CN108053094A - A kind of weight grade evaluation method and system - Google Patents

A kind of weight grade evaluation method and system Download PDF

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CN108053094A
CN108053094A CN201711132881.2A CN201711132881A CN108053094A CN 108053094 A CN108053094 A CN 108053094A CN 201711132881 A CN201711132881 A CN 201711132881A CN 108053094 A CN108053094 A CN 108053094A
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opinion rating
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丁建伟
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Nine Fangda Data Information Group Co Ltd
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Abstract

The present invention relates to a kind of weight grade evaluation method and systems, and the sample data transferred from sampling memory is transferred to netscape messaging server Netscape the described method includes data collection station;Netscape messaging server Netscape pre-processes sample data;Weight analysis is carried out to the sample data by pretreatment;It is analyzed by weight and obtains opinion rating model;Opinion rating model is stored in data storage;Data collection station collects pending data, and pending data is inputted opinion rating model, obtains the opinion rating of pending data.A kind of weight grade evaluation method of the present invention and system are acquiring magnanimity government department data, on the basis of the relevant informations such as inside data of enterprise and public sentiment data, with weight analytic approach, multiple evaluation indexes are converted into a few overall target, quick succinct evaluation can be achieved to calculate, compensate for the deficiency that traditional evaluation method ignores incidence relation between index in evaluation.

Description

A kind of weight grade evaluation method and system
Technical field
The present invention relates to the method and system that network data management field more particularly to a kind of weight grade are evaluated.
Background technology
Big data technology be using data as essence a kind of information technology, during data are taped the latent power, can drive theory, The innovation of pattern, technology and application practice.The improvement of the highlighting of data value, data acquisition means and data processing technique is The root of " big data " outburst.And with data production factors, data science, the continuous development of data science and technology and data value Depth excavate and application, by driving, Regional Economic Development, smart city construction, enterprise transformation upgrading, social management etc. are each The innovation and development in field.Big data will change innovation mode and management philosophy under the guidance of data science theory, and development is big Data technique, the application of in-depth big data and practice.And industry big data will be the maximum optimal application field of big data.
The application of big data is applied in business administration, statistical desired realization can be precipitated in the data of magnanimity As a result, training counting statistics model, helps company manager to grasp accurate company information, corporate behavior and the guiding public is instructed to disappear Take.But current big data apply there is it is many shortcomings that, for example, the analysis of data needs the data accumulation based on magnanimity, mesh Preceding big data needs are analyzed according to millions of mass datas, and the platform of the overwhelming majority lacks big data and relies on, Often small data or middle data, therefore, the scarcity of data can cause result of calculation to lack persuasion.In addition, existing conventional enterprise Industry credit crisis evaluation model mainly has multivariate statistical model, the Credit Risk Assessment Model based on artificial intelligence, based on city Credit Risk Assessment Model of field value etc., these models are harsher for the precondition of sample, the sample number in reality These hypothesis have been run counter to according to serious.And the variable of model selection can not avoid mutual Problems of Multiple Synteny.Manually Although the foundation of intelligent Credit Model solves the problems, such as these to a certain extent, knot that the training of this "black box" formula is drawn By lacking interpretability to a certain extent.Meanwhile if using business standing crisis as a Multivariable, variable is too many Calculation amount can be increased and increase the complexity of problem analysis.In order to increase data validity, should quantitatively divided as much as possible The variable being related to during analysis is less, and obtained information content is more.
The content of the invention
In order to solve the above-mentioned problems in the prior art, the present invention proposes a kind of weight grade evaluation method And system, on the basis of the information such as magnanimity government department data, inside data of enterprise and the public sentiment data of acquisition, by enterprise Multiple evaluation indexes of credit crisis are converted into a few overall target, it can be achieved that quick succinct evaluation calculating, compensates for Traditional evaluation method ignores the deficiency of incidence relation between index in evaluation.
The technical solution used in the present invention is:
A kind of weight grade evaluation method, including being stored in sample data in sampling memory, data collection station Sample data is transferred from sampling memory,
The sample data transferred from sampling memory is transferred to netscape messaging server Netscape by data collection station;
Netscape messaging server Netscape pre-processes sample data;
Netscape messaging server Netscape carries out weight analysis to the sample data by pretreatment;
It is analyzed by weight and obtains opinion rating model;
Opinion rating model is stored in data storage;
Data collection station collects pending data, and pending data is inputted opinion rating model, obtains pending number According to opinion rating.
Preferably, sample data includes government department's database data, inside data of enterprise and public sentiment data.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, weight analysis includes:
Sample data comprehensive score is calculated, according to data distribution state demarcation classification in comprehensive score and sample data, if Determine data level;
By parameter coefficient, comprehensive score function is built, calculates weight score.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, sample data comprehensive score is calculated to further comprise:
Test samples data are if appropriate for using weight factor approach;
Weight chooses the method using factor of the keeping characteristics value of SPSS software defaults more than 1;
Variance is rotated with orthogonal very big method, carries out factorial analysis;
S weight before selection calculates comprehensive score by the weight coefficient of each factor according to the Return Law.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, according to the distribution character of sample scores, classification point is selected, setting is each A data level.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, the distribution character of sample scores for linear distribution or is just distributed very much.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, comprehensive score function is built, is further comprised:Build anticipation function mould Type selects s weight, then the score function of sample estimates is:
F=a1z1+a2z2+…+aszs (1)
Wherein, F:Historical sample comprehensive score;
ai:The contribution rate of i-th of weight;
zi:I-th of weight.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably,
Parameter coefficient is:
Wherein:I, l=1,2 ... s;
KiFor the ith feature value arranged from big to small;
bilFor weight ziTo zlAccumulation contribution rate.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, i-th of weight can show as linear group of n original index It closes, then:
zi=bi1x1+ai2x2+…+ainxn (2)
(2) are substituted into (1):
F=c1x1+c2x2+…+cnxn (3)
Wherein:
I=1,2 ..., s;
J=1,2 ..., n.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, the weight for obtaining pending data is evaluated by weight grade Grade includes the following steps:
Build information collecting platform, the pending data of receive information acquisition platform transmission, using pending data as new Sample pre-processes new samples data for standard data format by the processing mode identical with sample data;
The function model completed using formula (3) structure calculates comprehensive score, show that the weight of new samples data obtains Point;
By the weight score of new samples data compared with sample data weight grade, show that new samples data are weighed The grade evaluation of weight factor determines the weight grade of pending data.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, by KMO and Barrelett sphericity test samples data if appropriate for making With weight analysis method, when KMO values are more than 0.5, when sphericity verifies as notable, judge be using weight factor approach Suitably.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, sample data is randomly divided into two groups, and one group is training sample group, the instruction The data for practicing sample group are used for structure forecast model;Another group is test sample group, and the data of the test sample group are used to test Demonstrate,prove the significant degree of prediction model.
A kind of weight grade evaluation system, including:Sample data memory module:It is configured and adapted in samples storage Sample data is stored in device, is further included with lower module:
Data collection station:Its sample data for being configured and adapted to transfer from sampling memory is transmitted to information processing Server;
Sample data preprocessing module:It is configured and adapted to pre-process sample data;
Weight analysis module:It is configured and adapted to carry out weight analysis to the sample data by pretreatment;
Opinion rating model determining module:It, which is configured and adapted to analyze by weight, obtains opinion rating model;
Opinion rating model memory module:It is configured and adapted to opinion rating model being stored in data storage;
Opinion rating acquisition module:It is configured and adapted to after data collection station collects pending data, will be pending Data input opinion rating model, obtain the opinion rating of pending data.
Preferably, weight analysis module includes:
Sample data comprehensive score computing module is configured to calculate sample data comprehensive score, according to comprehensive score and Data distribution state demarcation classification in sample data sets data level;
Comprehensive score function builds module:It is configured to, by parameter coefficient, build comprehensive score function, calculates power Weight factor score.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, sample data comprehensive score computing module execution is calculated as below:
Test samples data are if appropriate for using weight factor approach;
Weight chooses the method using factor of the keeping characteristics value of SPSS software defaults more than 1;
Variance is rotated with orthogonal very big method, carries out factorial analysis;
S weight before selection calculates comprehensive score by the weight coefficient of each factor according to the Return Law.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, sample data comprehensive score computing module dividing according to sample scores Cloth characteristic selectes classification point, sets each data level.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, the distribution character of sample scores for linear distribution or is just distributed very much.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, comprehensive score function structure module construction anticipation function model, specially: S weight is selected, then the score function of sample estimates is:
F=a1z1+a2z2+…+aszs (1)
Wherein, F:Historical sample comprehensive score;
ai:The contribution rate of i-th of weight;
zi:I-th of weight.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, parameter coefficient is:
Wherein:I, l=1,2 ... s;
KiFor the ith feature value arranged from big to small;
bilFor weight ziTo zlAccumulation contribution rate.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, i-th of weight can show as linear group of n original index It closes, then:
zi=bi1x1+ai2x2+…+ainxn (2)
(2) are substituted into (1):
F=c1x1+c2x2+…+cnxn (3)
Wherein:
I=1,2 ..., s;
J=1,2 ..., n.
In any of the above-described scheme preferably, weight level determination module determines pending number by the following method According to weight grade:
Build information collecting platform, the pending data of receive information acquisition platform transmission, using pending data as new Sample pre-processes new samples data for standard data format by the processing mode identical with sample data;
The function model completed using formula (3) structure calculates comprehensive score, show that the weight of new samples data obtains Point;
By the weight score of new samples data compared with sample data weight grade, show that new samples data are weighed The grade evaluation of weight factor obtains the weight grade of pending data.
Beneficial effects of the present invention:
A kind of weight grade evaluation method of the present invention and system are acquiring magnanimity government department data, enterprises On the basis of the business crisis relevant information such as data and public sentiment data, with weight analysis method, evaluation of training grade Multiple evaluation indexes of business standing crisis are converted into a few overall target, it can be achieved that quick succinct by computation model Evaluation calculates, and compensates for the deficiency that traditional evaluation method ignores incidence relation between index in evaluation, is obtained so as to accurate Go out weight grade evaluation result, and effective early warning and management are carried out to business standing crisis, the exhibition of all-dimensional multi-angle ground Show the credit situation of enterprise, so that government provides reference for business standing deciding grade and level, perfect credit system for next step each place and build If realizing " combine and discipline as a warning ", service basic and technical foundation have been established.
A kind of weight grade evaluation method of the present invention and system introduce weight analytic approach and come to weight etc. Grade evaluation index carries out dimensionality reduction.In weight Grade, how the index coefficient of core composite evaluation function obtains To being key factor, which must at least is fulfilled for the following conditions, could preferably draw accurate credit crisis evaluation As a result:
1st, can preferably change with sample changed;
2nd, objectivity;
3rd, the reasonability of evaluation result can be ensured.
For these conditions, the present invention is in itself based entirely on data using weight grade evaluation method Number, so as to accurately draw weight grade evaluation result.
A kind of weight grade evaluation method of the present invention and system are not required to artificially estimate weight, reduce artificial in evaluation Factor influences, better than traditional evaluation method in accuracy.In addition, the present invention can be according to the Character adjustment index body of different industries System has certain scalability.
Description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is according to a kind of flow chart of a preferred embodiment of weight grade evaluation method of the present invention;
Fig. 2 is according to a kind of flow chart of the weight analytical procedure of weight grade evaluation method of the present invention;
Fig. 3 is according to a kind of weight grade of the definite pending data of weight grade evaluation method of the present invention The flow chart of step;
Fig. 4 is according to a kind of flow chart of the another preferred embodiment of weight grade evaluation method of the present invention.
Specific embodiment
Referring to the drawings and embodiment the present invention will be described in detail:
Embodiment 1
It is a kind of weight grade evaluation method as shown in attached drawing 1-4, including:It is stored in sample in sampling memory Data, data collection station transfer sample data from sampling memory, further include following steps:
Step 1:The sample data transferred from sampling memory is transferred to information processing services by data collection station Device, sample data include government department's database data, inside data of enterprise and public sentiment data.
Step 2:Netscape messaging server Netscape pre-processes sample data;Test samples data are if appropriate for the right to use Weight factor approach;By KMO and Barrelett sphericity test samples data if appropriate for using weight factor analysis side Method, when KMO values be more than 0.5, when sphericity verifies as notable, judge that using weight factor approach be suitable.Sample data Two groups are randomly divided into, one group is training sample group, and the data of training sample group are used for structure forecast model;Another group is test specimens This group, the data of test sample group are used to verify the significant degree of prediction model.
Step 3:Netscape messaging server Netscape carries out weight analysis to the sample data by pretreatment;Weight Analysis includes:
1st, sample data comprehensive score is calculated, according to data distribution state demarcation classification in comprehensive score and sample data, Set data level;Sample data comprehensive score is calculated to further comprise:Weight chooses the guarantor using SPSS software defaults The method for staying factor of the characteristic value more than 1;Variance is rotated with orthogonal very big method, carries out factorial analysis;Before selection s weight because Element calculates comprehensive score by the weight coefficient of each factor according to the Return Law.According to the distribution character of sample scores, choosing Surely classify a little, set each data level.The distribution character of sample scores for linear distribution or is just distributed very much.
2nd, by parameter coefficient, comprehensive score function is built, calculates weight score.Build comprehensive score letter Number, further comprises:Anticipation function model is built, selects s weight, then the score function of sample estimates is:
F=a1z1+a2z2+…+aszs (1)
Wherein, F:Historical sample comprehensive score;
ai:The contribution rate of i-th of weight;
zi:I-th of weight.
Parameter coefficient is:
Wherein:I, l=1,2 ... s;
KiFor the ith feature value arranged from big to small;
bilFor weight ziTo zlAccumulation contribution rate.
I-th of weight can show as the linear combination of n original index, then:
zi=bi1x1+ai2x2+…+ainxn (2)
(2) are substituted into (1):
F=c1x1+c2x2+…+cnxn (3)
Wherein:
I=1,2 ..., s;
J=1,2 ..., n.
Step 4:It is analyzed by weight and obtains opinion rating model;
Step 5:Opinion rating model is stored in data storage;
Step 6:Data collection station collects pending data, and pending data is inputted opinion rating model, is treated Handle the opinion rating of data.
The weight grade that acquisition pending data is evaluated by weight grade includes the following steps:
Build information collecting platform, the pending data of receive information acquisition platform transmission, using pending data as new Sample pre-processes new samples data for standard data format by the processing mode identical with sample data;
The function model completed using formula (3) structure calculates comprehensive score, show that the weight of new samples data obtains Point;
By the weight score of new samples data compared with sample data weight grade, show that new samples data are weighed The grade evaluation of weight factor obtains the weight grade of pending data.
Embodiment 2
A kind of weight grade evaluation method of the present invention, which is particularly applicable in evaluation business standing crisis grade, to be included:Sample This selection, sample data pretreatment, weight are analyzed, build anticipation function model, division credit grade, utilize comprehensive function Prediction new samples score, evaluation business standing crisis grade and etc..
Sample is chosen:Choose target zone in (certain industry or a certain region) a certain number of credit crisis enterprises and The historical sample of the good enterprise's composition of credit, wherein good enterprise of credit crisis enterprise and credit need predefined.Form history The credit line that the enterprise of sample determines according to standard data format is divided into credit crisis enterprise or the good enterprise of credit.It will Total sample is randomly divided into two groups, and one group is training sample group, and another set is test sample group.The data of training sample group are used for Structure forecast model, and the data that test sample is rented are used to verify the significant degree of prediction model.
Sample data pre-processes:For the accuracy that guarantee weight rank method uses, initial data will be carried out in advance Processing mainly ensures that data have same directionality, and achievement data is made to have economic meanings.It, will according to the thought Sample data is first classified according to default current standard, then good using the credit crisis enterprise in a certain concrete kind and credit Input data of the ratio of enterprise as weight rating calculation.This not only ensure that each achievement data has same direction Property, and have economic implications.For example, for industry index, farming, forestry, husbandary and fishing, medical and health, building materials, metallurgical ore deposit are classified as It produces, 5 specific categories of other grades, creditable crisis enterprise 60 in farming, forestry, husbandary and fishing, the good enterprise of credit 34 then should in sample Item input data is set to 1.765 (60/34), remaining similar process.
Weight is analyzed:When carrying out weight rating calculation, inspection data first is if appropriate for using weight Analysis method, the instrument for examining this method are mainly that KMO and Barrelett sphericitys are examined, when KMO values are examined more than 0.5 sphericity For it is notable when, the use of weight rank method is suitable.KMO:Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin, test statistics are to be used for The index of simple correlation coefficient and partial correlation coefficient between comparison variable.KMO statistics be value between zero and one.When all variables Between simple correlation coefficient quadratic sum when being far longer than partial correlation coefficient quadratic sum, KMO values close to 1.KMO values closer to 1, meaning The correlation that taste between variable is stronger, and original variable is more suitable as factorial analysis;When the simple correlation coefficient between all variables is put down During just and close to 0, KMO values are close to 0.KMO values closer to 0, it is meant that the correlation between variable is weaker, and original variable is more uncomfortable Cooperation factorial analysis.It is appropraite condition judging historical sample data using weight rank method, on the one hand, to calculate and go through History sample comprehensive score, the method that weight of the keeping characteristics value more than 1 of SPSS software defaults may be employed in ingredient selection, Variance is rotated with orthogonal very big method, carries out factorial analysis, s weight before selection by the weight coefficient of each factor and is pressed Last comprehensive score is calculated according to the Return Law.(may be linear distribution or just according to the distribution characters of sample scores It is distributed very much), classification point is selected, sets each credit crisis grade.On the other hand, we set structure anticipation function model as:Choosing S weight is selected, then the score function of sample estimates is:
F=a1z1+a2z2+…+aszs (1)
Wherein, F:Historical sample comprehensive score;
ai:The contribution rate of i-th of weight;
zi:I-th of weight.
Parameter coefficient is:
Wherein:I, l=1,2 ... s;
KiFor the ith feature value arranged from big to small;
bilFor weight ziTo zlAccumulation contribution rate.
I-th of weight can show as the linear combination of n original index, then:
zi=bi1x1+ai2x2+…+ainxn (2)
(2) are substituted into (1):
F=c1x1+c2x2+…+cnxn (3)
Wherein:
I=1,2 ..., s;
J=1,2 ..., n.
It is evaluated by business standing crisis grade and determines that business standing crisis grade includes the following steps:
Using Pre-Evaluation enterprise data as new samples, pre-processed by the mode identical with historical sample as normal data lattice Formula;
The function model completed using formula (3) structure calculates comprehensive score, draws business standing crisis score;
By business standing crisis score compared with credit crisis grade, show that business standing crisis grade is evaluated, obtain enterprise Industry credit crisis grade.
Divide credit grade:According to the distribution of the sample comprehensive score of calculating and credit crisis enterprise and the good enterprise of credit Situation sets credit crisis grade according to certain standard and method;
New samples score is predicted using comprehensive function, evaluates business standing crisis grade.
Embodiment 3
For a kind of weight grade evaluation system, including:Sample data memory module, data collection station, sample number It Data preprocess module, weight analysis module, opinion rating model determining module, opinion rating model memory module and comments Valency grade acquisition module.Specifically,
First, sample data memory module:It is configured and adapted to store sample data in sampling memory;
2nd, data collection station:Its sample data for being configured and adapted to transfer from sampling memory is transmitted to information Processing server;
3rd, sample data preprocessing module:It is configured and adapted to pre-process sample data;
4th, weight analysis module:It is configured and adapted to carry out weight point to the sample data by pretreatment Analysis;
5th, opinion rating model determining module:It, which is configured and adapted to analyze by weight, obtains opinion rating model;
6th, opinion rating model memory module:It is configured and adapted to opinion rating model being stored in data storage;
7th, opinion rating acquisition module:It is configured and adapted to after data collection station collects pending data, will wait to locate Data input opinion rating model is managed, obtains the opinion rating of pending data.
Weight analysis module includes:
1st, sample data comprehensive score computing module is configured to calculate sample data comprehensive score, according to comprehensive score And data distribution state demarcation classification in sample data, set data level;Sample data comprehensive score computing module performs such as Lower calculating:Test samples data are if appropriate for using weight factor approach;Weight is chosen using SPSS software defaults Keeping characteristics value more than 1 factor method;Variance is rotated with orthogonal very big method, carries out factorial analysis;S weight before selection Factor calculates comprehensive score by the weight coefficient of each factor according to the Return Law.Sample data comprehensive score computing module root According to the distribution character of sample scores, classification point is selected, sets each data level.The distribution character of sample scores, For linear distribution or just it is being distributed very much.
2nd, comprehensive score function structure module:It is configured to, by parameter coefficient, build comprehensive score function, calculates Weight score.Comprehensive score function builds module construction anticipation function model, is specially:S weight is selected, then is estimated Meter sample score function be:
F=a1z1+a2z2+…+aszs (1)
Wherein, F:Historical sample comprehensive score;
ai:The contribution rate of i-th of weight;
zi:I-th of weight.
Parameter coefficient is:
Wherein:I, l=1,2 ... s;
KiFor the ith feature value arranged from big to small;
bilFor weight ziTo zlAccumulation contribution rate.
I-th of weight can show as the linear combination of n original index, then:
zi=bi1x1+ai2x2+…+ainxn (2)
(2) are substituted into (1):
F=c1x1+c2x2+…+cnxn (3)
Wherein:
I=1,2 ..., s;
J=1,2 ..., n.
Weight level determination module determines the weight grade of pending data by the following method:
Build information collecting platform, the pending data of receive information acquisition platform transmission, using pending data as new Sample pre-processes new samples data for standard data format by the processing mode identical with sample data;
The function model completed using formula (3) structure calculates comprehensive score, show that the weight of new samples data obtains Point;
By the weight score of new samples data compared with sample data weight grade, show that new samples data are weighed The grade evaluation of weight factor obtains the weight grade of pending data.
Embodiment 4
A kind of weight grade evaluation system of the present invention is applied in business standing crisis evaluation system, is specifically included: Sample chooses module, sample data preprocessing module, weight analysis module, business standing crisis grade evaluation module, enterprise Industry credit crisis level determination module.
Sample chooses module, and it is good to be configured and adapted to choose a certain number of credit crisis enterprises and credit in target zone Good enterprise forms historical sample;Choose (certain industry or a certain region) a certain number of credit crisis enterprises in target zone The historical sample of enterprise's composition good with credit, wherein good enterprise of credit crisis enterprise and credit need predefined, sample choosing The credit line that modulus block determines the enterprise for forming historical sample according to standard data format, be divided into credit crisis enterprise or The good enterprise of credit.Total sample is randomly divided into two groups, one group is training sample group, and another set is test sample group.Training The data of sample group are used for structure forecast model, and the data that test sample is rented are used to verify the significant degree of prediction model.
Sample data preprocessing module:It is configured and adapted to pre-process the initial data of historical sample;To ensure The accuracy that weight method uses will pre-process initial data, mainly ensure that data have same direction Property, and make achievement data that there are economic meanings.According to the thought, sample data is first classified according to default current standard, Then the input that the ratio of the credit crisis enterprise in a certain concrete kind and the good enterprise of credit is calculated as weight is used Data.This not only ensure that each achievement data has same directionality, and have economic implications.For example, for industry index, It is classified as farming, forestry, husbandary and fishing, medical and health, building materials, metallurgical mineral products, 5 specific categories of other grades, farming, forestry, husbandary and fishing in sample In creditable crisis enterprise 60, the good enterprise of credit 34, then this input data be set to 1.765 (60/34), remaining is similar Processing.
Weight analysis module:It is configured and adapted to carry out weight point to the historical sample data by pretreatment Analysis;Historical sample data is examined if appropriate for using weight factor approach;When carrying out weight calculating, check number first According to if appropriate for weight factor approach is used, the instrument for examining this method is mainly that KMO and Barrelett sphericitys are examined, The use of weight factor scheme is suitable when KMO values verify as notable more than 0.5 sphericity.KMO:Kaiser-Meyer- Olkin, test statistics are the indexs for simple correlation coefficient between comparison variable and partial correlation coefficient.KMO statistics are to take Value is between zero and one.When the simple correlation coefficient quadratic sum between all variables is far longer than partial correlation coefficient quadratic sum, KMO values Close to 1.KMO values closer to 1, it is meant that the correlation between variable is stronger, and original variable is more suitable as factorial analysis;When all When simple correlation coefficient quadratic sum between variable is close to 0, KMO values are close to 0.KMO values closer to 0, it is meant that the phase between variable Weaker, the original more uncomfortable cooperation factorial analysis of variable of closing property.It is suitable judging historical sample data using weight factor scheme Condition, on the one hand, to calculate historical sample comprehensive score, the keeping characteristics value that SPSS software defaults may be employed in ingredient selection is big In the method for 1 weight, variance is rotated with orthogonal very big method, carries out factorial analysis, s weight, passes through before selection The weight coefficient of each factor simultaneously calculates last comprehensive score according to the Return Law.According to the distribution character of sample scores (may be linear distribution or just too distribution), selectes classification point, sets each credit crisis grade.On the other hand, Wo Menshe Building anticipation function model is:S weight is selected, then the score function of sample estimates is:
F=a1z1+a2z2+…+aszs (1)
Wherein, F:Historical sample comprehensive score;
ai:The contribution rate of i-th of weight;
zi:I-th of weight.
Parameter coefficient is:
Wherein:I, l=1,2 ... s;
KiFor the ith feature value arranged from big to small;
bilFor weight ziTo zlAccumulation contribution rate.
I-th of weight can show as the linear combination of n original index, then:
zi=bi1x1+ai2x2+…+ainxn (2)
(2) are substituted into (1):
F=c1x1+c2x2+…+cnxn (3)
Wherein:
I=1,2 ..., s;
J=1,2 ..., n.
It is evaluated by business standing crisis grade and determines that business standing crisis grade includes the following steps:
Using Pre-Evaluation enterprise data as new samples, pre-processed by the mode identical with historical sample as normal data lattice Formula;
The function model completed using formula (3) structure calculates comprehensive score, draws business standing crisis score;
By business standing crisis score compared with credit crisis grade, show that business standing crisis grade is evaluated, obtain enterprise Industry credit crisis grade.
Divide credit grade:According to the distribution of the sample comprehensive score of calculating and credit crisis enterprise and the good enterprise of credit Situation sets credit crisis grade according to certain standard and method;
New samples score is predicted using comprehensive function, evaluates business standing crisis grade.
Business standing crisis grade evaluation module:It is analyzed by weight and obtains the evaluation of business standing crisis grade;
Business standing crisis level determination module:It is evaluated by business standing crisis grade and determines business standing crisis etc. Grade.
A kind of weight grade evaluation method of the present invention and system are acquiring magnanimity government department data, enterprises On the basis of the business crisis relevant information such as data and public sentiment data, with weight analytic approach, by business standing crisis Multiple evaluation indexes be converted into a few overall target, it can be achieved that quick succinct evaluation calculates, compensate for traditional evaluation Method ignores the deficiency of incidence relation between index in evaluation, so as to accurately draw weight grade evaluation result, And effective early warning and management are carried out to business standing crisis, the credit situation of enterprise is shown to all-dimensional multi-angle, so as to political affairs Mansion provides reference for business standing deciding grade and level, perfects Credit System Construction for next step each place, realizes " combine and discipline as a warning ", establish Service basic and technical foundation.
A kind of weight grade evaluation method of the present invention and system introduce weight analytic approach and come to weight etc. Grade evaluation index carries out dimensionality reduction.In weight Grade, how the index coefficient of core composite evaluation function obtains To being key factor, which must at least is fulfilled for the following conditions, could preferably draw accurate credit crisis evaluation As a result:
1st, can preferably change with sample changed;
2nd, objectivity;
3rd, the reasonability of evaluation result can be ensured.
For these conditions, the present invention obtains coefficient in itself using weight factor scheme based entirely on data, so as to compared with Accurately to draw weight grade evaluation result.
A kind of weight grade evaluation method of the present invention and system are not required to artificially estimate weight, reduce artificial in evaluation Factor influences, better than traditional evaluation method in accuracy.In addition, the present invention can be according to the Character adjustment index body of different industries System has certain scalability.
The above described is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention, not the structure of the present invention is made in any form Limitation.Any simple modification, equivalent change and modification that every technical spirit according to the invention makees above example, Belong in the range of technical scheme.

Claims (10)

1. a kind of weight grade evaluation method, including being stored in sample data in sampling memory, data collection station from Sample data is transferred in sampling memory, which is characterized in that
The sample data transferred from sampling memory is transferred to netscape messaging server Netscape by data collection station;
Netscape messaging server Netscape pre-processes sample data;
Netscape messaging server Netscape carries out weight analysis to the sample data by pretreatment;
It is analyzed by weight and obtains opinion rating model;
Opinion rating model is stored in data storage;
Data collection station collects pending data, and pending data is inputted opinion rating model, obtains pending data Opinion rating.
2. weight grade evaluation method according to claim 1, which is characterized in that the sample data includes government Division data storehouse data, inside data of enterprise and public sentiment data.
3. weight grade evaluation method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that:Weight analysis includes:
Sample data comprehensive score is calculated, according to data distribution state demarcation classification in comprehensive score and sample data, sets number According to grade;
By parameter coefficient, comprehensive score function is built, calculates weight score.
4. weight grade evaluation method according to claim 2, it is characterised in that:Calculate sample data comprehensive score Further comprise:
Test samples data are if appropriate for using weight factor approach;
Weight chooses the method using factor of the keeping characteristics value of SPSS software defaults more than 1;
Variance is rotated with orthogonal very big method, carries out factorial analysis;
S weight before selection calculates comprehensive score by the weight coefficient of each factor according to the Return Law.
5. weight grade evaluation method according to claim 4, it is characterised in that:According to point of sample scores Cloth characteristic selectes classification point, sets each data level.
6. weight grade evaluation method according to claim 5, it is characterised in that:The distribution of sample scores is special Property, for linear distribution or just it is distributed very much.
7. weight grade evaluation method according to claim 3, which is characterized in that structure comprehensive score function, into One step includes:Anticipation function model is built, selects s weight, then the score function of sample estimates is:
F=a1z1+a2z2+…+aSzS (1)
Wherein, F:Historical sample comprehensive score;
ai:The contribution rate of i-th of weight;
zi:I-th of weight.
8. weight grade evaluation method according to claim 7, it is characterised in that:
Parameter coefficient is:
<mrow> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <mfrac> <msub> <mi>K</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msub> <mrow> <msubsup> <mi>&amp;Sigma;</mi> <mrow> <mi>m</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <msub> <mi>K</mi> <mi>m</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mfrac> <msub> <mi>b</mi> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mi>l</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <mfrac> <mrow> <msubsup> <mi>&amp;Sigma;</mi> <mrow> <mi>m</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>l</mi> </msubsup> <msub> <mi>K</mi> <mi>m</mi> </msub> </mrow> <mrow> <msubsup> <mi>&amp;Sigma;</mi> <mrow> <mi>m</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>i</mi> </msubsup> <msub> <mi>K</mi> <mi>m</mi> </msub> </mrow> </mfrac> </mrow>
Wherein:I, l=1,2 ... s;
KiFor the ith feature value arranged from big to small;
bi1For weight ziTo z1Accumulation contribution rate.
9. weight grade evaluation method according to claim 8, it is characterised in that:I-th of weight can be with table It is now the linear combination of n original index, then:
zi=bi1x1+ai2x2+…+ainxn (2)
(2) are substituted into (1):
F=c1x1+c2x2+…+cnxn (3)
Wherein:
1=1,2 ..., S;
J=1,2 ..., n.
10. a kind of weight grade evaluation system, including:Sample data memory module:It is configured and adapted in samples storage Sample data is stored in device, which is characterized in that further include with lower module:
Data collection station:Its sample data for being configured and adapted to transfer from sampling memory is transmitted to information processing services Device;
Sample data preprocessing module:It is configured and adapted to pre-process sample data;
Weight analysis module:It is configured and adapted to carry out weight analysis to the sample data by pretreatment;
Opinion rating model determining module:It, which is configured and adapted to analyze by weight, obtains opinion rating model;
Opinion rating model memory module:It is configured and adapted to opinion rating model being stored in data storage;
Opinion rating acquisition module:It is configured and adapted to after data collection station collects pending data, by pending data Opinion rating model is inputted, obtains the opinion rating of pending data.
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CN111367980A (en) * 2020-03-05 2020-07-03 苏宁云计算有限公司 Method and system for managing upstream tasks according to e-commerce indexes
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Application publication date: 20180518