CN110211325A - A kind of area road icing high precision monitor early warning system based on meteorological big data - Google Patents

A kind of area road icing high precision monitor early warning system based on meteorological big data Download PDF

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CN110211325A
CN110211325A CN201910567666.8A CN201910567666A CN110211325A CN 110211325 A CN110211325 A CN 110211325A CN 201910567666 A CN201910567666 A CN 201910567666A CN 110211325 A CN110211325 A CN 110211325A
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data
forecast
meteorological
observation
early warning
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隆岩
刘锋
宋单
杨雄
王金鑫
林伟文
成研
董庆
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Fengyun Bowei Intelligent Information Technology (wuxi) Co Ltd
Shanghai Tongwang Information Technology Co Ltd
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Fengyun Bowei Intelligent Information Technology (wuxi) Co Ltd
Shanghai Tongwang Information Technology Co Ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08BSIGNALLING OR CALLING SYSTEMS; ORDER TELEGRAPHS; ALARM SYSTEMS
    • G08B19/00Alarms responsive to two or more different undesired or abnormal conditions, e.g. burglary and fire, abnormal temperature and abnormal rate of flow
    • G08B19/02Alarm responsive to formation or anticipated formation of ice
    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08BSIGNALLING OR CALLING SYSTEMS; ORDER TELEGRAPHS; ALARM SYSTEMS
    • G08B29/00Checking or monitoring of signalling or alarm systems; Prevention or correction of operating errors, e.g. preventing unauthorised operation
    • G08B29/18Prevention or correction of operating errors
    • G08B29/185Signal analysis techniques for reducing or preventing false alarms or for enhancing the reliability of the system
    • G08B29/188Data fusion; cooperative systems, e.g. voting among different detectors

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  • General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Computer Security & Cryptography (AREA)
  • Management, Administration, Business Operations System, And Electronic Commerce (AREA)

Abstract

The area road icing high precision monitor early warning system based on meteorological big data that the invention discloses a kind of, including hardware running environment is built, live data is collected and analysis, Mesoscale Numerical Forecast tool NONLINEAR CALCULATION, the linearity correction of temperature DATA PROCESSING IN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM result, region Surface Temperature Retrieval and area road icing conditions early warning.The beneficial effects of the present invention are: introducing the data of meteorological satellite, the dimension of meteorological measuring is expanded, participates in the Data Assimilation of Numerical Prediction Models, improves the precision of forecast result indirectly;Numerical model DATA PROCESSING IN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM is introduced, when gathering forecast result, using sliding training period, weight coefficient changes at any time, improves accuracy;The relationship of temperature, surface temperature, steam under different geographical environments is sought by linear analysis using a variety of representative stations, then from point to surface, improves the accuracy of area road icing conditions prediction.

Description

A kind of area road icing high precision monitor early warning system based on meteorological big data
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of monitoring and warning system, specially a kind of area road based on meteorological big data freezes high-precision Monitoring and warning system is spent, Atmospheric Survey and weather forecasting techniques field are belonged to.
Background technique
With the development and scientific and technological progress of social economy, communications and transportation has become national economy production and people's social life Important lifeblood, however, the links of communications and transportation are all directly affected by meteorological condition.According to statistics, China is public Having in the traffic accident of road has the ratio for having 65% in 71%, direct economic loss in 50%, particularly serious traffic accident In the bad weather generated by bad-weather condition, in winter and early spring, the influence of icy road are especially pronounced.There is road When icing, since wheel and pavement friction effect weaken significantly, it is easy to skid, stops and do not live vehicle, cause traffic accident.Pedestrian also holds It easily slips, causes tumble injury, the existing Meteorological Services for icy road, first is that carrying out icy road using automatic weather station Monitoring, then with detection result carry out early warning;Second is that estimating the road that may occur using the temperature record in weather forecast result Road freezes.
However for existing Meteorological Services, one, current meteorological observation, mostly Single Point Surveying can not be to big regions Icy road situation under interior a variety of geographical environments is monitored, although secondly, surface temperature and temperature exist it is preferable related Relationship, but the influence of the related receptor many factors of the two.The variation of surface temperature is by shadows such as atural object property, dry and wet conditions It rings, and temperature is influenced by surrounding enviroment.Therefore, the forecast data for only using temperature, can not accurately predict icy road feelings Condition, thirdly, icy road in addition to surface temperature mutually outside the Pass, it is also related with moisture content, even if also having can there is no precipitation Icing phenomenon can occur, the moisture content that automatic weather station cannot achieve big region totally monitors.
Summary of the invention
The object of the invention is that providing a kind of area road based on meteorological big data to solve the above-mentioned problems Icing high precision monitor early warning system.
The present invention is through the following technical solutions to achieve the above objectives: a kind of area road based on meteorological big data freezes High precision monitor early warning system, comprising the following steps:
Step 1, hardware running environment are built, and the server cluster skill of the ultrahigh speed network based on Infiniband is passed through Art completes concurrent operation, and solves the bandwidth and capacity problem of data interaction storage, carries out at meteorological data data to meet A large amount of intensive operations required for managing;
Step 2, live data are collected, are analyzed, and by automatic weather station, obtain real-time dry-bulb temperature (temperature), earth's surface The meteorological elements such as temperature, icy road, relative temperature, wind speed, precipitation, evaporation capacity, radiation flux, visibility;
Wherein, each website represents a kind of road region classification, and the back or sunny side including mountain area, rivers,lakes and seas are attached Closely, Plain etc..
Step 3, Mesoscale Numerical Forecast tool (WRF) NONLINEAR CALCULATION, by above-mentioned weather observation data and European mid-term The GFS numerical forecast mould of the EC Numerical Prediction Models of Climate Prediction Center (ECMWF), Environmental forecasting centre (NECP) The data importing data pool of formula initial fields, boundary field, then by carrying out Data Assimilation with three-dimensional variational algorithm (3D-Var);
It is assumed that the observation of meteorological variables is O, and the background value (such as predicted value of average value, numerical model) of the variable For F, variance σOAnd σF, then obtain a weighted average:
Above-mentioned A is the minimum of following valence function J (S) in fact:
Assuming that there is the measurement S from distinct methods to variable S1、S2..., SN, error ∈n=Sn- S, it is assumed that error be with Machine, unbiased < ∈nThe error of >=0, and Normal Distribution, n-th of observation falls in ∈nAnd ∈n+dnBetween probability be
Error variance:
Have for N number of observation:
If
When I minimalization, maximal possibility estimation is obtained.
By I to SaFirst derivative be zero to obtain:
The maximal possibility estimation of S is the weighted average of Sn, and weight is the inverse of the error variance of each measurement.
As N=2, objective function is introduced:
Wherein, x is situational variables, xbIt is ambient field, x, xbFor N-dimensional vector, yoIt is observation, y is exported by situational variables Value, y=H (x), H are known as Observation Operators, yo, y be M dimensional vector, B is background error covariance, and O is observation error covariance, B is N*N matrix, and O is M*M matrix.
Mathematically it can be proved that the best estimate (analysis field) of x is:
X=xb+[B-1+HTO-1H]-1HTO-1(yo-Hxb)
It is the minimal point of objective function, directly asks x extremely difficult, and the minimal point of J is generally found with descent algorithm, is calculated Gradient formula is:
Wherein,The referred to as tangent linear operator of Observation Operators.
Step 4, temperature DATA PROCESSING IN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM result linearity correction, firstly, access 6 groups of temperature forecast results and this pre- call time Live detection data;Secondly, time series is divided into training period, forecast period by the way of establishing multiple linear regression model; In training period, the multiple linear regression model of 6 groups of predicted values and observation is established, by using the polynary of predicted value and observation Linear regression analysis, the weight coefficient of certain 6 groups of forecast results, and finally forecast with 1 group of this weight coefficient acquisition forecast period As a result;
Wherein, multiple linear regression model
In some given lattice point, for a certain meteorological element of a certain Time effect forecast:
Wherein, O is that the observation of training period is average, aiIt is the weight coefficient for participating in the ith member of set, FiWithPoint It is not the predicted value and its forecast average value in training period of i-th of mode, N is the mode sum for participating in superset forecast. Wherein weight coefficient aiIt is calculated and is obtained by the minimum of the error term G in above-mentioned training period equation:
Wherein, N is training period time samples number, St' and Ot' it is the superset of training period and the deviation of observation field respectively, The operation on the format of each mode of this equation.And the foundation of multi-mode superset forecasting procedure is to rely on error covariance Matrix, it is mode field deviation F againi' and Fj' establish, therefore, the weight coefficient of each mode is calculated by error matrix C and is obtained:
Wherein, N is training period time samples number, Fi' (t) and Fj' (t) is the pre- of i-th of mode and j-th mode respectively Report value anomaly, establishes linear algebraic equation.
Wherein,
oi' it is observation anomaly, [CI, j] matrix that is, [ai] be n × n matrix,For the matrix of n × 1, application Gauss-Jordan null method solves, and obtains substituting into formula.
The numerical forecast data of temperature are substituted into the linear relationship of step 2, are finally inversed by by step 5, region Surface Temperature Retrieval The surface temperature result of whole region;
Step 6, area road icing conditions early warning, by the numerical forecast data of steam, the surface temperature result of step 5 with The critical value section of step 2 is compared, and predicts the icy road situation of whole region, and carries out early warning.
Preferably, in order to promote the precision of forecast result indirectly, in the step 2, pass through meteorological satellite, obtain automatic gas As long wave, the shortwave, steam data of region of standing, and isolate the single-point steam data of site location.
Preferably, in order to obtaining newest forecast result, the step 2 by analytical calculation to real time data In, the data of collection are real-time transmitted to cloud server by wired or wireless way.
Preferably, in order to improve accuracy of the forecast, in the step 4, training period is sliding training period, and system is continuous Subsequent live data and forecast result are accessed, contrast verification is able to carry out, newest weight coefficient is obtained, introduces Numerical-Mode Formula DATA PROCESSING IN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM, when gathering forecast result, using sliding training period, weight coefficient changes at any time.
Preferably, for the accuracy of lifting region icy road condition predicting, in the step 4, by linear analysis, Seek the relationship of temperature, surface temperature, steam under different geographical environments.
It is set the beneficial effects of the present invention are: being somebody's turn to do the area road icing high precision monitor early warning system based on meteorological big data Meter is reasonable:
(1) data for introducing meteorological satellite expand the dimension of meteorological measuring, participate in the money of Numerical Prediction Models Material assimilation, improves the precision of forecast result indirectly;
(2) numerical model DATA PROCESSING IN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM is introduced, when gathering forecast result, using sliding training period, weight Coefficient changes at any time, improves accuracy;
(3) temperature, surface temperature, water under different geographical environments are sought by linear analysis using a variety of representative stations The relationship of vapour, then from point to surface, improve the accuracy of area road icing conditions prediction.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is present system flow diagram;
Fig. 2 is surface temperature of the present invention and temperature linear relationship schematic diagram;
Fig. 3 is surface temperature of the present invention and temperature linear relationship schematic diagram;
Fig. 4 is surface temperature of the present invention and temperature linear relationship schematic diagram;
Fig. 5 is meteorological distribution schematic diagram in the embodiment of the present invention;
Fig. 6 is icing probability distribution schematic diagram in the embodiment of the present invention.
Specific embodiment
Following will be combined with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and technical solution in the embodiment of the present invention carries out clear, complete Site preparation description, it is clear that described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, instead of all the embodiments.It is based on Embodiment in the present invention, it is obtained by those of ordinary skill in the art without making creative efforts every other Embodiment shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
Please refer to Fig. 1~6, a kind of area road icing high precision monitor early warning system based on meteorological big data, including Following steps:
Step 1, hardware running environment are built, and the server cluster skill of the ultrahigh speed network based on Infiniband is passed through Art completes concurrent operation, and solves the bandwidth and capacity problem of data interaction storage, carries out at meteorological data data to meet A large amount of intensive operations required for managing;
Step 2, live data are collected, are analyzed, and by automatic weather station, obtain real-time dry-bulb temperature (temperature), earth's surface The meteorological elements such as temperature, icy road, relative temperature, wind speed, precipitation, evaporation capacity, radiation flux, visibility are collected meteorology and are defended Long wave, shortwave, steam data, the temperature of the automatic weather station in multiple representative places, surface temperature, icy road state of star And the global number of the live datas of the elements such as relative humidity, precipitation, evaporation capacity, radiation flux, European mid-term Climate Prediction Center Be worth the initial fields of Forecast Mode ECMWF, ambient field, U.S. environment forecasting centre global numerical Forecast Mode GFS initial fields, Ambient field, and the single-point steam data of site location are isolated, the data of meteorological satellite are introduced, meteorological measuring is expanded Dimension, participate in the Data Assimilation of Numerical Prediction Models, improve the precision of forecast result indirectly;
Wherein, each website represents a kind of road region classification, and the back or sunny side including mountain area, rivers,lakes and seas are attached Closely, Plain etc..
The data of collection are real-time transmitted to cloud server by wired or wireless way, enable the data collected into Row quickly transmission, and then newest forecast result can be obtained by the analytical calculation to real time data.
Step 3, Mesoscale Numerical Forecast tool (WRF) NONLINEAR CALCULATION, by above-mentioned weather observation data and European mid-term The GFS numerical forecast mould of the EC Numerical Prediction Models of Climate Prediction Center (ECMWF), Environmental forecasting centre (NECP) The data importing data pool of formula initial fields, boundary field, then by carrying out Data Assimilation with three-dimensional variational algorithm (3D-Var), After the completion of Data Assimilation, 3 kinds of physico parametric schemes are chosen, calculate 6 groups of forecast results, each pattern, every group of scheme difference Calculate 1 group of result;
It is assumed that the observation of meteorological variables is O, and the background value (such as predicted value of average value, numerical model) of the variable For F, variance σOAnd σF, then obtain a weighted average:
Above-mentioned A is the minimum of following valence function J (S) in fact:
Assuming that there is the measurement S from distinct methods to variable S1、S2..., SN, error ∈n=Sn- S, it is assumed that error be with Machine, unbiased < ∈nThe error of >=0, and Normal Distribution, n-th of observation falls in ∈nAnd ∈n+dnBetween probability be
Error variance:
Have for N number of observation:
If
When I minimalization, maximal possibility estimation is obtained.
By I to SaFirst derivative be zero to obtain:
The maximal possibility estimation of S is the weighted average of Sn, and weight is the inverse of the error variance of each measurement.
As N=2, objective function is introduced:
Wherein, x is situational variables, xbIt is ambient field, x, xbFor N-dimensional vector, yoIt is observation, y is exported by situational variables Value, y=H (x), H are known as Observation Operators, yo, y be M dimensional vector, B is background error covariance, and O is observation error covariance, B is N*N matrix, and O is M*M matrix.
Mathematically it can be proved that the best estimate (analysis field) of x is:
X=xb+[B-1+HTO-1H]-1HTO-1(yo-Hxb)
It is the minimal point of objective function, directly asks x extremely difficult, and the minimal point of J is generally found with descent algorithm, is calculated Gradient formula is:
Wherein,The referred to as tangent linear operator of Observation Operators.
Step 4, temperature DATA PROCESSING IN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM result linearity correction, firstly, access 6 groups of temperature forecast results and this pre- call time Live detection data;Secondly, time series is divided into training period, forecast period by the way of establishing multiple linear regression model; In training period, the multiple linear regression model of 6 groups of predicted values and observation is established, by using the polynary of predicted value and observation The relationship of temperature, surface temperature, steam under different geographical environments is sought in linear regression analysis, improves area road icing shape The accuracy of condition prediction, the weight coefficient of certain 6 groups of forecast results, and it is finally pre- with 1 group of this weight coefficient acquisition forecast period Report is as a result, training period is sliding training period, and system constantly accesses subsequent live data and forecast result, is able to carry out comparison Verifying, obtains newest weight coefficient, introduces numerical model DATA PROCESSING IN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM, when gathering forecast result, using cunning Dynamic training period, weight coefficient change at any time, improve accuracy;
Wherein, multiple linear regression model
In some given lattice point, for a certain meteorological element of a certain Time effect forecast:
Wherein, O is that the observation of training period is average, aiIt is the weight coefficient for participating in the ith member of set, FiWithPoint It is not the predicted value and its forecast average value in training period of i-th of mode, N is the mode sum for participating in superset forecast. Wherein weight coefficient aiIt is calculated and is obtained by the minimum of the error term G in above-mentioned training period equation:
Wherein, N is training period time samples number, St' and Ot' it is the superset of training period and the deviation of observation field respectively, The operation on the format of each mode of this equation.And the foundation of multi-mode superset forecasting procedure is to rely on error covariance Matrix, it is mode field deviation F againi' and Fj' establish, therefore, the weight coefficient of each mode is calculated by error matrix C and is obtained:
Wherein, N is training period time samples number, Fi' (t) and Fj' (t) is the pre- of i-th of mode and j-th mode respectively Report value anomaly, establishes linear algebraic equation.
Wherein,
oi' it is observation anomaly, [CI, j] matrix that is, [ai] be n × n matrix,For the matrix of n × 1, application Gauss-Jordan null method solves, and obtains substituting into formula.
The numerical forecast data of temperature are substituted into the linear relationship of step 2, are finally inversed by by step 5, region Surface Temperature Retrieval The surface temperature result of whole region;
Step 6, area road icing conditions early warning, by the numerical forecast data of steam, the surface temperature result of step 5 with The critical value section of step 2 is compared, and predicts the icy road situation of whole region, and carries out early warning.
Working principle: when using the area road icing high precision monitor early warning system based on meteorological big data, draw The data for having entered meteorological satellite expand the dimension of meteorological measuring, participate in the Data Assimilation of Numerical Prediction Models, mention indirectly The precision of forecast result is risen;Numerical model DATA PROCESSING IN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM is introduced, when gathering forecast result, is trained using sliding Phase, weight coefficient change at any time, improve accuracy;It is sought not using a variety of representative stations by linear analysis With the relationship of temperature, surface temperature, steam under geographical environment, then from point to surface, the prediction of area road icing conditions is improved Accuracy.
It is obvious to a person skilled in the art that invention is not limited to the details of the above exemplary embodiments, Er Qie In the case where without departing substantially from spirit or essential attributes of the invention, the present invention can be realized in other specific forms.Therefore, no matter From the point of view of which point, the present embodiments are to be considered as illustrative and not restrictive, and the scope of the present invention is by appended power Benefit requires rather than above description limits, it is intended that all by what is fallen within the meaning and scope of the equivalent elements of the claims Variation is included within the present invention.Any reference signs in the claims should not be construed as limiting the involved claims.
In addition, it should be understood that although this specification is described in terms of embodiments, but not each embodiment is only wrapped Containing an independent technical solution, this description of the specification is merely for the sake of clarity, and those skilled in the art should It considers the specification as a whole, the technical solutions in the various embodiments may also be suitably combined, forms those skilled in the art The other embodiments being understood that.

Claims (5)

1. a kind of area road icing high precision monitor early warning system based on meteorological big data, it is characterised in that: including following Step:
Step 1, hardware running environment are built, complete by the server cluster technology of the ultrahigh speed network based on Infiniband At concurrent operation, and the bandwidth and capacity problem of data interaction storage are solved, carries out meteorological data data processing institute to meet The a large amount of intensive operations needed;
Step 2, live data are collected, are analyzed, and by automatic weather station, obtain real-time dry-bulb temperature, surface temperature, road knot The meteorological elements such as ice, relative temperature, wind speed, precipitation, evaporation capacity, radiation flux, visibility;
Wherein, each website represents a kind of road region classification, near the back or sunny side, rivers,lakes and seas including mountain area, Plain;
Step 3, Mesoscale Numerical Forecast tool NONLINEAR CALCULATION, will be in above-mentioned weather observation data and European mid-term weather forecast The EC Numerical Prediction Models of the heart, the GFS Numerical Prediction Models initial fields in Environmental forecasting centre, boundary field data lead Enter data pool, then by carrying out Data Assimilation with three-dimensional variational algorithm;
It is assumed that the observation of meteorological variables is O, and the background value of the variable is F, variance σOAnd σF, then obtain a weighting Average value:
Above-mentioned A is the minimum of following valence function J (S) in fact:
Assuming that there is the measurement S from distinct methods to variable S1、S2..., SN, error ∈n=Sn- S, it is assumed that error is random , unbiased < ∈nThe error of >=0, and Normal Distribution, n-th of observation falls in ∈nAnd ∈n+dnBetween probability be
Error variance:
Have for N number of observation:
If
When I minimalization, maximal possibility estimation is obtained;
By I to SaFirst derivative be zero to obtain:
The maximal possibility estimation of S is the weighted average of Sn, and weight is the inverse of the error variance of each measurement;
As N=2, objective function is introduced:
Wherein, x is situational variables, xbIt is ambient field, x, xbFor N-dimensional vector, yoIt is observation, y is as derived from situational variables Value, y=H (x), H are known as Observation Operators, yo, y be M dimensional vector, B is background error covariance, and O is observation error covariance, B For N*N matrix, O is M*M matrix.
Mathematically it can be proved that the best estimate (analysis field) of x is:
X=xb+[B-1+HTO-1H]-1HTO-1(yo-Hxb)
It is the minimal point of objective function, directly asks x extremely difficult, and the minimal point of J is generally found with descent algorithm, calculates gradient Formula is:
Wherein,The referred to as tangent linear operator of Observation Operators;
Step 4, temperature DATA PROCESSING IN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM result linearity correction, firstly, 6 groups of temperature forecast results of access and the pre- fact called time Detection data;Secondly, time series is divided into training period, forecast period by the way of establishing multiple linear regression model;It is instructing Practice the phase, the multiple linear regression model of 6 groups of predicted values and observation is established, by using the multiple linear of predicted value and observation Regression analysis, the weight coefficient of certain 6 groups of forecast results, and with 1 group of final forecast result of this weight coefficient acquisition forecast period;
Wherein, multiple linear regression model
In some given lattice point, for a certain meteorological element of a certain Time effect forecast:
Wherein, O is that the observation of training period is average, aiIt is the weight coefficient for participating in the ith member of set, FiWithIt is respectively The predicted value of i-th of mode and its forecast average value in training period, N are the mode sums for participating in superset forecast.Wherein Weight coefficient aiIt is calculated and is obtained by the minimum of the error term G in above-mentioned training period equation:
Wherein, N is training period time samples number, St' and Ot' it is the superset of training period and the deviation of observation field, this side respectively Journey operation on the format of each mode;And the foundation of multi-mode superset forecasting procedure is to rely on error covariance square Battle array, it is mode field deviation F againi' and Fj' establish, therefore, the weight coefficient of each mode is calculated by error matrix C and is obtained:
Wherein, N is training period time samples number, Fi' (t) and Fj' (t) is the predicted value of i-th of mode and j-th of mode respectively Anomaly establishes linear algebraic equation;
Wherein,
oi' it is observation anomaly, [CI, j] matrix that is, [ai] be n × n matrix,For the matrix of n × 1, using Gauss- Jordan null method solves, and obtains substituting into formula;
The numerical forecast data of temperature are substituted into the linear relationship of step 2 by step 5, region Surface Temperature Retrieval, are finally inversed by entire The surface temperature result in region;
Step 6, area road icing conditions early warning, by the numerical forecast data of steam, the surface temperature result of step 5 and step 2 critical value section is compared, and predicts the icy road situation of whole region, and carries out early warning.
2. a kind of area road icing high precision monitor early warning system based on meteorological big data according to claim 1, It is characterized by:, by meteorological satellite, obtaining long wave, shortwave, the steam number of automatic weather station region in the step 2 According to, and the single-point steam data of site location are isolated, the data of meteorological satellite are introduced, the dimension of meteorological measuring is expanded Degree, participates in the Data Assimilation of Numerical Prediction Models, improves the precision of forecast result indirectly.
3. a kind of area road icing high precision monitor early warning system based on meteorological big data according to claim 1, It is characterized by: the data of collection are real-time transmitted to cloud server, make to receive by wired or wireless way in the step 2 The data of collection are able to carry out quick transmission, and then can obtain newest forecast by the analytical calculation to real time data and tie Fruit.
4. a kind of area road icing high precision monitor early warning system based on meteorological big data according to claim 1, It is characterized by: training period is sliding training period, and system constantly accesses subsequent live data and forecast in the step 4 As a result, it is possible to compare verifying, newest weight coefficient is obtained, numerical model DATA PROCESSING IN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM is introduced, to forecast result When being gathered, using sliding training period, weight coefficient changes at any time, improves accuracy.
5. a kind of area road icing high precision monitor early warning system based on meteorological big data according to claim 1, It is characterized by:, by linear analysis, seeking the pass of temperature, surface temperature, steam under different geographical environments in the step 4 System improves the accuracy of area road icing conditions prediction.
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CN110909447A (en) * 2019-10-19 2020-03-24 中国电波传播研究所(中国电子科技集团公司第二十二研究所) High-precision short-term prediction method for ionization layer region
CN110941790A (en) * 2019-09-27 2020-03-31 成都信息工程大学 High-resolution numerical value-based low-altitude flight meteorological information processing method for unmanned aerial vehicle
CN111986464A (en) * 2020-07-15 2020-11-24 遵义同望智能科技有限公司 System for forecasting road icing based on dynamic method
CN112147719A (en) * 2020-09-29 2020-12-29 国家海洋环境预报中心 Storm surge set data forecasting method and device based on GPU parallel computing
CN112464567A (en) * 2020-12-08 2021-03-09 中国人民解放军国防科技大学 Intelligent data assimilation method based on variational and assimilative framework
CN112884219A (en) * 2021-02-07 2021-06-01 上海眼控科技股份有限公司 Ground icing prediction method and device, electronic equipment and storage medium
CN114819501A (en) * 2022-03-25 2022-07-29 云南省交通规划设计研究院有限公司 Road traffic meteorological Internet of things multi-source heterogeneous data processing method and system

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