CN109472042A - A kind of reliability sampling test method based on acceleration degraded data - Google Patents

A kind of reliability sampling test method based on acceleration degraded data Download PDF

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Publication number
CN109472042A
CN109472042A CN201811076300.2A CN201811076300A CN109472042A CN 109472042 A CN109472042 A CN 109472042A CN 201811076300 A CN201811076300 A CN 201811076300A CN 109472042 A CN109472042 A CN 109472042A
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test
product
reliability
risk
sampling
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CN201811076300.2A
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Chinese (zh)
Inventor
杨舟
李刚
唐利涛
蒋雯倩
张智勇
何涌
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Electric Power Research Institute of Guangxi Power Grid Co Ltd
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Electric Power Research Institute of Guangxi Power Grid Co Ltd
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06FELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
    • G06F30/00Computer-aided design [CAD]
    • G06F30/20Design optimisation, verification or simulation

Abstract

The present invention relates to reliability test technical fields, more particularly to a kind of based on the reliability sampling test method for accelerating degraded data, the present invention obtains the reliability function of product by Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method according to the data of the accelerated degradation test of product, and according to reliability function, to accelerate the test variance minimum of acceptance test to establish the Optimized model and constraint condition of acceptance test, and the parameter of Optimized model is optimized, it is difficult to solve the problems, such as that high reliability long life product batches are checked and accepted for the optimal acceptance scheme for obtaining accelerating acceptance test.The shortcomings that acceptance scheme based on the guarantee test time can not obtain the failure parameter of product by statistical modeling method is overcome simultaneously.

Description

A kind of reliability sampling test method based on acceleration degraded data
Technical field
The present invention relates to reliability test technical fields, and in particular to a kind of based on the reliability sampling for accelerating degraded data Test method.
Background technique
There are two types of currently used Demonstration Reliability Acceptance Test appraisal procedures: first is that the examination based on the guarantee test time, i.e., A certain amount of reliability test is carried out to test sample, sees whether product is able to take in the experimental condition and test period not Exposure is out of order.The advantages of this method is that experimentation cost is controllable, can the verifying production to a certain extent in determining test period The reliability of product;But this method can not accurately estimate product achieved reliability parameter, can not be obtained by statistical modeling method The failure parameter of product, product can not effectively be managed and can not reliability quality to different manufacturers batch sample carry out It distinguishes.
Second is that the examination based on out-of-service time and the number that fails, i.e., carry out the reliability test of certain sample size to product, Its out-of-service time or failure quantity are collected, statistical model modeling is carried out to product by obtained data.The advantages of this method It is that can judge whether product can receive or refuse by obtained parameter;But for high reliability long life product and Speech, experimental condition not enough will cause test products and no-failure occurs causing test failure, and excessively high experimental condition can be made It is excessively high at the uncertain and experimentation cost of test failure mode, so that production and user can not carry out test.
Summary of the invention
To solve the above-mentioned problems, the present invention provides a kind of based on the reliability sampling test side for accelerating degraded data Method, specific technical solution are as follows:
It is a kind of based on accelerate degraded data reliability sampling test method the following steps are included:
(1) the acceleration degradation information of product is obtained by carrying out accelerated test to product, records moving back for accelerated degradation test Change experimental condition, and the test data D being recorded under different testing time pointsiAnd testing time point Ti, wherein i=1, 2 ..., n, n are the quantity of test data;
(2) it is established by acceleration degradation information obtained above and accelerates degradation model, obtain the reliability function of product;
(3) design parameter of sampling test is determined;
(4) according to step (1)-step (3) result obtain accelerate acceptance test test parameters, and to test parameters into Row optimization obtains accelerated test stress, product sample number, the receivable quantity and total time on test length to fail of test.
Preferably, step (2) specific steps include:
(1) assume that the Degradation path of product obeys random Brownian motionWherein, D0It is initial Degradation values,For accelerate deterioration velocity, σ be constant value drift amount, B (t) be moment t standard Brownian movement B (t)~N (0, T), DtFor in the degradation values of moment t;Obtain the reliability function of product:
Wherein, DfFor the threshold values of product failure;
(2) assume that the acceleration in accelerated degradation test is used as accelerated stress using vibration, then under the conditions of single stress Coffin-Manson accelerates relationship are as follows:
Wherein, NSAnd N0The vibration frequency respectively under acceleration and conventional environment, w is index parameters;
To have
μ (N is set herein0)=aN0+ b, wherein a, b are agreement constant;Then have:
(3) reliability function of this batch of product is obtained according to Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method by step (1) and step (2) are as follows:
Preferably, step (3) specific steps include:
(1) assumed condition is established:
Assuming that (1): test product is sampled from process, and bi-distribution is selected to be distributed as bottom;
Assuming that (2) test cell be it is independent, can be carried out in testing time τ I type truncation test;
Assuming that it is continuous measurable, negligible increment space that (3), which degenerate,;
Assuming that (4) both sides' risk is made of the model risk of sampling risk and modeling of degenerating;
According to above-mentioned it is assumed that sampling risk are as follows:
I=1....n indicates n product;Have for each vIndicate different time of measuring points, Ω (τ) representative products are in the fitting risk of time τ point, wherein DijkWithThe jth of i-th of sample respectively under k stress condition The measured value and estimated value of a amount of degradation;For the variance of amount of degradation estimated value,For the estimated value of error;C is examination Test the quantity of acceptable failure;α0For Production venture, α1For product sampling risk, α2For the fitting risk of product;Pr is failure Risk function;R indicates r-th of failure product;R(t;It N) is reliability of the t moment product in the case where stress is N;M is product sample Number
(2) composite risk is not only influenced by sampling factor but also is influenced by degradation model, i.e. α=α12;Setting accelerates to check and accept examination Test design principle: so that accelerate the test variance of acceptance test minimum,
Constant single stress acceptance test is then carried out in testing time τ, tests variance are as follows:
Var(Dt)=μ(N)+σ2τ2N2;⑩
Therefore the Optimized model of acceptance test are as follows:
NL< N < NH
Wherein, α0The producer risk maximum value fixed for both sides before on-test;Wherein, Var (Dt) for acceptance test institute There is the variance of amount of degradation;NLFor the lower limit of proof stress;NHFor the upper limit of proof stress;
Parameter to be optimized: Θ=[N, M, c, τ]T, wherein N is proof stress, and τ is test period.
Preferably, step (4) specific steps include:
(1) objective function and constraint condition of acceptance test are established
NL< N < NH
Wherein:
(2) to above-mentioned carry out numerical optimization, the stress (N) of available sampling test, sample size M, the acceptable mistake of test The quantity c and total time on test length τ lost;
(3) test can be carried out according to the testing program of step (2) parameters obtained, if sampling M sample in the batch, into Row stress is the accelerated degradation test of N, if not failing within the τ time, then it represents that the batch products are qualified.
The invention has the benefit that
The present invention obtains the reliability function of product according to the data of the accelerated degradation test of product, and according to reliability letter Number, to accelerate the test variance minimum of acceptance test to establish the Optimized model and constraint condition of acceptance test, and to Optimized model Parameter optimize, obtain accelerate acceptance test optimal acceptance scheme, solve high reliability long life product batches examination Difficult problem.Product can not be obtained by statistical modeling method by overcoming the acceptance scheme based on the guarantee test time simultaneously The shortcomings that failure parameter.
Specific embodiment
In order to better understand the present invention, the present invention is further explained in the light of specific embodiments:
It is a kind of based on accelerate degraded data reliability sampling test method the following steps are included:
(1) the acceleration degradation information of product is obtained by carrying out accelerated test to product, records moving back for accelerated degradation test Change experimental condition, and the test data D being recorded under different testing time pointsiAnd testing time point Ti, wherein i=1, 2 ..., n, n are the quantity of test data;By taking intelligent electric meter as an example, annual grid company will adopt a large amount of intelligent electric meter It purchases, after electric energy meter arrival, needs to be sampled intelligent electric meter detection, detection content includes elementary error, starting, shunt running etc. Multinomial electric energy meter performance indicator.The present embodiment is tested using acceleration shock and carries out accelerated degradation test to intelligent electric meter, and records Lower 18 pieces of intelligent electric meter error of time of day, intelligent electric meter number BE1-BE18, as shown in Table 1 and Table 2:
1 BE1-BE9 intelligent electric meter timing error detail list of table
2 BE10-BE18 intelligent electric meter timing error detail list of table
(2) it is established by acceleration degradation information obtained above and accelerates degradation model, obtain the reliability function of product:
1) assume that the Degradation path of product obeys random Brownian motionWherein, D0Initially to move back Change value,For accelerate deterioration velocity, σ be constant value drift amount, B (t) be moment t standard Brownian movement B (t)~N (0, T), DtFor in the degradation values of moment t;Obtain the reliability function of product:
Wherein, DfFor the threshold values of product failure;
2) assume that the acceleration in accelerated degradation test is used as accelerated stress using vibration, then under the conditions of single stress Coffin-Manson accelerates relationship are as follows:
Wherein, NSAnd N0The vibration frequency respectively under acceleration and conventional environment, w is index parameters;
To have
μ (N is set herein0)=aN0+ b, wherein a, b are agreement constant;Then have:
(3) reliability function of this batch of product is obtained according to Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method by step (1) and step (2) are as follows:
Wherein, μ (N)=(0.02N0+ 0.05) * (N/200), σ=0.5, Df=5, D0=0.5.
There are many documents to have the method for how acquiring the function, this hair from degraded data using Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method It is bright not repeat herein, then D is utilized to iti(i=1...n) and testing time point Ti(i=1...n) Maximum-likelihood estimation is carried out Available above-mentioned reliability function.
(3) design parameter of sampling test is determined:
1) assumed condition is established:
Assuming that (1): test product is sampled from process, and bi-distribution is selected to be distributed as bottom;
Assuming that (2) test cell be it is independent, can be carried out in testing time τ I type truncation test;
Assuming that it is continuous measurable, negligible increment space that (3), which degenerate,;
Assuming that (4) both sides' risk is made of the model risk of sampling risk and modeling of degenerating;
According to above-mentioned it is assumed that sampling risk are as follows:
I=1....n indicates n product;Have for each vIndicate different time of measuring points;, Ω (τ) representative products are in the fitting risk of time τ point, wherein DijkWithThe jth of i-th of sample respectively under k stress condition The measured value and estimated value of a amount of degradation;For the variance of amount of degradation estimated value,For the estimated value of error;C is test The quantity of acceptable failure;α0For Production venture, α1For product sampling risk, α2For the fitting risk of product.;Wherein T is to learn Raw-t statistic, freedom degree m-n, wherein n is the number of parameter in degradation model,To indicate to survey Magnitude and the unequal probability of true value, statistic T meet student t distribution, and r indicates r-th of failure product;R(t;It N) is t moment Reliability of the product in the case where stress is N;M is product sample number.
2) composite risk is not only influenced by sampling factor but also is influenced by degradation model, i.e. α=α12;Setting accelerates acceptance test Design principle: so that accelerate the test variance of acceptance test minimum,
Constant single stress acceptance test is then carried out in testing time τ, tests variance are as follows:
Var(Dt)=μ (N)+σ2τ2N2;⑩
Therefore the Optimized model of acceptance test are as follows:
NL< N < NH
Wherein, α0The producer risk maximum value fixed for both sides before on-test;Wherein, Var (Dt) for acceptance test institute There is the variance of amount of degradation;NLFor the lower limit of proof stress;NHFor the upper limit of proof stress;
Parameter to be optimized: Θ=[N, M, c, τ]T, wherein N is proof stress, and τ is test period, according to the deliberation of both sides, Determine that producer risk maximum value is α0=0.2.
(4) according to step (1)-step (3) result obtain accelerate acceptance test test parameters, and to test parameters into Row optimization obtains accelerated test stress, product sample number, the receivable quantity and total time on test length to fail of test:
1) objective function and constraint condition of acceptance test are established:
NL< N < NH
Wherein:
Wherein, NL=100, NH=1000,
(2) to above-mentioned carry out numerical optimization, available proof stress N, product sample number M, test are subjected to failure Quantity c and test period τ;Optimum results are as shown in table 3:
3 optimum results detail of table
τ (hour) N (newton) c M(a)
Optimal value 0.813 261.1 0 4
(3) test can be carried out according to the testing program of step (2) parameters obtained, if sampling M sample in the batch, into Row stress is the accelerated degradation test of N, if not failing within the τ time, then it represents that the batch products are qualified;Taken out in the batch 4 sample tables are taken, under the proof strength of proof stress N=261.1 newton, are not failed by 0.813 hour product, then table Show that the batch products meet quality requirement.
The present invention is not limited to above-described specific embodiment, and the foregoing is merely preferable case study on implementation of the invention , it is not intended to limit the invention, any modification done within the spirit and principles of the present invention and changes equivalent replacement Into etc., it should all be included in the protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (4)

1. a kind of based on the reliability sampling test method for accelerating degraded data, it is characterised in that: the following steps are included:
(1) the acceleration degradation information of product is obtained by carrying out accelerated test to product, records the degeneration examination of accelerated degradation test The test data D for testing condition, and being recorded under different testing time pointsiAnd testing time point Ti, wherein i=1,2 ..., n, n For the quantity of test data;
(2) it is established by acceleration degradation information obtained above and accelerates degradation model, obtain the reliability function of product;
(3) design parameter of sampling test is determined;
(4) it obtains accelerating the test parameters of acceptance test according to step (1)-step (3) result, and test parameters is carried out excellent Change, obtains accelerated test stress, product sample number, the receivable quantity and total time on test length to fail of test.
2. according to claim 1 a kind of based on the reliability sampling test method for accelerating degraded data, it is characterised in that: Step (2) specific steps include:
(1) assume that the Degradation path of product obeys random Brownian motionWherein, D0Initially to degenerate Value,To accelerate deterioration velocity, σ is constant value drift amount, and B (t) is standard Brownian movement B (t)~N (0, t) in moment t, DtFor in the degradation values of moment t;Obtain the reliability function of product:
Wherein, DfFor the threshold values of product failure;
(2) assume that the acceleration in accelerated degradation test is used as accelerated stress using vibration, then the Coffin- under the conditions of single stress Manson accelerates relationship are as follows:
Wherein, NSAnd N0The vibration frequency respectively under acceleration and conventional environment, w is index parameters;
To have
μ (N is set herein0)=aN0+ b, wherein a, b are agreement constant;Then have:
(3) reliability function of this batch of product is obtained according to Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method by step (1) and step (2) are as follows:
3. according to claim 1 a kind of based on the reliability sampling test method for accelerating degraded data, it is characterised in that: Step (3) specific steps include:
(1) assumed condition is established:
Assuming that (1): test product is sampled from process, and bi-distribution is selected to be distributed as bottom;
Assuming that (2) test cell be it is independent, can be carried out in testing time τ I type truncation test;
Assuming that it is continuous measurable, negligible increment space that (3), which degenerate,;
Assuming that (4) both sides' risk is made of the model risk of sampling risk and modeling of degenerating;
According to above-mentioned it is assumed that sampling risk are as follows:
Wherein:
C is the quantity of the acceptable failure of test;α1For Production venture;Pr is failure risk function;R indicates that r-th of failure produces Product;R(t;It N) is reliability of the t moment product in the case where stress is N;M is product sample number;α2,p(t;N) the meaning indicated.(2) Composite risk is not only influenced by sampling factor but also is influenced by degradation model, i.e. α=α12;Setting accelerates acceptance test design principle: So that accelerate the test variance of acceptance test minimum,
Constant single stress acceptance test is then carried out in testing time τ, tests variance are as follows:
Var(Dt)=μ (N)+σ2τ2N2; ⑨
Therefore the Optimized model of acceptance test are as follows:
Wherein, α0The producer risk maximum value fixed for both sides before on-test;Wherein, Var (Dt) moved back for acceptance test is all The variance of change amount;NLFor the lower limit of proof stress;NHFor the upper limit of proof stress;
Parameter to be optimized: Θ=[N, M, c, τ]T, wherein N is proof stress, and τ is test period.
4. according to claim 1 a kind of based on the reliability sampling test method for accelerating degraded data, it is characterised in that: Step (4) specific steps include:
(1) objective function and constraint condition of acceptance test are established
Wherein:
I=1....n indicates n product;Have for each vIndicate different time of measuring points, Ω (τ) generation Table product is in the fitting risk of time τ point, wherein DijkWithJ-th of degeneration of i-th of sample respectively under k stress condition The measured value and estimated value of amount;For the variance of amount of degradation estimated value,For the estimated value of error;C is that test can connect By the quantity of failure;α0For Production venture, α1For product sampling risk, α2For the fitting risk of product;Pr is failure risk letter Number;R indicates r-th of failure product;R(t;It N) is reliability of the t moment product in the case where stress is N;M is product sample number.
(2) to above-mentioned carry out numerical optimization, the stress (N) of available sampling test, sample size M, test are subjected to failure Quantity c and total time on test length τ;
(3) test can be carried out according to the testing program of step (2) parameters obtained, if sampling M sample in the batch, be answered Power is the accelerated degradation test of N, if not failing within the τ time, then it represents that the batch products are qualified.
CN201811076300.2A 2018-09-14 2018-09-14 A kind of reliability sampling test method based on acceleration degraded data Pending CN109472042A (en)

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Application publication date: 20190315