CN109215781A - A kind of construction method and building system of the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm - Google Patents
A kind of construction method and building system of the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a kind of construction method of Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm and building systems.The construction method includes: to concentrate to extract the effective sample that can be used for modelling evaluation from sample data；10 features for meeting the application of live medical auxiliary diagnosis are filtered out from the characteristic set of effective sample；It is training set and verifying collection by the incomplete data sets random division of effective sample；Model construction is carried out using the method fitting training set of logistic, fitting function is adjusted using cross-validation method, records optimal model parameters；According to ROC curve using verifying collection computation model classification thresholds t, so that building obtains Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model.The present invention also constructs corresponding Kawasaki disease risk evaluating system and is applied to assess data to be assessed, obtains KDx scoring.The present invention helps to reduce the misdiagnosis rate and rate of missed diagnosis of Kawasaki disease, obtain patient can in early stage of falling ill and effectively prevents, intervenes and treat.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of construction methods of model, relate in particular to a kind of prediction river based on logistic algorithm
Construction method, building system and the assessment system of the assessment models of rugged disease risk, belong to risk evaluation model constructing technology neck
Domain.
Technical background
Kawasaki disease is also known as Acute Kawasaki Syndrome, is a kind of using system vascular inflammation as the acute of major lesions
Rash and fever illness, high incidence age are 5 years old Infants Below, and male is more than female, due to can occur serious cardiovascular complication
It attracts people's attention.For Kawasaki disease with persistent fever for most common symptom, clinical manifestation is similar to common disease such as pneumonia etc., is easy
It causes to fail to pinpoint a disease in diagnosis or mistaken diagnosis, lesion of coronary artery or even life-threatening may be left, be children's acquired heart disease most commonly encountered diseases
The risk factor of ischemic heart disease after cause, and adult.The therapic opportunity of Kawasaki disease can significantly affect prognosis, timely diagnosis and treatment,
It is the key that avoid coronary artery pathological changes.
Current diagnosis basis must generate heat >=5 days, and need that clinical symptoms is waited to occur, and be aided with laboratory diagnosis and surpass
ECG examination is easy that infant is made to miss golden hour.Still not specific diagnostic method at present, be easy to cause infant
It fails to pinpoint a disease in diagnosis, the generation of mistaken diagnosis, clinical treatment delay in turn results in bigger harm.Therefore, high sensitivity is researched and developed, high specificity
The needs of middle urgent need that diagnostic mode becomes Kawasaki disease diagnosis and treatment meets.
Kawasaki disease illness prediction model based on medical data modeling can with aided assessment, help to reduce its rate of missed diagnosis and
Misdiagnosis rate further instructs its subsequent therapeutic process.Presently, there are the Kawasaki disease disaggregated model based on data mostly use linearly
Method, Typical Representative are logistic regression analysis method.It causes patients with Kawasaki disease to fail to pinpoint a disease in diagnosis because its sensibility, specificity are insufficient, miss
Situation is examined, to be delayed patient's treatment.
Therefore, how existing Kawasaki disease illness prediction model is optimized, constructing a kind of has hypersensitivity, special
Property risk evaluation model, already become industry researcher effort always for a long time direction.
Summary of the invention
The main purpose of the present invention is to provide a kind of structures of Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm
Construction method and building system, to overcome deficiency in the prior art.
Another object of the present invention, which also resides in, provides a kind of Kawasaki disease risk evaluating system based on logistic algorithm.
For realization aforementioned invention purpose, the technical solution adopted by the present invention includes:
The embodiment of the invention provides a kind of construction method of Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm,
Comprising:
It is concentrated from sample data and extracts the effective sample that can be used for modelling evaluation model；
10 features for meeting the application of live medical auxiliary diagnosis are filtered out from the feature set of the effective sample；
It is training set and verifying collection by the incomplete data sets random division of the effective sample；
Model construction is carried out using the method fitting training set of logistic, fitting function is adjusted using cross-validation method,
Record optimal model parameters；Meanwhile according to ROC curve using verifying collection computation model classification thresholds t, so that building obtains Kawasaki
Sick risk evaluation model.
The embodiment of the invention also provides a kind of building systems of Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm
System is applied to construction method above-mentioned comprising:
Data acquisition module is at least acquired for data, obtains sample data set；
Data processing module, at least for can be used for constructing the effective sample of assessment models from sample data concentration extraction；
Model construction module, at least for being training set by the incomplete data sets random division of the effective sample and testing
Card collection, and it is fitted training set using the method for logistic, fitting function, record optimal models ginseng are adjusted using cross-validation method
Number；
Threshold calculation module, at least for according to ROC curve using verifying collection computation model classification thresholds.
The embodiment of the invention also provides the Kawasaki disease risks based on logistic algorithm constructed by preceding method
Assessment models.
The embodiment of the invention also provides a kind of Kawasaki disease risk evaluating systems based on logistic algorithm comprising:
Input module, at least for inputting data to be assessed；
The Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm constructed by preceding method, at least for this
Data to be assessed are assessed；
Display module, at least for showing assessment result, i.e. KDx scoring.
1) compared with prior art, the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model building provided by the invention based on logistic algorithm
Method and system, statistical analysis, the modeling of system are carried out using medical data relevant to Kawasaki disease, and provide model evaluation side
Method can be based on existing Kawasaki disease medical data by the model, carry out to the patient of doubtful Kawasaki disease scientific and effective auxiliary
Assessment is helped, helps to reduce its misdiagnosis rate and rate of missed diagnosis, makes patient that can obtain effective prevention, intervention in morbidity early stage, and
Science reliably instructs successive treatment process, provides foundation to reach optimum therapeuticing effect, efficiently avoids existing diagnosis side
It causes patients with Kawasaki disease to fail to pinpoint a disease in diagnosis because there is no the assessment models of hypersensitivity and specificity in formula, Misdiagnosis, prevents delay from suffering from
The generation of person's treatment condition；
2) for diagnosis the used time the considerations of, the present invention selected by characteristic item the detection used time it is shorter, greatly shorten doctor and examine
The disconnected time used.Also, characteristic item chooses less, reduction detection cost used.
3) data sample amount of the present invention is huge, and advantage is prominent.
Detailed description of the invention
It, below will be to required in embodiment or description of the prior art in order to illustrate more clearly of technical solution of the present invention
The attached drawing used is simply introduced, it should be apparent that, drawings discussed below is as just some implementations invented herein
Example, for those of ordinary skill in the art, without creative efforts, can also obtain according to these attached drawings
Obtain other accompanying drawings.
Fig. 1 is a kind of Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm in an exemplary embodiments of the invention
The flow diagram of construction method.
Fig. 2 is the ROC curve figure of the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model in the embodiment of the present invention 1 based on logistic algorithm.
Specific embodiment
As previously mentioned, inventor is studied for a long period of time and largely practiced in view of the deficiencies in the prior art, it is able to propose this
The technical solution of invention.With reference to the accompanying drawing and the embodiment of the present invention is to a kind of Kawasaki disease wind based on logistic algorithm
The construction method of dangerous assessment models and building system etc. are described in further detail.It is of the invention to protect the content to include but not office
It is limited to following case study on implementation.Without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention, those skilled in the art it is conceivable that variation
It is all included in the present invention with advantage, and using appended claims as protection scope.
Logistic used in the present invention is a kind of method for improving weak typing algorithm accuracy, this method
By constructing an anticipation function series, they are then combined into an anticipation function in some way.Logistic is
A method of improving any given learning algorithm accuracy.Its thought originates from the PAC (Probably that Valiant is proposed
Approxi mately Correct) learning model.
Present invention is primarily based on the medical datas in electronic medical records to be modeled, using the information contained in data to patient
Risk with Kawasaki disease is assessed, and assessment result is carried out digitized description and is scored to get to KDx.The present invention includes
The important methods such as the flow chart of data processing modeled for medical data and progress Kawasaki disease classification prediction, analysis, digitlization
And result.Present invention incorporates medical datas and data digging method, are one of medical data in conjunction with big data analysis method
Kind innovation, the present invention have filled up the blank of domestic medical data research to a certain extent, and medical data is being utilized to carry out Kawasaki
Disease auxiliary, which tests and analyzes aspect, has novelty.
A kind of Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm that the one aspect of the embodiment of the present invention provides
Construction method comprising:
It is concentrated from sample data and extracts the effective sample that can be used for modelling evaluation model；
10 features for meeting the application of live medical auxiliary diagnosis are filtered out from the feature set of the effective sample；
It is training set and verifying collection by the incomplete data sets random division of the effective sample；
Model construction is carried out using the method fitting training set of logistic, fitting function is adjusted using cross-validation method,
Record optimal model parameters；Meanwhile according to ROC curve using verifying collection computation model classification thresholds t, so that building obtains Kawasaki
Sick risk evaluation model.
In some embodiments, the construction method includes:
Step 1: data sample selects；It is concentrated from sample data and extracts the effective sample that can be used for modeling and model evaluation；
Step 2: Feature Selection；It is filtered out from the feature set of building sample data and meets live medical auxiliary diagnosis and answer
10 features；The specific steps of which are as follows:
Reference items of the red pond information criterion (AIC) as feature selecting are chosen in the present embodiment.It is selected using optimal subset
Method is fitted the subset for choosing sample characteristics variable using linear regression method, pattern information criterion is selected to be counted
It calculates, obtains several linear models, the AIC of each model is calculated by AIC=2k-In (L).The lesser model of AIC is chosen,
And be incorporated in and be applied in live medical auxiliary diagnosis, time shorter one used in various features value is obtained, comprehensive ratio is carried out
Relatively obtain.
Wherein, k is the unknown parameter number in model, and L is maximum likelihood function value in model.
N characteristic value of each observation sample is indicated with matrix X,
Wherein, n is the variable number for entering sample, and m is population sample amount, xmnIndicate n-th of feature of m-th of patient
Value, αnFor feature vector, all observations of n-th of feature are indicated.
Whether there is multicollinearity between verification characteristics vector, the specific steps of which are as follows:
1. by feature vector αiVariable in response, remaining feature vector use multiple linear regression as predictive variable
Method carry out Model Construction, calculate feature vector αiWith the coefficient of multiple correlation R of remaining feature vectori；
2. calculating feature vector αiVariance inflation factor
3. if multicollinearity is not present between characteristic variable 0 < VIF < 10；If 10 < VIF < 100, characteristic variable it
Between there are stronger multicollinearity, need to eliminate synteny；Exist if VIF > 100, between characteristic variable serious multiple total
Linearly, it needs to delete correlated variables.
Step 3: Kawasaki disease risk prediction model constructs；Model construction, step are carried out using the method for logistic
It is rapid as follows:
(1) existing incomplete data sets and complete data set: by incomplete data sets random division be training set Xrain,
Verifying collection Xderivation, ratio is 1:1~10:1, and using complete data set as test set Xtest；
(2) model construction is carried out using the method fitting Xtrain data set of logistic, is adjusted using cross-validation method
Fitting function records optimal model parameters, the specific steps of which are as follows:
1. training set data is equally divided into ten parts；
2. taking wherein nine broken number evidence, it is fitted using the method for logistic, obtains model:
Wherein p (X) indicates event occurrence rate (i.e. probability of illness), β0And β=(β1,β2,...,βn) it is model coefficient, n
For the variable number entered in model.
3. utilizing step 2 gained model, the data set of a remaining folding is predicted, and calculates it and predicts error；
4. changing parameter, step 2~3 are repeated；
5. comparison prediction error, record is joined so that the corresponding parameter of the prediction the smallest model of error as optimal models
Number.
(3) using verifying collection computation model classification thresholds t, threshold value t calculating, specific step is as follows according to ROC curve:
1. utilizing optimized parameter model, optimal models are established on training set；
2. being predicted on model using verifying collection observation, classification score is obtained；
3. choosing different numerical value in [0,1] range as classification valve thresholding, being drawn to classification score obtained by step 2
Point；
4. calculating under different classifications valve domain, susceptibility, specificity and the accuracy of prediction, and draw ROC curve figure；
5. figure is chosen and preferably classifies so that meeting the susceptibility of prediction, specificity and accuracy simultaneously according to ROC curve
Valve domain.
In some embodiments, 10 features are respectively as follows:
A. gender；
B. the age；
C.C- reactive protein concentration (CRP g/L)；
D. fibrinogen concentration (FG g/L)；
E. albumin concentration (ALB g/L)；
F. globulin concentration (GLB g/L)；
G. Complement C_3 concentration (C3g/L)；
H. IgG density (IgG g/L)；
I. prealbumin PAB concentration (PAB g/L)；
J. Archon ratio (A/G).
In some embodiments, training set (Xrain) and verifying integrate the ration of division of (Xderivation) as 1:1~10:
1。
In some embodiments, the construction method includes: that category of model is calculated using verifying collection according to ROC curve
Threshold value t, KDx scoring is higher than this classification thresholds t and is predicted as Kawasaki disease high risk, and numerical value is higher, represents Kawasaki disease probability of illness and gets over
Greatly；It is predicted as Kawasaki disease low-risk lower than this classification thresholds t, numerical value is lower, and it is smaller to represent Kawasaki disease probability of illness.
Further, the construction method further include: using complete data set as test set (Xtest), building is obtained
Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model tested.According to gained classification valve domain t is calculated, the forecast analysis of test set sample is carried out.
For example, more specifically, constructing prediction model according to training set and including: the step of prediction test set data
1) the optimal logistic prediction model obtained using fitting training set, predicts its point to patient each in test set
The scoring of class score, i.e. KDx.It is Kawasaki disease illness high-risk patient that score of classifying, which is greater than t, and it is Kawasaki sufferer that classification score, which is less than t,
Sick low-risk patient；
2) sensibility, specificity and standard of this model in auxiliary Kawasaki disease diagnosis are calculated according to the classification score of test set
True property.
For example, obtaining the mistake that can be used for constructing the effective sample of assessment models in some more specifically embodiments
Journey includes:
(a) sample data is divided by river according to the Kawasaki disease diagnostic criteria of American Heart Association (AHA) formulation in 2017
Two groups of rugged disease and common fever diseases carry out delete processing to the sample data for the result that cannot clarify a diagnosis；
(b) delete processing is carried out to repeated data；
(c) index to data volume less than 80% carries out delete processing；
(d) median filling is carried out to incomplete, wrong data, to obtain the effective sample that can be used for constructing assessment models
This.
The medical data that the present invention uses i.e. sample data set derives from the online electronic medical records input system of hospital EDC, packet
Include doctor's advice, inspection, inspection, the course of disease, patient medical history data, follow up data, multicenter sample data, sample Molecular Detection number outside institute
According to equal multidimensional datas.
It is shown in Figure 1 in some more specifically embodiments, a kind of Kawasaki disease wind based on logistic algorithm
The construction method of dangerous assessment models, the specific steps are as follows:
1, samples selection
Raw data set is dataset1, the patient without result of clarifying a diagnosis, repeated data, data volume less than 80%
It is removed from data set, data set is dataset2 at this time.
2, Feature Selection
For dataset2 carry out Feature Selection, according to red pond information criterion, at the same in view of characteristic item numerical value obtain when
Between length, take and obtain time shorter characteristic item, data set is dataset3 at this time.
3, Kawasaki disease disaggregated model constructs
1) existing incomplete data sets and complete data set: by incomplete data sets random division be training set Xrain, test
Card collection Xderivation, ratio is 1:1~10:1, and using complete data set as test set Xtest；
2) model construction is carried out using the method fitting Xtrain data set of logistic, is adjusted using cross-validation method quasi-
Function is closed, optimal model parameters are recorded；
3) according to ROC curve using verifying collection computation model classification thresholds t.
The other side of the embodiment of the present invention additionally provides a kind of Kawasaki disease risk assessment based on logistic algorithm
The building system of model is applied to construction method above-mentioned comprising:
Data acquisition module is at least acquired for data, obtains sample data set；
Data processing module, at least for can be used for constructing the effective sample of assessment models from sample data concentration extraction；
Model construction module, at least for being training set by the incomplete data sets random division of the effective sample and testing
Card collection, and it is fitted training set using the method for logistic, fitting function, record optimal models ginseng are adjusted using cross-validation method
Number；
Threshold calculation module, at least for according to ROC curve using verifying collection computation model classification thresholds.
The other side of the embodiment of the present invention additionally provide by preceding method construct based on logistic algorithm
Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model.
Correspondingly, the other side of the embodiment of the present invention additionally provides a kind of Kawasaki disease wind based on logistic algorithm
Dangerous assessment system comprising:
Input module, at least for inputting data to be assessed；
The Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm constructed by preceding method, at least for this
Data to be assessed are assessed；
Display module, at least for showing assessment result, i.e. KDx scoring.
In conclusion model building method and system of the invention, use medical data relevant to Kawasaki disease system
The statistical analysis of system, modeling, and model evaluation method is provided, existing Kawasaki disease medical data can be based on by the model,
Scientific and effective aided assessment is carried out to the patient of doubtful Kawasaki disease, helps to reduce its misdiagnosis rate and rate of missed diagnosis, patient is made to exist
Morbidity early stage can obtain effective prevention, intervene, and science reliably instructs successive treatment process, to reach optimal treatment effect
Fruit provides foundation, efficiently avoids causing river because not having the assessment models of hypersensitivity and specificity in existing diagnostic mode
Rugged patient fails to pinpoint a disease in diagnosis, Misdiagnosis, prevents the generation of delay patient's treatment condition.
To make the object, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention clearer, below with reference to several preferred embodiments to this hair
Bright technical solution is further specifically described, but the present invention is not limited only to following embodiments, field technology people
The non-intrinsically safe modifications and adaptations that member makes under core guiding theory of the present invention, still fall within protection scope of the present invention.
Embodiment 1:
In order to verify a kind of having for building system of the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm of the invention
Effect property, the present embodiment access time range are 42498 patient datas in 2008.7-2018.3 electronic medical records.The present embodiment is adopted
With logistic method.
1, data processing:
Incomplete data sets include 8204 samples after raw data set passes through delete processing, and complete data collection includes
471 samples.There is form using data set according to the present invention are as follows: every row is expressed as the information of a patient, and each column is expressed as
One characteristic information, such as ID, group, gender, age, CRP, FG etc., data set format such as table 1.
By data sample selection and Feature Selection, 8675 rows that data set includes, 11 column features, such as table 1 are ultimately generated
It is shown.
Table 1
2, optimal models data
Incomplete data sets are randomly divided into training set (5742), verifying collection (2462), ratio 7:3, complete data set
As test set (471), it is as shown in table 2 to obtain optimal model parameters:
Table 2
3, selection sort valve domain t
It is verified and is collected with optimized parameter model prediction, 2109 classification valve domains of automated randomized generation in [0,1] range calculate
Susceptibility, specificity and accuracy can must be corresponded to, and draws ROC curve figure, as shown in Figure 2.
It chooses close to the curve upper left corner and susceptibility, specificity and accuracy is preferably classified valve domain t=0.5.
4, digitlization marking is carried out to prediction result
Model above will be used as a kind of Kawasaki disease risk assessment system, and the observation in test set, which is applied to this, is
It is predicted in system.
Test set result is as shown in table 3-1 and table 3-2, and in this experiment, test set includes 471 people.
Table 3-1
Table 3-2
Note: about some index explanations of classification problem, for two classification problems, define two classification be positive respectively class and
Negative class, each of positive class object become positive example, and each of negative class object becomes negative example.In general, in prediction river
When rugged disease, Kawasaki disease sample is positive class, other fever patients are negative class.Test sample is predicted using disaggregated model, meeting
There are four types of situations, if an example is positive class and is predicted to be real class (true positive, TP), if example is negative
Class is predicted the class that is positive, referred to as false positive class (false positive, FP).Correspondingly, if example is that negative class is predicted to be
Negative class, referred to as very negative class (true negative, TN), the positive example class that is predicted to be negative then is false negative class (false
Negative, FN).
TP: positive example predicts the class number that is positive；
FN: positive example predicts the class number that is negative；
FP: negative example predicts the class number that is positive；
TN: negative example predicts the class number that is negative；
Sensibility (sensitivity): the example ratio of the correctly predicted class that is positive, i.e. TP/ (TP+FN) in positive class；
Specific (specificity): the example ratio for the class that is negative, i.e. TN/ (TN+FP) are predicted correctly in negative class；
Positive predictive value (positive predictive value, PPV): prediction is positive in the example of class, and positive example accounts for
The ratio of obtaining, i.e. TP/ (TP+FP).
Correctness: the example ratio being predicted correctly in whole examples, i.e. (TP+TN)/(TP+FN+TN+FP).
Experimental result
From the true classification situation of test set data: 278 people suffer from Kawasaki disease, and 193 be common fever.By test set
Data application predicts the class probability KDx of its response (such as table 3-1 institute into optimal logistic model, with its observation
Show), and the result is divided according to classification valve domain t=0.5, obtain result: 259 people are predicted to be with Kawasaki disease, and 212
People is predicted to be common fever.Can obtain compared with the true classification in test set: real class (TP) is 227 people, very negative class (TN)
For 161 people, false positive class (FP) is 32 people, and false negative class (FN) is 51 people (as shown in table 3-2).
Can be obtained by testing classification result: susceptibility (sensitivity) is 81.65%, and specific (specificity) is
83.42%, positive predictive value (PPV) is 87.64%, correctness 82.38%.
In conclusion a kind of Kawasaki disease risk assessment system of the present invention being capable of base by the model by above data
In existing Kawasaki disease medical data, scientific and effective aided assessment is carried out to the patient of doubtful Kawasaki disease, helps to reduce it
Misdiagnosis rate and rate of missed diagnosis make patient that can obtain effective prevention, intervention in morbidity early stage, and science reliably instructs subsequent control
Treatment process provides foundation to reach optimum therapeuticing effect.For to diagnosis the used time the considerations of, the present invention selected by characteristic item detection
Used time is shorter, greatly shortens the time used in diagnosis.Also, characteristic item chooses less, reduction detection cost used.The present invention
Data sample amount is huge, and advantage is prominent, and incomplete data sets include 8204 samples after raw data set passes through delete processing,
Complete data collection includes 471 samples.
Technical solution of the present invention is described in detail in embodiment described above, it should be understood that the above is only
For specific embodiments of the present invention, it is not intended to restrict the invention, all any modifications made in spirit of the invention,
Supplement or similar fashion substitution etc., should all be included in the protection scope of the present invention.
Claims (10)
1. a kind of construction method of the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm, characterized by comprising:
It is concentrated from sample data and extracts the effective sample that can be used for modelling evaluation model；
10 features for meeting the application of live medical auxiliary diagnosis are filtered out from the feature set of the effective sample；
It is training set and verifying collection by the incomplete data sets random division of the effective sample；
Model construction is carried out using the method fitting training set of logistic, fitting function, record are adjusted using cross-validation method
Optimal model parameters；Meanwhile according to ROC curve using verifying collection computation model classification thresholds t, so that building obtains Kawasaki disease wind
Dangerous assessment models.
2. the construction method of the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model according to claim 1 based on logistic algorithm, special
Sign is: 10 features be respectively gender, the age, C reactive protein concentration, fibrinogen concentration, albumin concentration,
Globulin concentration, Complement C_3 concentration, IgG density, prealbumin concentration and Archon ratio.
3. the construction method of the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model according to claim 1 based on logistic algorithm, special
Sign is: the ration of division that training set integrates with verifying is 1:1~10:1.
4. the construction method of the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model according to claim 1 based on logistic algorithm, special
Sign is to include: to be higher than classification thresholds t using verifying collection computation model classification thresholds t, KDx scoring according to ROC curve to be predicted as
Kawasaki disease high risk is predicted as Kawasaki disease low-risk lower than classification thresholds t.
5. the building of the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model described in any one of -4 based on logistic algorithm according to claim 1
Method, it is characterised in that further include: using complete data set as test set, to the obtained Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model of building
It is predicted.
6. the construction method of the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model according to claim 1 based on logistic algorithm, special
Sign is
Sample data set is divided into Kawasaki disease and two groups of common fever diseases according to Kawasaki disease diagnostic criteria, to cannot clarify a diagnosis
As a result sample carries out delete processing；
Delete processing is carried out to repeated data；
Index to data volume less than 80% carries out delete processing；
Median filling is carried out to incomplete, wrong data, to obtain the effective sample that can be used for constructing assessment models.
7. the construction method of the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model according to claim 6 based on logistic algorithm, special
Sign is: the sample data set derive from the online electronic medical records input system of hospital, including doctor's advice, inspection, inspection, the course of disease,
Follow up data, multicenter sample data and sample Molecular Detection data outside patient medical history data, institute.
8. a kind of building system of the Kawasaki disease risk evaluation model based on logistic algorithm is applied to claim 1-7
Any one of described in construction method comprising:
Data acquisition module is at least acquired for data, obtains sample data set；
Data processing module, at least for can be used for constructing the effective sample of assessment models from sample data concentration extraction；
Model construction module, at least for being training set and verifying by the incomplete data sets random division of the effective sample
Collection, and it is fitted training set using the method for logistic, fitting function, record optimal models ginseng are adjusted using cross-validation method
Number；
Threshold calculation module, at least for according to ROC curve using verifying collection computation model classification thresholds.
9. the Kawasaki disease risk assessment based on logistic algorithm constructed by any one of claim 1-7 the method
Model.
10. a kind of Kawasaki disease risk evaluating system based on logistic algorithm, characterized by comprising:
Input module, at least for inputting data to be assessed；
The Kawasaki disease risk assessment mould based on logistic algorithm constructed by any one of claim 1-7 the method
Type, at least for assessing the data to be assessed；
Display module, at least for showing assessment result, i.e. KDx scoring.
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