CN109409560A - Urban track traffic for passenger flow abductive approach based on Multi-Agent simulation - Google Patents

Urban track traffic for passenger flow abductive approach based on Multi-Agent simulation Download PDF

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CN109409560A
CN109409560A CN201810934145.7A CN201810934145A CN109409560A CN 109409560 A CN109409560 A CN 109409560A CN 201810934145 A CN201810934145 A CN 201810934145A CN 109409560 A CN109409560 A CN 109409560A
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尹浩东
王兴蓉
吴建军
魏运
孙会君
刘浩
高自友
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Beijing Jiaotong University
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Abstract

The present invention provides a kind of urban track traffic for passenger flow abductive approach based on Multi-Agent simulation, this method comprises: building considers the passenger flow dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models of induction information scope of release and content, upper layer Optimized model, for objective function, generates passenger flow induction scheme by genetic algorithm with the sum of the total Trip Costs of network and derived cost.Lower layer's simulation model is used to carry out simulation modeling in travel behaviour of the current passenger flow induction scheme to passenger, by emulate the period in every section on the volume of the flow of passengers and generalized cost be input in the Optimized model of upper layer, passenger flow induction scheme, the volume of the flow of passengers and generalized cost are updated in objective function by upper layer Optimized model, the fitness function currently taken off, by successive ignition, the highest optimal dynamic passenger flow induction scheme of fitness function value is obtained.The fining induction of " one scheme of a station " may be implemented in the present invention, can Assisted Passenger formulate reasonable path decision, it is crowded to alleviate Urban Rail Transit part passenger flow.

Description

Urban track traffic for passenger flow abductive approach based on Multi-Agent simulation
Technical field
The present invention relates to urban track traffic for passenger flow administrative skill fields more particularly to a kind of based on Multi-Agent simulation Urban track traffic for passenger flow abductive approach.
Background technique
With increasing for urban track traffic for passenger flow demand, the congested problem of urban mass transit network is got worse.It crosses While spending the crowded efficiency of operation decline for making urban mass transit network, the trip experience of passenger is also affected, some are caused Therefore passenger abandons rail traffic and selects other modes of transportation.Therefore, it formulates and the crowded measure of metro passenger flow is effectively relieved, it is right Track level of service is promoted to play a significant role.
Metro operation department generallys use increase supply capacity or the mode of limitation passenger flow demand alleviates gauze congestion, such as increases Add train quantity or controls the frequency that passenger is entered the station.But since the supply capacity of subway is limited, the frequency that enters the station of passenger is limited The trip of passenger can be delayed, therefore, it is crowded that these methods cannot fundamentally alleviate Urban Rail Transit.Compared to this two Kind method, passenger flow induction is a kind of more flexible passenger flow control means.It by placement passenger information system AT STATION or Road conditions descriptive information of the navigation software into passenger's issuing traffic network carries out trip decision-making for passenger and provides a kind of reference.
Currently, passenger flow inducible system in the prior art is mainly directed towards friendship of all passengers' publications about entire transportation network Logical situation, therefore the road conditions description information that all passengers receive is the same.
The shortcomings that above-mentioned passenger flow inducible system in the prior art are as follows: road traffic induction practice result shows to work as traffic When the participant of induction only knows respective interests and ignores the presence and decision behavior of road network other passengers, it is likely that caused More passengers are gathered on identical section simultaneously, to cause traffic congestion.
Summary of the invention
The embodiment provides a kind of urban track traffic for passenger flow abductive approach based on Multi-Agent simulation, with The shortcomings that overcoming the prior art.
To achieve the goals above, this invention takes following technical solutions.
A kind of urban track traffic for passenger flow abductive approach based on Multi-Agent simulation constructs the passenger flow dynamic based on emulation Induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models, passenger flow dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models include upper layer Optimized model and lower layer's emulation Model, which comprises
It by the impedance on setting directed arc is issued about the volume of the flow of passengers, induction information in lower layer's simulation model The function of range and content calculates the generalized cost function of each path and the probability that each path is selected, is then based on more Intelligent body emulation technology obtains the flow in each emulation period on every directed arc, and the flow on each directed arc is transmitted To the upper layer Optimized model;
The upper layer Optimized model is induced with passenger flow and is believed with the total Trip Costs of network and the minimum objective function of derived cost The space-time unique of publication is ceased as decision variable, and the segmental arc flow based on underlying model input calls genetic algorithm to solve on described The objective function of layer Optimized model, obtains optimal dynamic passenger flow induction strategies.
Further, the passenger flow dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models based on emulation, passenger flow dynamic induce Optimizing Bi-level Programming Models includes upper layer Optimized model and lower layer's simulation model, comprising:
It constructs Rail traffic network topological structure G (S, A), wherein S indicates that rail traffic station, A indicate directed arc, packet Block section between stations A ' and transfer arc A ", i.e. A=A ' ∪ A " are included, is constructed based on the Rail traffic network topological structure based on emulation Passenger flow dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models, the passenger flow dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models include upper layer Optimized model and Lower layer's simulation model;
The upper layer Optimized model is induction information publishing policy Optimized model, for determining the space-time of publication induction information Range achievees the purpose that the sum of travel cost and induction expense in network-wide basis is optimal;
Lower layer's simulation model assumes that section or the impedance changed on arc are about the volume of the flow of passengers, induction information scope of release And the function of content, and induction information will affect perception of the passenger to trip route effectiveness, obtain bottom output each section and Real-time passenger flow state and passenger on station urban rail gauze real-time distribution state, to obtain in each emulation period The volume of the flow of passengers on each directed arc, and the volume of the flow of passengers on each directed arc is transferred to the upper layer Optimized model.
Further, the upper layer Optimized model is with the total Trip Costs of network and the minimum objective function of derived cost, with The space-time unique of induction information publicationAs decision variable, the dynamic traffic flow x of section aaIt (t) is about upper layer decision VariableFunction, obtained by lower layer's simulation model and be input in the Optimized model of upper layer;
The objective function and constraint condition of the upper layer Optimized model are expressed as follows:
s.t.
In formula,It indicates whether station s ∈ S when t-th of time interval issues the road conditions description information about arc a, takes Publication is indicated when value is 1, indicates not issue when value is 0, ca(t) indicate that the practical broad sense on t-th of time interval inner arc a is taken With β1It indicates to issue the cost of the crowded description information of an arc at a station in each time interval.
Further, the upper layer Optimized model is with the total Trip Costs of network and the minimum objective function of derived cost, Using the space-time unique that passenger flow induction information is issued as decision variable, the segmental arc flow based on underlying model input calls heredity to calculate Method solves the objective function of the upper layer Optimized model, obtains optimal dynamic passenger flow induction strategies, comprising:
Passenger's intelligent body is generated based on AFC System of Urban Mass Transit brushing card data, utilizes the passenger Intelligent body emulate passenger under induction information travel route choice, traveling of entering the station, wait, get on the bus, getting off, it is outbound and transfer go out Row process;
Assuming that the station that passenger is currently located is o, point of destination is d, and the departure time is t, and passenger retouches according to the road conditions of publication The link proportion selection path stating information and perceiving, is usedIt indicates to take in the broad sense of the starting station o of the passenger segmental arc a issued With then having:
WhenWhen value is 1,Indicate impedance and the metro operation portion of the segmental arc a that passenger perceives The road conditions description information that door provides is related, whereinIndicate the road conditions description for the segmental arc a that station s is issued to passenger when period t Information;WhenWhen value is 0,The impedance for the segmental arc a that passenger perceives at this time is exactly segmental arc a Practical generalized cost ca(t);
Practical generalized cost on the arc of section is equal to train in the runing time in sectionWith the dwell timeThe sum of multiplied by table Show the coefficient gamma of the section degree of crowdinga(t), changing to the generalized cost function on arc is the transfer timeMultiplied by γa(t) it adds Punishment parameter σ is changed to, is indicated are as follows:
Degree of crowding coefficient gammaa(t) it indicates are as follows:
Wherein,Indicate the load of segmental arc, φ (ω)=α ωγ
In the generalized cost c for calculating every segmental arca(t) after, according to the belonging relation of segmental arc and pathCalculate OD it Between every active path path generalized costCalculation formula are as follows:
Further, the method also includes:
The selected probability of each path, probability calculation formula are obtained according to Logit model are as follows:
After obtaining the selected probability of each path, extensive passenger is obtained in urban rail using Multi-Agent simulation technology Real-time distribution state on gauze, the path after being entered the station using Multi-Agent simulation technology to each passenger in each emulation period Housing choice behavior, get on the bus, get off, transfer process is emulated, obtain every passenger real-time position on urban rail gauze, thus To the volume of the flow of passengers in each emulation period on every section, the flow of each directed arc is inputted for upper layer Optimized model.
Further, the method also includes:
The upper layer Optimized model generates passenger flow induction scheme by genetic algorithmLower layer's emulation module is imitated True algorithm is for emulating the passenger flow induction scheme that passenger obtains upper layer Optimized modelFeedback, i.e., emulation passenger current Induction schemeUnder, by the generalized cost c for perceiving every active patha(t) when it is specifically chosen any paths trip It enters the station, get on the bus, getting off, changing to and is outbound, being emulated, obtained by the trip process to each passenger in each emulation period To the real-time Trip distribution situation x of rail traffic road networka(t), the volume of the flow of passengers x on every section in period t will be emulateda(t) and Generalized cost ca(t) it is input in the Optimized model of upper layer, the upper layer Optimized model is by the passenger flow induction schemePassenger flow Measure xa(t) and generalized cost ca(t) it is updated in objective function, is currently solvedUnder fitness function, by multiple Iteration obtains fitness function value highest, the i.e. the smallest optimal dynamic passenger flow induction scheme of objective function.
As can be seen from the technical scheme provided by the above-mentioned embodiment of the present invention, the method that the embodiment of the present invention proposes can be with Automatically generate the induction scheme of fining, realize " one scheme of a station ", can help rail transportation operation department determine start into The time of row passenger flow induction and the road conditions description information which station to issue which section at respectively in each period.By examining The range and content for considering induction information publication can formulate reasonable path decision with Assisted Passenger, keep away from the angle of passenger More crowded section is opened, trip experience is promoted;It can change from the angle of Rail Transit System by optimizing induction information Become the optimizing paths of part passenger, so that the Trip distribution on gauze is more balanced, whole service level is obtained Improve, large passenger flow risk obtains a degree of elimination.
The additional aspect of the present invention and advantage will be set forth in part in the description, these will become from the following description Obviously, or practice through the invention is recognized.
Detailed description of the invention
In order to illustrate the technical solution of the embodiments of the present invention more clearly, required use in being described below to embodiment Attached drawing be briefly described, it should be apparent that, drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the invention, for this For the those of ordinary skill of field, without creative efforts, it can also be obtained according to these attached drawings others Attached drawing.
Fig. 1 is a kind of passenger flow dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models frame based on emulation provided in an embodiment of the present invention Figure.
Fig. 2 is a kind of passenger flow Model Framework figure provided in an embodiment of the present invention.
Fig. 3 is genetic algorithmic procedures provided in an embodiment of the present invention diagram.
Fig. 4 is a kind of simulation algorithm schematic diagram provided in an embodiment of the present invention.
Specific embodiment
Embodiments of the present invention are described below in detail, the example of the embodiment is shown in the accompanying drawings, wherein from beginning Same or similar element or element with the same or similar functions are indicated to same or similar label eventually.Below by ginseng The embodiment for examining attached drawing description is exemplary, and for explaining only the invention, and is not construed as limiting the claims.
Those skilled in the art of the present technique are appreciated that unless expressly stated, singular " one " used herein, " one It is a ", " described " and "the" may also comprise plural form.It is to be further understood that being arranged used in specification of the invention Diction " comprising " refer to that there are the feature, integer, step, operation, element and/or component, but it is not excluded that in the presence of or addition Other one or more features, integer, step, operation, element, component and/or their group.It should be understood that when we claim member Part is " connected " or when " coupled " to another element, it can be directly connected or coupled to other elements, or there may also be Intermediary element.In addition, " connection " used herein or " coupling " may include being wirelessly connected or coupling.Wording used herein "and/or" includes one or more associated any cells for listing item and all combinations.
Those skilled in the art of the present technique are appreciated that unless otherwise defined, all terms used herein (including technology art Language and scientific term) there is meaning identical with the general understanding of those of ordinary skill in fields of the present invention.Should also Understand, those terms such as defined in the general dictionary, which should be understood that, to be had and the meaning in the context of the prior art The consistent meaning of justice, and unless defined as here, it will not be explained in an idealized or overly formal meaning.
In order to facilitate understanding of embodiments of the present invention, it is done by taking several specific embodiments as an example below in conjunction with attached drawing further Explanation, and each embodiment does not constitute the restriction to the embodiment of the present invention.
In order to solve the problems, such as that existing passenger flow inducible system may cause partial orbit transit's routes congestion, the present invention is implemented Example proposes the fining passenger flow induction scheme of " one scheme of a station ", the i.e. scope of release by consideration induction information and content, The publication that induction information in different choosing period of time is carried out at some stations, makes optimal trip decision-making in Assisted Passenger Meanwhile reaching partly or wholly gauze and loading more balanced, the total the smallest purpose of trip impedance of network.It is intended to through optimization visitor Induction information is flowed, perception of the passenger to path effectiveness is influenced, so that the optimizing paths of changing section passenger, keep passenger flow balanced Ground is distributed on road network, is finally reached and is alleviated the overcrowding purpose of urban track traffic local line netter stream.
The operation of urban track traffic is related to operation department and the big main body of passenger two, therefore the target of passenger flow induction is not only wanted Optimal trip decision-making is made from user perspective Assisted Passenger, and to alleviate the large passenger flow of rail network from operation department's angle It is crowded, balanced gauze carriage load.Therefore, passenger flow induction problem is considered as dual layer resist decision process by the present invention, and building considers The passenger flow of induction information scope of release and content dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models, and design fusion Multi-Agent simulation and The integrated intelligent algorithm of genetic algorithm solves model.Fig. 1 is a kind of visitor based on emulation provided in an embodiment of the present invention Flowable state induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models frame diagram.Wherein, upper layer Optimized model is with the total Trip Costs of network and derived cost The sum of be objective function, make the smallest induction information scope of release of target function value for decision, i.e., within each emulation period Select which station as the station of publication induction information respectively, and the induction letter in which section is issued at each selected station respectively Breath.The travel behaviour of passenger emulates under the induction information scope of release that lower layer's simulation model is used to upper layer model decision Modeling.It is considered herein that the generalized cost of segmental arc is the function of induction information scope of release, content and the segmental arc volume of the flow of passengers, pass through benefit With Logit model and based on the simulation algorithm of multiple agent, can be obtained under the induction information scope of release that upper layer model decision goes out The real-time Trip distribution situation of Metro Network.
In the present invention, the content of induction information refers to the road conditions descriptive information in selected section, refers specifically to each emulation The load in section is selected in period, it is definite value 1.4 that the load in selected section is taken in the present invention, therefore passenger feels at the starting station It is related whether the generalized cost in the section known with the starting station issues the road conditions descriptive information in the section.For not selected Section, generalized cost of the passenger in the section that the starting station is experienced is its actual generalized cost.
As shown in Figure 1.Metro operation administrative department as upper layer gives to be provided as the passenger within the scope of the road network of lower layer The crowded descriptive information of certain passenger flow, and passenger makes trip by oneself interests or preference and determines under these induction informations Plan runs department further according to the reaction of passenger, makes the decision for meeting interests of the whole.On this basis, the present invention lures passenger flow The problem of leading is considered as an optimal investment policy problem, refers under the conditions of certain investment and recovery, considers the autonomous housing choice behavior of passenger While, by issuing induction information at local station, so that the Trip distribution of entire track road network reaches certain system index Optimal purpose.By being solved to Bi-level Programming Models, the present invention produce by when induction scheme, realize " a station one The fining induction of induction ".
1. upper layer Optimized model
It constructs Rail traffic network topological structure G (S, A), wherein S indicates that rail traffic station, A indicate directed arc, packet Include block section between stations A ' and transfer arc A ", i.e. A=A ' ∪ A ".
In the passenger flow dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models based on emulation, upper layer Optimized model is induction information publication Strategy optimization model, for determining that the range of publication induction information, time reach the travel cost in network-wide basis and induction expense With the sum of optimal purpose.
Upper layer Optimized model is with the total Trip Costs of network and the minimum objective function of derived cost, with induction information publication Space-time uniqueAs decision variable.The objective function and constraint condition of upper layer Optimized model are expressed as follows:
s.t.
In formula,It indicates whether station s ∈ S when t-th of time interval issues the road conditions description information about arc a, takes Publication is indicated when value is 1, indicates not issue when value is 0.ca(t) indicate that the practical broad sense on t-th of time interval inner arc a is taken With.β1It indicates to issue the derived cost of the road conditions description information of an arc at a station in each time interval.Section a's is dynamic State magnitude of traffic flow xa(t) be lower layer's simulation model decision variable, be about upper layer decision variableFunction, imitated by lower layer True mode is obtained and is input in the Optimized model of upper layer.
2. lower layer's simulation model
Current invention assumes that the impedance on section or transfer arc is the letter about the volume of the flow of passengers, induction information scope of release and content Number, thus induction information will affect perception of the passenger to trip route effectiveness.In the present invention, gathering around on induction information and road network Stifled is dynamically changeable, need by when solve induction scheme, thus each section for needing to obtain bottom output and the reality on station When passenger flow state, description passenger obtains extensive passenger in the real-time distribution state of urban rail gauze to the feedback of induction information, The input of link flow is provided for upper layer Optimized model.
Lower layer's simulation model is that the dynamic Trip distribution constructed based on Multi-Agent simulation technology deduces model.In order to obtain Trip decision-making of passenger when whether there is or not induction information, needs to calculate the impedance of every segmental arc.
The present invention by section the degree of crowding and the travel time be converted into section generalized cost, by determine passenger begin Whether hair station issues the road conditions description information in certain section, perception of the passenger to section generalized cost is influenced, so as to adjust path Housing choice behavior is evenly distributed in all passengers on different sections, makes the Trip Costs in entire Rail traffic network It is minimum.
Fig. 2 is a kind of passenger flow Model Framework figure provided in an embodiment of the present invention, is based on frame shown in Fig. 2, this hair A kind of process flow for urban track traffic for passenger flow fining abductive approach based on Multi-Agent simulation that bright embodiment provides Including following processing step:
Step 1: generating train intelligent body and passenger's intelligent body.Train intelligent body is generated according to time-table, with AFC It is raw based on (Automatic Fare Collection System, AFC System of Urban Mass Transit) brushing card data At passenger's intelligent body, for emulate passenger under induction information travel route choice, traveling of entering the station, wait, get on the bus, get off, go out It a series of trip processes such as stands, change to.
Step 2: considering the travel behaviour modeling of passenger's intelligent body of induction information.
For the optimizing paths modeling to passenger, it is necessary first to calculate the generalized cost of arc.
Assuming that the station that passenger is currently located is o, point of destination is d, and the departure time is t, and passenger is according to the section perceived Impedance selects path.The size of the perception impedance value of passenger and gauze section or base impedance and metro operation on transfer arc The road network passenger flow congestion information that department provides is related.WithIt indicates to take in the broad sense of the starting station o of the passenger segmental arc a issued With then having:
WhenWhen value is 1,Indicate impedance and the metro operation portion of the segmental arc a that passenger perceives The road conditions description information that door provides is related.Wherein,Indicate the road conditions description for the segmental arc a that station s is issued to passenger when period t Information, the present invention takeIt is 1.4, it is meant that rated passenger capacity of the load of segmental arc a considerably beyond train.WhenIt takes When value is 0,The impedance for the segmental arc a that passenger perceives at this time is exactly the practical broad sense expense of segmental arc a Use ca(t).Practical generalized cost on the arc of section is equal to train in the runing time in sectionWith the dwell timeThe sum of multiplied by arc Section load factor γa(t).Changing to the generalized cost function on arc is the transfer timeMultiplied by γa(t) along with transfer punishment ginseng Number σ, indicates are as follows:
Degree of crowding coefficient gammaa(t) it indicates are as follows:
Wherein,Indicate the load of segmental arc;φ (ω) be crowded punishment, calculation expression be φ (ω)= αωγ, it is the exponential function of segmental arc load.Therefore, segmental arc load is higher, and the crowded influence to generalized cost is bigger.ω0、ω1All It is the parameter for describing the degree of crowding, value is different, represents degree of crowding difference, in the present invention ω0Value is 0.7, ω1Value It is 1.2;
In the generalized cost c for calculating every segmental arcaIt (t), can be according to the belonging relation of segmental arc and path afterIt calculates The path generalized cost of every active path between ODCalculation formula are as follows:
ParameterFor 0-1 variable, when value is 1, indicate directed arc a on kth active path of the OD to od;Value Indicate directed arc a not on kth active path of the OD to od for 0.
Finally, the selected probability of each path is obtained according to Logit model, for imitating passenger's travel behaviour Very.Probability calculation formula are as follows:
Step 3: simulation result output.
In simulation process, the basis such as the real-time statistics section of the present invention volume of the flow of passengers, load factor, outbound amount passenger flow index.Its In, input of the section volume of the flow of passengers of timesharing as upper layer Optimized model.
The present invention respectively solves upper and lower layer model with genetic algorithm and passenger's simulation algorithm using C# programming.
3. merging the hybrid intelligent derivation algorithm of passenger flow emulation and genetic algorithm
Mainly pass through successive ignition generates optimal solution to the purpose of genetic algorithmIn committed step 4.1,4.1,4.3, It makes a variation, intersect, take less than c in selection operationa(t) andBut it is needed when evaluating the quality for the solution that upper layer model generates Use caIt (t), i.e., will solutionWith solvingUnder c obtained by underlying modela(t) and xa(t) it is updated in objective function, By iterating, finally made the smallest optimal solution of objective function
In the hybrid intelligent derivation algorithm of the emulation of fusion passenger flow and genetic algorithm, upper layer genetic algorithm and lower layer's emulation are calculated Method interaction.The upper layer Optimized model generates passenger flow induction scheme by genetic algorithmLower layer's emulation module Simulation algorithm for emulating the passenger flow induction scheme that passenger obtains upper layer Optimized modelFeedback, i.e., emulation passenger exist Current induction schemeUnder, by the generalized cost c for perceiving every active patha(t) it is specifically chosen any paths trip, When enter the station, get on the bus, getting off, changing to and is outbound, being imitated by the trip process to each passenger in each emulation period Very, the real-time Trip distribution situation x of rail traffic road network is obtaineda(t), the volume of the flow of passengers x on every section in period t will be emulateda (t) and generalized cost ca(t) it is input in the Optimized model of upper layer, the upper layer Optimized model is by the passenger flow induction schemeVolume of the flow of passengers xa(t) and generalized cost ca(t) it is updated in objective function, is currently solvedUnder fitness function, By successive ignition, fitness function value highest, the i.e. the smallest optimal dynamic passenger flow induction scheme of objective function are obtained.It is logical The hybrid intelligent derivation algorithm using fusion passenger flow emulation and genetic algorithm is crossed, each emulation period optimal induction is finally obtained Scheme.
(1) upper layer Optimized model: genetic algorithm
Genetic algorithm is that one kind passes through simulation natural evolution rule (survival of the fittest, genetic mechanism of selecting the superior and eliminating the inferior) evolution Randomization searching method.The initial solution that it is randomly generated from one group is known as " population ", starts search process, each of population Individual is all a solution of problem, is indicated with chromosome.These chromosomes measure dye with fitness function in each generation The quality of colour solid forms the next generation by selection, intersection, mutation operator.The principle of selection is that fitness is higher, and selected is general Rate is bigger, and after iteration several times, for algorithmic statement in best chromosome, it is likely to the optimal solution or suboptimum of problem Solution.Fig. 3 is shown in genetic algorithm diagram, and basic operation process is as follows:
1) it encodes: the feature of required selection being numbered, each feature is exactly a gene, and a solution is exactly one The combination of string gene.In the present invention, the decision variable of upper layer model isIndicate whether AT STATION s is sent out in emulation period t The road conditions descriptive information of cloth directed arc a is 0-1 variable.Therefore, the feasible solution of model is set using traditional binary coding It is calculated as corresponding gene order or chromosome.Item chromosome vector HlIt indicates, represents a feasible solution of problem.Population is used H expression, one of genetic fragmentIndicate whether issue about the passenger flow on each directed arc in some station si Induction information.The result of final upper layer Optimized model output are as follows:
H={ H1,H2,...HL}
2) initialize: setting maximum evolutionary generation G and evolutionary generation counter, L individual of random generation are used as initial kind Group.In the present invention, it needs to population H={ H1,H2,...HLInitialization, start iteration as initial point.
3) it assesses individual adaptation degree in population: calculating population H={ H1,H2,...HLIn each individual HlFitness.This In invention, fitness function calculation formula are as follows: f (Hl)=1/Z (Hl).The adaptive value of individual is higher, illustrates using mesh when the program The value of scalar functions is smaller, and selected to be genetic to follow-on probability higher.
4) selection operation: after the adaptive value for calculating each individual, the standard of the ratio of adaptive value alternatively can be used, is obtained To the adaptive value ratio of each individual, referred to as selected probability.After selected probability has been calculated, individual is carried out by the method for roulette Selection, obtain population same as former group size.
5) crossover operation: intersection will namely correspond to gene section and exchange to obtain new chromosome on a group chromosome, then New genome is obtained, new group is formed.Assuming that interchromosomal is intersected with certain probability, and random selection is handed over Crunode.In the present invention, interleaved mode schematically as follows:
6) mutation operation: variation namely changes some gene on chromosome string by a small probability, to obtain New group.Mutation operation helps avoid local optimum.Assuming that interchromosomal is made a variation with certain probability, and random Select change point.In the present invention, variation mode schematically as follows:
7) termination condition: the present invention is using the method for setting maximum algebra to determine whether terminating genetic algorithm.
(2) lower layer's simulation model: passenger's simulation algorithm
In the present invention, using studying passenger based on the emulation technology of multiple agent whether there is or not the traffic rows under induction information To carry out tracking description with the variation in space at any time to the movement of every passenger.Specific step is as follows: 1) initialization emulation ginseng Number, including emulation time started, end time, simulation step length etc..
2) it within each emulation period, generates each between the active path OD.
3) according to the amount of entering the station at each station in the emulation period each in AFC brushing card data, passenger's intelligent body is generated.
4) generalized cost in every segmental arc in each emulation period is utilizedCalculate each active path between each OD Generalized costLogit model is recycled to obtain the selected probability of each path, and will be every according to roulette rule A passenger's intelligent body distribution is on active path.
5) by passenger's emulator, provide the system time of each passenger, current state (i.e. intelligent body generate, enter the station, etc. To, get on the bus, change to, just in outbound, outbound completion), current location, to obtain the visitor in each emulation period in every segmental arc Flow xa(t)。
Fig. 4 is a kind of simulation algorithm signal for solving track traffic for passenger flow and inducing optimization problem provided in an embodiment of the present invention Figure
(3) overall derivation algorithm
The overall algorithm frame for solving urban track traffic for passenger flow induction optimization problem is described as follows:
Step 1: initialization.Initialization model and algorithm parameter value σ, β, ξ, ζ, M,qod(t)、λs、Ca(t)、The upper limit that the number of iterations is arranged is G, population scale L.It is t=1 that current induction period, which is arranged,.
Step 2: for upper layer model, one initial induction strategies set or initial population are setSetting Current algebra is g=0.
Step 3: solving lower layer's simulation model.The induction scheme determined for each by upper layer modelIt will It is updated in underlying model the reaction for obtaining passenger to the induction scheme, and obtains the passenger flow under the induction scheme in gauze Distribution situation.
Method particularly includes: pass through formula firstPassenger is calculated at the starting station The section generalized cost perceived, then passes through formulaCalculate between each OD pairs every effectively The generalized cost in path, and the selected probability of each path is obtained using Logit model.Finally utilize Multi-Agent simulation skill Art enter the station to each passenger in each emulation period after optimizing paths, the processes such as get on the bus, get off, change to emulate, The online online real-time position of every passenger is obtained, to obtain the volume of the flow of passengers x in each emulation period on every sectiona(t, g).Step 4: solving upper layer Optimized model.X is solved according to obtained in step 3a(t, g) calculates each dyeing in initial population The fitness of body.And by following operation, the induction strategies that upper layer optimizes are obtained
Step 4.1: mutation operation is created that the new chromosome of L item using mutation operator.
Step 4.2: crossover operation implements crossing operation to L chromosome.
Step 4.3: selection operation guarantees that optimum individual is genetic in the next generation using selection operator.
Step 5: verifying termination condition 1.It, will if the number of iterations is greater than GAnd xa(t, g) is as model Optimal solution;Otherwise, g=g+1 is enabled, and returns to step poly- 3.
Step 6: verifying termination condition 2.If t > n (the stage sum that n is emulation) terminates;Otherwise, t=t+1 is enabled, is returned Return to step 2.
Embodiment two
The present invention carries out the verifying of model and algorithm by taking Beijing Metro as an example.The data for needing to input include: Beijing Metro Gauze topology data, passenger flow timesharing OD data, the interior travel time parameter in passenger station, time-table data.By calculating, 50 stations should be selected to issue tutorial message in peak period in the morning.
In addition, the present invention is capable of providing the induction scheme of fining, " one scheme of every station " is realized.That is, each Station can obtain the passenger flow induction scheme of a differentiation, so that the road network crowded state that the passenger at each station sees is different 's.It is meant that present period from the station in the passenger flow congestion information about some section that a station is distributed to passenger Passenger be likely encountered if by the section crowded, formulate reasonable trip decision-making so as to Assisted Passenger.
It is of the invention the result shows that, passenger flow induction information will affect perception of the passenger to trip route effectiveness, to influence The optimizing paths of passenger.By taking Tiantong Yuan station to Chaoyang Men station as an example, passenger flow induction information is not issued at Tiantong Yuan station In the case of, select the passenger of route (b) trip most.And when issuing passenger flow induction information at Tiantong Yuan station, it selects path (a) The passenger of trip is most.Concrete outcome is shown in Table 1.
Table 1 issues the travel cost of first three paths of induction information front and back passenger's selection
Calculated result shows that (15min) fining passenger flow induction scheme proposed by the present invention can in an induction period The maximum hourage saved in network-wide basis totally 46319 minutes, demonstrate effectiveness of the invention.
In conclusion the urban track traffic for passenger flow abductive approach based on Multi-Agent simulation that the embodiment of the present invention proposes The induction scheme of fining can be automatically generated, is realized " one scheme of a station ", the determination of rail transportation operation department can be helped to open Begin the time for carrying out passenger flow induction and the road conditions description information which station to issue which section at respectively in each period.It is logical The issuing time to passenger flow induction information, space and content is crossed to optimize, it, can be with Assisted Passenger system from the angle of passenger Fixed reasonable path decision, avoids more crowded section, promotes trip experience;It, can from the angle of Rail Transit System So that part route, section and the load of transfer stop decline, the Trip distribution on gauze is more balanced, so that whole service water Flat to be improved, large passenger flow security risk obtains certain elimination.Achievement of the invention will carry out passenger flow for metro operation department Induction information publication work provides the decision support for rationally having evidence.
The present invention designs fusion Multi-Agent simulation and the integrated intelligent algorithm of genetic algorithm carries out Bi-level Programming Models It solves.The decision that underlying model is made based on upper layer model, it is dynamic under the decision using being obtained based on Multi-Agent simulation algorithm State Trip distribution situation, and it is input to layer model;The dynamic volume of the flow of passengers that upper layer model is inputted based on underlying model calls heredity Algorithm obtains induction information scope of release optimal in each emulation period by successive ignition.
Those of ordinary skill in the art will appreciate that: attached drawing is the schematic diagram of one embodiment, module in attached drawing or Process is not necessarily implemented necessary to the present invention.
As seen through the above description of the embodiments, those skilled in the art can be understood that the present invention can It realizes by means of software and necessary general hardware platform.Based on this understanding, technical solution of the present invention essence On in other words the part that contributes to existing technology can be embodied in the form of software products, the computer software product It can store in storage medium, such as ROM/RAM, magnetic disk, CD, including some instructions are used so that a computer equipment (can be personal computer, server or the network equipment etc.) executes the certain of each embodiment or embodiment of the invention Method described in part.
All the embodiments in this specification are described in a progressive manner, same and similar portion between each embodiment Dividing may refer to each other, and each embodiment focuses on the differences from other embodiments.Especially for device or For system embodiment, since it is substantially similar to the method embodiment, so describing fairly simple, related place is referring to method The part of embodiment illustrates.Apparatus and system embodiment described above is only schematical, wherein the conduct The unit of separate part description may or may not be physically separated, component shown as a unit can be or Person may not be physical unit, it can and it is in one place, or may be distributed over multiple network units.It can root According to actual need that some or all of the modules therein is selected to achieve the purpose of the solution of this embodiment.Ordinary skill Personnel can understand and implement without creative efforts.
The foregoing is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention, but scope of protection of the present invention is not limited thereto, In the technical scope disclosed by the present invention, any changes or substitutions that can be easily thought of by anyone skilled in the art, It should be covered by the protection scope of the present invention.Therefore, protection scope of the present invention should be with scope of protection of the claims Subject to.

Claims (6)

1. a kind of urban track traffic for passenger flow abductive approach based on Multi-Agent simulation, which is characterized in that building is based on emulation Passenger flow dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models, the passenger flow dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models include upper layer Optimized model With lower layer's simulation model, which comprises
It is about the volume of the flow of passengers, induction information scope of release by the impedance on setting directed arc in lower layer's simulation model And the function of content, the generalized cost function of each path and the probability that each path is selected are calculated, is then based on mostly intelligent Body emulation technology obtains the flow in each emulation period on every directed arc, and the flow on each directed arc is transferred to institute State upper layer Optimized model;
The upper layer Optimized model is with the total Trip Costs of network and the minimum objective function of derived cost, with passenger flow induction information hair For the space-time unique of cloth as decision variable, it is excellent that the segmental arc flow based on underlying model input calls genetic algorithm to solve the upper layer The objective function for changing model, obtains optimal dynamic passenger flow induction strategies.
2. the method according to claim 1, wherein the passenger flow dynamic induction optimization based on emulation is double-deck Plan model, passenger flow dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models include upper layer Optimized model and lower layer's simulation model, comprising:
It constructs Rail traffic network topological structure G (S, A), wherein S indicates that rail traffic station, A indicate directed arc, including station Between section A ' and transfer arc A ", i.e. A=A ' ∪ A ", based on the Rail traffic network topological structure construct the passenger flow based on emulation Dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models, passenger flow dynamic induction optimization Bi-level Programming Models include upper layer Optimized model and lower layer Simulation model;
The upper layer Optimized model is induction information publishing policy Optimized model, for determining the space-time model of publication induction information It encloses, achievees the purpose that the sum of travel cost and induction expense in network-wide basis is optimal;
Lower layer's simulation model assumes section or the impedance of changing on arc is about the volume of the flow of passengers, induction information scope of release and interior The function of appearance, and induction information will affect perception of the passenger to trip route effectiveness, obtain each section and the station of bottom output On real-time passenger flow state and passenger urban rail gauze real-time distribution state, to obtain each in each emulation period The volume of the flow of passengers on directed arc, and the volume of the flow of passengers on each directed arc is transferred to the upper layer Optimized model.
3. according to the method described in claim 2, it is characterized in that, the upper layer Optimized model is with the total Trip Costs of network and lures Leading cost minimization is objective function, the space-time unique issued with induction informationAs decision variable, the dynamic traffic of section a Flow xaIt (t) is about upper layer decision variableFunction, obtained by lower layer's simulation model and be input to upper layer Optimized model In;
The objective function and constraint condition of the upper layer Optimized model are expressed as follows:
In formula,Indicate whether station s ∈ S when t-th of time interval issues the road conditions description information about arc a, value 1 When indicate publication, value be 0 when indicate do not issue, ca(t) the practical generalized cost on t-th of time interval inner arc a, β are indicated1 It indicates to issue the cost of the crowded description information of an arc at a station in each time interval.
4. according to the method described in claim 3, it is characterized in that, the upper layer Optimized model with the total Trip Costs of network and The minimum objective function of derived cost is based on underlying model using the space-time unique that passenger flow induction information is issued as decision variable The segmental arc flow of input calls genetic algorithm to solve the objective function of the upper layer Optimized model, obtains optimal dynamic passenger flow and lures Lead strategy, comprising:
Passenger's intelligent body is generated based on AFC System of Urban Mass Transit brushing card data, utilizes passenger's intelligence Body emulate passenger under induction information travel route choice, traveling of entering the station, wait, get on the bus, getting off, it is outbound and transfer trip Journey;
Assuming that the station that passenger is currently located is o, point of destination is d, and the departure time is t, and passenger describes to believe according to the road conditions of publication The link proportion selection path for ceasing and perceiving, is usedIndicate the generalized cost in the starting station o of the passenger segmental arc a issued, Then have:
WhenWhen value is 1,Indicate that the impedance for the segmental arc a that passenger perceives is mentioned with metro operation department The road conditions description information of confession is related, whereinIndicate the road conditions description letter for the segmental arc a that station s is issued to passenger when period t Breath;WhenWhen value is 0,The impedance for the segmental arc a that passenger perceives at this time is exactly segmental arc a Practical generalized cost ca(t);
Practical generalized cost on the arc of section is equal to train in the runing time in sectionWith the dwell timeThe sum of multiplied by indicate area The coefficient gamma of the section degree of crowdinga(t), changing to the generalized cost function on arc is the transfer timeMultiplied by γa(t) along with transfer Punishment parameter σ is indicated are as follows:
Degree of crowding coefficient gammaa(t) it indicates are as follows:
Wherein,Indicate the load of segmental arc, φ (ω)=α ωγ
In the generalized cost c for calculating every segmental arca(t) after, according to the belonging relation of segmental arc and pathIt calculates every between OD The path generalized cost of active pathCalculation formula are as follows:
5. according to the method described in claim 4, it is characterized in that, the method also includes:
The selected probability of each path, probability calculation formula are obtained according to Logit model are as follows:
After obtaining the selected probability of each path, extensive passenger is obtained in urban rail gauze using Multi-Agent simulation technology On real-time distribution state, using Multi-Agent simulation technology to it is each emulation the period in each passenger enter the station after Path selection Behavior, get on the bus, get off, transfer process is emulated, every passenger real-time position on urban rail gauze is obtained, to obtain every The volume of the flow of passengers in a emulation period on every section, the flow of each directed arc is inputted for upper layer Optimized model.
6. according to the method described in claim 5, it is characterized in that, the method also includes:
The upper layer Optimized model generates passenger flow induction scheme by genetic algorithmThe emulation of lower layer's emulation module is calculated Method is for emulating the passenger flow induction scheme that passenger obtains upper layer Optimized modelFeedback, i.e., emulation passenger lured in current Lead schemeUnder, by the generalized cost c for perceiving every active patha(t) be specifically chosen any paths trip, when into It stands, get on the bus, getting off, changing to and is outbound, being emulated, obtained by the trip process to each passenger in each emulation period The real-time Trip distribution situation x of rail traffic road networka(t), the volume of the flow of passengers x on every section in period t will be emulateda(t) and it is wide Adopted expense ca(t) it is input in the Optimized model of upper layer, the upper layer Optimized model is by the passenger flow induction schemeThe volume of the flow of passengers xa(t) and generalized cost ca(t) it is updated in objective function, is currently solvedUnder fitness function, by repeatedly changing In generation, obtains fitness function value highest, the i.e. the smallest optimal dynamic passenger flow induction scheme of objective function.
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