CN109636055A - A kind of non-coal mine Safety Risk in Production prediction and warning platform - Google Patents

A kind of non-coal mine Safety Risk in Production prediction and warning platform Download PDF

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CN109636055A
CN109636055A CN201811574195.5A CN201811574195A CN109636055A CN 109636055 A CN109636055 A CN 109636055A CN 201811574195 A CN201811574195 A CN 201811574195A CN 109636055 A CN109636055 A CN 109636055A
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data
prediction
module
hidden danger
model
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陈友良
张兴凯
李全明
梁玉霞
覃璇
刘毅
刘岩
胡家国
付士根
王庆
赵甫
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China Academy of Safety Science and Technology CASST
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/02Agriculture; Fishing; Mining
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/10Services
    • G06Q50/26Government or public services
    • G06Q50/265Personal security, identity or safety

Abstract

The present invention relates to a kind of non-coal mine Safety Risk in Production prediction and warning platforms comprising data acquisition module, ETL process processing module sum number are it is predicted that module and warning module;After the collected non-coal mine production target data analyzed are transmitted to the ETL process processing module processing by the data acquisition module, treated, and achievement data is transmitted to the data prediction module, Safety Risk in Production prediction is carried out according to the data received by the data prediction module, and prediction result is transmitted in the warning module, realize the risk profile keep the safety in production to non-coal mine and early warning.The present invention can keep the safety in production to non-coal mine and Risk Monitoring data are collected arrangement and prediction and warning is analyzed, and provide macro-level policy-making for government regulator and support, provide Risk-warning service for enterprise.

Description

A kind of non-coal mine Safety Risk in Production prediction and warning platform
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of risk profile early warning platforms, predict especially with regard to a kind of non-coal mine Safety Risk in Production Early warning platform.
Background technique
In recent years, the situation of production of China's non-coal mine increasingly becomes government and public's focus of attention.With The reinforcement of safety law enforcement and the standardization of security production supervision and management, the number of casualties be although declined slightly, but total safety is raw It is still severe to produce situation.The mine disaster to rise one after another, the employment injuries accident to emerge one after another, it appears that at China's rapid economic development Accompaniment.Carry out the safeguard work of non-coal mine safety in production, it is ensured that the safety in production of non-coal mine has become major enterprise The priority research areas of industry.
Currently, the safety in production in order to ensure non-coal mine, many enterprises have been equipped with the safety in production of non-coal mine Monitoring system is sent to administrative staff, to the pipe of safety in production by acquiring the operation data of non-coal mine in the form of statements Reason has certain booster action.But current Safety Production Monitoring System have the disadvantage that (1) these monitoring systems it is big It is mounted in locally and just for the application in single mine more, is unfavorable for safety supervision mechanisms access at different levels, and the data collected It is unfavorable for summarizing for use in big data excavation and forecast analysis.(2) monitoring system relies primarily on the dynamic of sensor collection at present State data are simultaneously confined to data statistic analysis, the basic functions such as report is checked, lack the related function such as data mining and prediction and warning Energy.
For big data in the application of non-coal mine risk profile warning aspect, most basic function is exactly to supervise from the risk of magnanimity Rule, the prediction future developing trend that non-coal mine operation is found in measured data, to targetedly be safeguarded, be improved, in advance The generation of anti-non-coal mine accident.This project is acquired using multi-source data and processing, big data prediction and warning, visual analyzing etc. Key technology establishes non-coal mine Safety Risk in Production prediction and warning platform.Platform using different zones non-coal mine operation and Monitoring data carry out big data mining analysis and obtain disaster pests occurrence rule, and are used for that production safety management is instructed to work, and change Become the mode that traditional safety in production " subsequent management " is " preventing in advance ", innovation security control method for monitoring and means.Therefore, It is necessary to establish non-coal mine Safety Risk in Production prediction and warning platform.
Summary of the invention
In view of the above-mentioned problems, the object of the present invention is to provide a kind of non-coal mine Safety Risk in Production prediction and warning platform, It can keep the safety in production to non-coal mine and Risk Monitoring data are collected arrangement and prediction and warning is analyzed, and is government regulator It provides macro-level policy-making to support, provides Risk-warning service for enterprise.
To achieve the above object, the present invention takes following technical scheme: a kind of non-coal mine Safety Risk in Production prediction is pre- Alert platform comprising data acquisition module, ETL process processing module sum number are it is predicted that module and warning module;The data are adopted The collected non-coal mine production target data analyzed are transmitted at the ETL process processing module by collection module After reason, treated, and achievement data is transmitted to the data prediction module, by the data prediction module according to the number received According to progress Safety Risk in Production prediction, and prediction result is transmitted in the warning module, is realized raw safely to non-coal mine The risk profile of production and early warning.
Further, the ETL process processing module is for lacking the achievement data that data acquisition module is transmitted to Value processing, outlier processing and data normalization pretreatment;And the pretreated data of selected section carry out ETL processing, obtain Training sample set;Meanwhile pretreated data are extracted in real time as sample data to be identified.
Further, the missing values processing is to specify its corresponding missing values processing method for each specific targets; Missing values processing method includes that missing values are filled with default value filling, missing values with average value, missing values are filled with median, are lacked Mistake value is by mode is filled, the data record comprising missing values is filled in a manner of customized and ignored to missing values.
Further, the outlier processing is to specify its corresponding outlier processing method for each specific targets; Outlier processing method includes that exceptional value is replaced with to default value and ignores the data record comprising exceptional value.
Further, the method that the data prediction module carries out Safety Risk in Production prediction to the data received are as follows: right After monitoring index data to be analyzed carry out data prediction, using training data, pass through Linear Regression Forecasting Model, BP nerve net Network prediction model and regression tree prediction model establish prediction model;Then it is commented using training pattern of the test data to generation Estimate, the smallest model of Select Error carries out prediction and warning to target as optimum prediction model, using optimum prediction model.
Further, the warning module is used to carry out prediction and warning point to non-coal mine safety in production and Risk Monitoring data Analysis, including index trend analysis, clustering, Time-Series analysis, analysis of Influential Factors, correlation analysis and hidden danger classification.
Further, the Time Series Analysis Method are as follows: be analysed to after monitoring index data carry out data prediction, using more Kind Time Series Analysis Method carries out Time-Series analysis, selects optimal Time Series Analysis Method and parameter setting, obtains optimum timing analysis Prediction result;Wherein, optimal Time Series Analysis Method uses exponential smoothing.
Further, the index trend analysis are as follows: after being analysed to monitoring index data progress data prediction, benefit With the data generated after pretreatment, determine each factor to the significance level of key index by Information Gain Method;Wherein, information Gain method is to find out an attribute R, and the information gain of this attribute R division front and back is bigger than other attributes.
Further, the correlation analysis are as follows: after being analysed to monitoring index data progress data prediction, calculate Related coefficient between each index;By the value range of following related coefficient absolute value come the correlation intensity between judgment variable: The extremely strong correlation of 0.8-1.0;0.6-0.8 strong correlation;The moderate correlation of 0.4-0.6;The weak correlation of 0.2-0.4;The extremely weak phase of 0.0-0.2 It closes or without correlation.
Further, the hidden danger classification method are as follows: acquisition arranges incipient fault data and carries out data prediction to it: including class Not Xuan Ze, data balancing;Then it carries out word segmentation processing and obtains term vector model using deep learning method;Utilize term vector mould Type calculates the hidden danger vector of every incipient fault data, and then obtains hidden danger disaggregated model using the training of hidden danger vector, is classified by hidden danger Model carries out hidden danger classification;Term vector model is a kind of efficient algorithm model that word is characterized as to real number value vector, use Term vector generation method is Word2vec;The calculating of hidden danger vector: describing term vector to all hidden danger and be overlapped, to obtain Hidden danger describes corresponding hidden danger vector;Hidden danger disaggregated model is classified to incipient fault data: using in decision Tree algorithms C4.5 algorithm is classified.
The invention adopts the above technical scheme, which has the following advantages: the present invention is towards non-coal mine operational process In risk adopted around the operating parameter and specific monitoring data of non-coal mine using comprehensive monitoring model, multi-source data The key technologies such as collection and processing scheme, big data prediction and warning method, visual analyzing, establish non-coal mine risk profile early warning Platform promotes the risk perceptions ability in non-coal mine production safety management.
Specific embodiment
The present invention is described in detail below with reference to embodiment.
The present invention provides a kind of non-coal mine Safety Risk in Production prediction and warning platform comprising data acquisition module, number According to ETL processing module sum number it is predicted that module and warning module.Data acquisition module by it is collected analyze it is non- After Coal Mines production target data are transmitted to the processing of ETL process processing module, treated, and achievement data is transmitted to data prediction Module carries out Safety Risk in Production prediction according to the data that receive by data prediction module, and prediction result is transmitted to pre- In alert module, the risk profile keep the safety in production to non-coal mine and early warning are realized.
In above-described embodiment, it is preferred that ETL process processing module is used for the achievement data being transmitted to data acquisition module Carry out the pretreatment such as missing values processing, outlier processing and data normalization.And the pretreated data of selected section carry out ETL Processing, obtains training sample set;Meanwhile pretreated data are extracted in real time as sample data to be identified.Wherein:
Missing values processing is to specify its corresponding missing values processing method for each specific targets.Missing values processing Method includes:
1) missing values are filled with default value;
2) missing values are filled with average value;
3) missing values are filled with median;
4) missing values are filled with mode;
5) missing values are filled in a manner of customized;
6) ignore the data record comprising missing values.
Outlier processing is to specify its corresponding outlier processing method for each specific targets.Outlier processing Method includes: that exceptional value 1) is replaced with default value;2) ignore the data record comprising exceptional value.
Data normalization is to be allowed to fall into a small preset section by data bi-directional scaling.Data mark Standardization can have dimension expression formula to become dimensionless expression formula with the convergence rate of lift scheme, the precision of lift scheme and handle Deng.
In the present embodiment, data normalization method is standardized using 0-1.0-1 standardization is also referred to as deviation standardization, it is Linear transformation is carried out to initial data, result is made to fall on [0,1] section.
In above-described embodiment, it is preferred that data prediction module carries out Safety Risk in Production prediction to the data received Method are as follows:
After treating research and application achievement data progress data prediction, using training data, built by a variety of prediction techniques Vertical prediction model.Then it is assessed using training pattern of the test data to generation, the smallest model of Select Error is as most Excellent prediction model carries out prediction and warning to target using optimum prediction model.
In a preferred embodiment, a variety of prediction techniques include Linear Regression Forecasting Model, BP neural network prediction Model and regression tree prediction model.Wherein:
(1) linear regression model (LRM) refers to that the relationship between dependent variable and independent variable is linear.It adopts in the present embodiment Multivariate regression models are as follows:
yi01x12x2+…+βpxp
Multivariate regression models is a combinatorial problem, it is known that how some data seek the unknown parameter of the inside, provide one Optimal solution.And multivariate regression models is solved using least square method or gradient descent method.
In the present embodiment, selection participates in the index of goaf Pillar Stability forecast analysis, and determines that prediction target is Pillar Stability.
(2) BP neural network prediction model is a multilayer feedforward neural networks, learning process by signal forward-propagating and mistake Two process compositions of backpropagation of difference.When forward-propagating, input sample is incoming from input layer, after hidden layer is successively handled, It is transmitted to output layer.If the reality output of output layer is not inconsistent with desired output, the back-propagation phase of turning error.Error it is anti- It is output error to be passed through to hidden layer with some form to the layer-by-layer anti-pass of input layer, and give error distribution to all of each layer to propagation Unit, to obtain the error signal of each layer unit, this error signal is the foundation as amendment each unit weight.Weight is continuous Adjustment process, that is, the learning training process of network.The error that this process is performed until network output is reduced to and can connect The degree received, or until proceeding to preset study number.
BP neural network model topology structure includes input layer (input), hidden layer (hide layer) and output layer (output layer).Its workflow is yes: input learning sample, and stimulation is passed to hidden layer by input layer, and hidden layer is logical It crosses the intensity (weight) contacted between neuron and delivery rules (activation primitive) and output layer is passed into stimulation, output layer arranges hidden Stimulation after hiding layer processing generates final result.If have correctly as a result, so by correct result and the result of generation into Row compares, and obtains error, then backstepping carries out feedback modifiers to the link weight in nerve net, thus to complete the process of study. And the study mechanism fed back backward is used, the weight in Lai Xiuzheng nerve net is finally reached the purpose of output correct result.
In the present embodiment, selection participates in the index of forecast analysis, and determines prediction target.
(3) regression tree prediction model uses CART algorithm, and CART is one kind of decision tree, and is very important decision Tree.
When creating regression tree, observed value value be it is continuous, without tag along sort, the value that only data obtain according to the observation To create the rule of a prediction.In this case, with regard to helpless, CART is then used most the optimal dividing rule of classification tree Small residual variance (Squared Residuals Minimization) determines the optimal dividing of Regression Tree, should Criteria for classifying is that the subtree error variance after expectation divides is minimum.When creating model tree, each leaf node is then a machine Device learning model, such as linear regression model (LRM).
CART algorithm includes two points, single argument divides and Pruning strategy three parts:
1) two points (Binary Split): being all that two points are carried out to observation variable in each deterministic process.
CART algorithm uses a kind of technology of two points of recursive subdivisions, and current sample set is always divided into two increments by algorithm This collection, so that only there are two branches for the non-leaf node of each of decision tree generated.Therefore the decision tree of CART algorithm generation is Binary tree simple for structure.Therefore it is to be or non-scene that CART algorithm, which is suitable for the value of sample characteristics, for continuous feature Processing it is then similar to C4.5 algorithm.
2) single argument segmentation (Split Based on One Variable): each optimal dividing becomes both for single Amount.
3) Pruning strategy: the key point of CART algorithm, and the committed step of entire Tree-Based algorithm.
Beta pruning process is especially important, so occupying an important position in optimum decision tree generating process.Some researches show that cut The importance of branch process is more even more important than tree generating process, for the maximal tree that the different criteria for classifying generates, beta pruning it After can retain most important Attribute transposition, difference is little.It is that pruning method is more crucial for the generation of optimal tree instead.
In the present embodiment, selection participates in the index of forecast analysis, and determines prediction target.
In above-described embodiment, in the present embodiment, the smallest regression tree model of Select Error is as optimum prediction model.
In above-described embodiment, it is preferred that warning module is used to carry out non-coal mine safety in production and Risk Monitoring data Prediction and warning analysis, including index trend analysis, clustering, Time-Series analysis, analysis of Influential Factors, correlation analysis and hidden danger Classification.Wherein:
(1) Time-Series analysis refers to one group of data being sequentially arranged, and is formed using known time series data Different mathematics, and be used to the method predicted and be referred to as time series analysis abbreviation Time-Series analysis.
Time Series Analysis Method are as follows: after being analysed to monitoring index data progress data prediction, utilize a variety of Time-Series analyses Method carries out Time-Series analysis, selects optimal Time Series Analysis Method and parameter setting, obtains optimum timing analysis prediction result.
Optimal Time Series Analysis Method uses exponential smoothing, and exponential smoothing rule has been compatible with that full period is average and rolling average The chief does not give up past data, but is given only the influence degree gradually weakened, i.e., separate with data, assigns gradually Converge to zero flexible strategy.Exponential smoothing is a kind of Time Series Analysis Forecasting to grow up on the basis of the method for moving average Method, it is to cooperate regular hour sequential forecasting models to predict the future of phenomenon by gauge index smooth value.
Exponential smoothing formula are as follows:
Ft+1=axt+(1-a)Ft
Wherein, a is known as smoothing factor, value 0 < a < 1.In general, a value chooses whether proper, directly influences prediction Result and precision.
By exponential smoothing formula qualitative analysis:
As a=1, then there is Ft+1=xt, indicate that the predicted value of next phase is equal to the actual value of current period;
As a=0, then there is Ft+1=Ft, indicate that the predicted value of next phase is equal to the predicted value of current period.
It can be seen that a value is bigger, the influence and effect of more paying attention to Recent data are indicated.A value is in principle according to the wave of sequence The choosing of dynamic and trend.If sequence variation is gentle or irregular fluctuation, a value should be selected smaller to eliminate irregular variation influence.Such as Sequence variation, which has, significantly rises or falls trend, and a value should be selected greatly, so that there are Recent data larger flexible strategy to reflect to prediction As a result in.
(2) index trend analysis carries out comprehensive assessment to several correlative factors for influencing non-coal mine key index, and measures Change each factor to the influence power size of key index, provides macro-level policy-making for supervision department and support.
Index trend analysis are as follows: after being analysed to monitoring index data progress data prediction, after pretreatment The data of generation determine each factor to the significance level of key index by Information Gain Method.
Information Gain Method is to find out an attribute R, and the information gain of this attribute R division front and back is than other attributes Greatly.Information before division calculates as follows:
In formula, m represents classification number, piThis kind of other probabilities of occurrence are represented, info (D) indicates the information of data set D Amount.
Assuming that selecting attribute R as Split Attribute, in data set D, R has k different value { V1,V2,…,Vk, then D can be divided into k group { D according to the value of R1,D2,…,Dk, after being divided by R, the information content summation of data set D difference group are as follows:
And information gain is to divide front and back, the difference of two information content:
Gain (R)=info (D)-infoR(D)
Information gain Gain (R) indicates that attribute R gives classification bring information content.If Gain (R) is bigger, show that R can make Classify pure as far as possible, most probable that different classes is separated, i.e., R is more important for objective attribute target attribute.Due to all attributes Info (D) is the same, and institute can be converted into the hope of maximum Gain (R) seeks the smallest infoR(D)。
In the present embodiment, several index significance levels analysis for carrying out influencing Pillar Stability determines that analysis target is Pillar Stability simultaneously carries out discretization to target.Then importance analysis is carried out to each index, there are the times to ore pillar for dead zone Stability influence is maximum, and the significance level of other factors successively reduces.
(3) correlation analysis is quantified between the degree of correlation non-coal mine monitoring index and the situation that influences each other Analysis, some potential rules between allowing user to better understand non-coal mine monitoring index provide macroscopic view for supervision department Decision support.
Correlation analysis are as follows: after being analysed to monitoring index data progress data prediction, calculate between each index Related coefficient.
Related coefficient is the index of degree of correlation between variable.The value of related coefficient is typically in the range of between -1~1, related The the absolute value of coefficient the big, and it is higher to represent its degree of correlation.It is called positive correlation when related coefficient is greater than zero, conversely, then claiming it For negative correlation.The present invention uses Pearson correlation coefficient, the expression formula of related coefficient are as follows:
By the value range of following related coefficient absolute value come the correlation intensity between judgment variable:
The extremely strong correlation of 0.8-1.0;0.6-0.8 strong correlation;The moderate correlation of 0.4-0.6;The weak correlation of 0.2-0.4;0.0- 0.2 is extremely weak related or without correlation.
Correlation analysis is carried out to Tailings Dam index of correlation monitoring data, correlation matrix can be obtained, by related coefficient Matrix, what can be will be apparent that sees the degree of correlation between each index.
(4) hidden danger classification is the analysis to incipient fault data in production environment, and training obtains hidden danger disaggregated model, realizes hidden danger The automatic classification of description, significantly reduces manual analysis cost.
Hidden danger classification method are as follows: acquisition arrange incipient fault data and it is carried out data prediction (including classification selection, data It is balanced), it then carries out word segmentation processing and obtains term vector model using deep learning method;Every is calculated using term vector model The hidden danger vector of incipient fault data, and then hidden danger disaggregated model is obtained using the training of hidden danger vector, it is carried out by hidden danger disaggregated model hidden Suffer from classification.
In data prediction, the selection of hidden danger classification: the selection biggish several hidden danger classifications of data volume describe data.For number According to small hidden danger classification is measured, default is given up.
Data balancing: by the lesser hidden danger classification of data volume, the more hidden danger numbers of the category are obtained by way of duplication According to, and the incipient fault data quantity of each classification is substantially the same.
Term vector model is a kind of efficient algorithm model that word is characterized as to real number value vector, can by training, Vector operation in K dimensional vector space is reduced to the processing of content of text, and the similarity in vector space can be used to table Show similar on text semantic.The term vector generation method that the present invention uses is Word2vec: being mapped each word by training At K tie up real vector (K is generally the hyper parameter in model), by the distance between word (such as cosine similarity, Euclidean away from From etc.) judge the semantic similarity between them.It uses one three layers of neural network, input layer-hidden layer-output layer. It is encoded according to word frequency with Huffman, so that the content of the similar word hidden layer activation of all word frequency is almost the same, the frequency of occurrences is got over High word, the hiding number of layers that they activate is fewer, effectively reduces the complexity of calculating in this way.
The calculating of hidden danger vector: describing term vector to all hidden danger and be overlapped, thus obtain hidden danger describe it is corresponding hidden Suffer from vector.
Hidden danger disaggregated model is classified to incipient fault data, and decision Tree algorithms, including decision tree, Bayes can be used With neural network etc..In the present embodiment, using the C4.5 algorithm in decision Tree algorithms.
In conclusion the present invention is towards the risk in non-coal mine operational process, to protect people's life's property to pacify Complete and periphery ecological environment is core objective, comprehensive around the operating parameter of non-coal mine and specific monitoring data, utilization Monitoring model, multi-source data acquire and the key technologies such as processing scheme, big data prediction and warning method, visual analyzing, establishes Non-coal mine risk profile early warning platform, improves the risk perceptions ability in non-coal mine production safety management, is government Supervision department provides macro-level policy-making and supports, provides Risk-warning service for enterprise.
The various embodiments described above are merely to illustrate the present invention, and the structure and setting steps of each component are all that can be varied , based on the technical solution of the present invention, the improvement and equivalents that all principles according to the present invention carry out separate step, It should not exclude except protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (10)

1. a kind of non-coal mine Safety Risk in Production prediction and warning platform, it is characterised in that: including data acquisition module, data ETL processing module sum number is it is predicted that module and warning module;The data acquisition module is analyzed collected After non-coal mine production target data are transmitted to the ETL process processing module processing, treated, and achievement data is transmitted to institute Data prediction module is stated, carries out Safety Risk in Production prediction according to the data received by the data prediction module, and will be pre- It surveys result to be transmitted in the warning module, realizes the risk profile keep the safety in production to non-coal mine and early warning.
2. early warning platform as described in claim 1, it is characterised in that: the ETL process processing module is used for data acquisition module The achievement data that block is transmitted to carries out missing values processing, outlier processing and data normalization pretreatment;And selected section is located in advance Data after reason carry out ETL processing, obtain training sample set;Meanwhile pretreated data are extracted in real time as sample to be identified Notebook data.
3. early warning platform as claimed in claim 2, it is characterised in that: the missing values processing is to be directed to each specific targets, Specify its corresponding missing values processing method;Missing values processing method includes that missing values are filled with default value, missing values are with average Value filling, missing values are filled by median, missing values are by mode is filled, missing values are filled in a manner of customized and is ignored comprising lacking The data record of mistake value.
4. early warning platform as claimed in claim 2, it is characterised in that: the outlier processing is to be directed to each specific targets, Specify its corresponding outlier processing method;Outlier processing method includes that exceptional value is replaced with to default value and is ignored comprising different The data record of constant value.
5. early warning platform as described in claim 1, it is characterised in that: the data prediction module pacifies the data received The method of full production risk prediction are as follows: after treating research and application achievement data progress data prediction, using training data, pass through Linear Regression Forecasting Model, BP neural network prediction model and regression tree prediction model establish prediction model;Then test is utilized Data assess the training pattern of generation, and the smallest model of Select Error utilizes optimum prediction as optimum prediction model Model carries out prediction and warning to target.
6. early warning platform as described in claim 1, it is characterised in that: the warning module be used for non-coal mine safety in production and Risk Monitoring data carry out prediction and warning analysis, including index trend analysis, clustering, Time-Series analysis, analysis of Influential Factors, Correlation analysis and hidden danger classification.
7. early warning platform as claimed in claim 6, it is characterised in that: the Time Series Analysis Method are as follows: be analysed to monitoring index After data carry out data prediction, Time-Series analysis is carried out using a variety of Time Series Analysis Methods, selects optimal Time Series Analysis Method And parameter setting, obtain optimum timing analysis prediction result;Wherein, optimal Time Series Analysis Method uses exponential smoothing.
8. early warning platform as claimed in claim 6, it is characterised in that: the index trend analysis are as follows: be analysed to monitor After achievement data carries out data prediction, using the data generated after pretreatment, each factor pair is determined by Information Gain Method The significance level of key index;Wherein, Information Gain Method is to find out an attribute R, the information of this attribute R division front and back Gain is bigger than other attributes.
9. early warning platform as claimed in claim 6, it is characterised in that: the correlation analysis are as follows: be analysed to monitoring and refer to After marking data progress data prediction, related coefficient between each index is calculated;
By the value range of following related coefficient absolute value come the correlation intensity between judgment variable:
The extremely strong correlation of 0.8-1.0;0.6-0.8 strong correlation;The moderate correlation of 0.4-0.6;The weak correlation of 0.2-0.4;The pole 0.0-0.2 It is weak related or without correlation.
10. early warning platform as claimed in claim 6, it is characterised in that: the hidden danger classification method are as follows: acquisition arranges incipient fault data And data prediction is carried out to it: including classification selection, data balancing;Then it carries out word segmentation processing and utilizes deep learning method Obtain term vector model;The hidden danger vector of every incipient fault data is calculated using term vector model, and then utilizes the training of hidden danger vector Hidden danger disaggregated model is obtained, hidden danger classification is carried out by hidden danger disaggregated model;
Term vector model is a kind of efficient algorithm model that word is characterized as to real number value vector, the term vector generation method of use For Word2vec;
The calculating of hidden danger vector: describing term vector to all hidden danger and be overlapped, thus obtain hidden danger describe corresponding hidden danger to Amount;
Hidden danger disaggregated model is classified to incipient fault data: being classified using the C4.5 algorithm in decision Tree algorithms.
CN201811574195.5A 2018-12-21 2018-12-21 A kind of non-coal mine Safety Risk in Production prediction and warning platform Pending CN109636055A (en)

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CN110065866A (en) * 2019-04-25 2019-07-30 永大电梯设备(中国)有限公司 A kind of integrated forecasting system of the exception monitoring based on SMT
CN110148290A (en) * 2019-05-24 2019-08-20 烟台市牟金矿业有限公司 Information-based big data system is supervised in the early warning of Intellisense Mine Safety in Production and prevention and control
CN110751807A (en) * 2019-10-23 2020-02-04 智洋创新科技股份有限公司 Method for determining visual smoke foreign matter continuous alarm of power transmission line channel
CN113095544A (en) * 2021-03-09 2021-07-09 中国气象局公共气象服务中心(国家预警信息发布中心) Marine information early warning method and device and electronic equipment
CN113202560A (en) * 2021-06-01 2021-08-03 桂林慧谷人工智能产业技术研究院 Coal mine risk prevention and rescue decision-making system based on data mining
CN113688169A (en) * 2021-08-11 2021-11-23 北京科技大学 Mine potential safety hazard identification and early warning system based on big data analysis
CN115375137A (en) * 2022-08-22 2022-11-22 中国安全生产科学研究院 Safety risk early warning prediction system of non-coal mine mountain tailing mine base
CN116363600A (en) * 2023-06-01 2023-06-30 深圳恒邦新创科技有限公司 Method and system for predicting maintenance operation risk of motor train unit
CN116579601A (en) * 2023-03-27 2023-08-11 中国安全生产科学研究院 Mine safety production risk monitoring and early warning system and method
CN116862703A (en) * 2023-07-18 2023-10-10 中国安全生产科学研究院 Multi-port non-coal mine safety monitoring information control system and method
CN116911618A (en) * 2023-09-07 2023-10-20 北京网藤科技有限公司 Artificial intelligence decision-making system and method for safety production risk
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Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN110065866A (en) * 2019-04-25 2019-07-30 永大电梯设备(中国)有限公司 A kind of integrated forecasting system of the exception monitoring based on SMT
CN110148290A (en) * 2019-05-24 2019-08-20 烟台市牟金矿业有限公司 Information-based big data system is supervised in the early warning of Intellisense Mine Safety in Production and prevention and control
CN110751807A (en) * 2019-10-23 2020-02-04 智洋创新科技股份有限公司 Method for determining visual smoke foreign matter continuous alarm of power transmission line channel
CN110751807B (en) * 2019-10-23 2021-09-07 智洋创新科技股份有限公司 Method for determining visual smoke foreign matter continuous alarm of power transmission line channel
CN113095544A (en) * 2021-03-09 2021-07-09 中国气象局公共气象服务中心(国家预警信息发布中心) Marine information early warning method and device and electronic equipment
CN113095544B (en) * 2021-03-09 2024-04-16 中国气象局公共气象服务中心(国家预警信息发布中心) Marine information early warning method and device and electronic equipment
CN113202560A (en) * 2021-06-01 2021-08-03 桂林慧谷人工智能产业技术研究院 Coal mine risk prevention and rescue decision-making system based on data mining
CN113688169B (en) * 2021-08-11 2023-08-08 北京科技大学 Mine potential safety hazard identification and early warning system based on big data analysis
CN113688169A (en) * 2021-08-11 2021-11-23 北京科技大学 Mine potential safety hazard identification and early warning system based on big data analysis
CN115375137A (en) * 2022-08-22 2022-11-22 中国安全生产科学研究院 Safety risk early warning prediction system of non-coal mine mountain tailing mine base
CN116579601A (en) * 2023-03-27 2023-08-11 中国安全生产科学研究院 Mine safety production risk monitoring and early warning system and method
CN116579601B (en) * 2023-03-27 2024-03-05 中国安全生产科学研究院 Mine safety production risk monitoring and early warning system and method
CN116363600B (en) * 2023-06-01 2023-08-01 深圳恒邦新创科技有限公司 Method and system for predicting maintenance operation risk of motor train unit
CN116363600A (en) * 2023-06-01 2023-06-30 深圳恒邦新创科技有限公司 Method and system for predicting maintenance operation risk of motor train unit
CN116862703B (en) * 2023-07-18 2024-01-23 中国安全生产科学研究院 Multi-port non-coal mine safety monitoring information control system and method
CN116862703A (en) * 2023-07-18 2023-10-10 中国安全生产科学研究院 Multi-port non-coal mine safety monitoring information control system and method
CN116911618B (en) * 2023-09-07 2023-12-05 北京网藤科技有限公司 Artificial intelligence decision-making system and method for safety production risk
CN116911618A (en) * 2023-09-07 2023-10-20 北京网藤科技有限公司 Artificial intelligence decision-making system and method for safety production risk
CN117391458B (en) * 2023-12-08 2024-02-27 四川省寰宇众恒科技有限公司 Safety production risk detection and early warning method and system based on data analysis
CN117391458A (en) * 2023-12-08 2024-01-12 四川省寰宇众恒科技有限公司 Safety production risk detection and early warning method and system based on data analysis
CN117635219A (en) * 2024-01-26 2024-03-01 长春黄金设计院有限公司 Intelligent analysis system and method for big data of metal mine production
CN117635219B (en) * 2024-01-26 2024-04-26 长春黄金设计院有限公司 Intelligent analysis system and method for big data of metal mine production

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