CN108764659A - A kind of distribution network reliability analysis of Influential Factors method based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Method - Google Patents
A kind of distribution network reliability analysis of Influential Factors method based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Method Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The present invention provides a kind of distribution network reliability analysis of Influential Factors method based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Method, by the System of Comprehensive Evaluation for establishing distribution network reliability influence factor, build the comprehensive evaluation model that distribution network reliability influence factor is analyzed based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Method, it realizes and completes the target analyzed the power supply reliability of power distribution network in more accurate method, guidance is provided for distribution network planning.This method influences the principal element collection of distribution network reliability by determining, first with analytic hierarchy process (AHP)(AHP)Set of factors is layered, multilevel iudge matrix is constructed, completes Mode of Level Simple Sequence and total sequence, then by consistency check, determine indices weight.Simultaneously on this basis, fuzzy marking is carried out to each single index using Fuzzy Comprehensive Method, determines the correlation degree between power supply reliability and each influence factor, finally obtains the overall merit to distribution network reliability.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to the Optimal scheduling technical field of the power supply reliability influence factor of power distribution network more particularly to a kind of bases
In the distribution network reliability analysis of Influential Factors method of Fuzzy Comprehensive Method.
Background technology
With the progress of sociometric technique, the ratio shared by distribution network reliability is also increasing, and user often spends electricity
The output value increasingly rises, unit power failure measure to user and society caused by economic loss it is increasing, user is to power supply reliability
It is required that it is also higher and higher, therefore, it is necessary to analyze distribution network reliability factor, find to user side fault outage
Heavier factor is influenced, convenient for distribution network planning is transformed.
Distribution network reliability influence factor includes mainly external factor and internal factor, and external factor includes mainly certainly
Right environment and external force destructive factor, internal factor includes mainly grid structure, equipment equipment, power distribution automation is horizontal and manages
Manage horizontal factor.Wherein grid structure refers to that the Connection Mode of power distribution network, Connection Mode mainly have radial pattern, ring-like, segmentation
Contact type and standby type wiring;Natural environment is the factors such as weather conditions, geographical location residing for power distribution network;External force destructive factor
It include mainly artificial responsibility(The factors such as vehicle is destroyed, constructed, pilferage destroys cause)And sundries(Marriage colored ribbon, kite, Bird's Nest etc.
Factor causes);Equipment equipment refers to apparatus insulated, degree of aging;Power distribution automation level is referred to telemetering, distant
The switch of letter or distant control function is reached the standard grade rate;Management level refers to equipment state overhauling rate and livewire work rate.Power distribution network is powered
Reliability effect factor is a lot of, when calculating distribution network reliability, often only counts its main influence factor, ignores
Its secondary or very little influence factor is calculated and is analyzed with convenient and reliable property.However, being carried out to distribution network reliability
When analysis, it tends to be difficult to directly give the degree of association accurate Analysis model of influence factor and reliability index, therefore with fuzzy
Property.
Not yet using the related degree model between Fuzzy Comprehensive Method analysis distribution network reliability and its influence factor at present
Occur.Fuzzy Comprehensive Method is that qualitative evaluation is converted into quantitative assessment according to the topology degree that is subordinate to of fuzzy mathematics, that is, uses fuzzy number
It learns and evaluating for totality is made to the things or object that are restricted by many factors.It has result clear, and systematicness is strong
Feature, can preferably solve the problems, such as it is fuzzy, be difficult to quantify, be suitble to various uncertain problems solution, in conjunction with level
Analytic approach seeks weight, is the relatively effective method of the degree of association between present analysis distribution network reliability and its influence factor.
Invention content
The technical problem to be solved in the present invention be to provide a kind of distribution network reliability based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Method influence because
Plain analysis method is realized and completes the target analyzed the power supply reliability of power distribution network in more accurate method, is power distribution network
Planning provides guidance.
A kind of distribution network reliability analysis of Influential Factors method based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Method, includes the following steps:
Determining influences the principal element collection of distribution network reliability, is layered to the set of factors according to analytic hierarchy process (AHP), often
Layer has several evaluation indexes, establishes distribution network reliability influence element assessment index system, and construction lower layer evaluation index is opposite
The judgment matrix of upper layer evaluation index completes Mode of Level Simple Sequence, total hierarchial sorting and consistency desired result, acquires every layer of evaluation index
In each index weight, using Fuzzy Comprehensive Method to distribution network reliability influence factor carry out overall assessment, and then really
Determine the correlation degree between power supply reliability and each influence factor, guidance is provided for distribution network planning.
Distribution network reliability is destroyed, is set by several factors joint effect, such as grid structure, natural environment, external force
Standby equipment, power distribution automation level, management level factor etc., it is difficult to directly give the pass of influence factor and reliability index
Connection degree accurate Analysis model, therefore there is ambiguity.So present invention introduces fuzzy processing method, fuzzy synthetic method is utilized
It determines the correlation degree between power supply reliability and each influence factor, that is, determines the weight of each reliability effect factor.Pass through structure
Multilevel iudge matrix is made, Mode of Level Simple Sequence and total sequence are completed, it is final to determine indices power then by consistency check
Weight.Simultaneously on this basis, fuzzy marking is carried out to each single index, finally obtains the overall merit to distribution network reliability.
Description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is that a kind of flow of distribution network reliability analysis of Influential Factors method based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Method of the present invention is shown
It is intended to, Fig. 2 is the hierarchical chart that analytic hierarchy process (AHP) seeks weight.
A kind of distribution network reliability analysis of Influential Factors method based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Method of the present invention includes the following steps:
S1 determines the principal element collection for influencing distribution network reliability;
The principal element collection of influence distribution network reliability described in this step includes:External factor and internal factor, if
For set A.
S2 is layered the set of factors according to AHP methods, and every layer has several evaluation indexes, establishes distribution network reliability
Influence element assessment index system;
In this step, the content includes:Set of factors A is layered, i.e. A={ A1、A2}={ external factor, it is internal because
Element }, the external factor A1={A11、A12}={ natural environment, external force are destroyed };The internal factor A2={A21、A22、A23、A24}=
{ grid structure, equipment equipment, power distribution automation level, management level }, if each sub- factor after layering represents this layer
Dry evaluation index.
S3, construction lower layer's evaluation index complete Mode of Level Simple Sequence, level is always arranged with respect to the judgment matrix of upper layer evaluation index
Sequence and consistency desired result acquire the weight of each index in every layer of evaluation index;
In this step, the content includes:
(1)Since rule layer, judgment matrix of the structure lower layer's evaluation index with respect to upper layer evaluation index.Judgment matrix can define
For:
(1)
In formulaThe judgment value that i elements are relatively obtained with j elements in this layer of evaluation index is represented,For of this layer of evaluation index
Number, i.e. judgment matrixExponent number.
(2)To each judgment matrixCalculate Maximum characteristic rootAnd its corresponding feature vector, this feature vector are exactly
The single sequence of importance of each factor of evaluation, that is to say weight vector, be through normalizing postscript, i.e.,,。
WhereinFor the number of this layer of evaluation index,For the weight vector of rule layer relative target layer,It is the opposite rule layer of solution layer
Weight vector.
(3)Consistency check is done to each judgment matrix, formula can be denoted as:
(2)
Wherein,For the maximum eigenvalue of judgment matrix, n is the dimension of judgment matrix;CI, RI be respectively coincident indicator and
Aver-age Random Consistency Index, RI are known constant.If CR < 0.1, it is believed that the consistency of judgment matrix can receive, if
CR < 0.1 are unsatisfactory for, then need the value of adjustment judgment matrix element, until with satisfied consistency.
(4)According to single rank order filtering result of calculation, the weight vector of numerical procedure layer relative target layer always to sort is calculated as
Vectorial B is used in combination total sequence consistency ratio CR to be verified.
(3)
(4)
Wherein,For the weighted value of n-th of factor in rule layer,、Respectively solution layer is single to the level of rule layer
The coincident indicator and Aver-age Random Consistency Index of sequence, as CR < 0.1, it is believed that total hierarchial sorting the result is that satisfied.
S3 carries out overall assessment to distribution network reliability influence factor using Field Using Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment, and then determines
Correlation degree between power supply reliability and each influence factor;
In this step, the content includes:
1)Establish set of factors,For the sub- set of factors of set of factors A, sub- set of factorsThere are several to comment
Valence index, i.e.,, sub- set of factors is acquired according to S3 stepsTo the weighing factor of A, indexAntithetical phrase because
Element collectionWeighing factor。
2)To each evaluation indexIt is divided into m evaluation approach, i.e.,, each grade can correspond to one
A fuzzy subset, specific grade can be described according to evaluation content with language appropriate.
3)It, be one by one to each index in set of factors after constructing grade fuzzy subsetThe amount of progress
Change, that is, determines degree of membership of the object to each grade fuzzy subset of being appraised things through discussion from the point of view of single index, and then obtain fuzzy relation
Matrix R.
(5)
Wherein,It indicates from factorFrom the point of view of pairThe degree of membership of grade fuzzy subset.
4)In fuzzy overall evaluation, the weight vector of factor of evaluation is determined according to above-mentioned analytic hierarchy process (AHP):。
5)It will using suitable operatorWith each object of being appraised things through discussionIt is synthesized, obtains the fuzzy synthesis of each object of being appraised things through discussion
Evaluation result vector.I.e.:
(6)
WhereinBe byWith?What column operations obtained, its object that indicates to be appraised things through discussion is seen pair on the wholeGrade fuzzy subset
Subjection degree.
Determine the evaluation approach belonging to power supply reliability influence factor, that is, provide the final of power supply reliability influence factor
Score, and then determine evaluation result.
The embodiments of the present invention described above are not intended to limit the scope of the present invention.It is any in the present invention
Spirit and principle within made by modifications, equivalent substitutions and improvements etc., should be included in the claim protection model of the present invention
It encloses.
Claims (3)
1. a kind of distribution network reliability analysis of Influential Factors method based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Method, which is characterized in that including following step
Suddenly:
Determining influences the principal element collection of distribution network reliability, is layered to the set of factors according to analytic hierarchy process (AHP), often
Layer has several evaluation indexes, establishes distribution network reliability influence element assessment index system, and construction lower layer evaluation index is opposite
The judgment matrix of upper layer evaluation index completes Mode of Level Simple Sequence, total hierarchial sorting and consistency desired result, acquires every layer of evaluation index
In each index weight, using Fuzzy Comprehensive Method to distribution network reliability influence factor carry out overall assessment, and then really
Determine the correlation degree between power supply reliability and each influence factor, guidance is provided for distribution network planning.
2. a kind of distribution network reliability analysis of Influential Factors method based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Method as described in claim 1, special
Sign is, determines that the principal element collection for influencing distribution network reliability includes:External factor and internal factor are set as set A.
3. a kind of distribution network reliability analysis of Influential Factors method based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Method as described in claim 1, special
Sign is, is layered to the set of factors according to analytic hierarchy process (AHP), every layer has several evaluation indexes, establishes distribution network reliability
The step of influence element assessment index system includes:Set of factors A is layered, i.e. A={ A1、A2}={ external factor, it is internal because
Element }, the external factor A1={A11、A12}={ natural environment, external force are destroyed };The internal factor A2={A21、A22、A23、A24}=
{ grid structure, equipment equipment, power distribution automation level, management level }, if each sub- factor after layering represents this layer
Dry evaluation index.
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Cited By (5)
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CN109784620A (en) * | 2018-12-06 | 2019-05-21 | 天津大学 | Pipe scale based on analytic hierarchy process (AHP) adsorbs impact of heavy metals factors quantization evaluation method |
CN110244255A (en) * | 2019-07-01 | 2019-09-17 | 国网重庆市电力公司电力科学研究院 | Intelligent electric energy meter Reliability Synthesis evaluation method and device based on step analysis |
CN111563682A (en) * | 2020-05-07 | 2020-08-21 | 贵州电网有限责任公司 | Test evaluation method for distribution automation equipment |
CN112001624A (en) * | 2020-08-21 | 2020-11-27 | 西安西拓电气股份有限公司 | Power supply reliability assessment method, device, equipment and storage medium for power distribution room |
CN113269390A (en) * | 2021-03-31 | 2021-08-17 | 国网山西省电力公司吕梁供电公司 | High-reliability power supply area distribution network planning effect comprehensive evaluation method |
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CN109784620A (en) * | 2018-12-06 | 2019-05-21 | 天津大学 | Pipe scale based on analytic hierarchy process (AHP) adsorbs impact of heavy metals factors quantization evaluation method |
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CN113269390A (en) * | 2021-03-31 | 2021-08-17 | 国网山西省电力公司吕梁供电公司 | High-reliability power supply area distribution network planning effect comprehensive evaluation method |
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