CN109658987A - A kind of hydrofining catalyst carrier property prediction technique - Google Patents

A kind of hydrofining catalyst carrier property prediction technique Download PDF

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CN109658987A
CN109658987A CN201811532214.8A CN201811532214A CN109658987A CN 109658987 A CN109658987 A CN 109658987A CN 201811532214 A CN201811532214 A CN 201811532214A CN 109658987 A CN109658987 A CN 109658987A
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catalyst carrier
hydrofining catalyst
data
neural network
model
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李�昊
辛靖
杨国明
侯章贵
陈松
吴颖
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China National Offshore Oil Corp CNOOC
CNOOC Research Institute of Refining and Petrochemicals Beijing Co Ltd
CNOOC Qingdao Heavy Oil Processing Engineering Technology Research Center Co Ltd
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China National Offshore Oil Corp CNOOC
CNOOC Research Institute of Refining and Petrochemicals Beijing Co Ltd
CNOOC Qingdao Heavy Oil Processing Engineering Technology Research Center Co Ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06NCOMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N3/00Computing arrangements based on biological models
    • G06N3/02Neural networks
    • G06N3/04Architecture, e.g. interconnection topology
    • G06N3/044Recurrent networks, e.g. Hopfield networks
    • CCHEMISTRY; METALLURGY
    • C10PETROLEUM, GAS OR COKE INDUSTRIES; TECHNICAL GASES CONTAINING CARBON MONOXIDE; FUELS; LUBRICANTS; PEAT
    • C10GCRACKING HYDROCARBON OILS; PRODUCTION OF LIQUID HYDROCARBON MIXTURES, e.g. BY DESTRUCTIVE HYDROGENATION, OLIGOMERISATION, POLYMERISATION; RECOVERY OF HYDROCARBON OILS FROM OIL-SHALE, OIL-SAND, OR GASES; REFINING MIXTURES MAINLY CONSISTING OF HYDROCARBONS; REFORMING OF NAPHTHA; MINERAL WAXES
    • C10G45/00Refining of hydrocarbon oils using hydrogen or hydrogen-generating compounds
    • C10G45/02Refining of hydrocarbon oils using hydrogen or hydrogen-generating compounds to eliminate hetero atoms without changing the skeleton of the hydrocarbon involved and without cracking into lower boiling hydrocarbons; Hydrofinishing
    • C10G45/04Refining of hydrocarbon oils using hydrogen or hydrogen-generating compounds to eliminate hetero atoms without changing the skeleton of the hydrocarbon involved and without cracking into lower boiling hydrocarbons; Hydrofinishing characterised by the catalyst used
    • CCHEMISTRY; METALLURGY
    • C10PETROLEUM, GAS OR COKE INDUSTRIES; TECHNICAL GASES CONTAINING CARBON MONOXIDE; FUELS; LUBRICANTS; PEAT
    • C10GCRACKING HYDROCARBON OILS; PRODUCTION OF LIQUID HYDROCARBON MIXTURES, e.g. BY DESTRUCTIVE HYDROGENATION, OLIGOMERISATION, POLYMERISATION; RECOVERY OF HYDROCARBON OILS FROM OIL-SHALE, OIL-SAND, OR GASES; REFINING MIXTURES MAINLY CONSISTING OF HYDROCARBONS; REFORMING OF NAPHTHA; MINERAL WAXES
    • C10G2300/00Aspects relating to hydrocarbon processing covered by groups C10G1/00 - C10G99/00
    • C10G2300/70Catalyst aspects

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Abstract

The invention discloses a kind of hydrofining catalyst carrier property prediction technique, includes the following steps: basic data when 1) obtaining production hydrofining catalyst carrier, and data normalization is handled, form database;2) BP neural network model is established;3) the BP neural network model in step 2) is optimized using genetic algorithm, obtains the corresponding network initial weight of optimum individual in the model and threshold value;4) model training is carried out to BP neural network model using Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm, obtains training data;5) training data is inputted in established BP neural network model and obtains output valve, predicted value will obtained after numerical value renormalization, compared with desired value, by mean square error and the coefficient of determination come the superiority and inferiority of evaluation model.This method list, energy consumption is small, and precision of prediction is high, and algorithmic statement is fast, can preferably express the relationship between the key factor in hydrofining catalyst carrier production process and hydrofining catalyst carrier property.

Description

A kind of hydrofining catalyst carrier property prediction technique
Technical field
The present invention relates to catalyst fields.More particularly, to a kind of hydrofining catalyst carrier property prediction technique.
Background technique
In recent years, with the continuous increase of oil extraction amount, world's crude oil heaviness problem is on the rise, in oil product Sulphur, nitrogen and tenor are also continuously increased therewith.It is asked to alleviate atmosphere pollution caused by increasingly increased motor vehicle exhaust emission etc. Stringent vehicle fuel quality standard has been formulated in topic, countries in the world in succession, to force oil plant to produce clean fuel.Hydrofinishing Technology is the most effective means for improving oil quality and producing clean fuel, under Hydrofinishing conditions, sulfide in oil product, Nitride is removed the hetero atoms such as sulphur, nitrogen by the way that hydrodesulfurization (HDS) and hydrodenitrogeneration (HDN) reaction occurs, while can also be sent out The fractional saturation of raw polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon and the hydrogenation dearomatization reaction of open loop, are improved the Cetane number of product, and hydrofinishing The development of catalyst is the key that then this technology.
The quality of hydrofining catalyst carrier is to influence the key factor of catalyst performance.Hydrofining catalyst carrier Mainly by screw rod banded extruder extruded moulding, carrier wet bar after molding obtained after drying, broken strip, roasting catalyst carrier at Product generally determine catalyst carrier by indexs such as the specific surface area of analysis detection catalyst carrier, pore volume, effective hole appearances Property.Whole process preparation process is cumbersome, and material consumption, energy consumption are larger in preparation process, and repeated labor is more.
Accordingly, it is desirable to provide a kind of new hydrofining catalyst carrier property prediction technique, above-mentioned to solve Technical problem.
Summary of the invention
The purpose of the present invention is to provide a kind of hydrofining catalyst carrier property prediction techniques, and this method is simple, energy Consume small, and precision of prediction is high, and algorithmic statement is fast, can preferably express the key in hydrofining catalyst carrier production process Relationship between factor and hydrofining catalyst carrier property.Hydrofinishing catalysis can be fast and accurately understood according to predicted value Agent carrier property is effectively reduced a large amount of duplication of labour and energy consumption, improves Hydrobon catalyst research and development speed.
In order to achieve the above objectives, the present invention adopts the following technical solutions:
A kind of hydrofining catalyst carrier property prediction technique, includes the following steps:
1) basic data when production hydrofining catalyst carrier is obtained, and data normalization is handled, forms data Library;
2) BP neural network model is established, the number for influencing hydrofining catalyst carrier property in step 1) database is selected According to the data as input data, hydrofining catalyst carrier property as output data;
3) the BP neural network model in step 2) is optimized using genetic algorithm, obtains optimum individual in the model Corresponding network initial weight and threshold value;
4) model is carried out to the BP neural network model after optimization in step 3) using Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm Training, obtains training data;
5) training data that step 4) obtains is inputted in established BP neural network model and obtains output valve, by numerical value Predicted value is obtained after renormalization, is compared with desired value, by mean square error and the coefficient of determination come the superiority and inferiority of evaluation model.
In a preferred embodiment, the method for the production hydrofining catalyst carrier includes: to utilize to intend thin water The raw materials such as aluminium mountain flour body, nitric acid, sesbania powder, pure water are uniformly mixed in varing proportions, kneaded and formed by double screw banded extruder, warp Hydrofining catalyst carrier is made after 600 DEG C of high-temperature roastings.
In a preferred embodiment, in step 1), basic data when making hydrofining catalyst carrier includes: BET specific surface area, the absorption total pore volume of boehmite of boehmite, sulfate ion content, pH in boehmite Value, the mass ratio of pure water additional amount and boehmite, the BET specific surface area of hydrofining catalyst carrier, hydrofinishing are urged The absorption total pore volume of agent carrier and the most probable pore size of hydrofining catalyst carrier.
In yet another preferred embodiment, in step 2), the data for influencing hydrofining catalyst carrier property The including but not limited to BET specific surface area of boehmite, the absorption total pore volume of boehmite, sulfate radical in boehmite The mass ratio of ion concentration, pH value and pure water additional amount and boehmite;The hydrofining catalyst carrier property Data include but is not limited to the total hole of absorption of the BET specific surface area of hydrofining catalyst carrier, hydrofining catalyst carrier The most probable pore size of appearance and hydrofining catalyst carrier.During hydrofining catalyst carrier production, to final The factor that the performance for the hydrofining catalyst carrier being prepared has an impact may be very much, and in research of the invention It was found that the selection to the data for influencing hydrofining catalyst carrier property, directly affects to hydrofining catalyst carrier The precision of property prediction.
In yet another preferred embodiment, in step 2), in the BP neural network model, BP neural network is multilayer Feedforward neural network, basic structure are divided into input layer, hidden layer and output layer.Input layer inputs above-mentioned input data, output layer Export above-mentioned output data.
In yet another preferred embodiment, in step 3), using genetic algorithm to the BP neural network mould in step 2) The mode that type optimizes include: using genetic algorithm in the model weight and threshold value optimize, the population of the model In each individual include a network ownership value and threshold value, it is pre- to choose neural network by fitness function herein for individual The sum of the Error Absolute Value between output valve and desired value after survey E is as ideal adaptation angle value F.
Wherein n is network output node number;yiFor the desired output of i-th of node of BP neural network;oiFor i-th of node Prediction output;K is coefficient.
It chooses herein, the selection strategy of fitness ratio, i.e. roulette method, the select probability p of each individual iiAre as follows:fi=k/Fi, wherein FiFor the fitness value of individual i;K is coefficient;N is population at individual number.
Ideal adaptation angle value is calculated, genetic algorithm intersects that with mutation operation to find adaptive optimal control angle value corresponding by selection Individual, and then obtain the corresponding network initial weight of optimum individual in the neural network and threshold value.
In yet another preferred embodiment, in step 4), carry out model training mode include: by sample data according to The ratio of 5:1 is randomly divided into training data and test data;Training data is inputted in the BP neural network model and is instructed Practice, using Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm, it is 1000 that frequency of training, which is arranged, training objective 0.001, and learning rate is 0.1。
Beneficial effects of the present invention are as follows:
Hydrofining catalyst carrier property prediction technique of the present invention compensates for existing to hydrofining catalyst carrier The blank of matter prediction, and traditional neural network (such as BP algorithm) is easily trapped into local optimum, algorithmic statement is slow, and precision of prediction is low The disadvantages of.The present invention has many advantages, such as that pace of learning is fast, avoids generating locally optimal solution.This method can be adapted for different plus hydrogen The different carriers property of catalyst for refining.
Hydrofining catalyst carrier property prediction technique of the present invention can preferably express Hydrobon catalyst production Relationship between key factor in process and hydrofining catalyst carrier property.Can fast and accurately it be understood according to predicted value Hydrofining catalyst carrier property is effectively reduced a large amount of duplication of labour and energy consumption, improves hydrofinishing and urges Agent researches and develops speed.Therefore the present invention has actual promotional value.
Detailed description of the invention
Specific embodiments of the present invention will be described in further detail with reference to the accompanying drawing.
Fig. 1 shows the flow chart of 1 prediction technique of embodiment.
Specific embodiment
In order to illustrate more clearly of the present invention, the present invention is done further below with reference to preferred embodiments and drawings It is bright.Similar component is indicated in attached drawing with identical appended drawing reference.It will be appreciated by those skilled in the art that institute is specific below The content of description is illustrative and be not restrictive, and should not be limited the scope of the invention with this.
Embodiment 1
A kind of hydrofining catalyst carrier property prediction technique, process is as shown in Figure 1, include the following steps:
1) make hydrofining catalyst carrier: using the raw materials such as boehmite powder, nitric acid, sesbania powder, pure water with Different proportion is uniformly mixed, kneaded and formed by double screw banded extruder, and Hydrobon catalyst is made after 600 DEG C of high-temperature roastings Carrier.
2) basic data when the above-mentioned production hydrofining catalyst carrier of acquisition: the BET specific surface area of boehmite, The absorption total pore volume of boehmite, sulfate ion content, pH value, pure water additional amount and boehmite in boehmite Mass ratio, the BET specific surface area of hydrofining catalyst carrier, the absorption total pore volume of hydrofining catalyst carrier and add hydrogen The most probable pore size of refining catalytic agent carrier, and data normalization is handled, the numerical value being converted into [- 1,1] range, form number According to library;
3) BP neural network model is established, the number for influencing hydrofining catalyst carrier property in step 2) database is selected According to the data as input data, hydrofining catalyst carrier property as output data;
Wherein, input data includes the BET specific surface area of boehmite, the absorption total pore volume of boehmite, is intended thin The mass ratio of sulfate ion content in diaspore, pH value and pure water additional amount and boehmite;
Output data includes the absorption of the BET specific surface area of hydrofining catalyst carrier, hydrofining catalyst carrier The most probable pore size of total pore volume and hydrofining catalyst carrier;
Wherein, BP neural network is multilayer feedforward neural network, and basic structure is divided into input layer, hidden layer and output layer.
4) the BP neural network model in step 3) is optimized using genetic algorithm, obtains optimum individual in the model Corresponding network initial weight and threshold value, specific method include: using genetic algorithm in the model weight and threshold value carry out Optimize, each individual includes a network ownership value and threshold value in the population of the model, and individual passes through fitness function meter Calculate ideal adaptation angle value, genetic algorithm by selection, intersect and mutation operation to find adaptive optimal control angle value corresponding individual, and then obtain The corresponding network initial weight of optimum individual and threshold value into the neural network;
5) model is carried out to the BP neural network model after optimization in step 4) using Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm Training, obtains training data, and specific method includes: that sample data is randomly divided into training data and test number according to the ratio of 5:1 According to;Training data is inputted in the BP neural network model and is trained, using Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm, if Setting frequency of training is 1000, training objective 0.001, learning rate 0.1;
6) training data that step 5) obtains is inputted in established BP neural network model and obtains output valve, by numerical value Predicted value is obtained after renormalization, is compared with desired value, by mean square error and the coefficient of determination come the superiority and inferiority of evaluation model.
As shown in following table 1- table 3, it can be seen that specific surface area, absorption total pore volume, the predicted value of most probable pore size and reality Value compares.
Table 1 contains sulfate ion specific surface area predicted value and actual comparison
The predicted value of above-mentioned specific surface area and the mean square error of actual value are 0.0733, the coefficient of determination 0.8286.
Table 2 contains sulfate ion absorption total pore volume predicted value and actual comparison
The predicted value of above-mentioned absorption total pore volume and the mean square error of actual value are 0.023, the coefficient of determination 0.8539.
Table 3 contains sulfate ion most probable pore size predicted value and actual comparison
The predicted value of above-mentioned most probable pore size and the mean square error of actual value are 0.080, the coefficient of determination 0.7411.
It can be seen that the mean square error of three models is all smaller, show that model has good precision of prediction.It is from decision Number is it can be seen that model has the good goodness of fit.
Comparative example 1
Repeat embodiment 1, difference is, by step 2) and 3) in influence factor boehmite in sulfate ion contain Amount is deleted, and other conditions are constant, as a result as shown in following table 4- table 6, it can be seen that specific surface when without sulfate ion content Product, absorption total pore volume, the predicted value of most probable pore size are compared with actual value.
Table 4 not sulphate-containing ion specific surface area predicted value and actual comparison
The predicted value of above-mentioned specific surface area and the mean square error of actual value are 0.1693, the coefficient of determination 0.7031.
Sulphate-containing ion does not adsorb total pore volume predicted value and actual comparison to table 5
The predicted value of above-mentioned absorption total pore volume and the mean square error of actual value are 0.027, the coefficient of determination 0.8591.
Table 3 not sulphate-containing ion most probable pore size predicted value and actual comparison
The predicted value of above-mentioned most probable pore size and the mean square error of actual value are 0.2258, the coefficient of determination 0.7291.
By upper embodiment and comparative example it is found that the model ratio of the model containing sulfate ion and not sulfate ion Compared with the model containing sulfate ion all has better precision of prediction in specific surface area, the model prediction of most probable pore size With the goodness of fit of model, two model performances are almost the same in absorption total pore volume.Therefore the model in no sulfate ion Performance can decline to a great extent.
Obviously, the above embodiment of the present invention be only to clearly illustrate example of the present invention, and not be pair The restriction of embodiments of the present invention may be used also on the basis of the above description for those of ordinary skill in the art To make other variations or changes in different ways, all embodiments can not be exhaustive here, it is all to belong to this hair The obvious changes or variations that bright technical solution is extended out are still in the scope of protection of the present invention.

Claims (6)

1. a kind of hydrofining catalyst carrier property prediction technique, which comprises the steps of:
1) basic data when production hydrofining catalyst carrier is obtained, and data normalization is handled, forms database;
2) BP neural network model is established, the data for influencing hydrofining catalyst carrier property in step 1) database is selected to make It is input data, the data of hydrofining catalyst carrier property as output data;
3) the BP neural network model in step 2) is optimized using genetic algorithm, it is corresponding obtains optimum individual in the model Network initial weight and threshold value;
4) model instruction is carried out to the BP neural network model after optimization in step 3) using Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm Practice, obtains training data;
5) training data that step 4) obtains is inputted in established BP neural network model and obtains output valve, returned numerical value is counter Predicted value is obtained after one change, is compared with desired value, by mean square error and the coefficient of determination come the superiority and inferiority of evaluation model.
2. prediction technique according to claim 1, which is characterized in that in step 1), make hydrofining catalyst carrier When basic data include: the BET specific surface area of boehmite, the absorption total pore volume of boehmite, in boehmite Sulfate ion content, pH value, the mass ratio of pure water additional amount and boehmite, hydrofining catalyst carrier BET ratio Surface area, the absorption total pore volume of hydrofining catalyst carrier and the most probable pore size of hydrofining catalyst carrier.
3. prediction technique according to claim 2, which is characterized in that in step 2), the influence Hydrobon catalyst The data of support include the BET specific surface area of boehmite, the absorption total pore volume of boehmite, in boehmite The mass ratio of sulfate ion content, pH value and pure water additional amount and boehmite;The hydrofining catalyst carrier The data of property include the BET specific surface area of hydrofining catalyst carrier, the absorption total pore volume of hydrofining catalyst carrier And the most probable pore size of hydrofining catalyst carrier.
4. prediction technique according to claim 1, which is characterized in that in step 2), in the BP neural network model, BP Neural network is multilayer feedforward neural network, and basic structure is divided into input layer, hidden layer and output layer.
5. prediction technique according to claim 1, which is characterized in that in step 3), using genetic algorithm in step 2) The mode that optimizes of BP neural network model include: using genetic algorithm in the model weight and threshold value carry out it is excellent Change, each individual includes a network ownership value and threshold value in the population of the model, and individual is calculated by fitness function Ideal adaptation angle value, genetic algorithm by selection, intersect and mutation operation to find adaptive optimal control angle value corresponding individual, and then obtain The corresponding network initial weight of optimum individual and threshold value in the neural network.
6. prediction technique according to claim 1, which is characterized in that in step 4), the mode for carrying out model training includes: Sample data is randomly divided into training data and test data according to the ratio of 5:1;Training data is inputted into the BP nerve net It is trained in network model, using Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm, it is 1000 that frequency of training, which is arranged, and training objective is 0.001, learning rate 0.1.
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