CN109712024A - The method of ecological safety degree is influenced for assessing energy production and consumption in the process - Google Patents
The method of ecological safety degree is influenced for assessing energy production and consumption in the process Download PDFInfo
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- CN109712024A CN109712024A CN201910016220.6A CN201910016220A CN109712024A CN 109712024 A CN109712024 A CN 109712024A CN 201910016220 A CN201910016220 A CN 201910016220A CN 109712024 A CN109712024 A CN 109712024A
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Abstract
The method of ecological safety degree is influenced for assessing energy production and consumption in the process the present invention relates to a kind of, belongs to ecological energy security fields.This method specifically includes: S1: using Objective Comprehensive Evaluation Method method, constructs index system；S2: the development and utilization of overall merit national energy are come to ecological safety effect with national energy ecological safety impact evaluation index.The appraisal procedure through the invention, can obtain more comprehensively, more accurately ecological energy safe coefficient evaluation result.
Description
Technical field
The invention belongs to ecological energy security fields, and be related to one kind influences to give birth in the process for assessing energy production and consumption
The method of state safe coefficient.
Background technique
Pressure-state-response (Pressure-State-Response, PSR) model is by Economic Cooperation Development Organization
What (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, OECD) was proposed is used to study ring
The frame system of border problem embodies the interaction relationship between the mankind and environment, it is contemplated that pressure of the mankind's activity to environment
The response that power, the variation of the quality and quantity of natural resources and people change these, that is, the reduction taken, prevention and alleviation are certainly
The measure of the undesirable variation of right environment.
Index is drawn into system in PSR model and is divided into three systems, " pressure " i.e. human being's production and life activity are to ecological ring
The burden that border is applied, " state " be ecological environment, natural resources and social economy in terms of quality and quantity compression power influence
Caused by change, " response " is then the mankind by adjusting environmental policy, economic policy, with practical action and consciousness promoted come pair
The response that state change is made enables state to develop to safer direction.PSR model index relationship is simply clear, is
Stronger, the favor by the multi-field scholar such as environment, ecology, resource, economy extensively since proposition of system property.
The provincial administration cell based on Xinjiang Autonomous Region etc such as Ran Qiying, from 24 indexs using VC Method
It assigns different weights to be evaluated, discovery is due to survey region, Research scale, assessment indicator system building and weight selection side
Method is inconsistent to cause result and other researchs difference.
Zhu Yulin etc. is based on Megapolis unit, and grey weighted association method is utilized by taking Chang Zhu Tan as an example, calculates and judges
The safety index of its ecosystem carrying capacity researchs and analyses its from subsystems such as pressure, state, responses and builds national " amphitypy " society
Ecosystem carrying capacity safe early warning problem during trial zone.
Nanning and Zhu Chanchan are evaluated from an independent administrative division city, i.e., respectively with Yulin City and
Its ecological safety quality condition is evaluated for Baoji.Wherein effect point system and VC Method, Baoji is utilized in Yulin City
City has used mean square deviation enabling legislation.
It is research object that horse tinkling of pieces of jades etc., which then has chosen such a specific water head site of reservoir, is determined using analytic hierarchy process (AHP)
The weight of evaluation index carries out each rule layer and overall safety grade with Field Using Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment by choosing 14 indexs
Evaluation.
For the object that can carry out centrality, systematic assessment, thank to the agriculture that Hua Lin etc. analyzes 7 small towns in Daxing District
The industry ecosystem chooses the finger of more generally acknowledged reflection Agro-ecology health that is, according to Agro-ecological System feature and PSR model
After mark, the matter-element model for establishing type identification based on extension engineering method and Principal Component Analysis is evaluated.
Various appraisal procedures in summary can only all evaluate the ecological energy safety in individual fields, can not integrate and comment entirely
Estimate ecological energy Environmental security degree.Therefore, the present invention is directed to ecological energy environmental system, proposes one kind and is specially adapted for this
The pressure-state-response evaluation method of class system.
Summary of the invention
In view of this, the purpose of the present invention is to provide one kind to influence ecology for assessing energy production and consumption in the process
The method of safe coefficient.
In order to achieve the above objectives, the invention provides the following technical scheme:
A method of ecological safety degree being influenced in the process for assessing energy production and consumption, and this method specifically includes
Following steps:
S1: using Objective Comprehensive Evaluation Method method, constructs index system；
S2: the development and utilization of overall merit national energy are come to life with national energy ecological safety impact evaluation index [E (i)]
The degree of state security implication.
Further, in step S1, the index system includes: 8 of concentrated expression national energy development and utilization state
Pressure index, with energy exploitation and application it is closely related, reflection National Ecological Security state 9 state indexs and maintenance country
6 response indexs of ecological safety measure.
Further, part index number in the index system specifically:
(1) non-water power renewable energy power consumption amount specific gravity: non-water power renewable energy power consumption amount accounts for electric power and disappears
It receives the specific gravity of total amount, considers the index of power generation power structure clean level, directly inquiry acquisition；
(2) power generation consumption of coal accounts for the specific gravity of consumption of coal total amount: the intensive utilization for considering coal is horizontal, calculation method
Are as follows: power generation consumption of coal/consumption of coal total amount × 100%；
(3) unit construction land area terminal consumption of coal: considering the consumption intensity of the non-intensive utilization coal in cities and towns, calculates
Method are as follows: terminal consumption of coal/completed region of the city area；
(4) raw coal selective ratio: the source controlling extent to coal test pollution is embodied, can directly inquire and obtain
It takes；
(5) utilization rate to renewable energy, calculation method the average abandonment rate in the whole nation: are embodied are as follows:
Abandonment electricity/(generated energy+abandonment electricity) × 100%.
Further, in step S2, the national energy ecological safety impact evaluation index [E (i)] uses hundred-mark system, calculates
Formula are as follows:
Wherein, n is index quantity, x'ijIt (i) is normalized value of j-th of evaluation index at the i moment, ωjIt is commented for j-th
The weight of valence index, E (i) are the national energy ecological safety impact evaluation index at i moment.
Further, the weight of indices is calculated using power method.
The beneficial effects of the present invention are: the present invention uses Objective Comprehensive Evaluation Method method, index system is constructed, with country
Ecological energy security implication assessment index carrys out the development and utilization of overall merit national energy to ecological safety effect, uses this
Method, the evaluation result of acquisition is with more comprehensive, more precisely.
Detailed description of the invention
In order to keep the purpose of the present invention, technical scheme and beneficial effects clearer, the present invention provides following attached drawing and carries out
Illustrate:
Fig. 1 is ecological safety degree assessment method flow diagram of the present invention；
Fig. 2 is 2005~2016 years pressure, state, response system comprehensive assessment result figure；
Fig. 3 is 2005~2016 years China's ecological energy security implication assessment result figures.
Specific embodiment
Below in conjunction with attached drawing, a preferred embodiment of the present invention will be described in detail.
As shown in Figure 1, of the present invention influence the side of ecological safety degree for assessing energy production and consumption in the process
Method, comprising the following steps:
S1: using Objective Comprehensive Evaluation Method method, constructs index system；
S2: the development and utilization of overall merit national energy are come to life with national energy ecological safety impact evaluation index [E (i)]
The degree of state security implication.National energy ecological safety impact evaluation index uses hundred-mark system, and calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein, n is index quantity, x'ijIt (i) is normalized value of j-th of evaluation index at the i moment, ωjIt is commented for j-th
The weight of valence index, E (i) are the national energy ecological safety impact evaluation index at i moment.
8 pressure indexs of concentrated expression national energy development and utilization state are chosen, it is closely related with energy exploitation and application
, 9 state indexs of reflection National Ecological Security state and 6 response indexs for safeguarding National Ecological Security measure, totally 23
A evaluation index forms national energy ecological safety impact evaluation index system, and unit, direction, the threshold value of each evaluation index are shown in Table
1.Wherein, the index for being related to GDP is all made of fixed price level calculation in 2005, and the intension and value to part index number illustrate such as
Under:
(1) non-water power renewable energy power consumption amount specific gravity: non-water power renewable energy power consumption amount accounts for electric power and disappears
It receives the specific gravity of total amount, considers the index of power generation power structure clean level, directly inquiry acquisition；
(2) power generation consumption of coal accounts for the specific gravity of consumption of coal total amount: the intensive utilization for considering coal is horizontal, calculation method
Are as follows: power generation consumption of coal/consumption of coal total amount × 100%；
(3) unit construction land area terminal consumption of coal: considering the consumption intensity of the non-intensive utilization coal in cities and towns, calculates
Method are as follows: terminal consumption of coal/completed region of the city area；
(4) raw coal selective ratio: the source controlling extent to coal test pollution is embodied, can directly inquire and obtain
It takes；
(5) utilization rate to renewable energy, calculation method the average abandonment rate in the whole nation: are embodied are as follows:
Abandonment electricity/(generated energy+abandonment electricity) × 100%.
Each evaluation index threshold values table of table 1
Indices threshold values calculates basis in table 1: (1) according to statistical data in 2013, unit construction land area terminal coal
Minimum 0.66 ten thousand t/km in charcoal consumption figure Beijing2, Guizhou is up to 7.49 ten thousand t/km2；(2) 2005 years are ten thousand yuan of 1.40t/, are arrived
The year two thousand twenty decline 15% in than 2015 is ten thousand yuan of 0.78t/；(3) 2014 years world average levels are 5925m3/ people；(4)2014
Year, world average level was 2.96 mu/people, and the warning line that FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nation) delimit is 0.8 mu/people of per capita area of cultivated farmland；
(5) 2016 years, monitor city PM2.5Average annual concentration maxima is 158 μ g/m3, minimum value is 12 μ g/m3；It is within (6) 2005 years
Ten thousand yuan of 3.23t/, be ten thousand yuan of 1.13~1.29t/ to the year two thousand thirty decline 60%~65%；(7) it is mentioned in " ecological environmental protection planning "
The year two thousand twenty control target out is 15%；8. global average level is about 2~3%.
Based on PSR model and Objective Comprehensive Evaluation Method method, referred to using the national energy ecological safety impact evaluation of foundation
Several and evaluation index system can be right in conjunction with the authoritative statistical yearbook of China's energy and environmental area 2005~2016 years each years
2005~2016 years ecological energy levels of security in China are evaluated, and (part index number is after it starts to carry weight statistical data
Side participates in evaluation, therefore the annual index quantity for participating in evaluation is not quite similar), specific embodiment is as follows:
(1) normalized value of indices is calculated, the results are shown in Table 2:
The normalized value table of 2 2005~2016 years indices of table
Note: Na indicates no data.
(2) equal Quan Fangfa is used, the weighted value of indices is calculated, final China's energy influences the evaluation knot of ecological safety
Fruit is as shown in Figure 3；Wherein Fig. 2 is that 2005~2016 years pressure, state, response system based on the calculating acquisition of PSR model are comprehensive
Close assessment result.
Finally, it is stated that preferred embodiment above is only used to illustrate the technical scheme of the present invention and not to limit it, although logical
It crosses above preferred embodiment the present invention is described in detail, however, those skilled in the art should understand that, can be
Various changes are made to it in form and in details, without departing from claims of the present invention limited range.
Claims (5)
1. a kind of influence the method for ecological safety degree for assessing energy production and consumption in the process, which is characterized in that the party
Method specifically includes the following steps:
S1: using Objective Comprehensive Evaluation Method method, constructs index system；
S2: the development and utilization of overall merit national energy are come with national energy ecological safety impact evaluation index [E (i)], ecology is pacified
Full effect.
2. according to claim 1 influence the method for ecological safety degree for assessing energy production and consumption in the process,
It is characterized in that, the index system includes: 8 pressure of concentrated expression national energy development and utilization state in step S1
Index, with energy exploitation and application it is closely related, reflection National Ecological Security state 9 state indexs and maintenance country ecology
6 response indexs of safety measure.
3. according to claim 2 influence the method for ecological safety degree for assessing energy production and consumption in the process,
It is characterized in that, part index number in the index system specifically:
(1) non-water power renewable energy power consumption amount specific gravity: it is total that non-water power renewable energy power consumption amount accounts for power consumption
The specific gravity of amount, directly inquiry obtain；
(2) power generation consumption of coal accounts for the calculation method of the specific gravity of consumption of coal total amount are as follows:
Generate electricity consumption of coal/consumption of coal total amount × 100%；
(3) calculation method of unit construction land area terminal consumption of coal are as follows: terminal consumption of coal/completed region of the city face
Product；
(4) raw coal selective ratio: directly inquiry obtains；
(5) utilization rate to renewable energy, calculation method the average abandonment rate in the whole nation: are embodied are as follows:
Abandonment electricity/(generated energy+abandonment electricity) × 100%.
4. according to claim 1 influence the method for ecological safety degree for assessing energy production and consumption in the process,
It is characterized in that, the national energy ecological safety impact evaluation index [E (i)] uses hundred-mark system, calculation formula in step S2
Are as follows:
Wherein, n is index quantity, x'ijIt (i) is normalized value of j-th of evaluation index at the i moment, ωjRefer to for j-th of evaluation
Target weight, E (i) are the national energy ecological safety impact evaluation index at i moment.
5. according to claim 4 influence the method for ecological safety degree for assessing energy production and consumption in the process,
It is characterized in that, calculating the weight of indices using power method.
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Cited By (1)
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