CN110753366A - Prediction processing method and device for industry short message gateway capacity - Google Patents

Prediction processing method and device for industry short message gateway capacity Download PDF

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CN110753366A
CN110753366A CN201810820109.8A CN201810820109A CN110753366A CN 110753366 A CN110753366 A CN 110753366A CN 201810820109 A CN201810820109 A CN 201810820109A CN 110753366 A CN110753366 A CN 110753366A
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capacity
short message
value
expansion
message gateway
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邢彪
郑屹峰
张卷卷
凌啼
章淑敏
刘宏
蔡晓俊
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China Mobile Communications Group Co Ltd
China Mobile Group Zhejiang Co Ltd
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China Mobile Group Zhejiang Co Ltd
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    • HELECTRICITY
    • H04ELECTRIC COMMUNICATION TECHNIQUE
    • H04WWIRELESS COMMUNICATION NETWORKS
    • H04W24/00Supervisory, monitoring or testing arrangements
    • H04W24/06Testing, supervising or monitoring using simulated traffic
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H04ELECTRIC COMMUNICATION TECHNIQUE
    • H04WWIRELESS COMMUNICATION NETWORKS
    • H04W4/00Services specially adapted for wireless communication networks; Facilities therefor
    • H04W4/12Messaging; Mailboxes; Announcements
    • H04W4/14Short messaging services, e.g. short message services [SMS] or unstructured supplementary service data [USSD]

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Abstract

本发明实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法及装置,该方法包括:获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征,根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列,将所述容量预测序列中的各个容量值分别与预设的负荷阈值进行比较,当确定存在容量值超过负荷阈值,则发出扩容提醒信息,获取所述容量预测序列中的最大容量值,根据所述最大容量值与预设的扩容公式获得行业短信网关的扩容容量值,达到为未来时间段行业短信网关容量预测的目的,为后续扩容容量提供参考。

An embodiment of the present invention provides a method and device for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway. The method includes: acquiring historical operating parameter characteristics of an industrial short message gateway in a first time period, and according to the historical operating parameter characteristics and a preset prediction The neural network model obtains the capacity prediction sequence in the second time period, compares each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence with the preset load threshold value, and when it is determined that there is a capacity value exceeding the load threshold value, a capacity expansion reminder message is issued, Obtain the maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence, and obtain the capacity expansion value of the industry short message gateway according to the maximum capacity value and the preset capacity expansion formula, so as to achieve the purpose of predicting the capacity of the industry short message gateway in the future time period, and for the subsequent capacity expansion for reference.

Description

行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法及装置Prediction processing method and device for industry short message gateway capacity

技术领域technical field

本发明涉及通信技术领域,尤其涉及一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法及装置。The invention relates to the field of communication technologies, in particular to a method and device for predicting the capacity of an industrial short message gateway.

背景技术Background technique

随着移动互联网应用的爆发式增长,各行各业的企业对于短信的需求却不降反增,例如银行的验证码短信、电商支付短信、各类APP 登陆提醒短信、企业推广短信等,行业应用短信已占据运营商短信下发总量的大部分,因此在移动互联网时代,保障行业短信网关的平稳运行对于运营商具有至关重要的意义。现有技术中对行业短信网关何时需要扩容、扩容多少容量并无精确研判和计算方法,往往是通过对负荷简单设置阈值来判断扩容的时机、通过人工专家经验来判断需要扩增的容量大小,因此扩容方法仍处于简单粗放的阶段,容量预估很难取得较高的准确性,面对日益增长的需求,精准预估负荷容量以支撑精准扩容已十分迫切,及时、精准的扩容是提升运营商核心网元行业短信网关稳定性的关键所在。With the explosive growth of mobile Internet applications, the demand for SMS from enterprises in all walks of life has not decreased but increased, such as bank verification code SMS, e-commerce payment SMS, various APP login reminder SMS, corporate promotion SMS, etc. Application SMS has accounted for the majority of the total amount of SMS issued by operators. Therefore, in the era of mobile Internet, ensuring the smooth operation of industry SMS gateways is of great significance to operators. In the prior art, there is no precise judgment and calculation method for when the industry SMS gateway needs to be expanded and how much capacity to expand. Often, the timing of expansion is determined by simply setting a threshold for the load, and the capacity to be expanded is determined by manual expert experience. Therefore, the expansion method is still in the stage of simple and extensive, and it is difficult to obtain high accuracy in capacity estimation. Facing the increasing demand, it is very urgent to accurately estimate the load capacity to support accurate expansion. Timely and accurate expansion is an improvement. The key to the stability of SMS gateways in the core network element industry of operators.

发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

本发明提供一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法及装置,用于解决现有技术中无法准确获取扩容时机的问题。The present invention provides a method and a device for predicting the capacity of an industrial short message gateway, which are used to solve the problem that the time for capacity expansion cannot be accurately obtained in the prior art.

第一方面,本发明实施例提供一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法,包括:In a first aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides a method for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway, including:

获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征;Obtain the historical operating parameter characteristics of the industry SMS gateway in the first time period;

根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列。The capacity prediction sequence in the second time period is obtained according to the historical operating parameter characteristics and the preset prediction neural network model.

可选地,还包括:Optionally, also include:

将所述容量预测序列中的各个容量值分别与预设的负荷阈值进行比较;comparing each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence with a preset load threshold respectively;

当确定存在容量值超过负荷阈值,则发出扩容提醒信息。When it is determined that there is a capacity value exceeding the load threshold, a capacity expansion reminder message is issued.

可选地,还包括:Optionally, also include:

获取所述容量预测序列中的最大容量值;obtaining the maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence;

根据所述最大容量值与预设的扩容公式获得行业短信网关的扩容容量值。The capacity expansion value of the industry short message gateway is obtained according to the maximum capacity value and the preset capacity expansion formula.

可选地,所述扩容公式包括:Optionally, the expansion formula includes:

R=Max×k-Z,其中,R为扩容容量值,Max为所述容量预测序列中的最大容量值,k是预设系数,Z是扩容前行业短信网关总容量。R=Max×k-Z, where R is the capacity expansion value, Max is the maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence, k is a preset coefficient, and Z is the total capacity of the industry short message gateway before capacity expansion.

第二方面,本发明实施例提供一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理装置,包括:In a second aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides an apparatus for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway, including:

获取模块,用于获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征;The acquisition module is used to acquire the historical operation parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in the first time period;

预测模块,用于根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列。A prediction module, configured to obtain a capacity prediction sequence in a second time period according to the historical operating parameter characteristics and a preset prediction neural network model.

可选地,还包括提醒模块,用于:将所述容量预测序列中的各个容量值分别与预设的负荷阈值进行比较,当确定存在容量值超过负荷阈值,则发出扩容提醒信息。Optionally, a reminder module is further included, configured to: compare each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence with a preset load threshold value, and issue a capacity expansion reminder message when it is determined that there is a capacity value exceeding the load threshold value.

可选地,还包括扩容模块,用于:获取所述容量预测序列中的最大容量值,根据所述最大容量值与预设的扩容公式获得行业短信网关的扩容容量值。Optionally, a capacity expansion module is further included, configured to: obtain the maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence, and obtain the capacity expansion value of the industry short message gateway according to the maximum capacity value and a preset capacity expansion formula.

可选地,所述扩容公式包括:Optionally, the expansion formula includes:

R=Max×k-Z,其中,R为扩容容量值,Max为所述容量预测序列中的最大容量值,k是预设系数,Z是扩容前行业短信网关总容量。R=Max×k-Z, where R is the capacity expansion value, Max is the maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence, k is a preset coefficient, and Z is the total capacity of the industry short message gateway before capacity expansion.

第三方面,本发明实施例提供一种电子设备,包括:处理器、存储器、总线及存储在存储器上并可在处理器上运行的计算机程序;In a third aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides an electronic device, including: a processor, a memory, a bus, and a computer program stored in the memory and running on the processor;

其中,所述处理器,存储器通过所述总线完成相互间的通信;Wherein, the processor and the memory communicate with each other through the bus;

所述处理器执行所述计算机程序时实现如上述的方法。The processor executes the computer program to implement the method as described above.

第四方面,本发明实施例提供一种非暂态计算机可读存储介质,所述非暂态计算机可读存储介质上存储有计算机程序,该计算机程序被处理器执行时实现如上述的方法。In a fourth aspect, embodiments of the present invention provide a non-transitory computer-readable storage medium, where a computer program is stored on the non-transitory computer-readable storage medium, and the computer program implements the foregoing method when executed by a processor.

由上述技术方案可知,本发明实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法,通过获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征,根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列,达到为未来时间段行业短信网关容量预测的目的,为后续扩容容量提供参考。It can be seen from the above technical solutions that the method for predicting and processing the capacity of an industry short message gateway provided by the embodiment of the present invention obtains the historical operation parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in the first time period, according to the historical operation parameter characteristics and preset parameters. The prediction neural network model obtains the capacity prediction sequence in the second time period, so as to achieve the purpose of predicting the capacity of the industry short message gateway in the future time period, and provide a reference for the subsequent capacity expansion.

附图说明Description of drawings

图1为本发明一实施例提供的行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法的流程示意图;1 is a schematic flowchart of a method for predicting and processing an industry short message gateway capacity provided by an embodiment of the present invention;

图2为本发明一实施例提供的行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法的流程示意图;2 is a schematic flowchart of a method for predicting and processing the capacity of an industry short message gateway provided by an embodiment of the present invention;

图3为本发明一实施例提供的行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法的流程示意图;3 is a schematic flowchart of a method for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway provided by an embodiment of the present invention;

图4为本发明一实施例提供的行业短信网关容量的预测处理装置的结构示意图;4 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway according to an embodiment of the present invention;

图5为本发明一实施例提供的行业短信网关容量的预测处理装置的结构示意图;5 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway according to an embodiment of the present invention;

图6为本发明一实施例提供的行业短信网关容量的预测处理装置的结构示意图;6 is a schematic structural diagram of an apparatus for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway according to an embodiment of the present invention;

图7为本发明一实施例提供的电子设备的结构示意图。FIG. 7 is a schematic structural diagram of an electronic device according to an embodiment of the present invention.

具体实施方式Detailed ways

下面结合附图和实施例,对本发明的具体实施方式作进一步详细描述。以下实施例用于说明本发明,但不用来限制本发明的范围。The specific embodiments of the present invention will be described in further detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and embodiments. The following examples are intended to illustrate the present invention, but not to limit the scope of the present invention.

图1示出了本发明一实施例提供一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法,包括:1 shows a method for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway provided by an embodiment of the present invention, including:

S11、获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征;S11. Obtain historical operating parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in the first time period;

S12、根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列。S12. Obtain a capacity prediction sequence in a second time period according to the historical operating parameter characteristics and a preset prediction neural network model.

针对步骤S11和步骤S12,需要说明的是,在本发明实施例中,行业短信网关:全称行业应用短信网关,是运营商面向企业行业应用的一个短信下发通道。For step S11 and step S12, it should be noted that, in the embodiment of the present invention, the industry short message gateway: the full name of the industry application short message gateway, is a short message delivery channel for the enterprise industry application by the operator.

本实施例预设的预测神经网络模型为使用深度学习框架搭建长短期记忆神经网络建立的模型。The preset prediction neural network model in this embodiment is a model established by using a deep learning framework to build a long short-term memory neural network.

深度神经网络(DNN,deep neural network):一个神经网络包含输入层、隐藏层和输出层。所谓的“深度”就是指中间的隐藏层有很多层。所以深度学习其实就是隐藏层有很多层的神经网络。神经元(Neuron) 是神经网络的基本单元,也称节点(Node),它从外部或其它节点收到输入(Input),并通过一个激活函数(Activation Function)来计算输出(Output);每一个输入都对应权重(Weight),即这个节点收到的每一个输入的相对重要性;偏置(Bias)可以理解为一种特殊的输入。Deep Neural Network (DNN, deep neural network): A neural network consists of an input layer, a hidden layer and an output layer. The so-called "depth" means that there are many layers in the middle hidden layer. So deep learning is actually a neural network with many hidden layers. Neuron is the basic unit of neural network, also known as node (Node), it receives input (Input) from external or other nodes, and calculates output (Output) through an activation function (Activation Function); each The input corresponds to the weight (Weight), that is, the relative importance of each input received by this node; the bias (Bias) can be understood as a special input.

RNN(recurrent neural network):循环神经网络。是有记忆的神经网络,RNN中每个隐藏层的输出都会被存储在缓存中,当下一次该隐藏层有数据输入时,存在缓存中的数据也可以被当作是输入的一部分,在每一个时间点,神经元的输出都会放到缓存中去,在下一个时间点,缓存中的值都会被覆盖掉。同一个神经网络被重复使用就是所谓的循环神经网络。RNN可以被看做是同一神经网络的多次复制,每个神经网络模块会把消息传递给下一个。RNN (recurrent neural network): Recurrent neural network. It is a neural network with memory. The output of each hidden layer in the RNN will be stored in the cache. The next time the hidden layer has data input, the data stored in the cache can also be regarded as part of the input. At one point in time, the output of the neuron will be put into the cache, and at the next point in time, the value in the cache will be overwritten. Reuse of the same neural network is called a recurrent neural network. RNNs can be thought of as multiple copies of the same neural network, each neural network module passing a message to the next.

LSTM(long short-term memory):长短期记忆,这是一种RNN特殊的类型,可以学习长期依赖信息,通过控制缓存中的值保存的时间,可以记住长期的信息,适合进行时间序列的预测,解决了RNN gradient vanishing的问题。每个神经元有四个输入和一个输出,每个神经元内有一个Cell存放记忆的数值。LSTM (long short-term memory): Long short-term memory, which is a special type of RNN, can learn long-term dependent information, and can remember long-term information by controlling the time when the value in the cache is stored, which is suitable for time series. Prediction, which solves the problem of RNN gradient vanishing. Each neuron has four inputs and one output, and each neuron has a Cell to store the memory value.

预测神经网络模型建立过程如下:The process of building a predictive neural network model is as follows:

S1、获取第三时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征;S1. Obtain the historical operation parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in the third time period;

S2、将所述历史运行参数特征进行归一化处理,处理后划分为训练集和测试集;S2, normalize the historical operating parameter features, and divide them into a training set and a test set after processing;

S3、将所述训练集输入到深度长短期记忆神经网络模型中进行模型训练,将所述测试集输入到深度长短期记忆神经网络模型中进行模型测试,得到各神经元对应的权重;S3, the training set is input into the deep long-term and short-term memory neural network model for model training, the test set is input into the deep long-term and short-term memory neural network model for model testing, and the corresponding weight of each neuron is obtained;

S4、将深度长短期记忆神经网络模型和各神经元对应的权重作为预测神经网络模型。S4. Use the deep long-term short-term memory neural network model and the corresponding weight of each neuron as the prediction neural network model.

针对步骤S1-步骤S4,需要说明的是,在本发明实施例中,所述历史运行参数特征即包括从行业短信网关中得到的多维度运动参数也包括外部因素所形成的参数特征。例如,从某运营商行业短信网关获取的2017年9月12日0点至2017年12月20日24点的每小时行业短信网关多维度运行参数,共计100天、2400条数据。在这跨度100 天的时间中,包含了一些外部因素,例如双十一、双十二、中秋国庆等。因此需要引入跟外部因素相关的新特征“日期类型”,将日期分为四类:0(非节假和活动日)、1(法定节假日)、2(电商活动日,例如双十一、双十二)、3(重大活动),此外还加入上一季度和上一年同一时间的重点运行参数,以提升预测准确率。最终行业短信网关运行参数包括14个特征,如下:Regarding steps S1-S4, it should be noted that, in this embodiment of the present invention, the historical operating parameter features include both multi-dimensional motion parameters obtained from the industry short message gateway and parameter features formed by external factors. For example, the hourly multi-dimensional operation parameters of the industry SMS gateway from 0:00 on September 12, 2017 to 24:00 on December 20, 2017 obtained from an operator's industry SMS gateway, totaling 100 days and 2400 pieces of data. In this 100-day span, some external factors are included, such as Double Eleven, Double Twelve, Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day. Therefore, it is necessary to introduce a new feature "date type" related to external factors, and divide the dates into four categories: 0 (non-holidays and activity days), 1 (legal holidays), 2 (e-commerce activity days, such as Double Eleven, Double 12), 3 (major events), in addition to adding key operating parameters at the same time in the previous quarter and the previous year to improve the forecast accuracy. The final industry SMS gateway operating parameters include 14 features, as follows:

X1:MT下行短信发送总量;X 1 : The total amount of downlink SMS sent by MT;

X2:MT下行短信发送成功量;X 2 : MT downlink SMS sending success amount;

X3:MT下行短信发送成功率(行业短信网关提交消息至短信中心的成功率);X 3 : MT downlink SMS sending success rate (the success rate of industry SMS gateway submitting messages to SMS center);

X4:MO上行短信发送总量;X 4 : The total amount of MO uplink short messages sent;

X5:MO上行短信发送成功量;X 5 : MO uplink SMS sending success amount;

X6:MO上行短信发送成功率(短信中心提交消息至行业短信网关的成功率);X 6 : The success rate of MO uplink SMS sending (the success rate of the SMS center submitting the message to the industry SMS gateway);

X7:峰值负荷(条/秒),代表行业短信网关的整体最高负荷,是本方案需要预测的值;X 7 : Peak load (bars/second), representing the overall highest load of the industry SMS gateway, which is the value to be predicted by this solution;

X8:日期类型(新引入的外部因素特征);X 8 : Date type (newly introduced external factor feature);

X9:上一季度同一时间峰值负荷;X 9 : Peak load at the same time in the previous quarter;

X10:上一季度同一时间MT下行短信发送总量;X 10 : The total amount of downlink SMS sent by MT at the same time in the previous quarter;

X11:上一季度同一时间MO上行短信发送总量;X 11 : The total amount of MO uplink SMS sent at the same time in the previous quarter;

X12:上一年同一时间峰值负荷;X 12 : Peak load at the same time in the previous year;

X13:上一年同一时间MT下行短信发送总量;X 13 : The total amount of downlink SMS sent by MT at the same time in the previous year;

X14:上一年同一时间MO上行短信发送总量。X 14 : The total amount of MO uplink SMS sent at the same time in the previous year.

因此数据集可表示为:S=[X1,X2,X3,X4,X5,X6,X7,X8, X9,X10,X11,X12,X13,X14]。So the dataset can be represented as: S = [ X1, X2, X3 , X4 , X5 , X6 , X7 , X8 , X9 , X10 , X11 , X12 , X13 , X 14 ].

数据获取后,首先对数据做归一化(normalization):归一化是指将数据按比例缩放,使之落入一个小的特定区间。由于LSTM对输入的数据大小比较敏感,所以需要将数据统一映射到[0,1]的范围内,使用sklearn中的函数MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0,1)),将数据缩放至给定的最小值与最大值之间,通常是0与1之间。归一化后将提升模型的收敛速度、提升模型的精度。After the data is acquired, first normalize the data: Normalization refers to scaling the data so that it falls into a small specific interval. Since LSTM is sensitive to the size of the input data, it is necessary to uniformly map the data to the range of [0,1], and use the function MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0,1)) in sklearn to scale the data to the given minimum value Between the value and the maximum value, usually between 0 and 1. After normalization, the convergence speed of the model will be improved and the accuracy of the model will be improved.

将数据集划分为训练集和测试集:整个数据集长度总计为100天,训练数据取前70天的数据,余下的30天数据作为测试数据。数据集的总长度dataset_length:2400(即时间跨度为2400个小时),训练数据的长度train_data_size:1680,测试数据的长度test_data_size:720(即时间跨度为720个小时)。Divide the data set into training set and test set: the total length of the entire data set is 100 days, the training data is the data of the first 70 days, and the remaining 30 days of data is used as the test data. The total length of the dataset dataset_length: 2400 (that is, the time span is 2400 hours), the length of the training data is train_data_size: 1680, and the length of the test data is test_data_size: 720 (that is, the time span is 720 hours).

对数据作形状转换:由于LSTM神经网络对于输入的数据形状要求是3维数组,因此需要将数据从2维数组[samples,features]转换成3 维数组[samples,timesteps,features],根据最近n小时的14个特征历史运行参数来预测未来m小时内的峰值负荷情况。以timesteps=n=3、 m=1为例,timesteps就是LSTM认为每个输入数据与前多少个陆续输入的数据有联系,即根据最近三小时的各项运行参数X1-X14来预测下一小时的峰值负荷X7情况,即利用当前时间点(t)以及前两个时间点 (t-1)和(t-2)的值来预测下一个时间点(t+1)的值(输入t-2、t-1、t,输出为t+1)。所以原先数据集形状为2400*14的二维数组,转换后数据集形状为2400*3*14的三维数组,即训练数据X的形状为train_X.shape= (1680,3,14),训练数据y的形状为train_y.shape=(1680,),测试数据X的形状为test_X.shape=(717,3,14),测试数据y的形状为test_y.shape=(717,)。用训练数据去训练本模型,用测试数据来检验模型的性能。离线训练及测试完成后,将计算得出的神经网络权重导出。当下一次需要进行预测时,无需再训练一遍神经网络,直接使用之前训练好的权重即可,节省了宝贵的时间,使预测更加快速高效。Shape transformation of data: Since the LSTM neural network requires a 3-dimensional array for the shape of the input data, it is necessary to convert the data from a 2-dimensional array [samples, features] to a 3-dimensional array [samples, timesteps, features], according to the recent n The 14 characteristic historical operating parameters of the hour are used to predict the peak load situation in the next m hours. Taking timesteps=n=3, m=1 as an example, timesteps means that LSTM thinks that each input data is related to the previous input data, that is, according to the operating parameters X 1 -X 14 of the last three hours to predict the next One-hour peak load X 7 situation, that is, using the current time point (t) and the values of the previous two time points (t-1) and (t-2) to predict the value of the next time point (t+1) ( Input t-2, t-1, t, output is t+1). Therefore, the original data set shape is a two-dimensional array of 2400*14, and the converted data set shape is a three-dimensional array of 2400*3*14, that is, the shape of the training data X is train_X.shape= (1680,3,14), the training data The shape of y is train_y.shape=(1680,), the shape of test data X is test_X.shape=(717,3,14), and the shape of test data y is test_y.shape=(717,). Use the training data to train the model, and use the test data to test the performance of the model. After offline training and testing are completed, the calculated neural network weights are exported. The next time you need to make predictions, you don't need to train the neural network again, you can directly use the previously trained weights, saving valuable time and making predictions faster and more efficient.

在本发明实施例中,对于搭建神经网络模型属于一个较成熟的技术,在固定领域内获取到所需的参数特征后,会通过训练集和测试集对神经网络模型进行训练,从而得到可以实时对数据进行预测的神经网络模型。In the embodiment of the present invention, building a neural network model belongs to a relatively mature technology. After obtaining the required parameter features in a fixed field, the neural network model will be trained through the training set and the test set, so as to obtain a real-time A neural network model that makes predictions on data.

神经网络模型建立后,对未来时间段的网关容量进行预测时,还需获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征,根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列。After the neural network model is established, when predicting the gateway capacity in the future time period, it is also necessary to obtain the historical operating parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in the first time period, and obtain the historical operating parameter characteristics and the preset prediction neural network model according to the historical operating parameter characteristics. A sequence of capacity forecasts for the second time period.

本发明实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法,通过获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征,根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列,达到为未来时间段行业短信网关容量预测的目的,为后续扩容容量提供参考。An embodiment of the present invention provides a method for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway, by acquiring historical operating parameter characteristics of an industrial short message gateway in a first time period, and obtaining the first The capacity prediction sequence in the second time period achieves the purpose of predicting the capacity of the industry SMS gateway in the future time period, and provides a reference for subsequent capacity expansion.

图2示出了本发明一实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法,包括:2 shows a method for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway provided by an embodiment of the present invention, including:

S21、获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征;S21. Obtain historical operating parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in the first time period;

S22、根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列;S22, obtaining the capacity prediction sequence in the second time period according to the historical operating parameter characteristics and the preset prediction neural network model;

S23、将所述容量预测序列中的各个容量值分别与预设的负荷阈值进行比较,当确定存在容量值超过负荷阈值,则发出扩容提醒信息。S23. Compare each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence with a preset load threshold value, and when it is determined that there is a capacity value exceeding the load threshold value, send out capacity expansion reminder information.

针对上述步骤S21-步骤S22,需要说明的是,这些步骤与上述实施例所述步骤S11-步骤12在原理上相同,在此不再赘述。With regard to the above steps S21 to S22, it should be noted that these steps are the same in principle as the steps S11 to 12 described in the above embodiment, and are not repeated here.

针对步骤S23,需要说明的是,在本发明实施例中,将所述容量预测序列中的各个容量值分别与预设的负荷阈值进行比较,当确定存在容量值超过负荷阈值,则发出扩容提醒信息,以供运维人员对其进行对应的计划及处理。Regarding step S23, it should be noted that, in the embodiment of the present invention, each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence is compared with a preset load threshold value, and when it is determined that there is a capacity value exceeding the load threshold value, a capacity expansion reminder is issued information for the operation and maintenance personnel to plan and deal with it accordingly.

本发明实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法,通过获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征,根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列,将所述容量预测序列中的各个容量值分别与预设的负荷阈值进行比较,当确定存在容量值超过负荷阈值,则发出扩容提醒信息,达到为未来时间段行业短信网关容量预测的目的,为后续扩容容量提供参考。An embodiment of the present invention provides a method for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway, by acquiring historical operating parameter characteristics of an industrial short message gateway in a first time period, and obtaining the first For the capacity prediction sequence in the second time period, each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence is compared with the preset load threshold value, and when it is determined that there is a capacity value exceeding the load threshold value, a capacity expansion reminder message is sent out, and the future time period is reached. The purpose of industry SMS gateway capacity prediction is to provide a reference for subsequent capacity expansion.

图3示出了本发明一实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法,包括:3 shows a method for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway provided by an embodiment of the present invention, including:

S31、获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征;S31. Obtain historical operating parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in the first time period;

S32、根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列;S32, obtaining the capacity prediction sequence in the second time period according to the historical operating parameter characteristics and the preset prediction neural network model;

S33、将所述容量预测序列中的各个容量值分别与预设的负荷阈值进行比较,当确定存在容量值超过负荷阈值,则发出扩容提醒信息;S33. Compare each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence with a preset load threshold value, and when it is determined that there is a capacity value exceeding the load threshold value, issue a capacity expansion reminder;

S34、获取所述容量预测序列中的最大容量值,根据所述最大容量值与预设的扩容公式获得行业短信网关的扩容容量值。S34. Obtain the maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence, and obtain the capacity expansion value of the industry short message gateway according to the maximum capacity value and a preset capacity expansion formula.

针对上述步骤S31-步骤S33,需要说明的是,这些步骤与上述实施例所述步骤S21-步骤23在原理上相同,在此不再赘述。Regarding the above steps S31 to S33, it should be noted that these steps are the same in principle as the steps S21 to S23 described in the above embodiment, and are not repeated here.

针对步骤S34,需要说明的是,在本发明实施例中,获取所述容量预测序列中的最大容量值,根据所述最大容量值与预设的扩容公式获得行业短信网关的扩容容量值。For step S34, it should be noted that, in the embodiment of the present invention, the maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence is obtained, and the capacity expansion value of the industry short message gateway is obtained according to the maximum capacity value and the preset capacity expansion formula.

在本发明实施例中,所述扩容公式包括:In the embodiment of the present invention, the expansion formula includes:

R=Max×k-Z,其中,R为扩容容量值,Max为所述容量预测序列中的最大容量值,k是预设系数,Z是扩容前行业短信网关总容量。R=Max×k-Z, where R is the capacity expansion value, Max is the maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence, k is a preset coefficient, and Z is the total capacity of the industry short message gateway before capacity expansion.

但不局限于上述公式。But not limited to the above formula.

本发明实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理方法,通过获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征,根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列,将所述容量预测序列中的各个容量值分别与预设的负荷阈值进行比较,当确定存在容量值超过负荷阈值,则发出扩容提醒信息,获取所述容量预测序列中的最大容量值,根据所述最大容量值与预设的扩容公式获得行业短信网关的扩容容量值,达到为未来时间段行业短信网关容量预测的目的,为后续扩容容量提供参考。An embodiment of the present invention provides a method for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway, by acquiring historical operating parameter characteristics of an industrial short message gateway in a first time period, and obtaining the first For the capacity prediction sequence in two time periods, each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence is compared with the preset load threshold, and when it is determined that there is a capacity value exceeding the load threshold, a capacity expansion reminder message is sent to obtain the capacity prediction For the maximum capacity value in the sequence, the capacity expansion value of the industry short message gateway is obtained according to the maximum capacity value and the preset capacity expansion formula, so as to achieve the purpose of predicting the capacity of the industry short message gateway in the future time period and provide a reference for the subsequent capacity expansion.

图4示出了本发明一实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理装置,包括获取模块41和预测模块42,其中:4 shows an apparatus for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway provided by an embodiment of the present invention, including an acquisition module 41 and a prediction module 42, wherein:

获取模块41,用于获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征;The acquisition module 41 is used to acquire the historical operation parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in the first time period;

预测模块42,用于根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列。The prediction module 42 is configured to obtain the capacity prediction sequence in the second time period according to the historical operating parameter characteristics and the preset prediction neural network model.

由于本发明实施例所述装置与上述实施例所述方法的原理相同,对于更加详细的解释内容在此不再赘述。Since the principle of the apparatus described in the embodiment of the present invention is the same as that of the method described in the foregoing embodiment, more detailed explanations are not repeated here.

需要说明的是,本发明实施例中可以通过硬件处理器(hardware processor)来实现相关功能模块。It should be noted that, in the embodiments of the present invention, relevant functional modules may be implemented by a hardware processor (hardware processor).

本发明实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理装置,通过获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征,根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列,达到为未来时间段行业短信网关容量预测的目的,为后续扩容容量提供参考。The embodiment of the present invention provides an apparatus for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway. By acquiring the historical operation parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in a first time period, the first time period is obtained according to the historical operation parameter characteristics and a preset prediction neural network model. The capacity prediction sequence in the second time period achieves the purpose of predicting the capacity of the industry SMS gateway in the future time period, and provides a reference for subsequent capacity expansion.

图5示出了本发明一实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理装置,包括获取模块51、预测模块52和提醒模块53,其中:5 shows an apparatus for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway provided by an embodiment of the present invention, including an acquisition module 51, a prediction module 52, and a reminder module 53, wherein:

获取模块51,用于获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征;Obtaining module 51 is used to obtain the historical operation parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in the first time period;

预测模块52,用于根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列;A prediction module 52, configured to obtain a capacity prediction sequence in the second time period according to the historical operating parameter characteristics and a preset prediction neural network model;

提醒模块53,用于将所述容量预测序列中的各个容量值分别与预设的负荷阈值进行比较,当确定存在容量值超过负荷阈值,则发出扩容提醒信息。The reminding module 53 is configured to compare each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence with a preset load threshold value, and when it is determined that there is a capacity value exceeding the load threshold value, a capacity expansion reminding message is issued.

由于本发明实施例所述装置与上述实施例所述方法的原理相同,对于更加详细的解释内容在此不再赘述。Since the principle of the apparatus described in the embodiment of the present invention is the same as that of the method described in the foregoing embodiment, more detailed explanations are not repeated here.

需要说明的是,本发明实施例中可以通过硬件处理器(hardware processor)来实现相关功能模块。It should be noted that, in the embodiments of the present invention, relevant functional modules may be implemented by a hardware processor (hardware processor).

本发明实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理装置,通过获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征,根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列,将所述容量预测序列中的各个容量值分别与预设的负荷阈值进行比较,当确定存在容量值超过负荷阈值,则发出扩容提醒信息,达到为未来时间段行业短信网关容量预测的目的,为后续扩容容量提供参考。The embodiment of the present invention provides an apparatus for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway. By acquiring the historical operation parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in a first time period, the first time period is obtained according to the historical operation parameter characteristics and a preset prediction neural network model. For the capacity prediction sequence in the second time period, each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence is compared with the preset load threshold value, and when it is determined that there is a capacity value exceeding the load threshold value, a capacity expansion reminder message is sent out, and the future time period is reached. The purpose of industry SMS gateway capacity prediction is to provide a reference for subsequent capacity expansion.

图6示出了本发明一实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理装置,包括获取模块61、预测模块62、提醒模块63和扩容模块 64,其中:Fig. 6 shows a kind of industry short message gateway capacity prediction processing device provided by an embodiment of the present invention, including acquisition module 61, prediction module 62, reminder module 63 and capacity expansion module 64, wherein:

获取模块61,用于获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征;an acquisition module 61, configured to acquire the historical operation parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in the first time period;

预测模块62,用于根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列;A prediction module 62, configured to obtain a capacity prediction sequence in the second time period according to the historical operating parameter characteristics and a preset prediction neural network model;

提醒模块63,用于将所述容量预测序列中的各个容量值分别与预设的负荷阈值进行比较,当确定存在容量值超过负荷阈值,则发出扩容提醒信息;Reminder module 63, configured to compare each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence with a preset load threshold value, and when it is determined that there is a capacity value exceeding the load threshold value, a capacity expansion reminder message is issued;

扩容模块64,获取所述容量预测序列中的最大容量值,根据所述最大容量值与预设的扩容公式获得行业短信网关的扩容容量值。The capacity expansion module 64 obtains the maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence, and obtains the capacity expansion value of the industry short message gateway according to the maximum capacity value and a preset capacity expansion formula.

由于本发明实施例所述装置与上述实施例所述方法的原理相同,对于更加详细的解释内容在此不再赘述。Since the principle of the apparatus described in the embodiment of the present invention is the same as that of the method described in the foregoing embodiment, more detailed explanations are not repeated here.

需要说明的是,本发明实施例中可以通过硬件处理器(hardware processor)来实现相关功能模块。It should be noted that, in the embodiments of the present invention, relevant functional modules may be implemented by a hardware processor (hardware processor).

本发明实施例提供的一种行业短信网关容量的预测处理装置,通过获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征,根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列,将所述容量预测序列中的各个容量值分别与预设的负荷阈值进行比较,当确定存在容量值超过负荷阈值,则发出扩容提醒信息,获取所述容量预测序列中的最大容量值,根据所述最大容量值与预设的扩容公式获得行业短信网关的扩容容量值,达到为未来时间段行业短信网关容量预测的目的,为后续扩容容量提供参考。The embodiment of the present invention provides an apparatus for predicting the capacity of an industry short message gateway. By acquiring the historical operation parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in a first time period, the first time period is obtained according to the historical operation parameter characteristics and a preset prediction neural network model. For the capacity prediction sequence in two time periods, each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence is compared with the preset load threshold, and when it is determined that there is a capacity value exceeding the load threshold, a capacity expansion reminder message is sent to obtain the capacity prediction For the maximum capacity value in the sequence, the capacity expansion value of the industry short message gateway is obtained according to the maximum capacity value and the preset capacity expansion formula, so as to achieve the purpose of predicting the capacity of the industry short message gateway in the future time period and provide a reference for the subsequent capacity expansion.

图7示出了本发明实施例提供一种电子设备,包括:处理器71、存储器72、总线73及存储在存储器上并可在处理器上运行的计算机程序;7 shows an electronic device provided by an embodiment of the present invention, including: a processor 71, a memory 72, a bus 73, and a computer program stored in the memory and running on the processor;

其中,所述处理器,存储器通过所述总线完成相互间的通信;Wherein, the processor and the memory communicate with each other through the bus;

所述处理器执行所述计算机程序时实现如上述的方法,例如包括:获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征,根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列。When the processor executes the computer program, the above-mentioned method is implemented, for example, including: acquiring the historical operating parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in the first time period, and obtaining the historical operating parameter characteristics and the preset prediction neural network model according to the historical operating parameter characteristics and the preset prediction neural network model. A sequence of capacity forecasts for the second time period.

本发明实施例提供一种非暂态计算机可读存储介质,所述非暂态计算机可读存储介质上存储有计算机程序,该计算机程序被处理器执行时实现如上述的方法,例如包括:获取第一时间段内行业短信网关的历史运行参数特征,根据所述历史运行参数特征和预设的预测神经网络模型获得第二时间段内的容量预测序列。An embodiment of the present invention provides a non-transitory computer-readable storage medium, where a computer program is stored on the non-transitory computer-readable storage medium. When the computer program is executed by a processor, the above method is implemented, for example, including: obtaining The historical operation parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in the first time period, and the capacity prediction sequence in the second time period is obtained according to the historical operation parameter characteristics and the preset prediction neural network model.

此外,本领域的技术人员能够理解,尽管在此所述的一些实施例包括其它实施例中所包括的某些特征而不是其它特征,但是不同实施例的特征的组合意味着处于本发明的范围之内并且形成不同的实施例。例如,在下面的权利要求书中,所要求保护的实施例的任意之一都可以以任意的组合方式来使用。Furthermore, those skilled in the art will appreciate that although some of the embodiments described herein include certain features, but not others, included in other embodiments, that combinations of features of different embodiments are intended to be within the scope of the invention within and form different embodiments. For example, in the following claims, any of the claimed embodiments may be used in any combination.

应该注意的是上述实施例对本发明进行说明而不是对本发明进行限制,并且本领域技术人员在不脱离所附权利要求的范围的情况下可设计出替换实施例。在权利要求中,不应将位于括号之间的任何参考符号构造成对权利要求的限制。单词“包含”不排除存在未列在权利要求中的元件或步骤。位于元件之前的单词“一”或“一个”不排除存在多个这样的元件。本发明可以借助于包括有若干不同元件的硬件以及借助于适当编程的计算机来实现。在列举了若干装置的单元权利要求中,这些装置中的若干个可以是通过同一个硬件项来具体体现。单词第一、第二、以及第三等的使用不表示任何顺序。可将这些单词解释为名称。It should be noted that the above-described embodiments illustrate rather than limit the invention, and that alternative embodiments may be devised by those skilled in the art without departing from the scope of the appended claims. In the claims, any reference signs placed between parentheses shall not be construed as limiting the claim. The word "comprising" does not exclude the presence of elements or steps not listed in a claim. The word "a" or "an" preceding an element does not exclude the presence of a plurality of such elements. The invention can be implemented by means of hardware comprising several different elements and by means of a suitably programmed computer. In a unit claim enumerating several means, several of these means may be embodied by one and the same item of hardware. The use of the words first, second, and third, etc. do not denote any order. These words can be interpreted as names.

本领域普通技术人员可以理解:以上各实施例仅用以说明本发明的技术方案,而非对其限制;尽管参照前述各实施例对本发明进行了详细的说明,本领域的普通技术人员应当理解:其依然可以对前述各实施例所记载的技术方案进行修改,或者对其中部分或者全部技术特征进行等同替换;而这些修改或者替换,并不使相应技术方案的本质脱离本发明权利要求所限定的范围。Those of ordinary skill in the art can understand that: the above embodiments are only used to illustrate the technical solutions of the present invention, but not to limit them; although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the foregoing embodiments, those of ordinary skill in the art should understand that : It is still possible to modify the technical solutions recorded in the foregoing embodiments, or to perform equivalent replacements on some or all of the technical features; and these modifications or replacements do not make the essence of the corresponding technical solutions deviate from the claims of the present invention. range.

Claims (10)

1. A prediction processing method for industry short message gateway capacity is characterized by comprising the following steps:
acquiring historical operating parameter characteristics of an industry short message gateway in a first time period;
and obtaining a capacity prediction sequence in a second time period according to the historical operating parameter characteristics and a preset prediction neural network model.
2. The method of claim 1, further comprising:
comparing each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence with a preset load threshold value respectively;
and when the existence capacity value is determined to exceed the load threshold value, sending out capacity expansion reminding information.
3. The method of claim 2, further comprising:
acquiring a maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence;
and obtaining the capacity expansion capacity value of the industry short message gateway according to the maximum capacity value and a preset capacity expansion formula.
4. The method of claim 3, wherein the expansion formula comprises:
and R is Max multiplied by k-Z, wherein R is the capacity expansion capacity value, Max is the maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence, k is a preset coefficient, and Z is the total capacity of the industry short message gateway before capacity expansion.
5. The utility model provides a prediction processing apparatus of trade SMS gateway capacity which characterized in that includes:
the acquisition module is used for acquiring the historical operating parameter characteristics of the industry short message gateway in a first time period;
and the prediction module is used for obtaining a capacity prediction sequence in a second time period according to the historical operating parameter characteristics and a preset prediction neural network model.
6. The apparatus of claim 5, further comprising a reminder module to: and comparing each capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence with a preset load threshold value respectively, and sending capacity expansion reminding information when determining that the capacity value exceeds the load threshold value.
7. The apparatus of claim 6, further comprising a capacity expansion module configured to: and acquiring a maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence, and acquiring an expansion capacity value of the industry short message gateway according to the maximum capacity value and a preset expansion formula.
8. The apparatus of claim 7, wherein the expansion formula comprises:
and R is Max multiplied by k-Z, wherein R is the capacity expansion capacity value, Max is the maximum capacity value in the capacity prediction sequence, k is a preset coefficient, and Z is the total capacity of the industry short message gateway before capacity expansion.
9. An electronic device, comprising: a processor, a memory, a bus, and a computer program stored on the memory and executable on the processor;
the processor and the memory complete mutual communication through the bus;
the processor, when executing the computer program, implements the method of any of claims 1-4.
10. A non-transitory computer-readable storage medium, having stored thereon a computer program which, when executed by a processor, implements the method of any one of claims 1-4.
CN201810820109.8A 2018-07-24 2018-07-24 Prediction processing method and device for industry short message gateway capacity Pending CN110753366A (en)

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