CN109345434A - A kind of method of open cell inside and outside highway layout safety evaluation - Google Patents

A kind of method of open cell inside and outside highway layout safety evaluation Download PDF

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CN109345434A
CN109345434A CN201811285635.5A CN201811285635A CN109345434A CN 109345434 A CN109345434 A CN 109345434A CN 201811285635 A CN201811285635 A CN 201811285635A CN 109345434 A CN109345434 A CN 109345434A
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road network
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李豪杰
吴东钰
丁红亮
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Southeast University
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Abstract

The invention discloses a kind of method of open cell inside and outside highway layout safety evaluation, include the following steps: that (1) divides survey area and data acquisition;(2) research object is screened;(3) road network Form division and differentiation;(4) Traffic Safety Analysis model construction;(5) Evaluation of Traffic Safety.The invention has the benefit that there is the region of similar road network feature and land used feature as research object with open cell by screening, utilize influence caused by cell of full Bayes's space delamination model research highway layout for different road network forms, on the basis of stochastic error, it introduces and considers that the stochastic effects item of cell spatial coherence exists, it is contemplated that the convergent effect of cell spatially.In addition, model carries out quantitative analysis and grade classification to traffic safety level of the cell after open, scientific and effective method is provided for the open traffic safety risk identification of cell and traffic safety assessment of levels.

Description

A kind of method of open cell inside and outside highway layout safety evaluation
Technical field
The present invention relates to road traffic technical fields, more particularly to a kind of open cell inside and outside highway layout safety The method of evaluation.
Background technique
With the fast development of Chinese national economy and the quickening of urbanization process, the traffic jam issue day in some cities It is beneficial serious.China's urban road network unreasonable structure is the main reason for causing this problem not solve effectively.For a long time with Come, due to the limitation of Planning thought and management system, there are many closed cells of large size in China city, these cells are certain The formation of city microcirculation road network is hindered in degree, cut urban transportation, increases the pressure of urban road network.It solves Arterial street traffic congestion, it is crucial for promoting house block system and gradually opening built residential quarters and Unit Yard.And It is the traffic safety for how ensureing open cell in the greatest problem for carrying out being faced during cell is open.
It is different to have had a mature open block road network safety program Research foundation from foreign countries, open cell this without exception It reads in China still in the stage of popularization.Either in scientific research field or patent application field, based on open cell Often using topological theory and traffic flow theory etc. to Road Network Reliability, access and traffic congestion etc. is divided for research Analysis, in terms of road network safety evaluation, more particularly, to open cell inside and outside highway layout safety evaluation research still Quite lack.For this social actual demand and the insufficient contradiction of theoretical research, the invention proposes a kind of open cells The method of inside and outside highway layout safety evaluation.
Summary of the invention
To solve the above problems, the present invention provides a kind of open cell inside and outside highway layout safety evaluation Method, quantitative analysis can be carried out to the level of security of open cell inside and outside highway layout, and to its traffic safety water It is flat to carry out grade classification, for this purpose, the present invention provides a kind of side of open cell inside and outside highway layout safety evaluation Method includes the following steps:
(1) survey area and data acquisition are divided: using major trunk roads and subsidiary road as boundary, region being divided, is selected Area is selected greater than 0.5km2Region as survey area, using major trunk roads, subsidiary road and branch as road network in survey area The side of network, road junction and dead end highway endpoint carry out data acquisition, including residential land accounting p as noder, road mileage dr, main roads ratio PA, secondary road ratio PS, the number of edges E of network, number of nodes N, the degree k of node nn, node i and j away from From dij, shortest path number k between nodeij, road network connection degree is from c, section speed limit vL, road section length l, the external access item number of cell CE, accident number A, volume of traffic q;
(2) research object is screened: introducing screening index, selection meets residential land accounting and is greater than 25%, road mileage 8 ~12km/km2, and survey area of the connection degree greater than 1.6 and utilizes (1) as research object, i.e. Traffic Safety Analysis cell Middle the data obtained calculates the road network characteristic variable of each Traffic Safety Analysis cell and its adjacent survey area, including node The shortest path number k of node n is passed through between i and jinj, Betweenness Centrality Bn, close to centrality Cn, grid coefficient M;
(3) road network Form division and differentiation: by main roads ratio PA, secondary road ratio PS, Betweenness Centrality Bn, close to centrality Cn, grid coefficient M is as clustering variable, using the method for K-means cluster by all Traffic Safety Analysis The road network Form division of cell and its adjacent survey area is g class, is expressed as Rf(f=1,2,3 ..., g).According to cluster result, Its road network form is differentiated by the method for Bayesian, and the highest network morphology of discriminant scores is the region Road network form, SfIndicate the discriminant scores of f class road network form, soIndicate constant term, skIndicate clustering variable coefficient, Xk Indicate clustering variable, corresponding discriminant function are as follows:
(4) evaluation model selects and parameter calibration: using the accident rate of traffic analysis cell as dependent variable, taking full pattra leaves This space delamination model carries out Traffic Safety Analysis, and I indicates the sum of the survey area adjacent with traffic analysis cell, Nf(f= 1,2,3 ..., g) indicate the R adjacent with traffic analysis cellfThe quantity of class survey area, CEIndicate that external access item number, K indicate The section collection of survey area, VLIndicate that traffic analysis cell and the overall average speed limit of adjacent survey area are poor, α is constant term, εi Indicate stochastic error, uiThe stochastic effects item of representation space correlation, βnFor regression vector coefficient, to inhomogeneity road network The traffic analysis cell of form establishes Traffic Safety Analysis model respectively;
(5) Evaluation of Traffic Safety: road network Form division is carried out to cell, cell is opened using the model of corresponding road network form Traffic safety level after putting carries out quantitative analysis, and obtains the total distributed situation of all cell expectation accident rates, according to model Characteristic translated respectively downwards upwards with it is expected line centered on accident rate μA unit is as upper lower control limit, by cell The traffic safety of inside and outside highway layout is divided horizontally into level Four: I, II, III, IV.
Further improvement of the present invention, the degree k of step (1) interior joint nnRefer to adjacent with node n in the survey area Number of edges, Connected degree refer to the ratio of road connection quantity and road number of nodes in the survey area.
A kind of method of open cell inside and outside highway layout safety evaluation of the present invention, by choose with it is existing closed Cell has the region of similar land character as research object, studies highway layout pair using full Bayes's space delamination model The influence caused by the cell of different road network forms introduces on the basis of stochastic error and considers cell spatial coherence Stochastic effects item exist, it is contemplated that the convergent effect of open cell spatially.In addition, model opens existing closed type through cutting Traffic safety level after putting carries out quantitative analysis and grade classification, is the traffic safety risk identification and traffic of open cell Level of security evaluation provides scientific and effective method.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is Traffic Safety Analysis result and safety evaluation grade classification schematic diagram of the invention.
Fig. 2 is method flow schematic diagram of the invention.
Specific embodiment
Present invention is further described in detail with specific embodiment with reference to the accompanying drawing:
The present invention provides a kind of method of open cell inside and outside highway layout safety evaluation, can be to open cell The level of security of inside and outside highway layout carries out quantitative analysis, and carries out grade classification to its traffic safety level.
As illustrated in fig. 1 and 2, a method of determining that through street fixed point tachymeter influences traffic accident quantity, including Following steps:
(1) survey area and data acquisition are divided: by local transit department and the investigation of traffic police office and acquisition road network information And Land-use divides region using major trunk roads and subsidiary road as boundary, and area is selected to be greater than 0.5km2Area Domain is as survey area.Using major trunk roads, subsidiary road and branch as the side of road network in survey area, road junction and disconnected Parting endpoint carries out data acquisition, including residential land accounting p as noder, road mileage dr, main roads ratio PA, secondary Road ratio PS, the number of edges E of network, number of nodes N, the degree k of node nn, node i and j distance dij, shortest path between node Number kij, road network connection degree c, section speed limit vL, road section length l, the external access item number C of cellE, accident number A, volume of traffic q.
(2) research object is screened: introducing screening index, selection meets residential land accounting and is greater than 25%, road mileage 8 ~12km/km2, and survey area of the connection degree greater than 1.6 is as research object, i.e. Traffic Safety Analysis cell.And utilize (1) Middle the data obtained calculates the road network characteristic variable of each Traffic Safety Analysis cell and its adjacent survey area, including node The shortest path number k of node n is passed through between i and jinj, Betweenness Centrality Bn, close to centrality Cn, grid coefficient M.
(3) road network Form division and differentiation: by main roads ratio PA, secondary road ratio PS, Betweenness Centrality Bn, close to centrality Cn, grid coefficient M is as clustering variable, using the method for K-means cluster by all Traffic Safety Analysis The road network Form division of cell and its adjacent survey area is g class, is expressed as Rf(f=1,2,3 ..., g).According to cluster result, Its road network form is differentiated by the method for Bayesian, and the highest network morphology of discriminant scores is the region Road network form, SfIndicate the discriminant scores of f class road network form, soIndicate constant term, skIndicate clustering variable coefficient, Xk Indicate clustering variable, corresponding discriminant function are as follows:
(4) evaluation model selects and parameter calibration: using the accident rate of traffic analysis cell as dependent variable, taking full pattra leaves This space delamination model carries out Traffic Safety Analysis.I indicates the sum of the survey area adjacent with traffic analysis cell, Nf(f= 1,2,3 ..., g) indicate the R adjacent with traffic analysis cellfThe quantity of class survey area, CEIndicate that external access item number, K indicate The section collection of survey area, VLIndicate that traffic analysis cell and the overall average speed limit of adjacent survey area are poor, α is constant term, εi Indicate stochastic error, uiThe stochastic effects item of representation space correlation, βnFor regression vector coefficient.To with inhomogeneity road network The traffic analysis cell of form establishes Traffic Safety Analysis model respectively.
(5) Evaluation of Traffic Safety: road network Form division is carried out to cell, cell is opened using the model of corresponding road network form Traffic safety level after putting carries out quantitative analysis, and obtains the total distributed situation of all cell expectation accident rates.According to model Characteristic translated respectively downwards upwards with it is expected line centered on accident rate μA unit is as upper lower control limit, by cell The traffic safety of inside and outside highway layout is divided horizontally into level Four: I, II, III, IV.
Illustrate the present invention with specific embodiment below.
1) divide survey area and data acquisition: by local transit department and traffic police office investigation with acquisition road network information and Land-use divides region using major trunk roads and subsidiary road as boundary, and area is selected to be greater than 0.5km2Region As survey area, each survey area sample number is zi.Using major trunk roads, subsidiary road and branch as road network in survey area The side of network, road junction and dead end highway endpoint carry out data acquisition, the related data of obtained each survey area as node As shown in table 1-1.
The survey area table 1-1 statistics of data acquisition table
2) research object is screened: introducing screening index, selection meets residential land accounting and is greater than 25%, road mileage 8 ~12km/km2, and as research object, i.e., road connects survey area of the ratio greater than 1.6 of quantity and road number of nodes Traffic Safety Analysis cell.
3) road network Form division: by main roads ratio PA, secondary road ratio PS, Betweenness Centrality Bn, close to centrality Cn, grid coefficient M is as clustering variable, using the method for K-means cluster by all Traffic Safety Analysis cells and its adjacent The road network Form division of survey area is g class, is expressed as Rf(f=1,2,3 ..., g).According to cluster result, sentenced by Bayes The method that do not analyze differentiates its road network form, and the highest network morphology of discriminant scores is the road network shape in the region State.
4) Traffic Safety Analysis model construction: the division result based on road network form, statistics and Traffic Safety Analysis cell The quantity of the survey area of adjacent all kinds of road network forms, and obtain Traffic Safety Analysis cell according to the data in table 1-1 and hand over The argument data table 1-2 of logical safety analysis model, using the accident rate of traffic analysis cell as dependent variable, using in table 1-2 Data, take full Bayes's space delamination model to the traffic analysis cell with different road network forms establish respectively traffic peace Complete analysis model.
The adjacent survey area quantity of table 1-2 Traffic Safety Analysis cell acquires statistical form
5) Evaluation of Traffic Safety: carrying out road network Form division to cell, using the model of corresponding road network form to opening after Traffic safety level carry out quantitative analysis, obtain the total distributed situation of all cells expectation accident rate.It is expected that accident rate is made For center line, translate respectively downwards upwardsA unit pacifies the traffic of cell inside and outside highway layout as upper lower control limit The full level Four that is divided horizontally into: I, II, III, IV.
Table 1-3 traffic safety hierarchical level divides table
The above described is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention, being not the limit for making any other form to the present invention System, and made any modification or equivalent variations according to the technical essence of the invention, still fall within present invention model claimed It encloses.

Claims (2)

1. a kind of method of open cell inside and outside highway layout safety evaluation, which comprises the steps of:
(1) survey area and data acquisition are divided: using major trunk roads and subsidiary road as boundary, region being divided, selects face Product is greater than 0.5km2Region as survey area, using major trunk roads, subsidiary road and branch as road network in survey area Side, road junction and dead end highway endpoint carry out data acquisition, including residential land accounting p as noder, road mileage dr, main Want road ratio PA, secondary road ratio PS, the number of edges E of network, number of nodes N, the degree k of node nn, node i and j distance dij, Shortest path number k between nodeij, road network connection degree is from c, section speed limit vL, road section length l, the external access item number C of cellE, thing Therefore number A, volume of traffic q;
(2) research object is screened: introduce screening index, selection meets residential land accounting greater than 25%, and road mileage is 8~ 12km/km2, and survey area of the connection degree greater than 1.6 and utilizes in (1) as research object, i.e. Traffic Safety Analysis cell The data obtained calculates the road network characteristic variable of each Traffic Safety Analysis cell and its adjacent survey area, including node i The shortest path number k of node n is passed through between jinj, Betweenness Centrality Bn, close to centrality Cn, grid coefficient M;
(3) road network Form division and differentiation: by main roads ratio PA, secondary road ratio PS, Betweenness Centrality Bn, connect Nearly centrality Cn, grid coefficient M is as clustering variable, using the method for K-means cluster by all Traffic Safety Analysis cells And its road network Form division of adjacent survey area is g class, is expressed as Rf(f=1,2,3 ..., g).According to cluster result, pass through The method of Bayesian differentiates its road network form, and the highest network morphology of discriminant scores is the road in the region Network morphology, SfIndicate the discriminant scores of f class road network form, soIndicate constant term, skIndicate clustering variable coefficient, XkIt indicates Clustering variable, corresponding discriminant function are as follows:
(4) evaluation model selects and parameter calibration: using the accident rate of traffic analysis cell as dependent variable, taking full Bayes empty Between hierarchical mode carry out Traffic Safety Analysis, I indicates the sum of the survey area adjacent with traffic analysis cell, Nf(f=1,2, 3 ..., g) indicate the R adjacent with traffic analysis cellfThe quantity of class survey area, CEIndicate that external access item number, K indicate investigation The section collection in region, VLIndicate that traffic analysis cell and the overall average speed limit of adjacent survey area are poor, α is constant term, εiIt indicates Stochastic error, uiThe stochastic effects item of representation space correlation, βnFor regression vector coefficient, to inhomogeneity road network form Traffic analysis cell establish Traffic Safety Analysis model respectively;
(5) Evaluation of Traffic Safety: carrying out road network Form division to cell, after being opened using the model of corresponding road network form to cell Traffic safety level carry out quantitative analysis, and the total distributed situation of all cells expectation accident rates is obtained, according to the spy of model Property, it is expected line centered on accident rate μ, translate respectively downwards upwardsA unit is as upper lower control limit, inside and outside cell The traffic safety of portion's highway layout is divided horizontally into level Four: I, II, III, IV.
2. a kind of method of open cell inside and outside highway layout safety evaluation according to claim 1, feature exist In: the degree k of step (1) interior joint nnRefer to number of edges adjacent with node n in the survey area, Connected degree refers to the survey area The ratio of interior road connection quantity and road number of nodes.
CN201811285635.5A 2018-10-31 2018-10-31 Method for evaluating design safety of external roads in open type community Expired - Fee Related CN109345434B (en)

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CN113449402A (en) * 2021-06-22 2021-09-28 武汉大学 Road network efficiency gain prediction method after broken road is opened
CN113920738A (en) * 2021-10-26 2022-01-11 北京工业大学 Urban trunk safety analysis model migration method based on different country merged data
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CN110414067A (en) * 2019-07-01 2019-11-05 东南大学 A method of considering that the cell inside and outside road of traffic safety is connected design
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CN113449402B (en) * 2021-06-22 2022-08-05 武汉大学 Road network efficiency gain prediction method after broken road is opened
CN113920738A (en) * 2021-10-26 2022-01-11 北京工业大学 Urban trunk safety analysis model migration method based on different country merged data
CN113920738B (en) * 2021-10-26 2023-04-21 北京工业大学 Urban trunk security analysis model migration method based on different country merging data
CN117436677A (en) * 2023-12-21 2024-01-23 福建省捷云软件股份有限公司 Base layer grid management method and system
CN117436677B (en) * 2023-12-21 2024-03-08 福建省捷云软件股份有限公司 Base layer grid management method and system

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