CN108596467A - A kind of market operation mock trading analogue system suitable for sale of electricity company - Google Patents
A kind of market operation mock trading analogue system suitable for sale of electricity company Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The present invention discloses a kind of market operation mock trading analogue system suitable for sale of electricity company, including：File data management module, the file data for managing sale of electricity company；Sale of electricity Products management module, every service of goods for managing and safeguarding sale of electricity company；Power grid enterprises' policy management module, the respective services strategy for managing and safeguarding sale of electricity company；Electricity customers are lost in probability simulation module, and being lost in probability for the Electricity customers to sale of electricity company simulates, and obtains the first analog result；Main market players's growth modeling module is simulated for increasing to simulate and increase sale of electricity company to electricity consumption user, obtains the second analog result；Transaction results analog module, for according to file data, every service of goods, respective services strategy, the first analog result and the second analog result, the Electricity customers that sale of electricity transaction is participated in sale of electricity company to carry out the emulation of sale of electricity transaction.It can be seen that the present invention constructs the analogue system of sale of electricity houses market operation mock trading.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to electric power network technique fields, imitative more particularly to a kind of market operation mock trading suitable for sale of electricity company
True system.
Background technology
With the gradually evolution of future electrical energy market reform, will power grid enterprises be generated with far-reaching influence, the following power grid enterprise
Industry will face the risk of top-tier customer loss, market share reduction, income from sales reduction etc., simultaneously it is also possible to face
The risk of the traditional businesses such as meter reading, metering, the clearing marketization.With the popularization and evolution of domestic electrical system reform, non-commercially
The loss probability for changing top-tier customer is more apparent, and to reduce influence degree of the sale of electricity company relieving to power grid enterprises, science is evaded
Or the various risks that power grid enterprises will face are reduced, there is an urgent need for stations in power grid enterprises' level, and structure sale of electricity houses market runs mould
The analogue system of quasi- transaction.
Invention content
It is handed in order to solve the above technical problems, being simulated an embodiment of the present invention provides a kind of market operation suitable for sale of electricity company
Easy analogue system, to solve problems of the prior art, technical solution is as follows：
A kind of market operation mock trading analogue system suitable for sale of electricity company, including：
File data management module, the file data for managing the sale of electricity company, the file data includes user
Group's file data, sale of electricity company file data；
Sale of electricity Products management module, every service of goods for managing and safeguarding the sale of electricity company；
Power grid enterprises' policy management module, the respective services strategy for managing and safeguarding the sale of electricity company；
Electricity customers are lost in probability simulation module, and being lost in probability for the Electricity customers to the sale of electricity company carries out mould
It is quasi-, obtain the first analog result；
Main market players's growth modeling module carries out mould for increasing to simulate and increase sale of electricity company to electricity consumption user
It is quasi-, obtain the second analog result；
Transaction results analog module, for according to the file data, every service of goods, the respective services plan
Slightly, first analog result and second analog result, the Electricity customers that sale of electricity transaction is participated in sale of electricity company are sold
The emulation of electricity transaction.
Preferably, the file data management module, including：
User characteristics database management module, for being managed to user group's feature database, in user group's feature database
With user group's file data；
Electricity customers module for managing files, for being managed to user group's file data；
Sale of electricity company module for managing files, for sale of electricity company file data to be inquired, increases newly, changes or deleted
It removes；
Market relationship change management module is safeguarded for providing marketing to Electricity customers.
Preferably, the sale of electricity Products management module, including：
Sale of electricity Products maintenance module, every service of goods for managing and safeguarding the sale of electricity company；
Sale of electricity Products build module, are safeguarded for the personalized product memory to the sale of electricity company, and lose and sell
Electric Products library.
Preferably, power grid enterprises' policy management module, including：
Power grid enterprises' policy library maintenance module, the respective services strategy for managing and safeguarding sale of electricity company；
Power grid enterprises' construction of strategy module, for correspondingly tactful to sale of electricity company different product structure.
Preferably, the Electricity customers are lost in probability simulation module, including：
Electricity customers are lost in dynamic analog module, for carrying out dynamic analog to churn rate；
Single household time length ratio is to simulation, for simulating single user with market-oriented environment in non market-oriented environment；
Client's potential loss simulation, for analyzing the potential potential loss risk among different electricity consumption classification Electricity customers.
Preferably, main market players's growth modeling module, including：
Electricity consumption user's growth modeling module at preset timed intervals the period, carries out magnitude for the electricity consumption user to participating in business
The simulation of growth；
Sale of electricity company growth modeling module at preset timed intervals the period, carries out magnitude for the sale of electricity company to participating in business
The simulation of growth.
Preferably, the transaction results module, including：
Direct dealing analog module, the simulation for carrying out direct dealing to electricity consumption user and sale of electricity company；
Retail transaction module, the simulation for carrying out retail transaction to electricity consumption user and sale of electricity company.
Preferably, further include：
Analog module is calculated in the market-oriented electricity charge, for the record information according to different marketing simulated scenarios, to each friendship
The electricity charge of easy scene user calculate.
Preferably, further include：
Market demand side response simulation module, for be directed to Demand Side Response user, to before Demand Side Response, response after with
And peakload is simulated.
Technical solution provided in an embodiment of the present invention manages the archives number of sale of electricity company by file data management module
According to by sale of electricity Products management module management and safeguarding every service of goods of sale of electricity company, pass through power grid enterprises' strategy
Management module management and the respective services strategy for safeguarding sale of electricity company are lost in probability simulation module to sale of electricity public affairs by Electricity customers
The Electricity customers of department are lost in probability and are simulated, and the first analog result are obtained, by main market players's growth modeling module to electricity consumption
User, which increases to simulate and increase sale of electricity company, to simulate, and obtains the second analog result, mould is simulated by transaction results
Block participates in sale of electricity company the emulation of the Electricity customers progress sale of electricity transaction of sale of electricity transaction.As it can be seen that the present invention constructs sale of electricity public affairs
Take charge of the analogue system of market operation mock trading.
Description of the drawings
In order to more clearly explain the embodiment of the invention or the technical proposal in the existing technology, to embodiment or will show below
There is attached drawing needed in technology description to be briefly described, it should be apparent that, the accompanying drawings in the following description is only this
Some embodiments of invention without having to pay creative labor, may be used also for those of ordinary skill in the art
With obtain other attached drawings according to these attached drawings.
A kind of market operation mock trading analogue system suitable for sale of electricity company that Fig. 1 is provided by the embodiment of the present invention
A kind of structural schematic diagram；
A kind of market operation mock trading analogue system suitable for sale of electricity company that Fig. 2 is provided by the embodiment of the present invention
Another structural schematic diagram.
Specific implementation mode
Following will be combined with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and technical solution in the embodiment of the present invention carries out clear, complete
Site preparation describes, it is clear that described embodiment is only a part of the embodiment of the present invention, instead of all the embodiments.Based on this
Embodiment in invention, every other reality obtained by those of ordinary skill in the art without making creative efforts
Example is applied, shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
Before introducing the embodiment of the present invention, first to the sales market that is suitable for of the present invention run mock trading emulation mode into
Row is introduced：
It includes that critical issue is selected, effective information obtains, model that sales market, which runs mock trading emulation mode mainly,
Simulated operation and analysis mode result totally 6 steps are carried out in structure, system development.
Wherein：
Critical issue is selected：
It analyzes power sales to decontrol for power grid operation influence that may be present, considers that power grid customer churn becomes first
The problem of market-oriented client's this respect, therefore judge that customer churn probability just becomes important simulation theme.
Effective information obtains：
All kinds of services that may be provided by analyzing sale of electricity company comb form personalized electrical power services, section from top to down
Electrical power services can be changed, clean all kinds of services such as electrical power services, information-based electrical power services, comprehensive energy service, adequate and systematic service.
Its main affecting factors, such as personalized electrical power services are analyzed in electricity price, reliability, power quality based on service entry
There is aspect certain advantage, energy-saving electrical power services to have certain influence at electricity price, energy saving aspect, form electricity price, reliability, electricity
The Key Influential Factors such as energy quality, environmental protection, energy saving, electricity.By influencing the objective scoring of coefficient on respective services characterization factor,
Summarize the weighted value for calculating sale of electricity Products, grid company strategy and user characteristics etc. the Different Effects factor, most
Complete eventually sale of electricity Products libraries, power grid enterprises' policy library and client feature library structure.
Model construction：
By taking customer churn probability analysis model as an example, it is, extracts a certain amount of training sample from customer-centric data warehouse,
Training set is formed after pretreatment, analysis model is formed by data digging method, and new samples are carried out by analysis model
Classification, whether analysis client, which has, is lost in possibility.
System development：
The structure of simulation system is completed, corresponding structure user characteristics library, product library, policy library and customer churn are dynamic
The modules such as morphotype is quasi-, cope with different types of user characteristics by setting up different product strategy set meal, realize and flowed to storage user
Lose the sunykatuib analysis of probability.
Carry out simulated operation：
Simulation process needs in advance safeguard user characteristics, external factor etc., under supporting more scenes multi-environment
Client's dynamic is lost in probability simulation.First by safeguarding the feature database of user, to the electricity price of all types of users in each region, reliable
The characterization factors values such as property, power quality, environmental protection, energy saving, electricity carry out maintenance management.
The structure of power grid enterprises' strategy and sale of electricity Products is then carried out, the sale of electricity of different type different business range is public
Department provides product and is all different.Power grid enterprises formulate the countermeasure of differentiation according to sale of electricity Products feature simultaneously, to draw
Family offer strategy of detaining a guest supports.
Carry out attended operation, such as energy-saving sale of electricity company core according to the sale of electricity taking-over market of different type different business range
Heart competitiveness is good energy-saving scheme and abundant implementation experience, basic business are sale of electricity, and increment (auxiliary) service mainly carries
For energy-saving scheme design, Energy Management Contract, one-stop energy conservation service etc.；The sale of electricity company core competence that electricity power enterprise sets up
For preferential electricity price set meal, leading sale of electricity business, while the increments (auxiliary) such as personalized price, clean energy resource supply being provided and are taken
Business；And the power supply capacity that the sale of electricity company core competence for possessing distribution assets is good power quality and high reliability, with
Based on sale of electricity, while a series of increments (auxiliary) such as power equipment trustship, electric energy replacement, electric vehicle access being provided and are serviced.
According to sale of electricity Products facilities, the corresponding structure for carrying out power grid enterprises' strategy, power grid enterprises' strategy according to
Different type user can be correspondingly arranged, although power grid enterprises in trade market there are natural price disadvantage, can be with
It integrates information analysis and predicts that other aspect measures such as service, infrastructure service are retrieved.Large user is such as directed in addition to basis powers
Service can also integrate and provide energy-saving scheme design, Energy Management Contract, one-stop energy conservation service, e bill, recording, checking, and charging, industry
Expansion applies to install, the ancillary services such as breakdown repair.By increasing several infrastructure services on the basis of sale of electricity company service product, to increase
The competitiveness of power grid enterprises in strong customer churn simulation.
Carry out customer churn probability in conjunction with simulated conditions facilities by the maintenance to basic data and product strategy
Simulation.
Analysis mode result：
According to simulation be arranged output dynamic analog scene analysis result, including strategy change number, change of product number,
Average turnover rate, minimum turnover rate, is expected electric quantity loss, optimal policy and most influences the data such as product highest turnover rate
Information.It is analyzed again by extracting critical data, such as extraction most influences product, audience data, analyzes and determines most
Which advantage the sale of electricity Products of tool influence power have, while having certain attraction, change electricity to what kind of client
With the presence or absence of reflux situation after net business strategy, power grid enterprises' strategy in the case of reflux is but also with which service ability etc..With
The optimal policy of this iterative analysis power grid enterprises.
Referring to Fig. 1, Fig. 1 is imitative for a kind of market operation mock trading suitable for sale of electricity company provided in an embodiment of the present invention
A kind of structural schematic diagram of true system, the system include：
File data management module 101, the file data for managing sale of electricity company, file data include user group's shelves
Case data, sale of electricity company file data；
Sale of electricity Products management module 102, every service of goods for managing and safeguarding sale of electricity company；
Power grid enterprises' policy management module 103, the respective services strategy for managing and safeguarding sale of electricity company；
Electricity customers are lost in probability simulation module 104, and being lost in probability for the Electricity customers to sale of electricity company simulates,
Obtain the first analog result；
Electricity customers are lost in probability simulation, and market-oriented transaction relationship is established, market-oriented transaction relationship releases, industry
Business rule, the influence of electricity charge computation rule, electricity sales amount, the operating income profit and loss, profit income determination rule.
Wherein：
Market-oriented transaction relationship is established：
Market-oriented transaction relationship establishes the non market-oriented client of main analog power grid enterprises to market-oriented direct dealing and city
The analysis prediction result of fieldization retail customer transformation.When simulation, mainly according to the market trading environment, policy, sale of electricity company size,
Electricity price, power quality, power supply reliability, Electricity customers feature, product and power grid enterprises' strategy etc., to non market-oriented visitor
Family may be converted into the quantity of market-oriented client and probability carries out analog simulation.
It includes following two categories situation that Electricity customers, which are lost in simulation,：All it is conducive to sale of electricity company in national policy, trading environment, together
When sale of electricity company personalization electricity price, service etc. integrated value when being all higher than power grid enterprises, non market-oriented client is changed into market
It is higher to change retail customer's probability, the operation of power grid enterprises, income etc. will be influenced according at certain at this time；In non market-oriented visitor
When family meets direct dealing user's entry criteria, non market-oriented client is changed into direct dealing client, is carried out with electricity power enterprise straight
It is larger to connect power purchase transaction probability, equally meeting deflecting reduces the income of power grid enterprises.
Market-oriented transaction relationship releases：
It is mainly public according to sale of electricity company operation situation, electricity price, user characteristics library, sale of electricity that market-oriented transaction relationship releases simulation
The correlative factors such as product and power grid enterprises' strategy are taken charge of, non-city may be converted into direct dealing client, market-oriented retail customer
The probability of fieldization client is simulated.It includes following two categories situation that market-oriented client, which flows back and simulates,：Sale of electricity company powerlessly provides and sells
Under electric service scenario, the probability that market-oriented retail customer can change non market-oriented client is larger, wherein if client independently releases
Market-oriented transaction relationship is changed into power grid enterprises client, and the consumer market occupation rate of power grid enterprises can be improved, and is conducive to power grid enterprise
Industry develops, if it is by power grid enterprises carry out it is passive provide reveal all the details service when, certain influence can be brought on power grid enterprises' income；When
Power grid enterprises' electricity price, product, service quality and quantity are all better than sale of electricity company, and when meeting feature user demand, marketization visitor
It is larger that family is converted into non market-oriented client's probability, is conducive to promote power grid enterprises' income.
Business rule：
Electricity customers be lost in probability simulation mainly according to the market-oriented attribute of Electricity customers, the feature of user and portrait,
Personalized electricity price, product and the conditions such as power grid enterprises' electricity price and countermeasure that sale of electricity company provides, judge the loss of client
Or reflux situation, it is compared in conjunction with the market-oriented or non market-oriented electricity charge result of calculation of user, analysis is lost in or reflux
Probability, and according to the increase and decrease of the electricity sales amount of Analysis result calculation power grid, the profit and loss of operating income：
When being more than 50% by calculated value, reflux or loss probability are larger；
It flows back when between 20%~50% by calculated value or to be lost in probability general, but there is reflux or potential loss risk；
When being less than 20% by calculated value, reflux or loss probability are smaller；
When by calculated value for less than or equal to 0, reflux or loss are 0.
Electricity charge computation rule：
The non market-oriented electricity charge result of calculation of single household=[(catalogue electric degree electricity price * Electricity Price Strategies coefficient) * user's electricity i* electricity
The tactful coefficient of amount (wherein i indicates day part)+basic electricity price * transformer capacities+working capacity * system reserves take monovalent-basic
The electricity charge (if result of calculation is negative, is defaulted as 0)+clearing electricity * and levies on the behalf electricity price i (classification is respectively levied on the behalf in wherein i expressions)+catalogue
Power cost × power factor adjustment charge gradient %] * electricity charge strategy coefficients.
Electricity sales amount influence, the operating income profit and loss, profit income determination rule：
According to the market-oriented attribute of single household, to the marketization and non market-oriented electricity charge result of calculation, reflux and turnover rate meter
Calculation value is calculated, and is judged the reflux of single household according to rule or be lost in probability, and judging result directly affects power grid electricity sales amount, battalion
Industry takes in the profit and loss value with profit.The history electricity consumption of loss/reflux client=power grid electricity sales amount Intrusion Index.
When single household attribute is non market-oriented user：In addition to user of the turnover rate calculated value less than or equal to 0 is without potential loss risk, electricity
Net electricity sales amount, operating income, profit are unchanged；In the case of remaining, there is potential loss risk, power grid electricity sales amount increase and decrease depends on
In user power consumption number, wherein the operating income profit and loss is equal to the non market-oriented electricity charge result of calculation of single household.
When single household attribute is market-oriented user：In addition to user of the reflux ratio calculated value less than or equal to 0 is without reflux possibility, power grid
Electricity sales amount, operating income, profit are unchanged；In the case of remaining, there is certain return current machine meeting, power grid electricity sales amount increase and decrease
Equal to the electricity consumption of user, wherein the operating income profit and loss is equal to the non market-oriented electricity charge result of calculation of single household.
Direct dealing and retail transaction simulation：
User's direct dealing simulation passes through the history power load data of acquisition direct dealing user, analysis prediction inhomogeneity
The transaction electrical demand of type user, in conjunction with conditions such as current electricity power enterprise's quantity, direct dealing electricity, input sale of electricity is merchandised
Average price, simulation form 96 Spot Prices of direct dealing and simulate friendship to it according to simulated conditions facilities in simulation process
Easy matching result is calculated, and is realized to direct dealing client, electricity power enterprise two class marketization main body direct dealing result
Simulation.Show that result includes mock trading customer name, electricity consumption address, voltage class, electricity consumption classification, electricity power enterprise's title, mould
The information such as quasi- transaction electricity, mock trading electricity price, exchange hour, transaction frequency.
The retail transaction simulation of sale of electricity company passes through the retail transaction electricity price of maintenance in advance or follow-up input sale of electricity company, electricity
Valence set meal, purchases strategies, or according to the conclusion of the business average price of direct dealing, in conjunction with sale of electricity corporate history transaction value, to simulation yard
The purchases strategies of Jing Zhong sales of electricity company are estimated, then according to existing sale of electricity company purchases strategies, transmission ＆ distribution cost and retail
The various aspects factors such as the history electricity consumption situation of client, the retail transaction scene between sale of electricity company and retail customer are simulated
And the calculating of the electricity charge, competition results of the analog simulation sale of electricity company in retail transaction market.
Main market players's development analog module 105 is simulated for increasing to electricity consumption user and is increased to sale of electricity company
Length is simulated, and the second analog result is obtained；
In practical application, new clothes, the pin of Electricity customers under market-oriented fundamental development situation simulation different phase, varying environment
Situation, the simulation of user's growth pattern are exited in the registration of family situation and sale of electricity company.By the market for inputting current open
Change user type and quantity, non market-oriented customer quantity, voltage class, electricity consumption, is gone through in conjunction with Electricity customers under varying environment
The external factor such as history new clothes, cancellation situation and policy, economic situation, Industrial Cycle index are different in the analog simulation period to use
The natural increase of electric classification client overall quantity grade and abatement situation；The simulation of sale of electricity company quantity and scale is sold by obtaining
The history registry of electric company nullifies data, the scale decontroled in combination with current power sales, practical customer quantity scale, again
Want customer churn quantity, Government supports policy, sale of electricity business circumstance, the quantity of storage competitiveness sale of electricity company and scale etc.
Consider, analog simulation future sale of electricity company overall quantity, the expansion in scale and abatement situation；Before possessing related data
It puts, the emulation for creating, shutting down situation of genco's main body can be increased with extended simulation content.By to main market players
The change modeling of scale judges the supply and demand situation of change of trade market.
Transaction results analog module 106, for according to file data, every service of goods, respective services strategy, the first mould
Quasi- result and the second analog result, the Electricity customers that sale of electricity transaction is participated in sale of electricity company carry out the emulation of sale of electricity transaction.
Technical solution provided in an embodiment of the present invention manages the archives number of sale of electricity company by file data management module
According to by sale of electricity Products management module management and safeguarding every service of goods of sale of electricity company, pass through power grid enterprises' strategy
Management module management and the respective services strategy for safeguarding sale of electricity company are lost in probability simulation module to sale of electricity public affairs by Electricity customers
The Electricity customers of department are lost in probability and are simulated, and the first analog result are obtained, by main market players's growth modeling module to electricity consumption
User, which increases to simulate and increase sale of electricity company, to simulate, and obtains the second analog result, mould is simulated by transaction results
Block participates in sale of electricity company the emulation of the Electricity customers progress sale of electricity transaction of sale of electricity transaction.As it can be seen that the present invention constructs sale of electricity public affairs
Take charge of the analogue system of market operation mock trading.
Referring to Fig. 2, Fig. 2 is imitative for a kind of market operation mock trading suitable for sale of electricity company provided in an embodiment of the present invention
Another structural schematic diagram of true system, the system include：
User characteristics database management module 201 has for being managed to user group's feature database in user group's feature database
There is user group's file data；
User characteristics library management：It is primarily adapted for use in the management of user group's feature database in analogue system, according to different geographical
Client characteristics, consider the factors such as client segmentation and the weight of the client characteristics factor safeguarded, realize to different geographical
The maintenance of different clients feature database provides user characteristic data support for follow-up system analog simulation.
Electricity customers module for managing files 202, for being managed to user group's file data；
User's customer record management：It is primarily adapted for use in the management of user group's file data in analogue system, by existing
There are the information such as the essential information of user, stoichiometric point in marketing system, management, the attended operation newly such as is increased, changed and deleted, be
System analog simulation provides the data supporting of user side.
Sale of electricity company module for managing files 203, for sale of electricity company file data to be inquired, increases newly, changes or deleted
It removes；
The file administration of sale of electricity company：This function is mainly to be inquired, newly the sale of electricity company file data for participating in emulation
The system operatios such as increasing, modification and deletion.
Market relationship change management module 204 is safeguarded for providing marketing to Electricity customers.
Market relationship change management：It is primarily adapted for use in analogue system and provides marketing relationship safeguard work(for Electricity customers
Energy.
Sale of electricity Products maintenance module 205, every service of goods for managing and safeguarding sale of electricity company；
Sale of electricity Products are safeguarded：It is primarily adapted for use in the management and maintenance of the items service of goods of analogue system sale of electricity company,
By the maintenance to sale of electricity company service item, clearly go out the impact factor weight of each service entry, is subsequent builds sale of electricity company
Product, highlight products feature provide support.
Sale of electricity Products build module 206, are safeguarded for the personalized product memory to sale of electricity company, and lose sale of electricity
Products library；
Sale of electricity Products are built：It is primarily adapted for use in the maintenance of analogue system sale of electricity company personalized product, passes through difference
The independent assortment of service product, structure form sale of electricity Products library.Realize that step mainly by selecting sale of electricity company, is clearly sold
Title, type, registered capital and the company's background of electric company, then by fill in product identification, name of product, product type,
Electricity price, electricity, service quality and selected service entry complete the maintenance of the affiliated product set meal of sale of electricity company, are flowed for client
It loses operation simulation and emulative product data support is provided.
Power grid enterprises' policy library maintenance module 207, the respective services strategy for managing and safeguarding sale of electricity company；
Power grid enterprises' policy library is safeguarded：It is primarily adapted for use in management and the dimension of analogue system power grid enterprises respective services strategy
Shield, by the maintenance to power grid enterprises' service entry and impact factor, clearly goes out the impact factor weight information of each service entry, is
Subsequent builds power grid enterprises strategy highlights grid policies feature and provides basic data support.
Power grid enterprises' construction of strategy module 208, for correspondingly tactful to sale of electricity company different product structure；
Power grid enterprises' construction of strategy：It is primarily adapted for use in analogue system power grid enterprises countermeasure structure, corresponding sale of electricity company
Different product can targetedly formulate countermeasure, and answering for grid company is formed again by the combination structure to different service entries
To policy library.Step is realized mainly by information such as the strategy number of maintenance, policy name, policing type, power supply qualitys, and
Selected policy service item completes the maintenance of power grid enterprises' specific aim policy service, is provided for customer churn operation simulation competing
The policy data of striving property supports.
Electricity customers are lost in dynamic analog module 209, for carrying out dynamic analog to churn rate；
Electricity customers are lost in dynamic analog：Mainly pass through the items such as provinces and cities belonging to selection, affiliated stage and sale of electricity company
Part filters out customer quantity in simulated scenario, customer type, in conjunction with sale of electricity Products, grid company strategy and mould
Quasi-periodicity carries out dynamic analog to churn rate, and each period is according to the client in different products and policy-simulative period
Turnover rate, while can simulate the situation of change of turnover rate after product or strategy change by replacing product or strategy, completing
Statistical analysis minimax turnover rate, set meal alteration and optimal set meal and most controlling policy after final simulation, together
When, the analog result of signal period can refine the loss accounting situation for showing different type user.
Single household time length ratio to analog module 210, for by single user non market-oriented environment in market-oriented environment into
Row simulation；
The single household marketization compares simulation：Single user is mainly subjected to mould in non market-oriented environment with market-oriented environment
It is quasi-, it is compared in two class environment in conjunction with power grid enterprises' power purchase average price by power grid sale of electricity valence and sale of electricity company retail transaction electricity price,
The gains or losses that single user is lost in or reflux brings power grid enterprises' various aspects.
The potential loss analog module 211 of client, for analyzing the potential loss wind among different electricity consumption classification Electricity customers
Danger；
The potential loss simulation of client：Mainly by using power grid enterprises and the different Electricity Price Strategies of sale of electricity company, rewarding and punishing
Strategy, in conjunction with the electricity consumption situation of user, the potential stream among different electricity consumption classification Electricity customers is analyzed in the mock trading market operation
Go wrong danger, and calculate be lost in after power grid the profit and loss.
Electricity consumption user's growth modeling module 212 at preset timed intervals the period, is carried out for the electricity consumption user to participating in business
The simulation that magnitude increases；
Electricity consumption user's growth modeling：Mainly the Electricity customers in market of currently participating in business are carried out by period certain time
Analog simulation in terms of magnitude growth supports follow-up power grid enterprises according to different magnitude of trade market, formulates Electricity Price Strategy.
Sale of electricity company growth modeling module 213 at preset timed intervals the period, is carried out for the sale of electricity company to participating in business
The simulation that magnitude increases；
Sale of electricity company growth modeling：Mainly the sale of electricity company in market of currently participating in business is carried out by period certain time
Analog simulation in terms of magnitude growth supports follow-up power grid enterprises according to different magnitude of rival, adjusts the competition of itself
Strategy.
Direct dealing analog module 214, the simulation for carrying out direct dealing to electricity consumption user and sale of electricity company；
Direct dealing is simulated：It is main to realize that the simulation that market direct dealing is carried out to direct dealing client and electricity power enterprise is imitative
Very.
Retail transaction module 215, the simulation for carrying out retail transaction to electricity consumption user and sale of electricity company.
Retail transaction is simulated：It is main to realize that the simulation that market retailers transaction is carried out to retail transaction client and sale of electricity company is imitative
Very.
Analog module 216 is calculated in the market-oriented electricity charge, for the record information according to different marketing simulated scenarios, to each
The electricity charge of transaction scene user calculate.
The market-oriented electricity charge calculate simulation mainly according to the record information of different marketing simulated scenarios, realize to each friendship
The power cost calculating function of easy scene customer transaction situation.By choosing the marketing type for waiting for that simulation is calculated, not according to selection
Trading situation, set meal with marketing type select situation, and the electricity charge for carrying out user are calculated.It can be traded field according to demand
Scape selection carries out accounting simulation, for all qualified customer transaction analog results, takes by simulation electricity consumption, electricity price and calculation
Pattern carries out the calculating of the electricity charge.
Market demand side response simulation module 217, for be directed to Demand Side Response user, to before Demand Side Response, response
Afterwards and peakload is simulated.
Market demand side response simulation is primarily directed to Demand Side Response user, sunykatuib analysis load peak period, and root
According to demand response strategy, analyzes and show the preceding difference condition with after 96 point load of user aspect adjustment after response of its response.This
Function chooses some Electricity customers for participating in Demand Side Response mainly by conditions such as power supply unit, taiwan area, Customs Assigned Numbers, then
According to the 96 point load situations of user and the load condition of major network, to before Demand Side Response, after response and when peakload
Duan Jinhang simulation shows.
For device or system embodiment, since it essentially corresponds to embodiment of the method, so related place referring to
The part of embodiment of the method illustrates.Device or system embodiment described above is only schematical, wherein described
The unit illustrated as separating component may or may not be physically separated, and the component shown as unit can be with
It is or may not be physical unit, you can be located at a place, or may be distributed over multiple network units.It can
It is achieved the purpose of the solution of this embodiment with selecting according to the actual needs some or all of module therein.This field is common
Technical staff is without creative efforts, you can to understand and implement.
In several embodiments provided by the present invention, it should be understood that disclosed system, device and method are not having
It has more than in the spirit and scope of the present invention, can realize in other way.Current embodiment is a kind of demonstration
Example, should not be taken as limiting, given particular content should in no way limit the purpose of the present invention.For example, the unit or
The division of subelement, only a kind of division of logic function, formula that in actual implementation, there may be another division manner, such as multiple lists
First or multiple subelements combine.In addition, multiple units can with or component may be combined or can be integrated into another and be
System, or some features can be ignored or not executed.
In addition, the schematic diagram of described system, device and method and different embodiments, without departing from the scope of the present invention
It is interior, it can be with other systems, module, techniques or methods combination or integrated.Another point, shown or discussed mutual coupling
Close or direct-coupling or communication connection can be by some interfaces, the INDIRECT COUPLING or communication connection of device or unit, can be with
It is electrical, machinery or other forms.
The above is only the specific implementation mode of the present invention, it is noted that for the ordinary skill people of the art
For member, various improvements and modifications may be made without departing from the principle of the present invention, these improvements and modifications are also answered
It is considered as protection scope of the present invention.
Claims (9)
1. a kind of market operation mock trading analogue system suitable for sale of electricity company, which is characterized in that including：
File data management module, the file data for managing the sale of electricity company, the file data includes user group
File data, sale of electricity company file data；
Sale of electricity Products management module, every service of goods for managing and safeguarding the sale of electricity company；
Power grid enterprises' policy management module, the respective services strategy for managing and safeguarding the sale of electricity company；
Electricity customers are lost in probability simulation module, and being lost in probability for the Electricity customers to the sale of electricity company simulates, and obtains
To the first analog result；
Main market players's growth modeling module is simulated for increasing to simulate and increase sale of electricity company to electricity consumption user,
Obtain the second analog result；
Transaction results analog module, for according to the file data, every service of goods, the respective services strategy,
First analog result and second analog result, the Electricity customers that sale of electricity transaction is participated in sale of electricity company carry out sale of electricity friendship
Easy emulation.
2. system according to claim 1, which is characterized in that the file data management module, including：
User characteristics database management module has for being managed to user group's feature database in user group's feature database
User group's file data；
Electricity customers module for managing files, for being managed to user group's file data；
Sale of electricity company module for managing files, for being inquired sale of electricity company file data, being increased, modified or deleted；
Market relationship change management module is safeguarded for providing marketing to Electricity customers.
3. system according to claim 1, which is characterized in that the sale of electricity Products management module, including：
Sale of electricity Products maintenance module, every service of goods for managing and safeguarding the sale of electricity company；
Sale of electricity Products build module, are safeguarded for the personalized product memory to the sale of electricity company, and lose sale of electricity public affairs
Take charge of product library.
4. system according to claim 1, which is characterized in that power grid enterprises' policy management module, including：
Power grid enterprises' policy library maintenance module, the respective services strategy for managing and safeguarding sale of electricity company；
Power grid enterprises' construction of strategy module, for correspondingly tactful to sale of electricity company different product structure.
5. system according to claim 1, which is characterized in that the Electricity customers are lost in probability simulation module, including：
Electricity customers are lost in dynamic analog module, for carrying out dynamic analog to churn rate；
Single household time length ratio is to simulation, for simulating single user with market-oriented environment in non market-oriented environment；
Client's potential loss simulation, for analyzing the potential potential loss risk among different electricity consumption classification Electricity customers.
6. system according to claim 1, which is characterized in that main market players's growth modeling module, including：
Electricity consumption user's growth modeling module at preset timed intervals the period, carries out magnitude growth for the electricity consumption user to participating in business
Simulation；
Sale of electricity company growth modeling module at preset timed intervals the period, carries out magnitude growth for the sale of electricity company to participating in business
Simulation.
7. system according to claim 1, which is characterized in that the transaction results module, including：
Direct dealing analog module, the simulation for carrying out direct dealing to electricity consumption user and sale of electricity company；
Retail transaction module, the simulation for carrying out retail transaction to electricity consumption user and sale of electricity company.
8. system according to claim 1, which is characterized in that further include：
Analog module is calculated in the market-oriented electricity charge, for the record information according to different marketing simulated scenarios, to each trading floor
The electricity charge of scape user calculate.
9. system according to claim 1, which is characterized in that further include：
Market demand side response simulation module, for be directed to Demand Side Response user, to before Demand Side Response, response after and point
Peak load is simulated.
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