CN110442883A - The determination method and device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor - Google Patents

The determination method and device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor Download PDF

Info

Publication number
CN110442883A
CN110442883A CN201810410435.1A CN201810410435A CN110442883A CN 110442883 A CN110442883 A CN 110442883A CN 201810410435 A CN201810410435 A CN 201810410435A CN 110442883 A CN110442883 A CN 110442883A
Authority
CN
China
Prior art keywords
factor
default
sub
rate
change rate
Prior art date
Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
Granted
Application number
CN201810410435.1A
Other languages
Chinese (zh)
Other versions
CN110442883B (en
Inventor
徐婧源
胡剑
郑晓春
别沁
王峰
毛彦恒
Current Assignee (The listed assignees may be inaccurate. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the list.)
China Petroleum and Natural Gas Co Ltd
Original Assignee
China Petroleum and Natural Gas Co Ltd
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by China Petroleum and Natural Gas Co Ltd filed Critical China Petroleum and Natural Gas Co Ltd
Priority to CN201810410435.1A priority Critical patent/CN110442883B/en
Publication of CN110442883A publication Critical patent/CN110442883A/en
Application granted granted Critical
Publication of CN110442883B publication Critical patent/CN110442883B/en
Active legal-status Critical Current
Anticipated expiration legal-status Critical

Links

Landscapes

  • Management, Administration, Business Operations System, And Electronic Commerce (AREA)

Abstract

The present invention provides a kind of determination method and devices of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor, this method comprises: obtaining the operating value of the changing value and each sub- factor of the corresponding pipe network a reference value of multiple default factors, multiple sub- factors that each default factor includes under multiple operating conditions respectively;Operating value of the changing value and each sub- factor for the multiple sub- factors for including according to the corresponding pipe network a reference value of each default factor, each default factor under multiple operating conditions, is calculated the changing sensitivity of each default factor;According to the changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor, the influence degree of the multiple default factor is determined.The present invention can quantitatively determine the influence degree of pipe network operation factor.

Description

The determination method and device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor
Technical field
The present invention relates to oil-gas transportation technical field, in particular to a kind of determination method of pipe network operation factor influence degree And device.
Background technique
The operation of pipe network is affected by various factors, and determines size the setting for pipe network of the influence degree of each factor Meter and operation have important directive significance.Certain research has been carried out for the influence of pipe network operation factor both at home and abroad at present.
The relevant technologies are when studying the influence of pipe network operation factor, by collecting data and being analyzed to obtain pipe network load Entire change rule.
In the implementation of the present invention, the inventors discovered that in the prior art the prior art has at least the following problems:
The relevant technologies can only qualitative evaluation pipe network operation factor influence degree, there is presently no to pipe network operation factor The method of influence degree progress quantitative study.
Summary of the invention
In view of this, the present invention provides a kind of determination method and device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor, can quantify Determine the influence degree of multiple operation factors of pipe network.
Specifically, including technical solution below:
In a first aspect, the present invention provides a kind of determination methods of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor, comprising:
The change of the corresponding pipe network a reference value of multiple default factors, multiple sub- factors that each default factor includes is obtained respectively The operating value of change value and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions;
According to the variation for multiple sub- factors that the corresponding pipe network a reference value of each default factor, each default factor include The operating value of value and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions, is calculated the changing sensitivity of each default factor;
According to the changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor, the influence degree of the multiple default factor is determined.
Selectively, it is multiple that the basis each presets the corresponding pipe network a reference value of factor, each default factor includes The operating value of the changing value of sub- factor and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions, is calculated the variation of each default factor Sensitivity, comprising:
According to the variation for multiple sub- factors that the corresponding pipe network a reference value of each default factor, each default factor include The operating value of value and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions calculates change rate and the variation of synthetic load rate of each sub- factor Rate;
According to the change rate for multiple sub- factors that each default factor includes, the weighted average for calculating each default factor becomes Rate;
According to the synthetic load rate change rate for multiple sub- factors that each default factor includes, each default factor is calculated Synthetic load rate is weighted and averaged change rate;
It is weighted and averaged change rate according to the weighted average change rate of each default factor and synthetic load rate, is calculated each pre- If the changing sensitivity of factor.
Selectively, the calculation formula of the change rate for the sub- factor that each default factor includes are as follows:
The calculation formula of the synthetic load rate change rate for the sub- factor that each default factor includes are as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChange rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChanging value;
--- default factor MlCorresponding pipe network a reference value;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate change rate;
--- factor M is preset under multiple operating conditionslIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate maximum value;
--- factor M is preset under multiple operating conditionslIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate minimum value.
Selectively, the calculation formula of the weighted average change rate of factor is each preset are as follows:
The calculation formula of the synthetic load rate weighted average change rate of each default factor are as follows:
The calculation formula of the changing sensitivity of each default factor are as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlWeighted average change rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChange rate;
--- default factor MlSynthetic load rate be weighted and averaged change rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate change rate;
--- default factor MlChanging sensitivity;
P --- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor quantity.
Selectively, the calculating process of the synthetic load rate change rate for the sub- factor that each default factor includes is as follows:
The sub- factor that the multiple yards or pipeline for obtaining pipe network respectively include in each default factor is corresponding multiple default The actual value and design value of multiple factors of evaluation under operating condition;
According to every sub- factor under the default operating condition actual value of each yard or each factor of evaluation of pipeline and Design value, the operation for calculating every sub- factor each yard and each factor of evaluation of pipeline under each default operating condition are negative Lotus rate;
According to every sub- factor under each default operating condition the multiple yard or the same factor of evaluation of pipeline Operating load rate calculates the rate of load condensate of every sub- factor each factor of evaluation under each default operating condition;
According to the rate of load condensate of every sub- factor same factor of evaluation of multiple yards under each default operating condition, calculate it is sub- because Synthetic load rate of the element under each default operating condition;
According to the every synthetic load rate of sub- factor under multiple default operating conditions, the synthetic load rate of every sub- factor is calculated Change rate.
Selectively, the changing sensitivity according to the multiple default factor, determines the multiple default factor Influence degree, comprising:
The changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor is normalized, returning for the multiple default factor is obtained One changes changing sensitivity;
According to the normalization changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor, the influence journey of the multiple default factor is determined Degree.
The second aspect of the present invention provides a kind of determining device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor, comprising:
Module is obtained, the corresponding pipe network a reference value of multiple default factors, each default factor includes for obtaining respectively The operating value of the changing value of multiple sub- factors and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions;
Computing module, for according to each default corresponding pipe network a reference value of factor, each default factor include it is multiple The operating value of the changing value of sub- factor and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions, is calculated the variation of each default factor Sensitivity;
Determining module determines the multiple default factor for the changing sensitivity according to the multiple default factor Influence degree.
Selectively, the computing module includes:
First computing unit, for including according to each default corresponding pipe network a reference value of factor, each default factor The operating value of the changing value of multiple sub- factors and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions calculate each sub- factor change rate and Synthetic load rate change rate;
Second computing unit, the change rate of multiple sub- factors for including according to each default factor, calculates each pre- If the weighted average change rate of factor;
Third computing unit, the synthetic load rate change rate of multiple sub- factors for including according to each default factor, The synthetic load rate for calculating each default factor is weighted and averaged change rate;
4th computing unit, for the weighted average change rate and synthetic load rate weighted average according to each default factor Change rate calculates the changing sensitivity of each default factor.
Selectively, the calculation formula of the change rate for the sub- factor that each default factor includes are as follows:
The calculation formula of the synthetic load rate change rate for the sub- factor that each default factor includes are as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChange rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChanging value;
--- default factor MlCorresponding pipe network a reference value;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate change rate;
--- factor M is preset under multiple operating conditionslIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate maximum value;
--- factor M is preset under multiple operating conditionslIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate minimum value.
Selectively, the calculation formula of second computing unit are as follows:
The calculation formula that the third computing unit uses are as follows:
The calculation formula that 4th computing unit uses are as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlWeighted average change rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChange rate;
--- default factor MlSynthetic load rate be weighted and averaged change rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate change rate;
--- default factor MlChanging sensitivity;
P --- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor quantity.
Selectively, first computing unit calculates the synthetic load rate variation for the sub- factor that each default factor includes The process of rate is as follows:
The sub- factor that the multiple yards or pipeline for obtaining pipe network respectively include in each default factor is corresponding multiple default The actual value and design value of multiple factors of evaluation under operating condition;
According to every sub- factor under the default operating condition actual value of each yard or each factor of evaluation of pipeline and Design value, the operation for calculating every sub- factor each yard and each factor of evaluation of pipeline under each default operating condition are negative Lotus rate;
According to every sub- factor under each default operating condition the multiple yard or the same factor of evaluation of pipeline Operating load rate calculates the rate of load condensate of every sub- factor each factor of evaluation under each default operating condition;
According to the rate of load condensate of every sub- factor same factor of evaluation of multiple yards under each default operating condition, calculate it is sub- because Synthetic load rate of the element under each default operating condition;
According to the every synthetic load rate of sub- factor under multiple default operating conditions, the synthetic load rate of every sub- factor is calculated Change rate.
Selectively, the determining module is specifically used for:
The changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor is normalized, returning for the multiple default factor is obtained One changes changing sensitivity;
According to the normalization changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor, the influence journey of the multiple default factor is determined Degree.
Technical solution provided in an embodiment of the present invention the utility model has the advantages that
The determination method and device of the influence degree of operation factor provided in an embodiment of the present invention, according to multiple default factors The changing value for multiple sub- factors that corresponding pipe network a reference value, each default factor include and each sub- factor are in multiple works The changing sensitivity of each default factor can be calculated in operating value under condition, so as to according to the variation of each default factor Sensitivity determines each default factor to the influence degree of pipe network operation.It is found that operation factor provided in an embodiment of the present invention The determination method of influence degree can quantitatively evaluate each default factor to the size of pipe network influence degree, relative to existing skill Qualitative evaluation in art, accuracy is higher, and can carry out pipe network according to size of multiple default factors to pipe network influence degree Daily operation management and planning operation scheduling scheme.
Detailed description of the invention
To describe the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention more clearly, make required in being described below to embodiment Attached drawing is briefly described, it should be apparent that, drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the invention, for For those of ordinary skill in the art, without creative efforts, it can also be obtained according to these attached drawings other Attached drawing.
Fig. 1 is a kind of flow chart of the determination method of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor in the embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 2 is the flow chart that the changing sensitivity of each default factor is calculated in the embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 3 is a kind of block diagram of the determining device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor in the embodiment of the present invention.
Specific embodiment
To keep technical solution of the present invention and advantage clearer, below in conjunction with attached drawing to embodiment of the present invention make into One step it is described in detail.
The embodiment of the invention provides a kind of determination methods of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor, as shown in Figure 1, including Step 101- step 104.Each step will be specifically introduced below.
In a step 101, the corresponding pipe network a reference value of multiple default factors is obtained respectively, that each default factor includes is more The operating value of the changing value of a sub- factor and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions.
In this step, multiple default factors may include that gas source amount, bleed pressure, big industrial user deactivate reduction and use gas Amount, area, which are stopped the supple of gas or steam, uses gas variable quantity caused by reduced gas consumption, the increased gas consumption of market development and city gas peak shaving.It is right Reduced gas consumption, regional stop the supple of gas or steam reduced gas consumption, the increased gas consumption of market development are deactivated in gas source amount, big industrial user With this five default factors of gas variable quantity are used caused by city gas peak shaving, pipe network operation value refers to pipe network operation tolerance, For bleed pressure, pipe network operation value refers to pipe network running pressure value.The variation for the sub- factor that each default factor includes Value refers to the maximum difference of the operating value of corresponding sub- factor under multiple operating conditions.
Multiple sub- factors that gas source amount includes can be different gas source, such as may include six different gas sources of A-F. By taking A gas source as an example, under different operating conditions the operating value of A gas source be respectively 3,000,000 sides/day, 3,500,000 sides/day, 4,000,000 sides/day, 4500000 sides/day, 5,000,000 sides/day, 5,500,000 sides/day and 6,000,000 sides/day and 6,500,000 sides/day.Its changing value refers to multiple The difference of the maximum operating value of A gas source and the smallest operating value under different operating conditions is 3,500,000 sides/day.
Multiple sub- factors that bleed pressure includes can be the bleed pressure of different yards, such as may include 1-5 a not With the bleed pressure of yard.By taking the bleed pressure of 2 yards as an example, changing value can be 1MPa, 2 yards under different operating conditions Bleed pressure be respectively 5.0MPa, 5.2MPa, 5.4MPa, 5.6MPa, 5.8MPa and 6.0MPa.
Big industrial user, which deactivates multiple sub- factors that reduced gas consumption includes, can be multiple deactivated big industrial users, It such as may include gas consumption five users of biggish A, B, C, D and E.
Area multiple sub- factors that reduced gas consumption includes of stopping the supple of gas or steam can be multiple deactivated areas, such as may include A, five cities b, c, d and e.
It is increased that multiple sub- factors that the increased gas consumption of market development includes can be gas consumption caused by market development Multiple cities.
It with gas variable quantity include that multiple sub- factors can be the dynamic multiple combustion gas of daily wave caused by city gas peak shaving Company.
In a step 102, the multiple sons for including according to the corresponding pipe network a reference value of each default factor, each default factor The variation spirit of each default factor is calculated in the operating value of the changing value of factor and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions Sensitivity.
As shown in Fig. 2, the step can be obtained by sub-step 201- sub-step 204, each sub-step is carried out below specific Explanation.
In sub-step 201, according to the corresponding pipe network a reference value of each default factor, each default factor include it is multiple The operating value of the changing value of sub- factor and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions calculates the change rate and synthesis of each sub- factor Rate of load condensate change rate.
In the sub-step, the calculation formula of the change rate of every sub- factor is as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChange rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChanging value;
--- default factor MlCorresponding pipe network a reference value.
The calculation formula of the synthetic load rate change rate for the sub- factor that each default factor includes are as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate change rate;
--- factor M is preset under multiple operating conditionslIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate maximum value;
--- factor M is preset under multiple operating conditionslIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate minimum value.
Wherein, the calculating process of the synthetic load rate of every sub- factor is as described below:
Firstly, the sub- factor that each yard or pipeline that acquisition pipe network includes include in each default factor is corresponding multiple The actual value and design value of multiple factors of evaluation under default operating condition.
Wherein, multiple factors of evaluation that every sub- factor includes can be yard pressure, yard treating capacity, pipeline displacement And pipeline storage capacity.The actual value of each factor of evaluation is the value measured, and design value is in pipe design according to pipe network The values obtained by calculation such as scale, the expected index reached.
Secondly, according to the actual value and design value of each yard or multiple factors of evaluation of pipeline under each default operating condition, Calculate the operating load rate of each factor of evaluation of each yard under each default operating condition.
Wherein, the operating load rate of each yard or each factor of evaluation of pipeline can be by following under each default operating condition Formula is calculated:
In formula,
αi,X,j--- the factor of evaluation X of i-th of yard or pipeline under j-th of default operating conditionkOperating load rate;
XK practical i, j--- the factor of evaluation X of i-th of yard or pipeline under j-th of default operating conditionkActual value;
XK designs i, j--- the factor of evaluation X of i-th of yard or pipeline under j-th of default operating conditionkDesign value.
According to the actual pressure and design pressure of yard, pressure load rate is calculated;According to the actual treatment amount of yard With design treatment amount, treating capacity rate of load condensate is calculated;According to the actual output of gas of pipeline and design displacement, it is calculated defeated Tolerance rate of load condensate;According to the practical gas-storing capacity of pipeline and design gas-storing capacity, gas-storing capacity rate of load condensate is calculated.
Again, according to the operation of every sub- factor multiple yards or the same factor of evaluation of pipeline under each default operating condition Rate of load condensate calculates the rate of load condensate of every sub- factor each factor of evaluation under each default operating condition.
The rate of load condensate of each factor of evaluation of every sub- factor can be used following calculation formula and calculate under each default operating condition It obtains:
In formula,
--- factor of evaluation X under j-th of default operating conditionkRate of load condensate;
--- the factor of evaluation X of i-th of yard or pipeline under j-th of default operating conditionkOperating load rate;
N --- yard or the quantity of pipeline in pipe network.
Later, according to the rate of load condensate of each factor of evaluation of sub- factor every under each default operating condition, calculate every height because The synthetic load rate of element pipe network under each default operating condition.
Following calculation formula can be used to be calculated:
In formula,
Kj--- the synthetic load rate of sub- factor under j-th of default operating condition;
--- the factor of evaluation X of sub- factor under j-th of default operating conditionkRate of load condensate;
N --- the quantity of the factor of evaluation of sub- factor;
wX--- the factor of evaluation X of sub- factorkOperating load rate weight coefficient.
For presetting factor MlSub- factor Mln, it is comprehensive under different operating conditions that it can be calculated by above-mentioned calculating process Close rate of load condensateIn sub-step 202, according to the change rate for multiple sub- factors that each default factor includes, calculate each The weighted average change rate of default factor.
Wherein, the calculation formula of the weighted average change rate of every sub- factor is as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlWeighted average change rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChange rate;
P --- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor quantity.
In sub-step 203, according to the synthetic load rate change rate for multiple sub- factors that each default factor includes, calculate The synthetic load rate of each default factor is weighted and averaged change rate.
Wherein, each the calculation formula of the synthetic load rate weighted average change rate of default factor is as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlSynthetic load rate be weighted and averaged change rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate change rate;
P --- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor quantity.
In sub-step 204, become according to the weighted average change rate of each default factor and synthetic load rate weighted average Rate calculates the changing sensitivity of each default factor.
Wherein, each the calculation formula of the changing sensitivity of default factor is as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlChanging sensitivity;
--- default factor MlWeighted average change rate;
--- default factor MlSynthetic load rate be weighted and averaged change rate.
In step 103, according to the changing sensitivity of multiple default factors, the influence degree of multiple default factors is determined.
In this step, first the changing sensitivity of multiple default factors can be normalized, is obtained the multiple The normalization changing sensitivity of default factor;According to the normalization changing sensitivity of multiple default factors, determine it is multiple it is default because The influence degree of element.Specifically, the normalization changing sensitivity for presetting factor is bigger, presets influence of the factor to the operation of pipe network Degree is bigger.
The determination method of the influence degree of operation factor provided in an embodiment of the present invention, it is corresponding according to multiple default factors The changing value for multiple sub- factors that pipe network a reference value, each default factor include and each sub- factor are under multiple operating conditions The changing sensitivity of each default factor can be calculated in operating value, and the changing sensitivity of factor is each preset so as to basis, Determine each default factor to the influence degree of pipe network operation.It is found that the influence journey of operation factor provided in an embodiment of the present invention The determination method of degree, can quantitatively evaluate each default factor to the size of pipe network influence degree, compared with the existing technology in Qualitative evaluation, accuracy are higher.
The present invention also provides the concrete application embodiments of the determination method of the influence degree of above-mentioned pipe network operation factor. When implementing, choose six default factors, respectively gas source amount, bleed pressure, big industrial user deactivate reduced gas consumption, Area, which stops the supple of gas or steam, uses gas variable quantity caused by reduced gas consumption, the increased gas consumption of market development and city gas peak shaving.It is right respectively Five kinds of operating conditions are arranged in each default factor.Wherein, every sub- factor includes four factors of evaluation, respectively yard pressure, yard Treating capacity, pipeline displacement and pipeline storage capacity.When calculating the synthetic load rate for the sub- factor that default factor includes, yard pressure Power rate of load condensate, yard treating capacity rate of load condensate, pipeline displacement rate of load condensate and pipeline storage capacity rate of load condensate take 25% respectively.
When carrying out the weighted average change rate of gas source amount, six sub- factor A-F gas sources that gas source amount includes are calculated first The change rate of element is respectively 0.07,0.06,0.16,0.05,0.04 and 0.04, is put down so as to which the weighting of gas source amount is calculated Equal change rate is 0.0927;Secondly the synthetic load rate change rate for six sub- factor A-F gas source elements that gas source amount includes is calculated Respectively 0.051,0.016,0.064,0.044,0.021 and 0.022 add so as to which the synthetic load rate of gas source amount is calculated Weight average change rate is 0.045.Finally, according to the synthetic load rate change rate of gas source amount and the weighted average variation of synthetic load rate Rate, the changing sensitivity that gas source amount is calculated is 2.1.
Later, the changing sensitivity that other five default factors are calculated is respectively 6.5,0.8,2.9,2.5 and 3.8.
The changing sensitivity of six default factors is normalized, the normalization variation for obtaining six default factors is sensitive Degree is respectively gas source amount 0.11, bleed pressure 0.36, the deactivated reduced gas consumption 0.04 of big industrial user, regional reduction of stopping the supple of gas or steam Gas variable quantity 0.12 is used caused by gas consumption 0.16, the increased gas consumption 0.21 of market development and city gas peak shaving.Therefore, may be used With determination, bleed pressure is up to 36% to pipe network operation influence degree, and the increased gas consumption of market development and market development increase The influence of the gas consumption added is taken second place, and influence degree is respectively 21% and 16%, caused by city gas peak shaving with gas variable quantity and The influence degree of gas source amount relatively, respectively 12% and 11%, big industrial user deactivates the influence journey of reduced gas consumption Degree is minimum, is 4%.
The embodiment of the invention also provides a kind of determining devices of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor, as shown in figure 3, should Device includes:
Module 301 is obtained, the corresponding pipe network a reference value of multiple default factors, each default factor includes for obtaining respectively Multiple sub- factors operating value under multiple operating conditions of changing value and each sub- factor;
Computing module 302, for according to each default corresponding pipe network a reference value of factor, each default factor include it is more The operating value of the changing value of a sub- factor and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions, is calculated the change of each default factor Change sensitivity;
Determining module 303 determines the multiple default factor for the changing sensitivity according to the multiple default factor Influence degree.
Selectively, the computing module 301 includes:
First computing unit, for including according to each default corresponding pipe network a reference value of factor, each default factor The operating value of the changing value of multiple sub- factors and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions calculate each sub- factor change rate and Synthetic load rate change rate;
Second computing unit, the change rate of multiple sub- factors for including according to each default factor, calculates each pre- If the weighted average change rate of factor;
Third computing unit, the synthetic load rate change rate of multiple sub- factors for including according to each default factor, The synthetic load rate for calculating each default factor is weighted and averaged change rate;
4th computing unit, for the weighted average change rate and synthetic load rate weighted average according to each default factor Change rate calculates the changing sensitivity of each default factor.
Selectively, the calculation formula of the change rate for the sub- factor that each default factor includes are as follows:
The calculation formula of the synthetic load rate change rate for the sub- factor that each default factor includes are as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChange rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChanging value;
--- default factor MlCorresponding pipe network a reference value;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate change rate;
--- factor M is preset under multiple operating conditionslIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate maximum value;
--- factor M is preset under multiple operating conditionslIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate minimum value.
Selectively, the calculation formula of second computing unit are as follows:
The calculation formula that the third computing unit uses are as follows:
The calculation formula that 4th computing unit uses are as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlWeighted average change rate
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChange rate;
--- default factor MlSynthetic load rate be weighted and averaged change rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate change rate;
--- default factor MlChanging sensitivity;
P --- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor quantity.
Selectively, first computing unit calculates the synthetic load rate variation for the sub- factor that each default factor includes The process of rate is as follows:
The sub- factor that the multiple yards or pipeline for obtaining pipe network respectively include in each default factor is corresponding multiple default The actual value and design value of multiple factors of evaluation under operating condition;
According to every sub- factor under the default operating condition actual value of each yard or each factor of evaluation of pipeline and Design value, the operation for calculating every sub- factor each yard and each factor of evaluation of pipeline under each default operating condition are negative Lotus rate;
According to every sub- factor under each default operating condition the multiple yard or the same factor of evaluation of pipeline Operating load rate calculates the rate of load condensate of every sub- factor each factor of evaluation under each default operating condition;
According to the rate of load condensate of every sub- factor same factor of evaluation of multiple yards under each default operating condition, calculate it is sub- because Synthetic load rate of the element under each default operating condition;
According to the every synthetic load rate of sub- factor under multiple default operating conditions, the synthetic load rate of every sub- factor is calculated Change rate.
Selectively, the determining module 303 is specifically used for:
The changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor is normalized, returning for the multiple default factor is obtained One changes changing sensitivity;
According to the normalization changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor, the influence journey of the multiple default factor is determined Degree.
Since Installation practice is corresponded to each other with embodiment of the method, so energy bring beneficial effect is identical, herein no longer It repeats.
In embodiment provided herein, it should be understood that provided method and apparatus, only schematically , for example, the division of the step and module, only a kind of logical function partition, can there is other draw in actual implementation The mode of dividing.The above method and device can run corresponding software and hardware by computer installation to realize.Term " first ", " second " etc. is used for descriptive purposes only and cannot be understood as indicating or suggesting relative importance or implicitly indicates indicated skill The quantity of art feature.
The above is merely for convenience of it will be understood by those skilled in the art that technical solution of the present invention, not to limit The present invention.All within the spirits and principles of the present invention, any modification, equivalent replacement, improvement and so on should be included in this Within the protection scope of invention.

Claims (12)

1. a kind of determination method of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor characterized by comprising
The variation of the corresponding pipe network a reference value of multiple default factors, multiple sub- factors that each default factor includes is obtained respectively The operating value of value and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions;
The changing value for the multiple sub- factors for including according to the corresponding pipe network a reference value of each default factor, each default factor, with And operating value of each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions, the changing sensitivity of each default factor is calculated;
According to the changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor, the influence degree of the multiple default factor is determined.
2. the determination method of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor according to claim 1, which is characterized in that the basis The changing value and each son for multiple sub- factors that each default corresponding pipe network a reference value of factor, each default factor include The changing sensitivity of each default factor is calculated in operating value of the factor under multiple operating conditions, comprising:
The changing value for the multiple sub- factors for including according to the corresponding pipe network a reference value of each default factor, each default factor, with And operating value of each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions calculates the change rate and synthetic load rate change rate of each sub- factor;
According to the change rate for multiple sub- factors that each default factor includes, the weighted average variation of each default factor is calculated Rate;
According to the synthetic load rate change rate for multiple sub- factors that each default factor includes, the synthesis of each default factor is calculated Rate of load condensate is weighted and averaged change rate;
Be weighted and averaged change rate according to the weighted average change rate of each default factor and synthetic load rate, calculate it is each it is default because The changing sensitivity of element.
3. the determination method of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor according to claim 2, which is characterized in that each default The calculation formula of the change rate for the sub- factor that factor includes are as follows:
The calculation formula of the synthetic load rate change rate for the sub- factor that each default factor includes are as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChange rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChanging value;
--- default factor MlCorresponding pipe network a reference value;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate change rate;
--- factor M is preset under multiple operating conditionslIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate maximum value;
--- factor M is preset under multiple operating conditionslIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate minimum value.
4. the determination method of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor according to claim 2, which is characterized in that each default The calculation formula of the weighted average change rate of factor are as follows:
The calculation formula of the synthetic load rate weighted average change rate of each default factor are as follows:
The calculation formula of the changing sensitivity of each default factor are as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlWeighted average change rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChange rate;
--- default factor MlSynthetic load rate be weighted and averaged change rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate change rate;
--- default factor MlChanging sensitivity;
P --- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor quantity.
5. the determination method of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor according to claim 2, which is characterized in that each default The calculating process of the synthetic load rate change rate for the sub- factor that factor includes is as follows:
The corresponding multiple default operating conditions of sub- factor that multiple yards of acquisition pipe network or pipeline include in each default factor respectively Under multiple factors of evaluation actual value and design value;
According to every sub- factor actual value and design of each yard or each factor of evaluation of pipeline under the default operating condition Value calculates the operating load of every sub- factor each yard and each factor of evaluation of pipeline under each default operating condition Rate;
According to the operation of every sub- factor the multiple yard or same factor of evaluation of pipeline under each default operating condition Rate of load condensate calculates the rate of load condensate of every sub- factor each factor of evaluation under each default operating condition;
According to the rate of load condensate of every sub- factor same factor of evaluation of multiple yards under each default operating condition, calculates sub- factor and exist Synthetic load rate under each default operating condition;
According to the every synthetic load rate of sub- factor under multiple default operating conditions, the synthetic load rate variation of every sub- factor is calculated Rate.
6. the determination method of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor according to claim 1, which is characterized in that the basis The changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor determines the influence degree of the multiple default factor, comprising:
The changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor is normalized, the normalization of the multiple default factor is obtained Changing sensitivity;
According to the normalization changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor, the influence degree of the multiple default factor is determined.
7. a kind of determining device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor characterized by comprising
Module is obtained, for obtaining the corresponding pipe network a reference value of multiple default factors respectively, that each default factor includes is multiple The operating value of the changing value of sub- factor and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions;
Computing module, for according to each default corresponding pipe network a reference value of factor, each default factor include it is multiple it is sub- because Operating value of the changing value and each sub- factor of element under multiple operating conditions, the variation that each default factor is calculated are sensitive Degree;
Determining module determines the influence of the multiple default factor for the changing sensitivity according to the multiple default factor Degree.
8. the determining device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor according to claim 7, which is characterized in that the calculating Module includes:
First computing unit, for according to each default corresponding pipe network a reference value of factor, each default factor include it is multiple The operating value of the changing value of sub- factor and each sub- factor under multiple operating conditions calculates the change rate and synthesis of each sub- factor Rate of load condensate change rate;
Second computing unit, the change rate of multiple sub- factors for including according to each default factor, calculate it is each it is default because The weighted average change rate of element;
Third computing unit, the synthetic load rate change rate of multiple sub- factors for including according to each default factor, calculates The synthetic load rate of each default factor is weighted and averaged change rate;
4th computing unit, for being changed according to the weighted average change rate and synthetic load rate weighted average of each default factor Rate calculates the changing sensitivity of each default factor.
9. the determining device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor according to claim 8, which is characterized in that each default The calculation formula of the change rate for the sub- factor that factor includes are as follows:
The calculation formula of the synthetic load rate change rate for the sub- factor that each default factor includes are as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChange rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChanging value;
--- default factor MlCorresponding pipe network a reference value;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate change rate;
--- factor M is preset under multiple operating conditionslIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate maximum value;
--- factor M is preset under multiple operating conditionslIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate minimum value.
10. the determining device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor according to claim 8, which is characterized in that described The calculation formula of two computing units are as follows:
The calculation formula that the third computing unit uses are as follows:
The calculation formula that 4th computing unit uses are as follows:
In formula,
--- default factor MlWeighted average change rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnChange rate;
--- default factor MlSynthetic load rate be weighted and averaged change rate;
--- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor MlnSynthetic load rate change rate;
--- default factor MlChanging sensitivity;
P --- default factor MlIncluding sub- factor quantity.
11. the determining device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor according to claim 8, which is characterized in that described The process that one computing unit calculates the synthetic load rate change rate for the sub- factor that each default factor includes is as follows:
The corresponding multiple default operating conditions of sub- factor that multiple yards of acquisition pipe network or pipeline include in each default factor respectively Under multiple factors of evaluation actual value and design value;
According to every sub- factor actual value and design of each yard or each factor of evaluation of pipeline under the default operating condition Value calculates the operating load of every sub- factor each yard and each factor of evaluation of pipeline under each default operating condition Rate;
According to the operation of every sub- factor the multiple yard or same factor of evaluation of pipeline under each default operating condition Rate of load condensate calculates the rate of load condensate of every sub- factor each factor of evaluation under each default operating condition;
According to the rate of load condensate of every sub- factor same factor of evaluation of multiple yards under each default operating condition, calculates sub- factor and exist Synthetic load rate under each default operating condition;
According to the every synthetic load rate of sub- factor under multiple default operating conditions, the synthetic load rate variation of every sub- factor is calculated Rate.
12. the determining device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor according to claim 7, which is characterized in that described true Cover half block is specifically used for:
The changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor is normalized, the normalization of the multiple default factor is obtained Changing sensitivity;
According to the normalization changing sensitivity of the multiple default factor, the influence degree of the multiple default factor is determined.
CN201810410435.1A 2018-05-02 2018-05-02 Method and device for determining influence degree of pipe network operation factors Active CN110442883B (en)

Priority Applications (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201810410435.1A CN110442883B (en) 2018-05-02 2018-05-02 Method and device for determining influence degree of pipe network operation factors

Applications Claiming Priority (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201810410435.1A CN110442883B (en) 2018-05-02 2018-05-02 Method and device for determining influence degree of pipe network operation factors

Publications (2)

Publication Number Publication Date
CN110442883A true CN110442883A (en) 2019-11-12
CN110442883B CN110442883B (en) 2022-03-01

Family

ID=68427635

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
CN201810410435.1A Active CN110442883B (en) 2018-05-02 2018-05-02 Method and device for determining influence degree of pipe network operation factors

Country Status (1)

Country Link
CN (1) CN110442883B (en)

Citations (3)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
KR20040060144A (en) * 2002-12-30 2004-07-06 주식회사 수로텍 Decision-making support system for sewer maintenance and control method thereof
CN103413015A (en) * 2013-04-24 2013-11-27 重庆科技学院 Method for building city gas pipe network vulnerability evaluation model
CN107229820A (en) * 2017-05-08 2017-10-03 中国石油天然气股份有限公司 The evaluation method and device of a kind of profile control influence factor

Patent Citations (3)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
KR20040060144A (en) * 2002-12-30 2004-07-06 주식회사 수로텍 Decision-making support system for sewer maintenance and control method thereof
CN103413015A (en) * 2013-04-24 2013-11-27 重庆科技学院 Method for building city gas pipe network vulnerability evaluation model
CN107229820A (en) * 2017-05-08 2017-10-03 中国石油天然气股份有限公司 The evaluation method and device of a kind of profile control influence factor

Non-Patent Citations (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Title
侯经纬: "基于模糊综合层次评价的城市燃气管网风险评估", 《化学工程与装备》 *
胡剑: "浅谈供水管网的管理", 《中国铁道学会环保委员会给水排水专刊》 *

Also Published As

Publication number Publication date
CN110442883B (en) 2022-03-01

Similar Documents

Publication Publication Date Title
CN102486261B (en) Comprehensive evaluation method of gas pipeline scheduling scheme
CN107220394A (en) Method for measuring, verifying and analyzing energy efficiency ratio of main unit of refrigeration air conditioner
CN103486693A (en) Energy-saving control method for central air-conditioning chilled water system
CN104570973A (en) Method and device for enterprise energy management
CN111596621A (en) Intelligent water affair on-line monitoring, control and management system of thermal power plant
CN102213606A (en) Mirror image flow detection method and virtual flowmeter
CN113090959A (en) Wisdom gas monitoring system
Pan et al. Analysis of the variation characteristics of runoff and sediment in the Yellow River within 70 years
Lin et al. Regional integrated energy system long-term planning optimization based on multi-energy complementarity quantification
CN110442883A (en) The determination method and device of the influence degree of pipe network operation factor
CN103196703B (en) Water quality detection platform based on deepwater sampling detection method
Chen-xu et al. Auto regressive moving average (ARMA) prediction method of bank cash flow time series
CN104091227A (en) Method for analyzing load density of power consumers in city
CN202001276U (en) Energy efficiency ratio measurement equipment of air compressor, air compressor and compressed air cost calculator
CN101354295B (en) Temperature allocation method of multi-building combined heat metering
CN116756598A (en) Method for accurately regulating and controlling load of household appliances at side of transformer area
Qiu et al. Evaluation of water resource carrying capacity of two typical cities in northern China
Savickis et al. Natural gas metering and its accuracy in the smart gas supply systems
Tang et al. Evaluation of water security based on capacity for socio-economic regulation
Lin et al. Conception and evaluation methodology of water resources carrying capacity based on three-level analysis
Li et al. Electricity consumption forecast of hunan province using combined model based on multivariate linear regression and BP neural network
CN107736084B (en) A kind of central refrigerating energy consumption apportioning method and device
LU504760B1 (en) Hydraulic-thermal Balance Degree Evaluation System and Method for Long-distance Pipeline Network
Pan et al. Grey relational grade based quantitative analysis of the factors influencing the load characteristics of a power grid
CN217655050U (en) Salt balance monitoring device of water system and water system

Legal Events

Date Code Title Description
PB01 Publication
PB01 Publication
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
GR01 Patent grant
GR01 Patent grant