CN111105079A - Internet of things water body dissolved oxygen prediction method and water quality monitoring system - Google Patents
Internet of things water body dissolved oxygen prediction method and water quality monitoring system Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a method for predicting water body dissolved oxygen of an internet of things and a water quality monitoring system, wherein data of air temperature, humidity, rainfall, wind speed, air pressure, water temperature, pH, conductivity and dissolved oxygen are obtained through the water quality monitoring system, the data of the air temperature, the humidity, the rainfall, the wind speed, the air pressure, the water temperature, the pH and the conductivity are set as input quantity, the data of the dissolved oxygen are output quantity, and a small habitat thinking evolution algorithm (NMEA) is utilized to optimize a BP neural network to construct an NMEA-BP model to predict the dissolved oxygen; aiming at the problems of easy falling into local minimum value, low prediction precision and the like in the prior art, the method for predicting the dissolved oxygen in the water body of the Internet of things and the water quality monitoring system provided by the invention build the NMEA-BP model to predict the dissolved oxygen, can avoid the problem of falling into the local minimum value, and have high prediction precision.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to a method for predicting water body dissolved oxygen of the Internet of things and a water quality monitoring system.
Background
Molecular oxygen dissolved in air in water is called dissolved oxygen, and the dissolved oxygen is a necessary condition for fish to live and is a key index for fishermen to stably harvest. The anoxic water body can cause the vitality of the fishes and shrimps to be reduced, the metabolism is slowed down, and the food intake is slowed down. Organic matters, ammonia nitrogen and the like in water are subjected to anaerobic decomposition to generate some toxic substances such as nitrite and the like, and bacteria are easy to breed. When the dissolved oxygen is lower than the minimum limit, the fish can float and even die in a large area by suffocation. Therefore, the real-time detection of the dissolved oxygen content in the water body and the timely prediction of the dissolved oxygen content and the trend are important factors for reducing the risk of aquaculture.
The requirements of different breeding species, different ages and different seasons on the dissolved oxygen of the pond water are different. The content of dissolved oxygen in water is closely related to water environment factors such as meteorological factors and water temperature in the air. At present, researchers at home and abroad propose various methods for predicting dissolved oxygen, a BP neural network or a time series model is used for predicting the content of the dissolved oxygen, a Support Vector Machine (SVM) is used for predicting the content of the dissolved oxygen, a genetic algorithm is used for optimizing the BP neural network for predicting the content of the dissolved oxygen, and the like.
Disclosure of Invention
Aiming at the problems of easy falling into local minimum value and low prediction precision and the like in the prior art, the invention provides a method for predicting water body dissolved oxygen of the Internet of things and a water quality monitoring system.
In order to solve the technical problems, the invention adopts the following technical scheme:
a prediction method for dissolved oxygen in water of the Internet of things comprises the following steps:
the method comprises the following steps: determining a training set and a test set;
acquiring data of air temperature, humidity, rainfall, wind speed, air pressure, water temperature, pH, conductivity and dissolved oxygen through a water quality monitoring system, dividing the data into a training set and a testing set, and setting the data of the air temperature, the humidity, the rainfall, the wind speed, the air pressure, the water temperature, the pH and the conductivity as input quantity pnThe data of dissolved oxygen is output Y;
step two: determining a BP neural network topological structure;
input quantity p according to training setnAnd the mapping corresponding relation between the output quantity Y, a three-layer topological structure is established to construct a BP neural network, the number of nodes of an input layer is n, the number of nodes of an output layer is m,
number of hidden layer nodes n1:
In the formula, a is an integer between 0 and 10;
the BP neural network model is as follows:
Y=purelin(W2,1×tansig(W1,1pn+b1)+b2) (2)
wherein Y is the output, W1,1And W2,1Network connection weights from input layer to hidden layer and from hidden layer to output layer, respectively, b1And b2Networks from input layer to hidden layer, hidden layer to output layer, respectivelyConnection threshold, pnFor input quantity, tansig is a transfer function from an input layer to a hidden layer, and purelin is a transfer function from the hidden layer to an output layer;
the method comprises the following steps that a sigmoid function is selected as an activation function between an input layer and an output layer, and the function form is as follows:
step three: obtaining the optimal weight and threshold value required by the BP neural network through a niche thought evolution algorithm NMEA;
(a) group initialization
Randomly generating N individuals to form an initial population;
the score of each individual is calculated by the equations (4) and (5),
in the formula, tiAndrespectively taking the actual value of the ith sample and the output value of the BP neural network model;
(b) generating a new sub-population;
sorting the individuals according to the scores of the individuals from big to small, selecting the first q individuals as winners, and forming sub-groups respectively by taking the winners as centers;
(c) generating a niche;
calculating the distance between the winners of the q sub-groups according to the formula (6), when the distance between the winners of the two sub-groups is smaller than the radius of the niche, discarding the sub-group with low score, keeping the score of the sub-group high, and DijThe distance between two sub-group winners is defined, and s is the individual coding length;
(d) determining optima for each niche independent search space
Reinitializing the abandoned sub-population, reselecting a winner in the niche where the abandoned sub-population is located, and turning to the step (c) to judge the niche winner score again until each niche has the winner, namely determining the optimal person of each niche independent search space;
(e) convergent operations of subgroups
Converging the sub-populations, and differentiating the populations with the lowest scores after convergence;
(f) performing diversity operation on the sub-groups to obtain optimal weight values and threshold values;
stopping iteration when the score of the optimal winner does not change any more to obtain an optimal individual, namely obtaining a group of optimal weight values and threshold values;
step four: constructing an NMEA-BP model;
substituting the optimal weight and the threshold obtained in the third step into a formula (2) to construct an NMEA-BP model which is a dissolved oxygen prediction model, wherein the optimal weight and the threshold are used as the initial weight and the threshold of the BP neural network model;
step five: and verifying the NMEA-BP model constructed in the step four according to the test set.
The technical scheme of the invention is further improved, and the water quality monitoring system comprises a collection node, a sink node and a server; the collection node comprises a first microcontroller module, a temperature collection module, a humidity collection module, an air pressure collection module, a rainfall module, an air speed module, a water temperature collection module, a conductivity module, a pH collection module, a dissolved oxygen module, a first LoRa communication module and a first power supply module; the first microcontroller module is respectively connected with the temperature acquisition module, the humidity acquisition module, the air pressure acquisition module, the rainfall module, the air speed module, the water temperature acquisition module, the conductivity module, the pH acquisition module, the dissolved oxygen module and the first LoRa communication module; the first power supply module is connected with other modules in the acquisition node; the sink node comprises a second microcontroller module, a second LoRa communication module, a 4G communication module and a second power supply module; the second microcontroller module is respectively connected with the second LoRa communication module and the 4G communication module; the second power supply module is connected with other modules in the sink node; the collection node sends each module data of collection to the sink node through the loRa network that first loRa communication module and second loRa communication module constitute, the sink node is through 4G network with data transmission to server. The water quality monitoring system provided by the invention works in the 4G network coverage range, greatly facilitates the arrangement of the server, has the advantages of convenient wiring, good flexibility, no limitation of communication distance and the like, and can be widely applied to water quality monitoring of oceans and lakes and the like; wherein the collection node sends data such as temperature, pH value, conductivity and dissolved oxygen to the sink node through the loRa network, and the sink node passes through 4G network transmission to the server, and entire system simple structure, the commonality is good.
According to the further improvement of the technical scheme, the temperature acquisition module and the water temperature acquisition module both adopt DS18B20 sensors which are subjected to waterproof treatment.
The technical scheme of the invention is further improved, and the conductivity module adopts a DJS-1 type platinum black point conductive electrode produced by Shanghai precision scientific instruments Co.
The technical scheme of the invention is further improved, and the pH acquisition module adopts an E-201-C type pH electrode produced by Shanghai precision scientific instruments, Inc.
According to the technical scheme of the invention, the dissolved oxygen acquisition module is a polarographic sensor.
In a further improvement of the technical scheme of the invention, the first microcontroller module and the second microcontroller module both adopt STM32F103RBT6 chips produced by Italian semiconductor corporation.
The technical scheme of the invention is further improved, and is characterized in that: the 4G communication module uses a USIM card and adopts a China mobile network.
By further improving the technical scheme of the invention, a user can access the server to obtain the water quality data through a network at a computer end or a mobile phone end. The water quality data can be acquired at a computer end or a mobile phone end, and the use is convenient.
Compared with the prior art, the invention has the beneficial effects that:
according to the method and the system for predicting the dissolved oxygen in the water body of the Internet of things, provided by the invention, through analyzing the relation between the dissolved oxygen and other monitoring indexes and meteorological indexes of the water body, the data of air temperature, humidity, rainfall, wind speed, air pressure, water temperature, pH, conductivity and dissolved oxygen measured by the water quality monitoring system are utilized, the data of air temperature, humidity, rainfall, wind speed, air pressure, water temperature, pH and conductivity are set as input quantities, the data of dissolved oxygen is set as output quantities, a small habitat thinking evolution algorithm (NMEA) is used for optimizing a BP neural network to construct an NMEA-BP model to predict the dissolved oxygen, the problem of falling into a local minimum value can be avoided, and the prediction precision is high.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a flow chart of the prediction method of the present invention.
Fig. 2 is a hardware structure diagram of a water quality monitoring system acquisition node of the invention.
Fig. 3 is a hardware structure diagram of a sink node of the water quality monitoring system of the present invention.
FIG. 4 is a diagram of the overall system architecture of the water quality monitoring system of the present invention.
FIG. 5 is a graph comparing the predicted output value of dissolved oxygen with the true value in the prediction method of the present invention.
Detailed Description
The invention will be described in further detail with reference to the following figures and specific embodiments.
As shown in fig. 1, the prediction method includes the following steps:
the method comprises the following steps: determining a training set and a test set;
acquiring data of air temperature, humidity, rainfall, wind speed, air pressure, water temperature, pH, conductivity and dissolved oxygen through a water quality monitoring system, dividing the data into a training set and a testing set, and setting the data of the air temperature, the humidity, the rainfall, the wind speed, the air pressure, the water temperature, the pH and the conductivity as input quantity pnThe data of dissolved oxygen is output Y;
step two: determining a BP neural network topological structure;
input quantity p according to training setnAnd the mapping corresponding relation between the output quantity Y, a three-layer topological structure is established to construct a BP neural network, the number of nodes of an input layer is n, the number of nodes of an output layer is m,
number of hidden layer nodes n1:
In the formula, a is an integer between 0 and 10;
the BP neural network model is as follows:
Y=purelin(W2,1×tansig(W1,1pn+b1)+b2) (2)
wherein Y is the output, W1,1And W2,1Network connection weights from input layer to hidden layer and from hidden layer to output layer, respectively, b1And b2Network connection threshold, p, from input layer to hidden layer, hidden layer to output layer, respectivelynFor input quantity, tansig is a transfer function from an input layer to a hidden layer, and purelin is a transfer function from the hidden layer to an output layer;
the method comprises the following steps that a sigmoid function is selected as an activation function between an input layer and an output layer, and the function form is as follows:
step three: obtaining the optimal weight and threshold value required by the BP neural network through a niche thought evolution algorithm NMEA;
(a) group initialization
Randomly generating N individuals to form an initial population;
the score of each individual is calculated by the equations (4) and (5),
in the formula, tiAndrespectively taking the actual value of the ith sample and the output value of the BP neural network model;
(b) generating a new sub-population;
sorting the individuals according to the scores of the individuals from big to small, selecting the first q individuals as winners, and forming sub-groups respectively by taking the winners as centers;
(c) generating a niche;
calculating the distance between the winners of the q sub-groups according to the formula (6), when the distance between the winners of the two sub-groups is smaller than the radius of the niche, discarding the sub-group with low score, keeping the score of the sub-group high, and DijThe distance between two sub-group winners is defined, and s is the individual coding length;
(d) determining optima for each niche independent search space
Reinitializing the abandoned sub-population, reselecting a winner in the niche where the abandoned sub-population is located, and turning to the step (c) to judge the niche winner score again until each niche has the winner, namely determining the optimal person of each niche independent search space;
(e) convergent operations of subgroups
Converging the sub-populations, and differentiating the populations with the lowest scores after convergence;
(f) performing diversity operation on the sub-groups to obtain optimal weight values and threshold values;
stopping iteration when the score of the optimal winner does not change any more to obtain an optimal individual, namely obtaining a group of optimal weight values and threshold values;
step four: constructing an NMEA-BP model;
substituting the optimal weight and the threshold obtained in the third step into a formula (2) to construct an NMEA-BP model which is a dissolved oxygen prediction model, wherein the optimal weight and the threshold are used as the initial weight and the threshold of the BP neural network model;
step five: and verifying the NMEA-BP model constructed in the step four according to the test set.
In the embodiment, data of air temperature, humidity, rainfall, wind speed, air pressure, water temperature, pH and conductivity are input quantity, output quantity is dissolved oxygen, the number of nodes of an input layer is determined to be 8, the number of nodes of an output layer is 1, the number of nodes of a hidden layer is determined to be an integer between 3 and 13 after calculation according to the formula (1), after the 11 numbers are tested one by one, the number of nodes of the hidden layer is finally determined to be 9, and the maximum training time is 2000;
in the third step, the optimal weight and the threshold are obtained through a niche thought evolution algorithm NMEA, the initial population N is set to be 200, the dominant sub-population and the temporary sub-population are respectively set to be 5, the niche radius is 20, and the iteration number is set to be 10.
As shown in fig. 2, the collection node in the water quality monitoring system includes a first microcontroller module, a temperature collection module, a humidity collection module, an air pressure collection module, a rainfall module, an air speed module, a water temperature collection module, a conductivity module, a pH collection module, a dissolved oxygen module, a first LoRa communication module and a first power supply module;
the first microcontroller module is respectively connected with the temperature acquisition module, the humidity acquisition module, the air pressure acquisition module, the rainfall module, the air speed module, the water temperature acquisition module, the conductivity module, the pH acquisition module, the dissolved oxygen module and the first LoRa communication module;
the first power supply module is connected with other modules in the acquisition node;
wherein first microcontroller module is used for reading the data that temperature acquisition module, humidity acquisition module, atmospheric pressure acquisition module, rainfall module, wind speed module, temperature acquisition module, conductivity module, pH acquisition module and dissolved oxygen module gathered to send data for first loRa communication module.
As shown in fig. 3, the sink node in the water quality monitoring system includes a second microcontroller module, a second LoRa communication module, a 4G communication module, and a second power module;
the second microcontroller module is respectively connected with the second LoRa communication module and the 4G communication module;
the second power supply module is connected with other modules in the sink node;
the second LoRa communication module sends data to the second microcontroller module, and the second microcontroller module sends the data to the through 4G communication module.
As shown in fig. 4, the collection node in the water quality monitoring system sends the water quality data air temperature, humidity, rainfall, wind speed, air pressure, water temperature, pH value, conductivity and dissolved oxygen to the sink node through the LoRa network formed by the first LoRa communication module and the second LoRa communication module, the sink node transmits the data to the server through the 4G network, and the user can access the server at the PC end or the mobile phone end through the network to obtain the water quality data.
In the embodiment, the temperature acquisition module and the water temperature acquisition module both adopt a DS18B20 sensor subjected to waterproof treatment; the conductivity module adopts a DJS-1 type platinum black point conductive electrode produced by Shanghai precision scientific instruments Co., Ltd; the pH acquisition module adopts an E-201-C type pH electrode produced by Shanghai precision scientific instruments, Inc.; the dissolved oxygen acquisition module adopts a polarographic sensor; the first microcontroller module and the second microcontroller module both adopt STM32F103RBT6 chips produced by Italian semiconductor corporation; the 4G communication module uses USIM card and adopts China Mobile network.
The embodiment adopts 214 days of measured data from 1/6/2018 to 31/12/2018 to train and test, and 5136 data records are recorded in the period. Data are randomly extracted for 10 days (240 pieces) to serve as a test set, the accuracy of dissolved oxygen prediction is verified, and other data serve as a training set. As shown in FIG. 5, the predicted output value after NMEA-BP model training can approach the true value, and the overall training effect is good. The error between most dissolved oxygen values and the true value is small, and the maximum absolute error can be controlled within 0.5 mg/L.
Meanwhile, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Relative Percentage Error (MRPE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) indexes are selected as judgment standards to verify the effectiveness of the method. The conventional BP model and the GA-BP model are compared with the NMEA-BP model, the weight and the threshold of the BP neural network are optimized by using the ecological Niche Mental Evolution Algorithm (NMEA), the problems of local minimum and initial parameter decision are avoided, the precision and the convergence rate of the model are improved, and therefore compared with the prediction effects of the common BP model and the GA-BP model, the NMEA-BP model has higher precision and can better predict the trend of dissolved oxygen. The interpolation evaluation index results of the three models are shown in table 1, and the comparison result in table 1 shows that when the NMEA-BP model is used for prediction, the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), the average relative percentage error (MRPE) and the average absolute error (MAE) are lower than those of the BP model and the GA-BP model, so that the accuracy of the output value of the dissolved oxygen prediction model is higher and the dissolved oxygen prediction model is more effective.
And (3) carrying out interpolation performance evaluation comparison on the BP model, the GA-BP model and the NMEA-BP model, wherein the interpolation performance evaluation comparison is shown in the following table 1:
table 1.
Claims (9)
1. A method for predicting water dissolved oxygen of the Internet of things is characterized by comprising the following steps:
the prediction method comprises the following steps:
the method comprises the following steps: determining a training set and a test set;
acquiring data of air temperature, humidity, rainfall, wind speed, air pressure, water temperature, pH, conductivity and dissolved oxygen through a water quality monitoring system, dividing the data into a training set and a testing set, and setting the data of the air temperature, the humidity, the rainfall, the wind speed, the air pressure, the water temperature, the pH and the conductivity as input quantity pnThe data of dissolved oxygen is output Y;
step two: determining a BP neural network topological structure;
input quantity p according to training setnAnd the mapping corresponding relation between the output quantity Y, a three-layer topological structure is established to construct a BP neural network, the number of nodes of an input layer is n, the number of nodes of an output layer is m,
number of hidden layer nodes n1:
In the formula, a is an integer between 0 and 10;
the BP neural network model is as follows:
Y=purelin(W2,1×tansig(W1,1pn+b1)+b2) (2)
wherein Y is the output, W1,1And W2,1Network connection weights from input layer to hidden layer and from hidden layer to output layer, respectively, b1And b2Network connection threshold, p, from input layer to hidden layer, hidden layer to output layer, respectivelynFor input quantity, tansig is a transfer function from an input layer to a hidden layer, and purelin is a transfer function from the hidden layer to an output layer;
the method comprises the following steps that a sigmoid function is selected as an activation function between an input layer and an output layer, and the function form is as follows:
step three: obtaining the optimal weight and threshold value required by the BP neural network through a niche thought evolution algorithm NMEA;
(a) group initialization
Randomly generating N individuals to form an initial population;
the score of each individual is calculated by the equations (4) and (5),
in the formula, tiAndrespectively taking the actual value of the ith sample and the output value of the BP neural network model;
(b) generating a new sub-population;
sorting the individuals according to the scores of the individuals from big to small, selecting the first q individuals as winners, and forming sub-groups respectively by taking the winners as centers;
(c) generating a niche;
calculating the distance between the winners of the q sub-groups according to the formula (6), when the distance between the winners of the two sub-groups is smaller than the radius of the niche, discarding the sub-group with low score, keeping the score of the sub-group high, and DijThe distance between two sub-group winners is defined, and s is the individual coding length;
(d) determining optima for each niche independent search space
Reinitializing the abandoned sub-population, reselecting a winner in the niche where the abandoned sub-population is located, and turning to the step (c) to judge the niche winner score again until each niche has the winner, namely determining the optimal person of each niche independent search space;
(e) convergent operations of subgroups
Converging the sub-populations, and differentiating the populations with the lowest scores after convergence;
(f) performing diversity operation on the sub-groups to obtain optimal weight values and threshold values;
stopping iteration when the score of the optimal winner does not change any more to obtain an optimal individual, namely obtaining a group of optimal weight values and threshold values;
step four: constructing an NMEA-BP model;
substituting the optimal weight and the threshold obtained in the third step into a formula (2) to construct an NMEA-BP model which is a dissolved oxygen prediction model, wherein the optimal weight and the threshold are used as the initial weight and the threshold of the BP neural network model;
step five: and verifying the NMEA-BP model constructed in the step four according to the test set.
2. The water quality monitoring system of the internet of things water body dissolved oxygen prediction method according to claim 1, characterized in that:
the water quality monitoring system comprises an acquisition node, a sink node and a server;
the collection node comprises a first microcontroller module, a temperature collection module, a humidity collection module, an air pressure collection module, a rainfall module, an air speed module, a water temperature collection module, a conductivity module, a pH collection module, a dissolved oxygen module, a first LoRa communication module and a first power supply module;
the first microcontroller module is respectively connected with the temperature acquisition module, the humidity acquisition module, the air pressure acquisition module, the rainfall module, the air speed module, the water temperature acquisition module, the conductivity module, the pH acquisition module, the dissolved oxygen module and the first LoRa communication module;
the first power supply module is connected with other modules in the acquisition node;
the sink node comprises a second microcontroller module, a second LoRa communication module, a 4G communication module and a second power supply module;
the second microcontroller module is respectively connected with the second LoRa communication module and the 4G communication module;
the second power supply module is connected with other modules in the sink node;
the collection node sends each module data of collection to the sink node through the loRa network that first loRa communication module and second loRa communication module constitute, the sink node is through 4G network with data transmission to server.
3. The water quality monitoring system of the internet of things water body dissolved oxygen prediction method according to claim 2, characterized in that: the temperature acquisition module and the water temperature acquisition module both adopt DS18B20 sensors which are subjected to waterproof treatment.
4. The water quality monitoring system of the internet of things water body dissolved oxygen prediction method according to claim 2, characterized in that: the conductivity module adopts a DJS-1 type platinum black point conductive electrode produced by Shanghai precision scientific instruments Co.
5. The water quality monitoring system of the internet of things water body dissolved oxygen prediction method according to claim 2, characterized in that: the pH acquisition module adopts an E-201-C type pH electrode produced by Shanghai precision scientific instruments, Inc.
6. The water quality monitoring system of the internet of things water body dissolved oxygen prediction method according to claim 2, characterized in that: the dissolved oxygen acquisition module adopts a polarographic sensor.
7. The water quality monitoring system of the internet of things water body dissolved oxygen prediction method according to claim 2, characterized in that: the first microcontroller module and the second microcontroller module both adopt STM32F103RBT6 chips manufactured by Italian semiconductor corporation.
8. The water quality monitoring system of the internet of things water body dissolved oxygen prediction method according to claim 2, characterized in that: the 4G communication module uses a USIM card and adopts a China mobile network.
9. The water quality monitoring system of the internet of things water body dissolved oxygen prediction method according to claim 2, characterized in that: the user can access the server to obtain the water quality data through the network at the computer end or the mobile phone end.
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