CN108615191A - A kind of credit line intelligent evaluation method - Google Patents

A kind of credit line intelligent evaluation method Download PDF

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CN108615191A
CN108615191A CN201810415598.9A CN201810415598A CN108615191A CN 108615191 A CN108615191 A CN 108615191A CN 201810415598 A CN201810415598 A CN 201810415598A CN 108615191 A CN108615191 A CN 108615191A
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credit
data
value
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杨胜刚
陈佐
赵寒枫
陈邦道
梅雪松
余湘军
李浩之
王芍
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Hunan Huda Jinke Technology Development Co ltd
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Abstract

The present invention discloses a kind of credit line intelligent evaluation method, and step includes:S1., user is normally fulfiled to the probability of happening of agreement as initial credit score value, and using the model of user credit data training probability, obtains initial credit Rating Model;S2. the credit data for obtaining user to be assessed scores to the credit data of acquisition using initial credit Rating Model, obtains initial credit score value;S3. initial credit score value is input in the probability distribution relationship between the credit scoring value built in advance according to probability density characteristics and line of credit angle value, the line of credit angle value of user to be assessed is calculated.The present invention has many advantages, such as the intelligent evaluation that implementation method is simple, can realize credit line, and assesses efficiency and precision height, using flexible.

Description

A kind of credit line intelligent evaluation method
Technical field
The present invention relates to credit evaluation technical field more particularly to a kind of credit line intelligent evaluation methods.
Background technology
Credit rating refers to paying one's debts this in full amount as scheduled to debtor by independent third party's credit rating intermediary The ability and wish of breath are evaluated, and the severity of simple grading symbolic indication its default risk and loss, broad sense is used in combination Credit rating refer to then that the overall assessment of related contract and the economic ability and wish promised to undertake is fulfiled to grading object.Credit machine When structure receives customers' credit application, the characteristic variable in the application form submitted using client is established Rating Model and obtains applicant's One credit value judges the overdue possibility of the borrower, to decide whether by the value compared with the standard value being previously set Credit and the accrediting amount are granted, such credit scoring is to apply for scoring.The methods of marking Main Basiss of application scoring are client Personal information is broadly divided into four parts:First, personal essential information, the mainly name including client, working condition, inhabitation Address, education degree etc.;Second is that personal transaction record, mainly a situation arises for the business of client and financial institution;Third, visitor The personal credit history at family, it is mainly personal from financial institution loan situation, situation of repaying the loan etc.;Fourth, open record feelings The open judgement or bankruptcy situation etc. of condition, mainly law court about client.After obtaining personal credit information, credit mechanism is logical It crosses and establishes personal credit Rating Model and obtain the credit scoring of client, credit scoring shows the corresponding credit grade of client, and Credit mechanism then gives the different accrediting amount of client according to this credit scoring.
It is assessed for credit line, is all usually at present that the maximum simply born according to historical experience and enterprise is put Amount is borrowed, a set of amount is established and corresponds to table, be simple linear distribution characteristic between scoring and amount, i.e., as scoring is high It is low, correspond to corresponding lending amount according to a certain percentage.Such credit line assessment mode is realized simply, but assessment performance Difference, and flexibility is not strong, when amount is changed, needs to readjust the entire corresponding table of amount scoring, if amount needs frequency Numerous adjustment can then greatly increase the complexity that assessment is realized, reduce assessment efficiency.
To solve the above problems, have practitioner propose using data digging method realize credit line assess, i.e., according to The credit amount that past debt-credit data are marked, it is final according to quasi- using complicated machine learning algorithm into the fitting of line function The function of conjunction carries out amount assessment.But such method realizes complexity, needs using complicated machine learning algorithm, such as nerve Network algorithm realization is extremely complex, and a large amount of data is needed to provide training, after updating the data every time, is required for regenerating Model, data processing amount is big, and the tuning of parameter is also very cumbersome, and the efficiency of entire evaluation process is low, of high cost, for real-time It is required that high occasion, such method is simultaneously not suitable for.
Invention content
The technical problem to be solved in the present invention is that:For technical problem of the existing technology, the present invention provides one Kind implementation method is simple, can realize the intelligent evaluation of credit line, and assesses efficiency and precision height, using flexible line of credit Spend intelligent evaluation method.
In order to solve the above technical problems, technical solution proposed by the present invention is:
A kind of credit line intelligent evaluation method, step include:
S1., user is normally fulfiled to the probability of happening p of agreement as initial credit score value, and uses user credit data The model of training Probability p, obtains initial credit Rating Model;
S2. the credit data for obtaining user to be assessed, using the initial credit Rating Model to the credit data of acquisition It scores, obtains initial credit score value;
S3., the initial credit score value is input to the credit scoring value built in advance according to probability density characteristics and letter With the line of credit angle value that user to be assessed in the distribution relation between amount value, is calculated.
As a further improvement on the present invention:The mould of Logic Regression Models training Probability p is specifically based in the step S1 Type obtains initial credit Rating Model.
As a further improvement on the present invention, the step S1 the specific steps are:
S11. it obtains original user credit data and carries out data prediction, data after output pretreatment;
S12. discretization data in data after the pretreatment are subjected to numeralization processing, with use numerical identity items from The attribute of dispersion data, obtains numeric type data;
S13. logic-based regression model is trained the obtained numeric type data, obtains logic-based and returns mould The initial credit Rating Model of type.
As a further improvement on the present invention:When carrying out data prediction in the step S11, specifically search described original Missing values, redundancy value and exceptional value in user credit data, and the missing values found are subjected to Lagrange's interpolation Processing, and the redundancy value found, exceptional value are subjected to delete processing.
As a further improvement on the present invention:Discretization data carry out numerical value in data after the step S12 will be pre-processed When changing processing, the data with incremental relationship type are specifically used into incremental numerical identity, without the data difference for being incremented by relationship type Multiple attributes are added, each attribute is identified using numerical value.
As a further improvement on the present invention, when the logic-based regression model builds the credit scoring model, tool Body first does a logical transition to p:
A logical transition first specifically is done to p:
L=β01x1ixi++βnxnTx
Wherein, i represents each attribute, and β is the weight coefficient of each attribute, xiFor the value under the attribute, β=(β01,, βin)T, x=(x0,x1,,xi,xn)T
The function model that final structure obtains p is:
The function model of the p obtained by above-mentioned structure is compressed to predicted value is exported between [0,1].
As a further improvement on the present invention, the step S2 the specific steps are:
S21. the original credit data for obtaining user to be assessed carries out data prediction, data after output pretreatment;
S22. data after pretreatment that the step S21 is obtained are subjected to numeralization processing, to use numerical identity every The attribute of discretization data, obtains numeric type data;
S23. the obtained numeric type datas of the step S22 are input in the initial credit Rating Model, are obtained just Beginning credit scoring value.
As a further improvement on the present invention, the probability distribution relationship between the credit scoring value and line of credit angle value is Normal distribution or t distributions, and meet:
Wherein, P is credit scoring value, and Q is line of credit angle value, and f (Q) is probability-distribution function.
As a further improvement on the present invention, further include pre-establishing credit scoring value and credit line in the step S3 Mapping table between value calculates to after the line of credit angle value, corresponding credit is found out from the mapping table Score value obtains the final credit scoring value output of user to be assessed.
Compared with the prior art, the advantages of the present invention are as follows:
1) credit line intelligent evaluation method of the present invention is first building user just using the probability density characteristics of lend-borrow action The model for often fulfiling the probability of happening of agreement carries out initial score using the model of structure to user, and obtained initial credit is commented Score value is probability value, and corresponding line of credit angle value can be calculated by being based on distribution character by the probability value, and appraisal procedure is simple, nothing Complicated calculating process is needed, quick credit line assessment may be implemented, and take full advantage of the credit line point of lend-borrow action Cloth characteristic indicates the relationship between amount and scoring using simple linear model compared to tradition, can effectively improve amount Assessment performance, and application is flexible.
2) credit line intelligent evaluation method of the present invention further utilizes the probability density characteristics of lend-borrow action, by credit Distribution relation between score value and line of credit angle value is equivalent to certain probability-distribution function, can accurate characterization credit scoring with Distribution relation between credit line, to realize accurate credit line assessment, and can be in maximum based on probability density characteristics Bear adjust automatically parameter within the scope of lending.
3) credit line intelligent evaluation method of the present invention is based further on Logic Regression Models structure credit scoring model, Model output value is the probability value of numeric type, thus correspondence, base can be just formed with the probability-distribution function of credit line It also maps within arbitrary required scoring section in probability value, while can be well solved using Logic Regression Models Nonlinear problem between dependent variable and explanatory variable, and the speed to score is fast, efficient, after the completion of algorithm training, directly makes Credit scoring can be carried out to new user, can further increase the precision and effect of credit scoring with the weight parameter of generation Rate.
Description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is the implementation process schematic diagram of the present embodiment credit line intelligent evaluation method.
Fig. 2 is the probability-distribution function distribution curve schematic diagram of credit line in the present embodiment.
Fig. 3 is the implementation process schematic diagram that initial credit score value is calculated in the present embodiment.
Specific implementation mode
Below in conjunction with Figure of description and specific preferred embodiment, the invention will be further described, but not therefore and It limits the scope of the invention.
As shown in Figure 1, the present embodiment credit line intelligent evaluation method, step include:
S1., user is normally fulfiled to the probability of happening p of agreement as initial credit score value, and uses user credit data The model of training Probability p, obtains initial credit Rating Model;
S2. the credit data for obtaining user to be assessed carries out the credit data of acquisition using initial credit Rating Model Scoring, obtains initial credit score value;
S3., initial credit score value is input to the credit scoring value and line of credit built in advance according to probability density characteristics In distribution relation between angle value, the line of credit angle value of user to be assessed is calculated.
It is independent of each other between the lend-borrow action data of each user, there is certain probability density characteristics, this implementation Example utilizes the probability density characteristics of lend-borrow action, first builds the model that user normally fulfils the probability of happening p of agreement, uses structure Model initial score is carried out to user, obtained initial credit score value is probability value, and it is special to be based on distribution by the probability value Property can calculate corresponding line of credit angle value, appraisal procedure is simple, and without complicated calculating process, quick credit may be implemented Amount is assessed, and takes full advantage of the credit line distribution character of lend-borrow action, and simple linear model is used compared to tradition It indicates the relationship between amount and scoring, can effectively improve amount assessment performance and application is flexible.
Distribution relation between the credit scoring value built in the present embodiment and line of credit angle value is certain probability distribution.If A certain event generation is influenced by many mutually independent enchancement factors, when influencing very small caused by each factor, always Influence be considered in all respects as obeying corresponding probability distribution relationship, and for the lend-borrow action of user, the debt-credit row of each user Be independent of each other between data, and between the influence that generates it is very small, you can probability distribution relationship should be obeyed, such as just State distribution, Student distributions etc., as described in Figure 2, the probability density function f (Q) of distribution indicate that Q occurs under certain conditions Probability value, this probability value is within [0,1] section;The probability of happening that user breaks a contract is denoted as 0 by the present embodiment, is normally kept one's word and is abided by The loaning bill behavior probability for following treaty fixed is denoted as 1, wherein 1 probability occurred is denoted as p, p ∈ (0,1) indicate that user to be assessed normally carries out The probability of happening of row agreement is p, and the probability that user's promise breaking occurs is 1-p, the interval range of probability density function f (Q) and Probability p Unanimously.
The present embodiment utilizes the probability density characteristics of lend-borrow action, can be between accurate characterization credit scoring and credit line Distribution relation, to realize the assessment of accurate credit line, and lending range can be born in maximum based on probability density characteristics Interior adjust automatically parameter.
In the present embodiment, it is specifically based on the model of logic (Logistic) regression model training Probability p in step S1, obtains Initial credit Rating Model.Logistic regression analyses are a kind of recurrence point solving nonlinear problem with linear regression model (LRM) Analysis method, the present embodiment logic-based regression model build credit scoring model, and model output value is the probability value of numeric type, because And correspondence can be just formed with the probability-distribution function of credit line, it is also mapped to based on probability value arbitrary required Within scoring section, while Logic Regression Models directly react the credit of user using the Default Probability of borrower as dependent variable Value will filter out with the relevant ATTRIBUTE INDEX of user credit as explanatory variable, can well solve dependent variable and explain Nonlinear problem between variable, and the speed to score is fast, efficient, after the completion of algorithm training, directly using the weight generated Parameter can carry out credit scoring to new user, can further increase the precision and efficiency of credit scoring.
As shown in figure 3, in the present embodiment step S1 the specific steps are:
S11. it obtains original user credit data and carries out data prediction, data after output pretreatment;
S12. discretization data in data after pretreatment are subjected to numeralization processing, to use numerical identity items discretization The attribute of data, obtains numeric type data;
S13. logic-based regression model is trained obtained numeric type data, obtains logic-based regression model Initial credit Rating Model.
When carrying out data prediction in the present embodiment, in step S11, it is specific search original user credit data (including with All kinds of credit datas such as essential information, the transaction record information at family) in missing values (i.e. vacancy value), redundancy value and exceptional value, And the missing values found are subjected to Lagrange's interpolation processing, the redundancy value found, exceptional value are subjected to delete processing.I.e. Data prediction includes redundancy value processing:The data repeated or invalid data are deleted;Missing values are handled:It will lack Mistake value (vacancy value) carries out the bright difference of controlling of glug and handles;Outlier processing:It is more than preset range or bright by the attribute of some data The aobvious data more than cognitive range are deleted, such as the user that the age is 150 years old.
Since the input data of Logic Regression Models need to be the data of numeric type, after the present embodiment step S12 will be pre-processed When discretization data carry out numeralization processing in data, the data with incremental relationship type are specifically used into incremental numerical value mark Know, such as academic type data, the primary school of user, junior middle school, senior middle school and university's attribute can be waited mark using incremental value 0,1,2,3 Know;Multiple attributes are added respectively without the data for being incremented by relationship type, and each attribute is identified using numerical value, such as video, the registered permanent residence, electricity Words, identity card, certification type etc. are added to multiple attributes respectively, and each attribute-bit is 0,1, that is, uses (0,1) to identify whether Video verification uses (0,1) to identify whether registered permanent residence verification etc..Logic Regression Models can be used to carry out after the completion of numeralization processing Training, to obtain logistic regression credit scoring model.
In the present embodiment, when logic-based regression model builds the credit scoring model, a logic first specifically is done to p Conversion:
L=β01x1ixi++βnxnTx (1)
Wherein, i represents each attribute, and β is the weight coefficient of each attribute, xiFor the value under the attribute, β=(β01,, βin)T, x=(x0,x1,,xi,xn)T
The function model that final structure obtains p is:
The function model of the p obtained by above-mentioned structure is compressed to predicted value is exported between [0,1].
Since the probability of happening that borrower normally fulfils agreement is p, then the probability that borrower's promise breaking occurs is 1-p, then The Probability p that borrower normally fulfils agreement just becomes the object studied in model, and Logistic regression analyses are not directly to general Rate p establishes model, but does a logical transition to p, converts as described in above-mentioned formula (1), by formula (1) can be seen that L ∈ (- ∞, + ∞) andTherefore the linear regression as shown in above formula (2) can be carried out to L, final structure obtains the function of p Shown in for example above-mentioned formula (3) of model, which can effectively ensure p ∈ (0,1), and the credit value p of borrower is with set of variables The variation of conjunction value and consecutive variations, the credit rating that p tends to 1 expression borrower are higher, it is on the contrary then the Default Probability of borrower is higher.
In the present embodiment, step S2 the specific steps are:
S21. the original credit data for obtaining user to be assessed carries out data prediction, data after output pretreatment;
S22. data carry out numeralization processing after pretreatment step S21 obtained, to use numerical identity items discrete The attribute for changing data, obtains numeric type data;
S23. the obtained numeric type datas of step S22 are input in initial credit Rating Model, obtain initial credit and comments Score value.
When needing to carry out credit line assessment to new user, the original credit data for obtaining user to be assessed carries out data Pretreatment, line number of going forward side by side value processing, data prediction and numeralization processing method as detailed above, numeralization processing after The numeric type data needed for Logic Regression Models is obtained, enters data into the initial credit Rating Model built in advance and carries out It calculates, by model output value as initial credit score value, which corresponds to the probability value of [0,1].
Further include the size for judging initial credit score value after the present embodiment step S2 obtains initial credit score value, with Judge whether to borrow or lend money, such as specifically using 0.5 as discrimination threshold, when initial credit score value p >=0.5, is then determined as borrower It can borrow or lend money, initial credit score value p<When 0.5, then it is determined as that borrower can not provide a loan.
In the present embodiment, the correspondence between credit scoring value and credit line is specially:
Wherein, P is initial credit score value, and Q is line of credit angle value and f (Q) is probability-distribution function, as shown in Figure 2.
After initial credit score value is calculated in step S2, corresponding credit line Q can be calculated by formula (4) Value.
Further include the correspondence pre-established between credit scoring value and line of credit angle value in the present embodiment, in step S3 Table calculates to after line of credit angle value, corresponding credit scoring value is found out from mapping table, it is final to obtain user to be assessed Credit scoring value output.
Above-mentioned only presently preferred embodiments of the present invention, is not intended to limit the present invention in any form.Although of the invention Disclosed above with preferred embodiment, however, it is not intended to limit the invention.Therefore, every without departing from technical solution of the present invention Content, technical spirit any simple modifications, equivalents, and modifications made to the above embodiment, should all fall according to the present invention In the range of technical solution of the present invention protection.

Claims (9)

1. a kind of credit line intelligent evaluation method, which is characterized in that step includes:
S1., user is normally fulfiled to the probability of happening p of agreement to train as initial credit score value, and using user credit data The model of Probability p obtains initial credit Rating Model;
S2. the credit data for obtaining user to be assessed carries out the credit data of acquisition using the initial credit Rating Model Scoring, obtains initial credit score value;
S3., the initial credit score value is input to the credit scoring value and line of credit built in advance according to probability density characteristics In probability distribution relationship between angle value, the line of credit angle value of user to be assessed is calculated.
2. credit line intelligent evaluation method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that:It is specifically based in the step S1 Logic Regression Models train the model of Probability p, obtain initial credit Rating Model.
3. credit line intelligent evaluation method according to claim 2, it is characterised in that:The specific steps of the step S1 For:
S11. it obtains original user credit data and carries out data prediction, data after output pretreatment;
S12. discretization data in data after the pretreatment are subjected to numeralization processing, to use numerical identity items discretization The attribute of data, obtains numeric type data;
S13. logic-based regression model is trained the obtained numeric type data, obtains logic-based regression model Initial credit Rating Model.
4. credit line intelligent evaluation method according to claim 3, it is characterised in that:Into line number in the step S11 It when Data preprocess, specifically searches missing values, redundancy value and exceptional value in the original user credit data, and will find The missing values carry out Lagrange's interpolation processing, and the redundancy value found, exceptional value are carried out delete processing.
5. credit line intelligent evaluation method according to claim 4, it is characterised in that:The step S12 will be pre-processed When discretization data carry out numeralization processing in data afterwards, the data with incremental relationship type are specifically used into incremental numerical value mark Know, adds multiple attributes respectively without the data for being incremented by relationship type, each attribute is identified using numerical value.
6. the credit line intelligent evaluation method according to any one of claim 2~5, which is characterized in that the base When Logic Regression Models build the credit scoring model, a logical transition first specifically is done to p:
L=β01x1ixi++βnxnTx
Wherein, i represents each attribute, and β is the weight coefficient of each attribute, xiFor the value under the attribute, β=(β01,,βin )T, x=(x0,x1,,xi,xn)T
The function model that final structure obtains p is:
The function model of the p obtained by above-mentioned structure is compressed to predicted value is exported between [0,1].
7. the credit line intelligent evaluation method according to any one of Claims 1 to 5, which is characterized in that the step Rapid S2 the specific steps are:
S21. the original credit data for obtaining user to be assessed carries out data prediction, data after output pretreatment;
S22. data after pretreatment that the step S21 is obtained are subjected to numeralization processing, to use numerical identity items discrete The attribute for changing data, obtains numeric type data;
S23. the obtained numeric type datas of the step S22 are input in the initial credit Rating Model, are initially believed Use score value.
8. the credit line intelligent evaluation method according to any one of Claims 1 to 5, which is characterized in that the letter It is normal distribution or Student distributions with the probability distribution relationship between score value and line of credit angle value, and meets:
Wherein, P is credit scoring value, and Q is line of credit angle value, and f (Q) is probability-distribution function.
9. credit line intelligent evaluation method according to claim 8, which is characterized in that further include pre- in the step S3 The mapping table first to build one's credit between score value and line of credit angle value is calculated to after the line of credit angle value, from described right It answers and finds out corresponding credit scoring value in relation table, obtain the final credit scoring value output of user to be assessed.
CN201810415598.9A 2018-05-03 2018-05-03 A kind of credit line intelligent evaluation method Pending CN108615191A (en)

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Cited By (7)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109767312A (en) * 2018-12-10 2019-05-17 江西师范大学 A kind of training of credit evaluation model, appraisal procedure and device
CN110060144A (en) * 2019-03-18 2019-07-26 平安科技(深圳)有限公司 Amount model training method, amount appraisal procedure, device, equipment and medium
CN110175910A (en) * 2019-05-31 2019-08-27 阿里巴巴集团控股有限公司 Handle the method, apparatus and electronic equipment of credit service request
CN111598677A (en) * 2020-07-24 2020-08-28 北京淇瑀信息科技有限公司 Resource quota determining method and device and electronic equipment
CN111899088A (en) * 2020-06-23 2020-11-06 四川新网银行股份有限公司 Accurate asset limit calculation method under high-concurrency data flow field scene
CN113177701A (en) * 2021-04-15 2021-07-27 国任财产保险股份有限公司 User credit assessment method and device
CN113487410A (en) * 2021-07-06 2021-10-08 建信金融科技有限责任公司 Credit granting management method and device, electronic equipment and computer readable medium

Cited By (10)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109767312A (en) * 2018-12-10 2019-05-17 江西师范大学 A kind of training of credit evaluation model, appraisal procedure and device
CN109767312B (en) * 2018-12-10 2023-05-09 江西师范大学 Credit evaluation model training and evaluation method and device
CN110060144A (en) * 2019-03-18 2019-07-26 平安科技(深圳)有限公司 Amount model training method, amount appraisal procedure, device, equipment and medium
CN110060144B (en) * 2019-03-18 2024-01-30 平安科技(深圳)有限公司 Method for training credit model, method, device, equipment and medium for evaluating credit
CN110175910A (en) * 2019-05-31 2019-08-27 阿里巴巴集团控股有限公司 Handle the method, apparatus and electronic equipment of credit service request
CN111899088A (en) * 2020-06-23 2020-11-06 四川新网银行股份有限公司 Accurate asset limit calculation method under high-concurrency data flow field scene
CN111899088B (en) * 2020-06-23 2023-04-18 四川新网银行股份有限公司 Accurate asset limit calculation method under high-concurrency data flow field scene
CN111598677A (en) * 2020-07-24 2020-08-28 北京淇瑀信息科技有限公司 Resource quota determining method and device and electronic equipment
CN113177701A (en) * 2021-04-15 2021-07-27 国任财产保险股份有限公司 User credit assessment method and device
CN113487410A (en) * 2021-07-06 2021-10-08 建信金融科技有限责任公司 Credit granting management method and device, electronic equipment and computer readable medium

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