CN109001805A - A kind of earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, storage medium and server - Google Patents

A kind of earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, storage medium and server Download PDF

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CN109001805A
CN109001805A CN201810506557.0A CN201810506557A CN109001805A CN 109001805 A CN109001805 A CN 109001805A CN 201810506557 A CN201810506557 A CN 201810506557A CN 109001805 A CN109001805 A CN 109001805A
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source
uncertainty
function
source inversion
earthquake
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CN109001805B (en
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汪驰升
李清泉
朱家松
王丹
丁凯
管明雷
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Shenzhen University
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G01MEASURING; TESTING
    • G01VGEOPHYSICS; GRAVITATIONAL MEASUREMENTS; DETECTING MASSES OR OBJECTS; TAGS
    • G01V1/00Seismology; Seismic or acoustic prospecting or detecting
    • G01V1/28Processing seismic data, e.g. for interpretation or for event detection
    • G01V1/30Analysis

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Abstract

The present invention discloses a kind of earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, storage medium and server, the method includes the steps: source inversion parameter is carried out using Bayes statistical method to resolve the priori probability density function for obtaining corresponding source inversion parameter;Seismic source information amount is obtained according to the priori probability density function of the source inversion parameter;Stochastic uncertainty function and cognition uncertainty function are measured out according to the seismic source information;Assessment judgement is carried out to source inversion PRELIMINARY RESULTS in conjunction with the stochastic uncertainty function and cognition uncertainty function, obtains accurate source inversion interpretation result.These two types of uncertainties are unified on the benchmark of information content and measure, to realize two class uncertainty quantitative evaluations and uniformly, correctly interpret for InSAR earthquake source inversion result and provide scientific basis by introducing information entropy theory by the present invention.

Description

A kind of earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, storage medium and server
Technical field
The present invention relates to source inversion field more particularly to a kind of earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Methods, storage Medium and server.
Background technique
InSAR is the advanced space to ground measuring technique of recent decades development, is traditional SAR remote sensing technology and radio day The product that literary interference technique combines, the technology can obtain the closely observation data with high density earthquake displacement field.It is based on The focus spatial information that InSAR is obtained is more fine accurate, also functions to very positive work in existing earthquake engineering related application With.
Although the earthquake information that InSAR is obtained has very big advantage in spatial resolution, it must be recognized that InSAR Fault slip inverting still has multi-solution, and the gliding model difference obtained based on distinct methods and data inversion is very big.? In seismic risk analysis, the conclusion obtained based on different InSAR inversion results is widely different.It is published in top periodical Nature Two articles about Chilean 8.8 grades of violent earthquakes in 2010 on Geoscience and Natrue, it is whether complete for the earthquake It releases the energy accumulated between shake and gives completely different conclusion.
Therefore, the base that analysis and research are the buildings of InSAR focus target criteriaization is carried out to InSAR earthquake source uncertainty Plinth, to subsequent applications reliability important in inhibiting such as guarantee Assessment of The Earthquake Risk In Future.
Summary of the invention
In view of above-mentioned deficiencies of the prior art, the purpose of the present invention is to provide a kind of earthquake source inverting uncertainties point Analysis method, storage medium and server, it is intended to solve the prior art and carry out earthquake solution using InSAR earthquake source inversion result When translating, not while considering that the stochastic uncertainty of inversion result and cognition are uncertain, cause interpretation result inaccurate, obstruction pair The problem of earthquake recognizes.
Technical scheme is as follows:
A kind of earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, wherein comprising steps of
The priori for resolve the corresponding source inversion parameter of acquisition to source inversion parameter using Bayes statistical method is general Rate density function;
Seismic source information amount is obtained according to the priori probability density function of the source inversion parameter;
Stochastic uncertainty function and cognition uncertainty function are measured out according to the seismic source information;
Source inversion PRELIMINARY RESULTS is commented in conjunction with the stochastic uncertainty function and cognition uncertainty function Estimate judgement, obtains accurate source inversion interpretation result.
The earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, wherein the source inversion parameter includes: that tomography block is sliding Dynamic distribution vector s, tomography geometric parameter m, InSAR data collection weight σ 2 and smoothing factor α.
The earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, wherein the seismic source information amount includes: source inversion ginseng The information content utilized in the information content and source inversion of information content, InSAR data offer that number needs.
The earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, wherein the information content that the source inversion parameter needs For the comentropy of source inversion parameter priori probability density function;The information content that the InSAR data provides is source inversion ginseng Mutual information between several and InSAR observation data;The information content utilized in the source inversion is InSAR inverted parameters and focus Mutual information between inverted parameters.
The earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, wherein the stochastic uncertainty function is that focus is anti- The information content for drilling parameter needs subtracts the information content of InSAR data offer.
The earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, wherein the cognition uncertainty function is InSAR number The information content utilized in source inversion is subtracted according to the information content of offer.
The earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, wherein stochastic uncertainty function described in the combination And cognition uncertainty function carries out assessment judgement to source inversion PRELIMINARY RESULTS, obtains accurate source inversion interpretation result The step of specifically include:
When carrying out earthquake interpretation to InSAR earthquake source inverting PRELIMINARY RESULTS, in conjunction with the stochastic uncertainty function And cognition uncertainty function carries out assessment judgement to source inversion PRELIMINARY RESULTS;
Determine that result effectively accepts or rejects interpretation result according to assessment, finally obtains accurate source inversion interpretation knot Fruit.
A kind of computer readable storage medium, wherein the computer-readable recording medium storage has one or more Program, one or more of programs are executed by one or more processors, to realize that a kind of earthquake source inverting is uncertain The step of property analysis method.
A kind of application server, wherein including at least one processor, display screen, memory and communication interface and always Line, the processor, display screen, memory and communication interface complete mutual communication by bus, and the processor calls The step of logical order in memory is to execute a kind of earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method.
The utility model has the advantages that these two types of uncertainties are unified in information by introducing stochastic variable information entropy theory by the present invention It is measured on the benchmark of amount, stochastic uncertainty subtracts InSAR data offer by the information content that source inversion parameter needs Information content indicates that the uncertain information content provided by InSAR data of cognition subtracts the information content utilized in source inversion and indicates, To realize two class uncertainty quantitative evaluations and uniformly, correctly interprets and provide for InSAR earthquake source inversion result Scientific basis.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is a kind of flow chart of earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method preferred embodiment of the present invention.
Fig. 2 is a kind of structural block diagram of application server preferred embodiment of the present invention.
Specific embodiment
The present invention provides a kind of earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, storage medium and server, to make this hair Bright purpose, technical solution and effect are clearer, clear, and the present invention is described in more detail below.It should be appreciated that herein Described specific embodiment is only used to explain the present invention, is not intended to limit the present invention.
Referring to Fig. 1, Fig. 1 is a kind of earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method preferred embodiment provided by the invention Flow chart, wherein as shown, comprising steps of
S10, source inversion parameter is carried out using Bayes statistical method to resolve the elder generation for obtaining corresponding source inversion parameter Test probability density function;
S20, seismic source information amount is obtained according to the priori probability density function of the source inversion parameter;
S30, stochastic uncertainty function and cognition uncertainty function are measured out according to the seismic source information;
S40, in conjunction with the stochastic uncertainty function and cognition uncertainty function to source inversion PRELIMINARY RESULTS into Row assessment determines, obtains accurate source inversion interpretation result.
Specifically, by InSAR observation noise and inverting resolution capability double influence, source inversion result exist simultaneously with Machine uncertainty (observation causes) and uncertain (inverting ability causes) the two kinds of uncertainties of cognition.Using InSAR earthquake When source inversion result carries out earthquake interpretation, if not considering these two types of uncertainties, interpretation result inaccuracy will be often resulted in, Hinder the cognition to earthquake.
Based on this, the present invention studies the InSAR source inversion based on comentropy by introducing stochastic variable information entropy theory Uncertain Unified Expression function, the expression of seismic source information amount develop the quick analysis side of InSAR source inversion information content Method realizes the stochastic uncertainty to InSAR source inversion result and recognizes probabilistic Unified Expression, is InSAR earthquake Source inversion result, which correctly interprets, provides scientific basis.
Further, under Bayes's source inversion frame, research considers that the fault slip priori of more regularization coefficients is general It is incomplete can to overcome the problems, such as that uniform and smooth constraint factor slides heterogeneous description to fault plane for rate modeling method.Bayes's system Focal shock parameter variable and InSAR data weight, smoothing factor isoinversion model coefficient can be processed into random change by meter method Amount obtains the prior probability distribution of these variables by resolving.Based on these features, the present invention will be carried out using bayes method InSAR source inversion calculates, and Bayes's source inversion model merges linear dimensions simultaneously and resolves with nonlinear parameter.Its In, linear dimensions is that tomography block slides distribution vector s, and nonlinear parameter is tomography geometric parameter m, InSAR data collection weight σ2, And smoothing factor α.
To avoid smooth or owing smooth phenomenon, the priori probability density function of tomography block sliding distribution vector s is quasi- to be adopted With the spatial smoothness constraints of more smoothing factors.Second order Laplacian Matrix D is introduced, so that DjS~N (0, αj), wherein j is tomography Sub-block number, αjFor the corresponding smoothing factor of j tomography sub-block.Tomography geometric parameter m, InSAR data collection weight σ2, and it is smooth Equal distribution density letter of the priori probability density function proposed adoption of factor alpha nonlinear parameter in a certain experience value range Number.
When being modeled to InSAR data error, show preferably to characterize the anisotropy of InSAR atmosphere delay equal error As the present invention uses anisotropic covarianceAnd QkRespectively k-th of data set weight and covariance matrix. For the anisotropic variogram fitting of realization, it is intended that the rotation with propositions such as Knospe and Extension algorithm, it will be anisotropic Random signal is transformed into isotropism to handle.
Higher-dimension, multiple extremum characteristic in view of the parameter priori probability density function in Bayes's inverse model, use horse The possible calculation amount of Er Kefu monte carlo method (MCMC) is huge, solves difficult.Here the substep of proposed adoption Fukuda et al. is asked Solution method, by priori probability density function p (m, s, σ, α | d) be decomposed into two probability density functions:
P (m, s, σ, α | d)=P (s | d, m, σ, α) P (m, σ, α | d) wherein, first probability density function p (s | d, m, σ, It is α) the linear dimensions prior distribution after given nonlinear parameter, can be calculated by least square method, and second probability is close The prior distribution that function p (m, σ, α | d]) is nonlinear parameter is spent, Markov Monte Carlo method can be used to calculate.
Specifically, InSAR source inversion uncertainty can be divided into independently of inversion method stochastic uncertainty and according to Rely the cognition in inversion method uncertain.The research achievement that information theory is used for reference in present invention research, measures three kinds of seismic source informations The information utilized in the information content and source inversion of information content, InSAR data offer that amount, i.e. source inversion parameter need Amount.
For InSAR source inversion, source inversion parameter z=[mT, sT, σT, αT] priori probability density distribution Comentropy H (z) is exactly the information content that source inversion parameter needs, mutual between source inversion parameter and InSAR observation data (d) Information I (d;Z) be InSAR data provide information content, InSAR inverted parameters (zinv) and source inversion parameter (z) between Mutual information I (zinv;It z) is the information content utilized in source inversion.
Further, the difference of both information content that the information content and InSAR data that source inversion parameter needs provide is shake Source result needs and information content that InSAR data does not contain, referred to as stochastic uncertainty;And the information that InSAR data provides The difference of both information content utilized in amount and source inversion is the information content that InSAR has contained and inversion method does not utilize, Referred to as cognition is uncertain.
That is, the stochastic uncertainty function subtracts InSAR data by the information content that source inversion parameter needs The information content of offer indicates;The cognition uncertainty function is subtracted sharp in source inversion by the information content that InSAR data provides Information content indicates.
Further, it is quantitative description stochastic uncertainty function and cognition uncertainty function, needs to H (z), I (d;And I (z z)inv;Z) three variables carry out asking calculation.According to the definition of random variable of continuous type comentropy, source inversion parameter z Comentropy H (z) can be obtained by following formula: H (z)=- ∫V1P (z) logp (z) dz is wherein the domain of V1 parameter z, p (z) It is the priori probability density of z.It being modeled according to front prior probability, p (z) can be described by fixed analytical expression, therefore for The calculating of comentropy H (z) can substitute into definition and carry out direct solution.
It is mutual between source inversion parameter and InSAR observation data (d) according to the definition of random variable of continuous type mutual information Information I (d;Z) it can be obtained by following formula:Wherein, V2 The domain of parameter d and z, pd, z (d, z) is the Joint Distribution of d and z, pd(d) and pz(z) be respectively d and z edge distribution.This In Joint Distribution pD, z(d, z) can not use fixed analytic expression expression, two kinds of strategies of proposed adoption, the first strategy assumes p in advanceD, z (d, z) probability-distribution function form, the parameters of probability-distribution function are fitted by parametric method;Second of strategy does not assume that The form of probability-distribution function, the approximation of distribution function is provided by nonparametric technique, and nonparametric method includes histogram method, core Function method and average histogram method etc..
Further, InSAR inverted parameters (zinv) and source inversion parameter (z) between mutual information I (zinv;Z) same Sample can be provided by above-mentioned mutual information formula.(zinv) for probability density without analytical expression, the mode that sample set generates is as follows: Firstly, carrying out MCMC sampling according to Z priori density function, the sample set of initial actual parameter Z is generated, then according to actual parameter Sample set generates the sample set of corresponding InSAR observation d, finally carries out Inversion Calculation to observation sample collection, it is anti-to obtain InSAR Drill parameter (zinv) sample set.This partial content is related to bigger calculation amount, and leonenko method can be used, around joint Distribution function directly calculates mutual information, so that the sample space volume of higher-dimension parameter be avoided to ask with what dimension growth was exponentially exploded Topic.
For the prior art when carrying out earthquake interpretation using InSAR earthquake source inversion result, tending to ignore result can Thus the problem of by property, often results in interpretation result inaccuracy, the inconsistent phenomenon of conclusion.And the present invention is by introducing comentropy These two types of uncertainties are unified on the benchmark of information content and measure by theory, and stochastic uncertainty is by source inversion parameter The information content that the information content needed subtracts InSAR data offer indicates, recognizes the uncertain information content provided by InSAR data Subtracting the information content that utilizes in source inversion indicates, to realize two class uncertainty quantitative evaluations and uniformly, is InSAR earthquake source inversion result, which correctly interprets, provides scientific basis.
Based on above-mentioned earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, the present invention also provides a kind of computer-readable storages Medium, the computer-readable recording medium storage have one or more program, and one or more of programs can be by one A or multiple processors execute, to realize in earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method described in any embodiment as above The step of.
Based on above-mentioned earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, the present invention also provides a kind of application servers, such as Shown in Fig. 2 comprising at least one processor (processor) 20;Display screen 21;And memory (memory) 22, may be used also To include communication interface (Communications Interface) 23 and bus 24.Wherein, processor 20, display screen 21, deposit Reservoir 22 and communication interface 23 can complete mutual communication by bus 24.Display screen 21 is set as display initial setting up mould Preset user guides interface in formula.Communication interface 23 can transmit information.Processor 20 can call patrolling in memory 22 Instruction is collected, to execute the method in above-described embodiment.
In addition, the logical order in above-mentioned memory 22 can be realized and as only by way of SFU software functional unit Vertical product when selling or using, can store in a computer readable storage medium.
Memory 22 is used as a kind of computer readable storage medium, and it is executable to may be configured as storage software program, computer Program, such as the corresponding program instruction of method or module in the embodiment of the present disclosure.Processor 30 is stored in memory by operation Software program, instruction or module in 22, thereby executing functional application and data processing, i.e. side in realization above-described embodiment Method.
Memory 22 may include storing program area and storage data area, wherein storing program area can storage program area, extremely Application program needed for a few function;Storage data area, which can be stored, uses created data etc. according to terminal device.This Outside, memory 22 may include high-speed random access memory, can also include nonvolatile memory.For example, USB flash disk, movement Hard disk, read-only memory (Read-Only Memory, ROM), random access memory (Random Access Memory, RAM), a variety of media that can store program code such as magnetic or disk, are also possible to transitory memory medium.
In addition, a plurality of instruction processing unit in above-mentioned storage medium and mobile terminal loads and the detailed process executed exists It has been described in detail in the above method, has just no longer stated one by one herein.
In conclusion earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method provided by the invention, by introducing stochastic variable letter Entropy theory is ceased, these two types of uncertainties are unified on the benchmark of information content and are measured, stochastic uncertainty is by source inversion The information content that the information content that parameter needs subtracts InSAR data offer indicates, recognizes the uncertain letter provided by InSAR data Breath amount subtracts the information content that utilizes in source inversion and indicates, so that two class uncertainty quantitative evaluations and uniformly are realized, It is correctly interpreted for InSAR earthquake source inversion result and scientific basis is provided.
It should be understood that the application of the present invention is not limited to the above for those of ordinary skills can With improvement or transformation based on the above description, all these modifications and variations all should belong to the guarantor of appended claims of the present invention Protect range.

Claims (9)

1. a kind of earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method, which is characterized in that comprising steps of
The prior probability for resolve the corresponding source inversion parameter of acquisition to source inversion parameter using Bayes statistical method is close Spend function;
Seismic source information amount is obtained according to the priori probability density function of the source inversion parameter;
Stochastic uncertainty function and cognition uncertainty function are measured out according to the seismic source information;
Assessment is carried out to source inversion PRELIMINARY RESULTS in conjunction with the stochastic uncertainty function and cognition uncertainty function to sentence It is fixed, obtain accurate source inversion interpretation result.
2. earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method according to claim 1, which is characterized in that the source inversion Parameter includes: tomography block sliding distribution vector s, tomography geometric parameter m, InSAR data collection weight σ2And smoothing factor a.
3. earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method according to claim 1, which is characterized in that the seismic source information Amount includes: the information utilized in the information content of source inversion parameter needs, the information content of InSAR data offer and source inversion Amount.
4. earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method according to claim 3, which is characterized in that the source inversion The information content that parameter needs is the comentropy of source inversion parameter priori probability density function;The letter that the InSAR data provides Breath amount is the mutual information between source inversion parameter and InSAR observation data;The information content utilized in the source inversion is Mutual information between InSAR inverted parameters and source inversion parameter.
5. earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method according to claim 4, which is characterized in that described random not true Qualitative function is that the information content that source inversion parameter needs subtracts the information content that InSAR data provides.
6. earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method according to claim 5, which is characterized in that the cognition is not true Qualitative function is that the information content that InSAR data provides subtracts the information content utilized in source inversion.
7. earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method according to claim 6, which is characterized in that described in the combination Stochastic uncertainty function and cognition uncertainty function carry out assessment judgement to source inversion PRELIMINARY RESULTS, obtain accurately The step of source inversion interpretation result, specifically includes:
When carrying out earthquake interpretation to InSAR earthquake source inverting PRELIMINARY RESULTS, in conjunction with the stochastic uncertainty function and Cognition uncertainty function carries out assessment judgement to source inversion PRELIMINARY RESULTS;
Determine that result effectively accepts or rejects interpretation result according to assessment, finally obtains accurate source inversion interpretation result.
8. a kind of computer readable storage medium, which is characterized in that the computer-readable recording medium storage have one or Multiple programs, one or more of programs are executed by one or more processors, to realize that the claims 1-7 is any A kind of the step of earthquake source inverting Uncertainty Analysis Method.
9. a kind of application server, which is characterized in that including at least one processor, display screen, memory and communication interface And bus, the processor, display screen, memory and communication interface complete mutual communication, the processor by bus Call the logical order in memory to execute any one the earthquake source inverting analysis of uncertainty side the claims 1-7 The step of method.
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