CN109191189A - Power sales decontrol lower power customer value assessment method - Google Patents

Power sales decontrol lower power customer value assessment method Download PDF

Info

Publication number
CN109191189A
CN109191189A CN201810945600.3A CN201810945600A CN109191189A CN 109191189 A CN109191189 A CN 109191189A CN 201810945600 A CN201810945600 A CN 201810945600A CN 109191189 A CN109191189 A CN 109191189A
Authority
CN
China
Prior art keywords
index
level index
value
level
weight
Prior art date
Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
Pending
Application number
CN201810945600.3A
Other languages
Chinese (zh)
Inventor
白宏坤
宋大为
邓方钊
李虎军
杨萌
尹硕
刘军会
赵文杰
杨钦臣
王江波
Current Assignee (The listed assignees may be inaccurate. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the list.)
State Grid Corp of China SGCC
North China Electric Power University
Economic and Technological Research Institute of State Grid Henan Electric Power Co Ltd
Original Assignee
State Grid Corp of China SGCC
North China Electric Power University
Economic and Technological Research Institute of State Grid Henan Electric Power Co Ltd
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by State Grid Corp of China SGCC, North China Electric Power University, Economic and Technological Research Institute of State Grid Henan Electric Power Co Ltd filed Critical State Grid Corp of China SGCC
Priority to CN201810945600.3A priority Critical patent/CN109191189A/en
Publication of CN109191189A publication Critical patent/CN109191189A/en
Pending legal-status Critical Current

Links

Classifications

    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00Commerce
    • G06Q30/02Marketing; Price estimation or determination; Fundraising
    • G06Q30/0201Market modelling; Market analysis; Collecting market data
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/06Electricity, gas or water supply

Abstract

The invention discloses a kind of power sales of offer to decontrol lower power customer value assessment method, firstly, establishing power customer the value evaluation index system;Later, the weight of two-level index is calculated using Fuzzy AHP;Later, the weight of three-level index is calculated using entropy assessment;Finally, carrying out overall merit to client based on TOPSIS method, by construction weighted normal matrix and the plus-minus ideal solutions of determining scheme, the relative similarity degree between each evaluation object index value and ideal solution is calculated, the opposite higher expression power customer value of exchange premium degree is higher.The present invention establishes power customer the value evaluation index system from enterprise's angle and customer perspective, emphasis has merged added value of the client after power sales relieving in index system, customer value classification results comprehensive analysis client characteristics are finally combined, to provide decision support for the differentiated service of sale of electricity company.

Description

Power sales decontrol lower power customer value assessment method
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of customer value evaluation methods, decontrol lower power customer value more particularly, to power sales and comment Valence method.
Background technique
The main thought of traditional power customer value assessment method are as follows: firstly, establishing the finger of power customer value assessment Mark system;Secondly, to each Index Weights weight;Finally, classifying to customer value.Index body about power customer value assessment , there are some scattered researchs in system in the world, theoretically and not yet explicitly provides complete index system, also lacks and determining client is discussed The method of the value evaluation index system.The data for the power customer that existing analysis obtains are limited to some basic informations of client, and And and not all client contact record all by complete documentation, therefore generated analysis result and inaccurate can react The problem of it is also extremely limited.The existing evaluation to power customer is mainly based upon electricity sales amount, power selling income, arrearage record etc. Intuitive data, can not determine target customers according to certain screening criteria, evaluation index not systematic science.Analysis method ratio It is relatively simple, lack the depth analysis to client, it is difficult to excavate the value of big customer, provide differentiation, personalized service for client.
New electricity changes rear power sales and decontrols, and main market players is gradually developed to multi-subjects from traditional hair electricity main body, visitor Family value changes.Occur based on power grid to the conventional thought of power customer value assessment and after combining power sales to decontrol New element building adapts to new electricity and changes the trend that lower power customer the value evaluation index system has become development.
Application publication number is that the application for a patent for invention of CN107481038A discloses a kind of power customer value assessment method, It will be set as matrix X ∈ Rn × d after initial data standardization in power customer the value evaluation index system, calculates matrix The characteristic value and feature vector of B obtains the corresponding feature vector V of maximum eigenvalue, enables C=XV, then Rn × 1 C ∈, ties up to 1 Column vector C is clustered, then corresponds to initial data, show that the cluster result of initial data, original data object Xi are divided Into jth class, the i-th row and if only if vector C is divided into jth class, to realize the classification to client, this method calculating refers to Target weight proposes that a kind of improved PCA clustering algorithm classifies to power customer value, formulates differentiation for power supply enterprise Service strategy provides Auxiliary support.Power customer value is evaluated off field however, the patent application is suitable for the electric city of tradition, The customer value evaluation not being suitable under new electricity changes.
It is a kind of based on random forest analytic approach that application publication number is that the application for a patent for invention of CN107451718A discloses Large power customers value assessment method, including, the evaluation index for influencing big customer's value assessment is chosen from Electric Power Marketing System; Classified according to evaluation index of the value relevance to selection;Evaluation index is cleaned;It is extracted from Electric Power Marketing System Several big customer's value assessment samples are partially used as training sample, and remainder is as test sample;Referred to the evaluation after cleaning It is denoted as being characterized, according to training sample training Random Forest model;Test sample is inputted into Random Forest model, when output valve When accuracy rate is greater than threshold value A, which is final big customer's value assessment model;It is commented using big customer's value Valence model evaluation large power customers value.The invention based on generally acknowledged evaluation result as sample, with random forest analytic approach Autonomous learning, building and training big customer's value assessment model are carried out, it is finally big with big customer's value assessment model evaluation electric power Customer value.Power customer value is evaluated off field however, the patent application is suitable for the electric city of tradition, is not suitable for new electricity Customer value evaluation under changing.
Summary of the invention
In view of this, in view of the deficiencies of the prior art, it is an object of the present invention to provide a kind of power sales to decontrol lower electric power Customer value evaluation method establishes power customer the value evaluation index system from enterprise's angle and customer perspective, in index body Emphasis has merged added value of the client after power sales relieving in system, finally combines customer value classification results comprehensive analysis Client characteristics, to provide decision support for the differentiated service of sale of electricity company.
In order to achieve the above objectives, the invention adopts the following technical scheme:
Power sales decontrol lower power customer value assessment method, comprising the following steps:
Step S1: establishing power customer the value evaluation index system, and power customer the value evaluation index system includes second level Index and three-level index corresponding with two-level index, and the normalized of index is carried out to quantifiable achievement data, it is right Not quantifiable achievement data is according to the objective reasonable progress assignment marking of expert;
Step S2, the weight of two-level index is calculated using Fuzzy AHP;
Step S3, the weight of three-level index is calculated using entropy assessment;
Step S4, overall merit is carried out to client based on TOPSIS method, pass through construction weighted normal matrix and determines scheme Plus-minus ideal solutions, calculate the relative similarity degree between each evaluation object index value and ideal solution, the opposite higher expression of exchange premium degree Power customer value is higher.
Further, in the step S1, the two-level index includes sale of electricity Economic Contribution, credit situation, manages shape Condition, power consumption management is horizontal, customer demand side is worth and energy management counseling services.
Further, the corresponding three-level index of the sale of electricity Economic Contribution include year electricity sales amount, average annual sale of electricity electricity price, electricity Measure growth rate;
The corresponding three-level index of the credit situation includes default electricity use number, promptness rate is paid in the electricity charge, contract is honoured an agreement Rate and contract deviation electricity;
The corresponding three-level index of the management state includes that asset-liability ratio, the velocity of liquid assets, total assets increase Rate, profit ratio of sales and industry market share;
The horizontal corresponding three-level index of the power consumption management includes equipment dependability and running environment, safety management level With work mated condition;
It includes customer demand side peak clipping potentiality, energy storage device appearance that the customer demand side, which is worth corresponding three-level index, Amount, charging pile quantity, controllable micro- source installed capacity and power demand elasticity;
The corresponding three-level index of the energy management counseling services includes customer electricity management cost, distributed generation resource committee Delivery dimension situation, energy saving solution demand, electricity are worked journey commission situation and purchase electricity consumption consulting wish.
Further, in the step S1, quantifiable achievement data normalized processing formula is as follows:
A. as follows for profit evaluation model index calculation formula:
Wherein, χ `ijFor the index after normalized, χijFor the index before normalized;
B. as follows for cost type index calculation formula:
Wherein, χ `ijFor the index after normalization, χijFor the index before normalization.
Further, in the step S2, the method for the weight of two-level index is calculated such as using Fuzzy AHP Under:
Step S2-1, Judgement Matrix with Fuzzy Consistency R is established, U is two-level index AiSet, U={ A1,A2,…,An, I=1~n, fuzzy relation matrix are as follows:
Wherein, rijIndicate two-level index elements AiRelative to AjSignificance level, if rij> 0.5, then two-level index AiCompare Aj It is important;If rij< 0.5, then two-level index AjCompare AiIt is important;If determining certain two-level index person in servitude more important than another two-level index It is with uniformity during category degree, then work as rijWhen > 0.5,rik>rjkR at this timeij=rik-rjk+0.5;
Step S2-2, the weight of two-level index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein, wiFor the weight of i-th of two-level index, n is the total quantity of two-level index, rjkRepresent AjRelative to AkWeight Want degree.
Further, in the step S3, the method that the weight of three-level index is calculated using entropy assessment is as follows:
Step S3-1, the specific gravity that i-th of client under jth item three-level index accounts for the index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein pijThe specific gravity of the index, x` are accounted for for i-th of client under jth item three-level indexijFor the finger after normalization Mark;
Step S3-2, the entropy of jth item three-level index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein, ejFor the entropy of jth item three-level index, pijThe ratio of the index is accounted for for i-th of client under jth item three-level index Weight, k=1/ln (n) > 0ej≥0;
Step S3-3, the comentropy redundancy of jth item three-level index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
dj=1-ej (7)
Wherein, djFor the comentropy redundancy of jth item three-level index, ejFor the entropy of jth item three-level index, wherein 0≤dj ≤1;
Step S3-4, the weight of every three-level index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein, djFor the comentropy redundancy of jth item three-level index, wjFor the weight of jth item three-level index.
Further, in the step S4, the method for carrying out overall merit to client based on TOPSIS method is as follows:
Step S4-1: calculating the comprehensive weight of three-level index, obtains two-level index and three respectively by formula (2) and formula (8) The weight of grade index, the two multiplication can obtain the final comprehensive weight of three-level index, and calculation formula is as follows:
wt=wiwj (9)
Wherein, wiFor the weight of two-level index, wjFor the weight of three-level index, wtFor the weight of three-level index comprehensive;
Step S4-2: building weighted normal matrix Y=(yij)n×m, calculation formula is as follows:
yij=wtx′ij, (i=1,2..., n, j=1,2..., m) (10)
Wherein, wtFor the weight of three-level index comprehensive, χ 'ijFor the index after normalization, yijFor in weighted normal matrix Element;
Step S4-3: the positive ideal solution and minus ideal result of scheme are determined, positive ideal solution and minus ideal result are respectively each side The optimal value of case and most bad value combination, calculation formula are as follows:
Positive ideal solution:
Minus ideal result:
Step S4-4: calculating the Euclidean distance of each scheme and plus-minus ideal solutions, and calculation formula is as follows:
To the distance of positive ideal solution:
To the distance of minus ideal result:
Step S4-5: calculating the relative similarity degree between each evaluation object index value and ideal solution, and calculation formula is as follows:
Relative similarity degree is bigger, and customer value is higher.
The beneficial effects of the present invention are:
The present invention changes rear power sales for new electricity and decontrols, and main market players is from traditional hair electricity main body gradually to polynary master Body develops, and customer value changes, and traditional customer value evaluation method lacks the depth analysis to client, it is difficult to excavate big The value of client, the problem of providing differentiation, personalized service for client, a kind of power sales provided decontrol lower power customer Value assessment method, firstly, establishing power customer the value evaluation index system, power customer the value evaluation index system includes two Grade index and three-level index corresponding with two-level index, and the normalized of index is carried out to quantifiable achievement data, To not quantifiable achievement data according to the objective reasonable progress assignment marking of expert;Later, Fuzzy AHP meter is utilized Calculate the weight of two-level index;Later, the weight of three-level index is calculated using entropy assessment;Finally, based on TOPSIS method to client into Row overall merit, by construction weighted normal matrix and determine scheme plus-minus ideal solutions, calculate each evaluation object index value with Relative similarity degree between ideal solution, the opposite higher expression power customer value of exchange premium degree are higher.
The present invention establishes power customer the value evaluation index system from enterprise's angle and customer perspective, in index system Emphasis has merged added value of the client after power sales relieving, finally combines customer value classification results comprehensive analysis client Feature, to provide decision support for the differentiated service of sale of electricity company.
The present invention mainly constructs the power customer value assessment method for adapting to the environment of power sales relieving instantly, and proposes Client's appraisal procedure of customer value and sticky two dimensions of client, not only enterprise's angle evaluated customer value, but also from client angle Degree analysis customer satisfaction, more specifically reflects the feature of client, provides more comprehensive letter for the differentiation operation of sale of electricity company Breath.After market is further mature, sale of electricity company is precise positioning and the marketing for realizing client, can be evaluated from customer value, The comprehensive observation clients of more multidimensional such as customer demand identification, the identification of client's viscosity, client's unusual fluctuation monitoring, realize with client and are The heart is finally reached the purpose of sale of electricity company Yu client's two-win.
Other features and advantages of the present invention will be illustrated in the following description, also, partly becomes from specification It obtains it is clear that understand through the implementation of the invention.The objectives and other advantages of the invention can be by written explanation Specifically noted structure is achieved and obtained in book, claims and attached drawing.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is flow chart of the invention;
Fig. 2 is power customer the value evaluation index system figure in the present invention;
Fig. 3 is client's Viscous Criterion system figure in the present invention;
Fig. 4 is client's two dimension evaluation figure in the present invention.
Specific embodiment
Embodiments of the present invention are described below in detail, the example of the embodiment is shown in the accompanying drawings, wherein from beginning Same or similar element or element with the same or similar functions are indicated to same or similar label eventually.Below by ginseng The embodiment for examining attached drawing description is exemplary, and for explaining only the invention, and is not construed as limiting the claims.
Those skilled in the art of the present technique are appreciated that unless expressly stated, singular " one " used herein, " one It is a ", " described " and "the" may also comprise plural form.It is to be further understood that being arranged used in specification of the invention Diction " comprising " refer to that there are the feature, integer, step, operation, element and/or component, but it is not excluded that in the presence of or addition Other one or more features, integer, step, operation, element, component and/or their group.It should be understood that when we claim member Part is " connected " or when " coupled " to another element, it can be directly connected or coupled to other elements, or there may also be Intermediary element.In addition, " connection " used herein or " coupling " may include being wirelessly connected or coupling.Wording used herein "and/or" includes one or more associated any cells for listing item and all combinations.
In order to make the object, technical scheme and advantages of the embodiment of the invention clearer, below in conjunction with the embodiment of the present invention Attached drawing, the technical solution of the embodiment of the present invention is clearly and completely described.Obviously, described embodiment is this hair Bright a part of the embodiment, instead of all the embodiments.Based on described the embodiment of the present invention, ordinary skill Personnel's every other embodiment obtained, shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
As shown in Figures 1 to 3, the present invention provides a kind of power sales and decontrols lower power customer value assessment method, including with Lower step:
Step S1: establishing power customer the value evaluation index system, and power customer the value evaluation index system includes second level Index and three-level index corresponding with two-level index, and the normalized of index is carried out to quantifiable achievement data, it is right Not quantifiable achievement data is according to the objective reasonable progress assignment marking of expert;
Step S2, the weight of two-level index is calculated using Fuzzy AHP;
Step S3, the weight of three-level index is calculated using entropy assessment;
Step S4, overall merit is carried out to client based on TOPSIS method, pass through construction weighted normal matrix and determines scheme Plus-minus ideal solutions, calculate the relative similarity degree between each evaluation object index value and ideal solution, the opposite higher expression of exchange premium degree Power customer value is higher.
In the step S1, the two-level index includes sale of electricity Economic Contribution, credit situation, management state, uses fulgurite Reason is horizontal, customer demand side is worth and energy management counseling services.
The corresponding three-level index of the sale of electricity Economic Contribution include year electricity sales amount, average annual sale of electricity electricity price, electricity growth rate;
The corresponding three-level index of the credit situation includes default electricity use number, promptness rate is paid in the electricity charge, contract is honoured an agreement Rate and contract deviation electricity;
The corresponding three-level index of the management state includes that asset-liability ratio, the velocity of liquid assets, total assets increase Rate, profit ratio of sales and industry market share;
The horizontal corresponding three-level index of the power consumption management includes equipment dependability and running environment, safety management level With work mated condition;
It includes customer demand side peak clipping potentiality, energy storage device appearance that the customer demand side, which is worth corresponding three-level index, Amount, charging pile quantity, controllable micro- source installed capacity and power demand elasticity;
The corresponding three-level index of the energy management counseling services includes customer electricity management cost, distributed generation resource committee Delivery dimension situation, energy saving solution demand, electricity are worked journey commission situation and purchase electricity consumption consulting wish.
In the step S1, quantifiable achievement data normalized processing formula is as follows:
A. as follows for profit evaluation model index calculation formula:
Wherein, χ `ijFor the index after normalized, χijFor the index before normalized;
B. as follows for cost type index calculation formula:
Wherein, χ `ijFor the index after i-th of client's normalization under jth item index, χijIt is i-th under jth item index Index before client's normalization.
In the step S2, the method for calculating the weight of two-level index using Fuzzy AHP is as follows:
Step S2-1, Judgement Matrix with Fuzzy Consistency R is established, U is two-level index AiSet, U={ A1,A2,…,An, I=1~n, n are the total quantity of two-level index, and fuzzy relation matrix is as follows:
Wherein, rijIndicate two-level index elements AiRelative to AjSignificance level, if rij> 0.5, then two-level index AiCompare Aj It is important;If rij< 0.5, then two-level index AjCompare AiIt is important;If determining certain two-level index person in servitude more important than another two-level index It is with uniformity during category degree, then work as rijWhen > 0.5,rik>rjkR at this timeij=rik-rjk+0.5;
Step S2-2, the weight of two-level index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein, wiFor the weight of i-th of two-level index, n is the total quantity of two-level index, rjkRepresent AjRelative to AkWeight Want degree.
In the step S3, the method that the weight of three-level index is calculated using entropy assessment is as follows:
Step S3-1, the specific gravity that i-th of client under jth item three-level index accounts for the index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein pijThe specific gravity of the index, x` are accounted for for i-th of client under jth item three-level indexijFor the finger after normalization Mark, n are client's total quantity, and m is three-level index total quantity;
Step S3-2, the entropy of jth item three-level index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein, ejFor the entropy of jth item three-level index, pijThe ratio of the index is accounted for for i-th of client under jth item three-level index Weight, k=1/ln (n) > 0ej≥0;
Step S3-3, the comentropy redundancy of jth item three-level index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
dj=1-ej (7)
Wherein, djFor the comentropy redundancy of jth item three-level index, ejFor the entropy of jth item three-level index, wherein 0≤dj ≤1;
Step S3-4, the weight of every three-level index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein, djFor the comentropy redundancy of jth item three-level index, wjFor the weight of jth item three-level index.
In the step S4, the method for carrying out overall merit to client based on TOPSIS method is as follows:
Step S4-1: calculating the comprehensive weight of three-level index, obtains two-level index and three respectively by formula (2) and formula (8) The weight of grade index, the two multiplication can obtain the final comprehensive weight of three-level index, and calculation formula is as follows:
wt=wiwj (9)
Wherein, wiFor the weight of two-level index, wjFor the weight of three-level index, wtFor the weight of three-level index comprehensive;
Step S4-2: building weighted normal matrix Y=(yij)n×m, calculation formula is as follows:
yij=wtx′ij, (i=1,2..., n, j=1,2..., m) (10)
Wherein, wtFor the weight of three-level index comprehensive, χ 'ijFor the index after normalization, yijFor in weighted normal matrix Element;
Step S4-3: the positive ideal solution and minus ideal result of scheme are determined, positive ideal solution and minus ideal result are respectively each side The optimal value of case and most bad value combination, calculation formula are as follows:
Positive ideal solution:
Minus ideal result:
Step S4-4: calculating the Euclidean distance of each scheme and plus-minus ideal solutions, and calculation formula is as follows:
To the distance of positive ideal solution:
To the distance of minus ideal result:
Step S4-5: calculating the relative similarity degree between each evaluation object index value and ideal solution, and calculation formula is as follows:
Relative similarity degree is bigger, and customer value is higher.
Combined with specific embodiments below, the present invention is further illustrated:
This specific embodiment chooses the big industrial customer in 5 families and carries out proof analysis, can measure after counting every customer value data The data of change carry out the normalized of index, and quantifiable data is not obtained according to the objective reasonable marking of expert
1) through above-mentioned formula (3) and (4), treated, and data are as shown in table 1
2) for two-level index element { A1,A2,A3,A4,A5,A6, compare importance two-by-two,
A) expert forms fuzzy judgment matrix after assigning power, as follows:
B) consistency check formula r is utilizedij=rik-rjk+ 0.5, assignment adjustment is carried out to fuzzy matrix, forms Rnew
C) two-level index weight w is calculated using formula (2)1,w2,w3,w4,w5,w6Respectively 0.247,0.167,0.127, 0.087,0.207,0.167, three-level index weights are calculated using formula (5-8), to substitute into the synthesis that formula (9) acquires index Weight, as shown in table 2
3) formula (11-15) is utilized, determines plus-minus ideal solutions, and calculate the Euclidean distance of each client, finally obtained each The relative similarity degree of a client, such as the following table 3.
The results are shown in Table 3.
(3) by the size of relative similarity degree it can be concluded that customer value be ordered as 4 > client of client 1 > client, 5 > client 2 > Client 3.
Approach degree is high value customer 0.6 or more, is middle value customer between 0.4-0.6, and 0.4 the following are at a low price It is worth client, then is respectively high value, middle value, low value, middle value, high value according to grade scale 1-5 client.Due to 5 Power customer is big industrial user, and client's core demand is in investigation to act on behalf of power purchase satisfaction at a low price as evaluation client The index of viscosity, according to 5 power customers to the susceptibility of electricity price, evaluation obtain 1-5 client's viscosity be respectively high viscosity, in Sticky, middle viscosity, high viscosity, low viscosity.Thus the two-dimentional evaluation figure of 5 clients is obtained, as shown in Figure 4.
Finally, it is stated that the above examples are only used to illustrate the technical scheme of the present invention and are not limiting, this field is common Other modifications or equivalent replacement that technical staff makes technical solution of the present invention, without departing from technical solution of the present invention Spirit and scope, be intended to be within the scope of the claims of the invention.

Claims (7)

1. power sales decontrol lower power customer value assessment method, which comprises the following steps:
Step S1: establishing power customer the value evaluation index system, and power customer the value evaluation index system includes two-level index With three-level index corresponding with two-level index, and the normalized of index is carried out to quantifiable achievement data, to can not The achievement data of quantization is according to the objective reasonable progress assignment marking of expert;
Step S2, the weight of two-level index is calculated using Fuzzy AHP;
Step S3, the weight of three-level index is calculated using entropy assessment;
Step S4, overall merit is carried out to client based on TOPSIS method, pass through construction weighted normal matrix and determines scheme just Minus ideal result calculates the relative similarity degree between each evaluation object index value and ideal solution, the opposite higher expression electric power of exchange premium degree Customer value is higher.
2. power sales according to claim 1 decontrol lower power customer value assessment method, it is characterised in that: described In step S1, the two-level index includes sale of electricity Economic Contribution, credit situation, management state, power consumption management level, customer demand Side value and energy management counseling services.
3. power sales according to claim 2 decontrol lower power customer value assessment method, it is characterised in that: described to sell The corresponding three-level index of electric Economic Contribution include year electricity sales amount, average annual sale of electricity electricity price, electricity growth rate;
The corresponding three-level index of the credit situation include default electricity use number, the electricity charge pay promptness rate, contract agreement fulfillment rate and Contract deviation electricity;
The corresponding three-level index of the management state includes asset-liability ratio, the velocity of liquid assets, total assets growth rate, pin Sell profit margin and industry market share;
The horizontal corresponding three-level index of the power consumption management includes equipment dependability and running environment, safety management level and work Make mated condition;
The customer demand side is worth corresponding three-level index and includes customer demand side peak clipping potentiality, capacity of energy storing device, fills Electric stake quantity, controllable micro- source installed capacity and power demand elasticity;
The corresponding three-level index of the energy management counseling services includes customer electricity management cost, distributed generation resource commission fortune Dimension situation, energy saving solution demand, electricity are worked journey commission situation and purchase electricity consumption consulting wish.
4. power sales according to claim 3 decontrol lower power customer value assessment method, it is characterised in that: described In step S1, quantifiable achievement data normalized processing formula is as follows:
A. as follows for profit evaluation model index calculation formula:
Wherein, χ `ijFor the index after normalized, χijFor the index before normalized;
B. as follows for cost type index calculation formula:
Wherein, χ `ijFor the index after i-th of client's normalization under jth item index, χijReturn for i-th of client under jth item index Index before one change.
5. power sales according to claim 4 decontrol lower power customer value assessment method, it is characterised in that: described In step S2, the method for calculating the weight of two-level index using Fuzzy AHP is as follows:
Step S2-1, Judgement Matrix with Fuzzy Consistency R is established, U is two-level index AiSet, U={ A1,A2,…,An, i=1 ~n, n are two-level index sum, and fuzzy relation matrix is as follows:
Wherein, rijIndicate two-level index elements AiRelative to AjSignificance level, if rij> 0.5, then two-level index AiCompare AjIt is important; If rij< 0.5, then two-level index AjCompare AiIt is important;If determining certain two-level index degree of membership more important than another two-level index It is with uniformity in the process, then work as rijWhen > 0.5,rik>rjkR at this timeij=rik-rjk+0.5;
Step S2-2, the weight of two-level index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein, wiFor the weight of i-th of two-level index, n is the total quantity of two-level index, rjkRepresent AjRelative to AkImportant journey Degree.
6. power sales according to claim 5 decontrol lower power customer value assessment method, it is characterised in that: described In step S3, the method for calculating the weight of three-level index using entropy assessment is as follows:
Step S3-1, the specific gravity that i-th of client under jth item three-level index accounts for the index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein pijThe specific gravity of the index, x` are accounted for for i-th of client under jth item three-level indexijFor the index after normalization, n is Client's total quantity, m are three-level index sum;
Step S3-2, the entropy of jth item three-level index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein, ejFor the entropy of jth item three-level index, pijThe specific gravity of the index, k are accounted for for i-th of client under jth item three-level index The e of=1/ln (n) > 0j≥0;
Step S3-3, the comentropy redundancy of jth item three-level index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
dj=1-ej (7)
Wherein, djFor the comentropy redundancy of jth item three-level index, ejFor the entropy of jth item three-level index, wherein 0≤dj≤1;
Step S3-4, the weight of every three-level index is calculated, calculation formula is as follows:
Wherein, djFor the comentropy redundancy of jth item three-level index, wjFor the weight of jth item three-level index.
7. power sales according to claim 6 decontrol lower power customer value assessment method, it is characterised in that: described In step S4, the method for carrying out overall merit to client based on TOPSIS method is as follows:
Step S4-1: calculating the comprehensive weight of three-level index, and by formula (2) and formula (8) obtains two-level index respectively and three-level refers to Target weight, the two multiplication can obtain the final comprehensive weight of three-level index, and calculation formula is as follows:
wt=wiwj (9)
Wherein, wiFor the weight of two-level index, wjFor the weight of three-level index, wtFor the weight of three-level index comprehensive;
Step S4-2: building weighted normal matrix Y=(yij)n×m, calculation formula is as follows:
yij=wtx′ij, (i=1,2..., n, j=1,2..., m) (10)
Wherein, wtFor the weight of three-level index comprehensive, χ 'ijFor the index after i-th of client's normalization under jth item index, yij For the element in weighted normal matrix;
Step S4-3: the positive ideal solution and minus ideal result of scheme are determined, positive ideal solution and minus ideal result are respectively each scheme Optimal value and most bad value combination, calculation formula are as follows:
Positive ideal solution:
Minus ideal result:
Step S4-4: calculating the Euclidean distance of each scheme and plus-minus ideal solutions, and calculation formula is as follows:
To the distance of positive ideal solution:
To the distance of minus ideal result:
Step S4-5: calculating the relative similarity degree between each evaluation object index value and ideal solution, and calculation formula is as follows:
Relative similarity degree is bigger, and customer value is higher.
CN201810945600.3A 2018-08-20 2018-08-20 Power sales decontrol lower power customer value assessment method Pending CN109191189A (en)

Priority Applications (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201810945600.3A CN109191189A (en) 2018-08-20 2018-08-20 Power sales decontrol lower power customer value assessment method

Applications Claiming Priority (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN201810945600.3A CN109191189A (en) 2018-08-20 2018-08-20 Power sales decontrol lower power customer value assessment method

Publications (1)

Publication Number Publication Date
CN109191189A true CN109191189A (en) 2019-01-11

Family

ID=64918736

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
CN201810945600.3A Pending CN109191189A (en) 2018-08-20 2018-08-20 Power sales decontrol lower power customer value assessment method

Country Status (1)

Country Link
CN (1) CN109191189A (en)

Cited By (12)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN107958395A (en) * 2017-12-13 2018-04-24 美林数据技术股份有限公司 A kind of recognition methods of electric system abnormal user
CN109948723A (en) * 2019-03-28 2019-06-28 北京交通发展研究院 Commute the recognition methods of population in a kind of mobile phone user
CN110110994A (en) * 2019-05-06 2019-08-09 重庆大学 Accurate trade and investment promotion business investment intention assessment system and method based on big data
CN110533971A (en) * 2019-07-19 2019-12-03 山东至信信息科技有限公司 A kind of intelligent tutoring system deeply interacted
CN110837962A (en) * 2019-05-17 2020-02-25 国网辽宁省电力有限公司沈阳供电公司 Power customer viscosity calculation method
CN111275485A (en) * 2020-01-17 2020-06-12 国家电网有限公司客户服务中心 Power grid customer grade division method and system based on big data analysis, computer equipment and storage medium
CN111724049A (en) * 2020-06-08 2020-09-29 国网河北省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 Research and judgment method for potential power energy efficiency service customer
CN111784503A (en) * 2020-06-29 2020-10-16 北京思特奇信息技术股份有限公司 Operation change method, system and storage medium for communication credit investigation data
CN111784204A (en) * 2020-07-28 2020-10-16 南方电网能源发展研究院有限责任公司 High-quality user mining method and system based on user power consumption behavior portrait
CN111898839A (en) * 2019-05-05 2020-11-06 中国农业大学 Importance degree classification method and device for power consumers
CN113222477A (en) * 2021-06-09 2021-08-06 上海交通大学 Method and system for deciding priority of intelligent product service system requirements
CN113327047A (en) * 2021-06-16 2021-08-31 国网江苏省电力有限公司营销服务中心 Power marketing service channel decision method and system based on fuzzy comprehensive model

Cited By (16)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN107958395A (en) * 2017-12-13 2018-04-24 美林数据技术股份有限公司 A kind of recognition methods of electric system abnormal user
CN107958395B (en) * 2017-12-13 2021-11-26 美林数据技术股份有限公司 Method for identifying abnormal users of power system
CN109948723A (en) * 2019-03-28 2019-06-28 北京交通发展研究院 Commute the recognition methods of population in a kind of mobile phone user
CN111898839A (en) * 2019-05-05 2020-11-06 中国农业大学 Importance degree classification method and device for power consumers
CN111898839B (en) * 2019-05-05 2023-12-15 中国农业大学 Importance degree classification method and device for power users
CN110110994A (en) * 2019-05-06 2019-08-09 重庆大学 Accurate trade and investment promotion business investment intention assessment system and method based on big data
CN110837962A (en) * 2019-05-17 2020-02-25 国网辽宁省电力有限公司沈阳供电公司 Power customer viscosity calculation method
CN110533971A (en) * 2019-07-19 2019-12-03 山东至信信息科技有限公司 A kind of intelligent tutoring system deeply interacted
CN111275485A (en) * 2020-01-17 2020-06-12 国家电网有限公司客户服务中心 Power grid customer grade division method and system based on big data analysis, computer equipment and storage medium
CN111724049A (en) * 2020-06-08 2020-09-29 国网河北省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 Research and judgment method for potential power energy efficiency service customer
CN111724049B (en) * 2020-06-08 2023-05-23 国网河北省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 Research and judgment method for potential electric power energy efficiency service clients
CN111784503A (en) * 2020-06-29 2020-10-16 北京思特奇信息技术股份有限公司 Operation change method, system and storage medium for communication credit investigation data
CN111784503B (en) * 2020-06-29 2023-12-05 北京思特奇信息技术股份有限公司 Operation rendering method, system and storage medium of communication credit investigation data
CN111784204A (en) * 2020-07-28 2020-10-16 南方电网能源发展研究院有限责任公司 High-quality user mining method and system based on user power consumption behavior portrait
CN113222477A (en) * 2021-06-09 2021-08-06 上海交通大学 Method and system for deciding priority of intelligent product service system requirements
CN113327047A (en) * 2021-06-16 2021-08-31 国网江苏省电力有限公司营销服务中心 Power marketing service channel decision method and system based on fuzzy comprehensive model

Similar Documents

Publication Publication Date Title
CN109191189A (en) Power sales decontrol lower power customer value assessment method
Khan Measurement and determinants of socioeconomic development: A critical conspectus
CN109325799A (en) Power customer reserve value assessment method based on cloud model
CN109063945A (en) A kind of 360 degree of customer portrait construction methods of sale of electricity company based on Value accounting system
CN108388955A (en) Customer service strategies formulating method, device based on random forest and logistic regression
CN109598300A (en) A kind of assessment system and method
CN106156957A (en) A kind of business risk appraisal procedure based on weight and system
CN108389069A (en) Top-tier customer recognition methods based on random forest and logistic regression and device
CN110826886A (en) Electric power customer portrait construction method based on clustering algorithm and principal component analysis
CN109712023A (en) A kind of region power sales Valuation Method
CN108629500A (en) One kind changing power customer comprehensive value appraisal procedure under background suitable for new electricity
CN108509385A (en) A kind of device fabrication supplier evaluation method
CN112561730A (en) Power supply service analysis method based on double-layer clustering and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation
CN107609771A (en) A kind of supplier&#39;s value assessment method
CN108364191A (en) Top-tier customer Optimum Identification Method and device based on random forest and logistic regression
CN109801170A (en) Fund product methods of marking, device and equipment
CN112884359A (en) Electric power spot market risk assessment method
Ding Performance analysis of public management teaching practice training based on artificial intelligence technology
CN112634078B (en) Large-industrial load interruption priority evaluation method based on multi-dimensional index fusion
CN108039709B (en) Management method of electric interruptible load based on interruptible potential evaluation
CN108876199A (en) A kind of commercial bid evaluation method based on multidimensional Weighted Fuzzy Study on similar degree method
Xu Financial disintermediation and entrepreneurial learning: evidence from the crowdfunding market
Olson et al. The analytic hierarchy process
CN109978300A (en) Customer risk withstands forces quantization method and system, Asset Allocation method and system
CN111027845A (en) Label model suitable for power market main part customer portrait

Legal Events

Date Code Title Description
PB01 Publication
PB01 Publication
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
SE01 Entry into force of request for substantive examination
RJ01 Rejection of invention patent application after publication
RJ01 Rejection of invention patent application after publication

Application publication date: 20190111