CN109598935A - A kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence - Google Patents

A kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence Download PDF

Info

Publication number
CN109598935A
CN109598935A CN201811532408.8A CN201811532408A CN109598935A CN 109598935 A CN109598935 A CN 109598935A CN 201811532408 A CN201811532408 A CN 201811532408A CN 109598935 A CN109598935 A CN 109598935A
Authority
CN
China
Prior art keywords
traffic data
data
ultra
long time
traffic
Prior art date
Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
Granted
Application number
CN201811532408.8A
Other languages
Chinese (zh)
Other versions
CN109598935B (en
Inventor
李建元
章步镐
杨柏林
陆俊杰
田彦
Current Assignee (The listed assignees may be inaccurate. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the list.)
Yinjiang Technology Co.,Ltd.
Original Assignee
Enjoyor Co Ltd
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by Enjoyor Co Ltd filed Critical Enjoyor Co Ltd
Priority to CN201811532408.8A priority Critical patent/CN109598935B/en
Publication of CN109598935A publication Critical patent/CN109598935A/en
Application granted granted Critical
Publication of CN109598935B publication Critical patent/CN109598935B/en
Active legal-status Critical Current
Anticipated expiration legal-status Critical

Links

Classifications

    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08GTRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS
    • G08G1/00Traffic control systems for road vehicles
    • G08G1/01Detecting movement of traffic to be counted or controlled
    • G08G1/0104Measuring and analyzing of parameters relative to traffic conditions
    • G08G1/0125Traffic data processing
    • G08G1/0129Traffic data processing for creating historical data or processing based on historical data
    • GPHYSICS
    • G08SIGNALLING
    • G08GTRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS
    • G08G1/00Traffic control systems for road vehicles
    • G08G1/01Detecting movement of traffic to be counted or controlled
    • G08G1/0104Measuring and analyzing of parameters relative to traffic conditions
    • G08G1/0125Traffic data processing
    • G08G1/0133Traffic data processing for classifying traffic situation

Abstract

The present invention relates to a kind of traffic data prediction techniques based on ultra-long time sequence, first, position mark processing is carried out to historical traffic data, the method for carrying out position mark processing to historical traffic data is as follows: determining the corresponding relationship for the data space that individual data position and ultra-long time sequence are formed in traffic data ultra-long time sequence;Position mark is made to the traffic data in traffic data ultra-long time sequence according to corresponding relationship;The ultra-long time sequence refers to across multiple time serieses for dividing the period;Finally, choosing the historical traffic data with position mark as input data, traffic data prediction is carried out.Using a kind of method arbitrary in neural net model method, the method for moving average, exponential smoothing, AR modelling when traffic data is predicted.The present invention improves traffic data precision of prediction by the correlation of Data Position in perception traffic data ultra-long time sequence.

Description

A kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence
Technical field
The present invention relates to traffic data prediction field more particularly to a kind of traffic data predictions based on ultra-long time sequence Method.
Background technique
The development of real-time dynamic traffic, so that accurately traffic data becomes hot topic in real time.However, traffic data is by the time The influence of factor is very big.It is broadly divided into active element and passive factor.Active element has: working day and nonworkdays, seasonality Transformation, time passage etc..Passively because being known as: festivals or holidays, activity of guide car changes in flow rate etc..
Traffic data time series can be according to the Time segments divisions such as minute, hour, day, week, the moon, year, traffic data prediction The traffic data that the main traffic data using historical time section carries out future time section is predicted.Existing traffic forecast method, Such as method of moving average, exponential smoothing, AR modelling, to across it is multiple divide the periods ultra-long time sequences perception compared with It is weak;Therefore a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence is designed to be necessary.
Summary of the invention
The present invention is to overcome above-mentioned shortcoming, and it is an object of the present invention to provide a kind of traffic data based on ultra-long time sequence It is pre- to improve traffic data by the correlation of Data Position in perception traffic data ultra-long time sequence by prediction technique, the present invention Survey precision.
The present invention is to reach above-mentioned purpose by the following technical programs: a kind of traffic data based on ultra-long time sequence is pre- Survey method, includes the following steps:
(1) position mark processing is carried out to historical traffic data, wherein the method for carrying out position mark processing is as follows:
(1.1) data for determining that individual data position and ultra-long time sequence are formed in traffic data ultra-long time sequence are empty Between corresponding relationship;
(1.2) position mark is made to the traffic data in traffic data ultra-long time sequence according to corresponding relationship;It is described super Long-term sequence refers to across multiple time serieses for dividing the period;
(2) historical traffic data with position mark is chosen as input data, carries out traffic data prediction.
Preferably, using regression model, user setting method, neural network model side in the step (1.1) Any one method in method can determine individual data position and ultra-long time sequence shape in traffic data ultra-long time sequence At data space corresponding relationship;It is preferred that using regression model, formula is as follows:
Q=∑ (y- ∑ (wpxp+bp))=min
Wherein, y is the traffic data on individual data position, and p indicates data space position, asks so that Q function minimization W, b, the corresponding relationship as individual data position and data space.
Preferably, according to corresponding relationship to the traffic number in traffic data ultra-long time sequence in the step (1.2) According to position mark is made, wherein obtaining w, b using regression model, according to the size of w, different stage is divided, as position mark.
Preferably, the division period determines according to the periodic phenomena that traffic data is presented, select multiple groups with Time window be unit traffic data time series, be averaging similarity, when average similarity meet setting threshold value when, this when Between window can be used as divide the period;Wherein similarity can pass through cosine similarity, Pearson correlation coefficients, Jaccard similarity factor Method is calculated.
Preferably, using neural net model method, the method for moving average, exponential smoothing, AR mould in the step (2) Arbitrary a kind of method progress traffic data prediction in type method.
Preferably, the traffic data includes but is not limited to the data of transit equipment acquisition, is acquired according to transit equipment Data reduction data;The data of the transit equipment acquisition include but is not limited to the magnitude of traffic flow, traffic speed, the basis The data of the data reduction of transit equipment acquisition, including but not limited to traffic behavior, traffic index.
Preferably, the neural net model method preferably uses LSTM long, neural network carries out traffic data in short-term Prediction, specific as follows:
(i) traffic flow forecasting is carried out by the driving sequence of setting input, to predicted value and the remote magnitude of traffic flow Value establishes linear regression model (LRM);
(ii) flow value that position mark is met the requirements is filtered out after training, and the distant place stream that the weight obtained to screening is big Magnitude position is marked;
(iii) the traffic flow magnitude with weight with position mark is added in LSTM network input layer, carries out LSTM+ Backpropagation training, the output valve of each neuron of forward calculation first, the secondly error term of each neuron of retrospectively calculate Value calculates the gradient of each weight finally according to corresponding error term, updates weighted value;
(iv) magnitude of traffic flow in the following preset period is predicted with trained LSTM network model.
Preferably, it is described in step (i), the driving sequence of input is set as X=(x1,1,1, x1,1,2..., xkk, Nn, mm, yKk, nn+1,1, yKk, nn+1,2..., yKk, nn+1, t-1,),
Wherein, y indicates the data on the prediction same day, and volume forecasting question essence is to be established and pre- flow measurement by driving sequence X Measure yKk, nn+1, tMapping.
Preferably, the step (i) when establishing linear regression model (LRM), chooses the data near daily t time interval, Regression model is as follows:
Wherein,D is step-length,It is respectively with b The weight and biasing of regression model.
Preferably, the LSTM network is one kind, special RNN Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network increases " defeated compared with RNN Introduction ", " forgeing door ", " out gate ", " input gate ", " forgeing door ", " out gate " and LSTM cell state are as follows:
Input gate:
Forget door:
Cell state:
Out gate:
Wherein, I represents the length for inputting current sequence, and C indicates the quantity of LSTM cell, and P indicates labeled high influence The quantity of wagon flow magnitude, l indicate input state,Indicate the state of forgetting door, o indicates the state of out gate, and f and g are activation Function,Indicate c-th of t moment cellular state value, tgpIndicate p-th of labeled wagon flow magnitude for having weight, it is last defeated Out are as follows:
The beneficial effects of the present invention are: the phase that the present invention passes through Data Position in perception traffic data ultra-long time sequence Guan Xing, flag data location prominence, then the traffic data of these positions is screened, the base as traffic data prediction Plinth improves traffic data precision of prediction.Preferably, the wagon flow magnitude of critical positions is added in LSTM, makes LSTM model Not only have shot and long term memory function, but also also have certain memory function for super-long-term, so that traffic flow forecasting It is more accurate.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is the flow diagram of the method for the present invention.
Specific embodiment
The present invention is described further combined with specific embodiments below, but protection scope of the present invention is not limited in This:
Embodiment 1: as shown in Figure 1, a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence includes the following steps:
(1) position mark processing is carried out to historical traffic data, wherein the method for carrying out position mark processing is as follows:
(1.1) data for determining that individual data position and ultra-long time sequence are formed in traffic data ultra-long time sequence are empty Between corresponding relationship;
(1.2) position mark is made to the traffic data in traffic data ultra-long time sequence according to corresponding relationship;It is described super Long-term sequence refers to across multiple time serieses for dividing the period;
Wherein traffic data includes the data of transit equipment acquisition, such as the magnitude of traffic flow, traffic speed, according to transit equipment The data of the data reduction of acquisition, such as traffic behavior, traffic index.
Ultra-long time sequence refers to that such as: 4 division periods are respectively 1 minute, 1 across multiple time serieses for dividing the period Hour, 1 day, 1 week, x [k, m, n, l] indicate that the traffic data of all n-th hour the m days l/mins of kth, k, m, n, l are integer, k Optional range [1-K], the optional range of m [1-M], the optional range of 1 < M < 8, n [1-N], the optional range of 1 < N < 25, l [1-L], 1 < L < 61;Ultra-long time sequence forms data space [1-K, 1-M, 1-N, 1-L] due to the different division periods, and [k, m, n, l] is right Wherein a certain data space position is answered.Similar, the time series for dividing the period across 3 also forms ultra-long time sequence.
The division period determines according to the periodic phenomena that traffic data is presented, and selects friendship of the multiple groups as unit of time window Logical data time series, are averaging similarity, when average similarity meets given threshold, when which can be used as division Section.In the present embodiment, one group of historical traffic data collection: { (x is obtained1,t1),(x2,t2),…(xj,tj),…,(x300, t300)},t2-t1It is 1 hour, time window TK is 12 hours, takes traffic data time series of the multiple groups as unit of TK, is with 3 groups Example, xTK1={ x1,x2,…,x12},xTK2={ x25,x26,…,x37},xTK3={ x13,x14,…,x24, it can be by 12 small times It chooses, or randomly selects every sequence.
Similarity can be calculated using the methods of cosine similarity, Pearson correlation coefficients, Jaccard similarity factor.S< xTK1,xTK2> it is time series xTK1And xTK2Similarity.It is averaging similarity STK=(S < xTK1,xTK2>+S<xTK1,xTK3>+S< xTK2,xTK3>)/3;Average similarity meets given threshold, and 12 hours time windows, which can be used as, divides the period.
Similar, time window TK is 24 hours, and average similarity meets given threshold, and time window can be used as division within 24 hours Period.
Wherein it is possible to determine traffic data ultra-long time using the methods of regression model, user setting, neural network model The corresponding relationship for the data space that individual data position and ultra-long time sequence are formed in sequence, preferably uses in the present embodiment Regression model, formula are as follows:
Q=∑ (y- ∑ (wpxp+bp))=min
Wherein, y is the traffic data on individual data position, and p indicates data space position, and asking makes Q function minimization W, b, the corresponding relationship as individual data position and data space.According to corresponding relationship in traffic data ultra-long time sequence Traffic data make position mark, it is above-mentioned that w, b are obtained using regression model, according to the size of w, different stage is divided, as position Tagging.
(2) historical traffic data with position mark is chosen as input data, carries out traffic data prediction.Wherein, may be used To carry out traffic data prediction using the methods of neural net model method, the method for moving average, exponential smoothing, AR modelling.
In the present embodiment, traffic data prediction is carried out using neural net model method below;Specifically use LSTM Long neural network in short-term carries out traffic data prediction, specific as follows:
(i) weaker analysis, the remote high influence flow of predicted value of adjusting the distance are perceived to traffic flow data by LSTM network Value carries out feature enhancing;Traffic flow forecasting is carried out by the driving sequence of setting input, to predicted value and remote traffic Flow value establishes linear regression model (LRM);The flow value that position mark is met the requirements is filtered out after training, and to the power that screening obtains Great distant place flow value position is marked;
Long neural network (LSTM) in short-term is widely used in the prediction of time series, it is a kind of special circulation nerve net Network (RNN), compared with RNN, LSTM increases " input gate ", " out gate ", and " forgeing door ", these doors allow LSTM to be provided with for a long time The function of memory.In traffic flow data prediction, the traffic flow data the being predicted not only flow with preceding several timestamps Data are closely related, but also related to the data on flows near working day a few days ago same timestamp, however since LSTM is missed The presence of difference accumulation, so that LSTM is weaker for the data perception of overlength sequence, this allows LSTM in the magnitude of traffic flow for having one The prediction data sensing capability a few days ago of fixing sound is weaker, analyzes and predicts so as to cause suboptimum.
Scheme includes two key steps, and the traffic flow magnitude for adjusting the distance first remote and predicted value establish linear regression mould Type influences height for perceiving distant place flow value to predicted value, then filters out the flow value that position mark is met the requirements, and will Later the traffic flow magnitude with position mark is added in LSTM input layer for screening, can effectively solve the problem that LSTM by this method The weak problem of traffic flow data sensing capability to overlength sequence.
It is assumed herein that the driving sequence of input is
X=(x1,11, x1,1,2..., xKk, nn, mm, yKk, nn+1,1, yKk, nn+1,2..., yKk, nn+1, t-1,),
In order to facilitate differentiation, predict that the data on the same day are indicated with y, volume forecasting problem is exactly to pass through driving sequence X to establish With predicted flow rate yKk, nn+1, tMapping.
Comparatively, the flow value before n days near same time interval influences predicted value higher, and between the distance t time It every remoter, influences weaker, therefore in order to reduce the redundancy of data volume, when being returned, it is attached to choose daily t time interval Close data, regression model are as follows:
WhereinD is step-length,It is back respectively with b Return the weight and biasing of model, after the completion of training, the flow value position big to those weights is marked.
In the present embodiment, weight screening is carried out using returning, predicts the traffic data of k weeks Tuesday of kth 12:00.If step-length d =1, internal corresponding weight matrix is as follows after the completion of training:
First week
Second week
After the completion of training, each position will have corresponding weight, with<weight, tag>indicate whether to mark, Weight indicates corresponding weight, and position of the above example by weight greater than 0.13 is marked, these labeled positions Data represent high correlation position.
(ii) the traffic flow magnitude with weight with position mark is added in LSTM network input layer, carries out LSTM+ Backpropagation training, the output valve of each neuron of forward calculation first, the secondly error term of each neuron of retrospectively calculate Value calculates the gradient of each weight finally according to corresponding error term, updates weighted value;
When LSTM is trained, these labeled datas on flows with weight are added in LSTM network, LSTM " input gate " in network, " forgeing door ", " out gate " and LSTM cell state are as follows:
Input gate:
Forget door:
Cell state:
Out gate:
Wherein I represents the length for inputting current sequence, and C indicates the quantity of LSTM cell, and P indicates labeled high influence vehicle The quantity of flow value, l indicate input state,Indicate the state of forgetting door, o indicates the state of out gate, and f and g are activation letters Number,Indicate c-th of t moment cellular state value, tgpIt indicates p-th of labeled wagon flow magnitude for having weight, finally exports Are as follows:
(iii) magnitude of traffic flow in the following preset period is predicted with trained LSTM network model.
Embodiment 2: a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence includes the following steps:
(1) position mark processing is carried out to historical traffic data, wherein the method for carrying out position mark processing is as follows:
(1.1) data for determining that individual data position and ultra-long time sequence are formed in traffic data ultra-long time sequence are empty Between corresponding relationship;
(1.2) position mark is made to the traffic data in traffic data ultra-long time sequence according to corresponding relationship;It is described super Long-term sequence refers to across multiple time serieses for dividing the period;
Wherein traffic data includes the data of transit equipment acquisition, such as the magnitude of traffic flow, traffic speed, according to transit equipment The data of the data reduction of acquisition, such as traffic behavior, traffic index.
Ultra-long time sequence refers to that such as: 4 division periods are respectively 1 minute, 1 across multiple time serieses for dividing the period Hour, 1 day, 1 week, x [k, m, n, l] indicate that the traffic data of all n-th hour the m days l/mins of kth, k, m, n, l are integer, k Optional range [1-K], the optional range of m [1-M], the optional range of 1 < M < 8, n [1-N], the optional range of 1 < N < 25, l [1-L], 1 < L < 61;Ultra-long time sequence forms data space [1-K, 1-M, 1-N, 1-L] due to the different division periods, and [k, m, n, l] is right Wherein a certain data space position is answered.Similar, the time series for dividing the period across 3 also forms ultra-long time sequence.
The division period determines according to the periodic phenomena that traffic data is presented, and selects friendship of the multiple groups as unit of time window Logical data time series, are averaging similarity, when average similarity meets given threshold, when which can be used as division Section.In the present embodiment, one group of historical traffic data collection: { (x is obtained1,t1),(x2,t2),…(xj,tj),…,(x300, t300)},t2-t1It is 1 hour, time window TK is 12 hours, takes traffic data time series of the multiple groups as unit of TK, is with 3 groups Example, xTK1={ x1,x2,…,x12},xTK2={ x25,x26,…,x37},xTK3={ x13,x14,…,x24, it can be by 12 small times It chooses, or randomly selects every sequence.
Similarity can be calculated using the methods of cosine similarity, Pearson correlation coefficients, Jaccard similarity factor.S< xTK1,xTK2> it is time series xTK1And xTK2Similarity.It is averaging similarity STK=(S < xTK1,xTK2>+S<xTK1,xTK3>+S< xTK2,xTK3>)/3;Average similarity meets given threshold, and 12 hours time windows, which can be used as, divides the period.
Similar, time window TK is 24 hours, and average similarity meets given threshold, and time window can be used as division within 24 hours Period.
Wherein it is possible to determine traffic data ultra-long time using the methods of regression model, user setting, neural network model The corresponding relationship for the data space that individual data position and ultra-long time sequence are formed in sequence, preferably uses in the present embodiment Regression model, formula are as follows:
Q=∑ (y- ∑ (wpxp+bp))=min
Wherein, y is the traffic data on individual data position, and p indicates data space position, and asking makes Q function minimization W, b, the corresponding relationship as individual data position and data space.According to corresponding relationship in traffic data ultra-long time sequence Traffic data make position mark, it is above-mentioned that w, b are obtained using regression model, according to the size of w, different stage is divided, as position Tagging.
(2) historical traffic data with position mark is chosen as input data, carries out traffic data prediction.
The method of moving average is used in the present embodiment, predicts the traffic data of k+1 weeks Monday of kth 8:00, specific as follows:
Historical traffic data ultra-long time sequence:
1st week
2nd week
x1,1,1Traffic data when for the 1st week Monday 1:00, xkk,nn,mmIt is kth k Zhou Congzhou several n-th n days from 1 point together Whole several mm hours traffic datas.
Historical traffic data with position mark, formation < xkk,nn,mm,tgkk,nn,mm>tgkk,nn,mmFor xkk,nn,mmThe position of data Tagging.
It predicts the traffic data of k+1 weeks Monday of kth 1:00, selects tgkk,nn,mmMeet the historical traffic data of threshold value {xkk,7,24,xkk,7,23,xkk,7,22,xkk,7,1,xkk,6,24,xkk,6,23,xkk-1,7,24..., xkk,7,24,xkk,7,23,xkk,7,22For kth k First 3 hours of+1 all Mondays 1:00, xkk,7,1,xkk,6,24,xkk,6,23For the time near preceding 1 day 1:00, xkk-1,7,24It is first 2 days Time near 1:00.Embody different time position logarithm it is predicted that importance.
The operation of average value is done to R historical traffic data, and is successively slided, until all data are processed, finally An average value is obtained, as the predicted value of traffic data, R is less than the historical traffic data length of time series chosen.
It is specific embodiments of the present invention and the technical principle used described in above, if conception under this invention institute The change of work when the spirit that generated function is still covered without departing from specification and attached drawing, should belong to of the invention Protection scope.

Claims (10)

1. a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence, it is characterised in that include the following steps:
(1) position mark processing is carried out to historical traffic data, wherein the method for carrying out position mark processing is as follows:
(1.1) data space that individual data position and ultra-long time sequence are formed in traffic data ultra-long time sequence is determined Corresponding relationship;
(1.2) position mark is made to the traffic data in traffic data ultra-long time sequence according to corresponding relationship;When the overlength Between sequence refer to across it is multiple divide the periods time serieses;
(2) historical traffic data with position mark is chosen as input data, carries out traffic data prediction.
2. a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence according to claim 1, it is characterised in that: institute It states equal using any one method in regression model, user setting method, neural net model method in step (1.1) It can determine the corresponding pass of individual data position and the data space that ultra-long time sequence is formed in traffic data ultra-long time sequence System;It is preferred that using regression model, formula is as follows:
Q=∑ (y- ∑ (wpxp+bp))=min
Wherein, y be individual data position on traffic data, p indicate data space position, ask so that the w of Q function minimization, B, the corresponding relationship as individual data position and data space.
3. a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence according to claim 1, it is characterised in that: institute It states in step (1.2) and position mark is made to the traffic data in traffic data ultra-long time sequence according to corresponding relationship, wherein adopting W, b are obtained with regression model, according to the size of w, different stage is divided, as position mark.
4. a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence according to claim 1, it is characterised in that: institute The division period stated determines according to the periodic phenomena that traffic data is presented, and selects traffic number of the multiple groups as unit of time window According to time series, it is averaging similarity, when average similarity meets the threshold value of setting, which, which can be used as, divides the period; Wherein similarity can be calculated by cosine similarity, Pearson correlation coefficients, Jaccard similarity factor method.
5. a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence according to claim 1, it is characterised in that: institute It states in step (2) using a kind of side arbitrary in neural net model method, the method for moving average, exponential smoothing, AR modelling Method carries out traffic data prediction.
6. a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence according to claim 1, it is characterised in that: institute State the data that traffic data includes but is not limited to transit equipment acquisition, the data of the data reduction acquired according to transit equipment;Institute The data for stating transit equipment acquisition include but is not limited to the magnitude of traffic flow, traffic speed, the data acquired according to transit equipment The data of conversion, including but not limited to traffic behavior, traffic index.
7. a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence according to claim 5, it is characterised in that: institute The neural net model method stated preferably uses LSTM long, and neural network carries out traffic data prediction in short-term, specific as follows:
(i) traffic flow forecasting is carried out by the driving sequence of setting input, predicted value and remote traffic flow magnitude is built Vertical linear regression model (LRM);
(ii) flow value that position mark is met the requirements is filtered out after training, and the distant place flow value that the weight obtained to screening is big Position is marked;
(iii) the traffic flow magnitude with weight with position mark is added in LSTM network input layer, carries out the anti-of LSTM+ It is trained to propagating, first the output valve of each neuron of forward calculation, secondly the error entry value of each neuron of retrospectively calculate, most Afterwards according to corresponding error term, the gradient of each weight is calculated, updates weighted value;
(iv) magnitude of traffic flow in the following preset period is predicted with trained LSTM network model.
8. a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence according to claim 7, it is characterised in that: institute It states in step (i), sets the driving sequence of input as X=(x1,1,1, x1,1,2..., xKk, nn, mm, yKk, nn+1,1, yKk, nn+1,2..., yKk, nn+1, t-1), wherein and y indicates the data on the prediction same day, and volume forecasting question essence is by driving sequence X is established and predicted flow rate yKk, nn+1, tMapping.
9. a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence according to claim 7, it is characterised in that: institute Step (i) is stated when establishing linear regression model (LRM), chooses the data near daily t time interval, regression model is as follows:
Wherein,D is step-length,It is to return mould respectively with b The weight and biasing of type.
10. a kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence according to claim 7, it is characterised in that: The RNN Recognition with Recurrent Neural Network that it is special that the LSTM network is one kind increases " input gate " compared with RNN, " forgeing door ", " defeated Go out ", " input gate ", " forgeing door ", " out gate " and LSTM cell state are as follows:
Input gate:
Forget door:
Cell state:
Out gate:
Wherein, I represents the length for inputting current sequence, and C indicates the quantity of LSTM cell, and P indicates labeled high influence wagon flow The quantity of magnitude, l indicate input state,Indicating the state of forgetting door, o indicates the state of out gate, and f and g are activation primitives,Indicate c-th of t moment cellular state value, tgpIt indicates p-th of labeled wagon flow magnitude for having weight, finally exports are as follows:
CN201811532408.8A 2018-12-14 2018-12-14 Traffic data prediction method based on ultra-long time sequence Active CN109598935B (en)

Priority Applications (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201811532408.8A CN109598935B (en) 2018-12-14 2018-12-14 Traffic data prediction method based on ultra-long time sequence

Applications Claiming Priority (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201811532408.8A CN109598935B (en) 2018-12-14 2018-12-14 Traffic data prediction method based on ultra-long time sequence

Publications (2)

Publication Number Publication Date
CN109598935A true CN109598935A (en) 2019-04-09
CN109598935B CN109598935B (en) 2020-12-15

Family

ID=65962562

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
CN201811532408.8A Active CN109598935B (en) 2018-12-14 2018-12-14 Traffic data prediction method based on ultra-long time sequence

Country Status (1)

Country Link
CN (1) CN109598935B (en)

Cited By (7)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN110009429A (en) * 2019-04-10 2019-07-12 金瓜子科技发展(北京)有限公司 A kind of method, apparatus and computer equipment of predicted flow rate data
CN110837888A (en) * 2019-11-13 2020-02-25 大连理工大学 Traffic missing data completion method based on bidirectional cyclic neural network
CN112330442A (en) * 2020-11-17 2021-02-05 深圳市欢太科技有限公司 Modeling method and device based on ultra-long behavior sequence, terminal and storage medium
CN112508305A (en) * 2019-12-29 2021-03-16 山西大学 Public place entrance pedestrian flow prediction method based on LSTM
CN112766597A (en) * 2021-01-29 2021-05-07 中国科学院自动化研究所 Bus passenger flow prediction method and system
CN113112795A (en) * 2021-04-06 2021-07-13 中移(上海)信息通信科技有限公司 Road condition prediction method, device and equipment
CN114283590A (en) * 2021-09-02 2022-04-05 青岛海信网络科技股份有限公司 Traffic flow peak prediction method and device and electronic equipment

Citations (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN101650876A (en) * 2009-08-26 2010-02-17 重庆大学 Method for obtaining average speed of traffic flow of urban road sections
CN102034350A (en) * 2009-09-30 2011-04-27 北京四通智能交通系统集成有限公司 Short-time prediction method and system of traffic flow data
CN104134351A (en) * 2014-08-14 2014-11-05 中国科学院自动化研究所 Short-term traffic flow predicting method
CN105185106A (en) * 2015-07-13 2015-12-23 丁宏飞 Road traffic flow parameter prediction method based on granular computing
CN105389980A (en) * 2015-11-09 2016-03-09 上海交通大学 Short-time traffic flow prediction method based on long-time and short-time memory recurrent neural network

Patent Citations (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN101650876A (en) * 2009-08-26 2010-02-17 重庆大学 Method for obtaining average speed of traffic flow of urban road sections
CN102034350A (en) * 2009-09-30 2011-04-27 北京四通智能交通系统集成有限公司 Short-time prediction method and system of traffic flow data
CN104134351A (en) * 2014-08-14 2014-11-05 中国科学院自动化研究所 Short-term traffic flow predicting method
CN105185106A (en) * 2015-07-13 2015-12-23 丁宏飞 Road traffic flow parameter prediction method based on granular computing
CN105389980A (en) * 2015-11-09 2016-03-09 上海交通大学 Short-time traffic flow prediction method based on long-time and short-time memory recurrent neural network

Cited By (9)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN110009429A (en) * 2019-04-10 2019-07-12 金瓜子科技发展(北京)有限公司 A kind of method, apparatus and computer equipment of predicted flow rate data
CN110009429B (en) * 2019-04-10 2021-04-16 金瓜子科技发展(北京)有限公司 Method and device for predicting flow data and computer equipment
CN110837888A (en) * 2019-11-13 2020-02-25 大连理工大学 Traffic missing data completion method based on bidirectional cyclic neural network
CN112508305A (en) * 2019-12-29 2021-03-16 山西大学 Public place entrance pedestrian flow prediction method based on LSTM
CN112330442A (en) * 2020-11-17 2021-02-05 深圳市欢太科技有限公司 Modeling method and device based on ultra-long behavior sequence, terminal and storage medium
CN112766597A (en) * 2021-01-29 2021-05-07 中国科学院自动化研究所 Bus passenger flow prediction method and system
CN112766597B (en) * 2021-01-29 2023-06-27 中国科学院自动化研究所 Bus passenger flow prediction method and system
CN113112795A (en) * 2021-04-06 2021-07-13 中移(上海)信息通信科技有限公司 Road condition prediction method, device and equipment
CN114283590A (en) * 2021-09-02 2022-04-05 青岛海信网络科技股份有限公司 Traffic flow peak prediction method and device and electronic equipment

Also Published As

Publication number Publication date
CN109598935B (en) 2020-12-15

Similar Documents

Publication Publication Date Title
CN109598935A (en) A kind of traffic data prediction technique based on ultra-long time sequence
CN110070713B (en) Traffic flow prediction method based on bidirectional nested LSTM neural network
CN110570651B (en) Road network traffic situation prediction method and system based on deep learning
CN108564790B (en) Urban short-term traffic flow prediction method based on traffic flow space-time similarity
CN107180530B (en) A kind of road network trend prediction method based on depth space-time convolution loop network
CN107610464B (en) A kind of trajectory predictions method based on Gaussian Mixture time series models
CN106781489B (en) A kind of road network trend prediction method based on recurrent neural network
Khosravi et al. Prediction intervals to account for uncertainties in travel time prediction
CN109934337A (en) A kind of detection method of the spacecraft telemetry exception based on integrated LSTM
Treethidtaphat et al. Bus arrival time prediction at any distance of bus route using deep neural network model
CN107748942B (en) Radar Echo Extrapolation prediction technique and system based on velocity field sensing network
CN109840587A (en) Reservoir reservoir inflow prediction technique based on deep learning
CN108600965B (en) Passenger flow data prediction method based on guest position information
CN104091216A (en) Traffic information predication method based on fruit fly optimization least-squares support vector machine
US20110085649A1 (en) Fluctuation Monitoring Method that Based on the Mid-Layer Data
CN109143408B (en) Dynamic region combined short-time rainfall forecasting method based on MLP
CN106371155A (en) A weather forecast method and system based on big data and analysis fields
CN110110243A (en) A kind of historical track destination prediction technique based on echo state network
CN108898533A (en) Acquisition methods, device and the computer readable storage medium of movement of population data
Arjona et al. Improving parking availability information using deep learning techniques
CN106568445A (en) Indoor track prediction method based on bidirectional circulation neural network
CN109215374A (en) A kind of bus arrival time prediction algorithm
CN107945534A (en) A kind of special bus method for predicting based on GMDH neutral nets
CN109670540A (en) It is resident number variation tendency Forecasting Approach for Short-term in Passenger Transport Hub region based on kNN algorithm
CN113449905A (en) Traffic jam early warning method based on gated cyclic unit neural network

Legal Events

Date Code Title Description
PB01 Publication
PB01 Publication
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
GR01 Patent grant
GR01 Patent grant
CP03 Change of name, title or address

Address after: 310012 1st floor, building 1, 223 Yile Road, Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province

Patentee after: Yinjiang Technology Co.,Ltd.

Address before: 310023 floor 1, building 1, No. 223, Yile Road, Hangzhou, Zhejiang

Patentee before: ENJOYOR Co.,Ltd.

CP03 Change of name, title or address