CN110348695A - Flexibility evaluation method, device, equipment and storage medium of power system - Google Patents

Flexibility evaluation method, device, equipment and storage medium of power system Download PDF

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CN110348695A
CN110348695A CN201910524376.5A CN201910524376A CN110348695A CN 110348695 A CN110348695 A CN 110348695A CN 201910524376 A CN201910524376 A CN 201910524376A CN 110348695 A CN110348695 A CN 110348695A
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flexibility
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周保荣
詹勋淞
卢斯煜
管霖
姚文峰
卓映君
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China South Power Grid International Co ltd
South China University of Technology SCUT
China Southern Power Grid Co Ltd
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Abstract

本发明公开了一种电力系统的灵活性评估方法、装置、设备及存储介质,包括:根据电力系统的历史负荷出力以及可再生能源的出力计算得到日内净负荷出力数据;根据预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法对所述日内净负荷出力数据进行分解若干种波动分量;根据所述波动分量计算得到所述电力系统的灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本;根据所述灵活性不足概率和所述灵活性平均成本对所述电力系统进行评估并对所述电力系统进行功率的调整。采用多个实施例解决了现有技术中现有技术中无法评估可再生能源的占比以及灵活性成本对电力系统灵活性调节影响的问题。

The invention discloses a method, device, equipment and storage medium for evaluating the flexibility of a power system, including: calculating the daily net load output data according to the historical load output of the power system and the output of renewable energy sources; filtering according to the preset WMMF The multi-scale decomposition algorithm of the multi-scale decomposition algorithm decomposes the intraday net load output data into several fluctuation components; calculates the probability of insufficient flexibility and the average cost of flexibility of the power system according to the fluctuation components; according to the probability of insufficient flexibility and the flexibility average cost to evaluate the power system and adjust the power of the power system. Adopting multiple embodiments solves the problems in the prior art that it is impossible to evaluate the proportion of renewable energy and the impact of flexibility cost on the flexibility adjustment of the power system.

Description

电力系统的灵活性评估方法、装置、设备及存储介质Flexibility assessment method, device, equipment and storage medium of power system

技术领域technical field

本发明涉及电力系统控制技术领域,尤其涉及一种电力系统的灵活性评估方法、装置、设备及存储介质。The present invention relates to the technical field of power system control, in particular to a flexibility evaluation method, device, equipment and storage medium of a power system.

背景技术Background technique

随着环境污染及化石能源的逐渐枯竭,新能源已经成为各国的主要电源类型之一。然而大量可再生能源(例如风力发电、太阳能光伏发电等)的接入也给电力系统的安全稳定运行带来问题。在高比例可再生能源并网场景下,可再生能源具有随机性、波动性、间歇性等出力特性,电力系统需要预留一定裕度的灵活性调节容量作为可灵活调用的旋转备用。With environmental pollution and the gradual depletion of fossil energy, new energy has become one of the main types of power sources in various countries. However, the access of a large number of renewable energy sources (such as wind power generation, solar photovoltaic power generation, etc.) also brings problems to the safe and stable operation of the power system. In the scenario of high-proportion renewable energy grid-connected, renewable energy has output characteristics such as randomness, volatility, and intermittency, and the power system needs to reserve a certain margin of flexible adjustment capacity as a flexible rotating reserve.

现有的灵活性评估指标侧重于从电力系统灵活性资源与系统灵活性需求的大小比较中表示电力系统整体的灵活性充裕情况,无法反映电力系统内各种可再生能源的占比对灵活性调节的影响,且忽略了灵活性成本对电力系统灵活性调节的限制作用,从而很难应对可再生能源并网后电力系统的功率波动。Existing flexibility evaluation indicators focus on showing the overall flexibility adequacy of the power system from the comparison of power system flexibility resources and system flexibility requirements, and cannot reflect the proportion of various renewable energy sources in the power system to flexibility. The impact of regulation, and ignore the restriction of flexibility cost on power system flexibility regulation, so it is difficult to deal with the power fluctuation of power system after renewable energy is connected to the grid.

发明内容Contents of the invention

本发明实施例提供一种电力系统的灵活性评估方法、装置、设备及存储介质,能有效解决现有技术中无法评估可再生能源的占比以及灵活性成本对电力系统灵活性调节影响的问题。Embodiments of the present invention provide a flexibility assessment method, device, equipment, and storage medium of a power system, which can effectively solve the problems in the prior art that the proportion of renewable energy cannot be assessed and the impact of flexibility costs on the flexibility adjustment of the power system .

本发明一实施例提供一种电力系统的灵活性评估方法,包括:An embodiment of the present invention provides a method for evaluating the flexibility of a power system, including:

根据电力系统的历史负荷出力以及可再生能源的出力计算得到日内净负荷出力数据;According to the historical load output of the power system and the output of renewable energy, the daily net load output data is obtained;

根据预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法对所述日内净负荷出力数据进行分解得到若干种波动分量;According to the multi-scale decomposition algorithm of the preset WMMF filter, the intraday net load output data is decomposed to obtain several kinds of fluctuation components;

根据所述波动分量计算得到所述电力系统的灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本;calculating the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility of the power system according to the fluctuation component;

根据所述灵活性不足概率和所述灵活性平均成本对所述电力系统进行评估并对所述电力系统进行功率的调整。Evaluate the power system and adjust the power of the power system according to the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility.

作为上述方案的改进,所述根据预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法对所述日内净负荷出力数据进行分解,具体包括:As an improvement of the above scheme, the multi-scale decomposition algorithm based on the preset WMMF filter decomposes the intraday net load output data, specifically including:

将所述日内净负荷出力数据分解为分钟级波动分量、十几分钟级波动分量以及小时级波动分量;Decomposing the intraday net load output data into minute-level fluctuation components, ten-minute-level fluctuation components, and hour-level fluctuation components;

通过对所述分钟级波动分量、所述十几分钟级波动分量以及所述小时级波动分量分别进行波动辨识,将所述分钟级波动分量、所述十几分钟级波动分量以及所述小时级波动分量分别划分为向上爬坡段及向下爬坡段。By performing fluctuation identification on the minute-level fluctuation component, the ten-minute-level fluctuation component, and the hour-level fluctuation component, the minute-level fluctuation component, the ten-minute-level fluctuation component, and the hour-level fluctuation component The fluctuation component is divided into uphill climbing section and downhill climbing section respectively.

作为上述方案的改进,所述根据分解后的所述日内净负荷出力数据建立所述电力系统的灵活性不足概率指标和灵活性平均成本指标,具体包括:As an improvement of the above scheme, the establishment of the probability index of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost index of flexibility of the power system according to the decomposed intraday net load output data specifically includes:

通过统计各个爬坡段的爬坡幅值获取该爬坡段对应的灵活性的需求;Obtain the flexibility requirements corresponding to the climbing section by counting the climbing amplitude of each climbing section;

通过各个爬坡段的爬坡时间、爬坡运行点以及灵活性资源出力特性获取对应的可用灵活性资源;Obtain the corresponding available flexible resources through the climbing time of each climbing section, the climbing operation point and the output characteristics of flexible resources;

分别对各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源与所述灵活性需求进行比较得到灵活性不足爬坡段数以及总爬坡段数;Comparing the available flexibility resources and the flexibility requirements in each climbing section respectively to obtain the number of climbing sections with insufficient flexibility and the total number of climbing sections;

根据所述灵活性不足爬坡段以及总爬坡段数计算得到所述灵活性不足概率;The probability of insufficiency in flexibility is calculated according to the inflexibility insufficiency climbing section and the total number of climbing sections;

根据各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源以及所述灵活性需求计算得到所述灵活性平均成本。The average cost of flexibility is calculated according to the available flexibility resources and the flexibility requirements in each climbing section.

作为上述方案的改进,所述根据各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源以及所述灵活性需求计算得到所述灵活性平均成本,具体为:As an improvement of the above solution, the average cost of flexibility is calculated according to the available flexibility resources and the flexibility requirements in each climbing section, specifically:

其中,为灵活性平均成本;Di为第i个爬坡段内的灵活性需求;Fi,j、ΔFi,分别为第i个爬坡段中第j种资源的可调用量和实际调用量;Cj为第j种资源的灵活性单位调用成本。in, is the average cost of flexibility; D i is the flexibility demand in the i-th climbing section; F i,j , ΔF i, are the callable amount and the actual callable amount of the j-th resource in the i-th climbing section, respectively ; C j is the flexibility unit invocation cost of the jth resource.

本发明另一实施例对应提供了一种电力系统的灵活性评估装置,其特征在于,包括:Another embodiment of the present invention provides a flexibility evaluation device for a power system, which is characterized in that it includes:

数据获取模块,用于根据电力系统的历史负荷出力以及可再生能源的出力计算得到日内净负荷出力数据;The data acquisition module is used to calculate the daily net load output data according to the historical load output of the power system and the output of renewable energy;

数据分解模块,用于根据预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法对所述日内净负荷出力数据进行分解得到若干种波动分量;The data decomposition module is used to decompose the intraday net load output data according to the multi-scale decomposition algorithm of the preset WMMF filter to obtain several fluctuation components;

计算模块,用于根据所述波动分量计算得到所述电力系统的灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本;A calculation module, configured to calculate the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility of the power system according to the fluctuation component;

评估模块,用于根据所述灵活性不足概率和所述灵活性平均成本对所述电力系统进行评估并对所述电力系统进行功率的调整。An evaluation module, configured to evaluate the power system and adjust the power of the power system according to the probability of insufficient flexibility and the average cost of flexibility.

作为上述方案的改进,所述数据分解模块包括:As an improvement of the above scheme, the data decomposition module includes:

波动分量获取模块,用于将所述日内净负荷出力数据分解为分钟级波动分量、十几分钟级波动分量以及小时级波动分量;A fluctuation component acquisition module, configured to decompose the intraday net load output data into minute-level fluctuation components, ten-minute-level fluctuation components, and hour-level fluctuation components;

波动辨别模块,用于通过对所述分钟级波动分量、所述十几分钟级波动分量以及所述小时级波动分量分别进行波动辨识,将所述分钟级波动分量、所述十几分钟级波动分量以及所述小时级波动分量分别划分为向上爬坡段及向下爬坡段。The fluctuation identification module is configured to identify the minute-level fluctuation component, the ten-minute-level fluctuation component, and the hour-level fluctuation component by respectively performing fluctuation identification on the minute-level fluctuation The component and the hour-level fluctuation component are respectively divided into an upward climbing segment and a downward climbing segment.

作为上述方案的改进,所述计算模块包括:As an improvement of the above scheme, the calculation module includes:

灵活性的需求获取模块,用于通过统计各个爬坡段的爬坡幅值获取该爬坡段对应的灵活性的需求;The flexibility demand acquisition module is used to obtain the flexibility demand corresponding to the climbing section by counting the climbing amplitude of each climbing section;

可用灵活性资源获取模块,用于通过各个爬坡段的爬坡时间、爬坡运行点以及灵活性资源出力特性获取对应的可用灵活性资源;The available flexible resource acquisition module is used to obtain the corresponding available flexible resources through the climbing time of each climbing section, the climbing operation point and the output characteristics of the flexible resources;

统计模块,用于分别对各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源与所述灵活性需求进行比较得到灵活性不足爬坡段数以及总爬坡段数;A statistical module, configured to compare the available flexibility resources and the flexibility requirements in each climbing section to obtain the number of climbing sections with insufficient flexibility and the total number of climbing sections;

灵活性不足概率计算模块,用于根据所述灵活性不足爬坡段以及总爬坡段数计算得到所述灵活性不足概率;Insufficient flexibility probability calculation module, used to calculate the insufficient flexibility probability according to the inflexible climbing section and the total number of climbing sections;

灵活性平均成本计算模块,用于根据各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源以及所述灵活性需求计算得到所述灵活性平均成本。A flexibility average cost calculation module, configured to calculate and obtain the flexibility average cost according to the available flexibility resources and the flexibility requirements in each climbing section.

本发明另一实施例对应提供了一种电力系统的灵活性评估设备,包括处理器、存储器以及存储在所述存储器中且被配置为由所述处理器执行的计算机程序,所述处理器执行所述计算机程序时实现所述的电力系统的灵活性评估方法。Another embodiment of the present invention provides a flexibility evaluation device for a power system, including a processor, a memory, and a computer program stored in the memory and configured to be executed by the processor, and the processor executes The computer program realizes the flexibility evaluation method of the power system.

本发明另一实施例对应提供了一种计算机可读存储介质,所述计算机可读存储介质包括存储的计算机程序,其中,在所述计算机程序运行时控制所述计算机可读存储介质所在设备执行所述的电力系统的灵活性评估方法。Another embodiment of the present invention correspondingly provides a computer-readable storage medium, the computer-readable storage medium includes a stored computer program, wherein, when the computer program is running, the device where the computer-readable storage medium is located is controlled to execute The flexibility assessment method of the described power system.

与现有技术相比,本发明实施例公开的一种电力系统的灵活性评估方法、装置、设备以及存储介质,通过预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法对日内净负荷出力数据进行分解,并根据分解后的日内净负荷出力数据计算得到灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本,通过灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本对电力系统的灵活性进行评估,从而对电力系统的功率进行调节,使得电力系统可以安全稳定的运行。Compared with the prior art, the embodiment of the present invention discloses a power system flexibility evaluation method, device, equipment and storage medium, which decomposes the daily net load output data through the multi-scale decomposition algorithm of the preset WMMF filter , and calculate the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility according to the decomposed intraday net load output data, and evaluate the flexibility of the power system through the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility, so as to adjust the power of the power system , so that the power system can operate safely and stably.

附图说明Description of drawings

图1是本发明一实施例提供的一种电力系统的灵活性评估方法的流程示意图;FIG. 1 is a schematic flowchart of a method for evaluating flexibility of a power system provided by an embodiment of the present invention;

图2是本发明一实施例中预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解的流程示意图;Fig. 2 is a schematic flow chart of the multi-scale decomposition of the preset WMMF filter in an embodiment of the present invention;

图3是本发明一实施例中净负荷曲线的多时间尺度波动分解示意图;Fig. 3 is a schematic diagram of multi-time scale fluctuation decomposition of the payload curve in an embodiment of the present invention;

图4是本发明一实施例中灵活性需求求取示意图;Fig. 4 is a schematic diagram of obtaining flexibility requirements in an embodiment of the present invention;

图5是本发明一实施例提供的一种电力系统的灵活性评估装置的结构示意图;Fig. 5 is a schematic structural diagram of a flexibility evaluation device for a power system provided by an embodiment of the present invention;

图6是本发明一实施例提供的一种电力系统的灵活性评估设备的结构示意图。Fig. 6 is a schematic structural diagram of a power system flexibility evaluation device provided by an embodiment of the present invention.

具体实施方式Detailed ways

下面将结合本发明实施例中的附图,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有作出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。The following will clearly and completely describe the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention with reference to the accompanying drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only some of the embodiments of the present invention, not all of them. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by persons of ordinary skill in the art without creative efforts fall within the protection scope of the present invention.

参见图1,是本发明一实施例提供的一种电力系统的灵活性评估方法的流程示意图。Referring to FIG. 1 , it is a schematic flowchart of a method for evaluating flexibility of a power system provided by an embodiment of the present invention.

本发明实施例提供一种电力系统的灵活性评估方法,包括:An embodiment of the present invention provides a method for evaluating the flexibility of a power system, including:

S10、根据电力系统的历史负荷出力以及可再生能源的出力计算得到日内净负荷出力数据。其中,可再生能源的出力可以为:风电出力、光伏出力等。S10. Calculate and obtain daily net load output data according to the historical load output of the power system and the output of renewable energy. Among them, the output of renewable energy can be: wind power output, photovoltaic output, etc.

具体地,由于可再生能源(以风力发电、太阳能光伏发电为例)的加入,电力系统运行所需面对的波动性增强,将风电出力和光伏出力作为负的负荷出力考虑,将电力系统的历史负荷出力曲线和风电、光伏出力曲线相减,形成的日内净负荷出力曲线。Specifically, due to the addition of renewable energy (such as wind power generation and solar photovoltaic power generation), the volatility of the power system operation needs to be increased. Considering wind power output and photovoltaic output as negative load output, the power system’s The intraday net load output curve is formed by subtracting the historical load output curve from the wind power and photovoltaic output curves.

S20、根据预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法对所述日内净负荷出力数据进行分解得到若干种波动分量。S20. Decompose the intraday net load output data according to the multi-scale decomposition algorithm of the preset WMMF filter to obtain several kinds of fluctuation components.

具体地,基于OCCO滤波器构造的WMMF滤波器数学表达式为:Specifically, the mathematical expression of the WMMF filter constructed based on the OCCO filter is:

式中f为输入信号;g为结构元素;°表示开运算;·表示闭运算;Θ表示腐蚀运算;表示膨胀运算;为各尺度结构元素滤波结果的权重。为减少小尺度结构元素滤波结果中噪声对最终滤波结果的影响,权重的取值由各尺度滤波噪声的方差值决定。In the formula, f is the input signal; g is the structural element; ° represents the opening operation; · represents the closing operation; Θ represents the corrosion operation; Indicates the expansion operation; is the weight of the filtering result of each scale structure element. In order to reduce the impact of noise in the filtering results of small-scale structural elements on the final filtering results, the weight The value of is determined by the variance value of the filtering noise at each scale.

式中为尺度si下滤波差值的方差。In the formula is the variance of the filtered difference at scale s i .

具体地,参见图2,预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法为根据原始净负荷时间序列(原始灵活性需求时间序列)F构建第一级WMMF滤波器;基于第一级WMMF滤波器对时间序列F进行滤波输出时间序列Y,再由F与Y做差输出高频分量H;根据时间序列Y构建第二级WMMF滤波器;基于第二级WMMF滤波器对时间序列Y进行滤波输出中频分量M,再由Y与M做差输出低频分量L。Specifically, referring to Fig. 2, the multi-scale decomposition algorithm of the preset WMMF filter is to construct the first-stage WMMF filter according to the original payload time series (original flexibility demand time series) F; based on the first-stage WMMF filter pair The time series F is filtered to output the time series Y, and then the difference between F and Y is used to output the high-frequency component H; the second-level WMMF filter is constructed according to the time series Y; the time series Y is filtered based on the second-level WMMF filter to output the intermediate frequency Component M, and then make a difference between Y and M to output the low frequency component L.

在本实施例中,将所述日内净负荷出力数据分解为分钟级波动分量、十几分钟级波动分量以及小时级波动分量。In this embodiment, the intraday net load output data is decomposed into minute-level fluctuation components, ten-minute-level fluctuation components, and hour-level fluctuation components.

具体地,参见图3,通过WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法将净负荷出力数据划分为分钟级波动分量(对应图3中的高频分量)、十几分钟级波动分量(对应图3中的中频分量)和小时级波动分量(对应图3中的低频分量),根据上述波动分量得到小时级时间尺度下的波动分量时序曲线、十几分钟级时间尺度下的波动分量时序曲线和分钟级时间尺度下的波动分量时序曲线。Specifically, referring to Figure 3, the net load output data is divided into minute-level fluctuation components (corresponding to the high-frequency components in Figure 3) and ten-minute level fluctuation components (corresponding to the intermediate frequency component) and hour-level fluctuation component (corresponding to the low-frequency component in Figure 3), according to the above fluctuation components, the time-series curve of the fluctuation component on the hour-level time scale, the time-series curve of the fluctuation component on the time scale of more than ten minutes, and the minute-level time The time series curve of the fluctuation component under the scale.

通过对所述分钟级波动分量、所述十几分钟级波动分量以及所述小时级波动分量分别进行波动辨识,将所述分钟级波动分量、所述十几分钟级波动分量以及所述小时级波动分量分别划分为向上爬坡段及向下爬坡段。By performing fluctuation identification on the minute-level fluctuation component, the ten-minute-level fluctuation component, and the hour-level fluctuation component, the minute-level fluctuation component, the ten-minute-level fluctuation component, and the hour-level fluctuation component The fluctuation component is divided into uphill climbing section and downhill climbing section respectively.

具体地,再对分别对上述波动分量时序曲线分别进行波动辨识,将波动分量时序曲线划分为向上爬坡段及向下爬坡段。Specifically, wave identification is performed on the time-series curves of the above-mentioned fluctuation components respectively, and the time-series curves of the fluctuation components are divided into an upward climbing section and a downward climbing section.

S30、根据所述波动分量计算得到所述电力系统的灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本。S30. Calculate according to the fluctuation component the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility of the power system.

具体地,参见图4,通过统计各个爬坡段的向上、向下爬坡幅值获取该爬坡段对应的向上、向下灵活性需求。Specifically, referring to FIG. 4 , the upward and downward flexibility requirements corresponding to the climbing section are obtained by counting the upward and downward climbing amplitudes of each climbing section.

通过各个爬坡段的爬坡时间、爬坡运行点以及灵活性资源出力特性获取对应的可用灵活性资源。其中,在灵活性调节过程中能通过出力调节对灵活性需求进行适应的资源均可作为灵活性资源。在电力系统中,可作为灵活性资源的可以有有具有快速调节能力的常规机组、抽水蓄能电站、电力电子储能装置、需求侧响应和具有较强可控性的可再生能源机组。各类灵活性资源在不同时间尺度上具有不同的出力特性。The corresponding available flexible resources are obtained through the climbing time of each climbing section, the climbing operation point, and the output characteristics of the flexible resources. Among them, in the process of flexibility adjustment, resources that can adapt to flexibility requirements through output adjustment can be used as flexibility resources. In the power system, conventional units with rapid adjustment capability, pumped storage power stations, power electronic energy storage devices, demand-side response and renewable energy units with strong controllability can be used as flexible resources. All kinds of flexible resources have different output characteristics on different time scales.

示例性地,以火电厂为例,在分钟级和十几分钟级时间尺度下出力调节提供的灵活性资源大小为:Illustratively, taking a thermal power plant as an example, the size of flexible resources provided by output regulation at the time scale of minutes and tens of minutes is:

FG,+=min{PG,max-PG,0,Δt×rm,+}F G, + = min{P G, max -P G, 0 , Δt×r m, + }

FG,-=min{PG,0-PG,min,Δt×rm,-}F G, - = min {P G, 0 -P G, min , Δt×r m, - }

式中,FG,+、FG,-分别为机组向上和向下调节的灵活性资源大小;PG,max、PG,min和PG,0分别为机组最大运行出力、最小运行出力和当前出力;rm,+、rm,-分别为机组的向上、向下爬坡速率;Δt为爬坡时长。In the formula, F G, + , F G, - are the flexible resource size of the unit for upward and downward adjustment respectively; PG,max , PG,min and P G,0 are the maximum operating output and the minimum operating output of the unit respectively and the current output; r m,+ and r m,- are the upward and downward climbing rates of the unit respectively; Δt is the climbing time.

火电厂在小时级时间尺度下的出力调节能力为:The output adjustment capability of a thermal power plant on an hourly time scale is:

FG,+=PSG,max F G,+ =PS G ,max

FG,-=PSG,0 F G, - = PS G , 0

式中,PSG,0、PSG,max分别是调峰机组的当前出力和最大调节容量。In the formula, PSG,0 and PSG,max are the current output and maximum adjustment capacity of the peaking unit respectively.

具体地,根据日内净负荷出力确定电力系统开机方式,并结合各类型电源的运行状态和出力特性确定在各个时间尺度下的灵活性资源。对各个时间尺度下的波动分量,分别选用相应尺度下的灵活性机组(可再生能源机组等)参与灵活性调节,由此确定各个时间尺度下的可用灵活性资源大小。Specifically, the start-up mode of the power system is determined according to the daily net load output, and the flexible resources at each time scale are determined in combination with the operating status and output characteristics of various types of power sources. For the fluctuation components at each time scale, the flexible units (renewable energy units, etc.) at the corresponding scales are respectively selected to participate in the flexibility adjustment, thereby determining the size of the available flexible resources at each time scale.

分别对各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源与所述灵活性需求进行比较得到灵活性不足爬坡段数以及总爬坡段数。其中,可用灵活性资源低于灵活性需求的爬坡段称为灵活性不足爬坡段。The available flexibility resources in each climbing section are compared with the flexibility requirements to obtain the number of climbing sections with insufficient flexibility and the total number of climbing sections. Among them, the climbing section whose available flexibility resource is lower than the flexibility requirement is called the climbing section with insufficient flexibility.

根据所述灵活性不足爬坡段以及总爬坡段数计算得到所述灵活性不足概率。The inflexibility probability is calculated according to the inflexible climbing section and the total number of climbing sections.

具体地,式中,n为灵活性不足爬坡段的数量,N为电力系统总的爬坡段数量。specifically, In the formula, n is the number of climbing sections with insufficient flexibility, and N is the total number of climbing sections of the power system.

根据各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源以及所述灵活性需求计算得到所述灵活性平均成本。其中,在每个爬坡段中,通过对灵活性资源的经济调用,实现总的灵活性调用成本最低。由此定义所有爬坡段中的平均调用成本为灵活性成本。The average cost of flexibility is calculated according to the available flexibility resources and the flexibility requirements in each climbing section. Among them, in each climbing section, through the economical allocation of flexible resources, the lowest total flexibility allocation cost is achieved. Therefore, the average call cost in all climbing sections is defined as the flexibility cost.

具体地, specifically,

其中,为灵活性平均成本;Di为第i个爬坡段内的灵活性需求;Fi,j、ΔFi,分别为第i个爬坡段中第j种资源的可调用量和实际调用量;Cj为第j种资源的灵活性单位调用成本。in, is the average cost of flexibility; D i is the flexibility demand in the i-th climbing section; F i,j , ΔF i, are the callable amount and the actual callable amount of the j-th resource in the i-th climbing section, respectively ; C j is the flexibility unit invocation cost of the jth resource.

S40、根据所述灵活性不足概率和所述灵活性平均成本对所述电力系统进行评估并对所述电力系统进行功率的调整。S40. Evaluate the power system according to the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility, and adjust the power of the power system.

具体地,灵活性不足概率E越小则系统有更大的概率满足系统灵活性需求;灵活性成本越小则表示系统能以更小的调节成本满足系统灵活性需求。Specifically, the smaller the probability of insufficient flexibility E, the greater the probability that the system can meet the system flexibility requirements; flexibility cost A smaller value means that the system can meet the system flexibility requirements with a smaller adjustment cost.

与现有技术相比,本发明实施例公开的一种电力系统的灵活性评估方法,通过预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法对日内净负荷出力数据进行分解,并根据分解后的日内净负荷出力数据计算得到灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本,通过灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本对电力系统的灵活性进行评估,从而对电力系统的功率进行调节,使得电力系统可以安全稳定的运行。Compared with the prior art, the embodiment of the present invention discloses a method for evaluating the flexibility of a power system, which decomposes the intraday net load output data through the multi-scale decomposition algorithm of the preset WMMF filter, and according to the decomposed intraday The net load output data calculates the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility, and evaluates the flexibility of the power system through the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility, so as to adjust the power of the power system so that the power system can be safe and stable running.

为了方便理解,以海南电网举例说明:To facilitate understanding, take Hainan Power Grid as an example:

各种灵活性资源的调用是在一定的时间尺度下进行的,在各个时间尺度下参与调节的系统灵活性资源出力与其自身出力特性相关。其中,火电机组根据其自身机组特性参与不同时间尺度下的灵活性调节,对于调节能力较快的燃气机组能参与分钟级时间尺度的灵活性调节,对于出力较慢的部分燃气机组和部分燃煤机组则在十几到几十分钟级时间尺度内参与灵活性调节,此外火电备用机组能参与小时级时间尺度以上的灵活性调节;水电机组具有更快的调节速度,在枯水期能作为重要的调峰资源参与系统分钟级到几十分钟级时间尺度内的灵活性调节中去;抽水蓄能电站作为性能优良的调峰电源能在分钟级时间尺度下参与灵活性调节,其提供的灵活性资源大小主要受抽水蓄能电站容量的影响;电力电子储能装置能在分钟级到十几分钟级时间尺度内参与灵活性调节,其提供的灵活性资源取决于多个因素,包括储能电池的释放时间、效率和存储容量等;中断负荷可以作为主要的需求侧响应调节手段参与到小时级时间尺度上的灵活性调节中;具有较强可控性的可再生能源可以考虑为一定置信容量的可控机组,考虑其参与十几分钟级时间尺度下的灵活性调节,也可通过弃风弃光,在小时时间尺度上也能参与灵活性调节。The invocation of various flexible resources is carried out at a certain time scale, and the output of the system's flexible resources participating in the adjustment at each time scale is related to its own output characteristics. Among them, thermal power units participate in flexible adjustments at different time scales according to their own unit characteristics. Gas-fired units with faster adjustment capabilities can participate in flexible adjustments at minute-level time scales. For some gas-fired units and some coal-fired units with slower output Units participate in flexibility adjustments within a time scale of ten to tens of minutes. In addition, thermal power standby units can participate in flexibility adjustments over an hour-level time scale; Peak resources participate in the flexibility adjustment of the system within the time scale of minutes to tens of minutes; pumped storage power plants, as peak-shaving power sources with excellent performance, can participate in flexibility adjustments on the time scale of minutes, and the flexible resources they provide The size is mainly affected by the capacity of the pumped storage power station; the power electronic energy storage device can participate in the flexibility adjustment within the time scale of minutes to tens of minutes, and the flexibility resources it provides depend on many factors, including the energy storage battery. Release time, efficiency and storage capacity, etc.; interrupt load can be used as the main demand-side response adjustment means to participate in the flexibility adjustment on the hour-level time scale; renewable energy with strong controllability can be considered as a certain confidence capacity. Considering that the controllable unit participates in the flexible adjustment on the time scale of more than ten minutes, it can also participate in the flexible adjustment on the hourly time scale by abandoning wind and light.

在实际应用中,计算各时间尺度下的灵活性指标(即灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本)之后,还可以根据评估者对各时间尺度的关注偏好,对各时间尺度下的灵活性指标加权求和,得到综合考虑各时间尺度的电力系统整体灵活性不足概率指标和灵活性平均成本指标。输出的灵活性评估结果如下表所示:In practical applications, after calculating the flexibility indicators (ie, the probability of insufficient flexibility and the average cost of flexibility) at each time scale, the flexibility indicators at each time scale can also be calculated according to the evaluator's preference for each time scale. The weighted summation is used to obtain the overall flexibility insufficiency probability index and the flexibility average cost index of the power system comprehensively considering each time scale. The output flexibility evaluation results are shown in the table below:

观察上述灵活性概率不足指标则可以对电力系统进行调节,在各时间尺度上向上灵活性不足概率均小于向下灵活性不足概率,这是因为海南电网中缺少水电的调节,大部分的灵活性资源由火电厂提供。而火电机组向上爬坡速率大于向下爬坡速率,且受制于最小稳定运行功率的限制,火电机组向下调节能力有限,所以反映在灵活性不足概率指标上为向下灵活性不足概率大于向上灵活性不足概率。在分钟级和十几到几十分钟级时间尺度上向上灵活性平均成本相较于向下灵活性平均成本要高,这是因为在灵活性资源中考虑了风电和光伏电站的接入下的置信容量和弃风弃光容量在向下灵活性调节的参与,其调节成本远低于于火电,所以风光电的参与使得系统灵活性向下调节的平均成本降低。在小时级时间尺度上,向上灵活性平均成本略低于向下灵活性平均成本,这是因为在该时间尺度上所需调节的灵活性需求远大于前面短时间尺度下的灵活性需求,此时的调节任务主要由火电厂备用机组承担,而且在向上灵活性资源上考虑了可控负荷的加入,使得向上灵活性的平均调节成本得到降低。横向比较各时间尺度间的灵活性平均成本,小时级时间尺度上的灵活性平均成本远高于其他两个时间尺度上的灵活性平均成本,这也反映了火电机组的启停调峰作为小时级时间尺度上主要的灵活性资源具有较高的调节成本。通过灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本对电力系统的灵活性进行评估,从而对电力系统进行调节,使得电力系统运行更加稳定安全。The power system can be adjusted by observing the above index of insufficient flexibility probability. On each time scale, the probability of insufficient flexibility upward is smaller than the probability of insufficient flexibility downward. Resources are provided by thermal power plants. However, the upward climbing rate of the thermal power unit is greater than the downward climbing rate, and subject to the limitation of the minimum stable operating power, the downward adjustment ability of the thermal power unit is limited, so it is reflected in the probability index of insufficient flexibility that the probability of insufficient flexibility in the downward direction is greater than that in the upward direction. Insufficient flexibility probability. The average cost of upward flexibility is higher than the average cost of downward flexibility on the time scale of minutes and tens to tens of minutes, because the flexible resource takes into account the integration of wind power and photovoltaic power plants. The participation of confidence capacity and curtailed wind and solar capacity in downward flexibility regulation has a regulation cost much lower than that of thermal power, so the participation of wind and solar power reduces the average cost of system flexibility downward regulation. On the hour-level time scale, the average cost of upward flexibility is slightly lower than the average cost of downward flexibility, because the flexibility needs to be adjusted on this time scale are much greater than those in the previous short time scale. The adjustment task is mainly undertaken by the thermal power plant standby units, and the addition of controllable loads is considered in the upward flexibility resources, so that the average adjustment cost of the upward flexibility is reduced. Comparing the average cost of flexibility between different time scales horizontally, the average cost of flexibility on the hour-level time scale is much higher than the average cost of flexibility on the other two time scales, which also reflects that the start-stop peak shaving of thermal power units is an hourly The primary flexibility resource on the level time scale has a high adjustment cost. The flexibility of the power system is evaluated by the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility, so as to adjust the power system and make the operation of the power system more stable and safe.

参见图5,是本发明一实施例提供的一种电力系统的灵活性评估装置的结构示意图。Referring to FIG. 5 , it is a schematic structural diagram of a flexibility evaluation device for a power system provided by an embodiment of the present invention.

本发明实施例对应提供了一种电力系统的灵活性评估装置,包括:An embodiment of the present invention provides a flexibility evaluation device for a power system, including:

数据获取模块10,用于根据电力系统的历史负荷出力以及可再生能源的出力计算得到日内净负荷出力数据。The data acquisition module 10 is used to calculate and obtain intraday net load output data according to the historical load output of the power system and the output of renewable energy.

数据分解模块20,用于根据预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法对所述日内净负荷出力数据进行分解得到若干种波动分量。The data decomposition module 20 is used to decompose the intraday net load output data according to the multi-scale decomposition algorithm of the preset WMMF filter to obtain several kinds of fluctuation components.

计算模块30,用于根据所述波动分量计算得到所述电力系统的灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本。A calculation module 30, configured to calculate the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility of the power system according to the fluctuation component.

评估模块40,用于根据所述灵活性不足概率和所述灵活性平均成本对所述电力系统进行评估并对所述电力系统进行功率的调整。An evaluation module 40, configured to evaluate the power system according to the flexibility insufficiency probability and the flexibility average cost and adjust the power of the power system.

作为上述方案的改进,所述数据分解模块包括:As an improvement of the above scheme, the data decomposition module includes:

波动分量获取模块,用于将所述日内净负荷出力数据分解为分钟级波动分量、十几分钟级波动分量以及小时级波动分量。A fluctuation component acquisition module, configured to decompose the intraday net load output data into minute-level fluctuation components, ten-minute-level fluctuation components, and hour-level fluctuation components.

波动辨别模块,用于通过对所述分钟级波动分量、所述十几分钟级波动分量以及所述小时级波动分量分别进行波动辨识,将所述分钟级波动分量、所述十几分钟级波动分量以及所述小时级波动分量分别划分为向上爬坡段及向下爬坡段。The fluctuation identification module is configured to identify the minute-level fluctuation component, the ten-minute-level fluctuation component, and the hour-level fluctuation component by respectively performing fluctuation identification on the minute-level fluctuation The component and the hour-level fluctuation component are respectively divided into an upward climbing segment and a downward climbing segment.

作为上述方案的改进,所述计算模块包括:As an improvement of the above scheme, the calculation module includes:

灵活性的需求获取模块,用于通过统计各个爬坡段的爬坡幅值获取该爬坡段对应的灵活性的需求。The flexibility demand obtaining module is used to obtain the flexibility demand corresponding to the climbing section by counting the climbing amplitude of each climbing section.

可用灵活性资源获取模块,用于通过各个爬坡段的爬坡时间、爬坡运行点以及灵活性资源出力特性获取对应的可用灵活性资源。The available flexibility resource obtaining module is used to obtain the corresponding available flexible resources through the climbing time of each climbing section, the climbing operation point and the output characteristics of the flexible resources.

统计模块,用于分别对各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源与所述灵活性需求进行比较得到灵活性不足爬坡段数以及总爬坡段数。A statistical module, configured to compare the available flexibility resources and the flexibility requirements in each climbing section to obtain the number of climbing sections with insufficient flexibility and the total number of climbing sections.

灵活性不足概率计算模块,用于根据所述灵活性不足爬坡段以及总爬坡段数计算得到所述灵活性不足概率。The inflexibility probability calculation module is configured to calculate the inflexibility probability according to the inflexible climbing section and the total number of climbing sections.

灵活性平均成本计算模块,用于根据各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源以及所述灵活性需求计算得到所述灵活性平均成本。A flexibility average cost calculation module, configured to calculate and obtain the flexibility average cost according to the available flexibility resources and the flexibility requirements in each climbing section.

与现有技术相比,本发明实施例公开的一种电力系统的灵活性评估装置,通过预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法对日内净负荷出力数据进行分解,并根据分解后的日内净负荷出力数据计算得到灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本,通过灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本对电力系统的灵活性进行评估,从而对电力系统的功率进行调节,使得电力系统可以安全稳定的运行。Compared with the prior art, the embodiment of the present invention discloses a power system flexibility evaluation device, which decomposes the intraday net load output data through the multi-scale decomposition algorithm of the preset WMMF filter, and according to the decomposed intraday The net load output data calculates the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility, and evaluates the flexibility of the power system through the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility, so as to adjust the power of the power system so that the power system can be safe and stable running.

参见图6,是本发明一实施例提供的电力系统的灵活性评估终端设备的示意图。该实施例的电力系统的灵活性评估终端设备包括:处理器、存储器以及存储在所述存储器中并可在所述处理器上运行的计算机程序。所述处理器执行所述计算机程序时实现上述各个电力系统的灵活性评估方法实施例中的步骤。或者,所述处理器执行所述计算机程序时实现上述各装置实施例中各模块/单元的功能。Referring to FIG. 6 , it is a schematic diagram of a terminal device for evaluating flexibility of a power system provided by an embodiment of the present invention. The terminal device for evaluating the flexibility of a power system in this embodiment includes: a processor, a memory, and a computer program stored in the memory and operable on the processor. When the processor executes the computer program, the steps in the above-mentioned embodiments of the flexibility evaluation method for each electric power system are realized. Alternatively, when the processor executes the computer program, the functions of the modules/units in the above device embodiments are implemented.

示例性的,所述计算机程序可以被分割成一个或多个模块/单元,所述一个或者多个模块/单元被存储在所述存储器中,并由所述处理器执行,以完成本发明。所述一个或多个模块/单元可以是能够完成特定功能的一系列计算机程序指令段,该指令段用于描述所述计算机程序在所述电力系统的灵活性评估终端设备中的执行过程。Exemplarily, the computer program may be divided into one or more modules/units, and the one or more modules/units are stored in the memory and executed by the processor to complete the present invention. The one or more modules/units may be a series of computer program instruction segments capable of accomplishing specific functions, and the instruction segments are used to describe the execution process of the computer program in the flexibility evaluation terminal device of the power system.

所述电力系统的灵活性评估终端设备可以是桌上型计算机、笔记本、掌上电脑及云端服务器等计算设备。所述电力系统的灵活性评估终端设备可包括,但不仅限于,处理器、存储器。本领域技术人员可以理解,所述示意图仅仅是电力系统的灵活性评估终端设备的示例,并不构成对电力系统的灵活性评估终端设备的限定,可以包括比图示更多或更少的部件,或者组合某些部件,或者不同的部件,例如所述电力系统的灵活性评估终端设备还可以包括输入输出设备、网络接入设备、总线等。The terminal equipment for evaluating the flexibility of the power system may be computing equipment such as desktop computers, notebooks, palmtop computers, and cloud servers. The flexibility evaluation terminal equipment of the power system may include, but not limited to, a processor and a memory. Those skilled in the art can understand that the schematic diagram is only an example of the flexibility assessment terminal equipment of the power system, and does not constitute a limitation on the flexibility assessment terminal equipment of the power system, and may include more or less components than those shown in the illustration , or combine certain components, or different components, for example, the flexibility evaluation terminal equipment of the electric power system may also include input and output equipment, network access equipment, bus and so on.

所称处理器可以是中央处理单元(Central Processing Unit,CPU),还可以是其他通用处理器、数字信号处理器(Digital Signal Processor,DSP)、专用集成电路(Application Specific Integrated Circuit,ASIC)、现成可编程门阵列(Field-Programmable Gate Array,FPGA)或者其他可编程逻辑器件、分立门或者晶体管逻辑器件、分立硬件组件等。通用处理器可以是微处理器或者该处理器也可以是任何常规的处理器等,所述处理器是所述电力系统的灵活性评估终端设备的控制中心,利用各种接口和线路连接整个**装置/终端设备的各个部分。The so-called processor can be a central processing unit (Central Processing Unit, CPU), and can also be other general-purpose processors, digital signal processors (Digital Signal Processor, DSP), application specific integrated circuits (Application Specific Integrated Circuit, ASIC), off-the-shelf Programmable gate array (Field-Programmable Gate Array, FPGA) or other programmable logic devices, discrete gate or transistor logic devices, discrete hardware components, etc. The general-purpose processor can be a microprocessor or any conventional processor, etc. The processor is the control center of the flexibility evaluation terminal equipment of the power system, and connects the entire * *Parts of the device/end equipment.

所述存储器可用于存储所述计算机程序和/或模块,所述处理器通过运行或执行存储在所述存储器内的计算机程序和/或模块,以及调用存储在存储器内的数据,实现所述电力系统的灵活性评估终端设备的各种功能。所述存储器可主要包括存储程序区和存储数据区,其中,存储程序区可存储操作系统、至少一个功能所需的应用程序(比如声音播放功能、图像播放功能等)等;存储数据区可存储根据手机的使用所创建的数据(比如音频数据、电话本等)等。此外,存储器可以包括高速随机存取存储器,还可以包括非易失性存储器,例如硬盘、内存、插接式硬盘,智能存储卡(Smart Media Card,SMC),安全数字(SecureDigital,SD)卡,闪存卡(Flash Card)、至少一个磁盘存储器件、闪存器件、或其他易失性固态存储器件。The memory can be used to store the computer programs and/or modules, and the processor realizes the power by running or executing the computer programs and/or modules stored in the memory and calling the data stored in the memory. The flexibility of the system evaluates various functions of the end equipment. The memory may mainly include a program storage area and a data storage area, wherein the program storage area may store an operating system, at least one application program required by a function (such as a sound playback function, an image playback function, etc.) and the like; the storage data area may store Data created based on the use of the mobile phone (such as audio data, phonebook, etc.), etc. In addition, the memory may include a high-speed random access memory, and may also include a non-volatile memory, such as a hard disk, a memory, a plug-in hard disk, a smart memory card (Smart Media Card, SMC), a secure digital (SecureDigital, SD) card, A flash memory card (Flash Card), at least one magnetic disk storage device, flash memory device, or other volatile solid state storage devices.

其中,所述电力系统的灵活性评估终端设备集成的模块/单元如果以软件功能单元的形式实现并作为独立的产品销售或使用时,可以存储在一个计算机可读取存储介质中。基于这样的理解,本发明实现上述实施例方法中的全部或部分流程,也可以通过计算机程序来指令相关的硬件来完成,所述的计算机程序可存储于一计算机可读存储介质中,该计算机程序在被处理器执行时,可实现上述各个方法实施例的步骤。其中,所述计算机程序包括计算机程序代码,所述计算机程序代码可以为源代码形式、对象代码形式、可执行文件或某些中间形式等。所述计算机可读介质可以包括:能够携带所述计算机程序代码的任何实体或装置、记录介质、U盘、移动硬盘、磁碟、光盘、计算机存储器、只读存储器(ROM,Read-Only Memory)、随机存取存储器(RAM,Random Access Memory)、电载波信号、电信信号以及软件分发介质等。Wherein, if the integrated modules/units of the power system flexibility evaluation terminal equipment are implemented in the form of software function units and sold or used as independent products, they can be stored in a computer-readable storage medium. Based on this understanding, the present invention realizes all or part of the processes in the methods of the above embodiments, and can also be completed by instructing related hardware through a computer program. The computer program can be stored in a computer-readable storage medium, and the computer When the program is executed by the processor, the steps in the above-mentioned various method embodiments can be realized. Wherein, the computer program includes computer program code, and the computer program code may be in the form of source code, object code, executable file or some intermediate form. The computer-readable medium may include: any entity or device capable of carrying the computer program code, a recording medium, a U disk, a removable hard disk, a magnetic disk, an optical disk, a computer memory, and a read-only memory (ROM, Read-Only Memory) , Random Access Memory (RAM, Random Access Memory), electrical carrier signal, telecommunication signal, and software distribution medium, etc.

需说明的是,以上所描述的装置实施例仅仅是示意性的,其中所述作为分离部件说明的单元可以是或者也可以不是物理上分开的,作为单元显示的部件可以是或者也可以不是物理单元,即可以位于一个地方,或者也可以分布到多个网络单元上。可以根据实际的需要选择其中的部分或者全部模块来实现本实施例方案的目的。另外,本发明提供的装置实施例附图中,模块之间的连接关系表示它们之间具有通信连接,具体可以实现为一条或多条通信总线或信号线。本领域普通技术人员在不付出创造性劳动的情况下,即可以理解并实施。It should be noted that the device embodiments described above are only illustrative, and the units described as separate components may or may not be physically separated, and the components shown as units may or may not be physically separated. A unit can be located in one place, or it can be distributed to multiple network units. Part or all of the modules can be selected according to actual needs to achieve the purpose of the solution of this embodiment. In addition, in the drawings of the device embodiments provided by the present invention, the connection relationship between the modules indicates that they have a communication connection, which can be specifically implemented as one or more communication buses or signal lines. It can be understood and implemented by those skilled in the art without creative effort.

以上所述是本发明的优选实施方式,应当指出,对于本技术领域的普通技术人员来说,在不脱离本发明原理的前提下,还可以做出若干改进和润饰,这些改进和润饰也视为本发明的保护范围。The above description is a preferred embodiment of the present invention, and it should be pointed out that for those skilled in the art, without departing from the principle of the present invention, some improvements and modifications can also be made, and these improvements and modifications are also considered Be the protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (9)

1.一种电力系统的灵活性评估方法,其特征在于,包括:1. A method for assessing flexibility of an electric power system, comprising: 根据电力系统的历史负荷出力以及可再生能源的出力计算得到日内净负荷出力数据;According to the historical load output of the power system and the output of renewable energy, the daily net load output data is obtained; 根据预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法对所述日内净负荷出力数据进行分解得到若干种波动分量;According to the multi-scale decomposition algorithm of the preset WMMF filter, the intraday net load output data is decomposed to obtain several kinds of fluctuation components; 根据所述波动分量计算得到所述电力系统的灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本;calculating the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility of the power system according to the fluctuation component; 根据所述灵活性不足概率和所述灵活性平均成本对所述电力系统进行评估并对所述电力系统进行功率的调整。Evaluate the power system and adjust the power of the power system according to the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility. 2.如权利要求1所述的电力系统的灵活性评估方法,其特征在于,所述根据预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法对所述日内净负荷出力数据进行分解得到若干种波动分量,具体包括:2. The flexibility assessment method of power system as claimed in claim 1, is characterized in that, described intraday net load output data is decomposed according to the multi-scale decomposition algorithm of preset WMMF filter and obtains several kinds of fluctuation components , including: 将所述日内净负荷出力数据分解为分钟级波动分量、十几分钟级波动分量以及小时级波动分量;Decomposing the intraday net load output data into minute-level fluctuation components, ten-minute-level fluctuation components, and hour-level fluctuation components; 通过对所述分钟级波动分量、所述十几分钟级波动分量以及所述小时级波动分量分别进行波动辨识,将所述分钟级波动分量、所述十几分钟级波动分量以及所述小时级波动分量分别划分为向上爬坡段及向下爬坡段。By performing fluctuation identification on the minute-level fluctuation component, the ten-minute-level fluctuation component, and the hour-level fluctuation component, the minute-level fluctuation component, the ten-minute-level fluctuation component, and the hour-level fluctuation component The fluctuation component is divided into uphill climbing section and downhill climbing section respectively. 3.如权利要求2所述的电力系统的灵活性评估方法,其特征在于,所述根据所述波动分量计算得到所述电力系统的灵活性不足概率指标和灵活性平均成本指标,具体包括:3. The flexibility evaluation method of the power system according to claim 2, wherein the calculation according to the fluctuation component to obtain the probability index of insufficient flexibility and the average cost index of flexibility of the power system specifically includes: 通过统计各个爬坡段的爬坡幅值获取该爬坡段对应的灵活性的需求;Obtain the flexibility requirements corresponding to the climbing section by counting the climbing amplitude of each climbing section; 通过各个爬坡段的爬坡时间、爬坡运行点以及灵活性资源出力特性获取对应的可用灵活性资源;Obtain the corresponding available flexible resources through the climbing time of each climbing section, the climbing operation point and the output characteristics of flexible resources; 分别对各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源与所述灵活性需求进行比较得到灵活性不足爬坡段数以及总爬坡段数;Comparing the available flexibility resources and the flexibility requirements in each climbing section respectively to obtain the number of climbing sections with insufficient flexibility and the total number of climbing sections; 根据所述灵活性不足爬坡段以及总爬坡段数计算得到所述灵活性不足概率;The probability of insufficiency in flexibility is calculated according to the inflexibility insufficiency climbing section and the total number of climbing sections; 根据各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源以及所述灵活性需求计算得到所述灵活性平均成本。The average cost of flexibility is calculated according to the available flexibility resources and the flexibility requirements in each climbing section. 4.如权利要求3所述的电力系统的灵活性评估方法,其特征在于,所述根据各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源以及所述灵活性需求计算得到所述灵活性平均成本,具体为:4. The flexibility evaluation method of electric power system as claimed in claim 3, is characterized in that, described according to described available flexibility resource and described flexibility requirement calculation in each climbing section obtains described flexibility average cost ,Specifically: 其中,为灵活性平均成本;Di为第i个爬坡段内的灵活性需求;Fi,j、ΔFi,j分别为第i个爬坡段中第j种资源的可调用量和实际调用量;Cj为第j种资源的灵活性单位调用成本。in, is the average cost of flexibility; D i is the flexibility demand in the i-th climbing section; F i,j , ΔF i,j are the callable amount and actual invocation of the j-th resource in the i-th climbing section, respectively amount; C j is the flexibility unit invocation cost of the jth resource. 5.一种电力系统的灵活性评估装置,其特征在于,包括:5. A flexibility assessment device for a power system, comprising: 数据获取模块,用于根据电力系统的历史负荷出力以及可再生能源的出力得到日内净负荷出力数据;The data acquisition module is used to obtain daily net load output data according to the historical load output of the power system and the output of renewable energy; 数据分解模块,用于根据预设的WMMF滤波器的多尺度分解算法对所述日内净负荷出力数据进行分解;The data decomposition module is used to decompose the intraday net load output data according to the multi-scale decomposition algorithm of the preset WMMF filter; 计算模块,用于根据分解后的所述日内净负荷出力数据计算得到所述电力系统的灵活性不足概率和灵活性平均成本;A calculation module, configured to calculate the probability of insufficiency of flexibility and the average cost of flexibility of the power system according to the decomposed intraday net load output data; 评估模块,用于根据所述灵活性不足概率和所述灵活性平均成本对所述电力系统进行评估并对所述电力系统进行功率的调整。An evaluation module, configured to evaluate the power system and adjust the power of the power system according to the probability of insufficient flexibility and the average cost of flexibility. 6.如权利要求5所述的电力系统的灵活性评估装置,其特征在于,所述数据分解模块包括:6. The flexibility evaluation device of electric power system as claimed in claim 5, is characterized in that, described data decomposition module comprises: 波动分量获取模块,用于将所述日内净负荷出力数据分解为分钟级波动分量、十几分钟级波动分量以及小时级波动分量;A fluctuation component acquisition module, configured to decompose the intraday net load output data into minute-level fluctuation components, ten-minute-level fluctuation components, and hour-level fluctuation components; 波动辨别模块,用于通过对所述分钟级波动分量、所述十几分钟级波动分量以及所述小时级波动分量分别进行波动辨识,将所述分钟级波动分量、所述十几分钟级波动分量以及所述小时级波动分量分别划分为向上爬坡段及向下爬坡段。The fluctuation identification module is configured to identify the minute-level fluctuation component, the ten-minute-level fluctuation component, and the hour-level fluctuation component by respectively performing fluctuation identification on the minute-level fluctuation The component and the hour-level fluctuation component are divided into an upward climbing segment and a downward climbing segment, respectively. 7.如权利要求6所述的电力系统的灵活性评估装置,其特征在于,所述计算模块包括:7. The flexibility evaluation device of electric power system as claimed in claim 6, is characterized in that, described computing module comprises: 灵活性的需求获取模块,用于通过统计各个爬坡段的爬坡幅值获取该爬坡段对应的灵活性的需求;The flexibility demand acquisition module is used to obtain the flexibility demand corresponding to the climbing section by counting the climbing amplitude of each climbing section; 可用灵活性资源获取模块,用于通过各个爬坡段的爬坡时间、爬坡运行点以及灵活性资源出力特性获取对应的可用灵活性资源;The available flexible resource acquisition module is used to obtain the corresponding available flexible resources through the climbing time of each climbing section, the climbing operation point and the output characteristics of the flexible resources; 统计模块,用于分别对各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源与所述灵活性需求进行比较得到灵活性不足爬坡段数以及总爬坡段数;A statistical module, configured to compare the available flexibility resources and the flexibility requirements in each climbing section to obtain the number of climbing sections with insufficient flexibility and the total number of climbing sections; 灵活性不足概率计算模块,用于根据所述灵活性不足爬坡段以及总爬坡段数计算得到所述灵活性不足概率;Insufficient flexibility probability calculation module, used to calculate the insufficient flexibility probability according to the inflexible climbing section and the total number of climbing sections; 灵活性平均成本计算模块,用于根据各个爬坡段内的所述可用灵活性资源以及所述灵活性需求计算得到所述灵活性平均成本。A flexibility average cost calculation module, configured to calculate and obtain the flexibility average cost according to the available flexibility resources and the flexibility requirements in each climbing section. 8.一种电力系统的灵活性评估设备,其特征在于,包括处理器、存储器以及存储在所述存储器中且被配置为由所述处理器执行的计算机程序,所述处理器执行所述计算机程序时实现如权利要求1至4中任意一项所述的电力系统的灵活性评估方法。8. A flexibility evaluation device for a power system, characterized in that it includes a processor, a memory, and a computer program stored in the memory and configured to be executed by the processor, and the processor executes the computer program The program realizes the flexibility evaluation method of the power system according to any one of claims 1 to 4. 9.一种计算机可读存储介质,其特征在于,所述计算机可读存储介质包括存储的计算机程序,其中,在所述计算机程序运行时控制所述计算机可读存储介质所在设备执行如权利要求1至4中任意一项所述的电力系统的灵活性评估方法。9. A computer-readable storage medium, characterized in that the computer-readable storage medium includes a stored computer program, wherein when the computer program is running, the device where the computer-readable storage medium is located is controlled to execute The flexibility evaluation method of the power system described in any one of 1 to 4.
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