CN109636041A - A kind of unit maintenance analogy method and system suitable for large-scale complex power grid - Google Patents

A kind of unit maintenance analogy method and system suitable for large-scale complex power grid Download PDF

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CN109636041A
CN109636041A CN201811531978.5A CN201811531978A CN109636041A CN 109636041 A CN109636041 A CN 109636041A CN 201811531978 A CN201811531978 A CN 201811531978A CN 109636041 A CN109636041 A CN 109636041A
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new energy
power output
overhaul data
maintenance
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CN109636041B (en
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田鑫
李雪亮
吴健
贾善杰
李勃
赵龙
王艳
郑志杰
张�杰
高晓楠
牟宏
汪湲
高效海
张丽娜
张玉跃
付木
付一木
魏鑫
袁振华
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
Economic and Technological Research Institute of State Grid Shandong Electric Power Co Ltd
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
Economic and Technological Research Institute of State Grid Shandong Electric Power Co Ltd
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Abstract

The present invention relates to grid maintenance technical fields, provide a kind of unit maintenance analogy method and system suitable for large-scale complex power grid, and method includes: the original overhaul data for obtaining generating set;Hydropower Unit overhaul data is generated, original overhaul data is modified;Acquisition water power goes out force parameter and new energy goes out force parameter, is modified to the curve that meets equivalent in original overhaul data;The plan of interconnection power transmission is obtained, to region load curve each in original overhaul data;Obtain the constraint condition of the maintenance plan of each region, and original overhaul data is modified using the constraint condition of the maintenance plan of each region got, it generates and exports the overhaul data after optimization, to make the system of day part in optimizing cycle can be as equal as possible with the ratio of unit capacity and system loading, so that system has roughly the same reliability in day part.

Description

A kind of unit maintenance analogy method and system suitable for large-scale complex power grid
Technical field
The invention belongs to grid maintenance technical field more particularly to a kind of unit maintenance moulds suitable for large-scale complex power grid Quasi- method and system.
Background technique
In recent years, being continuously increased with electric system scale, the addition of the intermittent energy sources such as wind-powered electricity generation, solar energy are big to advise Construction of the mould across basin cascade hydropower stations, the access of the multiple types power supply such as nuclear power, hydroenergy storage station, gas turbine and electricity Net the complexity that operation of power networks has all been significantly greatly increased in the factors such as the pattern of remote alternating current-direct current mixing transmission of electricity.How in complicated power supply It optimizes the system operation under power grid environment, improves the energy saving economy of system, reduction system discharge intensity is faced as Electric Power Network Planning Major issue.It is multi-party that the running optimizatin of power grid is related to peak-load regulating, complicated power supply architecture coordination, line section trend safety etc. The factor in face, the analysis for typical operation modes are often only able to achieve the evaluation to security of system, and for system energy consumption, Excessively rough for cost and discharge, needing can fine evaluation difference to the running simulation in power grid Long time scale Energy saving, economy and the carbon intensity of management and running scheme.
Wherein, the maintenance of generating set is one of them important component part of above-mentioned operation of power networks optimization, currently, machine The maintenance of group depends on the load curve progress that each period is netted by state, and accuracy is lower, and different zones is caused to be overhauled The problems such as plan is spatially uncoordinated, and different type power maintenance scheduled time is uncoordinated.
Summary of the invention
For the defects in the prior art, the present invention provides a kind of unit maintenance simulations suitable for large-scale complex power grid Method, it is intended to which the maintenance for solving unit in the prior art depends on the load curve progress that each period is netted by state, quasi- True property is lower, causes different zones maintenance plan spatially uncoordinated, different type power maintenance scheduled time is uncoordinated The problems such as.
The technical solution provided by the present invention is: a kind of unit maintenance analogy method suitable for large-scale complex power grid, institute The method of stating includes the following steps:
From pre-generated complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, the original overhaul data of generating set is obtained;
According to the reservoir of different zones come water, Hydropower Unit overhaul data is generated, and uses the hydroelectric machine generated Group overhaul data is modified the original overhaul data;
Water power power output is obtained respectively according in pre-generated water power power output moving model and new energy power output moving model Parameter and new energy go out force parameter, are modified to the equivalent curve that meets in the original overhaul data;
The plan of interconnection power transmission is obtained from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, and is sent using the interconnection got Electricity plan is to each region load curve in the original overhaul data;
The constraint condition of the maintenance plan of each region is obtained from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, and use obtains The constraint condition of the maintenance plan of each region got is modified the original overhaul data, after generating and exporting optimization Overhaul data.
As an improvement scheme, it is described from pre-generated complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, obtain generator Further include following step before the step of original overhaul data of group:
Pre-generated water power power output moving model and new energy power output moving model.
As an improvement scheme, the step of pre-generated water power power output moving model specifically includes following steps It is rapid:
Wind power output stochastic behaviour and wave characteristic are analyzed according to the history data of wind power plant, proposes that wind power plant is random Characteristic key index and its calculation method;
The spatial coherence model between wind speed randomness, fluctuation and multizone is established, generation meets wind speed statistics The wind speed time series of feature and spatial coherence;
Using Wind turbines power characteristic, the power producing characteristics of wind electric field blower are modeled, generate each wind power plant The power output time series of blower.
As an improvement scheme, the step of pre-generated new energy power output moving model specifically includes following steps It is rapid:
According to distribution character and stochastic behaviour that the Operational Data Analysis new energy of actual new energy resources system is contributed, to too The certainty part of positive energy new energy power output is separately modeled with randomness part;
Feelings without any blockage are simulated by establishing global solar radiation model for the determination part of new energy power output Under condition on the earth anywhere any time solar irradiation intensity, calculate new energy prediction power output upper limit value;
For the random partial of new energy power output, generation of electricity by new energy randomness part is modeled, establishes new energy screening The probability Distribution Model for keeping off the factor obtains the random partial analogue value of new energy power output;
By superposition certainty with randomness part as a result, generating the power output time series of new energy resources system.
As an improvement scheme, the constraint condition of the maintenance plan include maintenance constraint, system operational safety about Beam and percentage reserves is waited to constrain.
It is described another object of the present invention is to provide a kind of unit maintenance simulation system suitable for large-scale complex power grid System includes:
Original overhaul data obtains module, for obtaining power generation from pre-generated complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme The original overhaul data of unit;
Hydropower Unit overhaul data generation module generates Hydropower Unit inspection for the reservoir according to different zones come water Repair data;
First correction module, for using the Hydropower Unit overhaul data of generation to carry out the original overhaul data Amendment;
Second correction module, for according in pre-generated water power power output moving model and new energy power output moving model Acquisition water power goes out force parameter respectively and new energy goes out force parameter, repairs to the equivalent curve that meets in the original overhaul data Just;
It takes interconnection power transmission plan to obtain module, is sent for obtaining interconnection from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme Electricity plan;
Third correction module, for using the interconnection power transmission plan got to each region in the original overhaul data Load curve;
Constraint condition obtains module, based on from the maintenance for obtaining each region in the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme The constraint condition drawn;
4th correction module, for use each region got maintenance plan constraint condition to the original inspection Data are repaired to be modified;
Overhaul data generates output module, for correcting mould according to first correction module, the second correction module, third The amendment of block and the 4th correction module to the original overhaul data generates and exports the overhaul data after optimization.
As an improvement scheme, the system also includes:
Water power power output moving model generation module, for pre-generating water power power output moving model;
New energy power output moving model generation module, for pre-generating new energy power output moving model.
As an improvement scheme, water power power output moving model generation module specifically includes:
Key index proposes module, for analyzing wind power output stochastic behaviour and wave according to the history data of wind power plant Dynamic characteristic proposes wind power plant stochastic behaviour key index and its calculation method;
Wind speed time series generation module, the space phase for establishing between wind speed randomness, fluctuation and multizone Closing property model, generates the wind speed time series for meeting wind speed statistical nature and spatial coherence;
Power output time series generation module, for utilizing Wind turbines power characteristic, to the power output of wind electric field blower Characteristic is modeled, and the power output time series of each wind electric field blower is generated.
As an improvement scheme, new energy power output moving model generation module specifically includes:
Control module is separately modeled, point for contributing according to the Operational Data Analysis new energy of actual new energy resources system Cloth characteristic and stochastic behaviour separately model the certainty part of solar energy new energy power output with randomness part;
Upper limit value computing module, for the determination part for new energy power output, by establishing global solar radiation model, In the case of simulating without any blockage on the earth anywhere any time solar irradiation intensity, calculate new energy and predict The upper limit value of power;
Random partial analogue value computing module, the random partial for contributing for new energy are random to generation of electricity by new energy Property part modeled, establish the probability Distribution Model of new energy occlusion coefficient, obtain new energy power output random partial simulation Value;
New energy power output time series generation module, for by being superimposed certainty with randomness part as a result, generating The power output time series of new energy resources system.
As an improvement scheme, the constraint condition of the maintenance plan include maintenance constraint, system operational safety about Beam and percentage reserves is waited to constrain.
In embodiments of the present invention, from pre-generated complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, the original of generating set is obtained Beginning overhaul data;According to the reservoir of different zones come water, Hydropower Unit overhaul data is generated, and uses the water power generated Unit maintenance data are modified the original overhaul data;According to pre-generated water power power output moving model and new energy Obtain that water power goes out force parameter and new energy goes out force parameter respectively in power output moving model, to equivalent symbol in the original overhaul data Curve is closed to be modified;Obtain the plan of interconnection power transmission from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, and using getting The plan of interconnection power transmission is to each region load curve in the original overhaul data;From the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme Obtain the constraint condition of the maintenance plan of each region, and the constraint condition pair of the maintenance plan using each region got The original overhaul data is modified, and is generated and is exported the overhaul data after optimization, to make day part in optimizing cycle System can be as equal as possible with the ratio of unit capacity and system loading so that system have in day part it is roughly the same reliable Property.
Detailed description of the invention
It, below will be to specific in order to illustrate more clearly of the specific embodiment of the invention or technical solution in the prior art Embodiment or attached drawing needed to be used in the description of the prior art are briefly described.In all the appended drawings, similar element Or part is generally identified by similar appended drawing reference.In attached drawing, each element or part might not be drawn according to actual ratio.
Fig. 1 is the implementation flow chart of the unit maintenance analogy method provided by the invention suitable for large-scale complex power grid;
Fig. 2 is the implementation flow chart of pre-generated water power power output moving model provided by the invention;
Fig. 3 is the implementation flow chart of pre-generated new energy power output moving model provided by the invention;
Fig. 4 is the structural block diagram of the unit maintenance simulation system provided by the invention suitable for large-scale complex power grid;
Fig. 5 is the structural block diagram of water power power output moving model generation module provided by the invention;
Fig. 6 is the structural block diagram of new energy power output moving model generation module provided by the invention.
Specific embodiment
It is described in detail below in conjunction with embodiment of the attached drawing to technical solution of the present invention.Following embodiment is only used for Clearly illustrate of the invention, technical solution, therefore be only used as example, and cannot be used as a limitation and limit protection model of the invention It encloses.
Fig. 1 is the implementation flow chart of the unit maintenance analogy method provided by the invention suitable for large-scale complex power grid, Specifically include the following steps:
In step s101, from pre-generated complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, the original inspection of generating set is obtained Repair data.
In step s 102, Hydropower Unit overhaul data is generated come water according to the reservoir of different zones, and uses generation The Hydropower Unit overhaul data the original overhaul data is modified.
In step s 103, distinguish according in pre-generated water power power output moving model and new energy power output moving model Acquisition water power goes out force parameter and new energy goes out force parameter, is modified to the equivalent curve that meets in the original overhaul data.
In step S104, the plan of interconnection power transmission is obtained from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, and use obtains The interconnection power transmission plan got is to each region load curve in the original overhaul data.
In step s105, the constraint of the maintenance plan of each region is obtained from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme Condition, and the original overhaul data is modified using the constraint condition of the maintenance plan of each region got, it is raw At and export optimization after overhaul data.
Wherein, in the overhaul data after the optimization of generation, year, each day percentage reserve difference was as small as possible, met following mathematics Calculating formula:
In formula: NT is period sum in the optimized maintenance period;The system reserve rate of respectively i, j period.
In embodiments of the present invention, following step is also needed to be implemented before executing above-mentioned steps S101:
Pre-generated water power power output moving model and new energy power output moving model;
Wherein, as shown in Fig. 2, the step of pre-generated water power power output moving model specifically include the following steps:
In step s 201, wind power output stochastic behaviour and wave characteristic are analyzed according to the history data of wind power plant, It is proposed wind power plant stochastic behaviour key index and its calculation method.
In step S202, the spatial coherence model between wind speed randomness, fluctuation and multizone is established, is generated Meet the wind speed time series of wind speed statistical nature and spatial coherence.
In step S203, using Wind turbines power characteristic, the power producing characteristics of wind electric field blower are modeled, Generate the power output time series of each wind electric field blower.
In this embodiment, wind speed the simulation thinking of wind power output running simulation: is surveyed according to windy electric field history first Data (can also go out force data by wind power plant history to convert to obtain) are fitted the scale parameter of wind speed Weibull distribution and shape is joined Number, wind speed correlation matrix between wind farm wind velocity sequence auto-correlation coefficient, windy electric field;Simultaneously according to windy electric field history Air speed data is surveyed, the seasonality and regularity in a few days of wind farm wind velocity is considered, is fitted in a few days each hourly average of wind power plant Wind speed mark curve, with each monthly average wind speed mark curve.Then, using this key technology of stochastic differential equation, consider wind The stochastic behaviour and spatial coherence of speed establish stochastic differential equation simulation model, and it is random that simulation generation meets historical data The wind speed time series of feature.Then, while considering the power characteristic of Wind turbines and stopping transport at random, to generate each The power output time series of wind electric field blower.
The method for generating output of wind electric field time series is simulated using stochastic differential equation to be described below:
If probability density function f (x) is that non-negative, continuous and variance is limited in its domain (l, u), mathematic expectaion E (x)=u, for stochastic differential equation
Wherein θ >=0, WtFor standard Brownian movement, v (Xt) it is defined in the nonnegative function on (l, u):
Then just like drawing a conclusion:
Random process X is each state experience (ergodic) and probability density function is f (x).
Random process X is mean regression (mean-reverting) and its auto-correlation function meets:
corr(Xs+t,Xs)=e-θt,s,t≥0
Using the time series of this method simulation wind speed, if it is respectively c and k that wind speed, which meets scale parameter and form parameter, Weibull distribution:
Then, u is mean wind speed:
Wherein, F (x) is the corresponding distribution function of f (x), and Γ (a) is gamma function, and θ is taken as the auto-correlation decaying of wind power plant Coefficient:
Γ (x, a), x >=0 are incomplete gamma functions:
If generating the relevant wind farm wind velocity of multiple wind speed, need to firstly generate the relevant Brownian movement W of multidimensionalt, respectively tie up Wt It is standard Brownian movement, correlation matrix is equal to wind farm wind velocity correlation matrix between each dimension.And then utilize Wt Each dimension component generates each wind farm wind velocity sequence.
Wind farm wind velocity sequence is not completely random process, to due to climate reasons, Various Seasonal wind power plant location Velocity wind levels are different, and have certain rule (such as winter small, summer big), in a few days, due to wind power plant location earth's surface temperature The difference of degree and cause in a few days different moments mean wind speed it is different (as big at night, daytime is small), for the season for considering wind farm wind velocity Section property and regularity in a few days, to the wind series generated at randomIt is modified.Final output of wind electric field can be determined by following formula:
Wherein: PitFor wind power plant i t moment power output;nitFor wind power plant i t moment available blower rate;ηiFor wind-powered electricity generation Field wake effect coefficient;CiIt (g) is Wind turbines power producing characteristics curve;kihAnd kimThe respectively day characteristic and Seasonal Characteristics of wind speed Correction factor.
Ci(g) it is usually obtained by following formula:
Wherein, vin, vratedWith voutRespectively Wind turbines incision wind speed, rated wind speed and cut-out wind speed.R is wind-powered electricity generation volume Make power.
In embodiments of the present invention, it is specifically included down the step of moving model as shown in figure 3, pre-generated new energy is contributed State step:
In step S301, according to the Operational Data Analysis new energy of actual new energy resources system power output distribution character with Stochastic behaviour separately models the certainty part of solar energy new energy power output with randomness part;
In step s 302, it is simulated for the determination part of new energy power output by establishing global solar radiation model In the case of without any blockage on the earth anywhere any time solar irradiation intensity, calculate new energy prediction power output it is upper Limit value;
In step S303, for the random partial of new energy power output, generation of electricity by new energy randomness part is modeled, The probability Distribution Model for establishing new energy occlusion coefficient obtains the random partial analogue value of new energy power output;
In step s 304, by being superimposed certainty with randomness part as a result, when generating the power output of new energy resources system Between sequence.
Wherein, new energy power output model are as follows:
PstcIt is the nominal output of solar panel, is defined as the power output (standard of solar panel under standard conditions Under the conditions of intensity of solar radiation Istc=1000W/m2, temperature Tstc=25 DEG C), by the definition of solar panel nominal output It is found that when actual intensity of solar radiation is greater than the intensity of solar radiation under standard conditions, the power output meeting of solar panel Greater than its nominal output;I0tRepresentative is not considering atmosphere to enchancement factors such as the scattering process of sunlight and cloud covers to too In the case where the weakening effect of positive irradiation intensity, exoatmosphere plane solar irradiation only becomes with the relative position of the sun and the earth Change related.ktFor clearness index, it is defined as Earth surface plane global radiation ItWith exoatmosphere plane intensity of solar radiation I0tBetween Ratio: kt=It/I0t, wherein ItFor the irradiation intensity (including direct projection and scattering) of t period Earth surface plane.ktMainly by cloud The influence of the factors such as layer blocks, Changes in weather and height above sea level.RtIndicate the intensity of solar radiation and earth's surface on the period inclined surface t The ratio of total irradiation intensity of plane, the cosine value and the floor sun of incidence angle of the about equal sun of numerical value on inclined-plane The ratio between cosine value of incidence angle, changing rule and photovoltaic panel placement tilt angle, photovoltaic panel trace mode are (fixed, horizontal Tracking, sloping shaft tracking or twin shaft tracking) it is related;I(Rt,kt,I0t) indicate consider solar irradiation (direct projection, scattering and instead Penetrate), total irradiation after clearness index and the photovoltaic panel tracking factors such as type in photovoltaic panel.T represents atmospheric degree, αTIt is solar energy The temperature power coefficient of solar panel.
The key of new energy power output simulation is to I0t、kt、RtWith the simulation of T.The unobstructed illumination I of horizontal plane0tWith the sun Energy photovoltaic panel geographical location and season and in a few days moment etc. are related, can be calculated by global solar irradiation model, clear sky refers to Number ktIt is mainly influenced by factors such as cloud cover, Changes in weather and height above sea level, there is very strong intermittent and randomness, be The probabilistic main source of photovoltaic power output needs to realize using stochastic simulation.Meanwhile multiple photovoltaic electrics similar in geographical location The clearness index stood has very strong correlation, therefore the sampling for correlation being accounted for using random differential equation models. RtPlacement mainly by photovoltaic panel itself is related with trace mode, needs to derive entering for sunlight under photovoltaic panel difference trace mode Firing angle.Temperature T has certain randomness, but its simulation and data collection are more difficult, and αTValue it is typically small, therefore temperature It is also relatively small to spend the influence contributed to photovoltaic, in model proposed in this paper, influence temperature will be ignored contributing to photovoltaic.
It is proposed that the simulation thinking of new energy power output is as follows:
1) data acquisition, light area essential information include the geography information in light area, and the auto-correlation coefficient of intensity of solar radiation is fine The basic parameter etc. of empty exponential probability model.
2) it is equipped with the area NGe Guang, generates multiple dependents comprising do not share the same light interval connection and each smooth area's autocorrelation Normal distribution time series Xm(t)=xm1,t,xm2,t,L,xmN,t, wherein m indicates the number of simulation.
3) probability distribution of each smooth area day type is obtained first, and not maximum clearness index corresponding to type on the same day. It is sampled according to the probability distribution of day type, the clearness index time series K in area of not shared the same lightth,m(t)=km1,t,km2,t, L,kmN,t, the CDF of the intensity of solar radiation under different clearness indexes is calculated according to the probabilistic model of clearness index, is usedIt indicates.
4) X is utilizedm(t) andIt is sampled, the time series I for area's intensity of solar radiation of not shared the same lightm(t) =im1,t,im2,t,L,imN,t
5) I is utilizedm(t) it is contributed according to the photovoltaic plant that the power output formula of different type photovoltaic array calculates each smooth area.
6) above-mentioned process is repeated, until number realization m is equal to given number M.Seek the average value P of M calculated resultAV (t), one group of calculated result closest to average value is taken to be exported as final analog result P (t).
In embodiments of the present invention, the constraint condition of the maintenance plan includes maintenance constraint, the constraint of system operational safety And percentage reserves is waited to constrain, in which:
(1) maintenance constraint include maintenance declare constraint, maintenance resource constraint, maintenance mutual exclusion constraint, maintenance simultaneously constraint with And maintenance count constraint;
(2) constraint of system operational safety includes system reserve constraint, zonal reserve constraint, peak-load regulating constraint, subregion tune Peak constraint.
Maintenance needs to consider the reconciling spatial scale and different type power maintenance scheduled time of different zones maintenance plan Coordination optimization problem.In brief, maintenance result needs to guarantee that on space scale, the unit reserve capacity in different provinces is sufficient; The wet season avoids arranging Hydropower Unit maintenance in time scale, avoids abandoning water;When winter-spring season wind power output is larger, foot should ensure that Enough regulating units capacity.
Fig. 4 shows the structural block diagram of the unit maintenance simulation system provided by the invention suitable for large-scale complex power grid, For ease of description, part related to the embodiment of the present invention is only gived in figure.
Unit maintenance simulation system suitable for large-scale complex power grid includes:
Original overhaul data obtains module 11, for obtaining hair from pre-generated complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme The original overhaul data of motor group;
Hydropower Unit overhaul data generation module 12 generates Hydropower Unit for the reservoir according to different zones come water Overhaul data;
First correction module 13, for use the Hydropower Unit overhaul data of generation to the original overhaul data into Row amendment;
Second correction module 14, for according to pre-generated water power power output moving model and new energy power output moving model The middle water power of acquisition respectively goes out force parameter and new energy goes out force parameter, repairs to the equivalent curve that meets in the original overhaul data Just;
Interconnection power transmission plan is taken to obtain module 15, for obtaining interconnection from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme Power transmission plan;
Third correction module 16, for using the interconnection power transmission plan got to the area original overhaul data Zhong Ge Domain load curve;
Constraint condition obtains module 17, for obtaining the maintenance of each region from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme The constraint condition of plan;
4th correction module 18, for use each region got maintenance plan constraint condition to described original Overhaul data is modified;
Overhaul data generates output module 19, for being corrected according to first correction module, the second correction module, third The amendment of module and the 4th correction module to the original overhaul data generates and exports the overhaul data after optimization.
In this embodiment, the system also includes:
Water power power output moving model generation module 20, for pre-generating water power power output moving model;
New energy power output moving model generation module 21, for pre-generating new energy power output moving model.
Wherein, as shown in figure 5, water power power output moving model generation module 20 specifically includes:
Key index propose module 22, for according to the history data of wind power plant analyze wind power output stochastic behaviour with Wave characteristic proposes wind power plant stochastic behaviour key index and its calculation method;
Wind speed time series generation module 23, the space for establishing between wind speed randomness, fluctuation and multizone Correlation models generate the wind speed time series for meeting wind speed statistical nature and spatial coherence;
Time series generation module 24 of contributing goes out wind electric field blower for utilizing Wind turbines power characteristic Force characteristic is modeled, and the power output time series of each wind electric field blower is generated.
As shown in fig. 6, the new energy power output moving model generation module 21 specifically includes:
Control module 25 is separately modeled, for what is contributed according to the Operational Data Analysis new energy of actual new energy resources system Distribution character and stochastic behaviour separately model the certainty part of solar energy new energy power output with randomness part;
Upper limit value computing module 26, for the determination part for new energy power output, by establishing global solar radiation mould Type, in the case of simulating without any blockage on the earth anywhere any time solar irradiation intensity, it is pre- to calculate new energy Measure the upper limit value of power;
Random partial analogue value computing module 27, the random partial for contributing for new energy, to generation of electricity by new energy with Machine part is modeled, and the probability Distribution Model of new energy occlusion coefficient is established, and obtains the random partial mould of new energy power output Analog values;
New energy power output time series generation module 28, for by being superimposed certainty with randomness part as a result, raw At the power output time series of new energy resources system.
Wherein, the function of above-mentioned modules is as recorded in above method embodiment, and details are not described herein.
In embodiments of the present invention, from pre-generated complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, the original of generating set is obtained Beginning overhaul data;According to the reservoir of different zones come water, Hydropower Unit overhaul data is generated, and uses the water power generated Unit maintenance data are modified the original overhaul data;According to pre-generated water power power output moving model and new energy Obtain that water power goes out force parameter and new energy goes out force parameter respectively in power output moving model, to equivalent symbol in the original overhaul data Curve is closed to be modified;Obtain the plan of interconnection power transmission from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, and using getting The plan of interconnection power transmission is to each region load curve in the original overhaul data;From the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme Obtain the constraint condition of the maintenance plan of each region, and the constraint condition pair of the maintenance plan using each region got The original overhaul data is modified, and is generated and is exported the overhaul data after optimization, to make day part in optimizing cycle System can be as equal as possible with the ratio of unit capacity and system loading so that system have in day part it is roughly the same reliable Property.
The above embodiments are only used to illustrate the technical solution of the present invention., rather than its limitations;Although referring to aforementioned each reality Applying example, invention is explained in detail, those skilled in the art should understand that: it still can be to aforementioned each Technical solution documented by embodiment is modified, or equivalent substitution of some or all of the technical features;And These are modified or replaceed, the range for technical solution of various embodiments of the present invention that it does not separate the essence of the corresponding technical solution, It should all cover within the scope of the claims and the description of the invention.

Claims (10)

1. a kind of unit maintenance analogy method suitable for large-scale complex power grid, which is characterized in that the method includes following steps It is rapid:
From pre-generated complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, the original overhaul data of generating set is obtained;
According to the reservoir of different zones come water, Hydropower Unit overhaul data is generated, and is examined using the Hydropower Unit generated Data are repaired to be modified the original overhaul data;
Go out force parameter according to water power is obtained respectively in pre-generated water power power output moving model and new energy power output moving model Go out force parameter with new energy, the equivalent curve that meets in the original overhaul data is modified;
The plan of interconnection power transmission is obtained from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, and uses the interconnection power transmission meter got It draws to each region load curve in the original overhaul data;
The constraint condition of the maintenance plan of each region is obtained from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, and use is got The constraint condition of maintenance plan of each region the original overhaul data is modified, generate and export the inspection after optimization Repair data.
2. the unit maintenance analogy method according to claim 1 suitable for large-scale complex power grid, which is characterized in that described From pre-generated complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme, further include before the step of obtaining the original overhaul data of generating set Following step:
Pre-generated water power power output moving model and new energy power output moving model.
3. the unit maintenance analogy method according to claim 2 suitable for large-scale complex power grid, which is characterized in that described The step of pre-generated water power power output moving model specifically include the following steps:
Wind power output stochastic behaviour and wave characteristic are analyzed according to the history data of wind power plant, proposes wind power plant stochastic behaviour Key index and its calculation method;
The spatial coherence model between wind speed randomness, fluctuation and multizone is established, generation meets wind speed statistical nature With the wind speed time series of spatial coherence;
Using Wind turbines power characteristic, the power producing characteristics of wind electric field blower are modeled, generate each wind electric field blower Power output time series.
4. the unit maintenance analogy method according to claim 2 or 3 suitable for large-scale complex power grid, which is characterized in that The step of pre-generated new energy power output moving model specifically include the following steps:
According to distribution character and stochastic behaviour that the Operational Data Analysis new energy of actual new energy resources system is contributed, to solar energy The certainty part of new energy power output is separately modeled with randomness part;
For the determination part of new energy power output, by establishing global solar radiation model, in the case of simulating without any blockage The solar irradiation intensity of anywhere any time on the earth calculates the upper limit value of new energy prediction power output;
For new energy power output random partial, generation of electricity by new energy randomness part is modeled, establish new energy block because The probability Distribution Model of son obtains the random partial analogue value of new energy power output;
By superposition certainty with randomness part as a result, generating the power output time series of new energy resources system.
5. the unit maintenance analogy method according to claim 1 suitable for large-scale complex power grid, which is characterized in that described The constraint condition of maintenance plan includes maintenance constraint, the constraint of system operational safety and percentage reserves is waited to constrain.
6. a kind of unit maintenance simulation system suitable for large-scale complex power grid, which is characterized in that the system comprises:
Original overhaul data obtains module, for obtaining generating set from pre-generated complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme Original overhaul data;
Hydropower Unit overhaul data generation module generates Hydropower Unit and overhauls number for the reservoir according to different zones come water According to;
First correction module, for being repaired using the Hydropower Unit overhaul data of generation to the original overhaul data Just;
Second correction module, for distinguishing according in pre-generated water power power output moving model and new energy power output moving model Acquisition water power goes out force parameter and new energy goes out force parameter, is modified to the equivalent curve that meets in the original overhaul data;
Interconnection power transmission plan is taken to obtain module, by obtaining based on interconnection power transmission from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme It draws;
Third correction module, for using the interconnection power transmission plan got to each region load in the original overhaul data Curve;
Constraint condition obtains module, for the maintenance plan of acquisition each region from the complicated power generating facilities and power grids programme Constraint condition;
4th correction module, for use each region got maintenance plan constraint condition to the original maintenance number According to being modified;
Overhaul data generate output module, for according to first correction module, the second correction module, third correction module with And the 4th amendment of the correction module to the original overhaul data, it generates and exports the overhaul data after optimization.
7. the unit maintenance simulation system according to claim 6 suitable for large-scale complex power grid, which is characterized in that described System further include:
Water power power output moving model generation module, for pre-generating water power power output moving model;
New energy power output moving model generation module, for pre-generating new energy power output moving model.
8. the unit maintenance simulation system according to claim 7 suitable for large-scale complex power grid, which is characterized in that described Water power power output moving model generation module specifically includes:
Key index proposes module, for analyzing wind power output stochastic behaviour and fluctuation spy according to the history data of wind power plant Property, propose wind power plant stochastic behaviour key index and its calculation method;
Wind speed time series generation module, the spatial coherence for establishing between wind speed randomness, fluctuation and multizone Model generates the wind speed time series for meeting wind speed statistical nature and spatial coherence;
Power output time series generation module, for utilizing Wind turbines power characteristic, to the power producing characteristics of wind electric field blower It is modeled, generates the power output time series of each wind electric field blower.
9. the unit maintenance simulation system according to claim 7 or 8 suitable for large-scale complex power grid, which is characterized in that The new energy power output moving model generation module specifically includes:
Control module is separately modeled, the distribution for contributing according to the Operational Data Analysis new energy of actual new energy resources system is special Property and stochastic behaviour, to solar energy new energy power output certainty part separately modeled with randomness part;
Upper limit value computing module, for the determination part for new energy power output, by establishing global solar radiation model, simulation Out without any blockage in the case of on the earth anywhere any time solar irradiation intensity, calculate new energy prediction power output Upper limit value;
Random partial analogue value computing module, the random partial for contributing for new energy, to generation of electricity by new energy randomness portion Divide and modeled, establish the probability Distribution Model of new energy occlusion coefficient, obtains the random partial analogue value of new energy power output;
New energy power output time series generation module, for by being superimposed certainty with randomness part as a result, generating new energy The power output time series of source system.
10. the unit maintenance according to claim 6 suitable for large-scale complex power grid is simulated, which is characterized in that the inspection The constraint condition for repairing plan includes maintenance constraint, the constraint of system operational safety and percentage reserves is waited to constrain.
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