CN108629515A - A kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk real-time evaluation system - Google Patents
A kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk real-time evaluation system Download PDFInfo
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- CN108629515A CN108629515A CN201810426966.XA CN201810426966A CN108629515A CN 108629515 A CN108629515 A CN 108629515A CN 201810426966 A CN201810426966 A CN 201810426966A CN 108629515 A CN108629515 A CN 108629515A
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
- G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
- G06Q10/0635—Risk analysis of enterprise or organisation activities
Abstract
The present invention relates to a kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk real-time evaluation systems, belong to roads and tunnels traffic Risk-warning field.The system includes system management module, risk source and disease knowledge base management module, risk Dynamic Recognition management module, real-time data acquisition management module and Risk-warning and displaying management module.The present invention is by the way that Monte Carlo Method, Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation and neural network method to be combined, and data collection and analysis is carried out to roads and tunnels complex environment data and traffic data, and military service roads and tunnels risk is assessed by roads and tunnels risk model in real time, dangerous generation, the reduction people life property loss of high degree are prevented in time.
Description
Technical field
The invention belongs to roads and tunnels traffic Risk-warning field, be related to a kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk and assess in real time be
System.
Background technology
Roads and tunnels military service risk real-time evaluation system is mainly used for adopting all kinds of basic datas of roads and tunnels in real time
Collection, and for the complicated external environment and traffic characteristic residing for roads and tunnels, using real-time assessment technology as means, in magnanimity, more
On the basis of first isomeric data fusion and intelligent association, in conjunction with risk evaluation model, forms roads and tunnels military service risk and comment in real time
Estimate system, to play the role of Risk-warning, avoids that traffic accident occurs, reduce property loss.
Current roads and tunnels military service risk evaluating system mainly carries out road by the method for quantitative analysis, scenario analysis
Risk analysis of tunnel, there are influence factors to consider that not comprehensive enough and system, risk assessment are ineffective.
Invention content
In view of this, the purpose of the present invention is to provide a kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk real-time evaluation system, wind is played
Dangerous forewarning function avoids that traffic accident occurs, reduces property loss.
In order to achieve the above objectives, the present invention provides the following technical solutions：
A kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk real-time evaluation system, by acquiring roads and tunnels complex environment data and friendship in real time
Logical characteristic etc., and the gathered data input real-time assessment models of risk are exported into risk evaluation result in real time, to being on active service
Roads and tunnels risk carries out realizing real-time assessment；
The system includes system management module, risk source and disease knowledge base management module, risk Dynamic Recognition management mould
Block, real-time data acquisition management module and Risk-warning and displaying management module；
The system management module is mainly used for each user and its permission logged in management system；
The risk source and disease knowledge base management module be used for in system risk danger source identification module and tunnel calamity/
The management of disease base module includes typing, deletion, modification and the classification etc. of dangerous source/disease data；
The risk Dynamic Recognition management module is for the real-time assessment models of risk, assessment information database, risk source number
According to the management in library；
The real-time data acquisition management module is used for the acquisition and analysis of roads and tunnels real time data；
The early warning and displaying for roads and tunnels risk of the Risk-warning and display module act on, wherein display module
Using GIS display platforms.
Further, the roads and tunnels real time data of the acquisition includes the roads and tunnels traffic shape of third party's map platform
It is state, meteorological data, the environment of tunnel way and traffic assessment real time information (such as CO/VI, wind speed and direction, vehicle flowrate), single
Vehicle real time data (such as speed enters hole time, the time of appearing) and roads and tunnels structured data are (based on video image analysis
Apparent damage assessment) etc..
Further, the real-time assessment models of the risk are number with " people-vehicle-is with-ring " system safety and risk assessment theory
According to analysis foundation, and for the complicated external environment and traffic characteristic residing for roads and tunnels, using real-time assessment technology as means,
On the basis of magnanimity, the fusion of polynary isomeric data and intelligent association, existing laws and regulations, management system, supervisor are considered
Structure configures and risk bears the indexs such as level, and integrated use Monte Carlo Method, Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation and neural network method
Establish the real-time assessment models of roads and tunnels risk；
Further, the process of establishing of the real-time assessment models of roads and tunnels risk specifically includes：
1) Monte Carlo Method is used, the traffic data of the magnanimity of acquisition and polynary isomery is established into probability stochastic model；
2) each risk factors are converted to a quantitative overall risk by Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation to evaluate；
3) the real-time assessment models of roads and tunnels risk are established by neural network method, to realize that roads and tunnels risk is real
When assess.
Further, the real-time assessment models of the risk are using roads and tunnels real time data as mode input, and data are via mould
Type processing, and the risk for exporting present road tunnel is assessed in real time, and arrived risk evaluation result real-time display using GIS technology
In system platform.
The beneficial effects of the present invention are：The present invention can assess roads and tunnels complex environment data and traffic number in real time
According to, and military service roads and tunnels risk is assessed in real time in conjunction with roads and tunnels risk model, prevent danger in time, high degree
Reduce people life property loss.
Description of the drawings
In order to keep the purpose of the present invention, technical solution and advantageous effect clearer, the present invention provides following attached drawing and carries out
Explanation：
Fig. 1 is risk real-time evaluation system block schematic illustration of the present invention；
Fig. 2 is the real-time assessment models structure chart of risk of the present invention.
Specific implementation mode
Below in conjunction with attached drawing, the preferred embodiment of the present invention is described in detail.
As shown in Figure 1, roads and tunnels military service risk real-time evaluation system, includes mainly functionally system administration, risk
Source and disease knowledge base management, the management of risk Dynamic Recognition, real-time data acquisition management, Risk-warning and display module management.
In specific implementation, system management module is mainly used for each role (permission) logged in management system, system
The each user logged in is managed；Risk source and disease knowledge base management module are mainly used for the risk danger in system platform
Source recognizes the management that module and city tunnel calamity (disease) do harm to base module, including dangerous source/disease data typing, delete, repair
Change, classify, to establish risk source data library；Risk source Dynamic Recognition management module is mainly used for risk identification model, comments
Estimate the management of information database, risk source data library；Real-time data acquisition management module is mainly used for road tunnel real time data
Acquisition and analysis；Risk-warning and display module are mainly used for early warning and the displaying effect of roads and tunnels risk.
The roads and tunnels military service risk real-time evaluation system of the present invention includes mainly functionally roads and tunnels complex environment
Data and traffic characteristic real time data acquisition, risk evaluation model, system by acquiring roads and tunnels complex environment data in real time
With traffic characteristic data etc., and gathered data input risk evaluation model is exported into risk evaluation result in real time, to realize reality
When assess military service roads and tunnels risk function.
As shown in Fig. 2, roads and tunnels military service risk real-time evaluation system, includes acquisition, the wind of roads and tunnels real time data
Danger assessment models data analysis in real time and GIS display platforms, the acquisition of wherein roads and tunnels real time data includes third party's map
The roads and tunnels traffic behavior of platform, meteorological data, the environmental data of tunnel way and traffic assessment real time information (such as CO/VI,
Wind speed and direction, vehicle flowrate etc.), single car real time data (such as speed enters hole time, the time of appearing), roads and tunnels structure
Data (the apparent damage assessment based on video image analysis) etc.；The real-time assessment models of risk are pacified with " people-vehicle-is with-ring " system
Complete and risk assessment theory is data analysis basis, and is directed to complicated external environment and traffic characteristic residing for roads and tunnels, with
Real-time assessment technology is means, on the basis of magnanimity, the fusion of polynary isomeric data and intelligent association, considers existing law
Regulation, management system, management organization's configuration, risk bear the indexs such as level, and integrated use Monte Carlo Method, fuzzy synthesis are commented
Estimate method, neural network method establishes the real-time assessment models of roads and tunnels risk, wherein Monte Carlo Method is mainly used for acquiring
Magnanimity, polynary isomery traffic data establish probability stochastic model, and each risk factors are turned by Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation
A quantitative overall risk evaluation is turned to, then the real-time assessment models of roads and tunnels risk are established by neural network method, from
And realize roads and tunnels risk and assess in real time, the real-time assessment models of risk using roads and tunnels real time data as mode input,
Data are via model treatment, and the risk for exporting present road tunnel is assessed in real time, and utilize GIS technology by risk evaluation result
In real-time display to system platform, it can effectively help roads and tunnels operation management personnel that risk is conveniently accurately positioned
Position and understanding risk situation.
Finally illustrate, preferred embodiment above is merely illustrative of the technical solution of the present invention and unrestricted, although logical
It crosses above preferred embodiment the present invention is described in detail, however, those skilled in the art should understand that, can be
Various changes are made to it in form and in details, without departing from claims of the present invention limited range.
Claims (5)
1. a kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk real-time evaluation system, it is characterised in that：By acquiring roads and tunnels complexity ring in real time
Border data and traffic characteristic data, and the gathered data input real-time assessment models of risk are exported into risk evaluation result in real time, from
And military service roads and tunnels risk is carried out realizing real-time assessment；
The system includes system management module, risk source and disease knowledge base management module, risk Dynamic Recognition management module, reality
When data capture management module and Risk-warning and displaying management module；
The system management module is mainly used for each user and its permission logged in management system；
The risk source and disease knowledge base management module are used for the risk danger source identification module and tunnel calamity/disease in system
The management of base module includes typing, deletion, modification and the classification of dangerous source/disease data；
The risk Dynamic Recognition management module is for the real-time assessment models of risk, assessment information database, risk source data library
Management；
The real-time data acquisition management module is used for the acquisition and analysis of roads and tunnels real time data；
The early warning and displaying for roads and tunnels risk of the Risk-warning and display module act on, and wherein display module uses
GIS display platforms.
2. a kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk real-time evaluation system according to claim 1, it is characterised in that：The acquisition
Roads and tunnels real time data include the roads and tunnels traffic behavior of third party's map platform, meteorological data, tunnel way ring
Border and traffic assessment real time information, single car real time data and roads and tunnels structured data.
3. a kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk real-time evaluation system according to claim 1, it is characterised in that：The risk
Real-time assessment models are directed to road tunnel using " people-vehicle-is with-ring " system safety and risk assessment theory as data analysis basis
Complicated external environment residing for road and traffic characteristic, using real-time assessment technology as means, magnanimity, polynary isomeric data fusion and
On the basis of intelligent association, considers existing laws and regulations, management system, management organization's configuration and risk and bear level, and
Integrated use Monte Carlo Method, Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation and neural network method establish the real-time assessment models of roads and tunnels risk.
4. a kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk real-time evaluation system according to claim 3, it is characterised in that：The road
The process of establishing of the real-time assessment models of tunnel risk specifically includes：
1) Monte Carlo Method is used, the traffic data of the magnanimity of acquisition and polynary isomery is established into probability stochastic model；
2) each risk factors are converted to a quantitative overall risk by Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation to evaluate；
3) the real-time assessment models of roads and tunnels risk are established by neural network method, to realize that roads and tunnels risk is commented in real time
Estimate.
5. a kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk real-time evaluation system according to claim 1, it is characterised in that：The risk
For real-time assessment models using roads and tunnels real time data as mode input, data export present road tunnel via model treatment
The risk in road is assessed in real time, and will be in risk evaluation result real-time display to system platform using GIS technology.
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| CN201810426966.XA CN108629515A (en) | 2018-05-07 | 2018-05-07 | A kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk real-time evaluation system |
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| CN201810426966.XA CN108629515A (en) | 2018-05-07 | 2018-05-07 | A kind of roads and tunnels traffic risk real-time evaluation system |
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Cited By (4)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN111680897A (en) * | 2020-05-27 | 2020-09-18 | 公安部道路交通安全研究中心 | Service management and control method, device and system and computer readable storage medium |
| CN112633722A (en) * | 2020-12-29 | 2021-04-09 | 交通运输部公路科学研究所 | Vehicle-mounted road safety risk assessment system and method |
| CN114842648A (en) * | 2022-06-28 | 2022-08-02 | 山东金宇信息科技集团有限公司 | Tunnel operation state early warning method, device and medium based on traffic flow |
| CN116597680A (en) * | 2023-03-28 | 2023-08-15 | 北京知藏云道科技有限公司 | Line feasibility prediction system based on data analysis |
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| CN101872382A (en) * | 2009-04-21 | 2010-10-27 | 同济大学 | Dynamic detection method of operation safety condition of road tunnel |
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Cited By (6)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN111680897A (en) * | 2020-05-27 | 2020-09-18 | 公安部道路交通安全研究中心 | Service management and control method, device and system and computer readable storage medium |
| CN112633722A (en) * | 2020-12-29 | 2021-04-09 | 交通运输部公路科学研究所 | Vehicle-mounted road safety risk assessment system and method |
| CN112633722B (en) * | 2020-12-29 | 2024-01-12 | 交通运输部公路科学研究所 | Vehicle-mounted road safety risk assessment system and method |
| CN114842648A (en) * | 2022-06-28 | 2022-08-02 | 山东金宇信息科技集团有限公司 | Tunnel operation state early warning method, device and medium based on traffic flow |
| CN114842648B (en) * | 2022-06-28 | 2022-10-21 | 山东金宇信息科技集团有限公司 | Tunnel operation state early warning method, device and medium based on traffic flow |
| CN116597680A (en) * | 2023-03-28 | 2023-08-15 | 北京知藏云道科技有限公司 | Line feasibility prediction system based on data analysis |
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Application publication date: 20181009 |
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