CN109002986A - A kind of power domain pin receives capability analysis method - Google Patents
A kind of power domain pin receives capability analysis method Download PDFInfo
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- CN109002986A CN109002986A CN201810779773.2A CN201810779773A CN109002986A CN 109002986 A CN109002986 A CN 109002986A CN 201810779773 A CN201810779773 A CN 201810779773A CN 109002986 A CN109002986 A CN 109002986A
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- 238000004458 analytical method Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 18
- 230000005611 electricity Effects 0.000 claims abstract description 22
- 238000000034 method Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 6
- 230000002354 daily effect Effects 0.000 claims description 12
- 230000003442 weekly effect Effects 0.000 claims description 6
- 230000003203 everyday effect Effects 0.000 claims description 5
- 238000004364 calculation method Methods 0.000 claims description 3
- 239000000284 extract Substances 0.000 claims description 3
- 238000012544 monitoring process Methods 0.000 claims 1
- 238000012986 modification Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000004048 modification Effects 0.000 description 2
- 241000545442 Radix Species 0.000 description 1
- 238000004378 air conditioning Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000009286 beneficial effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000004519 manufacturing process Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000001953 sensory effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 239000002699 waste material Substances 0.000 description 1
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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- G06Q10/0639—Performance analysis of employees; Performance analysis of enterprise or organisation operations
- G06Q10/06393—Score-carding, benchmarking or key performance indicator [KPI] analysis
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- G—PHYSICS
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- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
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Abstract
Receive a kind of power domain pin of analysis technical field the invention discloses power pin and receive capability analysis method, this method comprises the following steps: S1: the power pin of the public setting of statistical regions and commercial facility receives situation；S2: the pin amount of the receiving data of power distribution station are recorded；S3: record day part weather history Information And Historical house registrating number；S4: single factor is calculated according to historical data, the influence of total electricity is received to pin；S5: ability is received according to following weather forecast and house the registrating number power pin current to region and is analyzed, which can adjust the generated energy of generating set in advance, and power grid is made accurately to power, and improve the utilization rate of the energy.
Description
Technical field
Analysis technical field is received the present invention relates to power pin, and specially a kind of power domain pin receives capability analysis method.
Background technique
Electric energy is essential important energy source in modern city production and living, with constantly improve for national grid,
Through can satisfy the electricity needs of most cities, for zonal power supply, due to commercial facility amount and public power facility
It receives ability to the pin of electric power all to have an impact, it is difficult to which Accurate Prediction, power grid is also only estimated and then is powered roughly at present, to protect
Demonstrate,prove that block supply is sufficient, usual power grid, which can be conveyed, receives the electric energy of ability higher than region power pin, can increase the negative of power distribution station in this way
It carries, can not sell the electric energy received will cause the waste of the energy.
Summary of the invention
Capability analysis method is received the purpose of the present invention is to provide a kind of power domain pin, to solve in above-mentioned background technique
The problem of proposition.
It to achieve the above object, should the invention provides the following technical scheme: a kind of power domain pin receives capability analysis method
Method includes the following steps:
S1: the power pin of the public setting of statistical regions and commercial facility receives situation；
S2: the pin amount of the receiving data of power distribution station are recorded；
S3: record day part weather history Information And Historical house registrating number；
S4: single factor is calculated according to historical data, the influence of total electricity is received to pin；
S5: ability is received according to following weather forecast and house the registrating number power pin current to region and is analyzed.
Preferably, situation is received with the power pin that weekly frequency record monitors public power facility and commercial facility,
Using the average of nearest surrounding as radix, nearest four weekly data have significant change to go out this week according to Growth Rate Calculation public
The power pin amount of receiving of electric power facility and commercial facility.
Preferably, with the data of frequency record region power distribution station once a day, region most over the past two years every is counted
One day power pin receives situation.
Preferably, go out the region most weather condition of every day over the past two years according to weather history forecast statistics, and extract gas
The valid data of temperature and daytime length.
Preferably, with the house registration amount in frequency statistics region once a week.
Preferably, by temperature with 24 degree for basic point, the difference with 24 degree is set as coefficient, will it is every difference once to pin
The influence of total amount received is set as unknown number, sets coefficient for the duration at night, and night hourly is received the shadow of electricity to pin eventually
Sound is set as unknown number, using every ten family is a unit as coefficient by residential building, and ten family residential buildings of every increase are always electric to region
The influence of amount is set as unknown number, in addition the daily electricity pin amount of receiving of daily public domain, lists multi head linear equation, every year
One group of multi head linear equation group is listed, the value of annual unknown number is calculated separately out, annual unknown number is subtracted each other, is obtained annual
Natural increase number obtain daily natural growth by year increased numbers divided by 365.
Preferably, in conjunction with long-range weather forecast by the temperature obtained, night long data, the house register information counted, public affairs
The pin amount of receiving of facility and the power pin amount of receiving of commercial facility bring equation into altogether, calculate the following daily power pin amount of receiving.
Compared with prior art, the beneficial effects of the present invention are: the present invention is by the statistics to previous historical data and leads to
It crosses multi head linear equation group and calculates influence of every factor to the region power pin amount of receiving；Further according to long-range weather forecast number and most
Close statistical number is capable of the pin that analysis meter calculates region electricity in advance and receives situation, can adjust the generated energy of generating set in advance,
So that power grid is accurately powered, improves the utilization rate of the energy.
Specific embodiment
The technical scheme in the embodiments of the invention will be clearly and completely described below, it is clear that described implementation
Example is only a part of the embodiment of the present invention, instead of all the embodiments.Based on the embodiments of the present invention, this field is common
Technical staff's every other embodiment obtained without making creative work belongs to the model that the present invention protects
It encloses.
A kind of power domain pin receives capability analysis method, and this method comprises the following steps:
S1: the power pin of the public setting of statistical regions and commercial facility receives situation, since public power facility and business are set
The power pin applied is received situation variation and is stirred less, unless there are removing and newly-built electric power facility；
S2: recording the pin amount of the receiving data of power distribution station, and the region electricity of power distribution station record, which is always sold, receives data；
S3: record day part weather history Information And Historical house registrating number, 2 years interior weather feelings in query history
Condition, including temperature, sunrise and sunset time, these factors have very big influence, the registration of house to the electricity consumption situation of resident
Several pairs of resident's radixes have very big influence；
S4: single factor is calculated according to historical data, the influence of total electricity is received to pin, convenient for predicting different factor shadows
Residential electricity consumption condition under ringing, so that the pin for calculating region receives ability；
S5: ability is received according to following weather forecast and house the registrating number power pin current to region and is analyzed, is tied
The influence for closing different factors calculates the pin in region electric power future and receives ability, is accurately controlled convenient for power grid trnamission capacity, is increased
Strong energy utilization rate.
Wherein, situation is received with the power pin that weekly frequency record monitors public power facility and commercial facility, adopted
Use the average of nearest surrounding as radix, since public power facility and commercial electric power facility are all to have system to be uniformly controlled
, so the fluctuation of electricity consumption is little daily, and do not influenced by ambient weather number, nearest four weekly data has significant change
Go out the power pin amount of receiving of this week public power facility and commercial facility according to Growth Rate Calculation, if electricity consumption data occur significantly
Variation, then illustrate that public power facility or commercial electric power facility are increased newly or removed, when analysis pin receives total amount,
It needs also to count these variables；
With the data of frequency record region power distribution station once a day, become convenient for being calculated in conjunction with specific weather conditions
Amount, the power pin for counting the every day of region most over the past two years receive situation, enlarged sample radix, can by repeatedly calculate come
Exact computation results；
Go out the region most weather condition of every day over the past two years according to weather history forecast statistics, and extracts temperature and daytime is long
Valid data, electricity consumption at dark is significantly larger；
With the house registration amount in frequency statistics region once a week, when calculating, nearest one week house registration amount is taken to use
It calculates；
By temperature with 24 degree for basic point, coefficient is set as with 24 degree of difference, and 24 degree of whens are human body sensories
The temperature of the most comfortable, when larger with this temperature difference, interior can consider to reduce or increase using air-conditioning or other equipment
Add indoor temperature, every difference is once received into the influence of total amount to pin and is set as unknown number, coefficient is set by the duration at night, by night
Between it is hourly the influence of electricity received to pin be eventually set as unknown number, using every ten family be a unit as coefficient by residential building, number
It according to huge, is calculated without excessively accurate, the influence by ten family residential buildings of every increase to region total electricity is set as unknown number, adds
The daily electricity pin amount of receiving of upper daily public domain, lists multi head linear equation, lists one group of multi head linear equation group every year,
The value for calculating separately out annual unknown number subtracts each other annual unknown number, obtains annual natural increase number, by year increased numbers
Divided by 365, daily natural growth is obtained, with the development of society, people's lives level is also increasingly
It is good, it is influenced by people's purchasing power and electric appliance quantity, electricity consumption itself is also in natural increase；
In conjunction with long-range weather forecast by the temperature obtained, night long data, the house register information that counts, communal facility
The pin amount of receiving and the power pin amount of receiving of commercial facility bring equation into, calculate the following daily power pin amount of receiving.
It although an embodiment of the present invention has been shown and described, for the ordinary skill in the art, can be with
A variety of variations, modification, replacement can be carried out to these embodiments without departing from the principles and spirit of the present invention by understanding
And modification, the scope of the present invention is defined by the appended.
Claims (7)
1. a kind of power domain pin receives capability analysis method, it is characterised in that: this method comprises the following steps:
S1: the power pin of the public setting of statistical regions and commercial facility receives situation；
S2: the pin amount of the receiving data of power distribution station are recorded；
S3: record day part weather history Information And Historical house registrating number；
S4: single factor is calculated according to historical data, the influence of total electricity is received to pin；
S5: ability is received according to following weather forecast and house the registrating number power pin current to region and is analyzed.
2. a kind of power domain pin according to claim 1 receives capability analysis method, it is characterised in that: with weekly
The power pin of frequency record monitoring public power facility and commercial facility receives situation, using the average of nearest surrounding as base
Number, nearest four weekly data have the power pin for going out this week public power facility and commercial facility according to Growth Rate Calculation of significant change
The amount of receiving.
3. a kind of power domain pin according to claim 1 receives capability analysis method, it is characterised in that: with once a day
The data of frequency record region power distribution station, the power pin for counting the every day of region most over the past two years receive situation.
4. a kind of power domain pin according to claim 1 receives capability analysis method, it is characterised in that: according to weather history
Forecast statistics go out the region most weather condition of every day over the past two years, and extract temperature and daytime long valid data.
5. a kind of power domain pin according to claim 1 receives capability analysis method, it is characterised in that: with once a week
The house registration amount in frequency statistics region.
6. a kind of power domain pin according to claim 1 receives capability analysis method, it is characterised in that: by temperature with 20
Four degree are basic point, and the difference with 24 degree is set as coefficient, by it is every it is poor the influence of total amount once received to pin be set as unknown number, by night
The duration in evening is set as coefficient, by night it is hourly the influence of electricity received to pin be eventually set as unknown number, by residential building with every
Ten families are that a unit is coefficient, and the influence by ten family residential buildings of every increase to region total electricity is set as unknown number, in addition every
The daily electricity pin amount of receiving of its public domain, lists multi head linear equation, lists one group of multi head linear equation group every year, respectively
The value for calculating annual unknown number subtracts each other annual unknown number, obtains annual natural increase number, by year increased numbers divided by
365, obtain daily natural growth.
7. a kind of power domain pin according to claim 1 receives capability analysis method, it is characterised in that: in conjunction with future weather
Forecast by the temperature obtained, night long data, the house register information counted, communal facility pin the amount of receiving and commercial facility electricity
The power pin amount of receiving brings equation into, calculates the following daily power pin amount of receiving.
Priority Applications (1)
| Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| CN201810779773.2A CN109002986A (en) | 2018-07-16 | 2018-07-16 | A kind of power domain pin receives capability analysis method |
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| Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| CN201810779773.2A CN109002986A (en) | 2018-07-16 | 2018-07-16 | A kind of power domain pin receives capability analysis method |
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| Publication Number | Publication Date |
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| CN109002986A true CN109002986A (en) | 2018-12-14 |
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| CN201810779773.2A Pending CN109002986A (en) | 2018-07-16 | 2018-07-16 | A kind of power domain pin receives capability analysis method |
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Cited By (1)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN116703135A (en) * | 2023-08-10 | 2023-09-05 | 安徽博诺思信息科技有限公司 | Power line construction planning analysis and evaluation method |
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| CN103268524A (en) * | 2013-06-03 | 2013-08-28 | 国家电网公司 | Method for improving power grid short-term load forecasting accuracy |
| US20140058572A1 (en) * | 2012-08-27 | 2014-02-27 | Gridium, Inc. | Systems and methods for energy consumption and energy demand management |
| CN104951840A (en) * | 2014-03-24 | 2015-09-30 | 国网上海市电力公司 | Analysis method for overall electricity utilization trend of electric power market |
| CN106682784A (en) * | 2017-01-04 | 2017-05-17 | 成都四方伟业软件股份有限公司 | Analysis method and system of smart power grid big data |
| CN107330548A (en) * | 2017-06-16 | 2017-11-07 | 广东电网有限责任公司惠州供电局 | Residential electricity consumption Forecasting Methodology based on time series models |
-
2018
- 2018-07-16 CN CN201810779773.2A patent/CN109002986A/en active Pending
Patent Citations (5)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US20140058572A1 (en) * | 2012-08-27 | 2014-02-27 | Gridium, Inc. | Systems and methods for energy consumption and energy demand management |
| CN103268524A (en) * | 2013-06-03 | 2013-08-28 | 国家电网公司 | Method for improving power grid short-term load forecasting accuracy |
| CN104951840A (en) * | 2014-03-24 | 2015-09-30 | 国网上海市电力公司 | Analysis method for overall electricity utilization trend of electric power market |
| CN106682784A (en) * | 2017-01-04 | 2017-05-17 | 成都四方伟业软件股份有限公司 | Analysis method and system of smart power grid big data |
| CN107330548A (en) * | 2017-06-16 | 2017-11-07 | 广东电网有限责任公司惠州供电局 | Residential electricity consumption Forecasting Methodology based on time series models |
Cited By (2)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN116703135A (en) * | 2023-08-10 | 2023-09-05 | 安徽博诺思信息科技有限公司 | Power line construction planning analysis and evaluation method |
| CN116703135B (en) * | 2023-08-10 | 2023-10-20 | 安徽博诺思信息科技有限公司 | Power line construction planning analysis and evaluation method |
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Application publication date: 20181214 |