, if so, continuing to the step (5); otherwise, continuing the step (6);
(5) according to the period green light loss time L and the period duration C0Calculating the effective green light duration G of the periodEAnd according to the effective green duration g of each phaseeiAnd display green time giAnd minimum green time period gminCalculating the total time length t of each phaseiContinuing the step (1);
(6) calculating the ratio of each phase flow ratio to the sum of the flow ratios according to the period green light loss time L and the period
Figure BDA0001924782660000021
And according to the effective green duration g of each phaseeiAnd display green time giAnd minimum green time period gminCalculating the total time length t of each phaseiContinuing step (1)
Preferably, the reduced hourly flow rate F in the step (1)iThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the hourly flow F is reduced according to the following formulai
Fi=3600*fi/Ti
Wherein f isiThe flow data is n continuous periods of flow data, and T is the period length.
Preferably, the step (2) specifically comprises the following steps:
(2.1) calculating an exponentially weighted prediction result Pn
(2.2) constructing the loss function LminObtaining the optimal hyper-parameter theta by a branch definition method0、θ1、θ2、...、θkAnd an β value was obtained;
(2.3) calculating the next period flow F of all lanes at the intersection according to the exponential weightingin
Preferably, the exponentially weighted prediction result P in step (2.1) is calculatednThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating an exponentially weighted prediction result P according to the following formulan
Pn=θ0*Fn-11*Fn-22*Fn-3+...+θk*Fn-(k+1)
Wherein, theta0、θ1、θ2、...、θkFor exponentially weighting the hyperparameters, Fn-1、Fn-2、Fn-3、...、Fn-(k+1)Is the actual value.
Preferably, the loss function L is constructed in the step (2.2)minThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
constructing the loss function L according to the following formulamin
Figure BDA0001924782660000031
And satisfies the following conditions:
Figure BDA0001924782660000032
wherein, PnFor exponentially weighting the prediction results, FnIs the actual value.
Preferably, the step (2.3) of calculating the next cycle flow F of all lanes at the intersectioninThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the next period flow F of all lanes of the intersection according to the following formulain
Fin=F0*(1-β)+F1*β*(1-β)+F22*(1-β)+F33(1-β)+.....+Fn-1N-1*(1-β);
Wherein β is an exponentially weighted dynamic parameter value.
Preferably, the phase lane maximum flow ratio y calculated in the step (3) isjThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the phase lane maximum flow ratio y according to the following formulaj
yj=max[Fin/Ci];
Wherein i is the lane number and j is the phase number.
Preferably, the calculating the flow ratio and Y in the step (3) specifically includes:
the flow ratio and Y are calculated according to the following formulas:
Y=∑yj
wherein j is the phase number.
Preferably, the calculating of the period green light loss time L in the step (5) includes:
the cycle green light loss time L is calculated according to the following formula:
L=∑K(LS+I-A);
wherein L issFor signal loss per phaseLosing time, I is the green light interval time, and A is the yellow light time.
Preferably, the period duration C is calculated in the step (5)0The method specifically comprises the following steps:
the cycle duration C is calculated according to the following formula0
Figure BDA0001924782660000033
Preferably, said calculating the period valid green light duration G in step (5)EThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the period valid green time duration G according to the following formulaE
GE=C0-L。
Preferably, said step (5) of calculating the effective green duration g of each phaseeiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the effective green time length g of each phase according to the following formulaei
gei=GE*yi
Wherein, yiThe maximum lane flow ratio for phase i.
Preferably, the calculation in step (5) displays the green time giThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating and displaying green light time g according to the following formulai
gi=gei+II-Ai
Wherein, IIGreen interval time for phase i, AiIs the start-up loss time for phase i.
Preferably, the shortest green light time length g is calculated in the step (5)minThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the shortest green time g is calculated according to the following formulaiin
Figure BDA0001924782660000041
Wherein L ispLength of pedestrian crossing, VpSpeed of pedestrian crossing.
Preferably, the step (5) calculates the total duration t of each phaseiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the total duration t of each phase is calculated according to the following formulai
ti=gi+II+Ai
Preferably, the calculating of the period green light loss time L in the step (6) includes:
the cycle green light loss time L is calculated according to the following formula:
L=∑K(LS+I-A);
wherein L issFor signal loss time per phase, I is the green light interval time and a is the yellow light time.
Preferably, the period duration C is calculated in the step (6)0The method specifically comprises the following steps:
the cycle duration C is calculated according to the following formula0
C0=T0
Wherein, T0Is the original scheme period.
Preferably, the step (6) calculates a ratio of each phase flow ratio to the sum of the flow ratios
Figure BDA0001924782660000042
The method specifically comprises the following steps: calculating the ratio of each phase flow ratio to the sum of the flow ratios according to the following formula
Figure BDA0001924782660000043
Figure BDA0001924782660000044
Preferably, said step (6) of calculating the effective green duration g of each phaseeiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the effective green time length g of each phase according to the following formulaei
Figure BDA0001924782660000051
Wherein, T0Is the original scheme period.
Preferably, the calculation in step (6) displays the green time giThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating and displaying green light time g according to the following formulai
gi=gei+II-Ai
Preferably, the shortest green light time length g is calculated in the step (6)minThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the shortest green time g is calculated according to the following formulamin
Figure BDA0001924782660000052
Wherein L ispLength of pedestrian crossing, VpThe speed of pedestrian crossing the street, I is the green light interval time.
Preferably, the step (6) of calculating the total duration t of each phaseiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the total duration t of each phase is calculated according to the following formulai
ti=gi+II+Ai
By adopting the method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic index weighted prediction, the intersection traffic flow rule can be more accurately mastered through a large amount of historical data based on a big Baokang data platform; according to history, solving the weight of the exponential weighting algorithm in real time through linear programming, and dynamically adjusting the weight value to enable the calculation result to be more accurate; generating a next period signal timing scheme by combining signal control intersection real-time prediction data through a signal timing method; the highly intelligent control system reduces personnel investment.
Drawings
Fig. 1 is an overall flowchart of a method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction according to the present invention.
Detailed Description
In order to more clearly describe the technical contents of the present invention, the following further description is given in conjunction with specific embodiments.
The invention discloses a method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction, which comprises the following steps:
(1) obtaining an operating time [ t ]0,tn]Intersection lane data LiCurrent time t1Judging the current time t1Whether or not greater than tnAnd is not less than t0If yes, acquiring continuous n-stroke periodic flow data, and converting into hourly flow; otherwise, exiting the method;
(2) calculating an exponential weighting dynamic parameter value β, predicting the next time flow data F of the intersection lane according to the exponential weightingin
(2.1) calculating an exponentially weighted prediction result Pn
(2.2) constructing the loss function LminObtaining the optimal hyper-parameter theta by a branch definition method0、θ1、θ2、...、θkAnd an β value was obtained;
(2.3) calculating the next period flow F of all lanes at the intersection according to the exponential weightingin
(3) Obtaining the current signal stage parameters of the intersection and calculating the traffic capacity C of the laneiAnd calculating the maximum flow ratio y of the phase lanejAnd the flow ratio and Y;
(4) judging whether the flow ratio and the Y are less than 0.9, if so, continuing to the step (5); otherwise, continuing the step (6);
(5) according to the period green light loss time L and the period duration C0Calculating the effective green light duration G of the periodEAnd according to the effective green duration g of each phaseeiAnd display green time giAnd minimum green time period gminCalculating the total time length t of each phaseiContinuing the step (1);
(6) green light loss time according to period L andperiodically calculating the ratio of each phase flow ratio to the sum of the flow ratios
Figure BDA0001924782660000062
And according to the effective green duration g of each phaseeiAnd display green time giAnd minimum green time period gminCalculating the total time length t of each phaseiContinuing step (1)
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the reduced hourly flow rate F in the step (1) isiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the hourly flow F is reduced according to the following formulai
Fi=3600*fi/Ti
Wherein f isiThe flow data is n continuous periods of flow data, and T is the period length.
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the calculation of the exponentially weighted prediction result P in the step (2.1) is performednThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating an exponentially weighted prediction result P according to the following formulan
Pn=θ0*Fn-11*Fn-22*Fn-3+...+θk*Fn-(k+1)
Wherein, theta0、θ1、θ2、...、θkFor exponentially weighting the hyperparameters, Fn-1、Fn-2、Fn-3、...、Fn-(k+1)Is the actual value.
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the figure loss function L in the step (2.2) isminThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
constructing the loss function L according to the following formulamin
Figure BDA0001924782660000061
And satisfies the following conditions:
Figure BDA0001924782660000071
wherein, PnFor exponentially weighting the prediction results, FnIs the actual value.
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the step (2.3) of calculating the next cycle flow F of all lanes at the intersectioninThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the next period flow F of all lanes of the intersection according to the following formulain
Fin=F0*(1-β)+F1*β*(1-β)+F22*(1-β)+F33(1-β)+.....+Fn-1N-1*(1-β);
Wherein β is an exponentially weighted dynamic parameter value.
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the phase lane maximum flow rate ratio y calculated in the step (3) isjThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the phase lane maximum flow ratio y according to the following formulaj
yj=max[Fin/Ci];
Wherein i is the lane number and j is the phase number.
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the calculating the flow ratio and Y in the step (3) specifically includes:
the flow ratio and Y are calculated according to the following formulas:
Y=∑yj
wherein j is the phase number.
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the calculating period green light loss time L in step (5) specifically includes:
the cycle green light loss time L is calculated according to the following formula:
L=∑K(LS+I-A);
wherein L issFor signal loss time per phase, I is the green light interval time and a is the yellow light time.
As a preferred embodiment of the present inventionThe period duration C is calculated in the step (5)0The method specifically comprises the following steps:
the cycle duration C is calculated according to the following formula0
Figure BDA0001924782660000072
In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the period valid green light duration G is calculated in step (5)EThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the period valid green time duration G according to the following formulaE
GE=C0-L。
In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the step (5) is to calculate the effective green duration g of each phaseeiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the effective green time length g of each phase according to the following formulaei
gei=GE*yi
Wherein, yiThe maximum lane flow ratio for phase i.
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the calculation in the step (5) displays the green time giThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating and displaying green light time g according to the following formulai
gi=gei+II-Ai
Wherein, IIGreen interval time for phase i, AiIs the start-up loss time for phase i.
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the shortest green time period g is calculated in the step (5)minThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the shortest green time g is calculated according to the following formulamin
Figure BDA0001924782660000081
Wherein L ispLength of pedestrian crossing, VpThe speed of pedestrian crossing the street, I is the green light interval time.
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the step (5) of calculating the total duration t of each phaseiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the total duration t of each phase is calculated according to the following formulai
ti=gi+II+Ai
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the calculating period green light loss time L in step (6) specifically includes:
the cycle green light loss time L is calculated according to the following formula:
L=∑K(LS+I-A);
wherein L issFor signal loss time per phase, I is the green light interval time and a is the yellow light time.
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the period duration C is calculated in the step (6)0The method specifically comprises the following steps:
the cycle duration C is calculated according to the following formula0
C0=T0
Wherein, T0Is the original scheme period.
In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the step (6) calculates a ratio of each phase flow rate ratio to the sum of the flow rate ratios
Figure BDA0001924782660000082
The method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the ratio of each phase flow ratio to the sum of the flow ratios according to the following formula
Figure BDA0001924782660000083
Figure BDA0001924782660000084
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, in the step (6), theCalculating the effective green light duration g of each phaseeiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the effective green time length g of each phase according to the following formulaei
Figure BDA0001924782660000091
Wherein, T0Is the original scheme period.
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the calculation in the step (6) displays the green time giThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating and displaying green light time g according to the following formulai
gi=gei+II-Ai
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the shortest green time period g is calculated in the above-mentioned step (6)minThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the shortest green time g is calculated according to the following formulamin
Figure BDA0001924782660000092
Wherein L ispLength of pedestrian crossing, VpSpeed of pedestrian crossing.
As a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the step (6) of calculating the total duration t of each phaseiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the total duration t of each phase is calculated according to the following formulai
ti=gi+II+Ai
In the specific implementation mode of the invention, based on a big data analysis platform, a large amount of historical data of the intersection is controlled by a signal, and the weight setting of an intersection prediction algorithm (exponential weighting) is dynamically adjusted, so that the intersection traffic flow prediction data is more accurate, and an intersection timing scheme is generated by a signal timing method; the invention not only can more accurately play the scientificity of traffic management, but also can reduce the number of employees according to traffic management departments or traffic optimization, and improve the high efficiency and intellectualization of traffic management.
The invention predicts the intersection traffic flow by an index weighting method of dynamic weight based on extracting the historical intersection flow data; and calculating a signal timing scheme in real time according to the obtained flow value of each lane of the intersection. The specific operation logic is as follows:
1. obtaining an operating time [ t ]0、tn]
2. Extracting intersection lane data Li
3. Obtaining the current time t1
4. If t1∈[t0、tn]Starting the algorithm, otherwise exiting;
5. extracting intersection lane LiN continuous periodic flow data f before current time0、f1、、、fn-1
6. Will f isiReduced hourly flow Fi=3600*fi/Ti
7. The exponentially weighted dynamic parameter values β are calculated as follows:
Pn=θ0*Fn-11*Fn-22*Fn-3+...+θk*Fn-(k+1)
Pnexponentially weighting the prediction results;
θ0、θ1、θ2、...、θkexponentially weighting the hyper-parameters;
Fn-1、Fn-2、Fn-3、...、Fn-(k+1)is an actual value;
to find the optimal set of hyper-parameters, a loss function is constructed:
Figure BDA0001924782660000101
and satisfies the following conditions
Figure BDA0001924782660000102
Solving the planning problem with conditions by using a branch definition method to obtain the optimal hyper-parameter theta0、θ1、θ2、...、θkFurther, β values may be determined.
8. Then predicting the next time L of the lane at the intersection by exponential weightingiNext flow data Fin
Fn=F0*(1-β)+F1*β*(1-β)+F22*(1-β)+F33(1-β)+.....+Fn-1N-1*(1-β);
9. Calculating the next period flow F of all lanes of the intersection according to the step (8)in
10. Acquiring parameters of a current signal stage of the intersection;
11. the traffic capacity C of the lanei
12. Calculating the maximum flow ratio y of the phase lanej=max[Fin/Ci](ii) a (i represents a lane number, j represents a phase number)
13. Calculating the flow ratio and Y- ∑ Yj
14. If Y is less than 0.9, continuing the steps (15) to (22), otherwise, entering the steps (23) to (31);
15. calculating the green light loss time L- ∑K(LS+ I-A); (signal loss time per phase is LsGreen light interval time I, yellow light time A)
16. Calculating cycle duration
Figure BDA0001924782660000111
17. Calculating the effective green light duration G of the periodE=C0-L;
18. Calculating the effective green light duration g of each phaseei=Ge*yi
19. Calculating the shortest duration of green light
Figure BDA0001924782660000112
(pedestrian crossing length LPThe speed of pedestrian crossing is VP)
20. Calculating and displaying green light time gi=gei+II-Ai
21. When g isi≥gmin,gi=giWhen g isi<gmin,gi=gmin
22. Output the result ti=gi+II+Ai;(tiFor the total duration of each phase, including yellow flash and full red)
23. If Y is more than or equal to 0.9, continuing the next step;
24. calculating the green light loss time L- ∑K(LS+ I-A); (signal loss time per phase is LsGreen light interval time I, yellow light time A)
25. Setting period C0=T0;(T0As the original recipe period);
26. calculating the ratio of each phase flow ratio to the sum of the flow ratios
Figure BDA0001924782660000113
27. Calculating the effective green time duration of the given phase
Figure BDA0001924782660000114
28. Calculating the shortest duration of green light
Figure BDA0001924782660000115
(pedestrian crossing length LPThe speed of pedestrian crossing is VP)
29. Calculating and displaying green light time gi=gei+II-Ai
30. When g isi≥gmin,gi=giWhen g isi<gmin,gi=gmin
31. Output the result ti=gi+II+Ai;(tiFor the total duration of each phase, including yellow flash and full red)
32. Entering the next calculation period to obtain the current time ti
33. If ti∈[t0、tn]And (5) continuously repeating the steps (5) - (21), and otherwise, exiting.
By adopting the method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic index weighted prediction, the intersection traffic flow rule can be more accurately mastered through a large amount of historical data based on a big Baokang data platform; according to history, solving the weight of the exponential weighting algorithm in real time through linear programming, and dynamically adjusting the weight value to enable the calculation result to be more accurate; generating a next period signal timing scheme by combining signal control intersection real-time prediction data through a signal timing method; the highly intelligent control system reduces personnel investment.
In this specification, the invention has been described with reference to specific embodiments thereof. It will, however, be evident that various modifications and changes may be made thereto without departing from the broader spirit and scope of the invention. The specification and drawings are, accordingly, to be regarded in an illustrative rather than a restrictive sense.

Claims (22)

1. A method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction is characterized by comprising the following steps:
(1) obtaining an operating time [ t ]0,tn]Intersection lane data LiCurrent time t1Judging the current time t1Whether or not greater than tnAnd is not less than t0If yes, acquiring continuous n-stroke periodic flow data, and converting into hourly flow; otherwise, exiting the method;
(2) calculating an exponential weighting dynamic parameter value β, predicting the next time flow data F of the intersection lane according to the exponential weightingin
(3) Obtaining the current signal stage parameters of the intersection and calculating the traffic capacity C of the laneiAnd calculating the maximum flow ratio y of the phase lanejAnd the flow ratio and Y;
(4) judging whether the flow ratio and the Y are less than 0.9, if so, continuing to the step (5); otherwise, continuing the step (6);
(5) according to the period green light loss time L and the period duration C0Calculating the effective green light duration G of the periodEAnd according to the effective green duration g of each phaseeiAnd display green time giAnd minimum green time period gminCalculating the total time length t of each phaseiContinuing the step (1);
(6) calculating the ratio theta of each phase flow ratio to the sum of the flow ratios according to the period green light loss time L and the periodiAnd according to the effective green duration g of each phaseeiAnd display green time giAnd minimum green time period gminCalculating the total time length t of each phaseiAnd (4) continuing to the step (1).
2. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein the reduced hourly flow rate F in step (1)iThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the hourly flow F is reduced according to the following formulai
Fi=3600*fi/Ti
Wherein f isiThe flow data is n continuous periods of flow data, and T is the period length.
3. The method according to claim 1, wherein the step (2) comprises the following steps:
(2.1) calculating an exponentially weighted prediction result Pn
(2.2) constructing the loss function LminObtaining the optimal hyper-parameter theta by a branch definition method0、θ1、θ2、...、θkAnd an β value was obtained;
(2.3) calculating the next period flow F of all lanes at the intersection according to the exponential weightingin
4. The method of claim 3, wherein said step (2.1) of calculating the exponentially weighted prediction result PnThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating an exponentially weighted prediction result P according to the following formulan
Pn=θ0*Fn-11*Fn-22*Fn-3+...+θk*Fn-(k+1)
Wherein, theta0、θ1、θ2、...、θkFor exponentially weighting the hyperparameters, Fn-1、Fn-2、Fn-3、...、Fn-(k+1)Is the actual value.
5. The method of claim 3 wherein said step (2.2) is performed by constructing a loss function LminThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
constructing the loss function L according to the following formulamin
Figure FDA0001924782650000021
And satisfies the following conditions:
Figure FDA0001924782650000022
wherein, PnFor exponentially weighting the prediction results, FnIs the actual value.
6. The method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction as claimed in claim 3, wherein the step (2.3) of calculating the next periodic flow F of all lanes of the intersectioninThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the next of all lanes of the intersection according to the following formulaPeriodic flow Fin
Fin=F0*(1-β)+F1*β*(1-β)+F22*(1-β)+F33(1-β)+.....+Fn-1N-1*(1-β);
Wherein β is an exponentially weighted dynamic parameter value.
7. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein the step (3) of calculating the maximum flow ratio y of the phase lanejThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the phase lane maximum flow ratio y according to the following formulaj
yj=max[Fin/Gi];
Wherein i is the lane number and j is the phase number.
8. The method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein the calculating the flow ratio and Y in the step (3) specifically comprises:
the flow ratio and Y are calculated according to the following formulas:
Y=∑yj
wherein j is the phase number.
9. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein the calculating of the period green light loss time L in the step (5) specifically comprises:
the cycle green light loss time L is calculated according to the following formula:
L=∑K(Ls+I-A);
wherein L issFor signal loss time per phase, I is the green light interval time and a is the yellow light time.
10. The dynamic index addition based on claim 1The method for realizing real-time signal timing control by weight prediction is characterized in that the period duration C is calculated in the step (5)0The method specifically comprises the following steps:
the cycle duration C is calculated according to the following formula0
Figure FDA0001924782650000031
11. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponentially weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein said step (5) is performed to calculate the period valid green time duration GEThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the period valid green time duration G according to the following formulaE
GE=C0-L。
12. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein said step (5) of calculating the effective green duration g of each phaseeiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the effective green time length g of each phase according to the following formulaei
gei=GE*yi
Wherein, yiThe maximum lane flow ratio for phase i.
13. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponentially weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein said calculating in step (5) displays a green time giThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating and displaying green light time g according to the following formulai
gi=gei+I-Ai
Wherein, IIGreen interval time for phase i, AiIs the start-up loss time for phase i.
14. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponentially weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein said step (5) is performed to calculate the shortest green time period gminThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the shortest green time g is calculated according to the following formulamin
Figure FDA0001924782650000032
Wherein L ispLength of pedestrian crossing, VpSpeed of pedestrian crossing.
15. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponentially weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein said step (5) is performed by calculating a total duration t of each phaseiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the total duration t of each phase is calculated according to the following formulai
ti=gi+II+Ai
16. The method for realizing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein the calculating of the period green light loss time L in the step (6) specifically comprises:
the cycle green light loss time L is calculated according to the following formula:
L=∑K(Ls+I-A);
wherein L issFor signal loss time per phase, I is the green light interval time and a is the yellow light time.
17. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponentially weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein said step (6) calculates the cycle duration C0The method specifically comprises the following steps:
the cycle duration C is calculated according to the following formula0
C0=T0
Wherein, T0Is the original scheme period.
18. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponentially weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein said step (6) is performed by calculating a ratio of each phase flow ratio to a sum of flow ratios
Figure FDA0001924782650000041
The method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the ratio of each phase flow ratio to the sum of the flow ratios according to the following formula
Figure FDA0001924782650000042
Figure FDA0001924782650000043
19. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponential weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein said step (6) of calculating the effective green duration g for each phaseeiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating the effective green time length g of each phase according to the following formulaei
Figure FDA0001924782650000044
Wherein, T0Is the original scheme period.
20. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponentially weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein said calculating in step (6) displays a green time giThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
calculating and displaying green light time g according to the following formulai
gi=gei+II-Ai
21. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponentially weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein said step (6) is performed to calculate the shortest green time period gminThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the shortest green time g is calculated according to the following formulamin
Figure FDA0001924782650000051
Wherein L ispLength of pedestrian crossing, VpThe speed of pedestrian crossing the street, I is the green light interval time.
22. The method for implementing real-time signal timing control based on dynamic exponentially weighted prediction as claimed in claim 1, wherein said step (6) is performed by calculating a total duration t of each phaseiThe method specifically comprises the following steps:
the total duration t of each phase is calculated according to the following formulai
ti=gi+II+Ai
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CN109035780A (en) * 2018-09-07 2018-12-18 江苏智通交通科技有限公司 The Optimal Configuration Method in section is incuded when signal controlled junctions phase is green

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